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The Delphi
  Decis ion Maker
Real-Time Decis ion S upport for Large Groups of
                C ris is E xperts

                   Powered by Sahana Eden
In an extreme event or major disaster, very often there are both
alternative actions that might be considered and far more requests for
actions than can be executed immediately. The relative desirability of
each option for action could be a collaborative expression of a significant
number of emergency managers and experts trying to manage the most
desirable alternatives at any given time, in real time. The Delphi Decision
Maker can satisfy these needs given that anyone can vote or change their
vote on any options, and voting and scaling are used to promote a group
understanding.




                              Powered by Sahana Eden
Tools Available


    Problem Generator – a place for the facilitator to list problems

    Solution Generator – group members can contribute to the
    solution set – at any time during the process

    Discussion Forum – each solution has it's own forum
    discussion space

    Voting – members can vote, change their vote and vote only on
    the solutions they feel are worthy of consideration

    Feedback Scale – a single group calculation representing the
    group opinion



                             Powered by Sahana Eden
Role S upport


    Guests – can only view the problem, solutions
    and scale

    Members – can view the problem, add
    solutions and vote

    Facilitator – can create problems, add
    solutions, and vote



                      Powered by Sahana Eden
Problems   are easily created requiring a Title along
            with a description.




                Powered by Sahana Eden
S olutions    are submitted by the users which can then
    be discussed and ranked from best to worst.




                    Powered by Sahana Eden
Forum Dis cus s ion is available for every
              solution offered.




                 Powered by Sahana Eden
Voting – members can vote on only the items they
     feel are worthy, they can change their vote.




                      Powered by Sahana Eden
Drag and Drop to rank your Lis t




             Powered by Sahana Eden
Once complete, S ave Vote and IF
 you change your mind later, vote
          again & again




             Powered by Sahana Eden
S cale of G roup Opinion is offered as a
feedback mechanism. This reflects the group's opinion at
               any one moment in time.




                       Powered by Sahana Eden
Even when all experts in a group may not be able to participate at the
moment, or some may be unqualified to vote on a particular matter,
nonetheless, a decision must be made. This system is conducive for
decision making given the worst of conditions, utilizing the information as
well as the experts to their fullest capacity. In a disaster, it may appear
that there are only poor selections after such a tragic event has occurred.
However, a best decision must still be made, thus minimizing potential
future damages and hence, maximizing the best obtainable outcome for
the challenges that lay ahead. A dynamic Delphi system will support real
time decision making for virtual groups working in a changing
environment. The Internet provides opportunity and lessens previous
geographic boundaries to a great extent. The system is available online
and is accessible anywhere there is Internet connectivity and a browser.



                              Powered by Sahana Eden
Demo Site & Sandbox: http://delphi.sahanafoundation.org/




        eBook Free                             Available on Amazon



                          Powered by Sahana Eden

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A Tutorial on the Delphi Decision Maker: Sahana Eden

  • 1. The Delphi Decis ion Maker Real-Time Decis ion S upport for Large Groups of C ris is E xperts Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 2. In an extreme event or major disaster, very often there are both alternative actions that might be considered and far more requests for actions than can be executed immediately. The relative desirability of each option for action could be a collaborative expression of a significant number of emergency managers and experts trying to manage the most desirable alternatives at any given time, in real time. The Delphi Decision Maker can satisfy these needs given that anyone can vote or change their vote on any options, and voting and scaling are used to promote a group understanding. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 3. Tools Available  Problem Generator – a place for the facilitator to list problems  Solution Generator – group members can contribute to the solution set – at any time during the process  Discussion Forum – each solution has it's own forum discussion space  Voting – members can vote, change their vote and vote only on the solutions they feel are worthy of consideration  Feedback Scale – a single group calculation representing the group opinion Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 4. Role S upport  Guests – can only view the problem, solutions and scale  Members – can view the problem, add solutions and vote  Facilitator – can create problems, add solutions, and vote Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 5. Problems are easily created requiring a Title along with a description. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 6. S olutions are submitted by the users which can then be discussed and ranked from best to worst. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 7. Forum Dis cus s ion is available for every solution offered. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 8. Voting – members can vote on only the items they feel are worthy, they can change their vote. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 9. Drag and Drop to rank your Lis t Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 10. Once complete, S ave Vote and IF you change your mind later, vote again & again Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 11. S cale of G roup Opinion is offered as a feedback mechanism. This reflects the group's opinion at any one moment in time. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 12. Even when all experts in a group may not be able to participate at the moment, or some may be unqualified to vote on a particular matter, nonetheless, a decision must be made. This system is conducive for decision making given the worst of conditions, utilizing the information as well as the experts to their fullest capacity. In a disaster, it may appear that there are only poor selections after such a tragic event has occurred. However, a best decision must still be made, thus minimizing potential future damages and hence, maximizing the best obtainable outcome for the challenges that lay ahead. A dynamic Delphi system will support real time decision making for virtual groups working in a changing environment. The Internet provides opportunity and lessens previous geographic boundaries to a great extent. The system is available online and is accessible anywhere there is Internet connectivity and a browser. Powered by Sahana Eden
  • 13. Demo Site & Sandbox: http://delphi.sahanafoundation.org/ eBook Free Available on Amazon Powered by Sahana Eden