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Shopper Missions in the UK Food
& Grocery Market 2012

SAMPLE EXTRACT



                                                   Evolution Insights Ltd
                                                         Prospect House
                                                     32 Sovereign Street
                                                                    Leeds
                                                                  LS1 4BJ
                                                     Tel: 0113 389 1038
                                       http://www.evolution-insights.com
          www.Evolution-Insights.com                                  1
About Evolution Insights

Evolution is a leading research consultancy specialising in shopper motivation and behaviour. We deliver off-the-shelf, tailored and bespoke
research for manufacturers, retailers and agencies.


                                                    Our research and analysis helps           Evolution offer a range of products & services for
                                                    clients develop targeted shopper          clients in the field of shopper research:-
                                                    marketing initiatives designed to
                                                                                              Off-the-shelf research
                                                    influence shoppers at the point of
                                                    purchase.                                          Evolution’s off the shelf research
                                                                                                       publications deliver affordable insight into
                                                                                                       shopper motivation and behaviours in UK
                                                                                                       food, drink and grocery

                                                                                              Insight Plus

                                                                                                       Insight Plus offers your business the
                                                                                                       opportunity to engage in any of our regular
     We use a range of research                                                                        shopper research projects in advance of
                                                                                                       publication, tailoring the scope to suit your
     methodologies to discover genuine                                                                 needs
     insights. Our research incorporates
     a broad spectrum of robust                                                               Bespoke Consulting
     qualitative     and     quantitative
     research techniques.                                                                              As publishers of research, we are able to
                                                                                                       draw upon a wealth of existing proprietary
                                                                                                       data for consulting projects – helping to
                                                                                                       better inform and shape any further
                                                                                                       research requirements.

                                                    As a leading publisher of shopper
                                                    research, we are ideally placed to
                                                    offer your business actionable
                                                                                                  Further information is available at our
                                                    shopper insight.
                                                                                                  website http://www.evolution-
                                                                                                  insights.com
                                                                                                  Visit and sign up for Reflections, our free
                                                                                                  quarterly newsletter offering analysis and
                                                                                                  commentary on topical issues
                                                          www.Evolution-Insights.com                                                                  2
Contents


www.Evolution-Insights.com              3
Contents

Report Summary                                    7            Main Shop                   43
                                                  8            Introduction                44
Executive Summary                                 9            Shoppers’ Definition        45
Main Shop                                        10            Spend/Trips                 46
Top-up Shop                                      11            Frequency                   47
Meal For Tonight                                 12            Day of the Week             48
On The Go                                        13            Shopper pattern             49
Channels Overview                                14            Channel Choice              50
Planning                                         15            Store Choice                51
Spend                                            17            Drivers of channel choice   52
                                                               Spend per Occasion          53
Methodology & Key                                18            Summary                     54
Methodologies                                    19
Key                                              20            Top-up Shop                 55
                                                               Introduction                56
Shopper Missions: Framework                      22            Shoppers’ Definition        57
Introduction to Shopper Missions                 23            Shoppers Comments           58
Shopper Missions                                 24            Definition                  59
Shopper Mission Definition                       26            The Macro Environment       60
Path to Purchase                                 28            Trends From Abroad          61
The Shopper Context                              30            Innovations                 62
The Mission Context                              31            Spend/Trips                 64
                                                               Frequency                   65
Shopper Missions - Overview                      32            Day of the Week             66
Introduction                                     33            Purpose                     67
Definition                                       34            Shopper pattern             68
Main Shop - Snapshot                             35            Channel Choice              69
Top-up Shop - Snapshot                           36            Store Choice                70
Meal for Tonight- Snapshot                       37            Drivers of channel choice   71
Mission - Spend/Trips                            38            Shopping Lists              72
Mission - Channel                                39            Spend per Occasion          73
Mission - Life stage                             41            Summary                     74
Summary                                          42

                                   Kerry Foods - Shopper Missions Report Spring 2012            4
Contents

Meal For Tonight                                     75            Online                                   107
Definition                                           76            Introduction                             108
Shoppers Comments                                    77            Shopper Missions                         109
Spend/Trips                                          78            Retailer                                 111
Frequency                                            79            Main Shop                                112
Day of the Week                                      80            Top-up Shop                              113
Shopper pattern                                      81            Mission profile index vs. all channels   114
Channel Choice                                       82            Summary                                  115
Drivers of channel choice                            84
Spend per Occasion (Channel Average)                 85            C-Store                                  116
Summary                                              86            Introduction                             117
                                                                   Main Shop                                118
On-The-Go                                            87            Top-up Shop                              120
Introduction                                         88            MFT                                      121
Definition                                           89            Mission profile index vs. all channels   122
The Market                                           91            Summary                                  123
Penetration                                          92
Eating Pattern                                       94            Frozen Food Stores                       124
Weekly Profile                                       95            Introduction                             125
Spend                                                96            Shopper Mission                          126
Barriers to Purchase                                 97            Mission profile index vs. all channels   127
Channel share of most recent visit                   99            Channel Rejections                       128
Summary                                              99            Summary                                  129

Channel - Supermarket                               100            Discount Stores                          130
Introduction                                        101            Introduction                             131
Main Shop                                           102            Shopper Mission                          132
Top-up Shop                                         103            Mission profile index vs. all channels   133
MFT                                                 104            Channel Rejections                       134
Mission Profile Index                               105            Summary                                  135
Summary                                             106



                                       Kerry Foods - Shopper Missions Report Spring 2012                          5
Contents

Planning                                                 136
Introduction                                             137
Definition                                               138
Main Shop                                                139
Top-up Shop                                              140
MFT                                                      141
Definition (2)                                           142
Meal Planning – Main shop                                143
Meal Planning – Top-up                                   144
Pre-shop                                                 145
Unplanned Items – Main Shop & OTG                        146
Unplanned Items – Top-up                                 147
Shoppers Comments                                        148
Families                                                 149
Future Meal Planning                                     150
Grouping meal ingredients in-store                       152
Online                                                   153
Summary                                                  154

Spend                                                    155
Introduction                                             156
Spend per Occasion (Channel Average)                     157
Spend per Occasion (Supermarkets)                        158
Spend per Occasion (Online)                              159
Budgeting Online                                         160
Spend per Occasion (Multiple C-stores)                   161
Spend per Occasion (Discounters & Frozen)                162
Summary                                                  163

Methodology                                              164

Glossary                                                 167


                                            Kerry Foods - Shopper Missions Report Spring 2012   6
Report Summary


This report takes an in-depth look at Shopper Missions
in relation to the UK Food & Grocery industry.

We will:
Identify & define the different Shopper Missions
Look at frequency, and shopper types identified with the missions
Find which channels are related with which missions
See how spend varies across missions
Investigate the differences in planning of individual items, meals,
and shops




                                   www.Evolution-Insights.com
Key (2)




You will also see the following images throughout the report:




Main Shop        Specific Item/              Replenishment of   Meal For Tonight
                Special Occasion              General Items




                            www.Evolution-Insights.com                             8
Introduction to Shopper Missions




In this section we will introduce our Shopper
Mission definitions. These definitions will
form the basis of this report and will be
referenced throughout. By their nature
missions are complex and numerous, but can
be broadly categorised according to three key
themes.

We will look at the role of missions within the
whole Path to Purchase and where it fits
within the decision hierarchy…

…and how the mission is affected by both the
shopper context and the mission context.




                                      www.Evolution-Insights.com   9
Shopper Missions (2)


It is not as effective to take a retrospective only look at what they ended up
doing, therefore our research use methodologies to establish the original
reasons for their trip, and what they intended to buy. In this was we could
establish what they had bought that they hadn’t intended to…and why.




Mission + Store influences = Shop Characteristics



*It is always important to note that missions are not necessarily exclusive, and can
often be made up of a number of sub missions.

                                     www.Evolution-Insights.com                        10
Shopper Missions’ Definition’s (2)

                        A household’s main/largest shop,
      Main Shop        which is usually planned and covers a
                                variety of categories


                                                    A shopping trip with the express purpose
                           Meal For                 of buying products for consumption the
                           Tonight                               same evening

                                                                   Relates to a
                          Specific                 reactive quick trip to a store for items that
    Top-Up Shop
                       Need/Occasion                the consumer has run out of, desires, or
                                                             for a specific occasion


                       Replenishment                        A quick trip to replenish
                                                     key commodity items that are perishable
                       of staple items
                                                                   in nature.


                        Buying any food and/or drink for consumption
     On-The-Go            that day on-the-go, i.e. outside the home

                                 www.Evolution-Insights.com                                        11
Path To Purchase (2)


Evolution’s Path
to Purchase
Model
                                                                      Category
                                             Channel

                    Mission
                   Channel         Category

 Need State                                         Type                Brand


                             ATL                           Consumer
                                                                       Shopper
                                                                       Decision
                                                           Mind-set
                                                                       Hierarchy
                              www.Evolution-Insights.com                           12
Shopper Missions: The Mission Context

The ‘mission context’ is Evolution’s model for relating the purpose of a particular shopping trip. Different combinations of
the component drivers influence store choice and in-store behaviour on different missions.

      Drivers of the mission context:




                                                                                                                                    Consumer
                                                                                  Focus            Time            Location          shopper
           List           Transport         Occasion          Liquidity                         constraints                        relationship




  •      Lists often help focus the shopper on the task in hand, reducing their susceptibility to interruption and impulse purchases.
  •      Transport to and from the store can influence the shopper’s behaviour in-store. Shoppers who walk or take public transport may be
         more constrained than those with cars in terms of their capacity to carry goods.
  •      Occasion - While top-up missions are often quick focused trips, those for a specific occasion can be more open to marketing.
  •      Liquidity is often variable relating to time of week/month and payment of salary, and can influence the shopper’s mental budget on a
         given mission.
  •      Focus is the degree of specificity that the shopper has towards their mission, for example it may be a strict mission with little openness
         to interruption.
  •      Time constraints can often influence store choice and degree of focus for the mission.
  •      Location is the current position of the shopper, for example they may be on foot in the high street on a broader shopping trip, or they
         may be at home planning their top-up as a specific visit in the car.
  •      The consumer shopper relationship reflects that fact that the shopper and consumer are not always the same. The motivations and
         behaviour of the shopper vary accordingly.

                                                               www.Evolution-Insights.com                                                             13
Mission - Spend/Trips

Here we can see what proportion of the total number of shopping trips are covered by each mission, compared to their
proportion share of the total spend.



 Shopping                                                Spend…               8%
                      15%          10%
 trips…
                                                                                                 40%
                                                22%
                                                                   36%


                   54%
                                                                                   16%




                                                www.Evolution-Insights.com                                       14
Main Shop – Shoppers’ Definition

Shoppers have varying views to what a large/weekly shop actually means to them. Indeed, what could constitute a main
shop to one person (using number of categories bought only) may only constitute a top-up to another. An individuals
circumstance has a big impact on this definition.

  I’d get distracted                 A weekly shop that                    I do one every other                    I shop twice each                It’s pay day and I
 and come out with                  lasts me for the week                week because there are                    week and I can do                 need to fill the
 twice as much stuff                   Young couple, no children         only two of us at home.                     two full trollies             fridge, freezer and
       if I went                                                          I tend to top up a lot.                             Older family               fruit bowl
  somewhere else                                                                            No children                                                          Young family
         Single, no family.
                                                                                                           It’s when I spend the
                                      It’s when I take my big                                                                                    I always go either
                                                                                                                   most
 Because we’ve run                          recycled bags                                                                   Post-family
                                                                                                                                                   Friday nights or
out of so much stuff                                     Older family                                                                          Sundays, there’s only
    Young family, multiple                                                                                                                     eggs left in the fridge!
                  children                                                                                                                                       Young family



It’s my regular big shop,                                                                                                                      When you get your
 I’ve run out of a lot of                                                                                                                      cleaning shop, your
things, we need food for                                                                                                                     shampoos, the wine, the
      the weekend...                                                                                                                                  beer
                                                                                                                                                                    No family
                     Older family

                                                       It’s when I go on my
My list had got long enough and I                     own, I never take the 4                                             I’m buying for the rest of the week and
needed hair gel, however it’ll be a                           year old                                                       the weekend, I usually do today or
 reduced main shop because the                                            Young family                                      Friday – my days off. The reason I’ve
 boys are at the child minders all                                                                                        changed and decided to come to Tesco
week and we’re eating out a lot at                                  I’ve just got back from a week’s                       instead of Sainsbury’s is my £5 off £50
          the weekend                                              holiday and have nothing fresh in!                        voucher which came from clubcard
                                                                                               Single, no family                               Young family, multiple children
             Young family, multiple children


                                                                        www.Evolution-Insights.com                                                                       15
Top-up Shop - Shopping Lists


Top-up missions are                                                Demographic profiles
by their nature                                                    of shoppers illustrate
typically reactive to                                              little variance in
specific needs. This is                                            relation to use of a
reflected in the vast                                              written shopping list.
majority of top-up                                                 The exception to this
shoppers using either                                              is elderly shoppers
a written list or at                                               aged 65-74 who, our
least a good idea in                                               research suggests,
mind before they                                                   are the most likely to
enter the store.                                                   use a written
                                                                   shopping list.

*This refers to the items that
drove the mission, i.e. the initial
reason for their shopping trip.
Whilst conducting this shop, other
items are purchased which were
unplanned. (We are not suggesting
that 75% of items are planned)

                                      www.Evolution-Insights.com                       16
OTG - Penetration (2)

  With a growth in in Great Britain aged 18-74 who did a top-up shop in the last missions bought fresh this
  Over 80% of adultsshopping on-the-go we examined the separate on-the-gotwo weeksto see where food.growth is coming from. All
  four on-the-go missions are being undertaken more regularly than last year, with the most significant growth in the breakfast on-
  the-go market.

                                                                                           • The on-the-go market has grown in all
Penetration of the different on-the-go shopper missions as a proportion of the UK            missions, driven by increased time and
population                                                                                   financial pressures, a faster pace of life
                                                                                             and a general change in the work life
      80                                                                                     balance.

      70                                                                                   • 23.0% of the people say that they shop
                                                                                   17.7%     for breakfast on-the-go at least once a
                                      8.2%                                                   week. This has increased by almost half
      60                                                                    56.5
                                  53.0                                                       (49.4%) of last years market.
      50                                                                                   • 53.0% of people shop for lunch on-the-go
                                                                                             at least once a week, making it the
      40
  %




                                                                                             second most popular on-the-go mission.

      30
                       49.4%                                                               • 17.5% of people regularly shop for
                23.0                                    8.2%                                 evening meals on-the-go at least once a
                                                     17.5                                    week, making it the least common on-
      20
                                                                                             the-go mission.
      10                                                                                   • 56.5% of people buy snacks on-the-go in
                                                                                             between meals. This market has also
       0                                                                                     grown    compared      to    last year,
              Breakfast         Lunchtime          Evening            Snacking (food         demonstrating an increase of 17.7% in
                                                                    and/or drink eaten       snacking on-the-go, now making it the
                                                                     between meals)          most popular on-the go mission.


                                                             www.Evolution-Insights.com                                            17
Online - Retailer

    Tesco’s have placed a lot of emphasis on their online propositions and in turn have become the most popular online retailer. Not only have they been
    successful in securing loyalty from their own supermarket shoppers, they have also attracted a significant share of shoppers from other retailers, most
    noticeably Morrisons’ shoppers.


Online grocery retailer used by multi-channel shoppers, by offline retailer                                      • Here we can in essence measure the
    90.0                                                                                                           extent of store loyalty amongst shoppers.
            82.1                                                                                                   With barriers such as location removed
    80.0                                                                                                           when shopping online, it is interesting to
                                          70.0
    70.0                                                                                                           see where shoppers shop online,
                                                                                                                   compared to offline. Here we can see that
    60.0                                                                                                           Tesco shoppers are the most loyal with
                                                                                       50.4
    50.0                                                       47.3                                                82% choosing to also shop with them
                                                                                                                   online. Sainsbury's fair the worst with
%




    40.0                                                                                                           less than half (47%) of their in store
    30.0                                                     24.9                                                  shoppers choosing them as their online
                                   19.4                                                       21.0                 retailer and a quarter choosing instead to
    20.0                                                                                                           shop online with Tesco.
                                                                                         12.6
                  6.3                                               7.1 7.7 8.3
    10.0       3.8 3.5 2.5            5.1 1.8 1.8                                                5.0 5.94.2
                      0.5 1.00.3             0.5 0.9 0.5                  1.8 1.81.2                0.8    0.0   • Perhaps of most interest is the
     0.0                                                                                                           destination of Morrisons shoppers who
                   Tesco                     Asda                   Sainsbury's               Morrisons            also shop online. With Morrisons are yet
                                                                                                                   to launch their online offering, and half of
            Tesco.com                            Sainsburys.co.uk                 Asda.co.uk
                                                                                                                   their online shoppers using Tesco.com,
            Ocado.com                            Waitrose.com                     Amazon.co.uk Grocery
                                                                                                                   we suggest that Morrisons may struggle
                                                                                                                   to regain the loyalty of its shoppers whom
                                                                                                                   have already established comfort and
       Tesco.com has been particularly successful at not only driving high levels of                               routine with a different online retailer.
       store loyalty among Tesco shoppers, but attracting significant proportions of
       other Big 4 shoppers through its universal appeal and leadership in online
       grocery.


                                                                             www.Evolution-Insights.com                                                    18
Planning – Definition (2)


 When we talk about shoppers planning to buy items, we need to think about the level of
 planning that takes place. There are four different levels, outlined below, that can be known for
 each item prior to the shop. The amount of information known tells us the level of planning
 that has gone into the item. The more planned the item is, the less likely the shopper is to stray.


                                                      Example
                                                                       The shopper can know any
Category – The category which the shopper                              combination of these, with
plans to buy. This is the most basic                                   the item ranging from 25%-
information the shopper plans in advance.             Cheese
                                                                       100% planned (if they know
                                                                       all levels of detail).
Brand – The brand the shopper plans to buy
                                                      Cathedral City
within that category.

Flavour – The flavour or type the shopper
plans to buy.                                         Mature White

Size – The size or quantity the shopper
plans to buy.                                         200g




                                          www.Evolution-Insights.com                                   19
Methodology


www.evolution-insights.com             20
Methodology

Evolution’s methodology                                  • Evolution carried out a preliminary survey of around 100
                                                           shoppers to test questions for the main survey.

                                                         • Detailed secondary and desk research is conducted to define
       Secondary          Preliminary                      the topic area, macro drivers and trends, scope and examples
        and desk          quantitative                     within the research topic.
        research            survey                       • Initial insights gained are used to help further design the main
                                                           survey.

                                                         • A main survey is completed by at least 1,000 UK adults who are
                                                           the primary household shopper for food & grocery.
                             Main
      Focus groups        quantitative                   • Focus groups are carried out to further enhance the secondary
                            survey                         research and main quantitative survey.

                                                         • Accompanied shops were carried out with 20 shoppers in order
                                                           to gain a better understanding of the difference between what
                                                           the planning and the outcome of the shop.

        Shopper           Accompanied                    • 20 shoppers kept a diary for the whole of March 2012, which
         Diary’s             shops                         detailed each shop conducted in that period. Set questions
                                                           were asked which the shopper filled out both pre- and prior to
                                                           the shop.

                                                         • Comprehensive and detailed assessment of all the data
                                                           received was then used to uncover insights.

                          Insights                       • Throughout this process, primary research was supported by
                                                           secondary research drawing on Evolution’s proprietary
                                                           databases, national statistics, news and industry resources.

                                         www.evolution-insights.com                                                     21
Methodology: Quantitative Research



Main topics of questions in quantitative survey                                • Detailed shopper insights were
                                                                                 gained from a survey of 1,033
                          Demographic profiling                                  primary shoppers. The samples
                                                                                 were fully representative of the UK
                                                                                 population.

   Frequency of Shopper Missions (Online & Offline) and days shopped           • The survey contained questions
                                                                                 relating to topics outlined to the
                                                                                 left – in addition to standard
                                                                                 demographic profiling questions
                Retailers used and Drivers of store choice
                                                                               • The questions were designed to
                                                                                 give   maximum    insight  into
                                                                                 shopper’s    motivation    and
                        Level of planning of shop                                behaviour

                                                                               • Additional questions were asked to
                                                                                 give further insights into general
                            Planning of meals                                    behaviour and attitudes into price
                                                                                 comparisons.

                                                                               • The survey was carried out during
                                                                                 Spring 2012.
                                 Spend


                                                  www.evolution-insights.com                                      22
Glossary


www.evolution-insights.com          23
Glossary
ABC1C2DE – Socio demographic profile using job type (if applicable).                  Food Standards Authority’s traffic light system – a colour coded system to
Above the line (ATL) – Advertising using the main 5 media types of                    show the levels of fat, saturated fat, sugars and salt in food products.
television, press, radio, cinema, and posters to promote brands.                      Impulse – A sudden wish or urge that prompts an unplanned act or feeling
App – A smartphone application                                                        Index - A statistical measure of change compared to an average.
                                                                                      Journey - the path of the shopper through the website.
Approach – the way a shopper typically builds their online shopping basket
                                                                                      Main Shop - Main household shops, usually planned covering most
BBE date – Best before end date                                                       categories.
Below the line (BTL) – Advertising using non-media communication.                     MFT – Meal for Tonight
Typically sales promotions as short-term incentives, largely aimed at                 M-commerce - buying and selling of products or services over mobile
consumers in-store.                                                                   electronic systems such as the smartphones
Big Four – The largest four grocer retailers in the UK by market share.               Mental budget - An often subconscious budget most shoppers possess
Budget - An estimate of income and expenditure for a set period of time               before and during a shopping trip, which influences overall and individual
                                                                                      item spend.
Cashback – money shoppers can claim back.
                                                                                      Microsite – Internet website dedicated to a particular brand, using a different
Category driver – key influences driving the growth of any given category             (branded) URL
Channel – Retail distribution type for example supermarket, c-store, CTN              Modality – The way a shopper behaves in-store.
Circumstances – The circumstances of the shopper when and where they                  OTG – On the GO (mission type)
undertake their shop                                                                  Primary shopper – the main shopper in a household.
Demographic – Characteristics of the population (including sex, race, age             Promotion – Discounts and offers
and income).                                                                          Retail driver - key influences driving a shoppers choice of retailer
Digital media – digital marketing medium for example social media, mobile,            Shopper context – Evolution’s model for determining the profile of an
digital signage.                                                                      individual shopper.
Digital shopper marketing – Shopper marketing that utilises digital media             Shopper marketing – Any marketing activity aimed at the shopper
Disposable income – income remaining after deduction of taxes and other               throughout their path to purchase.
mandatory charges, available to be spent or saved as one wishes.                      Shopper mission – the reason/purpose of the shopping trip from the
                                                                                      shopper’s perspective.
DSM – Digital shopper marketing
                                                                                      Smartphone – An internet enabled mobile phone device that runs
E-commerce - buying and selling of products or services over electronic               applications (‘apps’).
systems such as the Internet and other computer networks                              Socio-demographic - Characteristics of the population (including sex, race,
Economic climate - the general condition of the economy in a particular               age and income).
country or in the world                                                               Stock up mission - Planned, infrequent and typically high volume. Typically
e-retailer/e-tailer – a retailer which trades online.                                 once a month
Favourites – a feature of some online food and grocery retailers that allows          Technologically savvy – someone who is up-to-date with and uses technology
shopper to access a list of products they have bought in the past, most often         regularly.
or most recently.                                                                     Top-up - A shopping mission to buy food and grocery for the home in
                                                                                      between the main household shop. It excludes food and drink on the go,
FMCG – Fast moving consumer goods, often used to refer to a manufacturer.             newsagent products and takeaways
Food and grocery - Foodstuffs and various household supplies
                                                                      www.evolution-insights.com                                                                   24
Contact us


                    Evolution Insights Ltd

                          Prospect House
                        32 Sovereign Street
                               Leeds
                              LS1 4BJ

                    Telephone: 0113 336 6000

             e-mail: insights@evolution-insights.com

             Web: http://www.evolution-insights.com
                          Company No. 07006001
                  Country of Incorporation: United Kingdom




                        © Evolution Insights Ltd. All rights reserved   25

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Shopper Missions in the UK Food & Grocery Market 2012

  • 1. Shopper Missions in the UK Food & Grocery Market 2012 SAMPLE EXTRACT Evolution Insights Ltd Prospect House 32 Sovereign Street Leeds LS1 4BJ Tel: 0113 389 1038 http://www.evolution-insights.com www.Evolution-Insights.com 1
  • 2. About Evolution Insights Evolution is a leading research consultancy specialising in shopper motivation and behaviour. We deliver off-the-shelf, tailored and bespoke research for manufacturers, retailers and agencies. Our research and analysis helps Evolution offer a range of products & services for clients develop targeted shopper clients in the field of shopper research:- marketing initiatives designed to Off-the-shelf research influence shoppers at the point of purchase. Evolution’s off the shelf research publications deliver affordable insight into shopper motivation and behaviours in UK food, drink and grocery Insight Plus Insight Plus offers your business the opportunity to engage in any of our regular We use a range of research shopper research projects in advance of publication, tailoring the scope to suit your methodologies to discover genuine needs insights. Our research incorporates a broad spectrum of robust Bespoke Consulting qualitative and quantitative research techniques. As publishers of research, we are able to draw upon a wealth of existing proprietary data for consulting projects – helping to better inform and shape any further research requirements. As a leading publisher of shopper research, we are ideally placed to offer your business actionable Further information is available at our shopper insight. website http://www.evolution- insights.com Visit and sign up for Reflections, our free quarterly newsletter offering analysis and commentary on topical issues www.Evolution-Insights.com 2
  • 4. Contents Report Summary 7 Main Shop 43 8 Introduction 44 Executive Summary 9 Shoppers’ Definition 45 Main Shop 10 Spend/Trips 46 Top-up Shop 11 Frequency 47 Meal For Tonight 12 Day of the Week 48 On The Go 13 Shopper pattern 49 Channels Overview 14 Channel Choice 50 Planning 15 Store Choice 51 Spend 17 Drivers of channel choice 52 Spend per Occasion 53 Methodology & Key 18 Summary 54 Methodologies 19 Key 20 Top-up Shop 55 Introduction 56 Shopper Missions: Framework 22 Shoppers’ Definition 57 Introduction to Shopper Missions 23 Shoppers Comments 58 Shopper Missions 24 Definition 59 Shopper Mission Definition 26 The Macro Environment 60 Path to Purchase 28 Trends From Abroad 61 The Shopper Context 30 Innovations 62 The Mission Context 31 Spend/Trips 64 Frequency 65 Shopper Missions - Overview 32 Day of the Week 66 Introduction 33 Purpose 67 Definition 34 Shopper pattern 68 Main Shop - Snapshot 35 Channel Choice 69 Top-up Shop - Snapshot 36 Store Choice 70 Meal for Tonight- Snapshot 37 Drivers of channel choice 71 Mission - Spend/Trips 38 Shopping Lists 72 Mission - Channel 39 Spend per Occasion 73 Mission - Life stage 41 Summary 74 Summary 42 Kerry Foods - Shopper Missions Report Spring 2012 4
  • 5. Contents Meal For Tonight 75 Online 107 Definition 76 Introduction 108 Shoppers Comments 77 Shopper Missions 109 Spend/Trips 78 Retailer 111 Frequency 79 Main Shop 112 Day of the Week 80 Top-up Shop 113 Shopper pattern 81 Mission profile index vs. all channels 114 Channel Choice 82 Summary 115 Drivers of channel choice 84 Spend per Occasion (Channel Average) 85 C-Store 116 Summary 86 Introduction 117 Main Shop 118 On-The-Go 87 Top-up Shop 120 Introduction 88 MFT 121 Definition 89 Mission profile index vs. all channels 122 The Market 91 Summary 123 Penetration 92 Eating Pattern 94 Frozen Food Stores 124 Weekly Profile 95 Introduction 125 Spend 96 Shopper Mission 126 Barriers to Purchase 97 Mission profile index vs. all channels 127 Channel share of most recent visit 99 Channel Rejections 128 Summary 99 Summary 129 Channel - Supermarket 100 Discount Stores 130 Introduction 101 Introduction 131 Main Shop 102 Shopper Mission 132 Top-up Shop 103 Mission profile index vs. all channels 133 MFT 104 Channel Rejections 134 Mission Profile Index 105 Summary 135 Summary 106 Kerry Foods - Shopper Missions Report Spring 2012 5
  • 6. Contents Planning 136 Introduction 137 Definition 138 Main Shop 139 Top-up Shop 140 MFT 141 Definition (2) 142 Meal Planning – Main shop 143 Meal Planning – Top-up 144 Pre-shop 145 Unplanned Items – Main Shop & OTG 146 Unplanned Items – Top-up 147 Shoppers Comments 148 Families 149 Future Meal Planning 150 Grouping meal ingredients in-store 152 Online 153 Summary 154 Spend 155 Introduction 156 Spend per Occasion (Channel Average) 157 Spend per Occasion (Supermarkets) 158 Spend per Occasion (Online) 159 Budgeting Online 160 Spend per Occasion (Multiple C-stores) 161 Spend per Occasion (Discounters & Frozen) 162 Summary 163 Methodology 164 Glossary 167 Kerry Foods - Shopper Missions Report Spring 2012 6
  • 7. Report Summary This report takes an in-depth look at Shopper Missions in relation to the UK Food & Grocery industry. We will: Identify & define the different Shopper Missions Look at frequency, and shopper types identified with the missions Find which channels are related with which missions See how spend varies across missions Investigate the differences in planning of individual items, meals, and shops www.Evolution-Insights.com
  • 8. Key (2) You will also see the following images throughout the report: Main Shop Specific Item/ Replenishment of Meal For Tonight Special Occasion General Items www.Evolution-Insights.com 8
  • 9. Introduction to Shopper Missions In this section we will introduce our Shopper Mission definitions. These definitions will form the basis of this report and will be referenced throughout. By their nature missions are complex and numerous, but can be broadly categorised according to three key themes. We will look at the role of missions within the whole Path to Purchase and where it fits within the decision hierarchy… …and how the mission is affected by both the shopper context and the mission context. www.Evolution-Insights.com 9
  • 10. Shopper Missions (2) It is not as effective to take a retrospective only look at what they ended up doing, therefore our research use methodologies to establish the original reasons for their trip, and what they intended to buy. In this was we could establish what they had bought that they hadn’t intended to…and why. Mission + Store influences = Shop Characteristics *It is always important to note that missions are not necessarily exclusive, and can often be made up of a number of sub missions. www.Evolution-Insights.com 10
  • 11. Shopper Missions’ Definition’s (2) A household’s main/largest shop, Main Shop which is usually planned and covers a variety of categories A shopping trip with the express purpose Meal For of buying products for consumption the Tonight same evening Relates to a Specific reactive quick trip to a store for items that Top-Up Shop Need/Occasion the consumer has run out of, desires, or for a specific occasion Replenishment A quick trip to replenish key commodity items that are perishable of staple items in nature. Buying any food and/or drink for consumption On-The-Go that day on-the-go, i.e. outside the home www.Evolution-Insights.com 11
  • 12. Path To Purchase (2) Evolution’s Path to Purchase Model Category Channel Mission Channel Category Need State Type Brand ATL Consumer Shopper Decision Mind-set Hierarchy www.Evolution-Insights.com 12
  • 13. Shopper Missions: The Mission Context The ‘mission context’ is Evolution’s model for relating the purpose of a particular shopping trip. Different combinations of the component drivers influence store choice and in-store behaviour on different missions. Drivers of the mission context: Consumer Focus Time Location shopper List Transport Occasion Liquidity constraints relationship • Lists often help focus the shopper on the task in hand, reducing their susceptibility to interruption and impulse purchases. • Transport to and from the store can influence the shopper’s behaviour in-store. Shoppers who walk or take public transport may be more constrained than those with cars in terms of their capacity to carry goods. • Occasion - While top-up missions are often quick focused trips, those for a specific occasion can be more open to marketing. • Liquidity is often variable relating to time of week/month and payment of salary, and can influence the shopper’s mental budget on a given mission. • Focus is the degree of specificity that the shopper has towards their mission, for example it may be a strict mission with little openness to interruption. • Time constraints can often influence store choice and degree of focus for the mission. • Location is the current position of the shopper, for example they may be on foot in the high street on a broader shopping trip, or they may be at home planning their top-up as a specific visit in the car. • The consumer shopper relationship reflects that fact that the shopper and consumer are not always the same. The motivations and behaviour of the shopper vary accordingly. www.Evolution-Insights.com 13
  • 14. Mission - Spend/Trips Here we can see what proportion of the total number of shopping trips are covered by each mission, compared to their proportion share of the total spend. Shopping Spend… 8% 15% 10% trips… 40% 22% 36% 54% 16% www.Evolution-Insights.com 14
  • 15. Main Shop – Shoppers’ Definition Shoppers have varying views to what a large/weekly shop actually means to them. Indeed, what could constitute a main shop to one person (using number of categories bought only) may only constitute a top-up to another. An individuals circumstance has a big impact on this definition. I’d get distracted A weekly shop that I do one every other I shop twice each It’s pay day and I and come out with lasts me for the week week because there are week and I can do need to fill the twice as much stuff Young couple, no children only two of us at home. two full trollies fridge, freezer and if I went I tend to top up a lot. Older family fruit bowl somewhere else No children Young family Single, no family. It’s when I spend the It’s when I take my big I always go either most Because we’ve run recycled bags Post-family Friday nights or out of so much stuff Older family Sundays, there’s only Young family, multiple eggs left in the fridge! children Young family It’s my regular big shop, When you get your I’ve run out of a lot of cleaning shop, your things, we need food for shampoos, the wine, the the weekend... beer No family Older family It’s when I go on my My list had got long enough and I own, I never take the 4 I’m buying for the rest of the week and needed hair gel, however it’ll be a year old the weekend, I usually do today or reduced main shop because the Young family Friday – my days off. The reason I’ve boys are at the child minders all changed and decided to come to Tesco week and we’re eating out a lot at I’ve just got back from a week’s instead of Sainsbury’s is my £5 off £50 the weekend holiday and have nothing fresh in! voucher which came from clubcard Single, no family Young family, multiple children Young family, multiple children www.Evolution-Insights.com 15
  • 16. Top-up Shop - Shopping Lists Top-up missions are Demographic profiles by their nature of shoppers illustrate typically reactive to little variance in specific needs. This is relation to use of a reflected in the vast written shopping list. majority of top-up The exception to this shoppers using either is elderly shoppers a written list or at aged 65-74 who, our least a good idea in research suggests, mind before they are the most likely to enter the store. use a written shopping list. *This refers to the items that drove the mission, i.e. the initial reason for their shopping trip. Whilst conducting this shop, other items are purchased which were unplanned. (We are not suggesting that 75% of items are planned) www.Evolution-Insights.com 16
  • 17. OTG - Penetration (2) With a growth in in Great Britain aged 18-74 who did a top-up shop in the last missions bought fresh this Over 80% of adultsshopping on-the-go we examined the separate on-the-gotwo weeksto see where food.growth is coming from. All four on-the-go missions are being undertaken more regularly than last year, with the most significant growth in the breakfast on- the-go market. • The on-the-go market has grown in all Penetration of the different on-the-go shopper missions as a proportion of the UK missions, driven by increased time and population financial pressures, a faster pace of life and a general change in the work life 80 balance. 70 • 23.0% of the people say that they shop 17.7% for breakfast on-the-go at least once a 8.2% week. This has increased by almost half 60 56.5 53.0 (49.4%) of last years market. 50 • 53.0% of people shop for lunch on-the-go at least once a week, making it the 40 % second most popular on-the-go mission. 30 49.4% • 17.5% of people regularly shop for 23.0 8.2% evening meals on-the-go at least once a 17.5 week, making it the least common on- 20 the-go mission. 10 • 56.5% of people buy snacks on-the-go in between meals. This market has also 0 grown compared to last year, Breakfast Lunchtime Evening Snacking (food demonstrating an increase of 17.7% in and/or drink eaten snacking on-the-go, now making it the between meals) most popular on-the go mission. www.Evolution-Insights.com 17
  • 18. Online - Retailer Tesco’s have placed a lot of emphasis on their online propositions and in turn have become the most popular online retailer. Not only have they been successful in securing loyalty from their own supermarket shoppers, they have also attracted a significant share of shoppers from other retailers, most noticeably Morrisons’ shoppers. Online grocery retailer used by multi-channel shoppers, by offline retailer • Here we can in essence measure the 90.0 extent of store loyalty amongst shoppers. 82.1 With barriers such as location removed 80.0 when shopping online, it is interesting to 70.0 70.0 see where shoppers shop online, compared to offline. Here we can see that 60.0 Tesco shoppers are the most loyal with 50.4 50.0 47.3 82% choosing to also shop with them online. Sainsbury's fair the worst with % 40.0 less than half (47%) of their in store 30.0 24.9 shoppers choosing them as their online 19.4 21.0 retailer and a quarter choosing instead to 20.0 shop online with Tesco. 12.6 6.3 7.1 7.7 8.3 10.0 3.8 3.5 2.5 5.1 1.8 1.8 5.0 5.94.2 0.5 1.00.3 0.5 0.9 0.5 1.8 1.81.2 0.8 0.0 • Perhaps of most interest is the 0.0 destination of Morrisons shoppers who Tesco Asda Sainsbury's Morrisons also shop online. With Morrisons are yet to launch their online offering, and half of Tesco.com Sainsburys.co.uk Asda.co.uk their online shoppers using Tesco.com, Ocado.com Waitrose.com Amazon.co.uk Grocery we suggest that Morrisons may struggle to regain the loyalty of its shoppers whom have already established comfort and Tesco.com has been particularly successful at not only driving high levels of routine with a different online retailer. store loyalty among Tesco shoppers, but attracting significant proportions of other Big 4 shoppers through its universal appeal and leadership in online grocery. www.Evolution-Insights.com 18
  • 19. Planning – Definition (2) When we talk about shoppers planning to buy items, we need to think about the level of planning that takes place. There are four different levels, outlined below, that can be known for each item prior to the shop. The amount of information known tells us the level of planning that has gone into the item. The more planned the item is, the less likely the shopper is to stray. Example The shopper can know any Category – The category which the shopper combination of these, with plans to buy. This is the most basic the item ranging from 25%- information the shopper plans in advance. Cheese 100% planned (if they know all levels of detail). Brand – The brand the shopper plans to buy Cathedral City within that category. Flavour – The flavour or type the shopper plans to buy. Mature White Size – The size or quantity the shopper plans to buy. 200g www.Evolution-Insights.com 19
  • 21. Methodology Evolution’s methodology • Evolution carried out a preliminary survey of around 100 shoppers to test questions for the main survey. • Detailed secondary and desk research is conducted to define Secondary Preliminary the topic area, macro drivers and trends, scope and examples and desk quantitative within the research topic. research survey • Initial insights gained are used to help further design the main survey. • A main survey is completed by at least 1,000 UK adults who are the primary household shopper for food & grocery. Main Focus groups quantitative • Focus groups are carried out to further enhance the secondary survey research and main quantitative survey. • Accompanied shops were carried out with 20 shoppers in order to gain a better understanding of the difference between what the planning and the outcome of the shop. Shopper Accompanied • 20 shoppers kept a diary for the whole of March 2012, which Diary’s shops detailed each shop conducted in that period. Set questions were asked which the shopper filled out both pre- and prior to the shop. • Comprehensive and detailed assessment of all the data received was then used to uncover insights. Insights • Throughout this process, primary research was supported by secondary research drawing on Evolution’s proprietary databases, national statistics, news and industry resources. www.evolution-insights.com 21
  • 22. Methodology: Quantitative Research Main topics of questions in quantitative survey • Detailed shopper insights were gained from a survey of 1,033 Demographic profiling primary shoppers. The samples were fully representative of the UK population. Frequency of Shopper Missions (Online & Offline) and days shopped • The survey contained questions relating to topics outlined to the left – in addition to standard demographic profiling questions Retailers used and Drivers of store choice • The questions were designed to give maximum insight into shopper’s motivation and Level of planning of shop behaviour • Additional questions were asked to give further insights into general Planning of meals behaviour and attitudes into price comparisons. • The survey was carried out during Spring 2012. Spend www.evolution-insights.com 22
  • 24. Glossary ABC1C2DE – Socio demographic profile using job type (if applicable). Food Standards Authority’s traffic light system – a colour coded system to Above the line (ATL) – Advertising using the main 5 media types of show the levels of fat, saturated fat, sugars and salt in food products. television, press, radio, cinema, and posters to promote brands. Impulse – A sudden wish or urge that prompts an unplanned act or feeling App – A smartphone application Index - A statistical measure of change compared to an average. Journey - the path of the shopper through the website. Approach – the way a shopper typically builds their online shopping basket Main Shop - Main household shops, usually planned covering most BBE date – Best before end date categories. Below the line (BTL) – Advertising using non-media communication. MFT – Meal for Tonight Typically sales promotions as short-term incentives, largely aimed at M-commerce - buying and selling of products or services over mobile consumers in-store. electronic systems such as the smartphones Big Four – The largest four grocer retailers in the UK by market share. Mental budget - An often subconscious budget most shoppers possess Budget - An estimate of income and expenditure for a set period of time before and during a shopping trip, which influences overall and individual item spend. Cashback – money shoppers can claim back. Microsite – Internet website dedicated to a particular brand, using a different Category driver – key influences driving the growth of any given category (branded) URL Channel – Retail distribution type for example supermarket, c-store, CTN Modality – The way a shopper behaves in-store. Circumstances – The circumstances of the shopper when and where they OTG – On the GO (mission type) undertake their shop Primary shopper – the main shopper in a household. Demographic – Characteristics of the population (including sex, race, age Promotion – Discounts and offers and income). Retail driver - key influences driving a shoppers choice of retailer Digital media – digital marketing medium for example social media, mobile, Shopper context – Evolution’s model for determining the profile of an digital signage. individual shopper. Digital shopper marketing – Shopper marketing that utilises digital media Shopper marketing – Any marketing activity aimed at the shopper Disposable income – income remaining after deduction of taxes and other throughout their path to purchase. mandatory charges, available to be spent or saved as one wishes. Shopper mission – the reason/purpose of the shopping trip from the shopper’s perspective. DSM – Digital shopper marketing Smartphone – An internet enabled mobile phone device that runs E-commerce - buying and selling of products or services over electronic applications (‘apps’). systems such as the Internet and other computer networks Socio-demographic - Characteristics of the population (including sex, race, Economic climate - the general condition of the economy in a particular age and income). country or in the world Stock up mission - Planned, infrequent and typically high volume. Typically e-retailer/e-tailer – a retailer which trades online. once a month Favourites – a feature of some online food and grocery retailers that allows Technologically savvy – someone who is up-to-date with and uses technology shopper to access a list of products they have bought in the past, most often regularly. or most recently. Top-up - A shopping mission to buy food and grocery for the home in between the main household shop. It excludes food and drink on the go, FMCG – Fast moving consumer goods, often used to refer to a manufacturer. newsagent products and takeaways Food and grocery - Foodstuffs and various household supplies www.evolution-insights.com 24
  • 25. Contact us Evolution Insights Ltd Prospect House 32 Sovereign Street Leeds LS1 4BJ Telephone: 0113 336 6000 e-mail: insights@evolution-insights.com Web: http://www.evolution-insights.com Company No. 07006001 Country of Incorporation: United Kingdom © Evolution Insights Ltd. All rights reserved 25