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The 2015 Global Crowd Economy
Pulsecheck
Sean Moffitt, Managing Director, Wikibrands/CSW2
April, 2015, Singapore – Global Crowdsourcing Week
@seanmoffitt @wikibrands @crowdweek #cswglobal15
#BILLIONSAWAIT
The Crowd Economy……
The Crowd Economy is eCommerce
2001
The Crowd Economy is Social Media
2009
Trait #1 - Founding & Crisis Moments =
Crowd Springboard
May,2016
Coined Term
2009
2008
2007
2006
Trait #2 – Disruption and It’s Response
Remember These Hockey Stick Charts
2013
2025
Crowdfunding
$5B
$96B
2014
2025
Sharing
Economy $15B
$335B
Source: The World Bank, Crowd Companies, PwC
Trait #3 - Ridiculous Growth
2014
2019
P2P
Lending $9B
$580B
2014
2019
Microfinance
$5.7B
$14B
Source: Microfinance Outlook Report , Foundation Capital
Ridiculous Growth
MOOC Crowd
Education 2015
2020
$1.5B
$14B
2014
2019
Crowd Labour
$2.7B
$31B
Source: Staffing Industry Analysts, Visiongain, Sandler Research
Ridiculous Growth
The Time for Crowding is Now!
THE ECONOMY
now demands it
THE CROWD
now accepts it
THE TECHNOLOGY
now facilitates it
No Matter Who You Are…
808 Million Participants
69 Million Freelancers/Campaigners
971 Million Pieces of Work
Visitors/Users/Buyers/Donors Members/Sellers/Freelancers/Editors Projects/Gigs/Pieces/Transactions/Pages (present/annual if available)
Uber Sharing Economy 8,000,000 160,000 140,000,000
Airbnb Sharing Economy 10,000,000 1,000,000 40,000,000
Wikipedia Mass Collaboration 500,000,000 132000 36,000,000
Linux Mass Collbaoration 73,000,000 12,000 1,310,350
Kickstarter Non Equity Crowdfunding 7,030,000 177,600 70,257
Indiegogo Non-Equity Crowdfunding 6,000,000 275,000 44,000
Kiva Crowd Causes 2,116,000 870,389 1,613,000
Donors Choose Crowd Causes 1,701,000 14,445,000 571,848
Freelancer.com Crowd Labour 2,000,000 15,209,000 1,600,000
Elance-Odesk Crowd Labour 2000000 8000000 2,700,000
99 Designs Crowd Creativity 150,171 950,000 21,023,940
Eyeka Crowd Creativity 769 311,582 88,233
Ebay P2P Commerce 152,000,000 25,000,000 700,000,000
Etsy P2P Commerce 19,800,000 1,400,000 26,000,000
Prosper P2P Lending 20,000,000 93,000 93,000
Lending Club P2P Lending n/a 116,786 116,786
Quirky Customer Co-Creation 2,000,000 1,104,000 200,000
Custom Made Customer Co-Creation 3,000,000 20,000 170,000
808,797,940 69,276,357 971,601,414
41% 59%
26% 74%
13% 87%
Women are In!
Big Business and Small Business are In!
Source: PwC
Left and Right are Kinda In!
Source: Crowd Companies
There is no Ford Model T to the
Crowd Economy
Take the 2015 survey #CSWGlobal15 @seanmoffitt
Six messages for 2015 …
1. 2015/16: The Year We All Jumped
Onboard
2. Norms are Forming, Crowd Kids have
turned into Teenagers
3. B2B and B2C has turned into H2H
Six messages for 2015 …
4. It’s a Global Movement,
This is not just Silicon Valley
5. Crowd is sustainable - driven by the
winds of 5 Meta Trends
6. Disrupting Everything We Do
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Compared to historical 70% annual Crowd Economy growth rates…
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
EQUITY
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
“Solves
Problems from
Non-
Traditional
Sources”
“Funds
New
Ideas/Busi
ness”
“Drives
Awareness/Bu
zz/Publicity
Value”
The 2015 Podium
– Top Crowdsourcing Objectives
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Top Success Factors for
a Successful Crowd Initiative
Source: The 2015 Global Crowdsourcing Pulsecheck
1.Crowdworthy Idea
– Flint and Tinder
2. Triggers, Incentives and Motivations
– The Coolest Cooler
3. Great Product, Step Change Innovation
4. The Tools Used and Platforms Built
@seanmoffitt @wikibrands#cswvenice
Source: Randstad, The New Trade
The Importance of the Human Cloud
and Storytelling to Crowdsourcing
#H2H Crowdsourcing Activities #H2H Storytelling
What is driving our Global optimism?
Unlike nearly every other wave of
technology-induced change, it actually
needs the world
Source: Traits of the Crowd Economy, The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Strongly Agree/
Agree
Strongly Disagree/
Disagree
Is Silicon Valley Losing It’s Grip?
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Crowdsourcing Horizon 2020
UK Government Invests
in Crowdcube
Top Platforms – 99 Designs, Pozible,
Freelancer.com, DesignCrowd
eGov 2015 Masterplan and
home of CSW Global
Citizen’s Initiative Act
Direct Democracy and e-
Residencies
Malaysia Equity Crowdfunding
Top Legalized Equity Crowd-
Funding - Pledge.me/Snowball
Decade-long presence of
platforms and media coverage
Crowd Economy: Fueled by a nearly
perfect storm of 5 Trends
Crowd Change Factor #1 -The rise of
entrepreneurial startup culture
60% of millennials consider themselves
entrepreneurs
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Crowd Change Factor #2
– Growth of free
agents/freelancing/independent
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey, Your Ecore
Crowd Change Factor #3
- Expanded global marketplaces and
scale
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
2015 Tension between 4th & 5th Trend
Authenticity/Transparency
vs. Monetization
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Crowds are Disrupting Everything We Do
Biggest Industries
Disrupted by the Crowd
(next 3 years)
* Health Care 7th, Manufacturing 8th, Education 9th, Public Service/Govt. 10th
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Source: Efma-Infosys
Crowdsourcing : Storm Clouds Ahead?
#1 Regulatory Prevents Expansion (+2 ranks vs. 2014)
#2 Poor Implementation/Performance(+4 vs. ‘14)
#3 Weaker Participant Commitment (-1 vs. 2014)
#4 Opportunity for Scandal/Fraud (same rank as 2014)
#5 Bad Post-Campaign Communication(+3 vs.14)
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
15 Predictions for the Crowd
Economy 2015
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
-1 pts.
vs. 2014
+6 pts.
vs. 2014
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
+21 pts.
vs. 2014
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
+20 pts.
vs. 2014
“Crowdsourcing is nearing its height
in popularity and as a term, will be
considered a fad in the future.”
85% disagree (+8 pts. Vs. 2014)
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
“We will need to find significantly
better ways to manage and curate
crowdsourcing and crowdfunding
efforts than we do now.”
91% strongly believe/believe
(+7 pts. vs, 2014)
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Other Predictions?
8. Startups and Angels will
increasingly use crowdfunding as
their Series A validation
9. Governments will slowly loosen
the reigns on crowd economy, ceding
to public demand, regulations loosen
plus choosing policy/investment
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
Other 2015 Crowd Predictions:
10.Peer-to-Peer Lending will
skyrocket causing banks/financial
service to cozy up to key players
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
Other 2015 Crowd Predictions:
11. Crowdsourcing participants will
demand a more equitable
relationship with backers
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
Other 2015 Crowd Predictions:
12. More effective audits/service
industries will pop up to ensure
crowdfunders can execute & deliver
their projects
13.Incumbent crowd- and sharing
economy players will extend into
non-traditional industries
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
14. Real time, contextual,
video/mobile crowdsourcing
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
15. Crowd and sharing economy APIs
@seanmoffitt @crowdweek
Inductees 2014
2015
Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
Recap - Six messages for 2015 …
1. 2015: The Year We All Jumped Onboard
2. Norms are Forming
3. B2B and B2C has turned into H2H
4. It’s a Global Movement,
this is not just Silicon Valley
5. Driven by the winds of 5 Meta Trends
6. Disrupting Everything We Do
A Who’s Who Directory of
the Global Crowd Economy Players
The 2015 Global Economy Pulsecheck

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The 2015 Global Economy Pulsecheck

  • 1. The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Pulsecheck Sean Moffitt, Managing Director, Wikibrands/CSW2 April, 2015, Singapore – Global Crowdsourcing Week @seanmoffitt @wikibrands @crowdweek #cswglobal15
  • 2.
  • 4. The Crowd Economy is eCommerce 2001
  • 5. The Crowd Economy is Social Media 2009
  • 6. Trait #1 - Founding & Crisis Moments = Crowd Springboard May,2016 Coined Term 2009 2008 2007 2006
  • 7. Trait #2 – Disruption and It’s Response
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Remember These Hockey Stick Charts
  • 13. 2013 2025 Crowdfunding $5B $96B 2014 2025 Sharing Economy $15B $335B Source: The World Bank, Crowd Companies, PwC Trait #3 - Ridiculous Growth
  • 14. 2014 2019 P2P Lending $9B $580B 2014 2019 Microfinance $5.7B $14B Source: Microfinance Outlook Report , Foundation Capital Ridiculous Growth
  • 15. MOOC Crowd Education 2015 2020 $1.5B $14B 2014 2019 Crowd Labour $2.7B $31B Source: Staffing Industry Analysts, Visiongain, Sandler Research Ridiculous Growth
  • 16.
  • 17. The Time for Crowding is Now! THE ECONOMY now demands it THE CROWD now accepts it THE TECHNOLOGY now facilitates it
  • 18. No Matter Who You Are…
  • 19. 808 Million Participants 69 Million Freelancers/Campaigners 971 Million Pieces of Work Visitors/Users/Buyers/Donors Members/Sellers/Freelancers/Editors Projects/Gigs/Pieces/Transactions/Pages (present/annual if available) Uber Sharing Economy 8,000,000 160,000 140,000,000 Airbnb Sharing Economy 10,000,000 1,000,000 40,000,000 Wikipedia Mass Collaboration 500,000,000 132000 36,000,000 Linux Mass Collbaoration 73,000,000 12,000 1,310,350 Kickstarter Non Equity Crowdfunding 7,030,000 177,600 70,257 Indiegogo Non-Equity Crowdfunding 6,000,000 275,000 44,000 Kiva Crowd Causes 2,116,000 870,389 1,613,000 Donors Choose Crowd Causes 1,701,000 14,445,000 571,848 Freelancer.com Crowd Labour 2,000,000 15,209,000 1,600,000 Elance-Odesk Crowd Labour 2000000 8000000 2,700,000 99 Designs Crowd Creativity 150,171 950,000 21,023,940 Eyeka Crowd Creativity 769 311,582 88,233 Ebay P2P Commerce 152,000,000 25,000,000 700,000,000 Etsy P2P Commerce 19,800,000 1,400,000 26,000,000 Prosper P2P Lending 20,000,000 93,000 93,000 Lending Club P2P Lending n/a 116,786 116,786 Quirky Customer Co-Creation 2,000,000 1,104,000 200,000 Custom Made Customer Co-Creation 3,000,000 20,000 170,000 808,797,940 69,276,357 971,601,414
  • 20. 41% 59% 26% 74% 13% 87% Women are In!
  • 21. Big Business and Small Business are In! Source: PwC
  • 22. Left and Right are Kinda In! Source: Crowd Companies
  • 23. There is no Ford Model T to the Crowd Economy
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Take the 2015 survey #CSWGlobal15 @seanmoffitt
  • 27. Six messages for 2015 … 1. 2015/16: The Year We All Jumped Onboard 2. Norms are Forming, Crowd Kids have turned into Teenagers 3. B2B and B2C has turned into H2H
  • 28. Six messages for 2015 … 4. It’s a Global Movement, This is not just Silicon Valley 5. Crowd is sustainable - driven by the winds of 5 Meta Trends 6. Disrupting Everything We Do
  • 29.
  • 30. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey Compared to historical 70% annual Crowd Economy growth rates…
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 34. @seanmoffitt @crowdweek EQUITY Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 36. Top Success Factors for a Successful Crowd Initiative Source: The 2015 Global Crowdsourcing Pulsecheck
  • 38. 2. Triggers, Incentives and Motivations – The Coolest Cooler
  • 39. 3. Great Product, Step Change Innovation
  • 40. 4. The Tools Used and Platforms Built
  • 42. Source: Randstad, The New Trade The Importance of the Human Cloud and Storytelling to Crowdsourcing #H2H Crowdsourcing Activities #H2H Storytelling
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. What is driving our Global optimism?
  • 46. Unlike nearly every other wave of technology-induced change, it actually needs the world Source: Traits of the Crowd Economy, The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 47. Strongly Agree/ Agree Strongly Disagree/ Disagree Is Silicon Valley Losing It’s Grip? Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 48. Crowdsourcing Horizon 2020 UK Government Invests in Crowdcube Top Platforms – 99 Designs, Pozible, Freelancer.com, DesignCrowd eGov 2015 Masterplan and home of CSW Global Citizen’s Initiative Act Direct Democracy and e- Residencies Malaysia Equity Crowdfunding Top Legalized Equity Crowd- Funding - Pledge.me/Snowball Decade-long presence of platforms and media coverage
  • 49. Crowd Economy: Fueled by a nearly perfect storm of 5 Trends
  • 50. Crowd Change Factor #1 -The rise of entrepreneurial startup culture 60% of millennials consider themselves entrepreneurs Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 51. Crowd Change Factor #2 – Growth of free agents/freelancing/independent Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey, Your Ecore
  • 52. Crowd Change Factor #3 - Expanded global marketplaces and scale Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 53. 2015 Tension between 4th & 5th Trend Authenticity/Transparency vs. Monetization Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 54. Crowds are Disrupting Everything We Do
  • 55. Biggest Industries Disrupted by the Crowd (next 3 years) * Health Care 7th, Manufacturing 8th, Education 9th, Public Service/Govt. 10th @seanmoffitt @crowdweek Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 57. Crowdsourcing : Storm Clouds Ahead?
  • 58. #1 Regulatory Prevents Expansion (+2 ranks vs. 2014) #2 Poor Implementation/Performance(+4 vs. ‘14) #3 Weaker Participant Commitment (-1 vs. 2014) #4 Opportunity for Scandal/Fraud (same rank as 2014) #5 Bad Post-Campaign Communication(+3 vs.14) Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 59. 15 Predictions for the Crowd Economy 2015
  • 60. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey -1 pts. vs. 2014 +6 pts. vs. 2014
  • 61. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey +21 pts. vs. 2014
  • 62. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 63. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 64. Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey +20 pts. vs. 2014
  • 65. “Crowdsourcing is nearing its height in popularity and as a term, will be considered a fad in the future.” 85% disagree (+8 pts. Vs. 2014) @seanmoffitt @crowdweek Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 66. “We will need to find significantly better ways to manage and curate crowdsourcing and crowdfunding efforts than we do now.” 91% strongly believe/believe (+7 pts. vs, 2014) @seanmoffitt @crowdweek Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 67. Other Predictions? 8. Startups and Angels will increasingly use crowdfunding as their Series A validation 9. Governments will slowly loosen the reigns on crowd economy, ceding to public demand, regulations loosen plus choosing policy/investment @seanmoffitt @crowdweek
  • 68. Other 2015 Crowd Predictions: 10.Peer-to-Peer Lending will skyrocket causing banks/financial service to cozy up to key players @seanmoffitt @crowdweek
  • 69. Other 2015 Crowd Predictions: 11. Crowdsourcing participants will demand a more equitable relationship with backers @seanmoffitt @crowdweek
  • 70.
  • 71. Other 2015 Crowd Predictions: 12. More effective audits/service industries will pop up to ensure crowdfunders can execute & deliver their projects 13.Incumbent crowd- and sharing economy players will extend into non-traditional industries @seanmoffitt @crowdweek
  • 72.
  • 73. 14. Real time, contextual, video/mobile crowdsourcing @seanmoffitt @crowdweek
  • 74. 15. Crowd and sharing economy APIs @seanmoffitt @crowdweek
  • 76. 2015 Source: The 2015 Global Crowd Economy Survey
  • 77. Recap - Six messages for 2015 … 1. 2015: The Year We All Jumped Onboard 2. Norms are Forming 3. B2B and B2C has turned into H2H 4. It’s a Global Movement, this is not just Silicon Valley 5. Driven by the winds of 5 Meta Trends 6. Disrupting Everything We Do
  • 78.
  • 79. A Who’s Who Directory of the Global Crowd Economy Players