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5 Mega Trends and the Implication for
the Logistics Industry
3PL Summit, 2010 Brussels
24 November 2010
Content
– Current Global Outlook and Risks
– 5 Mega Trends Facing International Business
– Effects on 3PL
– 3PL Reactions
– Tighter Competition
– Relentless Innovation
– Challenges & Sustainability




                                                2
Current Global Outlook and Risks
                                GDP Growth yoy

– The worst is behind us                                                     2009   2010   2011
                                 USA                                         -2.6    2.7    1.4
– Many countries are in
                                 Euro zone                                   -4.0    1.7    1.2
  growth mode
                                 Japan                                       -5.2    2.6    0.8
– Risks persist                  Emerging Asia                                5.6    8.0    6.8
– After the crisis is before     Central Eastern Europe                      -5.9    2.8    3.2
  the crisis                     Latin America                               -2.1    5.8    4.5
                                 Sub Saharan Africa                           2.1    4.4    5.0
                                 Middle East North Africa                     2.5    4.4    4.6
                               Source: The Insight Bureau LTD/ Nenad Pacek




                                                                                                  3
5 Mega Trends
                                     Age of
                                    economic
                                    moderation

       The age of                                               Rise of
        relentless                                             emerging
      innovation –                                           markets and
      with external                                         relative decline
      and internal                                         of the developed
           focus                      Facing                      world
                                   international
                                     business
                                  through to 2020




               The competitive                      Sales growth
                 landscape                           mainly in
                will be tighter                      emerging
                  than ever                           markets



                                                         Source: The Insight Bureau LTD/ Nenad Pacek   4
Effects on 3PL




    2010                                   2030
                                                                         Illustration

– Re-design of transport networks
– Re-balancing of trade lane priorities, distribution hubs, warehouses
– New logistics clusters
– Pricing structures to accommodate volume changes
– Closer cooperation with shippers and competitors to reduce supply chain risks

                                                                                        5
3PL Reactions
– Be truly global
– Be more flexible
  (organization, operations)
– Lead strategy instead of
  opportunistic approach
– Become two-headed monsters
  (treat existing and emerging
  markets equally)




                                 6
Tighter Competition
– Highly fragmented industry
– Competition comes from
  unexpected corners
– Fight for market share
– Price and quality war
– Shippers reduce or consolidate
  number of 3PL used


– Deeper relationships with clients
– More control over the business
– Outspending competition on brand
  building and local presence

                                      7
Relentless Innovation
– 3PL must become even more
  innovative
– Kick-start continuous innovation
  process
– Collaboration with other
  companies, even competitors,
  to realize innovations
– More power to 3PL
– Centers of innovation, technology
  transfer and standardization
  shift from developed world to
  developing countries



                                      8
Challenges & Sustainability
– Stormy seas ahead
– No cash, no joy
– High flexibility
– New mind set
– War on talent




                              www.timowopp.de



                                            9
Thank you for your time
Beat Simon, CEO Agility Europe
St. Jakobs-Strasse 220
CH - 4002 Basel
www.agilitylogistics.com

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5 Mega Trends and the Implication for the Logistics Industry, Beat Simon, CEO Europe, Agility Logistics

  • 1. 5 Mega Trends and the Implication for the Logistics Industry 3PL Summit, 2010 Brussels 24 November 2010
  • 2. Content – Current Global Outlook and Risks – 5 Mega Trends Facing International Business – Effects on 3PL – 3PL Reactions – Tighter Competition – Relentless Innovation – Challenges & Sustainability 2
  • 3. Current Global Outlook and Risks GDP Growth yoy – The worst is behind us 2009 2010 2011 USA -2.6 2.7 1.4 – Many countries are in Euro zone -4.0 1.7 1.2 growth mode Japan -5.2 2.6 0.8 – Risks persist Emerging Asia 5.6 8.0 6.8 – After the crisis is before Central Eastern Europe -5.9 2.8 3.2 the crisis Latin America -2.1 5.8 4.5 Sub Saharan Africa 2.1 4.4 5.0 Middle East North Africa 2.5 4.4 4.6 Source: The Insight Bureau LTD/ Nenad Pacek 3
  • 4. 5 Mega Trends Age of economic moderation The age of Rise of relentless emerging innovation – markets and with external relative decline and internal of the developed focus Facing world international business through to 2020 The competitive Sales growth landscape mainly in will be tighter emerging than ever markets Source: The Insight Bureau LTD/ Nenad Pacek 4
  • 5. Effects on 3PL 2010 2030 Illustration – Re-design of transport networks – Re-balancing of trade lane priorities, distribution hubs, warehouses – New logistics clusters – Pricing structures to accommodate volume changes – Closer cooperation with shippers and competitors to reduce supply chain risks 5
  • 6. 3PL Reactions – Be truly global – Be more flexible (organization, operations) – Lead strategy instead of opportunistic approach – Become two-headed monsters (treat existing and emerging markets equally) 6
  • 7. Tighter Competition – Highly fragmented industry – Competition comes from unexpected corners – Fight for market share – Price and quality war – Shippers reduce or consolidate number of 3PL used – Deeper relationships with clients – More control over the business – Outspending competition on brand building and local presence 7
  • 8. Relentless Innovation – 3PL must become even more innovative – Kick-start continuous innovation process – Collaboration with other companies, even competitors, to realize innovations – More power to 3PL – Centers of innovation, technology transfer and standardization shift from developed world to developing countries 8
  • 9. Challenges & Sustainability – Stormy seas ahead – No cash, no joy – High flexibility – New mind set – War on talent www.timowopp.de 9
  • 10. Thank you for your time Beat Simon, CEO Agility Europe St. Jakobs-Strasse 220 CH - 4002 Basel www.agilitylogistics.com