New approach to a risk integrated strategy to address ongoing challenges in MENA-Turkey (and rest of world) when dealing with (geopolitical) risk threatening or defining your investment or operational performance.
2. VEROCY.COM
MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
WHAT WE DO
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RISK INTEGRATED STRATEGY
OPPORTUNITY
AMBITION, CHANGE
& INSTABILITY
RISK
Opportunity Development
Scenario Development
STRATEGY AND RISK INTEGRATED SERVICES AND SOLUTIONS
FOR COMPANIES AND ORGANIZATIONS THAT NEED TO DEVELOP,
MANAGE AND PROTECT THE VALUE OF ASSETS AND RESOURCES.
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
HOW WE DO IT
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RISK INTEGRATED
STRATEGY
INFORMATION
SERVICES
ADVISORY, ANALYSIS
& SUPPORT
ASSET
DEVELOMENT
SOLUTIONS
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA
Investments
Institutional (SWFs), Big Family,
Corporations, Banks, Pension Funds
Energy
Technology
EconomicDiversification
Security
Politics
Country, Regional
& International
Oil & Gas
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
INFORMATION SERVICES
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Arab Sovereign Wealth
Fund Monitor
Arab Defense Industry
Papers and Journal (ADIP)
Strategic Update
MENA (SUM)
COMING SOON
NEWS LETTERS - RESEARCH & REPORTS - OPEN SOURCE DATA & INTELLIGENCE
Weekly Regional
Threat & Stability
Free, Subscription based & Sponsored packages
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
ADVISORY, ANALYSIS & SUPPORT
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(Geo)political & Country Risk Analysis Portfolio Risk Assessment & Scenario Analysis
Growth Potential Assessments Market & Project Development
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
ASSET DEVELOPMENT SOLUTIONS
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Econometric Portfolio and Scenario Analysis Critical Incidents Analysis and Reporting
Mobile Incident Alerting & Notification Critical Infrastructure Inspection
8. VEROCY.COM
MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
Arab SWF Monitor is a monthly newsletter which monitors, analyzes,
and forecasts investment trends across the Middle East and North
Africa (MENA). The publication examines sovereign wealth fund
activities and investment strategies of Algeria, Bahrain, Kuwait, Libya,
Oman, Qatar, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
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INFORMATION SERVICES
ARAB SWF MONITOR
SUBSCRIPTION
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
Geopolitical
• Arab Spring and MENA
• Brexit-EU instability
• Turkey-Russia-Ukraine
• Russia-Iran-Syria/Arab countries
• Fin. instability, oil (energy) prices/ investments
/production
Country & Regional
• Arab states and Arab Spring
• Impact of growing extremism/terrorism
• Piracy and Offshore security
• Economic and military integration MENA
• Succession Arab regimes
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(GEO)POLITICAL & COUNTRY RISK
Risk associated to the environment & ecosystem
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
• Impact Arab Spring/Winter on security MENA region
• Impact oil/gas prices on economical stability MENA-Africa and
bilateral/ multilateral investments strategies SWFs
• Retraction (perceived) US-EU from MENA, re-emergence Russian
influence and China/India
• Increased terrorism/extremism risks EMEA
• Confrontation Sunni-Shia regions (Iran-Saudi)
• Brexit and worldwide economic impact
• Globalisation versus regionalisation
• Position US$ versus EU-Rubble-Rinbim
• Upcoming elections US-U-EU and impact EMEA
• Impact of non-Western economic-financial relations with African
and Arab countries (China-India)
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Geopolitical risk
(GEO)POLITICAL & COUNTRY RISK
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
MENA:
• Increased insecurity and instability due to extremism/
fundamentalism/ terrorism
• Regime instabilities due to lower economic growth, growing
discrepancies ruling elite-people, unemployment, lack of
investments
• Confrontation between Sunni-Shi’a groups
• Lack of conformity within nation states (Syria, Iraq, Libya, Yemen,
Algeria)
• Succession threats regime (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain)
Sub-Saharan Africa:
• Low economic growth potential and high unemployment
• Increased extremism and instability (Chad, Nigeria, Niger,
Mozambique, Uganda, Kenia)
• Increased threats towards energy infrastructure on- and offshore
(Nigeria, Mauritania, Angola)
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Country & Regional risk
(GEO)POLITICAL & COUNTRY RISK
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
PORTFOLIO RISK & SCENARIOS
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WEALTH RADAR® STRATEGY
A service to support your in-house analytics and scenario assessments.
Parameter &
Scenarios Definition
Data Sets
Definition
WEALTH RADAR
Scenarios
Analysis &
Sensitivity
Update Parameters
& Scenarios
Portfolio Model
Setup & Validation
(Geo)political
Risk Analysis
“We help you to identify and integrate (geo)political
risks into your portfolio risk assessment and help you
to define and evaluate dynamic scenarios for your
investments.”
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
GROWTH POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT
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A practical Boutique approach towards Potential Growth!
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
GROWTH POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT
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A practical Boutique approach towards Potential Growth!
A. Data collection
• Data & Information Collection and Analysis
• Updated Plan of Approach for Acceptance
B. Market & Portfolio
• Techno-Economic Marketing Assessment (Technology/Product/Service Portfolio, Project
realizations, Sales Funnel Analysis & Sales Acquisition methods)
• Value Creation, Capturing and Delivery Awareness & Capability
• Market Attractiveness and Development Trends/ Scenario’s
C. Organizational
• Leadership - Ambition Alignment Assessment
• Operational Excellence Level Assessment (incl. Restructuring For Success recommendations)
D. External & Non-Market related
• Political - International, Country and Regional Risks & Opportunities
• Cultural - factors affecting company talent level, work efficiency, etc. due to policy and/or
nationalization programs etc.
• Other Non-Market related factors
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
GROWTH POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT
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A practical Boutique approach towards Potential Growth!
INFORMATION REQUIRED FOR PROPOSAL
Company Structure and Organizational Details (# of locations)
P&L statement
Product portfolio, Technology description & Marketing Information + Sectors, Countries & Regions,
Business Model and/or Distribution/ Channels (Format Presentations, Brochures, Business plans etc.)
DELIVERABLES:
Growth Potential Report and Presentation to Management
REMUNERATION:
Fixed Fee or Retainer, according milestone plan + Expenses (10% admin fee or arranged through
company)
PAYMENT:
50% Before commencement - 40% After delivery of final report - 10% After Acceptance of Final Report
PLANNING:
Project dependent
TYPICAL PROJECT TERMS
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
PORTFOLIO RISK & SCENARIOS
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WEALTH RADAR®
A flexible in-house analytics and scenario testing platform to optimize and stress-
test investment portfolios and simultanuously analyze assets and liabilities.
Versatile ...
• Innovative scenario generator with real-world
behavioral rules
• Pre-loaded with a broad dataset of the major
economic regions and fully documented and
tested economic scenarios
• Data and scenarios of countries, sectors or
assets of interest can easily be added
• A fast, flexible and easy to use graphical user
interface Log and export all results for
regulatory reporting
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
• The first asset-liability management (ALM) model fully integrating
behavioral rules
– behavioral vector autoregression (B-VAR) model combines a broad econometric
VAR model with rules capturing the behavior of key actors in the economy such as
central banks, investors, consumers and producers
– behavioral rules are taken from academic research in behavioral economics,
bounded rationality, non-linear economic dynamics and other schools of economics
• The only ALM model capable of generating sudden qualitative changes
in economic dynamics characteristic for economic crises
• Easy to use graphical interface with low response times that is ideal for
quick analysis and real-time use
• suitable as an exploratory scenario model, generating results that can
be fed into the user’s existing models for further calculation
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PORTFOLIO RISK & SCENARIOS
… AND REALLY DIFFERENT
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
Organized into seven main parts, visible as tabs in its graphical interface
1. Data overview 2. Portfolio 3. Portfolio Optimization 4. Scenario’s
5. Portfolio Impact 6. Funding Ratio 7. Mortgage Valuation
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4A. Scenarios - Simulation Generator
PORTFOLIO RISK & SCENARIOS
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES 22
CRITICAL INCIDENTS TRACKING
• Tracking/alerting, risk rating and analysis specific to the
African continent and key Arab states (Saudi Arabia, Egypt,
Libya, Algeria, Jordan), while targeting also Turkey
• Stability rating of a region, a nation, a group of countries
• Events and incidents are captured by teams on the ground,
summarized, analyzed and disseminated
• Trackers use personal and public sources and incidents are
submitted to the Regional Moderating Analyst
• A live map that is fed from a continuously updated database of
rated and validated incidents.
THE LATEST OVERVIEW OF ALL INCIDENTS BY PEOLPLE ON THE GROUND
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
CRITICAL INCIDENTS TRACKER
Incident definition based
on the selected pin.
Filters, analysis and
statistics
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THE DESKTOP ANALYSIS PLATFORM
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES 24
The rates of the events are
reflected within the pin.
The average for any given period
is called CIncidents Index.
CRITICAL INCIDENTS TRACKER
THE DESKTOP ANALYSIS PLATFORM
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
READY TO USE - Analysis & data reporting
Data analysis and
access to raw
data for personal
processing
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CRITICAL INCIDENTS TRACKER
THE DESKTOP ANALYSIS PLATFORM
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
READY TO USE - Heat maps vizualisation
Immediate visualization
of risks.
The interactive maps
that can be queried,
downloaded and shared.
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CRITICAL INCIDENTS TRACKER
THE DESKTOP ANALYSIS PLATFORM
27. VEROCY.COM
MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
BE INFORMED OF RISK AROUND YOU | ANYWHERE-ANYTIME!
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SHIELD & ALERT
Your eyes and ears on the ground
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MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
S&A PREMIUM SCENARIO
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SHIELD & ALERT
1. You land in your destination city.
2. S&A immediately informs you of critical incidents that have occurred or are occurring within your
selected radius based on your GPS location. Information is displayed on a map and user can
switch to list view instead of map view.
3. Critical incidents include terrorism, security and enforcement operations, major criminal activities,
riots, public demonstrations, major social disruptions, etc. You can edit the categories so you get
alerts only on what matters to you.
4. Each event is rated by our Analysts in terms of its severity.
5. An alarm sound is available for specific profiles. For example you only want to be alerted of a
“terror act, within 50 miles of my current location, that is rated 2.5 on scale of 0.5 to 5.0ʹʹ –
Anything else will keep the alarm sound silent.
6. A rating for the region where you are located is shown in the Analytics section of the app. The
data will provide you up-to-date rating of the risk level of the region you are visiting.
7. S&A is continuously updated and monitored 24 hrs/day by our trackers.
29. VEROCY.COM
MAXIMIZING VALUE OF KEY ASSETS AND RESOURCES
TRAVEL REGISTRY SCENARIO
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SHIELD & ALERT
Wherever your travel around the world, not just in Africa, make sure to register within MEA
Risk’s Travel Registry.
1. Register your travel dates in advance or simply tell the App you want to be covered.
2. Write a specific message in case you need immediate assistance.
3. Register your emergency contact numbers (company security, manager, supervisor,
relatives, parents, etc).
4. You may even include your Facebook and Twitter connections, or keep it within closed loop
for corporations.
5. If you need immediate assistance, push the HELP button and an instant message will be
broadcast to your contact list. 6. Your message will include your exact GPS location