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The Human Face of Climate Change
    Exploring the impact of climate change on humans and societies




   Teton County Library
  Jackson Hole, Wyoming
    17 September 2010

     Edward Cameron
edwardcameron@yahoo.com
How does climate change
interact with human and social
systems?

Why is this instrumentally as
well as intrinsically important?

What can we do to shape
effective and equitable
responses to this global crisis?
Climate Change: The basics

Unequivocal means that climate
change is real and undeniable

Accelerating means that the
effect is getting worse

“Very Likely” Anthropogenic
means a probability of more than
90% that it is human induced
and not the result of natural
causes
Climate Change: The impacts

Global mean temperature rises

Risks to unique and threatened
systems

Risks of extreme weather events

Changes in water patterns

Sea-level rises

Risks of large-scale singularities
Vulnerability to climate change
Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change
and variation in which a system is EXPOSED, its SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE
CAPACITY (IPCC 2007a, p21)
Who are vulnerable?




๏   Women
๏   Indigenous Peoples
๏   The urban poor
๏   Inhabitants of small island
    states
๏   Vulnerability is not a uniform
    taxonomy
Poverty, hunger and increased water scarcity




๏   Temperature rises beyond 2°C could leave an additional 600 million
    facing acute malnutrition by the 2080s, and as many as 4 billion people
    experiencing growing water shortages.
Loss of livelihoods




๏   Livelihood sources of the poor are usually narrow and climate-
    sensitive. In periods of stress they draw down on a variety of assets
    and resources leaving them further exposed to the next risk.
Health and fatalities
๏   Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue and yellow fever are
    expected to increase. Today, approximately 40% of the world’s population
    is at risk from malaria. This is projected to rise to 80% by 2080.
Involuntary displacement and migration




๏   By 2050, between 200 and 300 million people may be
    permanently displaced due to climate change
Damage to infrastructure and utilities




๏   Slow and rapid climate impacts destroys assets and infrastructure

๏   Public utilities can be severely undermined with impacts on long-
    term development
Opportunity cost of climate change responses




๏   Valuable assets are diverted from development to combat climate
    change impacts

๏   Climate change mitigation may alter the way we look at livelihood
    diversification and access to affordable energy
Social justice, violent conflict and state fragility




๏   Climate change acts as a “threat multiplier” that heightens the conditions
    for internal conflict, sows the seeds of instability in already volatile
    regions, and increases the likelihood of failed states.
Failed promises and missed opportunities

We are at a crossroads

The destination seems impossibly distant
Inform

Persuade

Mobilize

Incentivize

Overcome the denial
“The great tragedy of sustainable development is that we
have not invented a politics to go with the concept”.
James MacNeill, former Secretary General of the
Brundtland Commission




                                                                  Teton County Library
         The Human Face of Climate Change                        Jackson Hole, Wyoming
Exploring the impact of climate change on humans and societies     17 September 2010
What does a human focus offer?

Discourse

Diagnosis

Design of process, institutions,
policies and instruments

Evaluation and assessment

Substantive outcomes
What can we do as a community?




                       Lead (1) - Get the politics right:
                           International
                           Domestic
                           Corporate
                           Municipal and local
                           Household
Climate change building blocks




Lead (2) - The building blocks:
   Mitigation
   Adaptation
   Technology
   Finance
What can you do?




                   Lead (3) - The Four Cs:
                      Citizen
                      Consumer
                      Communicator
                      Change Agent
“Right now a moment of time is passing by!
     We must become that moment.”

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Jackson Hole Teton County Library Pdf Version

  • 1. The Human Face of Climate Change Exploring the impact of climate change on humans and societies Teton County Library Jackson Hole, Wyoming 17 September 2010 Edward Cameron edwardcameron@yahoo.com
  • 2.
  • 3. How does climate change interact with human and social systems? Why is this instrumentally as well as intrinsically important? What can we do to shape effective and equitable responses to this global crisis?
  • 4. Climate Change: The basics Unequivocal means that climate change is real and undeniable Accelerating means that the effect is getting worse “Very Likely” Anthropogenic means a probability of more than 90% that it is human induced and not the result of natural causes
  • 5. Climate Change: The impacts Global mean temperature rises Risks to unique and threatened systems Risks of extreme weather events Changes in water patterns Sea-level rises Risks of large-scale singularities
  • 6. Vulnerability to climate change Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change and variation in which a system is EXPOSED, its SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE CAPACITY (IPCC 2007a, p21)
  • 7. Who are vulnerable? ๏ Women ๏ Indigenous Peoples ๏ The urban poor ๏ Inhabitants of small island states ๏ Vulnerability is not a uniform taxonomy
  • 8. Poverty, hunger and increased water scarcity ๏ Temperature rises beyond 2°C could leave an additional 600 million facing acute malnutrition by the 2080s, and as many as 4 billion people experiencing growing water shortages.
  • 9. Loss of livelihoods ๏ Livelihood sources of the poor are usually narrow and climate- sensitive. In periods of stress they draw down on a variety of assets and resources leaving them further exposed to the next risk.
  • 10. Health and fatalities ๏ Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue and yellow fever are expected to increase. Today, approximately 40% of the world’s population is at risk from malaria. This is projected to rise to 80% by 2080.
  • 11. Involuntary displacement and migration ๏ By 2050, between 200 and 300 million people may be permanently displaced due to climate change
  • 12. Damage to infrastructure and utilities ๏ Slow and rapid climate impacts destroys assets and infrastructure ๏ Public utilities can be severely undermined with impacts on long- term development
  • 13. Opportunity cost of climate change responses ๏ Valuable assets are diverted from development to combat climate change impacts ๏ Climate change mitigation may alter the way we look at livelihood diversification and access to affordable energy
  • 14. Social justice, violent conflict and state fragility ๏ Climate change acts as a “threat multiplier” that heightens the conditions for internal conflict, sows the seeds of instability in already volatile regions, and increases the likelihood of failed states.
  • 15. Failed promises and missed opportunities We are at a crossroads The destination seems impossibly distant
  • 17. “The great tragedy of sustainable development is that we have not invented a politics to go with the concept”. James MacNeill, former Secretary General of the Brundtland Commission Teton County Library The Human Face of Climate Change Jackson Hole, Wyoming Exploring the impact of climate change on humans and societies 17 September 2010
  • 18. What does a human focus offer? Discourse Diagnosis Design of process, institutions, policies and instruments Evaluation and assessment Substantive outcomes
  • 19. What can we do as a community? Lead (1) - Get the politics right: International Domestic Corporate Municipal and local Household
  • 20. Climate change building blocks Lead (2) - The building blocks: Mitigation Adaptation Technology Finance
  • 21. What can you do? Lead (3) - The Four Cs: Citizen Consumer Communicator Change Agent
  • 22. “Right now a moment of time is passing by! We must become that moment.”