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Connected Urban Development
        Global Conference 2008
    Connected and Sustainable Energy

Energy Efficiency Perspectives:

    Intelligent Networks and
        The Challenge of
      Zero Energy Buildings
               Stephen Selkowitz
 Department Head, Building Technologies Department
       Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
                seselkowitz@lbl.gov
                     510/486-5064


                    Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Defining the Energy/Climate Change Problem:
    5 Supply Perspectives and 1 Demand

     Carbon Storage                         Solar power




    Biofuels
                      Energy Efficiency in Buildings
                                                          Wind power




                              Nuclear
U.S. End-Use Energy Split

                                   Building Energy Use:

                                   39% total U.S. energy
                                   40% of carbon emissions
                                   71% electricity
                                   54% of natural gas

                                   Fastest growth rate!




         Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Building Energy Use
No “silver bullet” solutions: heating, cooling and lighting dominate but must
  address complexity of end use splits, which vary by sector and climate




 39% total U.S. energy
 71% electricity, 54% of natural gas

                                Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
National Lighting Energy Consumption

                                                              390 Billion kWh used for lighting in all
                                                              commercial buildings in 2001



                  LED (<.1%)
           HID
           22%                              Incandescent
                                                40%




           Fluorescent
               38%


Lighting Energy Consumption by Major                                                                Breakdown of Lighting Energy
    Sector and Light Source Type
Source: Navigant Consulting, Inc., U.S. Lighting Market Characterization, Volume I: National Lighting Inventory and, Energy Consumption
Estimate, Final Report for US DOE, 2002
                                                                          Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Commercial Building Lighting wastes energy because
      dimming lighting controls are not widely used

All Lighting Should be:
• Dimmable
• Addressable
• (Affordable)


Major Lighting Control
Strategies
Vacancy Detection or Scheduling
Automatic Dimming with Daylight
Tuning Strategies
      Personal dimming controls
      Institutional requirements
Lumen Maintenance
Demand Response
Good Lighting Controls (Daylight Dimming) Work

                                 Daily Energy Use (6 A.M to 6 P.M.)
    kWh/12 hr/zone
    40
                          G     South Daylit                    J     North Daylit                   H       Reference                            Data from
    35                                                                                                                                            advanced
                     H H HHHH HHH H H H H HH H HH H H H H H HH H HH HHHH H H
                           HHHH HHH H HH H HH H HH H HH H H HH H HH H H H H H
                            H H HH H HH H H                                         H
    30
         H H
            H
              H
          HH H HH H H H H
               H HH H H H
         H H HH H H H HHH H
                  HH
                                          H      H H HH H HH H H H HH HH HHH HH HH H H
                                                 H
                                                           HH
                                                           HH                H HH
                                                                              H    HH H
                                                                                   H HH                                                           lighting controls
                                                                             H HHH HH H HH
                                                                              H HH     H HH
                                                                                        H
                                   40-60%
                                                                                          H
                                                                                                                                                  demonstration
    25                                                                                   40-80%
         G G                      G
                                   Savings                                               SavingsG                              GG
                                                                                                                                G
                                                                                                                                        G         in Emeryville, CA
                                                                                                                                        J
    20   J G
              J
                            G G
                              G JG G
                                                                                                                 G G GG GG G G G
                                                                                                                 G
                                                                                                                  G      G
                                                                                                                   GG G G GGJG G G G
                                                                                                                 GG G                  GG         (1990)          !!!
                         G                                                                       G G G G G G GGG JJ JJ JG JJ JG J JJJJ
                                                                                                                    G GJ
                GG G G G G G G G
          GG GG G G G G G G G G G
                 GG GG J G                                         G G                           G GG G G
                                                                                                G G GG G
                                                                                                 G                            G
                                                                                                                            GJG JGJGJGJGG
                                                                                                                                     JJ
                                                                                                                                    JJ G J G GG
         GG J J
         J J G G G G G GG                GG                   G                           GG                          J
                                                                                       GG G GG G GG G J J JJ JJJJ JJG G
                                                                                        GG G G
                                                                                                                            J
                                                                                                                        J JJ JJ G            GG
    15    J JJ J JJJ JJ JJ H JGGG G G GG G G G G G G G G G G G G G G
          J J J J JJ          JG              GG G         G
                                                           G
                                                              GG
                                                             GG G G        G              G GG G
                                                                                             G
                                                                                                          G
                                                                                                                     JJ
                         J JJ J JJ J              G JGGGG GG GG GGG G
                                                 G GG   G           G
                                                                   G G G GGG
                                                                            G G       G                      JJ JJJJJ J
                                                                                                               J                  G
               G               J JJJ
                                     J JJJ J J
                                                  G
                                      J JJ JJ JJ J J
                                                                                      G
                                                                                                            JJ                                    Energy Use
    10                                                  J
                                                          J JJ
                                                                   J JJ                          J
                                                                                           J J J J JJ
                                                                                                         J
                                                                              J J JJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJ JJ JJ J
                             G
                                               J JJ JJ
                                              J JJ
                                                                    J
                                                                           J
                                                  J JJJJ JJJJJ JJJG JJ JJ JJJJJ JJJ JJJJ J JJ
                                                                J JJ J            GJ
                                                                                        J
                                                                                                      G                           J
                                                                                                                                  G          G
                                                                                                                                             J    before retrofit:
                             J                                                                        J
     5                                                            J               J


     0                             H
                                   G
                                   J                                       H                     H       G
                                                                                                         H
                                                                                                         J                    H           H
                                                                                                                                                  After retrofit:
         0               50               100              150                 200              250               300               350           South zone:
                                                       Day of Year 1990                                                                           North zone:

                                                                               Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Making Lighting Controls Intelligent:
   Adding Wireless Communications Capabilities to Ballasts


                                  Mesh Networks: Wireless
                                     Lighting Controls:
                                  Single Chip Mote Feasibility
                                         Demonstrated
                                  Wireless Control by single-
                                  chip mote demonstrated in
                                       ACM & Ballast




Single Chip mounted to a board
  for integration with lighting
          components


                                     Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Potential Impacts of Advanced Lighting
    Controls in California Buildings




               Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
The New York Times
           HQ Building
Owners program:
•   52 floors, 160,000 sq.M
•   Highly glazed façade gives workers views and allows
    the city to see “news” at work
•   But glare, cooling, visibility etc

Need/Goal:
•   Develop integrated , automated shading and
    dimmable lighting system
      – Affordable, reliable and robust
•   Transform the market- push these solutions toward
    widespread use

Challenge:
•   How to develop a workable integrated
    hardware/software solution
•   How to “guarantee” that such a solution will work in
    practice




                                                Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Approach: Test Performance of Systems
Options in a Full-Scale Mockup of part of a floor                North          12
                                                                            A
                                                                            B
Evaluate Shading,
daylighting, employee
feedback and constructability
in a ~4500 sf testbed
Fully instrumented; 1 year
testing

Concerns with glass facade:
  – Window glare (Tv=0.75)
  – Control of solar gain/cooling
  – Daylight harvesting
    potential
Lighting Systems
  – Daylight dimming
  – Addressable systems
  – Task tuning
  – Load Shed/DR

Real sun and sky conditions,
12-month monitored period
                                    Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Extend Testbed Results to All Floors and
   Orientations using Simulation Tools                                            13
Develop Shade Control Algorithms for Motorized Shades
                using Simulation Results
  • Each shade system has its own sensor and motors
  • Performance will vary with orientation, floor elevation,                           2
     view out, and neighboring buildings.
  • How to address performance with this variance?
  • Build a virtual model of the building in its urban
     context using hourly weather data simulate
     performance
                                                                                       17



                                                           2


                    17                                                                 18

                                  18                       Simulated Views from 3 of
                                                           22 view positions
                                     Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
                    3-D Digital model of site
Challenge: Verifying Installation and Field Performance
            New Tool used by owner to check calibration of installed systems




•   High-dynamic range (HDR) digital images
•   Captured automatically, processed within 1 minute,
    then produces continuous luminance maps of the
    scene.
      – Accuracy to +/- 10% within 0-5000 cd/m2 range
•   R&D tool developed in testbed

•   Verifies that installation meets specs
•   “Production tool” used by owner in building ----------->



                                                  Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Intelligent Lighting and Shade Control - now in NYC!
                                 • Dimmable lighting
                                 • Addressable
                                 • (Affordable)
                                 (1/3 original cost estimate)
                                 • (Multifunctional)




          Occupied 2007      New York Times office with dimmable
                                lights and automated shading
Controls for Natural Ventilation:
  San Francisco Federal Building
Natural ventilation in tower – no mechanical cooling or ventilation in open-plan
perimeter office space
Mechanically operated and manually operated windows
Extensive daylighting, dimmable lighting

Designed with state-of-the-art
simulation tools, EnergyPlus*
and CFD
Control system tested with
EnergyPlus prior to installation

Virtual Controls Testbed - to
optimize the strategies for
opening windows for cooling

                                     Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Energy/Demand Management with Active
                                        Façades+ Daylighting Controls

                 30000
                 30000                                                          30000
                                                                                30000


                                  Typical commercial                                        Peak demand reductions
                                  building load profile                                        during curtailments
                 25000
                 25000                                                          25000
                                                                                25000
Electric
Demand                                                                                      Lighting:         75%
                 20000                                                                      Air conditioning: 25%
                                                                                                                                   Reduced
                 20000                                                          20000
                                                                                20000
                                                        A/C                                 Other:            10%                  Solar Gain
                 15000
                 15000                                                          15000
                                                                                15000
                                                                                                                  A/C
                                                                                                                                   Dimmed
                                                    Lighting
                                                                                                                                   Lighting
                 10000
                 10000                                                          10000
                                                                                10000



                                                     Other
                  5000
                  5000                                                          5000
                                                                                5000
                                                                                                             Other


                      0
                      0                                                            0
                                                                                   0
                          1
                          1   3
                              3    5
                                   5    7
                                        7      9
                                               9   11
                                                   11   13 15 17
                                                        13 15 17   19 21
                                                                   19 21   23
                                                                           23           1   3   5   7   9   11 13 15 17 19 21 23
                                                                                        1   3   5   7   9   11 13 15 17 19 21 23
                                                   Tim e of Day
                                                   Tim e of Day                                             Tim e of Day
                                                                                                            Tim e of Day




 © André Anders & Windows Group (EETD), 2007
Automated Demand Response
     DR Definition: Action to reduce load when
        •        Contingencies occur that threaten supply-demand balance
        •        Market conditions occur that raise supply costs
                  – peak-load reductions different from efficiency, transient vs. permanent


     DR Communications Infrastructure Needs
        •        Create real-time, automated DR infrastructure to respond to changing contingency and market
                 conditions
        •        DR infrastructure should coexist with legacy systems, technology and tariff improvements, with near-
                 and long-term benefits.


                                                   C a lifo r n ia D a ily P e a k L o a d s -- 2 0 0 6

                 7 0 ,0 0 0

                                                                                                          R e s id e n tia l A ir C o n d itio n in g
                 6 0 ,0 0 0
                                                                                                      C o m m e r c ia l A ir C o n d itio n in g


                 5 0 ,0 0 0



                 4 0 ,0 0 0
            MW




                 3 0 ,0 0 0



                 2 0 ,0 0 0



                 1 0 ,0 0 0



                          0
                         J a n -0 6   M a r -0 6             M a y -0 6           J u l-0 6           S e p -0 6                    N o v -0 6



18
DR Automation Server and Client
                                       DRAS Clients –
                                       1. Software only (Smart)
                                       2. Software & Hardware
                                          (Simple)




19
Auto-DR in 130,000 ft2 County Office
     Current Practice




20
Time Scales of Building/Grid Optimization –
     Automated DR Future




                     Time of Use Optimized




21
Recent Energy Efficiency Activity

“Greening the Capitol” Project
– Make the House buildings Carbon Neutral
  in 10 years
– Plan published; Action launched


Architecture 2030 - Zero Energy
Buildings
– AIA and 500 cities have signed on


California PUC: Launches “Big
Bold” initiatives
– ~$1B/yr on Efficiency; shift to longer term
  focus
– “New Commercial Buildings are Zero Net
  Energy by 2030”
Vision: Zero Energy Building
Creating a New Generation of Net-Zero Energy, Carbon-Neutral Buildings

                   Automation                     Functional Building    Tunable Windows
                   • Energy sensors & actuators   Materials
                   • Wireless communication       • Thermal
                   • Feedback control systems     • Structural




Cool Stuff
Getting to “Zero Net Energy” or “ Carbon
Neutral” Buildings

• Deployment: (5 - 30% savings)
   — Identify what works and deploy it widely
   — Applies to all buildings: new and existing
   — Mandatory programs: codes and standards
   — Voluntary programs: incentives
   — e.g. Clinton Climate Initiative
• Demonstrate Emerging Solutions (20 - 60% savings)
   — Find Underutilized, unproven technologies and systems
   — R&D to improve, optimize; Make them mainstream
   — e.g. New York Times
• Breakthrough Innovations (50-80% savings plus on-site
  renewable power)
   — New, more effective, high performance options
   — Lower costs, Lower risk
What Will it Take to Achieve 2030 Targets?


                           9
                                                                        BAU
Total Energy Consumption




                           8                                                         These levels of
   (Quads = 10^15 Btu)




                           7                                                         efficiency are unlikely to
                           6                                                         be achieved by market
                           5                                                         forces alone;
                           4
                           3                                                         Major new public/private
                           2                                                         initiatives to drive
                           1                                                         toward goals
                           0
                               2005     2010     2015     2020       2025   2030
                                                                                     Business opportunities
                                                                                     for firms with
                                                     Year                            “solutions”
                           Existing Buildings   Retrofit Buildings   New Buildings


New Commercial Buildings Save 90% by 2030
     plus 50% Retrofit Savings by 2030
                                                        Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
“Think Big, Start Small, Act Now”

         • Challenge of launching and sustaining a large scale,
           long term, national program, blending policy, economics
           and technology
         • Public - Private partnership
         • New and Existing Commercial Buildings
         • Long Term effort - 10-20 years
         • “You cant manage what you don’t measure…”
            • Making Performance “Visible” - display energy use
            • IT network and smart controls enable real time, high resolution,
              performance monitoring from devices to buildings to grid
         • Get involved………
         • Zero Energy Commercial Building Initiative
ge 28
            • www.zeroenergycbi.org

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Stephen Selkowitz - Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory - Intelligent Networks & the Challenge of Zero Energy Buildings

  • 1. Connected Urban Development Global Conference 2008 Connected and Sustainable Energy Energy Efficiency Perspectives: Intelligent Networks and The Challenge of Zero Energy Buildings Stephen Selkowitz Department Head, Building Technologies Department Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory seselkowitz@lbl.gov 510/486-5064 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 2. Defining the Energy/Climate Change Problem: 5 Supply Perspectives and 1 Demand Carbon Storage Solar power Biofuels Energy Efficiency in Buildings Wind power Nuclear
  • 3. U.S. End-Use Energy Split Building Energy Use: 39% total U.S. energy 40% of carbon emissions 71% electricity 54% of natural gas Fastest growth rate! Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 4. Building Energy Use No “silver bullet” solutions: heating, cooling and lighting dominate but must address complexity of end use splits, which vary by sector and climate 39% total U.S. energy 71% electricity, 54% of natural gas Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 5. National Lighting Energy Consumption 390 Billion kWh used for lighting in all commercial buildings in 2001 LED (<.1%) HID 22% Incandescent 40% Fluorescent 38% Lighting Energy Consumption by Major Breakdown of Lighting Energy Sector and Light Source Type Source: Navigant Consulting, Inc., U.S. Lighting Market Characterization, Volume I: National Lighting Inventory and, Energy Consumption Estimate, Final Report for US DOE, 2002 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 6. Commercial Building Lighting wastes energy because dimming lighting controls are not widely used All Lighting Should be: • Dimmable • Addressable • (Affordable) Major Lighting Control Strategies Vacancy Detection or Scheduling Automatic Dimming with Daylight Tuning Strategies Personal dimming controls Institutional requirements Lumen Maintenance Demand Response
  • 7. Good Lighting Controls (Daylight Dimming) Work Daily Energy Use (6 A.M to 6 P.M.) kWh/12 hr/zone 40 G South Daylit J North Daylit H Reference Data from 35 advanced H H HHHH HHH H H H H HH H HH H H H H H HH H HH HHHH H H HHHH HHH H HH H HH H HH H HH H H HH H HH H H H H H H H HH H HH H H H 30 H H H H HH H HH H H H H H HH H H H H H HH H H H HHH H HH H H H HH H HH H H H HH HH HHH HH HH H H H HH HH H HH H HH H H HH lighting controls H HHH HH H HH H HH H HH H 40-60% H demonstration 25 40-80% G G G Savings SavingsG GG G G in Emeryville, CA J 20 J G J G G G JG G G G GG GG G G G G G G GG G G GGJG G G G GG G GG (1990) !!! G G G G G G G GGG JJ JJ JG JJ JG J JJJJ G GJ GG G G G G G G G GG GG G G G G G G G G G GG GG J G G G G GG G G G G GG G G G GJG JGJGJGJGG JJ JJ G J G GG GG J J J J G G G G G GG GG G GG J GG G GG G GG G J J JJ JJJJ JJG G GG G G J J JJ JJ G GG 15 J JJ J JJJ JJ JJ H JGGG G G GG G G G G G G G G G G G G G G J J J J JJ JG GG G G G GG GG G G G G GG G G G JJ J JJ J JJ J G JGGGG GG GG GGG G G GG G G G G G GGG G G G JJ JJJJJ J J G G J JJJ J JJJ J J G J JJ JJ JJ J J G JJ Energy Use 10 J J JJ J JJ J J J J J JJ J J J JJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJ JJ JJ J G J JJ JJ J JJ J J J JJJJ JJJJJ JJJG JJ JJ JJJJJ JJJ JJJJ J JJ J JJ J GJ J G J G G J before retrofit: J J 5 J J 0 H G J H H G H J H H After retrofit: 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 South zone: Day of Year 1990 North zone: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 8. Making Lighting Controls Intelligent: Adding Wireless Communications Capabilities to Ballasts Mesh Networks: Wireless Lighting Controls: Single Chip Mote Feasibility Demonstrated Wireless Control by single- chip mote demonstrated in ACM & Ballast Single Chip mounted to a board for integration with lighting components Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 9. Potential Impacts of Advanced Lighting Controls in California Buildings Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 10. The New York Times HQ Building Owners program: • 52 floors, 160,000 sq.M • Highly glazed façade gives workers views and allows the city to see “news” at work • But glare, cooling, visibility etc Need/Goal: • Develop integrated , automated shading and dimmable lighting system – Affordable, reliable and robust • Transform the market- push these solutions toward widespread use Challenge: • How to develop a workable integrated hardware/software solution • How to “guarantee” that such a solution will work in practice Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 11. Approach: Test Performance of Systems Options in a Full-Scale Mockup of part of a floor North 12 A B Evaluate Shading, daylighting, employee feedback and constructability in a ~4500 sf testbed Fully instrumented; 1 year testing Concerns with glass facade: – Window glare (Tv=0.75) – Control of solar gain/cooling – Daylight harvesting potential Lighting Systems – Daylight dimming – Addressable systems – Task tuning – Load Shed/DR Real sun and sky conditions, 12-month monitored period Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 12. Extend Testbed Results to All Floors and Orientations using Simulation Tools 13 Develop Shade Control Algorithms for Motorized Shades using Simulation Results • Each shade system has its own sensor and motors • Performance will vary with orientation, floor elevation, 2 view out, and neighboring buildings. • How to address performance with this variance? • Build a virtual model of the building in its urban context using hourly weather data simulate performance 17 2 17 18 18 Simulated Views from 3 of 22 view positions Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory 3-D Digital model of site
  • 13. Challenge: Verifying Installation and Field Performance New Tool used by owner to check calibration of installed systems • High-dynamic range (HDR) digital images • Captured automatically, processed within 1 minute, then produces continuous luminance maps of the scene. – Accuracy to +/- 10% within 0-5000 cd/m2 range • R&D tool developed in testbed • Verifies that installation meets specs • “Production tool” used by owner in building -----------> Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 14. Intelligent Lighting and Shade Control - now in NYC! • Dimmable lighting • Addressable • (Affordable) (1/3 original cost estimate) • (Multifunctional) Occupied 2007 New York Times office with dimmable lights and automated shading
  • 15. Controls for Natural Ventilation: San Francisco Federal Building Natural ventilation in tower – no mechanical cooling or ventilation in open-plan perimeter office space Mechanically operated and manually operated windows Extensive daylighting, dimmable lighting Designed with state-of-the-art simulation tools, EnergyPlus* and CFD Control system tested with EnergyPlus prior to installation Virtual Controls Testbed - to optimize the strategies for opening windows for cooling Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 16. Energy/Demand Management with Active Façades+ Daylighting Controls 30000 30000 30000 30000 Typical commercial Peak demand reductions building load profile during curtailments 25000 25000 25000 25000 Electric Demand Lighting: 75% 20000 Air conditioning: 25% Reduced 20000 20000 20000 A/C Other: 10% Solar Gain 15000 15000 15000 15000 A/C Dimmed Lighting Lighting 10000 10000 10000 10000 Other 5000 5000 5000 5000 Other 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 5 5 7 7 9 9 11 11 13 15 17 13 15 17 19 21 19 21 23 23 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 Tim e of Day Tim e of Day Tim e of Day Tim e of Day © André Anders & Windows Group (EETD), 2007
  • 17. Automated Demand Response DR Definition: Action to reduce load when • Contingencies occur that threaten supply-demand balance • Market conditions occur that raise supply costs – peak-load reductions different from efficiency, transient vs. permanent DR Communications Infrastructure Needs • Create real-time, automated DR infrastructure to respond to changing contingency and market conditions • DR infrastructure should coexist with legacy systems, technology and tariff improvements, with near- and long-term benefits. C a lifo r n ia D a ily P e a k L o a d s -- 2 0 0 6 7 0 ,0 0 0 R e s id e n tia l A ir C o n d itio n in g 6 0 ,0 0 0 C o m m e r c ia l A ir C o n d itio n in g 5 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 MW 3 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,0 0 0 0 J a n -0 6 M a r -0 6 M a y -0 6 J u l-0 6 S e p -0 6 N o v -0 6 18
  • 18. DR Automation Server and Client DRAS Clients – 1. Software only (Smart) 2. Software & Hardware (Simple) 19
  • 19. Auto-DR in 130,000 ft2 County Office Current Practice 20
  • 20. Time Scales of Building/Grid Optimization – Automated DR Future Time of Use Optimized 21
  • 21. Recent Energy Efficiency Activity “Greening the Capitol” Project – Make the House buildings Carbon Neutral in 10 years – Plan published; Action launched Architecture 2030 - Zero Energy Buildings – AIA and 500 cities have signed on California PUC: Launches “Big Bold” initiatives – ~$1B/yr on Efficiency; shift to longer term focus – “New Commercial Buildings are Zero Net Energy by 2030”
  • 22. Vision: Zero Energy Building Creating a New Generation of Net-Zero Energy, Carbon-Neutral Buildings Automation Functional Building Tunable Windows • Energy sensors & actuators Materials • Wireless communication • Thermal • Feedback control systems • Structural Cool Stuff
  • 23.
  • 24. Getting to “Zero Net Energy” or “ Carbon Neutral” Buildings • Deployment: (5 - 30% savings) — Identify what works and deploy it widely — Applies to all buildings: new and existing — Mandatory programs: codes and standards — Voluntary programs: incentives — e.g. Clinton Climate Initiative • Demonstrate Emerging Solutions (20 - 60% savings) — Find Underutilized, unproven technologies and systems — R&D to improve, optimize; Make them mainstream — e.g. New York Times • Breakthrough Innovations (50-80% savings plus on-site renewable power) — New, more effective, high performance options — Lower costs, Lower risk
  • 25. What Will it Take to Achieve 2030 Targets? 9 BAU Total Energy Consumption 8 These levels of (Quads = 10^15 Btu) 7 efficiency are unlikely to 6 be achieved by market 5 forces alone; 4 3 Major new public/private 2 initiatives to drive 1 toward goals 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Business opportunities for firms with Year “solutions” Existing Buildings Retrofit Buildings New Buildings New Commercial Buildings Save 90% by 2030 plus 50% Retrofit Savings by 2030 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
  • 26.
  • 27. “Think Big, Start Small, Act Now” • Challenge of launching and sustaining a large scale, long term, national program, blending policy, economics and technology • Public - Private partnership • New and Existing Commercial Buildings • Long Term effort - 10-20 years • “You cant manage what you don’t measure…” • Making Performance “Visible” - display energy use • IT network and smart controls enable real time, high resolution, performance monitoring from devices to buildings to grid • Get involved……… • Zero Energy Commercial Building Initiative ge 28 • www.zeroenergycbi.org