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PEG Ratio

   The PEG Ratio or ‘Price Earnings to Growth’ Ratio determines a stock’s value while
    taking into account future earnings growth.



   Like the P/E Ratio, the PEG Ratio is used to get a better understanding of whether
    or not a company’s stock is overpriced, under priced or just right (fairly priced).
   The PEG Ratio uses the P/E Ratio of a company and compares it with that
    company’s annual growth rate.



   If a company’s stock is fairly priced, then its P/E Ratio should equal its annual
    growth rate.
PEG is calculated as…

                           PEG Ratio

PEG Ratio = ------------------------------------------------

                    Expected Earnings Growth (%)



   The P/E Ratio is the ‘Price to Earnings’ Ratio’ (discussed last week)



   The expected earnings growth will be in percentage form and is available from a
    company’s annual report.
   A PEG ratio of 1 suggests equilibrium between market value of stock and
    anticipated earnings



   It means that the stock is fairly priced and current market price (numerator) justifies
    the anticipated growth rate (denominator)
For example…

       A company stock has a P/E of 20. Analysts feel that the stock has an anticipated
        earnings growth of 12% over the next five years.

          PEG Ratio = 20 / 12 = 1.66
    •      Here, stock price is higher than its earnings growth.
    •      This means that market price is higher compared to anticipated earnings growth.
    •      This can be attributed to ‘hype’ or undue enthusiasm in the market for that stock.
•   To keep up with the market hype, the company will now have to grow faster.



•   This means that if the company doesn’t grow at a faster rate, the stock price
    will decrease (stock price correction will occur as hype will die down).
Another example…
       Another company stock has a P/E of 30. Analysts feel that the stock has an
        anticipated earnings growth of 40% over the next five years

          PEG Ratio = 30 / 40 = 0.75
    •     Here, stock price is lower than its earnings growth
    •     This means that market price is lower compared to anticipated earnings growth.
    •     This tells us that the company’s stock is undervalued.
    •     The stock is trading in line with the growth rate and the stock price has potential
          to increase in future.
Some thumb rules…
   PEG Ratio greater than I means:-
       The market’s expectation of growth is higher than analysts’ estimates
       The stock is currently overvalued due to heightened demand for shares (investor
        hype)



   PEG Ratio less than I means:-
       Markets are under-estimating the projected growth and the stock is thus
        undervalued (a possible contra pick)
       Analysts’ estimates of future earnings growth are currently set too high
Advantages of PEG Ratio…

   Investors prefer PEG because it puts a definite value in relation to the expected
    growth in earnings of a company.



   PEG ratio can offer a suggestion of whether a company’s high P/E ratio reflects an
    excessively high stock price or is a reflection of promising growth prospects for the
    company.
Disadvantages of PEG Ratio…

   Less appropriate for measuring companies without high growth. Large
    well-established companies, for instance, may offer dependable dividend
    income but little opportunity for growth.



   A company’s growth rate is an estimate and is subject to limitations of
    projecting future events i.e. in this case estimated growth rate is only an
    estimate based on past trends.

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Peg ratio

  • 1.
  • 2. PEG Ratio  The PEG Ratio or ‘Price Earnings to Growth’ Ratio determines a stock’s value while taking into account future earnings growth.  Like the P/E Ratio, the PEG Ratio is used to get a better understanding of whether or not a company’s stock is overpriced, under priced or just right (fairly priced).
  • 3. The PEG Ratio uses the P/E Ratio of a company and compares it with that company’s annual growth rate.  If a company’s stock is fairly priced, then its P/E Ratio should equal its annual growth rate.
  • 4. PEG is calculated as… PEG Ratio PEG Ratio = ------------------------------------------------ Expected Earnings Growth (%)  The P/E Ratio is the ‘Price to Earnings’ Ratio’ (discussed last week)  The expected earnings growth will be in percentage form and is available from a company’s annual report.
  • 5. A PEG ratio of 1 suggests equilibrium between market value of stock and anticipated earnings  It means that the stock is fairly priced and current market price (numerator) justifies the anticipated growth rate (denominator)
  • 6. For example…  A company stock has a P/E of 20. Analysts feel that the stock has an anticipated earnings growth of 12% over the next five years. PEG Ratio = 20 / 12 = 1.66 • Here, stock price is higher than its earnings growth. • This means that market price is higher compared to anticipated earnings growth. • This can be attributed to ‘hype’ or undue enthusiasm in the market for that stock.
  • 7. To keep up with the market hype, the company will now have to grow faster. • This means that if the company doesn’t grow at a faster rate, the stock price will decrease (stock price correction will occur as hype will die down).
  • 8. Another example…  Another company stock has a P/E of 30. Analysts feel that the stock has an anticipated earnings growth of 40% over the next five years PEG Ratio = 30 / 40 = 0.75 • Here, stock price is lower than its earnings growth • This means that market price is lower compared to anticipated earnings growth. • This tells us that the company’s stock is undervalued. • The stock is trading in line with the growth rate and the stock price has potential to increase in future.
  • 9. Some thumb rules…  PEG Ratio greater than I means:-  The market’s expectation of growth is higher than analysts’ estimates  The stock is currently overvalued due to heightened demand for shares (investor hype)  PEG Ratio less than I means:-  Markets are under-estimating the projected growth and the stock is thus undervalued (a possible contra pick)  Analysts’ estimates of future earnings growth are currently set too high
  • 10. Advantages of PEG Ratio…  Investors prefer PEG because it puts a definite value in relation to the expected growth in earnings of a company.  PEG ratio can offer a suggestion of whether a company’s high P/E ratio reflects an excessively high stock price or is a reflection of promising growth prospects for the company.
  • 11. Disadvantages of PEG Ratio…  Less appropriate for measuring companies without high growth. Large well-established companies, for instance, may offer dependable dividend income but little opportunity for growth.  A company’s growth rate is an estimate and is subject to limitations of projecting future events i.e. in this case estimated growth rate is only an estimate based on past trends.