Overview of the major

1. The future role of education
in the developed world
(short version)
Frederic De Meyer
Institute for Future Insights

2. China and India are producing more scientific and engineering graduates than the
developed countries taken together;
In Europe, the percentage of the working population aged between 15 and 64 will
decline from 67.2% in 2007 to 57% by 2050;
By 2025 1.8 Billion people will live in areas with absolute water scarcety, causing new
migration waves to water-rich regions;
BRIC countries are already accounting for 11% of the Forbes top 2000 leading
companies, new competition for business in the developed world...
What is the role of education in dealing with these
challenges?

3. Which forces are at play for developed countries’ education
system?
Global mobility Ageing population
Climate change (brain drain, war for talent, ...)
Consumerization of IT
(water shortage; lost crops;
draught, ...)
New waves of New culture
(im)migration
Digital divide GenY
(gap rich-poor widening)
Education
Social
Rising middle class in Entrepreneurship
emerging
New skills
New competitors
Global Grid
(crowdsourcing, open
Globalization 3.0 New business tools innovation,
Alternatives desintermediation, ...)
(gamification, virtual
(social learning, e-learning,
company, shared value, open
...)
source, ...)
Frederic De Meyer

4. How new migration patterns will change the focus of
education sector in the developed world
Global warming Increasing emigration to North Global mobility: GenY to
will likely move to growing countries?
increase water
shortage and
wasted harvests
(amongst other)
Brain drain from West to East
Brain drain and ageing
population will make
developed countries
Digital devide will lead to new look for skills globally,
economic migrations selective immegration
Pressure on education system to:
- offer inclusive education for new migrants;
- adapt education curriculum for better understanding
of new cultures, promote multiculurality to avoid
frictions;
- adapt curriculum to retain young talents;
- focus on key skills where shortage might occur.
Frederic De Meyer

5. A cultural shift in society needs to be translated into
new educational standards
Crowdsourcing,
Open innovation, Cloud Computing,
Social Virtualization
entrepreneurship, ...
Consumerization of IT: people
Ageing population will be GenY requires different working (especially GenY) will
required to work longer... But will environment (permanent increasingly want to use
they work differently or do feedback; flexibility; open personal technologies in their
different work? communication; ...) professional environment
Pressure on education system Pressure on education system Pressure on education
to focus on reconversion of to adapt to GenY students system to use personal
elderly workers. aspirations and needs. technologies in learning
methods
Teach Use
Introducing
new tools and New Collaboration tools VVVVV VVVVV
technologies Social networks VVV VVVV
in the
Cloud Computing VVVV
educational
environment: Augmented reality VVV
Frederic De Meyer

6. Education will need to focus on teaching new skills
Developed economies will Business trends I:
loose global weight in future: - Gamification;
Competitiveness will
- Crowdsourcing;
be determined by: Business trends II:
- Open innovation;
- Ability to innovate; - Shared Value;
- Open sourcing;
- Efficiency gains; - Cradle to cradle;
- Mass customization
- Ease of multicultural - Corporate citizenship;
collaboration; - Social innovation
- New business models;
- Open sourcing.
Sustainable/ social
China business practices
Brazil 5% India
2% 3% Russia driven by:
BRIC Countries
1% - Public opinion;
now account for -GenY (employees), War
more than 10% for Talent;
of Forbes 2000 - Conscious buying;
global leading - Climate change effects;
companies - Self interest (cost, risk).
Rest
89%
Some examples:
Pressure on education system to teach new skills:
° Entrepreneurship ° Open innovation ° Innovation
(doing good as a core business or using
° Collaboration ° Open sourcing ° Business modeling its core business)
° Multiculturaility ° Virtualization ° ...
Frederic De Meyer

7. Western education meets new competitors
Universities in emerging countries Most popular universities:
represent 3-6% of Top 200 4icu.org
universities, but 15% of most Mexico 4 / 193
China 8 / 10 / 12 / 13 / 16 /
popular universities 23 / 25 / 72 / 187 /
188 / 189
200 best universities, emerging countries with ranking Brazil 29 / 64 / 102 / 106 /
137
As from 2002 China and Sources: Times higher Education University-list Topuniversities India 24 / 28 / 33 / 181
Indonesia 32
India produced more China 37 / 49 / 58 / 120 / 49 / 52 / 103 / 153 / 47 / 54 / 105 / 151 /
Hungary 35
science graduates than 171 154 / 168 154 / 177
Turkey
Russia
38 / 40 / 41
131
India 0 163 / 181 187
the developed world Russia 0 168 93
Chile
Argentina
158
166
together ! Others 147 / 183 138 / 180 / 190 0 Thailand 198 / 200
TOTAL # 7 12 8 TOTAL # 32
Currently scientific
papers still come mainly
from US, Europe and
Japan, but this could
(Map distorted by # scientific chang quickly !
papers in country of residence)
Pressure on education system to:
New ways of learning:
- Form new partnerships;
° e-learning
- innovate learning provision
° social learning
- Attract and retain top students ° gaming
° virtual worlds
° question value !
Frederic De Meyer

8. Checklist for education sector
Notes:

9. frederic de meyer
founder
the institute for future insights
-helping you anticipate the future-
Keynote speech at the start of your strategic planning session
- or your industry event;
Eye opening workshops for internal planning purposes;
Discussions on ways to innovate for the future;
Contact:
ifi.frederic@gmail.com
(BE)+32 471 63 95 35
www.fredericdemeyer.com
twitter: @fdemeyer
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