The real goal of tax reform should be to reduce the nation's debt as a percentage of GDP. Cuts for the sake of cuts will lead to short term wins but long-term calamity.
2. WASH POST: NEW CBO NUMBERS
OFFER DOSE OF REALITY
• “If current law remains in place, “federal debt
would reach an unprecedented share of GDP [in
30 years]…”
• “…reform should be deficit-neutral, lest short-
run benefits be swamped by long-run crowding-
out of investment by government borrowing, as
the CBO suggests.”
• “By refining incentives to work, invest and
produce, tax reform — especially corporate
reform aimed at improving global
competitiveness — could help remove structural
barriers to growth.”
3. • “…merely stabilizing the long-run debt at the current
elevated level, 77 percent of GDP, would require a
combination of tax increases or spending cuts equal to
nearly 2 percent of GDP per year, as compared with
what’s called for in current law, starting in 2018. In
dollar terms, the CBO notes, that would be a fiscal
adjustment of $380 billion next year — a huge political
challenge and impossible without trims to the middle-
class entitlement programs Mr. Trump has promised
not to touch.”
4. SO WHATTO DO?
• A Univ. of Maryland survey
suggests more Americans
want reform that raises
revenue over reform that
adds to the deficit.
• Trump wants to cut capital
gains and dividends to a rate
half that of ordinary salary
and wages. Only 15% of
Americans endorse the idea.
5. BORDER
ADJUSTMENT
TAX?
• House Republicans first floated
the idea.
• Taxes imports and rebate taxes
on exports.
• Could make up for money lost by
lowering corporate tax rate.
• Critics say the expense is passed
on to taxpayers who pay more
for goods and products.
6. TOUGH CHOICES
• Last major tax reform was in 1981,
but many of those changes were
only temporary.
• Interest groups and lobbyists put
immense pressure on lawmakers
not to negatively affect their
industry.
• Tax reform is like having a passion
for riding a motorcycle…you may
feel you need to get out and ride,
but it’s dangerous.Any misstep
could end in calamity.