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LehmanBrothers2006Speech
1. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Lehman Brothers
Industrial Select Conference
February 14, 2006
Cynthia S. Guenther
Vice President, Investor Relations
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain information provided in this presentation may constitute “forward-looking”
statements. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results
and trends may differ materially from historical or expected results depending on a variety
of factors, including but not limited to fluctuations in cost and availability of raw materials;
ability of the Company to achieve and sustain targeted cost reductions; foreign exchange
rates; worldwide and local economic conditions; selling prices; impact of legal proceedings,
including the U.S. Department of Justice (“DOJ”) criminal investigation, as well as the
European Commission (“EC”), Canadian Department of Justice, and Australian
Competition and Consumer Commission investigations, into industry competitive practices
and any related proceedings or lawsuits pertaining to these investigations or to the subject
matter thereof (including purported class actions seeking treble damages for alleged
unlawful competitive practices, and purported class actions related to alleged disclosure
violations pertaining to alleged unlawful competitive practices, which were filed after the
announcement of the DOJ investigation, as well as a likely fine by the EC in respect of
certain employee misconduct in Europe); impact of potential violations of the U.S. Foreign
Corrupt Practices Act based on issues in China; impact of epidemiological events on the
economy and the Company’s customers and suppliers; successful integration of acquired
companies; financial condition and inventory strategies of customers; development,
introduction and acceptance of new products; fluctuations in demand affecting sales to
customers; and other matters referred to in the Company’s SEC filings. The Company
assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made in this presentation as a
result of new information or future events or developments.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This presentation contains certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC rules. As
required by these rules, we have provided a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the
most directly comparable GAAP measures, included in the Appendix section of this
presentation.
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2. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Applying balanced approach to top-line growth and
margin expansion to drive sustained value creation
Pro-forma earnings per share, fully diluted*
$3.45 - $3.80
$3.44
$3.04
$2.82
$2.70
$2.46
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Guidance
* Excludes restructuring charges, gains on sale of assets, and other items – see Appendix for detail.
Discussion Outline
• Who are we?
• How do we grow?
• What’s our competitive advantage?
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3. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Pressure-sensitive (“self-stick”) technology is used
everywhere… on objects both large and small
We serve a diverse set of end markets
Transportation
Health Care
Food/Beverage/
Personal Care
Apparel
Industrial/
Durable
Applications
Logistics/
Office
Shipping
Products
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4. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Three Operating Segments…and “Other Specialty”
2005 Net Sales (cont. ops) = $5.5 billion
Other Specialty
Converting
Businesses
Retail
Information
Services
Pressure-
sensitive
Materials
Office and
Consumer
Products
Pressure-sensitive Materials
Organic Sales Growth(1) Operating Margin(2)
2005 2004 2005 2004
2005 Sales 2003
$3.1 B +10.6% 9.1% 8.6%
+ 2.4% 7.6%
Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures
(1)
Excluding restructuring charges
(2)
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6. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Other Specialty Converting Businesses
Organic Sales Growth(1) Operating Margin(2)
2005 2004 2005 2004
2005 Sales 2003
$0.5 B + 9.5% 2.9% 6.8%
+ 3.8% 9.8%
Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures
(1)
Excluding restructuring charges
(2)
We are market leaders in all of our key businesses
Global
Business Market/Categories Market Position
Roll Materials Paper/film roll materials #1 (3x larger than next
for labels largest competitor)
(Fasson)
• Printable media
Avery Office #1
Products (labels, dividers)
• Binders, sheet #1 or “close #2”
protectors (North
America only)
• Other products Varies by product, region
Retail Tickets and tags for One of two global players
Information retail apparel
Services
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7. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
More than half of all sales originate outside the US…
> 20% from the fastest growing emerging markets
2005 Revenues
by Region
Latin (before intergeographic
Other*
America eliminations)
Asia
Eastern
U.S.
Europe
Western
Europe
* “Other” includes Canada, Australia, and South Africa
We’ve increased our participation in the rapidly
growing emerging markets…
Emerging Markets Share of Total Sales
2000 2005 2010
Contribution
to Overall 0.2 pts. 2.4 pts. 3.5 pts.
Growth:
Emerging Markets
Local Management Leveraging Global Capabilities
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8. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
… and these markets are contributing
significantly to our profit growth and returns
Operating Profit from Emerging Markets*
($ millions)
> 200
~ 115
~ 40
2000 2005 2010
* Figures are approximate. Estimates do not include allocation of expenses incurred in North America
and Europe for direct support of businesses in emerging markets (particularly significant for RIS).
Largest single growth platform today
Organic sales growth has been more volatile of late
Organic Sales Growth*
7.4%
4.9%
4.7%
2.5%
1.2%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
-1.8%
* Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures
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9. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
In light of soft sales growth and inflationary pressures,
we’ve heightened our focus on margin improvement
quot;Corequot; Operating Margin*
10.5
10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
Q1- Q2- Q3- Q4- Q1- Q2- Q3- Q4- Q1- Q2- Q3- Q4-
03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05
* Excludes restructuring charges and RFID spending
Actions That Drove 2005 Margin Improvement
• Disciplined pricing
– Optimizing price / volume / mix
– Increased focus and accountability
• Ongoing productivity improvement actions, e.g.:
– Roll Materials: full year benefit of Jac integration
savings; leveraging investments in wider, faster coaters
– Office Products: Reconfiguration of North American
supply chain (including plant closure)
– RIS: Transition of manufacturing from Hong Kong to
Mainland China
• Tight control of operating expenses
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10. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
New Productivity Initiatives Announced
• Targeting $80 to $90 million of annual savings
from restructuring actions currently underway
– 60%-70% of savings expected to be realized in 2006… offset by
transitional costs in the range of $15 to $20 mil.
– Portion of net savings reinvested for future growth and productivity
improvement
– One-time cost (severance, asset write-offs): $38 to $43 mil.
(largely recognized in Q4-05)
• Divesting several non-strategic businesses
– Annual sales of approx. $90 mil. (break-even operating profit)
– One-time cost (primarily asset write-offs): $89 mil.
(recognized in Q4-05)
• Planning continues for additional restructuring
actions
How do we grow?
What’s our competitive advantage?
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11. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Pressure-Sensitive Materials
Market leader
Global scale advantages…
technology development, raw
material sourcing, global
customers
Regional scale advantages…
higher service (Exact, Next
Day Delivery), lower cost asset
configuration and utilization
Opportunities Challenges
Emerging markets Sustaining price increases
necessary to offset raw
Beverage market conversion
material inflation
Durables share gain
Optimizing volume / price / mix
RFID adoption driving carton equation
labeling penetration
Packaging trends favor transition to pressure-
sensitive labeling technology
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12. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
New applications fuel growth
Pressure-sensitive will continue to grow at the
expense of alternative decorating technologies…
Pressure Sensitive Other Labeling Technologies
10 0 %
90%
80%
70 %
60%
50 %
40%
75
73 73
70
56
30%
20%
35
29
19
10 %
5
0%
Food Wine Beer Other Durables Personal Household Pharma Variable Info
Beverage Care
North America
Pressure Sensitive Other Labeling Technologies
10 0 %
90%
80%
70 %
60%
50 %
40%
74 74
69
60
30%
48
46
20%
35
10 %
10 6
0%
Food Wine Beer Other Durables Personal Household Pharma Variable Info
Beverage Care
World
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13. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
… and emerging markets will continue to expand
PS Consumption/Capita relative to GDP/Capita
14.0 United Kingdom
Netherlands
12.0
New Zealand
Australia United States
10.0
PS/Capita (m2)
Germany/France/Sweden
Spain
Japan/Finland/Italy
Taiwan
8.0
Singapore
6.0 Czech Republic
Canada
Malaysia/South Africa/
South Korea
Poland/Chile
4.0
Hungary
Indonesia/
Greece
Vietnam/
Phillipines
Turkey/
2.0 Venezula Argentina
Thailand/Russia/Brazil/Mexico
India
China/Columbia
0.0
$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000
GDP/Capita
Sources: 1) GDP / Capita – CIA – The World Factbook 2) Population – Population Reference Bureau 3) Market Size Estimates – Avery Dennison
Office and Consumer Products
Branded Printable Media –
innovator of highly
differentiated, proprietary
products
Manage for Growth
Filing and Other – low cost
provider
Manage for Margin
Opportunities Challenges
New sources of growth for Key growth drivers have
Branded Media slowed
Expansion of under-penetrated Customer concentration
categories
Private label growth eroding
Cost reduction for Filing share
business
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14. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Retail Information Services
One of two global providers
Complex supply chain
Labels and tags low cost/high
value to retail/apparel
companies
Customers demand:
• Global quality, data
integrity, color consistency
• Fast, reliable sampling and
order fulfillment
Opportunities Challenges
Industry consolidation driving
Increased vendor power
share gain
Retailer consolidation
Elimination of quotas
benefiting China / India
Achieving scale in Latin
Leveraging full portfolio of America and Europe
products and services
RFID Is Avery Dennison’s #1 growth opportunity
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15. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
The Opportunity
≈ 5 years
• Retail carton labels (announced mandates alone):
Wal*Mart + Target + Albertsons + Tesco + Best Buy +
Metro ≈ 10 billion labels/yr ≈ $1.0B to 1.5B
• DoD (announced mandate) ≈ $1B
• Pharma (FDA mandate expected): $500MM
5-10 years
• Retail apparel/footwear >$20 per item: $1B
• Automotive: $200M
• Many others…
We are ideally positioned to capture a meaningful
share of this large, new market
Chip Design Chip Inlay Assembly RFID User
Assembly Printers/ (Factory / DC)
Applicators RFID
Silicon Antenna Label Service Bureau
Manufacturing Manufacturing Converting (worldwide)
Avery Dennison
RFID Division
Avery Dennison - Retail
Information Services
Chip Converting/
Partners Printing Partners
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16. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
We’re developing multiple sources of competitive
advantage that leverage our strengths
• Outstanding product
performance and testing
capabilities
• Good linkages to all points
in value chain
• Superior roll-to-roll
manufacturing capability
• Superior commercial
approach
• Corporate credibility /
financial strength
2005 Milestones
• Began volume production on industry’s first and
only high-speed inlay manufacturing process
• Joined Intermec’s Rapid Start Licensing program
to address IP barrier for customers
• Significantly lowered price of world’s first high-
volume Gen 2 tag to enable widespread adoption
• Released white paper to drive industry progress in
tag testing
• Chosen as inlay supplier by major end users
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17. Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Key unknowns continue to affect timing
• Technological hurdles, including
commercialization of Gen 2 chips
• Complex intellectual property environment
• Business case attractiveness varies widely by
application / user
• Infrastructure costs still high
• Real implementation experience / expertise not
widely available
“When”… Not “If”!
Shareholder Value Focus
• “Value-based management” at AVY… all
management processes aligned with value
creation
• Management incentives tied to growth… in top-
line sales, earnings, EVA… and share price (stock
options)
• Resuming share repurchase program
– Actively repurchased shares from 1991 – 2000
– Modest activity following large acquisitions
– Repurchased ~ 700,000 shares in Q4-05
• Long history of dividend increase
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