31. Increase Risk to
PRC Intentional
Increased Space U.S. Satellites &
Satellite
Debris in LEO over 700
Destruction
Spacecrafts
Tracking & DoD Est. by 2010
Targeting ASAT production
Capability to attack
Capabilities by able to destroy
U.S. satellites
Military & Intel most U.S. satellites
Satellites in LEO
Develop Unilateral
Satellite
Stealth Agreement to
Defense
Satellite Space
Systems
Technology Weaponization
32.
33.
34. POSSIBLE “SELF CONFIDENCE” TEST
• Countering U.S. Forces in possible Taiwan dispute
• Weapons challenge U.S. Space Dominance
2006 U.S. NATIONAL SPACE POLICY RESPONSE
• Denial of space to adversaries “hostile” to U.S. Interests
• Before U.S. Space Policy PRC conducted 3 ASAT test and ground based
laser to illuminate a U.S. satellite in “blinding” tests
PRODING THE UNITED STATES IN ARMS CONTROL?
• Analysts cited PRC’s “peaceful motive was to prompt U.S. to engage in
space arms control
• In Dec 2006, U.S. solely voted against UN Res. on “Prevention of Arms
Race In Outer Space” - PAROS
35.
36. MOTIVES
Suppression of the Prague in 1968
Gordievsky assigned to Copenhagen, 1974
THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
40. CONCLUSION
• Intelligence Breakdown
• Think one step ahead of the
competition
• Take care of your sources
• Values can change
THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED