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GROUP # 1:
   – JORGE CARRION
   – EDUARDO GARCIA
   – DIEGO SIBRIAN
AGENDA
              • ABOUT SOUTH AFRICA (Geography, Society,
                Politics)
              • NATIONAL ECONOMICS PERFORMANCE
I.- COUNTRY
              • ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS
  ANALYSIS


              • GLOBAL TEXTILES AND APPAREL INDUSTRY
              • TEXTILE AND APPAREL CLUSTER IN SOUTH
                AFRICA
II.-CLUSTER
              • CLUSTER COMPETITIVENESS DIAMOND ANALYSIS
  ANALYSIS
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: GEOGRAPHY
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY



    In 1652, Dutch settlers
  established an outpost of
     the Dutch East India
   Company at the Cape of
  Good Hope—an important
   stopover along the trade
       routes to the East
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY


         The ports Cape Town and
          With the are the main of
          Durban, construction 2
         entry points for incoming
             the Suez Canal in
           1869, however, traffic
             shipments to the
         between Europe and Asia
              Southern Africa
          region, but needed to
            no longer are very far
         navigate around southern
          from major markets in
             Europe and North
                   Africa.
                  America.
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY



                 The discovery of
              diamonds in 1867 and
            Natural resources include
             gold in 1886 stimulated
           coal, iron ore, phosphates,
            rapid economic growth in
           the 19th century, although
                    and copper
              the economy has since
              become more diverse.
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: SOCIETY
Population:          49 Million people

Median age:          24.4 years (AIDS - 18% adult prevalence rate)

Urban population: 60%

Human Development
Index:         125th

GDP per capita:      79th

Racial categories: - African (80%) - Ethnic groups => Zulu, Xhosa, and Sotho
                   - White (9%)
                   - “Coloured” (9%)
                   - Indian (2%)



                  South Africa has a long history of racial segregation, which was
                     institutionalized as the official state policy of apartheid
                                        from 1948 to 1994.
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: POLITICS
1994:- First free election.
        - All residents were permitted to vote regardless of their race.
        - Nelson Mandela was elected President.

1999:-Thabo Mbeki succeeded Mandela.
2008:-Thabo Mbeki was ousted in internal party disputes.
        -Macroeconomic policy orientation had not improved opportunities for
        disadvantaged groups.

2009:   -African National Congress (ANC) elected Jacob Zuma.
        -There is disappointment among poor Africans about the slow pace of change in
        their position since 1994.
        -But the ruling ANC is in a long-running alliance with the Congress of South African
        Trade Unions (COSATU) and the South African Communist Party (SACP), so there is
        not a threat.
        - Domestically, the government will continue to confront the ongoing HIV/AIDS
        pandemic and persistent economic inequality.
NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE:
GDP AND GROWTH
GDP per capita:      - $12,450 (in 2006 at PPP). (Exhibit 1 and 2)
Real GDP:            - $455.2 billion (PPP at 2005 prices).
                     - Accounted for 65.6 % of the combined GDP of all
                     economies in the Southern Africa region.
1994 to 2004:        - Real GDP grew at a compound annual growth rate of
                     3.1 percent.
                     - The average annual growth rate in labor productivity was
                     5.5%
                     - Decline of labor force in 0.6 million workers (-3.7%)
2004 to 2008:        - Economic growth has since accelerated to 4.6 percent
                     - The average annual growth rate in labor productivity was
                     2.2%
                     - Expansion of labor force in 1.7 million workers (+10.7%)

        The post-2004 acceleration in growth has been driven mainly
           by domestic demand and has been financed through a
                       rising current account deficit
NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE:
ECONOMIC PROFILE
                                        South Africa Export Portfolio
          GDP CONTRIBUTION
        Service Sector   Industry
        Agriculture   Others
             2.50% 0.50%

             30.00%
                          67.00%




                                            The largest clusters in terms of value are metal
- South Africa was leader in producer of
                                            mining and manufacturing , followed by jewelry
platinum, gold, and chromium.
                                            and precious metals, hospitality and tourism, and
- But retail sales had decreased by 4.4 %
                                            automotive, which have all been declining in world
and manufacturing had dropped by 4.0%
                                            market share. The clusters with the greatest
(by the end of 2008)
                                            increases in world market share have been coal and
                                            financial services
NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE:
ECONOMIC PROFILE
                     • Workers have entered the formal labor force at a faster
 The problems of       rate than jobs have been created.
       high          • Unemployment is concentrated among low-skilled
 unemployment          workers and is linked to historical racial inequality:
 and entrenched        •      Overall unemployment 25%: African 32% vs.
 inequality have              Whites 5% (Exhibit 5 and 6)
    persisted.           •    Industries employ workers with low skill levels
                              have been in steady decline.




    The overall    • One of the most unequal countries in the world: Gini
 poverty rate was    coefficient is ranked lower than Namibia, Bolivia, Haiti and
57 percent in 2001   Paraguay (2001). (Exhibit 3)
NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE:
CONSTRAINTS TO CONTINUED AND
SHARED GROWTH
 The government has
      pursued the        • To raise the annual growth rate to 6 percent and reduce
    Accelerated and        poverty and unemployment by half by 2014.
    Shared Growth        • Improved competitiveness, and equality through the
  Initiative for South     creation of opportunities for the previously
 Africa (ASGISA) since     disadvantaged black population.
          2005




                         • The robust domestic demand has been met by imports:
                           persistent current account deficit. (Exhibit 8)
    Weaknesses           • The current condition of its transportation and energy
                           infrastructure limits its ability to expand exports. (no
                           investment)
NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE:
ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL
COMPETITIVENESS
- Global Competitiveness Index :       # 36 of 74 countries (2008)



- World Bank data:
   - Government effectiveness:      75%
   - Regulatory quality:            70%
   - Control of corruption:         67%
                              (Exhibit 9 – 16)


   South Africa benefits from sophisticated financial markets, but lags in
    primary education, national savings, quality of infrastructure, and the
      incidence of serious disease, including tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS
Factor Conditions

• Three important factors negatively impact South
  Africa’s competitiveness and constrain business: an
  inadequately educated workforce, crime and
  theft, and inadequate infrastructure
• The efficiency of financial markets is one of South
  Africa’s greatest strengths, among factor conditions.
  The World Economic Forum gives South Africa high
  scores for ease of accessing loans, availability of
  venture capital and the sophistication of the financial
  sector
Context for Firm Strategy and
Rivalry
• The labor market is characterized by a low
  level of flexibility in the labor market.
  According to an assessment by the World
  Bank, South Africa’s score on an index of labor
  rigidity is (42/100)
• There are considerable constraints on hiring
  and firing employees, wage determination is
  rigid, and employer-worker relations are
  considered to be weak
Context for firm Strategy and
Rivalry
• South Africa does have a number of strengths
  in facilitating competition in domestic
  markets. In an assessment of competitiveness
  across countries, South Africa ranked high on
  efficacy of corporate boards (14); efficacy of
  legal framework (16); protection of minority
  shareholders’ interest (11); effectiveness of
  anti-monopoly policy (10) and intellectual
  property protection (19).
Country Related and Supporting
            Industries
• The availability of research and training services
  and the quality of collaboration between
  universities and industry research contribute to
  the South Africa’s capacity for innovation, which
  the WEF ranks at 28 across countries
• . The quality of domestic Information and
  Communication Technologies suppliers is
  generally high, but they have limited capacity to
  meet market demand
Demand Conditions

• The domestic market benefits from an
  increasing black middle class but also faces
  the limitations of a extremely high inequality
  and the persistence of a dual economy with
  the black majority relying on work and even
  consumption in the informal sector
Strategic Issues

• Macroeconomic stability: Its real exchange rate has been volatile in the
   past decade and its current account deficit continues to increase as a
   share of GDP.
• Regional opportunities: The neighboring countries are poorer and have
   much smaller economies.
 • The economic impact of legacy of apartheid: Deeply rooted in
   political, economic and social inequality, South Africa is confronting the
   impact of apartheid on: the structure of the economy (informal/formal;
   “one country, two economies”), the labor market (lack of skilled
   workers, rigidity of employment and strong unions, productivity), social
   indicators (poor public health and transmissible diseases; low level of
   education), market size (large inequalities) and the business environment
   (crime and violence associated in part with high levels of inequality).
 • Infrastructure: South Africa has some important weaknesses in electricity
   supply, ICT, ports, and logistical infrastructure.
South Africa Country Diamond
Global Textile Industry

                               3.8%
5.0%
                32.1%                       4.1%
                                 29.8%
                                           2.9%

                        2.9%
             2.3%                4.1%
                                         1.5%
Global Apparel Industry

                               3.8%
1.2%

                31.1%                    1.2%
                                 33.2%
                                         2.5%

 1.4%                   3.0%
                                         1.7%

                                  3.0%
Textile Value Chain



                                       Finished
 Fibers        Yarn       Fabric
                                       Product

Natural      Carding    Weaving     Clothing
Man-Made     Combing    Knitting    Home Furnishings
             Spinning   Bleaching   Industry
             Dyeing     Dyeing
                        Finishing
Trends in the Value Chain
•   Geographical shifts. The shift of apparel manufacturing from developed to low-
    cost countries has been pronounced over the past decade, with China leading the
    way in winning market share.
•   Transnational Corporations (TNCs). The emergence of large international retailers
    has come to dominate the global textiles and apparel industry, influencing the
    geographical locations of parts of the value chain and putting further downward
    pressure on prices because of their immense bargaining power.

•   “Lean retailing”. Retailers increasingly prefer not to undertake supply chain
    activities and therefore transfer these onto its suppliers. This necessitates the
    supplier to offer a “full package” service, which can include taking responsibility
    for sourcing fabric and trim upstream and taking on logistics, transportation, and
    delivery downstream.

•   Speed-to-market. With the emergence of apparel retailers such as Zara and
    H&M, new standards for fast turnover in styles and fashion trends have
    emerged, necessitating ever shorter product life- spans. This puts considerable
    demands on the apparel manufacturers to respond to a series of small, irregular
Development of the Cluster

• In the early 1920s, the South African clothing
  sector was almost nonexistent. Clothing was
  either imported or tailored
• The industry began with the manufacturing of
  blankets by limited number of small companies in
  Johannesburg and Cape Town in 1920s and 1930s
• During World War II, the industries provided
  blankets, rugs and sheeting; employed 3,500
  workers; and supplied 90 percent of domestic
  need
Development of the Cluster

• After World War II, the cluster expanded into
  furnishings, industrial textiles and clothing.
• In the 1960s, the cluster further expanded into
  synthetic fibers and the sector almost doubled in
  size
• Because apartheid limited the use of African
  labor in urban areas, the clothing industry moved
  to areas with concentrations of Indian and
  Colored labor: Durban, Cape Town, and areas
  bordering “Bantustans.”
Development of the Cluster

• Cape Town soon became the center of the
  South African clothing industry, partly driven
  by the large retail chains based there. In the
  Western Cape, from 1935 to 1980 the number
  of firms increased from 30 to 332, and the
  number of employees increased from 3,500 to
  53,421
Development of the Cluster

• Liberalization and the restructuring of the
  industry resulted in large decreases in
  employment, while productivity has increased
  through cost-minimization and downsizing
  rather than production growth.
• A total of 30,000 clothing and textile jobs
  were lost between 1996 and 1999, as the
  firms competed on cost-minimization and
  downsizing
Current Cluster Condition

• In the past decade, domestic demand for clothing
  and textile has been constantly increasing, but
  the domestic industry has not captured the
  growing demand
• Imports of textiles have grown rapidly to an all-
  time high, while exports have stagnated
• Countries with cheaper labor force, including
  China, have captured large share of sales volume
  in the global market, which has pushed down the
  international prices
Current Cluster Condition

• the labor cost in South Africa is much higher than
  competitors, South African textile cluster is losing
  in the price competition to cheaper exporters.
• The employment in clothing industry was
  121,108 in 1990, but it decreased to 59,580 in
  2001
• Employment in the textile industry has also
  declined in recent years, decreasing from 70,500
  in 2003 to approximately 50,500 in 2006 (Textile
  Federation of South Africa, 2009).
Firm Strategies in the Cluster
Companies in the cluster have survived the tough competition in the domestic market, because
of the following strategies.

Price competition: These low-end firms compete mainly in cost-minimization. They import
cheap products in the domestic market by vertically integrating with modern container berth
and mobilizing modern equipment. E.g. SBH Cotton.

Exporting high-end product: These firms sell high-end products to retail outlets in international
markets in Europe. E.g. Monatic, which has been successful in selling a large volume of
fashionable men’s suits, but the proximity from the large international market limits their ability
to keep up with up-to-date fashions.

Diversify to value-added products: These companies diversified their products and dominate
niche segments of the market. They consolidate with related industries, including chemical and
medical industries. E.g. Gelvenor Textiles, which specializes in technical textiles and has 50
percent global market share in parachute fabrics.
Map of South African Textiles and
        Apparel Cluster

                                    O
I                                   u
n                                   t
p                                   p
u                                   u
t                                   t

I                                   I
n                                   n
d                                   d
u                                   u
s                                   s
t                                   t
r                                   r
i                                   i
e                                   e
s                                   s
Cluster Competitiveness
South Africa’s textile and clothing industry is concentrated in three provinces: Western
Cape, Kwazulu-natal and Gauteng.




                                    Clothing Firms
350              327

300
                                           239
250                                                                  219

200

150

100

 50

  0
            Western Cape              Northern areas             KwaZulu-Natal
South Africa – Textiles and
  Apparel Development




         Development of textile manufacturing    Cluster expands
                                    cluster in   into Industrial
                Cape Town and Johannesburg       textiles and apparel
                                       1920s     1945
Textile and Clothing Industries
•   Textile and clothing industries are interdependent, as the fabric is the single most
    significant input into the clothing sector ( half of the cost to produce a garment).
•   Without an efficient and supportive textiles industry, clothing industry expansion is
    constrained. On the other hand, clothing industry’s growth in export would have a
    positive impact on the textile industry by creating higher demand.
•   The clothing industry requires a significant amount of low-skilled labor; as much as 83
    percent of employees in the Western Cape clothing industry was semi- and unskilled in
    2004.
•   Firms in the textile and clothing cluster vary from well-established large firms to small &
    medium enterprises and home industries.


                                            Number of Firms by Revenues
                  Unanswered               55
                                                        145
            11-25 Million Rand                   82
                                                74                                                Number of Firms
       Less than 5 Million Rand                                                             429

                                  0   50        100   150     200   250   300   350   400   450
Institutions for Collaboration
•   The cluster has many potential Institutions for Collaboration (IFC), including
    associations of employers, labor unions, and government initiatives. The problem
    is their fragmentation and lack of coordination.
•   Labor unions in South Africa played important role in fighting against apartheid
    and have maintained strong political power.
•   Cooperation between labor and employer is very low in South Africa in general
    (GCI - ranked 65th ).
•   Organizations that can play an important role:
        Clothing Manufacturers Association
        CMT Employers association
        Bargaining Council for the Clothing Industry
        Clothing Trade Council of South Africa
        Industrial Development Corporation
        Garment Manufacturers Association
        Clothing Industry Export Council
        South Africa Clothing and Textiles Workers Union (SACTWU)



•   Some of these groups have undertaken activities to mobilize stakeholders in the
    cluster. E.g. SACTWU has organized the Cape Town Fashion Festival with the theme
    “Wear South African” since 2003.
Cluster Competitiveness Diamond
             Analysis
   The South African textile and apparel cluster shares some of the key
   challenges and advantages identified in the country competitiveness
   analysis.

• Efficient financial market is helpful in nurturing new enterprises in the
  cluster.

• A growing black African middle-class is a driving force for the cluster to
  shift to the high-end sophisticated market.

• High-income inequality limits the size of an emerging sophisticated
  market.

• The high cost of labor, influenced by strong labor unions, rigidity of
  employment and the restriction by the Black Economic Empowerment
  policy, is a significant obstacle for the cluster development.

• Lack of high-skilled labor.
Factor Conditions
•    High factor costs (especially labor cost) constraint the ability of the cluster to
     compete with foreign companies in on price.

    Country              South Africa           China               Sri-          India
                                                                    Lanka
    USD per hour 1.36                           0.68-0.88           0.48          0.38

•    The labor cost disadvantage is crucial, because the cluster is labor- intensive.

•    The high labor cost is due in part to the rigidity of employment. Strong labor
     unions and BEE limit the option of companies in hiring and firing.

•    Regulations regarding overtime and shift pay, sick leave and pension contributions
     pose an additional burden for firms
Factor Conditions
    Raw Materials
•   Limited access to raw materials is another important challenge to accessing the
    high-end market.
•   Domestically produced fabrics are limited in terms of their volume and variety.
    Cotton produced in South Africa is relatively low, and the cluster cannot rely on
    domestic cotton for high-quality products
•   Other weaknesses in the cluster: long lead times, poor delivery reliability and
    deteriorating quality performance


    Distance from International Markets
•   The long distance from EU and US limits the ability of South African firms in
    updating the design in high-end fashion market
•   As firms compete in lead time in the high-end fashion market, the distance from
    these markets and the transportation time required by it will be a huge
    disadvantage for South African companies
•   Low quality of infrastructure in domestic logistics is an additional challenge. This
    problem is more severe for the companies outside the Western Cape
Context for Firm Strategy and
                Rivalry
•   While the competition among domestic companies is competitive and well
    regulated, South Africa has a problem in dealing with imported products.

      Customs control can be very ineffective, many Chinese products are imported without
       any duties or customs.

      Illegal dumping of foreign products is also a threat to local producers.

•   With the aim of reducing the impact of Chinese imported products, the
    government introduced the China Restraint Arrangement in 2007. This scheme
    introduced a quota for Chinese export to South Africa, but the effect was
    questionable because of the loose customs control.

•   Since that arrangement expired at the end of 2008, the government considered
    the implementation of a “Rescue Plan” to provide subsidies to local textile and
    clothing industries and help them compete in the domestic and international
    markets.
Relating and Supporting
                    Industries
•   The lack of trust and cooperation between clothing producers and textile
    producers obstructs the ability of firms to compete effectively.
•   Different segments in the cluster are fighting against each other to protect their
    own profits rather than collaborating with each other to promote the
    competitiveness of the cluster.

Opportunities
• Potential collaboration with growing design-related industries.
      Benefit from the growing fashion, arts and film industries, if they can cooperate with
       each other to create high end products and promote South African products in domestic
       and international markets.
      Design and fashion industry is growing but still weak, and it needs improvement in the
       technical schools in design and fashion. Cape Town Fashion Week is a good trial to
       market the design industry and clothing industry of South Africa to the international
       market.
•   Collaboration between retailers and manufacturers..
Demand Conditions
•   The South African domestic market has a growing middle-class black population
    that is increasingly sophisticated in its consumption decisions.
      This is a segment in the domestic market that the textile cluster can compete
        in quality and uniqueness of the products.

•   The income disparity in the country limits the size of the sophisticated market.
      The country needs to address the problem of inequality to create a significant
        and sustainably large segment of the market that will support higher- end
        products.

•   International markets in the US and the European Union are another opportunity
    for the cluster. AGOA and the FTA with the EU provide the companies with
    valuable access to these markets.
      If companies in the cluster increasingly develop unique products, they can
         improve their ability to penetrate these markets.
South Africa - Textile and Apparel
        Cluster Diamond
Cluster - Challenges
1. Imports impact:
• Imports of Chinese clothing products increased by 335% from 2002 to 2004.
• China is the most important source of South Africa’s clothing imports
    (74.3%), followed by India (5.4%).
• South Africa’s tariff on clothing products is 45%, the highest level allowed by WTO.
• The imported productions have dominated the local textile and clothing market
    and thus seriously threaten the survive of the local manufactures.
• It is estimated that the volume of illegal imports is almost the same as that of legal
    imports and therefore presents a significant challenge.
2. Exports decline:
•   Textile exports kept increasing from 1995 to 2002, but begun declining since 2003.
                     South Africa Textile Exports (2001- 2006)
                6
                4               4.5                                       Exports
                       3.4               3.8
                                                  3.2      3.2      3.1
                2
                0
                    2001     2002     2003     2004     2005     2006
South Africa Textile
                Cluster Challenges
3. Employment crisis:
•   The employment of textile and clothing sector declined remarkably from about
    190,000 (2000) to about 130,000 (2006).
•   55,000 textile workers struck for two weeks in September, 2009, requesting for
    higher pay.

4. Economic crisis
•   GDP declined in 2009

               Quarter              Q1 2009               Q2 2009
               GDP rate               -6.4%                 -3.0%
•   Unemployment rate is now close to 30%
5. Workplace productivity:
•   Low levels of productivity and management
•   Lack of innovation and technology enhancement
•   Lack of skilled workers and technicians
                                                                                     48
South Africa Textile
                  Cluster Challenges
6. Poor Infrastructure
•   Value chains need to be strengthened (lack of raw material suppliers)
•   Electric Supply quality deterioration; power outages (lack of sufficient
    investment)

7. Health and welfare of the population:
•   HIV/AIDS & Tuberculosis pandemic affecting workers abilities
•   Excessive and widespread crime (ranked last among 74 countries)
•   Equality through creation of opportunities for disadvantaged black population
Q &A

       50

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Microeconomics and Competitiveness

  • 1. GROUP # 1: – JORGE CARRION – EDUARDO GARCIA – DIEGO SIBRIAN
  • 2. AGENDA • ABOUT SOUTH AFRICA (Geography, Society, Politics) • NATIONAL ECONOMICS PERFORMANCE I.- COUNTRY • ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS ANALYSIS • GLOBAL TEXTILES AND APPAREL INDUSTRY • TEXTILE AND APPAREL CLUSTER IN SOUTH AFRICA II.-CLUSTER • CLUSTER COMPETITIVENESS DIAMOND ANALYSIS ANALYSIS
  • 4. COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY In 1652, Dutch settlers established an outpost of the Dutch East India Company at the Cape of Good Hope—an important stopover along the trade routes to the East
  • 5. COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY The ports Cape Town and With the are the main of Durban, construction 2 entry points for incoming the Suez Canal in 1869, however, traffic shipments to the between Europe and Asia Southern Africa region, but needed to no longer are very far navigate around southern from major markets in Europe and North Africa. America.
  • 6. COUNTRY ANALYSIS: HISTORY The discovery of diamonds in 1867 and Natural resources include gold in 1886 stimulated coal, iron ore, phosphates, rapid economic growth in the 19th century, although and copper the economy has since become more diverse.
  • 10. COUNTRY ANALYSIS: SOCIETY Population: 49 Million people Median age: 24.4 years (AIDS - 18% adult prevalence rate) Urban population: 60% Human Development Index: 125th GDP per capita: 79th Racial categories: - African (80%) - Ethnic groups => Zulu, Xhosa, and Sotho - White (9%) - “Coloured” (9%) - Indian (2%) South Africa has a long history of racial segregation, which was institutionalized as the official state policy of apartheid from 1948 to 1994.
  • 11. COUNTRY ANALYSIS: POLITICS 1994:- First free election. - All residents were permitted to vote regardless of their race. - Nelson Mandela was elected President. 1999:-Thabo Mbeki succeeded Mandela. 2008:-Thabo Mbeki was ousted in internal party disputes. -Macroeconomic policy orientation had not improved opportunities for disadvantaged groups. 2009: -African National Congress (ANC) elected Jacob Zuma. -There is disappointment among poor Africans about the slow pace of change in their position since 1994. -But the ruling ANC is in a long-running alliance with the Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU) and the South African Communist Party (SACP), so there is not a threat. - Domestically, the government will continue to confront the ongoing HIV/AIDS pandemic and persistent economic inequality.
  • 12. NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: GDP AND GROWTH GDP per capita: - $12,450 (in 2006 at PPP). (Exhibit 1 and 2) Real GDP: - $455.2 billion (PPP at 2005 prices). - Accounted for 65.6 % of the combined GDP of all economies in the Southern Africa region. 1994 to 2004: - Real GDP grew at a compound annual growth rate of 3.1 percent. - The average annual growth rate in labor productivity was 5.5% - Decline of labor force in 0.6 million workers (-3.7%) 2004 to 2008: - Economic growth has since accelerated to 4.6 percent - The average annual growth rate in labor productivity was 2.2% - Expansion of labor force in 1.7 million workers (+10.7%) The post-2004 acceleration in growth has been driven mainly by domestic demand and has been financed through a rising current account deficit
  • 13. NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: ECONOMIC PROFILE South Africa Export Portfolio GDP CONTRIBUTION Service Sector Industry Agriculture Others 2.50% 0.50% 30.00% 67.00% The largest clusters in terms of value are metal - South Africa was leader in producer of mining and manufacturing , followed by jewelry platinum, gold, and chromium. and precious metals, hospitality and tourism, and - But retail sales had decreased by 4.4 % automotive, which have all been declining in world and manufacturing had dropped by 4.0% market share. The clusters with the greatest (by the end of 2008) increases in world market share have been coal and financial services
  • 14. NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: ECONOMIC PROFILE • Workers have entered the formal labor force at a faster The problems of rate than jobs have been created. high • Unemployment is concentrated among low-skilled unemployment workers and is linked to historical racial inequality: and entrenched • Overall unemployment 25%: African 32% vs. inequality have Whites 5% (Exhibit 5 and 6) persisted. • Industries employ workers with low skill levels have been in steady decline. The overall • One of the most unequal countries in the world: Gini poverty rate was coefficient is ranked lower than Namibia, Bolivia, Haiti and 57 percent in 2001 Paraguay (2001). (Exhibit 3)
  • 15. NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: CONSTRAINTS TO CONTINUED AND SHARED GROWTH The government has pursued the • To raise the annual growth rate to 6 percent and reduce Accelerated and poverty and unemployment by half by 2014. Shared Growth • Improved competitiveness, and equality through the Initiative for South creation of opportunities for the previously Africa (ASGISA) since disadvantaged black population. 2005 • The robust domestic demand has been met by imports: persistent current account deficit. (Exhibit 8) Weaknesses • The current condition of its transportation and energy infrastructure limits its ability to expand exports. (no investment)
  • 16. NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS - Global Competitiveness Index : # 36 of 74 countries (2008) - World Bank data: - Government effectiveness: 75% - Regulatory quality: 70% - Control of corruption: 67% (Exhibit 9 – 16) South Africa benefits from sophisticated financial markets, but lags in primary education, national savings, quality of infrastructure, and the incidence of serious disease, including tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS
  • 17. Factor Conditions • Three important factors negatively impact South Africa’s competitiveness and constrain business: an inadequately educated workforce, crime and theft, and inadequate infrastructure • The efficiency of financial markets is one of South Africa’s greatest strengths, among factor conditions. The World Economic Forum gives South Africa high scores for ease of accessing loans, availability of venture capital and the sophistication of the financial sector
  • 18. Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry • The labor market is characterized by a low level of flexibility in the labor market. According to an assessment by the World Bank, South Africa’s score on an index of labor rigidity is (42/100) • There are considerable constraints on hiring and firing employees, wage determination is rigid, and employer-worker relations are considered to be weak
  • 19. Context for firm Strategy and Rivalry • South Africa does have a number of strengths in facilitating competition in domestic markets. In an assessment of competitiveness across countries, South Africa ranked high on efficacy of corporate boards (14); efficacy of legal framework (16); protection of minority shareholders’ interest (11); effectiveness of anti-monopoly policy (10) and intellectual property protection (19).
  • 20. Country Related and Supporting Industries • The availability of research and training services and the quality of collaboration between universities and industry research contribute to the South Africa’s capacity for innovation, which the WEF ranks at 28 across countries • . The quality of domestic Information and Communication Technologies suppliers is generally high, but they have limited capacity to meet market demand
  • 21. Demand Conditions • The domestic market benefits from an increasing black middle class but also faces the limitations of a extremely high inequality and the persistence of a dual economy with the black majority relying on work and even consumption in the informal sector
  • 22. Strategic Issues • Macroeconomic stability: Its real exchange rate has been volatile in the past decade and its current account deficit continues to increase as a share of GDP. • Regional opportunities: The neighboring countries are poorer and have much smaller economies. • The economic impact of legacy of apartheid: Deeply rooted in political, economic and social inequality, South Africa is confronting the impact of apartheid on: the structure of the economy (informal/formal; “one country, two economies”), the labor market (lack of skilled workers, rigidity of employment and strong unions, productivity), social indicators (poor public health and transmissible diseases; low level of education), market size (large inequalities) and the business environment (crime and violence associated in part with high levels of inequality). • Infrastructure: South Africa has some important weaknesses in electricity supply, ICT, ports, and logistical infrastructure.
  • 24. Global Textile Industry 3.8% 5.0% 32.1% 4.1% 29.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 4.1% 1.5%
  • 25. Global Apparel Industry 3.8% 1.2% 31.1% 1.2% 33.2% 2.5% 1.4% 3.0% 1.7% 3.0%
  • 26. Textile Value Chain Finished Fibers Yarn Fabric Product Natural Carding Weaving Clothing Man-Made Combing Knitting Home Furnishings Spinning Bleaching Industry Dyeing Dyeing Finishing
  • 27. Trends in the Value Chain • Geographical shifts. The shift of apparel manufacturing from developed to low- cost countries has been pronounced over the past decade, with China leading the way in winning market share. • Transnational Corporations (TNCs). The emergence of large international retailers has come to dominate the global textiles and apparel industry, influencing the geographical locations of parts of the value chain and putting further downward pressure on prices because of their immense bargaining power. • “Lean retailing”. Retailers increasingly prefer not to undertake supply chain activities and therefore transfer these onto its suppliers. This necessitates the supplier to offer a “full package” service, which can include taking responsibility for sourcing fabric and trim upstream and taking on logistics, transportation, and delivery downstream. • Speed-to-market. With the emergence of apparel retailers such as Zara and H&M, new standards for fast turnover in styles and fashion trends have emerged, necessitating ever shorter product life- spans. This puts considerable demands on the apparel manufacturers to respond to a series of small, irregular
  • 28. Development of the Cluster • In the early 1920s, the South African clothing sector was almost nonexistent. Clothing was either imported or tailored • The industry began with the manufacturing of blankets by limited number of small companies in Johannesburg and Cape Town in 1920s and 1930s • During World War II, the industries provided blankets, rugs and sheeting; employed 3,500 workers; and supplied 90 percent of domestic need
  • 29. Development of the Cluster • After World War II, the cluster expanded into furnishings, industrial textiles and clothing. • In the 1960s, the cluster further expanded into synthetic fibers and the sector almost doubled in size • Because apartheid limited the use of African labor in urban areas, the clothing industry moved to areas with concentrations of Indian and Colored labor: Durban, Cape Town, and areas bordering “Bantustans.”
  • 30. Development of the Cluster • Cape Town soon became the center of the South African clothing industry, partly driven by the large retail chains based there. In the Western Cape, from 1935 to 1980 the number of firms increased from 30 to 332, and the number of employees increased from 3,500 to 53,421
  • 31. Development of the Cluster • Liberalization and the restructuring of the industry resulted in large decreases in employment, while productivity has increased through cost-minimization and downsizing rather than production growth. • A total of 30,000 clothing and textile jobs were lost between 1996 and 1999, as the firms competed on cost-minimization and downsizing
  • 32. Current Cluster Condition • In the past decade, domestic demand for clothing and textile has been constantly increasing, but the domestic industry has not captured the growing demand • Imports of textiles have grown rapidly to an all- time high, while exports have stagnated • Countries with cheaper labor force, including China, have captured large share of sales volume in the global market, which has pushed down the international prices
  • 33. Current Cluster Condition • the labor cost in South Africa is much higher than competitors, South African textile cluster is losing in the price competition to cheaper exporters. • The employment in clothing industry was 121,108 in 1990, but it decreased to 59,580 in 2001 • Employment in the textile industry has also declined in recent years, decreasing from 70,500 in 2003 to approximately 50,500 in 2006 (Textile Federation of South Africa, 2009).
  • 34. Firm Strategies in the Cluster Companies in the cluster have survived the tough competition in the domestic market, because of the following strategies. Price competition: These low-end firms compete mainly in cost-minimization. They import cheap products in the domestic market by vertically integrating with modern container berth and mobilizing modern equipment. E.g. SBH Cotton. Exporting high-end product: These firms sell high-end products to retail outlets in international markets in Europe. E.g. Monatic, which has been successful in selling a large volume of fashionable men’s suits, but the proximity from the large international market limits their ability to keep up with up-to-date fashions. Diversify to value-added products: These companies diversified their products and dominate niche segments of the market. They consolidate with related industries, including chemical and medical industries. E.g. Gelvenor Textiles, which specializes in technical textiles and has 50 percent global market share in parachute fabrics.
  • 35. Map of South African Textiles and Apparel Cluster O I u n t p p u u t t I I n n d d u u s s t t r r i i e e s s
  • 36. Cluster Competitiveness South Africa’s textile and clothing industry is concentrated in three provinces: Western Cape, Kwazulu-natal and Gauteng. Clothing Firms 350 327 300 239 250 219 200 150 100 50 0 Western Cape Northern areas KwaZulu-Natal
  • 37. South Africa – Textiles and Apparel Development Development of textile manufacturing Cluster expands cluster in into Industrial Cape Town and Johannesburg textiles and apparel 1920s 1945
  • 38. Textile and Clothing Industries • Textile and clothing industries are interdependent, as the fabric is the single most significant input into the clothing sector ( half of the cost to produce a garment). • Without an efficient and supportive textiles industry, clothing industry expansion is constrained. On the other hand, clothing industry’s growth in export would have a positive impact on the textile industry by creating higher demand. • The clothing industry requires a significant amount of low-skilled labor; as much as 83 percent of employees in the Western Cape clothing industry was semi- and unskilled in 2004. • Firms in the textile and clothing cluster vary from well-established large firms to small & medium enterprises and home industries. Number of Firms by Revenues Unanswered 55 145 11-25 Million Rand 82 74 Number of Firms Less than 5 Million Rand 429 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
  • 39. Institutions for Collaboration • The cluster has many potential Institutions for Collaboration (IFC), including associations of employers, labor unions, and government initiatives. The problem is their fragmentation and lack of coordination. • Labor unions in South Africa played important role in fighting against apartheid and have maintained strong political power. • Cooperation between labor and employer is very low in South Africa in general (GCI - ranked 65th ). • Organizations that can play an important role:  Clothing Manufacturers Association  CMT Employers association  Bargaining Council for the Clothing Industry  Clothing Trade Council of South Africa  Industrial Development Corporation  Garment Manufacturers Association  Clothing Industry Export Council  South Africa Clothing and Textiles Workers Union (SACTWU) • Some of these groups have undertaken activities to mobilize stakeholders in the cluster. E.g. SACTWU has organized the Cape Town Fashion Festival with the theme “Wear South African” since 2003.
  • 40. Cluster Competitiveness Diamond Analysis The South African textile and apparel cluster shares some of the key challenges and advantages identified in the country competitiveness analysis. • Efficient financial market is helpful in nurturing new enterprises in the cluster. • A growing black African middle-class is a driving force for the cluster to shift to the high-end sophisticated market. • High-income inequality limits the size of an emerging sophisticated market. • The high cost of labor, influenced by strong labor unions, rigidity of employment and the restriction by the Black Economic Empowerment policy, is a significant obstacle for the cluster development. • Lack of high-skilled labor.
  • 41. Factor Conditions • High factor costs (especially labor cost) constraint the ability of the cluster to compete with foreign companies in on price. Country South Africa China Sri- India Lanka USD per hour 1.36 0.68-0.88 0.48 0.38 • The labor cost disadvantage is crucial, because the cluster is labor- intensive. • The high labor cost is due in part to the rigidity of employment. Strong labor unions and BEE limit the option of companies in hiring and firing. • Regulations regarding overtime and shift pay, sick leave and pension contributions pose an additional burden for firms
  • 42. Factor Conditions Raw Materials • Limited access to raw materials is another important challenge to accessing the high-end market. • Domestically produced fabrics are limited in terms of their volume and variety. Cotton produced in South Africa is relatively low, and the cluster cannot rely on domestic cotton for high-quality products • Other weaknesses in the cluster: long lead times, poor delivery reliability and deteriorating quality performance Distance from International Markets • The long distance from EU and US limits the ability of South African firms in updating the design in high-end fashion market • As firms compete in lead time in the high-end fashion market, the distance from these markets and the transportation time required by it will be a huge disadvantage for South African companies • Low quality of infrastructure in domestic logistics is an additional challenge. This problem is more severe for the companies outside the Western Cape
  • 43. Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry • While the competition among domestic companies is competitive and well regulated, South Africa has a problem in dealing with imported products.  Customs control can be very ineffective, many Chinese products are imported without any duties or customs.  Illegal dumping of foreign products is also a threat to local producers. • With the aim of reducing the impact of Chinese imported products, the government introduced the China Restraint Arrangement in 2007. This scheme introduced a quota for Chinese export to South Africa, but the effect was questionable because of the loose customs control. • Since that arrangement expired at the end of 2008, the government considered the implementation of a “Rescue Plan” to provide subsidies to local textile and clothing industries and help them compete in the domestic and international markets.
  • 44. Relating and Supporting Industries • The lack of trust and cooperation between clothing producers and textile producers obstructs the ability of firms to compete effectively. • Different segments in the cluster are fighting against each other to protect their own profits rather than collaborating with each other to promote the competitiveness of the cluster. Opportunities • Potential collaboration with growing design-related industries.  Benefit from the growing fashion, arts and film industries, if they can cooperate with each other to create high end products and promote South African products in domestic and international markets.  Design and fashion industry is growing but still weak, and it needs improvement in the technical schools in design and fashion. Cape Town Fashion Week is a good trial to market the design industry and clothing industry of South Africa to the international market. • Collaboration between retailers and manufacturers..
  • 45. Demand Conditions • The South African domestic market has a growing middle-class black population that is increasingly sophisticated in its consumption decisions.  This is a segment in the domestic market that the textile cluster can compete in quality and uniqueness of the products. • The income disparity in the country limits the size of the sophisticated market.  The country needs to address the problem of inequality to create a significant and sustainably large segment of the market that will support higher- end products. • International markets in the US and the European Union are another opportunity for the cluster. AGOA and the FTA with the EU provide the companies with valuable access to these markets.  If companies in the cluster increasingly develop unique products, they can improve their ability to penetrate these markets.
  • 46. South Africa - Textile and Apparel Cluster Diamond
  • 47. Cluster - Challenges 1. Imports impact: • Imports of Chinese clothing products increased by 335% from 2002 to 2004. • China is the most important source of South Africa’s clothing imports (74.3%), followed by India (5.4%). • South Africa’s tariff on clothing products is 45%, the highest level allowed by WTO. • The imported productions have dominated the local textile and clothing market and thus seriously threaten the survive of the local manufactures. • It is estimated that the volume of illegal imports is almost the same as that of legal imports and therefore presents a significant challenge. 2. Exports decline: • Textile exports kept increasing from 1995 to 2002, but begun declining since 2003. South Africa Textile Exports (2001- 2006) 6 4 4.5 Exports 3.4 3.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
  • 48. South Africa Textile Cluster Challenges 3. Employment crisis: • The employment of textile and clothing sector declined remarkably from about 190,000 (2000) to about 130,000 (2006). • 55,000 textile workers struck for two weeks in September, 2009, requesting for higher pay. 4. Economic crisis • GDP declined in 2009 Quarter Q1 2009 Q2 2009 GDP rate -6.4% -3.0% • Unemployment rate is now close to 30% 5. Workplace productivity: • Low levels of productivity and management • Lack of innovation and technology enhancement • Lack of skilled workers and technicians 48
  • 49. South Africa Textile Cluster Challenges 6. Poor Infrastructure • Value chains need to be strengthened (lack of raw material suppliers) • Electric Supply quality deterioration; power outages (lack of sufficient investment) 7. Health and welfare of the population: • HIV/AIDS & Tuberculosis pandemic affecting workers abilities • Excessive and widespread crime (ranked last among 74 countries) • Equality through creation of opportunities for disadvantaged black population
  • 50. Q &A 50