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Collaborative Database and Computational Models
            For Tuberculosis Drug Discovery Decision Making

        Sean Ekins 1,2,3,4, Justin Bradford 1, Krishna Dole 1, Anna Spektor 1, Kellan
           Gregory 1, David Blondeau 1, Moses Hohman 1 and Barry A. Bunin 1

                                   1
                             Collaborative Drug Discovery, Burlingame, CA.
                            2 Collaborations in Chemistry, Jenkintown, PA.
        3 School of Pharmacy, Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Maryland,

                                            Baltimore, MD.
        4 Department of Pharmacology, University of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey-Robert

                           Wood Johnson Medical School, Piscataway, NJ.




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                     Archive, Mine, Collaborate
MASSIVE datasets = Information overload




       http://thecprogrammer.com/ Merriam Webster online                                              http://exitcreative.net/blog/2010/03/data-overload-economist/


Main Entry: mas·sive
Pronunciation: ˈma-siv
Function: adjective
Etymology: Middle English massiffe, from Anglo-French mascif, alteration of massiz, from Vulgar Latin *massicius, from Latin massa mass
Date: 15th century
1 : forming or consisting of a large mass: a : bulky b : weighty, heavy <massive walls> <a massive volume> c : impressively large or ponderous d : having no regular form but not necessarily
lacking crystalline structure <massive sandstone>

2 a : large, solid, or heavy in structure <massive jaw> b : large in scope or degree <the feeling of frustration, of being ineffectual, is massive — David Halberstam> c   (1) : large
in comparison to what is typical <a massive dose of penicillin>Archive, Mine, Collaborate
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
                                                                (2) : being extensive and
The future: crowdsourced drug discovery




Williams et al., Drug Discovery World, Winter 2009
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                              Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Typical Lab:
                                            The Data Explosion Problem & Collaborations




                                    DDT Feb 2009




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                  Archive, Mine, Collaborate
www.collaborativedrug.com




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                  Archive, Mine, Collaborate
CDD Platform

          • CDD Vault – Secure web-based place for private data – private by
            default
          • CDD Collaborate – Selectively share subsets of data
          • CDD Public –public data sets - Over 3 Million compounds, with
            molecular properties, similarity and substructure searching, data
            plotting etc
                 • will host datasets from companies, foundations etc
                 • vendor libraries (Asinex, TimTec, Chembridge)
          • Unique to CDD – simultaneously query your private data,
            collaborators’ data, & public data, Easy GUI




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                           Archive, Mine, Collaborate
CDD TB Project



       •Funded by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation for 2 years Nov 2008- Oct 2010

       •Provide CDD software to Pilot groups and train them to use to store data

       •Provide custom cheminformatics support to pilot groups

       •Accelerate the discovery of new therapies and Advance clinical candidates
       through pipeline

       •Capture TB Literature and make accessible

       •CDD TB is freely available to any groups doing TB research (minimal
       support from CDD)

       •Integrate academic, non-profit, and corporate laboratories distributed across the
       globe
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                                 Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Building a disease community for TB


   • Tuberculosis Kills 1.6-1.7m/yr (~1 every 8 seconds)
   • 1/3rd of worlds population infected!!!!

   • Multi drug resistance in 4.3% of cases and extensively drug
     resistant have increasing incidence
   • No new drugs in over 40 yrs
   • Drug-drug interactions and Co-morbidity with HIV

   •    Collaboration between groups is rare
   •    These groups may work on existing or new targets
   •    Use of computational methods with TB is rare
   •    Literature TB data is not well collated (SAR)


   • Pub #17, Aug 23, 1.30-5.05pm Room 208
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                          Archive, Mine, Collaborate
15
   public
   datasets
   for TB

   >300,000 cpds

   Patents, Papers
   Annotated by CDD




http://www.collaborativedrug.
com/register




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                   Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Data in CDD




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                          Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Visualizing in CDD




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                          Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Visualizing in CDD




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                          Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Molecule data in CDD




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                            Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Learning from TB screening data: MLSMR PCA




PCA analysis - MLSMR dose response (blue, N = 2273) and known Mtb drugs (yellow)
with simple descriptors. IV dosed Mtb drugs cluster (top right).

83.6% of the variance is explained using 9 descriptors in Discovery Studio


© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                               Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010
                                                                                Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Bayesian Classification Screen
      Laplacian-corrected Bayesian classifier models were generated using FCFP-6 and
      simple descriptors. 2 models 220K and 2K compounds
                                       active compounds with MIC < 5uM


Good



                G1: 1704324327            G2: -2092491099          G3: -1230843627           G4: 940811929            G5: 563485513
               73 out of 165 good        57 out of 120 good       75 out of 188 good        35 out of 65 good       123 out of 357 good
              Bayesian Score: 2.885     Bayes ian Score: 2.873   Bayesian Score: 2.811    Bayesian Score: 2.780    Bayesian Score: 2.769




Bad




                 B1: 1444982751           B2: 274564616            B3: -1775057221            B4: 48625803            B5: 899570811
                0 out of 1158 good      0 out of 1024 good         0 out of 982 good        0 out of 740 good        0 out of 738 good
              Bayesian Score: -3.135   Bayesian Score: -3.018    Bayesian Score: -2.978   Bayesian Score: -2.712   Bayesian Score: -2.709



© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                               Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: Archive, Mine,2010
                                                                                                       840-851, Collaborate
Bayesian Classification Dose response

Good




Bad




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                             Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: Archive, Mine,2010
                                                                                     840-851, Collaborate
Bayesian Classification

         Leave out 50% x 100

       Dateset                               Internal
     (number of               External         ROC
     molecules)              ROC Score        Score        Concordance            Specificity        Sensitivity
       MLSMR
   All single point
        screen
   (N = 220463)                 0.86 ± 0     0.86 ± 0       78.56 ± 1.86         78.59 ± 1.94       77.13 ± 2.26
     MLSMR
 dose response set
    (N = 2273)                0.73 ± 0.01   0.75 ± 0.01     66.85 ± 4.06         67.21 ± 7.05       65.47 ± 7.96




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                 Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010
                                                                                         Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Bayesian Classification – test set
  Both Bayesian models were evaluated with two separate test sets (NIAID and GVKbio)
  to describe how they ranked the most active molecules in each database.
                                         60
                                                                                                                      single point screening
                    % compounds active   50
                                                                                     Best                             model,
                                         40

                                         30                                                                           dose response screening
    NIAID                                20
                                                                                                       Random         model
                                         10

                                         0
                                              0    5               10           15           20         25       30
                                                                        % compounds tested


                                         100
    GVKbio                               90
                                         80
                                                       Best
                    % compounds active




                                         70
                                         60
                                                                                                                      single point screening
                                         50                                                                           model,
                                         40
                                         30
                                         20
                                                                                                  Random              dose response screening
                                         10
                                          0                                                                           model
                                               0   5          10           15        20           25     30      35
                                                                        % compounds tested


© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                                                         Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: Archive, Mine,2010
                                                                                                                                 840-851, Collaborate
Filtering a further 100K compound library
                 Number of           Random hit rate       single point screening       dose response
                compounds                        (%)              (200k) Bayesian            Bayesian
                  screened                                              model (%)           model (%)



                               0                      0                           0                       0

                            100              1.66 (0.10)                23 (1.35)               24 (1.41)

                            200              3.32 (0.19)                48 (2.82)               42 (2.47)

                            300              4.98 (0.29)                64 (3.76)               54 (3.17)

                            400              6.63 (0.39)                77 (4.52)               58 (3.41)

                            500              8.29 (0.49)                92 (5.41)               70 (4.11)

                            600              9.95 (0.58)               107 (6.29)               82 (4.82)

                           >10 fold Enrichment with TB Bayesian model

© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                             Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, In Press
                                                                                         Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Hits in the top 100 of the 100,000 compound test set




              Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, In Press
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                    Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Simple descriptors
                                                                                      Atom
              Dataset       MWT             logP       HBD        HBA      RO 5       count       PSA          RBN
           MLSMR



           Active      ≥
           90%
           inhibition at
           10uM             357.10           3.58       1.16       4.89     0.20       42.99       83.46         4.85
           (N = 4096)       (84.70)         (1.39)     (0.93)     (1.94)   (0.48)     (12.70)     (34.31)       (2.43)


           Inactive
           < 90%
           inhibition at
           10uM             350.15            2.82      1.14       4.86      0.09      43.38      85.06          4.91
           (N = 216367)    (77.98)**        (1.44)**   (0.88)     (1.77)   (0.31)**   (10.73)    (32.08)*       (2.35)

           TAACF-
           NIAID CB2

           Active ≥
           90%
           inhibition at
           10uM             349.58           4.04       0.98       4.18     0.19      41.88        70.28         4.76
           (N =1702)        (63.82)         (1.02)     (0.84)     (1.66)   (0.40)     (9.44)      (29.55)       (1.99)


           Inactive
           < 90%
           inhibition at
           10uM             352.59            3.38       1.11      4.24      0.12      42.43       77.75         4.72
           (N =100,931)     (70.87)         (1.36)**   (0.82)**   (1.58)   (0.34)**   (8.94)*    (30.17)**      (1.99)
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                                       Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Pharmacophores for TB drugs




                                                              KEGG




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                     Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Pharmacophores for TB drugs
    We generated common features pharmacophores (Discovery Studio, Accelrys)
    based on the five current first line Mtb agents (rifampicin, ethambutol,
    streptomycin)

    Searched 3D databases of TB screening sets etc.. NIAID (3748), GVKBio (2880)
    and MLSMR dose response data (2273)




           Could this help us suggest mechanism / targets for whole cell screening data ?




             Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                 Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Pharmacophores for TB drugs

   Pharmacophore          NIAID             NIAID actives    GVKbio         GVKbio            MLSMR          MLSMR
                          compounds         retrieved MIC    compounds      actives           dose           dose
                          retrieved (%           µ
                                            < 5µM (% of      retrieved (%   retrieved MIC <   response       response
                          of dataset)       total actives)   of dataset)     µ
                                                                            5µM (% of total   data           actives
                                                                            actives)          compounds      retrieved
                                                                                              retrieved (%          µ
                                                                                                             IC50< 5µM (%
                                                                                              of dataset)    of       total
                                                                                                             actives)
   Rifampicin             0                 0                0              0                 0              0
   Rifampicin             3 (0.08)          3 (0.16)         1 (0.03)       1 (0.26)          0              0
   (no shape)
   Ethambutol             1 (0.03)          1 * (0.05)       1 (0.03)       0                 1 (0.04)       1 * (0.13)
   Ethambutol             19 (0.51)         13 (0.69)        8 (0.28)       0                 2 (0.09)       2 (0.27)*
   (no shape)
   Streptomycin           10 (0.27)         9 * (0.48)       4 (0.14)       1 * (0.26)        0              0



           * Recovered compound used in pharmacophore




             Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                                           Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Pharmacophores for TB drugs
           We created Catalyst databases with the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and
           Genomes (KEGG, N = 11,286), Human metabolome database (N = 2,899) and
           LipidMaps (N = 10,220).

         Pharmacophore              KEGG hits    LipidMaps       HMDB hits   US Drugs Microsource
                                                 database hits               database hits

         Rifampicin                 0            0               0           0
         Rifampicin                 61           1               14          5 (5 antibacterials)
         (no shape)
         Ethambutol                 1*           0               0           1*
         Ethambutol                 9*           2               0           5 * (2 antibacterials)
         (no shape)
         Streptomycin               203*         247             86          11 * (4 antibacterials)



           * Recovered compound used in pharmacophore

            See poster on TB molecular mimics
            Freundlich et al., Pub # 258 Tues Aug 24 – 5.30-7.30pm Hall C

             Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                         Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Large datasets in Pharma


     How could we make ADME or Tox models from pharmas available for
     neglected disease researchers?

     Need open technologies so models can be shared

     What can be developed with very large training and test sets?
     HLM training 50,000 testing 25,000 molecules
            training 194,000 and testing 39,000
     MDCK training 25,000 testing 25,000
     MDR training 25,000 testing 18,400

     Open molecular descriptors – Pfizer work

      (Gupta et al., Pub # 405, Wed 7-9pm Ballroom)

     Rishi R. Gupta, Eric M. Gifford, Ted Liston, Chris L.Waller, Moses Hohman, Barry A.
     Bunin and Sean Ekins, Drug Metab Dispos, In Press 2010
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                      Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Human liver microsomal stability
   HLM training 50,000 testing 25,000 molecules
                                      SVM                  RP Forest Uni        RP Forest            C5.0
                                                           Class

              CDK descriptors         Kappa = 0.14 Kappa = 0.16                 Kappa = 0.11         Kappa = 0.39
                                      Sensitivity = 0.11   Sensitivity = 0.54   Sensitivity = 0.85   Sensitivity = 0.54
                                      Specificity = 0.96   Specificity = 0.70   Specificity = 0.33   Specificity = 0.91
                                      PPV = 0.43           PPV = 0.33           PPV = 0.25           PPV = 0.61




              MOE2D and               Not evaluated        Not evaluated        Not evaluated        Kappa = 0.43
              SMARTS Keys                                                                            Sensitivity = 0.58
                                                                                                     Specificity = 0.91
                                                                                                     PPV = 0.63
                                                                                                     (Baseline)


              CDK and SMARTS          Not evaluated        Not evaluated        Not evaluated        Kappa = 0.43
              Keys                                                                                   Sensitivity = 0.58
                                                                                                     Specificity = 0.91
                                                                                                     PPV = 0.63




              (Gupta et al., Pub # 405, Wed 7-9pm Ballroom)
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                                             Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Massive Human liver microsomal stability model

  HLM Model with CDK and                HLM Model with MOE2D and
  SMARTS Keys:                               SMARTS Keys

                                                                        PCA of training (red) and test (blue)
  •# Descriptors: 578 Descriptors     •# Descriptors: 818 Descriptors               compounds
  •# Training Set compounds:          •# Training Set compounds:
  193,650                             193,930
  •Cross Validation Results:          •Cross Validation Results:
  38,730 compounds                    38,786 compounds
  •Training R2: 0.79                  •Training R2: 0.77
  •20% Test Set R2: 0.69              •20% Test Set R2: 0.69
  Blind Data Set (2310                Blind Data Set (2310
  compounds):                         compounds):
  •R2 = 0.53                          •R2 = 0.53
  •RMSE = 0.367                       •RMSE = 0.367
  Continuous      Categorical:        Continuous      Categorical:
  •κ = 0.40                           •κ = 0.42
  •Sensitivity = 0.16                 •Sensitivity = 0.24
  •Specificity = 0.99                 •Specificity = 0.987
  •PPV = 0.80                         •PPV = 0.823
  Time (sec/compound): 0.252          Time (sec/compound): 0.303



                                                                             Overlap in Chemistry space


         (Gupta et al., Pub # 405, Wed 7-9pm Ballroom)
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                                   Archive, Mine, Collaborate
RRCK Permeability and MDR
                                                                      C5.0 RRCK              C5.0 MDR
MDCK training 25,000 testing                                          Permeability
25,000                                         CDK descriptors        Kappa = 0.47           Kappa = 0.62
                                                                      Sensitivity = 0.59     Sensitivity = 0.85
                                                                      Specificity = 0.93     Specificity = 0.77
MDR training 25,000 testing                                           PPV = 0.67             PPV = 0.83
18,400                                         MOE2D and              Kappa = 0.53           Kappa = 0.67
                                               SMARTS Keys            Sensitivity = 0.64     Sensitivity = 0.86
                                                                      Specificity = 0.94     Specificity = 0.80
                                                                      PPV = 0.72             PPV = 0.85
                                                                      (Baseline)             (Baseline)
                                               CDK and SMARTS         Kappa = 0.50           Kappa = 0.65
                                               Keys                   Sensitivity = 0.62     Sensitivity = 0.86
                                                                      Specificity = 0.94     Specificity = 0.78
                                                                      PPV = 0.68             PPV = 0.84

           Open descriptors results almost identical to commercial descriptors

           Across many datasets and quantitative and qualitative data

           Provides confidence that open models could be viable

         Rishi R. Gupta, Eric M. Gifford, Ted Liston, Chris L.Waller, Moses Hohman, Barry A. Bunin and
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
         Sean Ekins, Drug Metab Dispos, In Press 2010                                      Archive, Mine, Collaborate
The next opportunity for crowdsourcing…
          •     Open source software for molecular descriptors and algorithms
          •     Spend only a fraction of the money on QSAR
          •     Selectively share your models with collaborators and control access
          •     Have someone else host the models / predictions


              Current investments
              >$1M/yr



              >$10-100’s M/yr




                                  Inside company

                                  Collaborators
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                    Archive, Mine, Collaborate
Acknowledgments

   Antony Williams (RSC)
   Joel Freundlich, (Texas A&M)
   Gyanu Lamichhane, Bill Bishai (Johns Hopkins)
   Jeremy Yang (UNM)
   Nicko Goncharoff (SureChem)
   Chris Lipinski
   Takushi Kaneko (TB Alliance)
   Bob Reynolds (SRI)
   Chris Waller, Eric Gifford, Ted Liston, Rishi Gupta (Pfizer)
   Carolyn Talcott and Malabika Sarker (SRI International)

   Accelrys, ChemAxon
   Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation




    ekinssean@yahoo.com ;
    sekins@collaborativedrug.com
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                         Archive, Mine, Collaborate
CDD publishes and shares our scientific knowledge

Rishi R. Gupta, Gifford, EM, Liston T, Waller CL, Hohman M, Bunin BA and Ekins S, Using open source
    computational tools for predicting human metabolic stability and additional ADME/Tox properties, Drug
    Metab Dispos, In Press 2010.

Ekins S and Williams EJ, When Pharmaceutical Companies Publish Large Datasets: An Abundance of riches
    or fool’s gold, Drug Disc Today, In Press 2010.

Ekins S, Gupta R, Gifford E, Bunin BA, Waller CL, Chemical Space: missing pieces in cheminformatics,
    Pharm Res, In Press 2010.

Ekins S. and Williams AJ, Reaching out to collaborators: crowdsourcing for pharmaceutical research, Pharm
    Res, 27: 393-395, 2010.

Ekins S and Williams AJ, Precompetitive Preclinical ADME/Tox Data: Set It Free on The Web to Facilitate
    Computational Model Building to Assist Drug Development. Lab On A Chip, 10: 13-22, 2010.

Ekins S, Bradford J, Dole K, Spektor A, Gregory K, Blondeau D, Hohman M and Bunin BA, A Collaborative
    Database and Computational Models for Tuberculosis Drug Discovery, Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010.

Williams AJ, Tkachenko V, Lipinski C, Tropsha A and Ekins S, Free online resources enabling crowdsourced
     drug discovery, Drug Discovery World, Winter 2009.

Louise-May S, Bunin B and Ekins S, Towards integrated web-based tools in drug discovery, Touch Briefings
    - Drug Discovery, 6: 17-21, 2009.

Hohman M, Gregory K, Chibale K, Smith PJ, Ekins S and Bunin B, Novel web-based tools combining
    chemistry informatics, biology and social networks for drug discovery, Drug Disc Today, 14: 261-270,
© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.                                                  Archive, Mine, Collaborate
    2009.
CDD is Secure & Simple

          •    Web based database (log in securely into your account from any computer
               using any common browser – Firefox, IE, Safari)
          •    Hosted on remote server (lower cost) dual-Xeon, 4GB RAM server with a
               RAID-5 SCSI hard drive array with one online spare
          •    Highly secure, all traffic encrypted, server in a secure professionally hosted
               environment
          •    Automatically backed up nightly
          •    MySQL database
          •    Uses JChemBase software with Rails via a Ruby-Java bridge, (structure
               searching and inserting/ modifying structures)
          •    Marvin applet for structure editing
          •    Export all data to Excel with SMILES, SDF, SAR, & png images




© 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc.
www.collaborativedrug.com                                                   Archive, Mine, Collaborate

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Acs talk data intensive drug design v2

  • 1. Collaborative Database and Computational Models For Tuberculosis Drug Discovery Decision Making Sean Ekins 1,2,3,4, Justin Bradford 1, Krishna Dole 1, Anna Spektor 1, Kellan Gregory 1, David Blondeau 1, Moses Hohman 1 and Barry A. Bunin 1 1 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Burlingame, CA. 2 Collaborations in Chemistry, Jenkintown, PA. 3 School of Pharmacy, Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD. 4 Department of Pharmacology, University of Medicine & Dentistry of New Jersey-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, Piscataway, NJ. © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 2. MASSIVE datasets = Information overload http://thecprogrammer.com/ Merriam Webster online http://exitcreative.net/blog/2010/03/data-overload-economist/ Main Entry: mas·sive Pronunciation: ˈma-siv Function: adjective Etymology: Middle English massiffe, from Anglo-French mascif, alteration of massiz, from Vulgar Latin *massicius, from Latin massa mass Date: 15th century 1 : forming or consisting of a large mass: a : bulky b : weighty, heavy <massive walls> <a massive volume> c : impressively large or ponderous d : having no regular form but not necessarily lacking crystalline structure <massive sandstone> 2 a : large, solid, or heavy in structure <massive jaw> b : large in scope or degree <the feeling of frustration, of being ineffectual, is massive — David Halberstam> c (1) : large in comparison to what is typical <a massive dose of penicillin>Archive, Mine, Collaborate © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. (2) : being extensive and
  • 3. The future: crowdsourced drug discovery Williams et al., Drug Discovery World, Winter 2009 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 4. Typical Lab: The Data Explosion Problem & Collaborations DDT Feb 2009 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 5. www.collaborativedrug.com © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 6. CDD Platform • CDD Vault – Secure web-based place for private data – private by default • CDD Collaborate – Selectively share subsets of data • CDD Public –public data sets - Over 3 Million compounds, with molecular properties, similarity and substructure searching, data plotting etc • will host datasets from companies, foundations etc • vendor libraries (Asinex, TimTec, Chembridge) • Unique to CDD – simultaneously query your private data, collaborators’ data, & public data, Easy GUI © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 7. CDD TB Project •Funded by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation for 2 years Nov 2008- Oct 2010 •Provide CDD software to Pilot groups and train them to use to store data •Provide custom cheminformatics support to pilot groups •Accelerate the discovery of new therapies and Advance clinical candidates through pipeline •Capture TB Literature and make accessible •CDD TB is freely available to any groups doing TB research (minimal support from CDD) •Integrate academic, non-profit, and corporate laboratories distributed across the globe © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 8. Building a disease community for TB • Tuberculosis Kills 1.6-1.7m/yr (~1 every 8 seconds) • 1/3rd of worlds population infected!!!! • Multi drug resistance in 4.3% of cases and extensively drug resistant have increasing incidence • No new drugs in over 40 yrs • Drug-drug interactions and Co-morbidity with HIV • Collaboration between groups is rare • These groups may work on existing or new targets • Use of computational methods with TB is rare • Literature TB data is not well collated (SAR) • Pub #17, Aug 23, 1.30-5.05pm Room 208 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 9. 15 public datasets for TB >300,000 cpds Patents, Papers Annotated by CDD http://www.collaborativedrug. com/register © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 10. Data in CDD © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 11. Visualizing in CDD © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 12. Visualizing in CDD © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 13. Molecule data in CDD © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 14. Learning from TB screening data: MLSMR PCA PCA analysis - MLSMR dose response (blue, N = 2273) and known Mtb drugs (yellow) with simple descriptors. IV dosed Mtb drugs cluster (top right). 83.6% of the variance is explained using 9 descriptors in Discovery Studio © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010 Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 15. Bayesian Classification Screen Laplacian-corrected Bayesian classifier models were generated using FCFP-6 and simple descriptors. 2 models 220K and 2K compounds active compounds with MIC < 5uM Good G1: 1704324327 G2: -2092491099 G3: -1230843627 G4: 940811929 G5: 563485513 73 out of 165 good 57 out of 120 good 75 out of 188 good 35 out of 65 good 123 out of 357 good Bayesian Score: 2.885 Bayes ian Score: 2.873 Bayesian Score: 2.811 Bayesian Score: 2.780 Bayesian Score: 2.769 Bad B1: 1444982751 B2: 274564616 B3: -1775057221 B4: 48625803 B5: 899570811 0 out of 1158 good 0 out of 1024 good 0 out of 982 good 0 out of 740 good 0 out of 738 good Bayesian Score: -3.135 Bayesian Score: -3.018 Bayesian Score: -2.978 Bayesian Score: -2.712 Bayesian Score: -2.709 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: Archive, Mine,2010 840-851, Collaborate
  • 16. Bayesian Classification Dose response Good Bad © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: Archive, Mine,2010 840-851, Collaborate
  • 17. Bayesian Classification Leave out 50% x 100 Dateset Internal (number of External ROC molecules) ROC Score Score Concordance Specificity Sensitivity MLSMR All single point screen (N = 220463) 0.86 ± 0 0.86 ± 0 78.56 ± 1.86 78.59 ± 1.94 77.13 ± 2.26 MLSMR dose response set (N = 2273) 0.73 ± 0.01 0.75 ± 0.01 66.85 ± 4.06 67.21 ± 7.05 65.47 ± 7.96 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010 Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 18. Bayesian Classification – test set Both Bayesian models were evaluated with two separate test sets (NIAID and GVKbio) to describe how they ranked the most active molecules in each database. 60 single point screening % compounds active 50 Best model, 40 30 dose response screening NIAID 20 Random model 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 % compounds tested 100 GVKbio 90 80 Best % compounds active 70 60 single point screening 50 model, 40 30 20 Random dose response screening 10 0 model 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 % compounds tested © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: Archive, Mine,2010 840-851, Collaborate
  • 19. Filtering a further 100K compound library Number of Random hit rate single point screening dose response compounds (%) (200k) Bayesian Bayesian screened model (%) model (%) 0 0 0 0 100 1.66 (0.10) 23 (1.35) 24 (1.41) 200 3.32 (0.19) 48 (2.82) 42 (2.47) 300 4.98 (0.29) 64 (3.76) 54 (3.17) 400 6.63 (0.39) 77 (4.52) 58 (3.41) 500 8.29 (0.49) 92 (5.41) 70 (4.11) 600 9.95 (0.58) 107 (6.29) 82 (4.82) >10 fold Enrichment with TB Bayesian model © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, In Press Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 20. Hits in the top 100 of the 100,000 compound test set Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, In Press © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 21. Simple descriptors Atom Dataset MWT logP HBD HBA RO 5 count PSA RBN MLSMR Active ≥ 90% inhibition at 10uM 357.10 3.58 1.16 4.89 0.20 42.99 83.46 4.85 (N = 4096) (84.70) (1.39) (0.93) (1.94) (0.48) (12.70) (34.31) (2.43) Inactive < 90% inhibition at 10uM 350.15 2.82 1.14 4.86 0.09 43.38 85.06 4.91 (N = 216367) (77.98)** (1.44)** (0.88) (1.77) (0.31)** (10.73) (32.08)* (2.35) TAACF- NIAID CB2 Active ≥ 90% inhibition at 10uM 349.58 4.04 0.98 4.18 0.19 41.88 70.28 4.76 (N =1702) (63.82) (1.02) (0.84) (1.66) (0.40) (9.44) (29.55) (1.99) Inactive < 90% inhibition at 10uM 352.59 3.38 1.11 4.24 0.12 42.43 77.75 4.72 (N =100,931) (70.87) (1.36)** (0.82)** (1.58) (0.34)** (8.94)* (30.17)** (1.99) © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 22. Pharmacophores for TB drugs KEGG © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 23. Pharmacophores for TB drugs We generated common features pharmacophores (Discovery Studio, Accelrys) based on the five current first line Mtb agents (rifampicin, ethambutol, streptomycin) Searched 3D databases of TB screening sets etc.. NIAID (3748), GVKBio (2880) and MLSMR dose response data (2273) Could this help us suggest mechanism / targets for whole cell screening data ? Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 24. Pharmacophores for TB drugs Pharmacophore NIAID NIAID actives GVKbio GVKbio MLSMR MLSMR compounds retrieved MIC compounds actives dose dose retrieved (% µ < 5µM (% of retrieved (% retrieved MIC < response response of dataset) total actives) of dataset) µ 5µM (% of total data actives actives) compounds retrieved retrieved (% µ IC50< 5µM (% of dataset) of total actives) Rifampicin 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rifampicin 3 (0.08) 3 (0.16) 1 (0.03) 1 (0.26) 0 0 (no shape) Ethambutol 1 (0.03) 1 * (0.05) 1 (0.03) 0 1 (0.04) 1 * (0.13) Ethambutol 19 (0.51) 13 (0.69) 8 (0.28) 0 2 (0.09) 2 (0.27)* (no shape) Streptomycin 10 (0.27) 9 * (0.48) 4 (0.14) 1 * (0.26) 0 0 * Recovered compound used in pharmacophore Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 25. Pharmacophores for TB drugs We created Catalyst databases with the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG, N = 11,286), Human metabolome database (N = 2,899) and LipidMaps (N = 10,220). Pharmacophore KEGG hits LipidMaps HMDB hits US Drugs Microsource database hits database hits Rifampicin 0 0 0 0 Rifampicin 61 1 14 5 (5 antibacterials) (no shape) Ethambutol 1* 0 0 1* Ethambutol 9* 2 0 5 * (2 antibacterials) (no shape) Streptomycin 203* 247 86 11 * (4 antibacterials) * Recovered compound used in pharmacophore See poster on TB molecular mimics Freundlich et al., Pub # 258 Tues Aug 24 – 5.30-7.30pm Hall C Ekins et al., Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 26. Large datasets in Pharma How could we make ADME or Tox models from pharmas available for neglected disease researchers? Need open technologies so models can be shared What can be developed with very large training and test sets? HLM training 50,000 testing 25,000 molecules training 194,000 and testing 39,000 MDCK training 25,000 testing 25,000 MDR training 25,000 testing 18,400 Open molecular descriptors – Pfizer work (Gupta et al., Pub # 405, Wed 7-9pm Ballroom) Rishi R. Gupta, Eric M. Gifford, Ted Liston, Chris L.Waller, Moses Hohman, Barry A. Bunin and Sean Ekins, Drug Metab Dispos, In Press 2010 © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 27. Human liver microsomal stability HLM training 50,000 testing 25,000 molecules SVM RP Forest Uni RP Forest C5.0 Class CDK descriptors Kappa = 0.14 Kappa = 0.16 Kappa = 0.11 Kappa = 0.39 Sensitivity = 0.11 Sensitivity = 0.54 Sensitivity = 0.85 Sensitivity = 0.54 Specificity = 0.96 Specificity = 0.70 Specificity = 0.33 Specificity = 0.91 PPV = 0.43 PPV = 0.33 PPV = 0.25 PPV = 0.61 MOE2D and Not evaluated Not evaluated Not evaluated Kappa = 0.43 SMARTS Keys Sensitivity = 0.58 Specificity = 0.91 PPV = 0.63 (Baseline) CDK and SMARTS Not evaluated Not evaluated Not evaluated Kappa = 0.43 Keys Sensitivity = 0.58 Specificity = 0.91 PPV = 0.63 (Gupta et al., Pub # 405, Wed 7-9pm Ballroom) © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 28. Massive Human liver microsomal stability model HLM Model with CDK and HLM Model with MOE2D and SMARTS Keys: SMARTS Keys PCA of training (red) and test (blue) •# Descriptors: 578 Descriptors •# Descriptors: 818 Descriptors compounds •# Training Set compounds: •# Training Set compounds: 193,650 193,930 •Cross Validation Results: •Cross Validation Results: 38,730 compounds 38,786 compounds •Training R2: 0.79 •Training R2: 0.77 •20% Test Set R2: 0.69 •20% Test Set R2: 0.69 Blind Data Set (2310 Blind Data Set (2310 compounds): compounds): •R2 = 0.53 •R2 = 0.53 •RMSE = 0.367 •RMSE = 0.367 Continuous Categorical: Continuous Categorical: •κ = 0.40 •κ = 0.42 •Sensitivity = 0.16 •Sensitivity = 0.24 •Specificity = 0.99 •Specificity = 0.987 •PPV = 0.80 •PPV = 0.823 Time (sec/compound): 0.252 Time (sec/compound): 0.303 Overlap in Chemistry space (Gupta et al., Pub # 405, Wed 7-9pm Ballroom) © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 29. RRCK Permeability and MDR C5.0 RRCK C5.0 MDR MDCK training 25,000 testing Permeability 25,000 CDK descriptors Kappa = 0.47 Kappa = 0.62 Sensitivity = 0.59 Sensitivity = 0.85 Specificity = 0.93 Specificity = 0.77 MDR training 25,000 testing PPV = 0.67 PPV = 0.83 18,400 MOE2D and Kappa = 0.53 Kappa = 0.67 SMARTS Keys Sensitivity = 0.64 Sensitivity = 0.86 Specificity = 0.94 Specificity = 0.80 PPV = 0.72 PPV = 0.85 (Baseline) (Baseline) CDK and SMARTS Kappa = 0.50 Kappa = 0.65 Keys Sensitivity = 0.62 Sensitivity = 0.86 Specificity = 0.94 Specificity = 0.78 PPV = 0.68 PPV = 0.84 Open descriptors results almost identical to commercial descriptors Across many datasets and quantitative and qualitative data Provides confidence that open models could be viable Rishi R. Gupta, Eric M. Gifford, Ted Liston, Chris L.Waller, Moses Hohman, Barry A. Bunin and © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Sean Ekins, Drug Metab Dispos, In Press 2010 Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 30. The next opportunity for crowdsourcing… • Open source software for molecular descriptors and algorithms • Spend only a fraction of the money on QSAR • Selectively share your models with collaborators and control access • Have someone else host the models / predictions Current investments >$1M/yr >$10-100’s M/yr Inside company Collaborators © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 31. Acknowledgments Antony Williams (RSC) Joel Freundlich, (Texas A&M) Gyanu Lamichhane, Bill Bishai (Johns Hopkins) Jeremy Yang (UNM) Nicko Goncharoff (SureChem) Chris Lipinski Takushi Kaneko (TB Alliance) Bob Reynolds (SRI) Chris Waller, Eric Gifford, Ted Liston, Rishi Gupta (Pfizer) Carolyn Talcott and Malabika Sarker (SRI International) Accelrys, ChemAxon Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation ekinssean@yahoo.com ; sekins@collaborativedrug.com © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate
  • 32. CDD publishes and shares our scientific knowledge Rishi R. Gupta, Gifford, EM, Liston T, Waller CL, Hohman M, Bunin BA and Ekins S, Using open source computational tools for predicting human metabolic stability and additional ADME/Tox properties, Drug Metab Dispos, In Press 2010. Ekins S and Williams EJ, When Pharmaceutical Companies Publish Large Datasets: An Abundance of riches or fool’s gold, Drug Disc Today, In Press 2010. Ekins S, Gupta R, Gifford E, Bunin BA, Waller CL, Chemical Space: missing pieces in cheminformatics, Pharm Res, In Press 2010. Ekins S. and Williams AJ, Reaching out to collaborators: crowdsourcing for pharmaceutical research, Pharm Res, 27: 393-395, 2010. Ekins S and Williams AJ, Precompetitive Preclinical ADME/Tox Data: Set It Free on The Web to Facilitate Computational Model Building to Assist Drug Development. Lab On A Chip, 10: 13-22, 2010. Ekins S, Bradford J, Dole K, Spektor A, Gregory K, Blondeau D, Hohman M and Bunin BA, A Collaborative Database and Computational Models for Tuberculosis Drug Discovery, Mol BioSyst, 6: 840-851, 2010. Williams AJ, Tkachenko V, Lipinski C, Tropsha A and Ekins S, Free online resources enabling crowdsourced drug discovery, Drug Discovery World, Winter 2009. Louise-May S, Bunin B and Ekins S, Towards integrated web-based tools in drug discovery, Touch Briefings - Drug Discovery, 6: 17-21, 2009. Hohman M, Gregory K, Chibale K, Smith PJ, Ekins S and Bunin B, Novel web-based tools combining chemistry informatics, biology and social networks for drug discovery, Drug Disc Today, 14: 261-270, © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. Archive, Mine, Collaborate 2009.
  • 33. CDD is Secure & Simple • Web based database (log in securely into your account from any computer using any common browser – Firefox, IE, Safari) • Hosted on remote server (lower cost) dual-Xeon, 4GB RAM server with a RAID-5 SCSI hard drive array with one online spare • Highly secure, all traffic encrypted, server in a secure professionally hosted environment • Automatically backed up nightly • MySQL database • Uses JChemBase software with Rails via a Ruby-Java bridge, (structure searching and inserting/ modifying structures) • Marvin applet for structure editing • Export all data to Excel with SMILES, SDF, SAR, & png images © 2009 Collaborative Drug Discovery, Inc. www.collaborativedrug.com Archive, Mine, Collaborate