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Disaster
It's Not Like a
Hollywood Movie!
David Alexander
University College London
what does it mean to you?
Bernard Kowalski, 1969
The Hollywood model:
disasters cause the order of society to break down.
The Hollywood model:
inside each of us there is a savage waiting
to get out: disaster liberates that persona.
• damage, destruction and suffering abound
• unpleasant truths about preparedness are revealed
• power politics go into action
• wealth differentials are shown up in high relief
• disasters are everyday events.
The harsh reality of disaster
Disasters open up a window on the world
...and the result is sobering, but highly instructive
...but there can be
some bizarre
moments...
emergency-planning.blogspot.com
Myth: Natural disasters are an
inevitable result of Mother
Nature's fury.
Reality: Disaster is almost always the
result of people and communities
putting themselves at risk.
There is nothing very natural
or inevitable about that.
Myth: Earthquake magnitude is
measured on the Richter scale.
Reality: 'Local magnitude' ML, Charles F.
Richter's scale, is inaccurate at
high values and so has been
replaced by body wave magnitude,
moment magnitude and other
more robust scales.
Myth: The behaviour of animals
can predict earthquakes.
Reality: It tends to be erratic.
We do not properly
understand animal
psychology.
Myth: Tsunamis are tidal waves.
Reality: Tsunamis are seismic, volcanic
or landslide-induced sea waves
with a completely different form
and mode of propagation to bores
or other waves caused by tides.
Myth: Disasters cause a great deal
of chaos and cannot possibly
be managed systematically.
Reality: There are excellent theoretical
models of how disasters function
and how to manage them.
Myth: Disasters kill people without
respect for social class or
economic status.
Reality: The poor and marginalised
are much more at risk of
death than are rich people
or the middle classes.
Collapsed sports hall, and an occupied house
Myth: Significant numbers of people
survive for many days when
trapped under the rubble of
collapsed buildings.
Reality: The vast majority of people
brought out alive from the
rubble are saved within 24,
or perhaps even 12, hours
of the impact.
Myth: When disaster strikes
panic is a common reaction.
Reality: Most people behave rationally
in disaster. While panic is not
to be ruled out entirely, it is
of such limited importance that
some leading disaster sociologists
regard it as insignificant or
unlikely.
Myth: People will flee in large
numbers from a disaster area.
Reality: Usually there is a
"convergence reaction" and
the area fills up with people.
Myth: After disaster has struck
survivors tend to be dazed
and apathetic.
Reality: Survivors rapidly get to work on
the clear-up. Activism is much
more common than fatalism (this
is the so-called "therapeutic
community"). In the worst
possible cases only 15-30% of
victims show passive and dazed
reactions.
Myth: Usually after disaster, the
first assistance is provided
by the emergency services.
Reality: It tends to be the people who
are there at the time: local
residents, family, neighbours.
Myth: After disaster people will not
make rational decisions and will
therefore inevitably tend to do
the wrong thing unless authority
guides them.
Reality: People make decisions on the
basis of the information that they
are able to obtain and their ability
to interpret it. Most decision-
making can be judged rational.
Myth: Disasters usually give rise to
widespread, spontaneous manifest-
ations of antisocial behaviour.
Reality: Generally, they are characterized
by great social solidarity,
generosity and self-sacrifice.
Myth: Looting is a common and serious
problem after disasters.
Reality: The phenomenon of looting is
rare and limited in scope.
Looted jeweller's shop,
Piazza del Duomo, L'Aquila, 2009
Myth: In disaster, people resort to
violence to protect their own
interests.
Reality: The 'therapeutic community' is
common: people have a greater
tendency to help each other
than in normal times.
Myth: Unburied dead bodies
constitute a health hazard.
Reality: Not even advanced
decomposition causes a
significant health hazard.
Myth: Disease epidemics are an
almost inevitable result of
the disruption and poor health
caused by major disasters.
Reality: Generally, the level of
epidemiological surveillance and
health care in the disaster area
is sufficient to stop any possible
disease epidemic from occurring.
Myth: Dead bodies, survivors, streets,
rubble and other things should
be sprayed with disinfectant to
stop the spread of disease.
Reality: This common and popular measure
wastes large quantities of
disinfectant and does nothing
whatsoever for public health.
Myth: One should donate used clothes
to the victims of disasters.
Reality: This often leads to accumulations
of huge quantities of useless
garments that victims cannot
or will not wear.
Myth: Companies, corporations,
associations and governments
are always very generous when
invited to send aid and relief
to disaster areas.
Reality: Disaster areas have been used
as dumping grounds for outdated
medicines, obsolete equipment,
and unsaleable goods, all under
the cloak of apparent generosity.
Myth: Donations in kind are safer
and better than cash grants.
Reality: Although there is a risk that
cash grants may end up in the
pockets of corrupt administrators
or local mafias, cash is generally
more flexible than donations in kind.
Myth: Aid always benefits the
recipients, not the donors.
Reality: Goods and services imported
into a country with foreign
funding tend to benefit the
manufacturers and suppliers.
Myth: Technology will save the
world from disaster.
Reality:
The problem of disasters
is largely a social one.
Myth: Knowledge alone leads to action.
Reality: Producing the means to reduce
disaster risk (e.g. a warning system,
a hazard map) does not mean
that it will necessarily be used.
Myth: Disasters always
happen to someone else.
Reality:
The 'syndrome of personal
invulnerability' tends to mislead
people into believing that they
are in some way immune from
disasters. It is not so.
"Never, ever, think outside the box."
The Towering Inferno is a rather silly, inaccurate film:
it is sobering to see it turned into a self-fulfilling prophecy.
1974 2017
UCL Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction
david.alexander@ucl.ac.uk
slideshare.net/dealexander
emergency-planning.blogspot.com

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Disaster - It's Not Like a Hollywood Movie!

  • 1. Disaster It's Not Like a Hollywood Movie! David Alexander University College London
  • 2. what does it mean to you?
  • 4.
  • 5. The Hollywood model: disasters cause the order of society to break down.
  • 6. The Hollywood model: inside each of us there is a savage waiting to get out: disaster liberates that persona.
  • 7. • damage, destruction and suffering abound • unpleasant truths about preparedness are revealed • power politics go into action • wealth differentials are shown up in high relief • disasters are everyday events. The harsh reality of disaster
  • 8. Disasters open up a window on the world ...and the result is sobering, but highly instructive
  • 9. ...but there can be some bizarre moments...
  • 11. Myth: Natural disasters are an inevitable result of Mother Nature's fury. Reality: Disaster is almost always the result of people and communities putting themselves at risk. There is nothing very natural or inevitable about that.
  • 12. Myth: Earthquake magnitude is measured on the Richter scale. Reality: 'Local magnitude' ML, Charles F. Richter's scale, is inaccurate at high values and so has been replaced by body wave magnitude, moment magnitude and other more robust scales.
  • 13. Myth: The behaviour of animals can predict earthquakes. Reality: It tends to be erratic. We do not properly understand animal psychology.
  • 14. Myth: Tsunamis are tidal waves. Reality: Tsunamis are seismic, volcanic or landslide-induced sea waves with a completely different form and mode of propagation to bores or other waves caused by tides.
  • 15.
  • 16. Myth: Disasters cause a great deal of chaos and cannot possibly be managed systematically. Reality: There are excellent theoretical models of how disasters function and how to manage them.
  • 17. Myth: Disasters kill people without respect for social class or economic status. Reality: The poor and marginalised are much more at risk of death than are rich people or the middle classes. Collapsed sports hall, and an occupied house
  • 18. Myth: Significant numbers of people survive for many days when trapped under the rubble of collapsed buildings. Reality: The vast majority of people brought out alive from the rubble are saved within 24, or perhaps even 12, hours of the impact.
  • 19. Myth: When disaster strikes panic is a common reaction. Reality: Most people behave rationally in disaster. While panic is not to be ruled out entirely, it is of such limited importance that some leading disaster sociologists regard it as insignificant or unlikely.
  • 20. Myth: People will flee in large numbers from a disaster area. Reality: Usually there is a "convergence reaction" and the area fills up with people.
  • 21. Myth: After disaster has struck survivors tend to be dazed and apathetic. Reality: Survivors rapidly get to work on the clear-up. Activism is much more common than fatalism (this is the so-called "therapeutic community"). In the worst possible cases only 15-30% of victims show passive and dazed reactions.
  • 22. Myth: Usually after disaster, the first assistance is provided by the emergency services. Reality: It tends to be the people who are there at the time: local residents, family, neighbours.
  • 23. Myth: After disaster people will not make rational decisions and will therefore inevitably tend to do the wrong thing unless authority guides them. Reality: People make decisions on the basis of the information that they are able to obtain and their ability to interpret it. Most decision- making can be judged rational.
  • 24. Myth: Disasters usually give rise to widespread, spontaneous manifest- ations of antisocial behaviour. Reality: Generally, they are characterized by great social solidarity, generosity and self-sacrifice.
  • 25. Myth: Looting is a common and serious problem after disasters. Reality: The phenomenon of looting is rare and limited in scope. Looted jeweller's shop, Piazza del Duomo, L'Aquila, 2009
  • 26. Myth: In disaster, people resort to violence to protect their own interests. Reality: The 'therapeutic community' is common: people have a greater tendency to help each other than in normal times.
  • 27. Myth: Unburied dead bodies constitute a health hazard. Reality: Not even advanced decomposition causes a significant health hazard.
  • 28. Myth: Disease epidemics are an almost inevitable result of the disruption and poor health caused by major disasters. Reality: Generally, the level of epidemiological surveillance and health care in the disaster area is sufficient to stop any possible disease epidemic from occurring.
  • 29. Myth: Dead bodies, survivors, streets, rubble and other things should be sprayed with disinfectant to stop the spread of disease. Reality: This common and popular measure wastes large quantities of disinfectant and does nothing whatsoever for public health.
  • 30. Myth: One should donate used clothes to the victims of disasters. Reality: This often leads to accumulations of huge quantities of useless garments that victims cannot or will not wear.
  • 31. Myth: Companies, corporations, associations and governments are always very generous when invited to send aid and relief to disaster areas. Reality: Disaster areas have been used as dumping grounds for outdated medicines, obsolete equipment, and unsaleable goods, all under the cloak of apparent generosity.
  • 32. Myth: Donations in kind are safer and better than cash grants. Reality: Although there is a risk that cash grants may end up in the pockets of corrupt administrators or local mafias, cash is generally more flexible than donations in kind.
  • 33. Myth: Aid always benefits the recipients, not the donors. Reality: Goods and services imported into a country with foreign funding tend to benefit the manufacturers and suppliers.
  • 34. Myth: Technology will save the world from disaster. Reality: The problem of disasters is largely a social one.
  • 35.
  • 36. Myth: Knowledge alone leads to action. Reality: Producing the means to reduce disaster risk (e.g. a warning system, a hazard map) does not mean that it will necessarily be used.
  • 37. Myth: Disasters always happen to someone else. Reality: The 'syndrome of personal invulnerability' tends to mislead people into believing that they are in some way immune from disasters. It is not so.
  • 38. "Never, ever, think outside the box."
  • 39. The Towering Inferno is a rather silly, inaccurate film: it is sobering to see it turned into a self-fulfilling prophecy. 1974 2017
  • 40. UCL Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction david.alexander@ucl.ac.uk slideshare.net/dealexander emergency-planning.blogspot.com