Resolving Issues in the Energy Transition
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Erwin van Laethem, Chief Innovation Officer, RWE Group. Presented at Crowdsourcing Week Europe 2015. For more information or to join the next event: http://crowdsourcingweek.com/
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Resolving Issues in the Energy Transition
- 1. Resolving Issues in the Energy Transition What do Experts & Crowd tell us ? Erwin van Laethem ENERGY
- 2. Mother Earth : Reduce CO2 Markets : more international & more volatile Moore’s Law : digital & IoT ENERGY
- 3. © Synthetron 2015 Crowd energy decentralised consumer + producer =prosumer ... want it ... Technology ... can do it ... What is holding them back ? ENERGY
- 4. © Synthetron 2015 Crowd energy Markets Activation Bottle Necks ENERGY
- 5. © Synthetron 2015 2 Synthetron discussions on Crowd Energy market 8 &13 October 2015 Instant short list of top opinions & ideas evolutionary discussion clever virtual scalable table setting Deep analysis actionable insight Online www moderated Qualified data set synthetrons
- 6. © Synthetron 2015 Expert Panels bipolar Active opposing views expert low consensus both Expert Mini Crowd Participants 17 9 Messeges 212 118 consensus 13% Low treshhold 23% Normal treshold Bipolarity 33% 38% V ><
- 7. © Synthetron 2015 Two schools EXP. START EXP. END CROWD CAVEAT : SMALL NUMBERS • No non-believers • Experts more optimistic • significant difference believers and non- believers
- 8. © Synthetron 2015 script 8CONFIDENTIAL 1. Imagine … crowd energy market .. What picture comes to mind? What will change for you? 2. Poll: Do you find this an attractive picture? Explain… What ..attractive? Hope? .. Less attractive fear? 3. Now you’re a prosumer …. How do you expect to sell? What market mechanism do you expect? 4. Now … what will trigger you to invest ? 5. Do you believe it will….? 6. How can we get the crowd to actively build the crowd sourced market? 1. Poll Do you believe .. in 5 years ..? • what is particularly attractive ? 2. What image ..10 years from now? • ..main actors then? • How and where will value be created, money be generated ? • Who ..the winners, losers ? 3. …most important bottleneck that prevents this market to develop? 4. …key enablers for a large scale decentral energy system to take off? 5. Poll Do you believe .. in 5 years ..? • what question for crowd of people and ask them to find solutions for.? • What is your personal take away?
- 9. © Synthetron 2015 How does it look like? Expert panel Winners •platform, •prosumer - local communities •peer to peer btb •storage and traders Losers Incumbent players? Value •for prosumer •new service provider •lower energy cost, dependence and consumption
- 10. © Synthetron 2015 Change forces? Expert panel Positive driving forces •good : more social sharing, power to prosumers, less dependent, more resilience •the technical progress digitalisation IoT storage, cost solar.. • .. Maybe government • .. Maybe some black outs? Bottlenecks •uncertainty about crow activation and cost incentives •many things are not clear yet •non existence of market mechanism •lack of policy and to restrictive regulation •resistance from incumbent players. Enablers •engagement involvement of customers, prosumers, local opinion makers… •funding •lobby •transparent easy pricing •technology Activation switch ? •because people think it is better, good for society, their image,.. •market de-regulation •direct p2P sales •pushed because today underperformances •because it is economical attractive
- 11. © Synthetron 2015 How does it look like? Crowd mini panel Losers •Centralised energy model •International energy suppliers •CO2 & fossil fuels Consumption •Local •Regulated infrastructure •Sharing economy (fee based access) •(locally) shared investments
- 12. © Synthetron 2015 Change forces? Crowd mini panel Positive driving forces Good : • Local • Green • Independent from (foreign) energy providers • profitable Bottlenecks •High cost associated with green energy setups •Difficult to set up? •Uncertain investment climate •Changing rules Enablers •Regulated long term stable investment climate •Stable subsidy •Infrastructure provided •Organised sharing economy/ market Activation switch ? •Easy •Earn money •Prospect of self sufficiency •Sharing economy •Hope that it will go fast • and become big/ significant
- 13. © Synthetron 2015 © Synthetron 2015 Reflection ENERGY
Notas do Editor
- Synthetrons Crowdsourcing platform Focused dialogues under guidance of a moderator An evolutionary process, written interactive sharing reacting and evaluating of ideas (collaboration) , so that best ideas emerge In a safe space (anonymous and peers) with no group think, fully scalable Real time and conclusive
- Changing environment, organisatons, governements can no longer afford not to involve all ressources Connected crowd , structured into new organisation (teal of F Laloux) or more practive angaging crowds Managed and unmanaged it will be a force for change and can be real force for good and acceleration