This document discusses the themes of networked exponentials and achieving more in a hyperconnected world. Some key points discussed include: - Exponential technologies like AI, robotics, biotech, and networks are accelerating and having unexpected consequences. - Resources in a digital world include things like energy, reputation, ambition rather than just material resources. - Principles of open source, distributed, and decentralized systems allow for greater transparency, trust and innovation. - Conclusions discuss the privilege of failure in innovating and importance of continually adapting to opportunities in this environment.

1. Networked Exponentials
Achieving More In A Hyperconnected World

2. David Orban
@davidorban, @dotsub
@singularityu, @netsocproj

6. Themes

9. Unexpected Consequences

11. Unmanageable Complexity

13. Unprecedented Value

15. 1. Context
2. Resources
3. Principles
4. Conclusions

16. 0. Intro To 2x

19. 4
CALL TO ACTION
How would you leverage technology for social impact?
Environment FoodEnergy WaterSecurityPovertyEducation Global Health Space

20. 5
SU MODEL
10^9+
IMPACT
BILLIONS
OF LIVES

21. 6
OUR EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
& ROBOTICS
BIOTECHNOLOGY
NANOTECHNOLOGY
& DIGITAL FABRICATION
NETWORKS
& COMPUTING SYSTEMS

22. 7
SPEED, EFFICIENCY, COST-EFFECTIVENESS, POWER
COMPUTING IS ACCELERATING TECHNOLOGY
Moore’s Law: Price performance doubles every 18 months. Applies to all information technology.
Integrated CircuitTransistorVacuum TubeRelayElectromechanical
1900 ‘10 ‘20 ‘30 ‘40 ‘50 ‘60 ‘70 ‘80 ‘90 ‘2000 ‘08 ‘10
10-10
10-5
100
105
1010
1015
Performance(Calc./secondper$1000)
Time

23. 8
4DS OF EXPONENTIALS
DECEPTIVE
TO
DISRUPTIVE
D I G I T I Z E D E M A T E R I A L I Z E D E M O N E T I Z E D E M O C R A T I Z E
Disruptive
Stress /
Opportunity

26. ..., 0.0625, 0.1250, 0.5000, 1, ...

27. 2000: First Human Genome at $3B

28. ..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128

29. 2014: Human Genome at $2K

30. 2020: Human Genome at 2c?

32. 1. Context

33. William Gibson
The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet

34. Acceleration

35. Falò
flickr John Wilson
Coevolution

36. Pyramids
archer10
Dreams

37. Feudalism
dicktay2000

38. Industrial Age
sludgeulper

39. Infrastructure

40. Network Age
jurvetson
Superstructure
Jurvetson

41. Wikipedia
Restoring

42. Wikipedia
Augmenting

43. Fine Grained Mapping

44. How can you enhance the beauty of
the world, allying yourself with others
who want to do the same?
Society changes and evolvesFractal

45. Evolutionary Fitness

46. Resilience

47. Exponential

56. If computers could learn, grow and evolve the same way humans can,
the world would be a much better place
Geordie Rose

58. Interaction Design

59. Blind

60. Communicating

61. Touch

62. Vision

63. Conversation

64. Thinking

65. “Every object must be smart”
Leandro Agrò

66. Intelligence Augmentation

67. Artificial Intelligence

68. Anthropocene

69. 99%
1% 2%
98%
10.000 BC Today
terrestrial
vertebrates
in the wild
humans
pets
cattle
Anthropocene

70. AnthropoceneUnsustainable

71. myfavoritedinosaur.com, LadyofHats, OpenClips
Reason

72. Technology Is Key

73. Science

74. Hierarchy

75. Network

77. The Fundamental Thesis
Of The Network Society

78. 1

79. Widespread social and economic
change only happens once a solid
technological foundation evolves to
make it sustainable.

80. 2

81. Globally distributed and decentralized
technologies have emerged that
achieve superior results with respect to
centralized and hierarchical ones.

82. 3

83. These unstoppable technologies
undermine and disrupt the Nation
State’s supporting pillars. The resulting
socioeconomic organization is the
Network Society.

84. Network Society Pillars

85. Photovoltaics - Ecat?1. Energy

86. 2. Manufacturing

87. 3D hydroponics - Plantlab
plantlab
3. Food

88. 4. Health

89. 5. Learning

90. P2P Currency - Bitcoin
sylvar
6. Finance

91. 7. Security

92. 8. Policy

93. thecrazyfilmgirl
Unstoppable

94. Toolbox

95. Living In The Network Society

96. New Organizations

97. Empowerment

98. Emancipation

99. Experiential

100. Learning

101. Year Prohibitions Ending
1933 Alcohol
1967 Interracial marriage
1976 Assisted suicide
1999 Same sex marriage
2012 Recreational marijuana
Tolerance

102. Dignity

103. Community
Ilya Frankazoid / shutterstock.com

104. Overcoming Dichotomy
Sustainability For-Profit Nonprofit New
Economical ✔ ✘ ✔
Social &
Environmental ✘ ✔ ✔

105. Spiking State of Alarm

106. Incumbent systems
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zongli_Yamen#mediaviewer/File:Zongli_Yamen_members_1894.jpg
Bureaucracies

107. Resistant

108. http://bestandworstever.blogspot.it/2012/04/worst-playground-sign-ever.html
Precaution

109. http://pixabay.com/en/mimic-panic-scratch-woman-person-156928/
Panic

110. Overreaction

111. Overreaction

112. Overreaction

113. Overreaction

114. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Don't_Panic_Badge.jpg
It’s All OK

115. Themes 2

116. Exponential
Uncertainty

121. Lifespan Of An S&P 500 CompanyYears
1920s Today
15
67

122. Photo:Shutterstock
30 m ± 0.5 m

123. Photo:Shutterstock
1 m/s ±?

124. Photo:Shutterstock

125. familymwr

126. Linear

127. Exponential

128. Emotional
Computing

132. When Machines
Start To Think

133. IBM Watson

135. Science And
Engineering
Of Morality

138. 2. Resources

139. Renewables

140. Wood
30 Years

141. Hydrocarbons
50M Years

142. Fission
4B Years

143. Fusion
Not Renewable

144. Photovoltaic

145. Sudden Shifts

146. “The latest solar PV project tendered in Dubai returned a low bid* that set a new global
benchmark and is competitive with oil at US$10/barrel and gas at US$5/MMBtu.”
* 200MW solar tender won by ACWA Power. $US0.0584/kWh without subsidies.
http://www.nbad.com/content/dam/NBAD/documents/Business/FOE_Full_Report.pdf

147. Allocation

148. Material Resources

149. P2P Currency - Bitcoin
sylvar
Financial Resources

150. Energy

151. Reputation

152. Ambition

153. 3. PrinciplesSome

154. Seb Paquet
Any Sufficiently Advanced Job Is Indistinguishable From Play

155. Transparency

156. Identity

157. Trust

158. Any
body
where
time
{

159. Open Source
Distributed
Decentralized

160. Searching

161. Topic Area
DepthofExploration
A B C
1
2
...
∞
3
... ∞
Solution Search Space

162. Depth First Search Strategy
A B C
1
2
3
4
5
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
... ∞

163. Breadth First Search Strategy
A B C D E
1
2
3
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
...
∞

164. David Gelb
Jiro Ono

165. Older Strategy
A B C
1
2
...
∞
Specialization
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
3
... ∞

166. cosimoorban
Richard Saul Wurman

167. Newer strategy
A B ... ∞
1
2
Cross Fertilization
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
...
∞
3
C

168. 4. Conclusions

169. Trying

170. The Privilege of Failure
“The formula for success?
Double your rate of failure.”
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate,
without increasing the cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow

172. Innovating

173. Inventing

174. Questions
Answers
Ignorance

175. Competitiveness
Innovation
Invention!

176. Adapting

177. Adopting

178. 𝚫t(idea-action)!0

179. ∞Opportunity

180. It Is Also About You

181. davidorban.com
@davidorban
@dotsub
@netsocproj
@singularityu
Image credits: Shutterstock, family
archives, NASA
flickr Paul Downey