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SEB Enskilda Capital Goods seminar
Jan Ytterberg, CFO




 1
Agenda


    Scania first six months 2008

    Vision for profitable growth




2
First half of 2008 – highlights


    Profitable growth resulting in
    all time high earnings
      Operating margin 16.6%
    –
    – Net margin 12.1%
    – Record returns




3
Profitable growth
                   Vehicles & Services
                       SEK m.                                                        Percent
                       100,000                                                           55
    Net sales growth                                   EBIT margin      Revenue
                                           ROCE
                                                                                           50
                        90,000
    15%                                                                                    45
                        80,000
                                                                                           40
    EBIT growth         70,000
                                                                                           35
                        60,000
    30%                                                                                    30
                        50,000
                                                                                           25
    ROCE 50.3%          40,000
                                                                                           20
                        30,000
                                                                                           15
                        20,000                                                             10
                        10,000                                                             5

                            0                                                              0
                                 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*
                                                                                    Q2

                                 * Rolling 12 months



4
Volume driven growth
            Credit portfolio, Financial Services
                       SEK m.
                        45,000
    Portfolio +5.4%,
    local currencies    40,000

                        35,000

    Competitive         30,000

    market              25,000

                        20,000
    Operating
                        15,000
    income +12%
                        10,000

    Well balanced        5,000

    portfolio                0
                                 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008




5
Building shareholder value

                         SEK                                                      Percent
                          14                                                          50
    Net income +36%                                        EPS (SEK)
                                                ROE
                                                                                        45
                          12
    Earnings per share                                                                  40
                          10
    SEK 12.52 rolling                                                                   35

    12 month                                                                            30
                           8
                                                                                        25
                           6
    Return on equity                                                                    20

    43.5% (29.2)                                                                        15
                           4
                                                                                        10
                           2
                                                                                        5

                           0                                                            0
                               1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008




6
Market outlook
                                                – heavy trucks*


     Markets outside EU
     growing in importance
      – Europe – softer demand
           due to economic
           uncertainty
      – Structural demand in
           CIS countries and Russia
      – Latin America – strong
           growth in Brazil
      – Asia – strong demand
           due to infrastructure
           investments
* Outlook from presentation of Q2 report 2008



 7
Improved flexibility
    Global
    product
    range

    Product mix
    drives
    profitability




                                  Production units
                                  Sales & Service units



8
Flexible production cost structure
                     2007



               Labour
                 cost

             Other

                 Sourced material
                 and components
                 (70%)




9
Efficiency improvement
     Productivity
                                                Vehicles per employee
     – Ratio close to 7*
          vehicles per                                                              6.6
                                         Number of vehicles
          employee                        Production employees
                                                                           5        78,300


     Structure
                                                            4
     – Restructuring                                                  55,600

       proceeding as                      3             46,400

       planned
                                      31,800

     – SEK 300 m. in
       annual savings                                        12,800                          11,800
                                               12,000                      11,300
       with full effect
       from 2009                         1990              1995          2000         2007
* Rolling 12 month figures



10
Selling and administrative expenses
        SEK m.                                                                  Percent
      7,000                                                                         12.0


      6,000                                                                         10.0

      5,000
                                                                                    8.0

      4,000
                                                                                    6.0
      3,000

                                                                                    4.0
      2,000

                                                                                    2.0
      1,000


         0                                                                          0.0
                 2002          2003        2004   2005       2006        2007


                        Selling expenses             Administrative expenses
                        Selling expenses in %        Administrative expenses in %



11
Volume development

       Units
     160,000

     140,000


     120,000

     100,000
                                                                                                -20%
      80,000
                                                                                -30%
                                                                -35%
      60,000

      40,000

      20,000


          0
               1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010   2015




12
Vision for growth

       Units
     160,000

                                                                                                                        Vision
     140,000


     120,000

     100,000
                                                                                                               Target

      80,000

      60,000

      40,000

      20,000


          0
               1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010   2015




13
The global business model
             Focus on customers’ productivity



 Uptime

 Variable cost/
 tonne-km
                                                   Premium
 – R&M

                                                   price
 – Finance

 Fuel efficiency


Residual value

                   Valid for all markets and segments


 14
Extended modular system




15
One Ahead of competition and legislation
    step ahead of competition and legislation

       Comprehensive
       enginge range
       – EGR and SCR

       All emission
       standards
       – EEV, Euro 5, Euro 4,
         Euro 3

       Fuel efficiency
       – Driver training,
         engineering,
         biofuels, hybrids

  16
The road to 150,000 vehicles

                       70,000   120,000




                           Europe
     30,000   30,000




                                    Delivery
                                    centres
         Latin
        America


17
Rolling fleet – 1 million in 2015

     Units                                                                                                      SEK m.
 1,000,000                                                                                                       30,000


                                                                                                                 25,000
     800,000

                                              Service revenue
                                                                                                                 20,000
     600,000

                                                                                                                 15,000
     400,000
                                                                                                                 10,000

     200,000
                                                                                                                  5,000



               1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015




18
Conclusion


     Strong profitability

     Limited investments to reach 150,000

     Premium brand




19
20

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Scania%20Jan%20Ytterberg%2C%20CFO_tcm10-214730

  • 1. SEB Enskilda Capital Goods seminar Jan Ytterberg, CFO 1
  • 2. Agenda Scania first six months 2008 Vision for profitable growth 2
  • 3. First half of 2008 – highlights Profitable growth resulting in all time high earnings Operating margin 16.6% – – Net margin 12.1% – Record returns 3
  • 4. Profitable growth Vehicles & Services SEK m. Percent 100,000 55 Net sales growth EBIT margin Revenue ROCE 50 90,000 15% 45 80,000 40 EBIT growth 70,000 35 60,000 30% 30 50,000 25 ROCE 50.3% 40,000 20 30,000 15 20,000 10 10,000 5 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008* Q2 * Rolling 12 months 4
  • 5. Volume driven growth Credit portfolio, Financial Services SEK m. 45,000 Portfolio +5.4%, local currencies 40,000 35,000 Competitive 30,000 market 25,000 20,000 Operating 15,000 income +12% 10,000 Well balanced 5,000 portfolio 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 5
  • 6. Building shareholder value SEK Percent 14 50 Net income +36% EPS (SEK) ROE 45 12 Earnings per share 40 10 SEK 12.52 rolling 35 12 month 30 8 25 6 Return on equity 20 43.5% (29.2) 15 4 10 2 5 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 6
  • 7. Market outlook – heavy trucks* Markets outside EU growing in importance – Europe – softer demand due to economic uncertainty – Structural demand in CIS countries and Russia – Latin America – strong growth in Brazil – Asia – strong demand due to infrastructure investments * Outlook from presentation of Q2 report 2008 7
  • 8. Improved flexibility Global product range Product mix drives profitability Production units Sales & Service units 8
  • 9. Flexible production cost structure 2007 Labour cost Other Sourced material and components (70%) 9
  • 10. Efficiency improvement Productivity Vehicles per employee – Ratio close to 7* vehicles per 6.6 Number of vehicles employee Production employees 5 78,300 Structure 4 – Restructuring 55,600 proceeding as 3 46,400 planned 31,800 – SEK 300 m. in annual savings 12,800 11,800 12,000 11,300 with full effect from 2009 1990 1995 2000 2007 * Rolling 12 month figures 10
  • 11. Selling and administrative expenses SEK m. Percent 7,000 12.0 6,000 10.0 5,000 8.0 4,000 6.0 3,000 4.0 2,000 2.0 1,000 0 0.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Selling expenses Administrative expenses Selling expenses in % Administrative expenses in % 11
  • 12. Volume development Units 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 -20% 80,000 -30% -35% 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2015 12
  • 13. Vision for growth Units 160,000 Vision 140,000 120,000 100,000 Target 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2015 13
  • 14. The global business model Focus on customers’ productivity Uptime Variable cost/ tonne-km Premium – R&M price – Finance Fuel efficiency Residual value Valid for all markets and segments 14
  • 16. One Ahead of competition and legislation step ahead of competition and legislation Comprehensive enginge range – EGR and SCR All emission standards – EEV, Euro 5, Euro 4, Euro 3 Fuel efficiency – Driver training, engineering, biofuels, hybrids 16
  • 17. The road to 150,000 vehicles 70,000 120,000 Europe 30,000 30,000 Delivery centres Latin America 17
  • 18. Rolling fleet – 1 million in 2015 Units SEK m. 1,000,000 30,000 25,000 800,000 Service revenue 20,000 600,000 15,000 400,000 10,000 200,000 5,000 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 18
  • 19. Conclusion Strong profitability Limited investments to reach 150,000 Premium brand 19
  • 20. 20