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2013/8/29(Sat)	
  
Chapter7	
  
External	
  Economies	
  of	
  Scale	
  and	
  the	
  Interna@onal	
  Loca@on	
  
of	
  Produc@on



Interna@onal	
  Economics	
  
	
  theory	
  and	
  policy	
  
1	
  
Previous	
  contents	
•  Chapter1	
  Introduc@on	
  
•  Chapter2	
  World	
  trade:	
  An	
  overview	
  
•  Chapter3	
  Labor	
  produc@vity	
  and	
  compara@ve	
  advantage	
  
–  :The	
  Ricardian	
  model	
  
•  Chapter4	
  Specific	
  factors	
  and	
  Income	
  distribu@on	
  
•  Chapter5	
  Resources	
  and	
  trade	
  
–  :The	
  Heckscher-­‐Ohlin	
  model	
  	
  
•  Chapter6	
  Standard	
  trade	
  model	
2
Chapter1	
  
	
  Introduc@on	
7	
  themes	
  	
  recur	
  throughout	
  the	
  study	
  of	
  
interna@onal	
  economic	
  
1.  The	
  gains	
  from	
  trade	
  
2.  The	
  paWern	
  of	
  trade	
  
3.  How	
  much	
  trade?	
  
4.  Balance	
  of	
  payments	
  
5.  Exchange	
  rate	
  determina@on	
  
6.  Interna@onal	
  policy	
  coordina@on	
  
7.  The	
  interna@onal	
  capital	
  markets	
  
3
Chapter2	
  	
  
World	
  trade:	
  An	
  overview	
•  The	
  gravity	
  model	
  
–  The	
  trade	
  between	
  any	
  two	
  countries	
  is	
  propor@nal	
  to	
  the	
  products	
  of	
  
their	
  GDP	
  and	
  diminishes	
  with	
  distance.	
  
•  Interna@onal	
  trade	
  is	
  at	
  record	
  levels	
  rela@ve	
  to	
  the	
  size	
  of	
  
the	
  world	
  economy.	
  
•  Manufactured	
  goods	
  dominate	
  modern	
  trade	
  today.	
  
–  Developing	
  countries	
  have	
  shi^ed	
  from	
  being	
  mainly	
  exporters	
  of	
  
primary	
  products	
  to	
  being	
  mainly	
  exporters	
  of	
  manufactured	
  goods.	
  
4
How	
  much	
  trade?	
•  The	
  seemingly	
  eternal	
  debate	
  over	
  how	
  much	
  
trade	
  allow	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  policy	
  theme.	
  
-­‐100	
  
-­‐80	
  
-­‐60	
  
-­‐40	
  
-­‐20	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
1979	
  
1980	
  
1981	
  
1982	
  
1983	
  
1984	
  
1985	
  
1986	
  
1987	
  
1988	
  
1989	
  
1990	
  
1991	
  
1992	
  
1993	
  
1994	
  
1995	
  
1996	
  
1997	
  
1998	
  
1999	
  
2000	
  
2001	
  
2002	
  
2003	
  
2004	
  
2005	
  
2006	
  
2007	
  
2008	
  
2009	
  
2010	
  
2011	
  
exports	
   import	
   net	
  exports	
  
(Trillion	
  yen)	
5
Chapter3	
  	
  
Labor	
  produc@vity	
  and	
  compara@ve	
  advantage	
  
:The	
  Ricardian	
  model	
  
	
•  The	
  Ricardian	
  model	
  
–  Labor	
  is	
  the	
  only	
  factor	
  of	
  produc@on,	
  and	
  countries	
  differ	
  only	
  in	
  the	
  
produc@vity	
  of	
  labor	
  in	
  different	
  industries.	
  
–  A	
  countries	
  produc@on	
  paWers	
  is	
  determined	
  by	
  compara@ve	
  
advantage.	
  
•  Trade	
  benefits	
  a	
  country	
  in	
  either	
  of	
  two	
  ways.	
  
–  Instead	
  of	
  producing	
  a	
  good	
  for	
  itself,	
  a	
  country	
  can	
  produce	
  another	
  
good	
  and	
  trade	
  it	
  for	
  the	
  desired	
  good.	
  
–  Trade	
  enlarges	
  a	
  countries	
  consump@on	
  possibili@es.	
6
Chapter4	
  	
  
Specific	
  factors	
  and	
  Income	
  distribu@on	
•  Specific	
  factor	
  model	
  
–  Differences	
  in	
  resources	
  can	
  cause	
  countries	
  to	
  have	
  different	
  rela@ve	
  
supply	
  curves,	
  and	
  thus	
  cause	
  interna@onal	
  trade.	
  
–  Factors	
  specific	
  to	
  export	
  sectors	
  in	
  each	
  country	
  gain	
  from	
  trade,	
  
while	
  factors	
  specific	
  to	
  import-­‐compe@ng	
  sectors	
  lose.	
  Mobile	
  factors	
  
that	
  can	
  work	
  in	
  either	
  sector	
  may	
  either	
  gain	
  or	
  lose.	
  
•  Interna@onal	
  trade	
  o^en	
  has	
  strong	
  effects	
  on	
  the	
  
distribu@on	
  of	
  income	
  within	
  countries.	
  
–  Factors	
  cannot	
  move	
  instantaneously	
  and	
  costlessly	
  from	
  one	
  industry	
  
to	
  another.	
  
–  Changes	
  in	
  an	
  economy’s	
  output	
  mix	
  have	
  differen@al	
  effects	
  on	
  the	
  
demand	
  for	
  different	
  factors	
  of	
  produc@on.	
  
7
Chapter5	
  	
  
Resources	
  and	
  trade	
  
:The	
  Heckscher-­‐Ohlin	
  model	
  	
•  Model	
  of	
  two-­‐factor	
  economy	
  
–  Two	
  countries,	
  two	
  goods,	
  two	
  factors	
  of	
  produc@on	
  
•  Heckscher-­‐Ohlin	
  theory	
  
–  Countries	
  tend	
  to	
  export	
  goods	
  that	
  are	
  intensive	
  in	
  the	
  factors	
  
with	
  which	
  they	
  are	
  abundantly	
  supplied.	
  
•  The	
  owners	
  of	
  a	
  country’s	
  abundant	
  factors	
  gain	
  from	
  
trade,	
  but	
  the	
  owners	
  of	
  scarce	
  factors	
  lose.	
  
–  There	
  are	
  s@ll	
  gains	
  from	
  trade,	
  in	
  the	
  limited	
  sense	
  that	
  that	
  
winners	
  could	
  compensate	
  the	
  losers,	
  and	
  everyone	
  would	
  be	
  
beWer	
  off.	
8
Chapter6	
  
	
•  The	
  standard	
  trade	
  model	
  
–  The	
  rela@onship	
  between	
  the	
  produc@on	
  possibility	
  
fron@er	
  and	
  the	
  rela@ve	
  supply	
  curve.	
  
–  The	
  rela@onship	
  between	
  rela@ve	
  prices	
  and	
  rela@ve	
  
demand.	
  
–  The	
  determina@on	
  of	
  world	
  equilibrium	
  by	
  world	
  rela@ve	
  
supply	
  and	
  world	
  rela@ve	
  demand.	
  
–  The	
  effect	
  of	
  the	
  terms	
  of	
  trade	
  
9
Chapter7	
External	
  Economies	
  of	
  Scale	
  and	
  the	
  
Interna@onal	
  Loca@on	
  of	
  Produc@on	
10
Learning	
  goals	
•  Recognizing	
  why	
  interna@onal	
  trade	
  o^en	
  occurs	
  from	
  
increasing	
  returns	
  to	
  scale	
  
•  Understanding	
  the	
  differences	
  between	
  internal	
  and	
  external	
  
economies	
  of	
  scale	
  
•  Discuss	
  the	
  sources	
  of	
  external	
  economies	
  
•  Discuss	
  the	
  roles	
  of	
  external	
  economies	
  and	
  knowledge	
  
spillovers	
  in	
  shaping	
  compara@ve	
  advantage	
  and	
  interna@onal	
  
trade	
  paWers.	
  	
11
Compara@ve	
  advantage	
12	
Compara@ve	
  
advantages	
Countries	
  differ	
  either	
  in	
  their	
  resources	
  or	
  in	
  
their	
  technology	
  and	
  specialize	
  in	
  the	
  things	
  
they	
  do	
  rela@vely	
  well.	
Economies	
  of	
  scale	
  make	
  it	
  advantageous	
  for	
  
each	
  country	
  to	
  specialize	
  in	
  the	
  produc@on	
  
of	
  only	
  limited	
  range	
  of	
  goods	
  and	
  services
Economies	
  of	
  scale	
  and	
  interna@onal	
  
trade:	
  An	
  overview	
•  The	
  models	
  of	
  compara@ve	
  advantage	
  were	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  assump@on	
  of	
  
constant	
  returns	
  to	
  scale.	
  
•  To	
  take	
  advantage	
  of	
  economies	
  of	
  scale,	
  each	
  of	
  the	
  countries	
  must	
  
concentrate	
  on	
  producing	
  only	
  a	
  limited	
  number	
  of	
  goods.	
  
•  It	
  makes	
  it	
  possible	
  for	
  each	
  country	
  to	
  produce	
  a	
  restricted	
  range	
  of	
  
goods	
  and	
  to	
  take	
  advantage	
  of	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  without	
  sacrificing.	
13	
Table7-1 Relationship of input to out put for a Hypothetical industry	
Output 	
 Total labor input	
 Average labor of input	
5	
 10	
 2.00	
10	
 15	
 1.50	
15	
 20	
 1.33	
20	
 25	
 1.25	
25	
 30	
 1.20	
30	
 35	
 1.17
Economies	
  of	
  scale	
  and	
  
	
  market	
  structure	
 	
	
firms	
 producing	
 total industry production	
Standard situations	
 10	
 100	
 1,000	
	
External economies of scale	
 20	
 100	
 2,000	
	
Internall economies of scale	
 5	
 200	
 1,000	
14	
•  External	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  occur	
  when	
  the	
  cost	
  per	
  unit	
  depends	
  on	
  the	
  
size	
  industry	
  but	
  not	
  necessarily	
  on	
  the	
  size	
  of	
  any	
  one	
  firm.	
  
–  An	
  industry	
  where	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  are	
  purely	
  external	
  will	
  typically	
  consist	
  of	
  many	
  
small	
  firms	
  and	
  be	
  perfectly	
  compe@@ve.	
  
•  Internal	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  occur	
  when	
  the	
  cost	
  per	
  unit	
  depends	
  on	
  the	
  
size	
  of	
  an	
  individual	
  firm	
  but	
  not	
  necessarily	
  on	
  that	
  of	
  the	
  industry.	
  
–  Internal	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  give	
  large	
  firms	
  a	
  cost	
  advantage	
  over	
  small	
  firms	
  and	
  lead	
  
to	
  an	
  imperfectly	
  compe@@ve	
  market	
  structure.	
  
The	
  theory	
  of	
  external	
  economies	
•  Specialized	
  suppliers	
  
–  Ability	
  of	
  cluster	
  
•  Labor	
  market	
  pooling	
  
–  A	
  geographical	
  concentrated	
  industry	
  
•  Knowledge	
  spillovers	
  
–  A	
  geographical	
  concentrated	
  industry	
  
15
External	
  economies	
  and	
  	
  
market	
  equilibrium	
•  When	
  there	
  are	
  external	
  economies	
  of	
  scale,	
  the	
  average	
  cost	
  
of	
  producing	
  a	
  good	
  falls	
  as	
  the	
  quality	
  produced	
  rises.	
  
•  The	
  larger	
  the	
  industry’s	
  output,	
  the	
  lower	
  the	
  price	
  at	
  which	
  
firms	
  are	
  willing	
  to	
  sell,	
  because	
  their	
  average	
  cost	
  of	
  
produc@on	
  falls	
  as	
  industry	
  output	
  rises.	
  
16
External	
  economies,	
  output,	
  
	
  and	
  prices	
17	
•  【Before	
  trade】	
  Chinese	
  buWon	
  prices	
  in	
  the	
  absence	
  of	
  trade	
  would	
  be	
  
lower	
  than	
  U.S	
  buWon	
  prices.	
  
•  	
  【A^er	
  trade】	
  Chinese	
  buWon	
  industry	
  will	
  expand,	
  while	
  the	
  U.S.	
  buWon	
  
industry	
  will	
  contract	
  :	
  As	
  Chinese	
  industry’s	
  output	
  rises,	
  its	
  cost	
  will	
  fall	
  
further.	
  As	
  the	
  U.S.	
  industry’s	
  output	
  falls,	
  its	
  costs	
  will	
  rise.	
  
•  【Chapter6】If	
  cloths	
  is	
  rela@vely	
  cheap in	
  Home	
  and	
  rela@vely	
  	
  
External	
  Economies	
  	
  
and	
  the	
  paWern	
  of	
  trade	
18	
•  The	
  reason	
  for	
  determining	
  the	
  paWern	
  of	
  specializa@on	
  and	
  trade	
  in	
  industries	
  
with	
  external	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  is	
  historical	
  con@ngency.	
  
•  Although	
  the	
  Vietnamese	
  industry	
  could	
  poten@ally	
  make	
  buWons	
  more	
  cheaply	
  
than	
  China’s	
  industry,	
  China’s	
  head	
  start	
  enables	
  it	
  to	
  hold	
  on	
  to	
  the	
  industry.	
  
•  External	
  economies	
  poten@ally	
  give	
  a	
  strong	
  role	
  to	
  historical	
  accident	
  in	
  
determining	
  who	
  produces	
  what,	
  and	
  may	
  allow	
  established	
  paWerns	
  of	
  
specializa@on	
  to	
  persist	
  even	
  when	
  they	
  run	
  counter	
  to	
  compara@ve	
  advantage.	
  
Trade	
  and	
  welfare	
  	
  
with	
  external	
  economies	
19	
•  When	
  there	
  are	
  external	
  economies,	
  trade	
  can	
  poten@ally	
  leave	
  a	
  country	
  worse	
  
off	
  than	
  it	
  would	
  be	
  in	
  the	
  absence	
  of	
  trade.	
  
•  While	
  external	
  economies	
  can	
  some@mes	
  lead	
  to	
  disadvantageous	
  paWerns	
  of	
  
specializa@on	
  and	
  trade,	
  it’s	
  virtually	
  certain	
  that	
  it	
  is	
  s@ll	
  to	
  the	
  benefit	
  of	
  the	
  
world	
  economy	
  to	
  take	
  advantage	
  of	
  the	
  gains	
  from	
  concentra@ng	
  industries.	
  
•  EX)City,	
  Frankfurt	
  
Dynamic	
  increasing	
  returns	
20	
•  When	
  an	
  individual	
  firm	
  improves	
  its	
  products	
  or	
  produc@on	
  techniques	
  through	
  
experiences,	
  other	
  firms	
  are	
  likely	
  to	
  imitate	
  the	
  firm	
  and	
  benefit	
  from	
  its	
  
knowledge.	
  
•  The	
  learning	
  curve	
  shows	
  that	
  unit	
  cost	
  is	
  lower	
  the	
  greater	
  the	
  cumula@ve	
  
output	
  of	
  a	
  country’s	
  industry	
  to	
  date.	
  
•  Dynamic	
  scale	
  economies,	
  like	
  external	
  economies	
  at	
  a	
  point	
  in	
  @me,	
  poten@ally	
  
jus@fy	
  protec@onism.	
  
•  The	
  argument	
  for	
  temporary	
  protec@on	
  of	
  industries	
  to	
  enable	
  them	
  to	
  gain	
  
experience	
  is	
  known	
  as	
  the	
  infant	
  industry	
  argument.	
  
Interregional	
  trade	
  	
  
and	
  economic	
  geography	
21	
Table7-2 Some examples of tradable and nontradable industries	
Tradable industires	
 Nontradable industires	
Motion pictures	
  	
 Newspaper publishers	
Securities, commodities, etc	
 Saving institutions	
Scientific research	
  	
 Veterinary services	
•  External	
  economies	
  play	
  an	
  important	
  role	
  in	
  shaping	
  the	
  paWern	
  of	
  
interna@onal	
  trade,	
  but	
  they	
  are	
  even	
  more	
  decisive	
  in	
  shaping	
  the	
  
paWern	
  of	
  interregional	
  trade.	
  
•  Determining	
  the	
  loca@on	
  of	
  tradable	
  industries,	
  in	
  some	
  cases,	
  natural	
  
resources	
  play	
  a	
  key	
  role.	
  
•  Clusters	
  promote	
  localized	
  networking,	
  to	
  enhance	
  crea@vity.	
  
•  A	
  historical	
  accident	
  play	
  a	
  key	
  role	
  to	
  explain	
  how	
  a	
  par@cular	
  region	
  
develops	
  the	
  external	
  economies	
  that	
  support	
  an	
  industry.	
  
	
  

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External Economies and International Production Location

  • 1.   2013/8/29(Sat)   Chapter7   External  Economies  of  Scale  and  the  Interna@onal  Loca@on   of  Produc@on
 
 Interna@onal  Economics    theory  and  policy   1  
  • 2. Previous  contents •  Chapter1  Introduc@on   •  Chapter2  World  trade:  An  overview   •  Chapter3  Labor  produc@vity  and  compara@ve  advantage   –  :The  Ricardian  model   •  Chapter4  Specific  factors  and  Income  distribu@on   •  Chapter5  Resources  and  trade   –  :The  Heckscher-­‐Ohlin  model     •  Chapter6  Standard  trade  model 2
  • 3. Chapter1    Introduc@on 7  themes    recur  throughout  the  study  of   interna@onal  economic   1.  The  gains  from  trade   2.  The  paWern  of  trade   3.  How  much  trade?   4.  Balance  of  payments   5.  Exchange  rate  determina@on   6.  Interna@onal  policy  coordina@on   7.  The  interna@onal  capital  markets   3
  • 4. Chapter2     World  trade:  An  overview •  The  gravity  model   –  The  trade  between  any  two  countries  is  propor@nal  to  the  products  of   their  GDP  and  diminishes  with  distance.   •  Interna@onal  trade  is  at  record  levels  rela@ve  to  the  size  of   the  world  economy.   •  Manufactured  goods  dominate  modern  trade  today.   –  Developing  countries  have  shi^ed  from  being  mainly  exporters  of   primary  products  to  being  mainly  exporters  of  manufactured  goods.   4
  • 5. How  much  trade? •  The  seemingly  eternal  debate  over  how  much   trade  allow  is  the  most  important  policy  theme.   -­‐100   -­‐80   -­‐60   -­‐40   -­‐20   0   20   40   60   80   100   1979   1980   1981   1982   1983   1984   1985   1986   1987   1988   1989   1990   1991   1992   1993   1994   1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   exports   import   net  exports   (Trillion  yen) 5
  • 6. Chapter3     Labor  produc@vity  and  compara@ve  advantage   :The  Ricardian  model   •  The  Ricardian  model   –  Labor  is  the  only  factor  of  produc@on,  and  countries  differ  only  in  the   produc@vity  of  labor  in  different  industries.   –  A  countries  produc@on  paWers  is  determined  by  compara@ve   advantage.   •  Trade  benefits  a  country  in  either  of  two  ways.   –  Instead  of  producing  a  good  for  itself,  a  country  can  produce  another   good  and  trade  it  for  the  desired  good.   –  Trade  enlarges  a  countries  consump@on  possibili@es. 6
  • 7. Chapter4     Specific  factors  and  Income  distribu@on •  Specific  factor  model   –  Differences  in  resources  can  cause  countries  to  have  different  rela@ve   supply  curves,  and  thus  cause  interna@onal  trade.   –  Factors  specific  to  export  sectors  in  each  country  gain  from  trade,   while  factors  specific  to  import-­‐compe@ng  sectors  lose.  Mobile  factors   that  can  work  in  either  sector  may  either  gain  or  lose.   •  Interna@onal  trade  o^en  has  strong  effects  on  the   distribu@on  of  income  within  countries.   –  Factors  cannot  move  instantaneously  and  costlessly  from  one  industry   to  another.   –  Changes  in  an  economy’s  output  mix  have  differen@al  effects  on  the   demand  for  different  factors  of  produc@on.   7
  • 8. Chapter5     Resources  and  trade   :The  Heckscher-­‐Ohlin  model   •  Model  of  two-­‐factor  economy   –  Two  countries,  two  goods,  two  factors  of  produc@on   •  Heckscher-­‐Ohlin  theory   –  Countries  tend  to  export  goods  that  are  intensive  in  the  factors   with  which  they  are  abundantly  supplied.   •  The  owners  of  a  country’s  abundant  factors  gain  from   trade,  but  the  owners  of  scarce  factors  lose.   –  There  are  s@ll  gains  from  trade,  in  the  limited  sense  that  that   winners  could  compensate  the  losers,  and  everyone  would  be   beWer  off. 8
  • 9. Chapter6   •  The  standard  trade  model   –  The  rela@onship  between  the  produc@on  possibility   fron@er  and  the  rela@ve  supply  curve.   –  The  rela@onship  between  rela@ve  prices  and  rela@ve   demand.   –  The  determina@on  of  world  equilibrium  by  world  rela@ve   supply  and  world  rela@ve  demand.   –  The  effect  of  the  terms  of  trade   9
  • 10. Chapter7 External  Economies  of  Scale  and  the   Interna@onal  Loca@on  of  Produc@on 10
  • 11. Learning  goals •  Recognizing  why  interna@onal  trade  o^en  occurs  from   increasing  returns  to  scale   •  Understanding  the  differences  between  internal  and  external   economies  of  scale   •  Discuss  the  sources  of  external  economies   •  Discuss  the  roles  of  external  economies  and  knowledge   spillovers  in  shaping  compara@ve  advantage  and  interna@onal   trade  paWers.   11
  • 12. Compara@ve  advantage 12 Compara@ve   advantages Countries  differ  either  in  their  resources  or  in   their  technology  and  specialize  in  the  things   they  do  rela@vely  well. Economies  of  scale  make  it  advantageous  for   each  country  to  specialize  in  the  produc@on   of  only  limited  range  of  goods  and  services
  • 13. Economies  of  scale  and  interna@onal   trade:  An  overview •  The  models  of  compara@ve  advantage  were  based  on  the  assump@on  of   constant  returns  to  scale.   •  To  take  advantage  of  economies  of  scale,  each  of  the  countries  must   concentrate  on  producing  only  a  limited  number  of  goods.   •  It  makes  it  possible  for  each  country  to  produce  a  restricted  range  of   goods  and  to  take  advantage  of  economies  of  scale  without  sacrificing. 13 Table7-1 Relationship of input to out put for a Hypothetical industry Output Total labor input Average labor of input 5 10 2.00 10 15 1.50 15 20 1.33 20 25 1.25 25 30 1.20 30 35 1.17
  • 14. Economies  of  scale  and    market  structure   firms producing total industry production Standard situations 10 100 1,000 External economies of scale 20 100 2,000 Internall economies of scale 5 200 1,000 14 •  External  economies  of  scale  occur  when  the  cost  per  unit  depends  on  the   size  industry  but  not  necessarily  on  the  size  of  any  one  firm.   –  An  industry  where  economies  of  scale  are  purely  external  will  typically  consist  of  many   small  firms  and  be  perfectly  compe@@ve.   •  Internal  economies  of  scale  occur  when  the  cost  per  unit  depends  on  the   size  of  an  individual  firm  but  not  necessarily  on  that  of  the  industry.   –  Internal  economies  of  scale  give  large  firms  a  cost  advantage  over  small  firms  and  lead   to  an  imperfectly  compe@@ve  market  structure.  
  • 15. The  theory  of  external  economies •  Specialized  suppliers   –  Ability  of  cluster   •  Labor  market  pooling   –  A  geographical  concentrated  industry   •  Knowledge  spillovers   –  A  geographical  concentrated  industry   15
  • 16. External  economies  and     market  equilibrium •  When  there  are  external  economies  of  scale,  the  average  cost   of  producing  a  good  falls  as  the  quality  produced  rises.   •  The  larger  the  industry’s  output,  the  lower  the  price  at  which   firms  are  willing  to  sell,  because  their  average  cost  of   produc@on  falls  as  industry  output  rises.   16
  • 17. External  economies,  output,    and  prices 17 •  【Before  trade】  Chinese  buWon  prices  in  the  absence  of  trade  would  be   lower  than  U.S  buWon  prices.   •   【A^er  trade】  Chinese  buWon  industry  will  expand,  while  the  U.S.  buWon   industry  will  contract  :  As  Chinese  industry’s  output  rises,  its  cost  will  fall   further.  As  the  U.S.  industry’s  output  falls,  its  costs  will  rise.   •  【Chapter6】If  cloths  is  rela@vely  cheap in  Home  and  rela@vely    
  • 18. External  Economies     and  the  paWern  of  trade 18 •  The  reason  for  determining  the  paWern  of  specializa@on  and  trade  in  industries   with  external  economies  of  scale  is  historical  con@ngency.   •  Although  the  Vietnamese  industry  could  poten@ally  make  buWons  more  cheaply   than  China’s  industry,  China’s  head  start  enables  it  to  hold  on  to  the  industry.   •  External  economies  poten@ally  give  a  strong  role  to  historical  accident  in   determining  who  produces  what,  and  may  allow  established  paWerns  of   specializa@on  to  persist  even  when  they  run  counter  to  compara@ve  advantage.  
  • 19. Trade  and  welfare     with  external  economies 19 •  When  there  are  external  economies,  trade  can  poten@ally  leave  a  country  worse   off  than  it  would  be  in  the  absence  of  trade.   •  While  external  economies  can  some@mes  lead  to  disadvantageous  paWerns  of   specializa@on  and  trade,  it’s  virtually  certain  that  it  is  s@ll  to  the  benefit  of  the   world  economy  to  take  advantage  of  the  gains  from  concentra@ng  industries.   •  EX)City,  Frankfurt  
  • 20. Dynamic  increasing  returns 20 •  When  an  individual  firm  improves  its  products  or  produc@on  techniques  through   experiences,  other  firms  are  likely  to  imitate  the  firm  and  benefit  from  its   knowledge.   •  The  learning  curve  shows  that  unit  cost  is  lower  the  greater  the  cumula@ve   output  of  a  country’s  industry  to  date.   •  Dynamic  scale  economies,  like  external  economies  at  a  point  in  @me,  poten@ally   jus@fy  protec@onism.   •  The  argument  for  temporary  protec@on  of  industries  to  enable  them  to  gain   experience  is  known  as  the  infant  industry  argument.  
  • 21. Interregional  trade     and  economic  geography 21 Table7-2 Some examples of tradable and nontradable industries Tradable industires Nontradable industires Motion pictures   Newspaper publishers Securities, commodities, etc Saving institutions Scientific research   Veterinary services •  External  economies  play  an  important  role  in  shaping  the  paWern  of   interna@onal  trade,  but  they  are  even  more  decisive  in  shaping  the   paWern  of  interregional  trade.   •  Determining  the  loca@on  of  tradable  industries,  in  some  cases,  natural   resources  play  a  key  role.   •  Clusters  promote  localized  networking,  to  enhance  crea@vity.   •  A  historical  accident  play  a  key  role  to  explain  how  a  par@cular  region   develops  the  external  economies  that  support  an  industry.