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UCaaS: Mobility & the Future of Comms
Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis
Singapore, Oct 23rd 2013
dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com

@disruptivedean
About Disruptive Analysis








London-based analyst house & strategic consulting firm
Cross-silo, contrarian, visionary, independent
Advisor to telcos, vendors, regulators & investors
Covering VoIP since 1997 & 3G/4G mVoIP since 2007
Published report on “Telco-OTT Strategies”, Feb 2012
New report on WebRTC, Feb 2013
Workshops on Future of Voice & TelcoOTT

Twitter @disruptivedean

October 2013

Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Neuroscience explains reluctance to change


Predictable irrationality



Endowment effect
Optimism bias
Confirmation bias
Defence of belief systems





Oct 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
UC & MOBILITY

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
“Mobility” has many meanings & contexts
Mobile Device

October 2013

Mobile Network / Calls

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

“On the move”
Historically, UC/comms & mobile = 2 worlds

Telco

Comms as an “owned function”

Comms as a “billed service”

Enterprise control & numbering
Call control in PBX/UC system
On premise
Fixed/short numbering
5-7 year cycles
Little end-user choice
Only limited technical

Telco control & numbering
Call control in telco network
Managed service
Mobile numbering
1-2 year cycles
Personal preferences huge

& commercial linkage
in the past
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Two simultaneous challenges for IT/comms
Cloud

?

Classic
enterprise
IT &
comms
systems

October 2013

Mobility

... and cost, security & better
alignment with the business

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
BYOD realities





Becoming pervasive & inevitable
80%+ of employees use own devices/services for business...
... although a smaller % of companies have a formal BYOD policy
BYOD typically driven by productivity, increased mobility & employee
harmony reasons, rather than cost-saving
BYOD prevalence (all
business sizes), 2012

Source: Intel Survey Oct 2012, n=3000
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
BYOD is an acceleration of an old trend
Home
phone

Fax

1993
PBX

Home bPersonal band
email

2003

Personal
Email &
social

Company
email
Company
mobile

Deskphones losing to mobile calls & email...
... which are inherently more “consumerisable”
October 2013

Potential
reach of
own device

IP-PBX

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Personal
mobile

2013
Company
Email &
social

UC

Company
mobile
Retain share of employee comms; manage risk


Need to be realistic: employees have broad choice of comms




Companies need mindset of “competing for market share”






Corporate policies & S/W for controlling most important risks
Education & training of staff about risks
Best-in-class tools & apps to capture & retain user “loyalty”

Pick the winnable fights




Some choices made by clients / partners (eg LinkedIn, conferencing)

Depends on industry & company

More important to have company service than device

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
BYOD risks & best-practice








Corporate-approved security software (needs to be cross-OS)
Virtualisation / work & personal profiles and data stores
Remote-wipe capability
Liability for users’ personal data / privacy concerns
Employee code-of-conduct
Regulatory limits (vary by country / industry)
Various issues around apps & containerisation approaches




Move to web-apps, browsers & HTML5 will add complexity

Ongoing assessment of consumerisation trends / user
perspective; responsiveness to change

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Not just BYOD.... countering the risk of BYOX



If corporate-run communications capabilities are not good
enough, employees will start using their own web-based tools
Staff already choose their own phones, WiFi hotspots etc....
Web-conferencing
service
Informal contact
centre
Messaging &
enterprise social

Enterprises need both strong policies & capable inhouse options to minimise risks of “self-outsourcing”
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
“Communications” extends beyond mobile calls

Mobile calls
E2E/B2B/B2C

SMS & IM &
Email

Conferencing
from mobile

Mobility ever more entwined with business process.
Separation from UC/IT no longer realistic
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Mobile
collaboration &
productivity
Earlier versions of mobile UC were weak
03
06
08

3G

Numbering
issues

VoIPo3G
tricky

Clunky
UI / UX

Roaming

?
Provisioning /
mgmt of apps hard
October 2013

User
unfamiliarity

Platform / OS
limitations

Awkward WiFi
experience

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Unpredictable
costs
2013: Mobile UC & UCaaS vastly improved

06 (+08)
Numbering
best-practice

VoIPo4G
OK + QoS

Design
improved

Platform / OS
capable

MDM &
BYOD
Better
processes
October 2013

Comms apps
widely used

WiFi improved
& common

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Tablet
support
Changing: Service provider attitudes


In the past, telcos (especially mobile):







Now, things are changing:









Too focused on SIMs & minutes
Coupling of access + service
Limited understanding of enterprise needs & solutions & vendors
Fixed/mobile hybrid offers
More integration / solutions skill-sets
Acceptance of 3rd-party access (WiFi, OTT etc)
Willingness to work with key vendors
Cloud, API & future potential roadmaps

UCaaS (+mobility) now entering mass market

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Different UC options
Sweet spot for
most enterprises

Non-unified
cloud & web
comms
• Inexpensive
• Cutting-edge
• Secure?
• Robust?
• Mobility hard

October 2013

Premisebased
vendor UC
• Capex+Opex
• Feature set
• Mobility?
• Management
• IT integration
• Control
• Separate comms
services
• Hard to provision

SP-hosted
vendor UC &
mobility
• Opex-centric
• Mobile integrtn
• Mobile VAS eg WiFi
• Billing integration
• Vendor ecosystem
• Lower admin o/head
• Easy updates
• Managed security

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

SP innetwork
IMS-based
• Opex-centric
• Flexibility?
• Features?
• IT integration?
• Slow evolution
THE FUTURE OF VOICE &
COMMUNICATIONS
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Intent....

Why do people make
phone calls*, anyway?

*or send messages, have conferences, use IM & presence
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Voice ≠ Telephony
Historic communications

Future voice apps & services

Voice

Voice &
video

Telephony

Telephony

Voicemail
Conferencing
PTT

In-game chat, CEBP,
surveillance, social
Video voice, telepresence etc

Communications getting richer & moving “in-context”
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Context, sense9
Fragmentation of voice (& msgng/video) models

Standalone
Circuit calls
IP

Embedded
app/web
calls

Oct 2013

Non-call
comms

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
The role of video in communications



Video really needs to have a clear “purpose”
We will not default to “video everywhere”






Ergonomics, social norms, behaviour
No interruptive straight-to-video calls
Numerous niches for B2B, B2C, C2C






Even more contextualised than voice & messaging

Skype calls between distant relatives / expats / diaspora
Customer service (NB staff retraining)
Personal consulting

Need for interoperability unclear as in-context/in=app

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Mobile UC/UCaaS meets the Cloud
APIs & mashups
Integration

Enterprise
apps

Social

UC
Cloud comms

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

Recording
Translation
Analytics
Transcription etc
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Design & software simpler via the Web

June 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Benefits of WebRTC











Democratises voice & video in websites & apps
Add context to communications & vice-versa
Cheap / easy / open-source components
Advocacy from Google, major vendors, telcos, IETF, W3C etc
Enterprises & telcos can extend comms over the Internet
Real momentum & enthusiasm
No predefined signalling
Growing ecosystem even pre-standardisation
Realtime data even more disruptive

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
WebRTC will drive disruptive service innovation

Million

Device base supporting WebRTC growing Zero4bn in 4 years

Source: Disruptive Analysis WebRTC Strategy Report, Feb 2013 & Q2 Update August 2013
Definitions & methodology in report - See disruptivewireless.blogspot.com for details
October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
Conclusions


Mobility & cloud are two key drivers for enterprise comms & IT










Mobility = productivity, flexibility, lower costs, higher morale

But need to acknowledge that BYO models inevitable for most
Look for tools to help control security & spending...
... & retain enterprise “market share” of employee comms
Mobile UCaaS maturing
Fits with both BYOD & corporate-issued devices
Aligns with future of comms (cloud, APIs, social WebRTC etc)

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
www.disruptive-analysis.com
disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
@disruptivedean

information@disruptive-analysis.com
Skype:disruptiveanalysis

October 2013

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013

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Mobile UCaaS Unified Comms as a Service - Disruptive Analysis Oct 2013

  • 1. UCaaS: Mobility & the Future of Comms Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis Singapore, Oct 23rd 2013 dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean
  • 2. About Disruptive Analysis        London-based analyst house & strategic consulting firm Cross-silo, contrarian, visionary, independent Advisor to telcos, vendors, regulators & investors Covering VoIP since 1997 & 3G/4G mVoIP since 2007 Published report on “Telco-OTT Strategies”, Feb 2012 New report on WebRTC, Feb 2013 Workshops on Future of Voice & TelcoOTT Twitter @disruptivedean October 2013 Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 3. Neuroscience explains reluctance to change  Predictable irrationality  Endowment effect Optimism bias Confirmation bias Defence of belief systems    Oct 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 4. UC & MOBILITY October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 5. “Mobility” has many meanings & contexts Mobile Device October 2013 Mobile Network / Calls Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 “On the move”
  • 6. Historically, UC/comms & mobile = 2 worlds Telco Comms as an “owned function” Comms as a “billed service” Enterprise control & numbering Call control in PBX/UC system On premise Fixed/short numbering 5-7 year cycles Little end-user choice Only limited technical Telco control & numbering Call control in telco network Managed service Mobile numbering 1-2 year cycles Personal preferences huge & commercial linkage in the past October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 7. Two simultaneous challenges for IT/comms Cloud ? Classic enterprise IT & comms systems October 2013 Mobility ... and cost, security & better alignment with the business Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 8. BYOD realities     Becoming pervasive & inevitable 80%+ of employees use own devices/services for business... ... although a smaller % of companies have a formal BYOD policy BYOD typically driven by productivity, increased mobility & employee harmony reasons, rather than cost-saving BYOD prevalence (all business sizes), 2012 Source: Intel Survey Oct 2012, n=3000 October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 9. BYOD is an acceleration of an old trend Home phone Fax 1993 PBX Home bPersonal band email 2003 Personal Email & social Company email Company mobile Deskphones losing to mobile calls & email... ... which are inherently more “consumerisable” October 2013 Potential reach of own device IP-PBX Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 Personal mobile 2013 Company Email & social UC Company mobile
  • 10. Retain share of employee comms; manage risk  Need to be realistic: employees have broad choice of comms   Companies need mindset of “competing for market share”     Corporate policies & S/W for controlling most important risks Education & training of staff about risks Best-in-class tools & apps to capture & retain user “loyalty” Pick the winnable fights   Some choices made by clients / partners (eg LinkedIn, conferencing) Depends on industry & company More important to have company service than device October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 11. BYOD risks & best-practice        Corporate-approved security software (needs to be cross-OS) Virtualisation / work & personal profiles and data stores Remote-wipe capability Liability for users’ personal data / privacy concerns Employee code-of-conduct Regulatory limits (vary by country / industry) Various issues around apps & containerisation approaches   Move to web-apps, browsers & HTML5 will add complexity Ongoing assessment of consumerisation trends / user perspective; responsiveness to change October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 12. Not just BYOD.... countering the risk of BYOX   If corporate-run communications capabilities are not good enough, employees will start using their own web-based tools Staff already choose their own phones, WiFi hotspots etc.... Web-conferencing service Informal contact centre Messaging & enterprise social Enterprises need both strong policies & capable inhouse options to minimise risks of “self-outsourcing” October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 13. “Communications” extends beyond mobile calls Mobile calls E2E/B2B/B2C SMS & IM & Email Conferencing from mobile Mobility ever more entwined with business process. Separation from UC/IT no longer realistic October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 Mobile collaboration & productivity
  • 14. Earlier versions of mobile UC were weak 03 06 08 3G Numbering issues VoIPo3G tricky Clunky UI / UX Roaming ? Provisioning / mgmt of apps hard October 2013 User unfamiliarity Platform / OS limitations Awkward WiFi experience Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 Unpredictable costs
  • 15. 2013: Mobile UC & UCaaS vastly improved 06 (+08) Numbering best-practice VoIPo4G OK + QoS Design improved Platform / OS capable MDM & BYOD Better processes October 2013 Comms apps widely used WiFi improved & common Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 Tablet support
  • 16. Changing: Service provider attitudes  In the past, telcos (especially mobile):     Now, things are changing:       Too focused on SIMs & minutes Coupling of access + service Limited understanding of enterprise needs & solutions & vendors Fixed/mobile hybrid offers More integration / solutions skill-sets Acceptance of 3rd-party access (WiFi, OTT etc) Willingness to work with key vendors Cloud, API & future potential roadmaps UCaaS (+mobility) now entering mass market October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 17. Different UC options Sweet spot for most enterprises Non-unified cloud & web comms • Inexpensive • Cutting-edge • Secure? • Robust? • Mobility hard October 2013 Premisebased vendor UC • Capex+Opex • Feature set • Mobility? • Management • IT integration • Control • Separate comms services • Hard to provision SP-hosted vendor UC & mobility • Opex-centric • Mobile integrtn • Mobile VAS eg WiFi • Billing integration • Vendor ecosystem • Lower admin o/head • Easy updates • Managed security Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 SP innetwork IMS-based • Opex-centric • Flexibility? • Features? • IT integration? • Slow evolution
  • 18. THE FUTURE OF VOICE & COMMUNICATIONS October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 19. Intent.... Why do people make phone calls*, anyway? *or send messages, have conferences, use IM & presence October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 20. Voice ≠ Telephony Historic communications Future voice apps & services Voice Voice & video Telephony Telephony Voicemail Conferencing PTT In-game chat, CEBP, surveillance, social Video voice, telepresence etc Communications getting richer & moving “in-context” October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 Context, sense9
  • 21. Fragmentation of voice (& msgng/video) models Standalone Circuit calls IP Embedded app/web calls Oct 2013 Non-call comms Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 22. The role of video in communications   Video really needs to have a clear “purpose” We will not default to “video everywhere”     Ergonomics, social norms, behaviour No interruptive straight-to-video calls Numerous niches for B2B, B2C, C2C     Even more contextualised than voice & messaging Skype calls between distant relatives / expats / diaspora Customer service (NB staff retraining) Personal consulting Need for interoperability unclear as in-context/in=app October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 23. Mobile UC/UCaaS meets the Cloud APIs & mashups Integration Enterprise apps Social UC Cloud comms October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013 Recording Translation Analytics Transcription etc
  • 25. Design & software simpler via the Web June 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 26. Benefits of WebRTC          Democratises voice & video in websites & apps Add context to communications & vice-versa Cheap / easy / open-source components Advocacy from Google, major vendors, telcos, IETF, W3C etc Enterprises & telcos can extend comms over the Internet Real momentum & enthusiasm No predefined signalling Growing ecosystem even pre-standardisation Realtime data even more disruptive October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 27. WebRTC will drive disruptive service innovation Million Device base supporting WebRTC growing Zero4bn in 4 years Source: Disruptive Analysis WebRTC Strategy Report, Feb 2013 & Q2 Update August 2013 Definitions & methodology in report - See disruptivewireless.blogspot.com for details October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013
  • 28. Conclusions  Mobility & cloud are two key drivers for enterprise comms & IT        Mobility = productivity, flexibility, lower costs, higher morale But need to acknowledge that BYO models inevitable for most Look for tools to help control security & spending... ... & retain enterprise “market share” of employee comms Mobile UCaaS maturing Fits with both BYOD & corporate-issued devices Aligns with future of comms (cloud, APIs, social WebRTC etc) October 2013 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2013