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Navy Seals

Recon Marines

 Pararescue

   Ranger
Increase Risk to
PRC Intentional
                       Increased Space     U.S. Satellites &
   Satellite
                         Debris in LEO         over 700
 Destruction
                                             Spacecrafts

                          Tracking &        DoD Est. by 2010
                           Targeting        ASAT production
Capability to attack
                        Capabilities by      able to destroy
  U.S. satellites
                        Military & Intel   most U.S. satellites
                           Satellites            in LEO


    Develop                                 Unilateral
                          Satellite
     Stealth                               Agreement to
                          Defense
    Satellite                                 Space
                          Systems
   Technology                              Weaponization
POSSIBLE “SELF CONFIDENCE” TEST
• Countering U.S. Forces in possible Taiwan dispute
• Weapons challenge U.S. Space Dominance




2006 U.S. NATIONAL SPACE POLICY RESPONSE
• Denial of space to adversaries “hostile” to U.S. Interests
• Before U.S. Space Policy PRC conducted 3 ASAT test and ground based
  laser to illuminate a U.S. satellite in “blinding” tests



PRODING THE UNITED STATES IN ARMS CONTROL?
• Analysts cited PRC’s “peaceful motive was to prompt U.S. to engage in
  space arms control
• In Dec 2006, U.S. solely voted against UN Res. on “Prevention of Arms
  Race In Outer Space” - PAROS
MOTIVES




                                                               Suppression of the Prague in 1968




Gordievsky assigned to Copenhagen, 1974

                                  THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
CONCLUSION
• Intelligence Breakdown
• Think one step ahead of the
  competition
• Take care of your sources
• Values can change




                  THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
JPEG   PNG
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  • 30. Navy Seals Recon Marines Pararescue Ranger
  • 31. Increase Risk to PRC Intentional Increased Space U.S. Satellites & Satellite Debris in LEO over 700 Destruction Spacecrafts Tracking & DoD Est. by 2010 Targeting ASAT production Capability to attack Capabilities by able to destroy U.S. satellites Military & Intel most U.S. satellites Satellites in LEO Develop Unilateral Satellite Stealth Agreement to Defense Satellite Space Systems Technology Weaponization
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. POSSIBLE “SELF CONFIDENCE” TEST • Countering U.S. Forces in possible Taiwan dispute • Weapons challenge U.S. Space Dominance 2006 U.S. NATIONAL SPACE POLICY RESPONSE • Denial of space to adversaries “hostile” to U.S. Interests • Before U.S. Space Policy PRC conducted 3 ASAT test and ground based laser to illuminate a U.S. satellite in “blinding” tests PRODING THE UNITED STATES IN ARMS CONTROL? • Analysts cited PRC’s “peaceful motive was to prompt U.S. to engage in space arms control • In Dec 2006, U.S. solely voted against UN Res. on “Prevention of Arms Race In Outer Space” - PAROS
  • 35.
  • 36. MOTIVES Suppression of the Prague in 1968 Gordievsky assigned to Copenhagen, 1974 THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
  • 37. THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
  • 38. THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
  • 39.
  • 40. CONCLUSION • Intelligence Breakdown • Think one step ahead of the competition • Take care of your sources • Values can change THIS BRIEF IS UNCLASSIFIED
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  • 43. JPEG PNG