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Hydro
              The view from the EEA
                          Hidroenergia
                    Lausanne, 17th June 2010




                                              Dr. David Clubb
                            Renewable Energy Project Manager

www.eea.europa.eu
• Policy
• Resource/constraints
• Environmental factors
• Policy
• Resource/constraints
• Environmental factors




                          Creative Commons - S. Solberg J.
http://timeglider.com/app/viewer.php?uid=eea
objective




subjective
• Policy
• Resource/constraints
• Environmental factors




                          Creative Commons – Joshua Cogliati
What do others say?

• IEA/ECF – ‘limited
  increase’
• EREC - 38%
  increase
• PWC/RWE – 30-
  100% increase



www.roadmap2050.eu/Volume1_fullreport_PressPack.pdf
www.erec.org/fileadmin/erec_docs/Documents/Publications/ReThinking2050_full%20version_final.pdf
www.pwc.co.uk/pdf/100_percent_renewable_electricity.pdf
EEA study
• Technical potential
• Environmental potential
• Carried out by AEA




                            Creative Commons – Felix Andrews
ECRINS database
Example of ECRINS extract from Pyrenees
                        • Selected catchment
                          highlighted.
                        • Nodes with elevation
                          & mean flow
                        •   Dams
Example of catchment data extract
Assumptions (technical potential)
•   Qmean and head can be extracted
•   Water to wire efficiency 70%
•   Q0 = 75%; CF 50%
•   O&M 1-2% (ESHA)
•   Capital costs (ESHA):

                         (€/kW Installed)

         France            1,850 – 4,000
         Spain             1,000 – 1,500
……assumptions (technical)
• 20 year life span
• 10% discount rate
• Discounted cash flow analysis for each site
Assumptions (environmental potential)
• Q0=33%
• Reduces potential by 40%
Limitations
         • Proximity to grid
         • Mean flow used
         • Costs based on a range (site-specific)
Creative Commons – VargaA
Improvements
           • Link road/grid databases with ECRINS
           • Use multiple years for better mean flow
           • Refine capital and mitigation costs
           • Verify with real examples
Creative Commons – Dale Klamuella
• Policy
• Resource/constraints
• Environmental factors




                          Creative Commons – Tom Bishop
Environmental factors
•Hydrological character
•Connectivity within system
•Solid material and morphology
•Landscape and biotopes
•Biocoenoses




                                                                               Creative Commons – Richard Haworth
http://homepages.eawag.ch/~wehrli/papers/Bratrich_GreenHydro_RiverRes_04.pdf
Comparative effects




http://circa.europa.eu/Public/irc/env/biodiversity_climate/library?l=/contract_biodiversity/report_task_4pdf/_EN_1.0_&a=d
Innovation
Innovation is a change in the thought
process for doing something

It may refer to an incremental emergent or
radical and revolutionary changes in
thinking, products, processes, or
organisations.
http://circa.europa.eu/Public/irc/env/biodiversity_climate/library?l=/contract_biodiversity/report_task_4pdf/_EN_1.0_&a=d
Conclusions
• Restricted technical potential
• Focus on adapting business model
• Article 4.7 is sacrosanct




                                     Creative Commons – Richard Haworth
David Clubb
    www.eea.europa.eu
david.clubb@eea.europa.eu

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