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Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Trajectory Series
Bootcamp – Session 2
Dave Parker
@DaveParkerSEA
www.GetTrajectory.com
@DaveParkerSEA
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Session 2 Agenda
¤ Market Sizing
¤ Customer Development Data
¤ How Startups Make Money
¤ Marketing/Sales/Business Development
¤ Go-to-Market Planning
¤ Pitch Reviews
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Markets
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Market Sizing
¤ How big is the market
¤ Cairo
¤ GCC
¤ MENA
¤ Global
¤ How do you put a BD amount to it?
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Ideal Customer Profile
B2B
¤ Company type
¤ Vertical
¤ Size/Stage
¤ Buyer profile
¤ User profile
B2C
¤ Profile
¤ Demographic
¤ “Name”
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Who is the Market & Customer
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Total Addressable Market
¤ Also called Total Available Market
¤ Think global – launch local
¤ The Upside
¤ Calculating – bottom up, Total number of customers X
Annual Revenue for your product
¤ Direct Data
¤ Explicate data
¤ Indirect Data
¤ Implicit data
¤ Triangulation Data
¤ A combination of different data sources
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Service Addressable Market
¤ Or Serviceable Available Market
¤ The part of the market that can actually be reached
¤ Sales and Marketing driven
¤ With the features you have now
¤ With the product roadmap you have
¤ Competition
¤ Not everyone that might use it, if they found it, if it was in
their language and currency
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Service Obtainable Market
¤ The subset of the market you can capture
¤ A proxy for short term upside
¤ Not Aspirational
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Who is the Market & Customer
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Launch Addressable Market
¤ Given you TAM, SAM and SOM – WHO is the customer?
¤ And limited features
¤ Who can you sell to today?
¤ B2B
¤ B2C
¤ Buyer profile
¤ What features will you need to launch to expand your
market and price?
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
10, 100, 1000 Customers
¤ Have a plan for how you get your first customers
¤ 10 – it’s you and your co-founder
¤ 100 – still you, maybe one insides salesperson, forming a
process to scale
¤ 1000 – not you, scalable process
¤ Your LAM maps to your Go-to-Market (GTM)
¤ Customer
¤ Value Prop
¤ Pricing
¤ Marketing Spend and Sales effort
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Market Conditions
¤ Nascent/New market
¤ Uber, AirBnB
¤ Large markets - >$100M or $1B
¤ Large market provide “at bat” opportunities
¤ Small markets suck
¤ Headwinds or tailwinds?
¤ Covid
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Who is your customer?
¤ Product vs. Services
¤ Product is something you can deliver or ship – can you make
$$ while you sleep
¤ Services require people to deliver on the value and promise
– consulting or a restaurant
¤ Who pays the bill?
¤ A business
¤ The Consumer
¤ The product user and who pays can be different as in
Facebook or Google that make money on advertising
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Iterating on ICP
Quantitative
(scaled, user testing/acquisition
Qualitative
(personal Interviews, listening)
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Why/How do they buy?
¤ Make Money vs. Save Money?
¤ Searching for product
¤ Needs to be sold
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Market Size Examples
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Exercise - How Big is Your Market
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Dave’s Madlibs Pitch
Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company
name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our
product <insert product info here> is designed for our target
customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by
<insert method here> and our team is the right team because
<insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help
needed here>.
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Customer Development
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Customer Development
¤ Parallel process with Product Development
¤ “Get out of the Building”
¤ Develop for a few not Many
¤ Prioritize features based on Needs not Wants
¤ Validate with Revenue/Commitment
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
What is Customer Development?
¤ Four Steps of an Epiphany – Steve Blank
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Customer Development Goals
¤ Acute focus on problem – not product
¤ Find out if customers care?
¤ What do they want?
¤ Determines the difference your product at launch and at
scale
¤ Feature priorities & Product Roadmap
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Customer Dev Mechanics
¤ Google Forms
¤ Structured questions
¤ Progression
¤ Easy to Hard
¤ What do you really want to know?
¤ Will they pay for it? How much
¤ Why will it fail
¤ Neutral, not Guided Questions
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Customer Dev Mechanics, Cont
¤ Build a list of interested parties
¤ Mail Chimp List setup
¤ Ask for permission to email
¤ Monthly updates –
¤ Format: “What we did, what we’re going to do and
where we can use your help”
¤ Regular frequency – be predictable
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
What Not To Do
¤ You are not the customer
¤ Don’t tolerate a small sample set – this could delay your
success by Years
¤ Avoid “Selection Bias”
¤ “Isn’t our product amazing”
¤ No rhetorical questions
¤ No blind surveys
¤ Can’t outsource
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How Many Customer Interviews
¤ B2B – 25+
¤ Profile
¤ Job Title
¤ Type of Company
¤ B2C – 50+
¤ Demographic
¤ ¯_(ツ)_/¯ = bad
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Fundraising Note
You have opinions
You have Data
You get money!
Investors have opinions
They have money
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Hypothesis vs Fact
¤ If you are convinced you’re right you won’t be open to
radical feedback that could change the trajectory of
your business & life!
¤ Always testing what you think you know
¤ Permission to give negative feedback
¤ If this idea was to fail, why would it fail?
¤ Why is this idea stupid?
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How Startups Make Money
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Do you know?
¤ Cost to Build Known Unknown
¤ Cost to Sell Known Unknown
¤ Price Known Unknown
¤ Profit Known Unknown
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How not to make money?
¤ Small transaction values are bad
¤ Small percentages are bad
¤ Not being able to capture value is bad
¤ Lumpy sales cycles are bad
¤ Long sales cycles are bad
¤ Pricing too low could kill your idea before you start
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How to Monetize Your Startup:
Revenue Models
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business and Revenue Models
¤ Business Models – abstract framework of Creating,
Delivering and Capturing Value
¤ Revenue Models (part of business model) is the
framework of revenue, pricing, who pay
¤ Models Lean toward Tech and Product
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
1. Fee for Service
¤ Example: Consulting Services company
¤ Use: B2B & B2C
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Project Revenue
¤ Cost of delivering (usually time)
¤ Gross Margin
¤ Services are hard to scale because they require people
to deliver including Restaurant, Contractors, etc.
¤ Services include markup on cost of goods sold
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
2. Commerce
¤ Example: Amazon, AmazonSupply
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Wholesale or cost of goods sold
¤ Average Margin %
¤ Average Basket
¤ Commerce – Physical Goods- Wholesale, cost of goods,
retail, average margin, physical good
¤ Notes: Can mature into marketplace
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
3. Subscription
¤ Example: Salesforce , Box, Spotify
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)
¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase
¤ Churn
¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product
¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
4. Metered Servcie
¤ Example: AWS, Splunk, Azure
¤ Use: Favors B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)
¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase
¤ Churn
¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product
¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
5. Transaction Fees/Rental
¤ Example: 99Designs, KickStarter, Elance, Chugg
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average transaction revenue
¤ Fee % per transaction
¤ Number of transactions
¤ Challenges: Margins are small (15%), need efficiency
¤ Notes: Don’t start too low
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
6. Productize a Service
¤ Your offerings is generally complex and requires services
to deploy
¤ Gross margin on Services >35%
¤ Product development comes with services
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Examples: Moz, service company convert to tools.
¤ Challenges – difficult to make the transition away from
services
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
7. Marketplaces
¤ Example: eBay, Alibaba
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average Transaction Amount
¤ Number of Monthly Transactions
¤ Commission %
¤ Challenges: two sided market places require you start
with one side, value to seller & Product market fit (x2)
¤ Notes: critical mass or marketplace required
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
8. Combinations
¤ Combinations business models happen for two reasons
¤ You don’t know which model is right
¤ At scale you can expand revenue sources
¤ Examples: Hardware sensors + software services to create
data analytics
¤ Challenges – most require scale or at least traction
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
9. Lead Generation
¤ Example: Mint.com, AllStarDirectories, NetQuote
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Cost to generate traffic
¤ % conversion of form data
¤ Price per lead
¤ Challenges: Highly competitive, barrier of entry is low
¤ Notes: Conversion rates average 0.06%
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
10. Gaming
¤ Example: King.com/Candy Crush
¤ Use: B2C Only
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Downloads
¤ % play
¤ Average in app purchase
¤ Challenges – tends to be “hit driven business”
¤ Notes: use in first 21 days is a predictor of success
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
11. Advertising/Search
¤ Example: Google, Facebook
¤ Use: B2B – advertisers pay, users are free
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Traffic
¤ Click
¤ Avg. revenue/click
¤ Challenges – Scale, need >1M uniques/month to
consider the option
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
12. New Media
¤ Example: SnapChat, WhatsApp
¤ Use: B2C only
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ K-Factor (Viral Co-efficient)
¤ Network effect of inviting others to join
¤ Challenges – K-Factor is hard. Little revenue until scale
¤ Notes: Everyone wants to! Not happening in B2B
¤ No revenue acutally required
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
13. Big Data
¤ Examples: PatientsLikeMe
¤ Use: B2B
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Per API Call
¤ Per record pricing
¤ Frequency/recency
¤ To monetize data, you need to have the data in
advance or massive cash
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
14. Licensing
¤ Example: Think Microsoft office license or server license –
before subscription. Content Licensing
¤ Use: B2B
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Duration of license
¤ Upgrades & maintenance (20-25% annually)
¤ Use can be based on vertical market or geography
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Revenue Models– Pick Two
1. Fee for Service
2. Commerce
3. Subscription
4. Metered Service
5. Transaction Fee/Rental
6. Productize a Service
7. Marketplace
8. Combinations
9. Lead Generation
10.Gaming
11.Advertising/Search
12.New Media
13.Big Data
14.Licensing
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing – Finding the right
customers
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing – Finding Customers
¤ Messaging/Value Proposition
¤ Does it resonate with the target customer segment
¤ They are the hero of the story
¤ Is it repeatable?
¤ Strategy
¤ Outbound first
¤ Inbound second
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Key Metric Terms
¤ State your hypothesis
¤ CAC
¤ LTV
¤ ARPU
¤ Churn
¤ Time to Close
¤ Customer engagement
¤ Time on Site
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Organic
Search
Paid
Search
Word
of
Mouth
Sales
Calls
PR
Miracles!
Time
to
Close
Month
1
Month
2
Month
3
Month
4
$
Spen
d
#
Conv
#
Conv
#
MRR
Time
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing Channels
¤ Paid Search
¤ Organic Search
¤ Word of mouth
¤ Sales calls
¤ Public Relations
¤ Affiliate
¤ Email marketing
¤ Social
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing Qualified Leads
¤ Define qualified vs list
¤ Suspects
¤ Prospects
¤ Qualified Prospects
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales Qualified Leads
¤ Hand off to Sales
¤ Identify steps to close
¤ Number of calls
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Time to Close
¤ Lead attribution
¤ Source time
¤ Compressing or Expanding
¤ Trend by source
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Tracking
¤ Data allows you to know where to double
down and where to hold back
¤ Conversion ratios
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales – capturing value creation
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How will they buy?
¤ Web Direct – place the order to buy on the web
¤ Direct – outbound sales, inside/outside
¤ Indirect/Channel – fulfills demand, doesn’t generate
¤ Retail – BestBuy, etc
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales Model Hypothesis
Known
Market
Unknown
Market
Low
Price
Point
High
Price
Point
Known
Search
Words
Unknown
Search
words
Web Direct ✔ ✔ ✔
Direct ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Indirect ✔ ✔ ✔
Retail
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales
¤ Model – Pick one, why?
¤ Strategy
¤ Who
¤ Tactics
¤ How
¤ Tools
¤ Sales tools
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business Development
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business Development
¤ Strategic relationships
¤ Who has the list you want
¤ How do you get the partnership
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business Development
¤ Strategy
¤ Who should you get as a partner
¤ How will you build the relationship?
¤ What channels
¤ Tactics
¤ Messaging/Value proposition
¤ Tools
¤ CRM
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Go-to-market plan
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
https://review.fi
rstround.com/
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Go-to-Market Plan
¤ Revenue Model
¤ Marketing
¤ Sales
¤ Business development plan
¤ Pricing
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Before the Program
¤ What are you priority tests?
¤ Do you need product final to do that test?
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Exercise - 30/60/90
¤ Write up your 30/60/90
¤ Marketing tests
¤ Channel spend hypothesis
¤ Lead source, cost
¤ Sales tests
¤ Initial Sales script
¤ Pricing
¤ High and low
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Pitch Reviews
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
THANKS!

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Customer Development & Revenue Models for Startups

  • 1. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Trajectory Series Bootcamp – Session 2 Dave Parker @DaveParkerSEA www.GetTrajectory.com @DaveParkerSEA
  • 2. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Session 2 Agenda ¤ Market Sizing ¤ Customer Development Data ¤ How Startups Make Money ¤ Marketing/Sales/Business Development ¤ Go-to-Market Planning ¤ Pitch Reviews
  • 4. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Market Sizing ¤ How big is the market ¤ Cairo ¤ GCC ¤ MENA ¤ Global ¤ How do you put a BD amount to it?
  • 5. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Ideal Customer Profile B2B ¤ Company type ¤ Vertical ¤ Size/Stage ¤ Buyer profile ¤ User profile B2C ¤ Profile ¤ Demographic ¤ “Name”
  • 6. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who is the Market & Customer
  • 7. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Total Addressable Market ¤ Also called Total Available Market ¤ Think global – launch local ¤ The Upside ¤ Calculating – bottom up, Total number of customers X Annual Revenue for your product ¤ Direct Data ¤ Explicate data ¤ Indirect Data ¤ Implicit data ¤ Triangulation Data ¤ A combination of different data sources
  • 8. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Service Addressable Market ¤ Or Serviceable Available Market ¤ The part of the market that can actually be reached ¤ Sales and Marketing driven ¤ With the features you have now ¤ With the product roadmap you have ¤ Competition ¤ Not everyone that might use it, if they found it, if it was in their language and currency
  • 9. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Service Obtainable Market ¤ The subset of the market you can capture ¤ A proxy for short term upside ¤ Not Aspirational
  • 10. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who is the Market & Customer
  • 11. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Launch Addressable Market ¤ Given you TAM, SAM and SOM – WHO is the customer? ¤ And limited features ¤ Who can you sell to today? ¤ B2B ¤ B2C ¤ Buyer profile ¤ What features will you need to launch to expand your market and price?
  • 12. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 10, 100, 1000 Customers ¤ Have a plan for how you get your first customers ¤ 10 – it’s you and your co-founder ¤ 100 – still you, maybe one insides salesperson, forming a process to scale ¤ 1000 – not you, scalable process ¤ Your LAM maps to your Go-to-Market (GTM) ¤ Customer ¤ Value Prop ¤ Pricing ¤ Marketing Spend and Sales effort
  • 13. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Market Conditions ¤ Nascent/New market ¤ Uber, AirBnB ¤ Large markets - >$100M or $1B ¤ Large market provide “at bat” opportunities ¤ Small markets suck ¤ Headwinds or tailwinds? ¤ Covid
  • 14. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who is your customer? ¤ Product vs. Services ¤ Product is something you can deliver or ship – can you make $$ while you sleep ¤ Services require people to deliver on the value and promise – consulting or a restaurant ¤ Who pays the bill? ¤ A business ¤ The Consumer ¤ The product user and who pays can be different as in Facebook or Google that make money on advertising
  • 15. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Iterating on ICP Quantitative (scaled, user testing/acquisition Qualitative (personal Interviews, listening)
  • 16. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Why/How do they buy? ¤ Make Money vs. Save Money? ¤ Searching for product ¤ Needs to be sold
  • 17. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Market Size Examples
  • 18. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Exercise - How Big is Your Market
  • 19. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Dave’s Madlibs Pitch Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our product <insert product info here> is designed for our target customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by <insert method here> and our team is the right team because <insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help needed here>.
  • 20. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Development
  • 21. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Development ¤ Parallel process with Product Development ¤ “Get out of the Building” ¤ Develop for a few not Many ¤ Prioritize features based on Needs not Wants ¤ Validate with Revenue/Commitment
  • 22. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What is Customer Development? ¤ Four Steps of an Epiphany – Steve Blank
  • 23. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Development Goals ¤ Acute focus on problem – not product ¤ Find out if customers care? ¤ What do they want? ¤ Determines the difference your product at launch and at scale ¤ Feature priorities & Product Roadmap
  • 24. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Dev Mechanics ¤ Google Forms ¤ Structured questions ¤ Progression ¤ Easy to Hard ¤ What do you really want to know? ¤ Will they pay for it? How much ¤ Why will it fail ¤ Neutral, not Guided Questions
  • 25. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Dev Mechanics, Cont ¤ Build a list of interested parties ¤ Mail Chimp List setup ¤ Ask for permission to email ¤ Monthly updates – ¤ Format: “What we did, what we’re going to do and where we can use your help” ¤ Regular frequency – be predictable
  • 26. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What Not To Do ¤ You are not the customer ¤ Don’t tolerate a small sample set – this could delay your success by Years ¤ Avoid “Selection Bias” ¤ “Isn’t our product amazing” ¤ No rhetorical questions ¤ No blind surveys ¤ Can’t outsource
  • 27. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How Many Customer Interviews ¤ B2B – 25+ ¤ Profile ¤ Job Title ¤ Type of Company ¤ B2C – 50+ ¤ Demographic ¤ ¯_(ツ)_/¯ = bad
  • 28. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Fundraising Note You have opinions You have Data You get money! Investors have opinions They have money
  • 29. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Hypothesis vs Fact ¤ If you are convinced you’re right you won’t be open to radical feedback that could change the trajectory of your business & life! ¤ Always testing what you think you know ¤ Permission to give negative feedback ¤ If this idea was to fail, why would it fail? ¤ Why is this idea stupid?
  • 30. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How Startups Make Money
  • 31. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Do you know? ¤ Cost to Build Known Unknown ¤ Cost to Sell Known Unknown ¤ Price Known Unknown ¤ Profit Known Unknown
  • 32. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How not to make money? ¤ Small transaction values are bad ¤ Small percentages are bad ¤ Not being able to capture value is bad ¤ Lumpy sales cycles are bad ¤ Long sales cycles are bad ¤ Pricing too low could kill your idea before you start
  • 33. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How to Monetize Your Startup: Revenue Models
  • 34. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business and Revenue Models ¤ Business Models – abstract framework of Creating, Delivering and Capturing Value ¤ Revenue Models (part of business model) is the framework of revenue, pricing, who pay ¤ Models Lean toward Tech and Product
  • 35. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 1. Fee for Service ¤ Example: Consulting Services company ¤ Use: B2B & B2C ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Project Revenue ¤ Cost of delivering (usually time) ¤ Gross Margin ¤ Services are hard to scale because they require people to deliver including Restaurant, Contractors, etc. ¤ Services include markup on cost of goods sold
  • 36. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 2. Commerce ¤ Example: Amazon, AmazonSupply ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Wholesale or cost of goods sold ¤ Average Margin % ¤ Average Basket ¤ Commerce – Physical Goods- Wholesale, cost of goods, retail, average margin, physical good ¤ Notes: Can mature into marketplace
  • 37. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 3. Subscription ¤ Example: Salesforce , Box, Spotify ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) ¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase ¤ Churn ¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product ¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
  • 38. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 4. Metered Servcie ¤ Example: AWS, Splunk, Azure ¤ Use: Favors B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) ¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase ¤ Churn ¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product ¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
  • 39. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 5. Transaction Fees/Rental ¤ Example: 99Designs, KickStarter, Elance, Chugg ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average transaction revenue ¤ Fee % per transaction ¤ Number of transactions ¤ Challenges: Margins are small (15%), need efficiency ¤ Notes: Don’t start too low
  • 40. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 6. Productize a Service ¤ Your offerings is generally complex and requires services to deploy ¤ Gross margin on Services >35% ¤ Product development comes with services ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Examples: Moz, service company convert to tools. ¤ Challenges – difficult to make the transition away from services
  • 41. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 7. Marketplaces ¤ Example: eBay, Alibaba ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average Transaction Amount ¤ Number of Monthly Transactions ¤ Commission % ¤ Challenges: two sided market places require you start with one side, value to seller & Product market fit (x2) ¤ Notes: critical mass or marketplace required
  • 42. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 8. Combinations ¤ Combinations business models happen for two reasons ¤ You don’t know which model is right ¤ At scale you can expand revenue sources ¤ Examples: Hardware sensors + software services to create data analytics ¤ Challenges – most require scale or at least traction
  • 43. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 9. Lead Generation ¤ Example: Mint.com, AllStarDirectories, NetQuote ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Cost to generate traffic ¤ % conversion of form data ¤ Price per lead ¤ Challenges: Highly competitive, barrier of entry is low ¤ Notes: Conversion rates average 0.06%
  • 44. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 10. Gaming ¤ Example: King.com/Candy Crush ¤ Use: B2C Only ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Downloads ¤ % play ¤ Average in app purchase ¤ Challenges – tends to be “hit driven business” ¤ Notes: use in first 21 days is a predictor of success
  • 45. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 11. Advertising/Search ¤ Example: Google, Facebook ¤ Use: B2B – advertisers pay, users are free ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Traffic ¤ Click ¤ Avg. revenue/click ¤ Challenges – Scale, need >1M uniques/month to consider the option
  • 46. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 12. New Media ¤ Example: SnapChat, WhatsApp ¤ Use: B2C only ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ K-Factor (Viral Co-efficient) ¤ Network effect of inviting others to join ¤ Challenges – K-Factor is hard. Little revenue until scale ¤ Notes: Everyone wants to! Not happening in B2B ¤ No revenue acutally required
  • 47. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 13. Big Data ¤ Examples: PatientsLikeMe ¤ Use: B2B ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Per API Call ¤ Per record pricing ¤ Frequency/recency ¤ To monetize data, you need to have the data in advance or massive cash
  • 48. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 14. Licensing ¤ Example: Think Microsoft office license or server license – before subscription. Content Licensing ¤ Use: B2B ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Duration of license ¤ Upgrades & maintenance (20-25% annually) ¤ Use can be based on vertical market or geography
  • 49. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Revenue Models– Pick Two 1. Fee for Service 2. Commerce 3. Subscription 4. Metered Service 5. Transaction Fee/Rental 6. Productize a Service 7. Marketplace 8. Combinations 9. Lead Generation 10.Gaming 11.Advertising/Search 12.New Media 13.Big Data 14.Licensing
  • 50. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing – Finding the right customers
  • 51. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing – Finding Customers ¤ Messaging/Value Proposition ¤ Does it resonate with the target customer segment ¤ They are the hero of the story ¤ Is it repeatable? ¤ Strategy ¤ Outbound first ¤ Inbound second
  • 52. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Key Metric Terms ¤ State your hypothesis ¤ CAC ¤ LTV ¤ ARPU ¤ Churn ¤ Time to Close ¤ Customer engagement ¤ Time on Site
  • 53. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Organic Search Paid Search Word of Mouth Sales Calls PR Miracles! Time to Close Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 $ Spen d # Conv # Conv # MRR Time
  • 54. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing Channels ¤ Paid Search ¤ Organic Search ¤ Word of mouth ¤ Sales calls ¤ Public Relations ¤ Affiliate ¤ Email marketing ¤ Social
  • 55. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing Qualified Leads ¤ Define qualified vs list ¤ Suspects ¤ Prospects ¤ Qualified Prospects
  • 56. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales Qualified Leads ¤ Hand off to Sales ¤ Identify steps to close ¤ Number of calls
  • 57. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Time to Close ¤ Lead attribution ¤ Source time ¤ Compressing or Expanding ¤ Trend by source
  • 58. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Tracking ¤ Data allows you to know where to double down and where to hold back ¤ Conversion ratios
  • 59. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales – capturing value creation
  • 60. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How will they buy? ¤ Web Direct – place the order to buy on the web ¤ Direct – outbound sales, inside/outside ¤ Indirect/Channel – fulfills demand, doesn’t generate ¤ Retail – BestBuy, etc
  • 61. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales Model Hypothesis Known Market Unknown Market Low Price Point High Price Point Known Search Words Unknown Search words Web Direct ✔ ✔ ✔ Direct ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Indirect ✔ ✔ ✔ Retail
  • 62. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales ¤ Model – Pick one, why? ¤ Strategy ¤ Who ¤ Tactics ¤ How ¤ Tools ¤ Sales tools
  • 63. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business Development
  • 64. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business Development ¤ Strategic relationships ¤ Who has the list you want ¤ How do you get the partnership
  • 65. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business Development ¤ Strategy ¤ Who should you get as a partner ¤ How will you build the relationship? ¤ What channels ¤ Tactics ¤ Messaging/Value proposition ¤ Tools ¤ CRM
  • 66. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Go-to-market plan
  • 67. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 https://review.fi rstround.com/
  • 68. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Go-to-Market Plan ¤ Revenue Model ¤ Marketing ¤ Sales ¤ Business development plan ¤ Pricing
  • 69. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Before the Program ¤ What are you priority tests? ¤ Do you need product final to do that test?
  • 70. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Exercise - 30/60/90 ¤ Write up your 30/60/90 ¤ Marketing tests ¤ Channel spend hypothesis ¤ Lead source, cost ¤ Sales tests ¤ Initial Sales script ¤ Pricing ¤ High and low
  • 71. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pitch Reviews
  • 72. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 THANKS!