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CARL CASALE
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT



MORGAN STANLEY GLOBAL BASIC
MATERIALS CONFERENCE
FEBRUARY 21, 2008



                              1
Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained in this presentation are quot;forward-looking statements,quot; such as statements
concerning the company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance,
regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are
based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are
based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may
differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could
cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued competition in seeds, traits and
agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including those related to
intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received,
and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and
development activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits, including proceedings related to Solutia Inc.;
developments related to foreign currencies and economies; successful operation of recent acquisitions;
fluctuations in commodity prices; compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy
of the company's estimates related to distribution inventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short-
term financing needs and to obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions,
natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks
and factors detailed in the company's most recent periodic report to the SEC. Undue reliance should not
be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation.
The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or
any of the factors that may affect actual results.

Trademarks
Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this
presentation. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.


© 2008 Monsanto Company
Non-GAAP Financial Information

This presentation may use the non-GAAP financial measures of “free cash flow,” earnings per share (EPS) on an
ongoing basis and Return on Capital (ROC). We define free cash flow as the total of cash flows from operating
activities and investing activities. A non-GAAP EPS financial measure, which we refer to as ongoing EPS, excludes
certain after-tax items that we do not consider part of ongoing operations, which are identified in the reconciliation.
ROC means net income (without the effect of certain items) exclusive of after-tax interest expenses, divided by the
average of the beginning year and ending year net capital employed, as defined in the reconciliation. Our
presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our operating
performance, not replace net income (loss), cash flows, financial position, or comprehensive income (loss), as
determined in accordance with GAAP. Furthermore, these non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to
similar measures used by other companies. The non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation are
reconciled to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.




FISCAL YEAR:
References to year, or to fiscal year, are on a fiscal year basis and refer to the 12-month period ending August 31.
OVERVIEW

Market Forces Are Changing Supply-Demand Patterns
Globally, Creating a New Dynamic Across Agriculture

    EMERGENCE OF DEMAND-DRIVEN AGRICULTURE:                          STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
               NEW DEMAND AND PRODUCTION TRENDS                  The New Demand Environment
                                                                 FACTORS:
                                             Growing wealth
    Expanding ethanol                                            ► INCREASING PROTEIN
                                             and population in
            and export
                                                                   DEMAND
                                             Asia creates new
   demands favor U.S.
                                             demand for
      as low-cost corn                                             Wealth drives meat
                                             imported grain
             producer
                                                                   consumption – changing
                                                                   feed demand
                                                                 ► ASCENSION OF CHINA
                                                                   China’s growth is reaching
                                                                   limits of domestic
                                                                   production, driving huge
                                                                   changes in export
                                                                   environment
                         Brazil exploits land
        Argentina                                                ► ESTABLISHMENT OF
                         availability advantage
        leverages        to become                                 BIOFUELS
       geographic        commodity soy
      proximity to                                                 Assuming only base-case
                         producer to meet
    supply corn to       demand from China                         adoption of biofuels, more
    Latin America
                                                                   corn and soy needed in next
                                                                   decade


                                                                                             4
OVERVIEW

      Global Trends Set Stage for Increasing Protein Demand Over
      the Next Decade

                                                                 INCREASING PROTEIN DEMAND:                                                            STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                                                  RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GDP AND MEAT CONSUMPTION
                                                                                                                                                    Increasing Protein Demand
                                      160
                                                                                                                                                   ► Increasing demand for meat
2005 Meat Consumption (Kg/Capita) 2




                                                                                                                                  Luxemborg
                                      140                                                                                                            creates disproportionate
                                                                                                                                                     pull on grain
                                      120
                                                                                     Israel
                                                                                                                                                   ESTIMATED CONVERSION FACTORS
                                      100                        Chile                       Australia          US
                                                                                                                                                   1LB BEEF:    7-8 LBS GRAIN
                                                      Brazil                            Canada                                      2
                                                                         Hungary                                                  R = 0.6687
                                                                  Argentina      Kuwait  UK
                                                                                                                                                   1LB PORK:    2-3 LBS GRAIN
                                       80
                                                                                          Italy       France
                                                                                                                                                   1LB CHICKEN: 1-2 LBS GRAIN
                                              China                                                               Norway
                                                                                                         Switzerland
                                       60                      Mexico
                                                                           Saudi Arabia
                                            Vietnam
                                       40
                                                                                                  Japan
                                                                  Russia           South Korea

                                       20                Turkey
                                                     Sri Lanka
                                                  India
                                       0
                                        $-                $10,000          $20,000        $30,000         $40,000    $50,000   $60,000   $70,000
                                                                                   2005 GDP PPP ($/Capita)1
                                                      First $10K in Per-Capita GDP:
                                                      •     Includes emerging economic powers like China and Brazil
                                                      •     Has largest meat-consumption spread (82 kg/person) of any $10K increment – indicating
                                                            opportunity for ascension with small increases in actual income

1. World Development Indicators Online, The World Bank Group,
2. FAOSTAT | © FAO Statistics Division 2007 | 30 October 2007
                                                                                                                                                                                  5
OVERVIEW

China Is Changing the Global Grain Landscape, Emerging as
a Major Soybean Importer

                                                                                                         STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                               CHINA’S GROWING SOYBEAN DEMAND:
                                                                                                          Emergence of China
                                       DOMESTIC PRODUCTION AND IMPORTS1

                                                                                                     China’s 2008 soybean imports
                      60,000
                                                                                                     would be equivalent to:
MILLION METRIC TONS




                                                                                                                        40%
                      50,000
                                                                                                                       Of annual U.S.
                      40,000                                                                                           soy
                                                                                                                       production
                      30,000
                                                                                                                  OR
                      20,000
                                                                                                                 60%
                                                                                                                 Of annual Brazil
                      10,000
                                                                                                                 soy production
                          0
                                                                                                                 OR
                                2000    2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007 2008F 2009F


                                                                                                               75%
                                                      Production       Imports

                                                                                                               Of annual
                                                                                                               Argentina soy
                                                        In 2008, forecasts are for
                                                                                                               production
                                                      China to import >33MMT of
                                                                       soybeans
1. ProExporter
                                                                                                                                        6
OVERVIEW

Even at Base Case, Biofuels Still Create New Demand Pull
on Corn and Soybean Production

                          STATE OF AGRICULTURE:                                                                    STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                              Corn for Ethanol                                                                     Soybeans for Biodiesel
                                                                                                        U.S. SOYBEANS USED FOR BIODIESEL:
          U.S. CORN CROP USED FOR ETHANOL:
                                                                                                                      OUTLOOK TO 20122
              PERCENT OF TOTAL CROP                    PRODUCTION1
                                                                                                        Soybean Acres: With RFS and No Biofuel Tax
  40%
                                                                                                                    Credit Extension
  35%
                                                                                                       12
  30%
                                                                                                       10
  25%




                                                                                       SOYBEAN ACRES
                                                                                                        8
  20%
                                                                                                        6
  15%
                                                                                                                              >100% increase in
                                                                                                        4
  10%                                                                                                                          acres devoted to
                                                                                                                                   biodiesel
                                                                                                        2
    5%
                                                                                                        0
    0%
                                                                                                            2006   2007   2008F 2009F 2010F 2011F 2012F
          2000        2002        2004       2006       2008F 2010F 2012F

                                                                                       ► The Food and Agricultural Policy Research
  ► Recent Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS)
                                                                                         Institute (FAPRI) looked at five cases –
    increases renewable fuels requirement
                                                                                         applying RFS and tax credits – and
    30%+ from 2008 to 2012
                                                                                         forecast as many as 11M acres of U.S. soy
  ► By 2008, >30% of U.S. corn will be used for
                                                                                         needed for biofuels by 2012, or >15% of
    ethanol production
                                                                                         total
1. ProExporter; 2. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Estimates
                                                                                                                                                          7
OVERVIEW

  Feed and Fuel Demand Is Increasing; Only Time-Effective
  Solution Is Increasing Productivity Per Acre

                                                                                                      STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                                  STRETCHING SUPPLY – ENDING STOCKS:                                 Monsanto’s Advantages
                                       WORLD SUPPLY AND USE FOR TOTAL GRAINS1
                                                                                                  Demand Requires Yield
                            600                                                             30%              MARKET

                                                                                                            CUSTOMER
METRIC TONS (IN MILLIONS)




                                                                                            25%
                            500

                                                                                                     Farmers Buy Yield
                            400                                                             20%

                                                                                                  Monsanto is a technology
                                                                                            15%
                            300
                                                                                                  company in an industry
                                                                                                  historically starved for
                            200                                                             10%
                                                                                                  breakthrough innovation
                                                                                            5%
                            100
                                                                                                  Innovation:
                                                                                                  ► Creates new value through
                              0                                                             0%
                                                                                                     breakthrough products
                                  2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07

                                                                                                  ► Creates new markets that
                                                                  ENDING STOCKS AS A
                                     ENDING STOCKS
                                                                                                     didn’t exist before our
                                                                  PERCENT OF TOTAL USE
                                                                                                     products
                                                       Annual grain carryover is
                                                                                                  Monsanto grows because of
                                                  declining – even at a period of
                                                                                                  what we do, not what the
                                                       historic production levels
                                                                                                  commodity cycles do
      1. USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

                                                                                                                                8
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

At Farm Level, Production Decisions Reflect Cost-Benefit
Analysis

                               BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS:                                                                               STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
           ILLINOIS CORN FARMER’S TRADE-OFF CORN-TO-SOYBEANS1
                                                                                                                           Farmer Production Decisions
                                                                                                                         ► Break-even analysis for
                                                                                                                           farmer in Central Illinois
                                                                                                                           indicates the soy price
                                                                                                                           needed to induce switch is
                 CURRENT SOYBEAN PRICE/BU
                                                                                                                           2.5X current corn price
                                                                                                                         ► Even at ~$13 soybeans,
                                                                                                                           returns still favor devoting
                                                                                                                           acres to corn
                                                                                                                         BREAK-EVEN RATIOS

                                                                                                                         CORN-TO-SOY:                         1:2.5




                                                                                      CURRENT
                                                                                  CORN PRICE/BU




1. Analysis based on data published by University of Illinois, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics (http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/manage/crop_budgets.pdf)

                                                                                                                                                                         9
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

Monsanto Has Portfolio Balance That Carries Between Crops
When Acres Switch Year-to-Year

                  PORTFOLIO BALANCE:                            STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
 INDEXED GROSS PROFIT FOR MONSANTO-BRANDED CROP OFFERINGS
                                                                  Portfolio Balance
          1.2
                                                            ► In 2008, for every 1 million
                    1.00                                      acres that shift from
            1                      0.94
                                                              soybeans to either corn or
                                                              cotton, on average, there is
          0.8
                                                              an estimated $0.01 EPS gain
                                                            ► With brands in corn, cotton
          0.6
                                                    0.47      and soybeans, Monsanto is
                                                              positioned to meet demand
          0.4
                                                              regardless of crop planting
                                                              patterns in any given year
          0.2

            0
                   CORN          COTTON          SOYBEANS
2008 U.S. TRAIT
                    1.6             1.4             0.94
PENETRATION –
 ALL CHANNELS




                                                                                         10
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

 Monsanto’s Pricing Model Aimed at Value of Yield Created;
 Shared With Farmer

  EXAMPLE              : LOW-PRICE ENVIRONMENT                                               EXAMPLE         : HIGH-PRICE ENVIRONMENT
  Farmer Value Proposition On Triple Stack at                                                Farmer Value Proposition On Triple Stack at
  $2.50 Corn Prices                                                                          $4.50 Corn Prices
  VALUE CREATION                                                                             VALUE CREATION

                                                           15-20 bu/ac                                                            15-20 bu/ac
  Improved Yield1                                                                            Improved Yield1
                                                              $2.50/bu                                                             $4.50/bu
                       Commodity Price:                                                                      Commodity Price:
                                                               $37-$50                                                             $67-$90
                                          Value:                                                                         Value:

                                                                   $5                                                                 $5
  Indirect Benefits2                                                                         Indirect Benefits2
                                                               $42-$55                                                             $72-$95
          Incremental Value Created                                                                  Incremental Value Created
  PRICING APPROACH                                                                           PRICING APPROACH

                                                               $28-$36                                                             $28-$36
  Per-Acre Trait Cost3                                                                       Per-Acre Trait Cost3
                                                                 ($17)                                                               ($17)
  – Cost of Replacements4                                                                    – Cost of Replacements4
                                                               $16-$19                                                             $16-$19
            Incremental Farmer Cost                                                                    Incremental Farmer Cost



                                                    With $2.50 corn, about 50% of the incremental
                                                    yield value created is shared with the farmer;
                                                    With $4.50 corn, about two-thirds of that value
                                                                accrues to the farmer
1. Monsanto estimates, based on better insect and weed control over conventional options
2. Monsanto estimates, based on farmer surveys quantifying benefits such as convenience and peace of mind
3. Retail price range for YieldGard VT Triple in 2008, at normal seeding rates
4. Subtracts costs farmers would have spent had they not used a trait package

                                                                                                                                                11
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

 Performance Acceleration in DEKALB Powers Share Gains


                                    YIELD ADVANTAGE:                                   STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                           YIELD ADVANTAGE AND DEKALB SHARE TRENDS
                                                                                          Farmers Buy Yield
                     220                                                       Farmer’s consistently cite
                              DEKALB Yield Performance
DEKALB ADVANTAGE




                                                                               “yield” as largest driver for
 IN 110-RM (BU/AC)




                     210      Competitive Yield
                              Performance                                      purchasing DEKALB seed
                     200
                                                                               ► In 2007, >14,000
                     190
                                                                                 comparisons show
                     180                                                         Monsanto germplasm
                                                                                 outyields competitive best
                     170
                                                                                 by 8.4 bu/ac1
                     160
                                                                               ► In 110-RM, Monsanto’s lead
                           2001    2002    2003    2004   2005   2006   2007
                                                                                 remains a strong 12 bu/ac
                                                                                 advantage1
                              DEKALB Share                                     2008 GROWTH TARGETS
   DEKALB SHARE




                                                                                                   2-3 Share Points
                                                                                DEKALB

                                                                                         ASI       1-2 Share Points
                                                                               1. 2007 Monsanto and third party trials through November
                                                                               15, 2007. Weighted average, calculated to 15% moisture.
                                                                               DEKALB products are compared with national competitive
                                                                               products that contain similar crop protection traits.




                                                                                                                                     12
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

With Added Trait Protection, Strong Growth Opportunity
Remains For U.S. Corn

                                            U.S. CORN TRAIT OPPORTUNITY: 2005-2010F
                   220                                                                                                                  60




                                                                                                                                             U.S. TRIPLE-STACK ACRES
                   200
U.S. TRAIT ACRES




                                                                                                                                        50
                   180
  (IN MILLIONS)




                                                                                                                                                   (IN MILLIONS)
                   160
                                                                                                                                        40
                   140
                   120
                                                                                                                                        30
                   100
                    80
                                                                                                                                        20
                    60
                    40                                                                                                                  10
                    20
                                                                                                                                                                       CATALYSTS OF
                     0                                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                                              2010                                     TRIPLE STACK
                                                                        2007              2008F
                                 2005                2006               2007               2008                                2010F
                                                                                                                         Opportunity
                                                                                                                                                                         GROWTH
                                 Rootworm Control                                                                            45-55M
                                                                       20.8M              26-28M
                                                                                                                                                                       Channel Triple
                                Corn Borer Control                                                                                                                     Penetration
                                                                                                                             60-70M
                                                                       42.4M              40-42M
                           Glyphosate Tolerance                                                                                                                        DEKALB Supply
                                                                                                                                  80M
                                                                       57.9M              63-65M
                                                                                                                                                                       Guarantee
                                            Triple Stack               17.6M              25-27M                             45-55M
                                                                                                                                                                       Yield Insurance
           Trait acres reflect the total acres planted with each individual trait. In the case of stacked traits, each absolute
           acre will be reflected by two or more trait acres.
                                                                                                                                                                       Program
           Source: “Monsanto Biotechnology Trait Acreage” available through: monsanto.com/investors/

                                                                                                                                                                                         13
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

With Roundup Ready 2 Yield Soybeans, Yield Also Becomes
Focus of Next Wave of Commercial Products

                                          ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS:                        STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                                         SECOND-GENERATION WEED CONTROL FIELD RESULTS
                                                                                                A New Soybean Platform
                                                     Near-Isoline Comparisons:
                                               Roundup Ready 2 Yield vs. Roundup Ready
   % Yield Increase over Roundup Ready




                                         12%
                                                                                                     HIGHER-YIELDING

                                                                                                      DICAMBA-TOLERANT
                                                11%
                                         10%
                                                                                        9%               VISTIVE III

                                                                                                  ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD
                                                                   9%
                                         8%

                                                          7%                7%
                                         6%                                                  ► Roundup Ready 2 Yield
                                                                                               becomes the platform for
                                         4%                                                    soybean traits
                                                                                             ► Three soybean pipeline
                                         2%                                                    traits advanced to Phase 3
                                                                                               commercial development in
                                         0%                                                    recent R&D update
                                                                                   4 YEAR
                                                2004     2005     2006     2007   AVERAGE

   Roundup Ready 2 Yield soybeans yield 7 to 11 percent higher
   than Roundup Ready soybeans based on 73 Monsanto field
   trials from 2004-2007


                                                                                                                            14
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

Like Roundup RReady 2 Yield Soybeans, SmartStax Corn
Reset the Trait Platform for Corn

SmartStax Value: On-Farm                                                             Commercial Preparation: Field Data Generation
+ Increased Yield (per-acre and on-farm)                                                    YEAR 1         YEAR 2      YEAR 3 FORWARD
                                                                  YIELD
             YIELD COMPONENT                                                         2006                            2008+
                                                                 BENEFIT1
                                                                                     Focus:                          Focus: SmartStax
      PER-ACRE
                                                                                     Feasibility of full             bred into elite
           Improved consistency:                                     1-2%            trait integration               germplasm; yield
           Primary pests                                                                                             data generation
           Improved protection:                                      1-2%
           Secondary pests                                                           Field Testing: 2007
      ON-FARM                                                                                                   Testing focused on trait
                                                                                                                performance, such as
           Reduced refuge                                            3-6%
                                                                                                                consistency of control of
      Flexibility to move to one technology                                                                     targeted pests
+
      platform on-farm
                                                                                                                Initial 2007 Results
+ Durability
                                                                                                                • Indicates superior
      Flexibility to increase planting
                                                                                                                  rootworm consistency
+
      populations
                                                                                                                  versus triple-stack
+ Platform for future traits                                                                                      standard
                                                                                       TRIALS:        56
                                                                                                                • Good control of
+ Access to superior seed
                                                                                      STATES:         12          secondary pests
      Total SmartStax Value
=
1. Yield benefit reflects expected yield benefit above triple-stack standard, on a
   per-acre and whole-farm basis as noted. Ranges may overlap
                                                                                                                                            15
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

Entire Monsanto Pipeline Is Targeted Toward Meeting
Emerging Trends Over Next Decade
 BIOTECH TRAIT PIPELINE: JANUARY 2008 UPDATE
                                                                                                                                                     PHASE     PHASE   PHASE   PHASE
                                                   PHASE     PHASE      PHASE     PHASE
                                                                                                                                             D
                                           D                                                                                                           1         2      3       4
                                                     1         2          3         4
                                                                                                  AGRONOMIC TRAITS
YIELD AND STRESS PIPELINE

                                                                                                   ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS
DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN
FAMILY
                                                                                                                    YIELDGARD VT PRO
                                                                                                           2ND-GEN YIELDGARD CORN BORER
          DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN
                                                                                                                    SMARTSTAX CORN
  2ND-GEN DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN
                                                                                                       DICAMBA-TOLERANT SOYBEANS
NITROGEN-UTILIZATION CORN
FAMILY                                                                                                 INSECT-PROTECTED + ROUNDUP
                                                                                                            READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS
       NITROGEN-UTILIZATION CORN
                                                                                                                         BOLLGARD III
BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING
CORN FAMILY                                                                                          SOYBEAN NEMATODE-RESISTANCE
             HIGHER-YIELDING CORN                                                                                   SOYBEAN DISEASE

BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING                                                                                DICAMBA-TOLERANT COTTON
SOYBEAN FAMILY
                                                                                                             COTTON LYGUS CONTROL
        HIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEANS
                                                                                                             YIELDGARD ROOTWORM III
           2ND-GEN HIGHER-YIELDING
                        SOYBEANS

                                                                                                  VALUE-ADDED TRAITS
DROUGHT-TOLERANT COTTON
FAMILY
       DROUGHT-TOLERANT COTTON                                                                           EXTRAX™ CORN PROCESSING
                                                                                                      SYSTEM + MAVERA™ HIGH-VALUE
                                                                                                                 CORN WITH LYSINE2
BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING
CANOLA FAMILY
                                                                                                                  HIGH-OIL SOYBEANS
       HIGHER-YIELDING + ROUNDUP
           READY 2 YIELD CANOLA1                                                                          2ND-GEN HIGH-OIL SOYBEANS

                                                                                                        OMEGA-3 ENRICHED SOYBEANS

                                                                                                                 VISTIVE III SOYBEANS
                  High Impact Technologies (HIT) project
                                                                                                            HIGH-STEARATE SOYBEANS
                   Jan. 3, 2008 Advancements/Additions                                                                 (VIA BIOTECH)
The colored bar associated with each project indicates which phase that project is in. It is                            HIGH-OIL CORN
not intended to represent the relative status of the project within a particular stage.


1. For higher-yielding + Roundup Ready 2 Yield canola, only the value of the higher-yielding trait is incorporated into the Yield and Stress collaboration with BASF
2. Value of licensing the EXTRAX™ technology is shared with Cargill as a part of Renessen joint venture
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

Projects Like Nitrogen-Utilization Corn Are Positioned to Drive
Yield and Meet Demand In New Environment
            PER-ACRE NITROGEN COST                                                                                   STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
   FOR CORN PRODUCTION, IN ILLINOIS: 1990-20071                                                         Breakthroughs in Nitrogen-Use Research
                                                                                Under normal nitrogen conditions, lead Nitrogen-
 $80

                                                                                Utilization trait has demonstrated yield advantages
 $75

                                                                                in multiple backgrounds over multiple years
 $70

                                                                                                  12
                                                                                                         *



                                                                         Yield Increase (bu/Ac)
 $65

                                                                                                                                         **              ***
                                                                                                                                  *
                                                                                                  10
 $60                                                                                                8
                                                                                                    6
 $55
                                                                                                    4
                                                                                                    2
 $50

                                                                                                    0
 $45
                                                                                                   -2                                            TRIALS IN
                                                                                                                              TRIALS IN
         1990   1992   1994   1996    1998   2000   2002   2004   2006
                                                                                                                                                 MULTIPLE
                                                                                                                              MULTIPLE
                                                                                                                                                  HYBRID
                                                                                                                               HYBRID
Nitrogen accounts for approximately one-fifth of                                                                                               BACKGROUNDS
                                                                                                                            BACKGROUNDS
the operating costs for a corn producer2                                                                                                          (15 LOC)
                                                                                                                               (16 LOC)
Nitrogen-Utilization corn offers the potential to
bring the value of nitrogen into the seed:                                                              2005               2006                       2007
          Reducing farmers’ exposure to nitrogen
     •
                                                                                            *
          price volatility                                                                          Statistically significant @ p≤0.10
          Boosting yield
     •                                                                                        Bar color correlates with the specific hybrid background tested.
          Improving ease of use, flexibility                                                  Same bar color in different tests and different years indicates same
     •
                                                                                              hybrid was used.
                                                                                              All trials conducted under sufficient nitrogen application levels.



1. Illinois Farm Business Farm Management
2. USDA

                                                                                                                                                                     17
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

Strong Cash Position Creates Opportunity to Bolster Strategic
Position and Drive Differentiation Through Innovation
                        INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

 In an expanding agriculture environment, value is defined by scarcity or
 innovation – Monsanto’s strategy is targeted on innovation: discovering and
 developing technology that is game-changing

                  CATEGORY                          HISTORICAL EXAMPLES                 OUTLOOK
                                                   ► Delta and Pine Land       •   ASI acquisition phase
     Intensify The Space
                                                                                   largely finished
                                                   ► American Seeds, Inc.
     Strengthen position of the core                                           •   Continued opportunity
                                                     (ASI) Companies               for add-on international
     business, largely by building the
                                                   ► Agroeste (Brazil)             corn and vegetable
     germplasm footprint of seeds
                                                                                   companies

                                                   ► Seminis                   •   Continually looking for
     Expand The Space
                                                                                   areas where Monsanto
                                                                                   can apply core
     Expansion to adjacent spaces –
                                                                                   technology quickly or
     where core technology can be applied
                                                                                   benefit for advanced
     quickly and with transformational                                             research
     benefits
                                                   ► Yield and Stress R&D      •   Most highly
     Redefine The Space
                                                                                   transformational, but
                                                     Collaboration with
                                                                                   rarest to find appropriate
     Investments that rewrite the                    BASF
                                                                                   fit
     landscape, providing new avenues,             ► SmartStax agreement
     new technologies and creating new               with Dow
     markets
                                                   ► Global Seed Treatment
                                                     Alliances
                                                                                                                18
SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY

Global Seed Treatment Alliance Creates New, But
Complementary Opportunity In Creating and Protecting Yield
                                           GLOBAL SEED TREATMENT INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
     STATE OF AGRICULTURE:
                                                                                KEY INDUSTRY DATA1
   Seed Treatment Alliances
Monsanto entered a series of                         ROW
                                            Asia
separate alliances with                                                          •   Global seed treatment sector: >$1.5B
                                                                 U.S.
leading global seed-treatment                                                        annually, with $800-$900M in the crops
                                                                                     that are key to Monsanto’s business
suppliers to create a platform
                                                                                 •   Sector CAGR of 10-12%
to launch proprietary seed                                       Canada
                                                                                 •   Widespread use of biotech traits
treatments launched in                                        Latin                  increases the use and value of seed
                                          Europe
parallel with our future core-                               America                 treatments
crop technologies
BENEFITS:

► Complement to established                  PROJECTED COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE
  seed-and-trait strategy of               2008                          2009                  2010               2011
  creating and preserving
                                       Alliance
  yield
                                       platform
                                                                                  2009                2010
► Monsanto in-licenses                                                                                                   2011
                                      established                         Launch              Proprietary               Seed
  active ingredients and             and activated                    proprietary          seed treatment        treatments
  leverages its existing                                            coatings with             in place for      expand into
  formulation technology                                                                                          cotton, on
                                                                        Roundup                SmartStax
                                                                                              commercial       newest Delta
                                                                   Ready 2 Yield,
  capabilities for proprietary
                                                                         aimed at                  launch     and Pine Land
  treatments                                                         incremental                                    varieties
                                                                   yield boost in
► Strong margin opportunity
                                                                       soybeans
                                 1. Phillips McDougall and Monsanto Estimates

                                                                                                                                19
SUMMARY


     Given Growth Opportunities, Monsanto Has Potential to
     Double Gross Profit Over the Next Five Years

                                                                               2012 GROWTH RANGE
                                       MONSANTO GROSS PROFIT
                                          GROWTH TARGET                    Gross profit targeted to double
                                                                           from 2007 through 2012
                 $9,000
                                                                              STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK
                 $8,000
                                                                           All growth is organic, from
                 $7,000                                                    base business and pipeline
GROSS PROFIT
 (IN MILLIONS)




                                                                              U.S. Corn
                 $6,000
                                                                              International Corn
                 $5,000                                                       Soybeans
                                                                              Cotton
                 $4,000
                                                                              Seminis
                                                                              R&D Pipeline
                 $3,000

                                                                           Acquisitions to be pursued,
                 $2,000
                                                                           but are not included in this
                 $1,000                                                    growth projection
                    $0                                                     Earnings continue to translate
                                                                           into operating cash, and value
                                        2004            2007        2012
                          MILESTONES




                                                                           created for shareowners
                                                   FEBRUARY 2008           through combination of
                                             Monsanto increases            acquisitions, share
                                            FY2008 Ongoing EPS             repurchases and dividends
                                          guidance to $2.70-$2.80
                                                from $2.50-$2.60
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures



      Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow
                                                                 Fiscal Year
                                                                    2008
                                                                   Target
 $ Millions
 Net Cash Provided (Required) by Operations                     $1,950 - $2,050

 Net Cash Provided (Required) by Investing Activities               (1,050)

       Free Cash Flow                                           $900 - $1,000

 Net Cash Provided (Required) by Financing Activities                 N/A

 Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash and Cash Equivalents         N/A

 Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents                 N/A

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monsanto 02-21-08

  • 1. CARL CASALE EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT MORGAN STANLEY GLOBAL BASIC MATERIALS CONFERENCE FEBRUARY 21, 2008 1
  • 2. Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements contained in this presentation are quot;forward-looking statements,quot; such as statements concerning the company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued competition in seeds, traits and agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including those related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and development activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits, including proceedings related to Solutia Inc.; developments related to foreign currencies and economies; successful operation of recent acquisitions; fluctuations in commodity prices; compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to distribution inventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short- term financing needs and to obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's most recent periodic report to the SEC. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation. The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the factors that may affect actual results. Trademarks Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. © 2008 Monsanto Company
  • 3. Non-GAAP Financial Information This presentation may use the non-GAAP financial measures of “free cash flow,” earnings per share (EPS) on an ongoing basis and Return on Capital (ROC). We define free cash flow as the total of cash flows from operating activities and investing activities. A non-GAAP EPS financial measure, which we refer to as ongoing EPS, excludes certain after-tax items that we do not consider part of ongoing operations, which are identified in the reconciliation. ROC means net income (without the effect of certain items) exclusive of after-tax interest expenses, divided by the average of the beginning year and ending year net capital employed, as defined in the reconciliation. Our presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our operating performance, not replace net income (loss), cash flows, financial position, or comprehensive income (loss), as determined in accordance with GAAP. Furthermore, these non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. The non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation are reconciled to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. FISCAL YEAR: References to year, or to fiscal year, are on a fiscal year basis and refer to the 12-month period ending August 31.
  • 4. OVERVIEW Market Forces Are Changing Supply-Demand Patterns Globally, Creating a New Dynamic Across Agriculture EMERGENCE OF DEMAND-DRIVEN AGRICULTURE: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: NEW DEMAND AND PRODUCTION TRENDS The New Demand Environment FACTORS: Growing wealth Expanding ethanol ► INCREASING PROTEIN and population in and export DEMAND Asia creates new demands favor U.S. demand for as low-cost corn Wealth drives meat imported grain producer consumption – changing feed demand ► ASCENSION OF CHINA China’s growth is reaching limits of domestic production, driving huge changes in export environment Brazil exploits land Argentina ► ESTABLISHMENT OF availability advantage leverages to become BIOFUELS geographic commodity soy proximity to Assuming only base-case producer to meet supply corn to demand from China adoption of biofuels, more Latin America corn and soy needed in next decade 4
  • 5. OVERVIEW Global Trends Set Stage for Increasing Protein Demand Over the Next Decade INCREASING PROTEIN DEMAND: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GDP AND MEAT CONSUMPTION Increasing Protein Demand 160 ► Increasing demand for meat 2005 Meat Consumption (Kg/Capita) 2 Luxemborg 140 creates disproportionate pull on grain 120 Israel ESTIMATED CONVERSION FACTORS 100 Chile Australia US 1LB BEEF: 7-8 LBS GRAIN Brazil Canada 2 Hungary R = 0.6687 Argentina Kuwait UK 1LB PORK: 2-3 LBS GRAIN 80 Italy France 1LB CHICKEN: 1-2 LBS GRAIN China Norway Switzerland 60 Mexico Saudi Arabia Vietnam 40 Japan Russia South Korea 20 Turkey Sri Lanka India 0 $- $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 2005 GDP PPP ($/Capita)1 First $10K in Per-Capita GDP: • Includes emerging economic powers like China and Brazil • Has largest meat-consumption spread (82 kg/person) of any $10K increment – indicating opportunity for ascension with small increases in actual income 1. World Development Indicators Online, The World Bank Group, 2. FAOSTAT | © FAO Statistics Division 2007 | 30 October 2007 5
  • 6. OVERVIEW China Is Changing the Global Grain Landscape, Emerging as a Major Soybean Importer STATE OF AGRICULTURE: CHINA’S GROWING SOYBEAN DEMAND: Emergence of China DOMESTIC PRODUCTION AND IMPORTS1 China’s 2008 soybean imports 60,000 would be equivalent to: MILLION METRIC TONS 40% 50,000 Of annual U.S. 40,000 soy production 30,000 OR 20,000 60% Of annual Brazil 10,000 soy production 0 OR 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F 75% Production Imports Of annual Argentina soy In 2008, forecasts are for production China to import >33MMT of soybeans 1. ProExporter 6
  • 7. OVERVIEW Even at Base Case, Biofuels Still Create New Demand Pull on Corn and Soybean Production STATE OF AGRICULTURE: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: Corn for Ethanol Soybeans for Biodiesel U.S. SOYBEANS USED FOR BIODIESEL: U.S. CORN CROP USED FOR ETHANOL: OUTLOOK TO 20122 PERCENT OF TOTAL CROP PRODUCTION1 Soybean Acres: With RFS and No Biofuel Tax 40% Credit Extension 35% 12 30% 10 25% SOYBEAN ACRES 8 20% 6 15% >100% increase in 4 10% acres devoted to biodiesel 2 5% 0 0% 2006 2007 2008F 2009F 2010F 2011F 2012F 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008F 2010F 2012F ► The Food and Agricultural Policy Research ► Recent Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) Institute (FAPRI) looked at five cases – increases renewable fuels requirement applying RFS and tax credits – and 30%+ from 2008 to 2012 forecast as many as 11M acres of U.S. soy ► By 2008, >30% of U.S. corn will be used for needed for biofuels by 2012, or >15% of ethanol production total 1. ProExporter; 2. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Estimates 7
  • 8. OVERVIEW Feed and Fuel Demand Is Increasing; Only Time-Effective Solution Is Increasing Productivity Per Acre STATE OF AGRICULTURE: STRETCHING SUPPLY – ENDING STOCKS: Monsanto’s Advantages WORLD SUPPLY AND USE FOR TOTAL GRAINS1 Demand Requires Yield 600 30% MARKET CUSTOMER METRIC TONS (IN MILLIONS) 25% 500 Farmers Buy Yield 400 20% Monsanto is a technology 15% 300 company in an industry historically starved for 200 10% breakthrough innovation 5% 100 Innovation: ► Creates new value through 0 0% breakthrough products 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 ► Creates new markets that ENDING STOCKS AS A ENDING STOCKS didn’t exist before our PERCENT OF TOTAL USE products Annual grain carryover is Monsanto grows because of declining – even at a period of what we do, not what the historic production levels commodity cycles do 1. USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates 8
  • 9. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY At Farm Level, Production Decisions Reflect Cost-Benefit Analysis BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: ILLINOIS CORN FARMER’S TRADE-OFF CORN-TO-SOYBEANS1 Farmer Production Decisions ► Break-even analysis for farmer in Central Illinois indicates the soy price needed to induce switch is CURRENT SOYBEAN PRICE/BU 2.5X current corn price ► Even at ~$13 soybeans, returns still favor devoting acres to corn BREAK-EVEN RATIOS CORN-TO-SOY: 1:2.5 CURRENT CORN PRICE/BU 1. Analysis based on data published by University of Illinois, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics (http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/manage/crop_budgets.pdf) 9
  • 10. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Monsanto Has Portfolio Balance That Carries Between Crops When Acres Switch Year-to-Year PORTFOLIO BALANCE: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: INDEXED GROSS PROFIT FOR MONSANTO-BRANDED CROP OFFERINGS Portfolio Balance 1.2 ► In 2008, for every 1 million 1.00 acres that shift from 1 0.94 soybeans to either corn or cotton, on average, there is 0.8 an estimated $0.01 EPS gain ► With brands in corn, cotton 0.6 0.47 and soybeans, Monsanto is positioned to meet demand 0.4 regardless of crop planting patterns in any given year 0.2 0 CORN COTTON SOYBEANS 2008 U.S. TRAIT 1.6 1.4 0.94 PENETRATION – ALL CHANNELS 10
  • 11. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Monsanto’s Pricing Model Aimed at Value of Yield Created; Shared With Farmer EXAMPLE : LOW-PRICE ENVIRONMENT EXAMPLE : HIGH-PRICE ENVIRONMENT Farmer Value Proposition On Triple Stack at Farmer Value Proposition On Triple Stack at $2.50 Corn Prices $4.50 Corn Prices VALUE CREATION VALUE CREATION 15-20 bu/ac 15-20 bu/ac Improved Yield1 Improved Yield1 $2.50/bu $4.50/bu Commodity Price: Commodity Price: $37-$50 $67-$90 Value: Value: $5 $5 Indirect Benefits2 Indirect Benefits2 $42-$55 $72-$95 Incremental Value Created Incremental Value Created PRICING APPROACH PRICING APPROACH $28-$36 $28-$36 Per-Acre Trait Cost3 Per-Acre Trait Cost3 ($17) ($17) – Cost of Replacements4 – Cost of Replacements4 $16-$19 $16-$19 Incremental Farmer Cost Incremental Farmer Cost With $2.50 corn, about 50% of the incremental yield value created is shared with the farmer; With $4.50 corn, about two-thirds of that value accrues to the farmer 1. Monsanto estimates, based on better insect and weed control over conventional options 2. Monsanto estimates, based on farmer surveys quantifying benefits such as convenience and peace of mind 3. Retail price range for YieldGard VT Triple in 2008, at normal seeding rates 4. Subtracts costs farmers would have spent had they not used a trait package 11
  • 12. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Performance Acceleration in DEKALB Powers Share Gains YIELD ADVANTAGE: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: YIELD ADVANTAGE AND DEKALB SHARE TRENDS Farmers Buy Yield 220 Farmer’s consistently cite DEKALB Yield Performance DEKALB ADVANTAGE “yield” as largest driver for IN 110-RM (BU/AC) 210 Competitive Yield Performance purchasing DEKALB seed 200 ► In 2007, >14,000 190 comparisons show 180 Monsanto germplasm outyields competitive best 170 by 8.4 bu/ac1 160 ► In 110-RM, Monsanto’s lead 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 remains a strong 12 bu/ac advantage1 DEKALB Share 2008 GROWTH TARGETS DEKALB SHARE 2-3 Share Points DEKALB ASI 1-2 Share Points 1. 2007 Monsanto and third party trials through November 15, 2007. Weighted average, calculated to 15% moisture. DEKALB products are compared with national competitive products that contain similar crop protection traits. 12
  • 13. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY With Added Trait Protection, Strong Growth Opportunity Remains For U.S. Corn U.S. CORN TRAIT OPPORTUNITY: 2005-2010F 220 60 U.S. TRIPLE-STACK ACRES 200 U.S. TRAIT ACRES 50 180 (IN MILLIONS) (IN MILLIONS) 160 40 140 120 30 100 80 20 60 40 10 20 CATALYSTS OF 0 0 2010 TRIPLE STACK 2007 2008F 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010F Opportunity GROWTH Rootworm Control 45-55M 20.8M 26-28M Channel Triple Corn Borer Control Penetration 60-70M 42.4M 40-42M Glyphosate Tolerance DEKALB Supply 80M 57.9M 63-65M Guarantee Triple Stack 17.6M 25-27M 45-55M Yield Insurance Trait acres reflect the total acres planted with each individual trait. In the case of stacked traits, each absolute acre will be reflected by two or more trait acres. Program Source: “Monsanto Biotechnology Trait Acreage” available through: monsanto.com/investors/ 13
  • 14. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY With Roundup Ready 2 Yield Soybeans, Yield Also Becomes Focus of Next Wave of Commercial Products ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS: STATE OF AGRICULTURE: SECOND-GENERATION WEED CONTROL FIELD RESULTS A New Soybean Platform Near-Isoline Comparisons: Roundup Ready 2 Yield vs. Roundup Ready % Yield Increase over Roundup Ready 12% HIGHER-YIELDING DICAMBA-TOLERANT 11% 10% 9% VISTIVE III ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% ► Roundup Ready 2 Yield becomes the platform for 4% soybean traits ► Three soybean pipeline 2% traits advanced to Phase 3 commercial development in 0% recent R&D update 4 YEAR 2004 2005 2006 2007 AVERAGE Roundup Ready 2 Yield soybeans yield 7 to 11 percent higher than Roundup Ready soybeans based on 73 Monsanto field trials from 2004-2007 14
  • 15. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Like Roundup RReady 2 Yield Soybeans, SmartStax Corn Reset the Trait Platform for Corn SmartStax Value: On-Farm Commercial Preparation: Field Data Generation + Increased Yield (per-acre and on-farm) YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 FORWARD YIELD YIELD COMPONENT 2006 2008+ BENEFIT1 Focus: Focus: SmartStax PER-ACRE Feasibility of full bred into elite Improved consistency: 1-2% trait integration germplasm; yield Primary pests data generation Improved protection: 1-2% Secondary pests Field Testing: 2007 ON-FARM Testing focused on trait performance, such as Reduced refuge 3-6% consistency of control of Flexibility to move to one technology targeted pests + platform on-farm Initial 2007 Results + Durability • Indicates superior Flexibility to increase planting rootworm consistency + populations versus triple-stack + Platform for future traits standard TRIALS: 56 • Good control of + Access to superior seed STATES: 12 secondary pests Total SmartStax Value = 1. Yield benefit reflects expected yield benefit above triple-stack standard, on a per-acre and whole-farm basis as noted. Ranges may overlap 15
  • 16. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Entire Monsanto Pipeline Is Targeted Toward Meeting Emerging Trends Over Next Decade BIOTECH TRAIT PIPELINE: JANUARY 2008 UPDATE PHASE PHASE PHASE PHASE PHASE PHASE PHASE PHASE D D 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 AGRONOMIC TRAITS YIELD AND STRESS PIPELINE ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN FAMILY YIELDGARD VT PRO 2ND-GEN YIELDGARD CORN BORER DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN SMARTSTAX CORN 2ND-GEN DROUGHT-TOLERANT CORN DICAMBA-TOLERANT SOYBEANS NITROGEN-UTILIZATION CORN FAMILY INSECT-PROTECTED + ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD SOYBEANS NITROGEN-UTILIZATION CORN BOLLGARD III BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING CORN FAMILY SOYBEAN NEMATODE-RESISTANCE HIGHER-YIELDING CORN SOYBEAN DISEASE BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING DICAMBA-TOLERANT COTTON SOYBEAN FAMILY COTTON LYGUS CONTROL HIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEANS YIELDGARD ROOTWORM III 2ND-GEN HIGHER-YIELDING SOYBEANS VALUE-ADDED TRAITS DROUGHT-TOLERANT COTTON FAMILY DROUGHT-TOLERANT COTTON EXTRAX™ CORN PROCESSING SYSTEM + MAVERA™ HIGH-VALUE CORN WITH LYSINE2 BROAD-ACRE HIGHER-YIELDING CANOLA FAMILY HIGH-OIL SOYBEANS HIGHER-YIELDING + ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD CANOLA1 2ND-GEN HIGH-OIL SOYBEANS OMEGA-3 ENRICHED SOYBEANS VISTIVE III SOYBEANS High Impact Technologies (HIT) project HIGH-STEARATE SOYBEANS Jan. 3, 2008 Advancements/Additions (VIA BIOTECH) The colored bar associated with each project indicates which phase that project is in. It is HIGH-OIL CORN not intended to represent the relative status of the project within a particular stage. 1. For higher-yielding + Roundup Ready 2 Yield canola, only the value of the higher-yielding trait is incorporated into the Yield and Stress collaboration with BASF 2. Value of licensing the EXTRAX™ technology is shared with Cargill as a part of Renessen joint venture
  • 17. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Projects Like Nitrogen-Utilization Corn Are Positioned to Drive Yield and Meet Demand In New Environment PER-ACRE NITROGEN COST STATE OF AGRICULTURE: FOR CORN PRODUCTION, IN ILLINOIS: 1990-20071 Breakthroughs in Nitrogen-Use Research Under normal nitrogen conditions, lead Nitrogen- $80 Utilization trait has demonstrated yield advantages $75 in multiple backgrounds over multiple years $70 12 * Yield Increase (bu/Ac) $65 ** *** * 10 $60 8 6 $55 4 2 $50 0 $45 -2 TRIALS IN TRIALS IN 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 MULTIPLE MULTIPLE HYBRID HYBRID Nitrogen accounts for approximately one-fifth of BACKGROUNDS BACKGROUNDS the operating costs for a corn producer2 (15 LOC) (16 LOC) Nitrogen-Utilization corn offers the potential to bring the value of nitrogen into the seed: 2005 2006 2007 Reducing farmers’ exposure to nitrogen • * price volatility Statistically significant @ p≤0.10 Boosting yield • Bar color correlates with the specific hybrid background tested. Improving ease of use, flexibility Same bar color in different tests and different years indicates same • hybrid was used. All trials conducted under sufficient nitrogen application levels. 1. Illinois Farm Business Farm Management 2. USDA 17
  • 18. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Strong Cash Position Creates Opportunity to Bolster Strategic Position and Drive Differentiation Through Innovation INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY In an expanding agriculture environment, value is defined by scarcity or innovation – Monsanto’s strategy is targeted on innovation: discovering and developing technology that is game-changing CATEGORY HISTORICAL EXAMPLES OUTLOOK ► Delta and Pine Land • ASI acquisition phase Intensify The Space largely finished ► American Seeds, Inc. Strengthen position of the core • Continued opportunity (ASI) Companies for add-on international business, largely by building the ► Agroeste (Brazil) corn and vegetable germplasm footprint of seeds companies ► Seminis • Continually looking for Expand The Space areas where Monsanto can apply core Expansion to adjacent spaces – technology quickly or where core technology can be applied benefit for advanced quickly and with transformational research benefits ► Yield and Stress R&D • Most highly Redefine The Space transformational, but Collaboration with rarest to find appropriate Investments that rewrite the BASF fit landscape, providing new avenues, ► SmartStax agreement new technologies and creating new with Dow markets ► Global Seed Treatment Alliances 18
  • 19. SEED & TRAIT STRATEGY Global Seed Treatment Alliance Creates New, But Complementary Opportunity In Creating and Protecting Yield GLOBAL SEED TREATMENT INDUSTRY OVERVIEW STATE OF AGRICULTURE: KEY INDUSTRY DATA1 Seed Treatment Alliances Monsanto entered a series of ROW Asia separate alliances with • Global seed treatment sector: >$1.5B U.S. leading global seed-treatment annually, with $800-$900M in the crops that are key to Monsanto’s business suppliers to create a platform • Sector CAGR of 10-12% to launch proprietary seed Canada • Widespread use of biotech traits treatments launched in Latin increases the use and value of seed Europe parallel with our future core- America treatments crop technologies BENEFITS: ► Complement to established PROJECTED COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE seed-and-trait strategy of 2008 2009 2010 2011 creating and preserving Alliance yield platform 2009 2010 ► Monsanto in-licenses 2011 established Launch Proprietary Seed active ingredients and and activated proprietary seed treatment treatments leverages its existing coatings with in place for expand into formulation technology cotton, on Roundup SmartStax commercial newest Delta Ready 2 Yield, capabilities for proprietary aimed at launch and Pine Land treatments incremental varieties yield boost in ► Strong margin opportunity soybeans 1. Phillips McDougall and Monsanto Estimates 19
  • 20. SUMMARY Given Growth Opportunities, Monsanto Has Potential to Double Gross Profit Over the Next Five Years 2012 GROWTH RANGE MONSANTO GROSS PROFIT GROWTH TARGET Gross profit targeted to double from 2007 through 2012 $9,000 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK $8,000 All growth is organic, from $7,000 base business and pipeline GROSS PROFIT (IN MILLIONS) U.S. Corn $6,000 International Corn $5,000 Soybeans Cotton $4,000 Seminis R&D Pipeline $3,000 Acquisitions to be pursued, $2,000 but are not included in this $1,000 growth projection $0 Earnings continue to translate into operating cash, and value 2004 2007 2012 MILESTONES created for shareowners FEBRUARY 2008 through combination of Monsanto increases acquisitions, share FY2008 Ongoing EPS repurchases and dividends guidance to $2.70-$2.80 from $2.50-$2.60
  • 21. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow Fiscal Year 2008 Target $ Millions Net Cash Provided (Required) by Operations $1,950 - $2,050 Net Cash Provided (Required) by Investing Activities (1,050) Free Cash Flow $900 - $1,000 Net Cash Provided (Required) by Financing Activities N/A Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash and Cash Equivalents N/A Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents N/A