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Colliers Asia
Office Leasing Survey
3Q 2012
executive                                        Colliers International is delighted to present the results of our 3Q 2012 Asia Office Leasing Survey.
                                                 We surveyed all of our office leasing professionals in Asia through an on-line questionnaire in early
summary                                          September 2012.

Based on the findings of our Survey and the methodology of Diffusion Index (DI), Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index was
at 55.1% in 3Q 2012 (2Q 2012:64.2%), indicating that market participants are holding positive views on market outlook but their confidence
is not as strong as previous quarter.

The sub-index of real estate requirements decreased to 60.4% in 3Q 2012 from 78.9% in 2Q 2012. It indicates the office tenants are seeking
for expansion while the pace of expansion was less aggressive. In terms of rental expectations, market expectation is less strong when
compared with 2Q 2012 since the reading of the rental expectations sub-index decreased to 67.0% in 3Q 2012 from 72.2% in 2Q 2012.

                                                             Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market
                                                                      Confidence Index




                         MAIN-Index	                                                                          1Q 2012	              2Q 2012	          3Q 2012
                         Market Confidence		 62.9%	                                                                                   64.2%		 55.1%

                         sub-Index	                                                                           1Q 2012	              2Q 2012	          3Q 2012
                         New Leasing Inquiry		 52.8%		 54.4%		 51.4%
                         Real Estate Requirements 		 79.3%		 78.9%		 60.4%
                         Vendors’ Expectations		 49.4%		 51.1%		 41.5%
                         Rental Expectations		 70.0%		 72.2%		 67.0%

                         The readings of the Index and Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%.
                         A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
NEW INQUIRY
  GROWING AT
  SLOWER PACE

New Leasing Inquiry
The overall level of new office leasing inquiry decreased in 3Q 2012. As reported, there were 25.5% of our brokers saying
the level of inquiry was an increase, up from 23.3% in 2Q 2012. However, 22.6% of our brokers saw a decline in new leasing
inquiry (2Q 2012: 14.4%). The diffusion index of clients’ new leasing enquiry was at 51.4% in 3Q 2012, decreased from the
54.4% in 2Q 2012.



                    Compared to last quarter, how do you see the level of new leasing inquiries in 3Q 2012?




                                                               New Leasing Inquiry Sub-Index




                              The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%.
                              A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
BANKING AND
 FINANCE IS THE
 MOST ACTIVE

Most Active Tenant Groups
Similar to the preceding quarter, the most active office tenants groups remained “Banking, Finance, Insurance (FIRE)” and
“IT” sectors during 3Q 2012.

Breaking down by key business sectors, rise in activity happened in “Banking, Finance, Insurance (FIRE)”, “IT” and
“Professional Consultants” sectors.




                              Which of the following tenant groups are the most active in your market?




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
LESS
 AGGRESSIVE IN
 EXPANSIONS

Clients’ Real Estate Requirements
About 41.5% of our brokers saw an increase of real estate requirements from their clients; the percentage was lower than
that in 2Q 2012 (i.e. 62.2%). Across the various key markets in the region, 20.8% of our brokers said a contraction of their
clients’ real estate requirements during 3Q 2012, compared with 4.4% in previous quarter.

The reading of diffusion index of clients’ real estate requirements was at 60.4% in 3Q 2012 as compared to 78.9% in 2Q
2012, suggesting the clients are less aggressive in taking on additional space in 3Q 2012.



                           In view of your clients’ requirements, what are their real estate requirements?




                                                           Real Estate Requirements Sub-Index




                              The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%.
                              A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
VENDORS
  BECAME
  CAUTIOUS

Vendors’ Expectations
In 3Q 2012, over half of the vendors (ie. 54.7%) offered the same level of leasing incentives as previous quarter. More
vendors (31.1% in 3Q 2012 vs 23.3% in 2Q 2012) were being more generous in offering leasing incentives.

The reading of diffusion index of vendors’ expectations was at 41.5% in 3Q 2012. Since it was below the 50%-mark, it signified
that vendors generally took a cautious view on the market and were being more generous in offering lease incentives.




                         Looking at leasing incentives (free rent, cash, etc), are landlords in your market :




                                                              Vendors’ Expectations Sub-Index




                              The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%.
                              A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
POSITIVE
  EXPECTATIONS
  ON RENTAL
  GROWTH

Rental Expectations
On a forward-looking basis, fewer brokers (46.2% in 3Q 2012 vs 56.7% in 2Q 2012) expected rents to increase over the
next 12 months. Meanwhile, more brokers (41.5% in 3Q 2012 vs 31.1% in 2Q 2012) believed rents will remain stable over the
next 12 months.

The reading of diffusion index of rental expectations was at 67.0% in 3Q 2012, decreased from 72.2% in 2Q 2012. Since it
was above the 50%-mark, our brokers remain positive on prospective trend of office rentals in the next 12 months.



                                      Over the next 12 months, do you expect rents in your market to:




                                                                Rental Expectations Sub-Index




                              The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%.
                              A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
methodology
Short questionnaires comprising five key questions had been sent to our office leasing brokers in the Asian region via an on-
line survey platform during the first week of September 2012.
Using the technique of * Diffusion Index (DI), the results were used to develop four sub-indices covering (1) New Leasing
Inquiry, (2) Real Estate Requirements, (3) Vendors’ Expectations and (4) Rental Expectations. After all, Colliers Asia Office
Leasing Market Confidence Index is a composite index based on the above four diffusion indexes with equal weights.


	   *	Diffusion Index (DI) = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0)
		 P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported an improvement
		 P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported no change
		 P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported a deterioration

		 A reading above 50 percent indicates the market trend is generally improving;
		 below 50 percentage indicates that it is generally declining.


The Main Index
Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index (“Leasing Confidence Index”) is the main index. It is constructed by
using the methodology of Diffusion Index (DI) and the consolidation of four component sub-indices - New Leasing Inquiry,
Real Estate Requirements, Vendors’ Expectations and Rental Expectations. Applying equal weighs to the four sub-indices, the
Leasing Confidence Index with reading above 50% indicates the Asia leasing market confidence is general improving. The
Index indicates the market confidence is deteriorating when it reads below 50%.


      Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index = (DI1 + DI2 + DI3 + DI4 )/4

Four Sub-indices
The construction of the four sub-indices is based on the each of the following four questions.


New Leasing Inquiry Index
Data is taken from the responses to the question – “Compared to last quarter, how do you see the level of new leasing
inquiries in the current quarter?”

      P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported an improvement of inquiries
      P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported no change
      P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported a deterioration of inquires
      Diffusion Index (DI1) of New Leasing Inquiry = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0)

This is a measurement of the change of clients’ inquiries during the quarterly period. Based on the methodology of Diffusion
Index, the reading above 50% indicates the level of new leasing inquiries is improving during the quarter, and it is declining
when it read below 50%.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
Real Estate Requirements
Data is taken from the responses to the question – “In view of your clients’ requirements, what are their real estate
requirements?


      P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported an expansion of clients’ requirements
      P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported no change
      P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported a contraction of clients’ requirements
      Diffusion Index (DI2) of Real Estate Requirement = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0)



This is a measurement of the change of clients’ requirements. Based on the methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above
50% indicates the level of clients’ requirement is expanding during the quarter, and it is contracting when it read below 50%.




Vendors’ Expectations
Data is taken from the responses to the question – “Looking at leasing incentives (free rent, cash, etc), are landlords in your
market are being more generous, about the same or being less generous?


      P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported landlords are less generous
      P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported about the same
      P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported landlords are more generous
      Diffusion Index (DI3) of Vendors’ Expectations = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0)



This is a measurement of vendors’ expectations on the leasing market with reference to the change of lease incentives being
offered to their tenants. Based on the methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above 50% indicates vendors’ expectations
are improving during the quarter, but it is contracting when it read below 50%.




Rental Expectations
Data is taken from the responses to the question – “Over the next 12 months, do you expect rents in your market to increase
quickly, increase slowly, remain fairly flat or decrease slowly?


      P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported rents to increase either quickly or slowing in the next 12 months
      P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported rents to remain fairly flat in the next 12 months
      P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported rents to decrease slowly in the next 12 months
      Diffusion Index (DI4) of Rental Expectations = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0)

This is a measurement of rental expectations on the leasing market with reference to the read of brokers. Based on the
methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above 50% indicates rental expectations over the next 12 months are positive
during the quarter, but it is negative when it read below 50%.




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey

3Q 2012
For further details, please contact:



GREATER CHINA                         Taipei, Taiwan                          Lahore, Pakistan
Beijing, China                        49F TAIPEI 101 TOWER                    Suite 2, Mezzanine 2, Executive Floors
502 Tower W3, Oriental Plaza          No. 7 Xin Yi Road Sec 5, Taipei 110     Al-Qadir Heights, Main Boulevard
No 1 East Changan Avenue              Tel	 :	 886 2 8101 2000                 New Garden Town, Lahore, Pakistan
Dongcheng District                    Fax	 :	 886 2 8101 2345                 Tel	 :	 92 42 3584 3474-6
Beijing 100738                        Andrew Liu                              Fax	 : 	92 21 3563 6382
Tel	 :	 86 10 8518 1633               Managing Director                       Ahmed Khan
Fax	 :	 86 10 8518 1638               andrew.liu@colliers.com                 Country Manager
Amanda Gao                                                                    ahmed.khan@colliers.com
Managing Director, North China        NORTH ASIA
amanda.gao@colliers.com                                                       Islamabad, Pakistan
                                      Seoul, South Korea                      ONE Constitution Avenue, Adjacent Convention
                                      10F Korea Tourism Organization Bldg.    Centre & Diplomatic Enclave Islamabad,
Chengdu, China
                                      10 Da-dong                              Pakistan
Unit 1504 Yanlord Landmark
                                      Jung-gu, Seoul 100-180                  Tel	 : 	92 51 834 7433
1 Renmin South Road Section 2
                                      Tel	 :	 82 2 6740 2000                  Fax	 : 	92 51 831 4737
Chengdu 610016
                                      Fax	 :	 82 2 318 2015                   Waleed Murrawat
Tel	 :	 86 28 8658 6288
                                      Jay Yun                                 Regional Sales Manager
Fax	 :	 86 28 8672 3226
                                      Senior Director & General Manager       waleed.murrawat@colliers.com
Jacky Tsai
                                      jay.yun@colliers.com
General Manager
jacky.tsai@colliers.com                                                       Manila, Philippines
                                      Tokyo, Japan                            10F Tower 2 RCBC Plaza
                                      Halifax Building                        Ayala Avenue, Makati City
Guangzhou, China
                                      3-16-26 Roppongi                        Philippines1226
702 Teem Tower
                                      Minato-ku, Tokyo 106-0032 Japan         Tel	 :	 63 2 888 9988
208 Tianhe Road
                                      Tel	 :	 81 3 5563 2111                  Fax	 :	 63 2 845 2612
Guangzhou 510620
                                      Fax	 :	 81 3 5563 2100                  David Young
Tel	 :	 86 20 3819 3888
                                      James Fink                              Managing Director
Fax	 :	 86 20 3819 3899
                                      Senior Managing Director                david.a.young@colliers.com
Eric Lam
                                      james.fink@colliers.co.jp
Managing Director
eric.lam@colliers.com                                                         Singapore
                                      SOUTH EAST ASIA                         1 Raffles Place
Shanghai, China                                                               #45-00 One Raffles Place
                                      Jakarta, Indonesia
16F Hong Kong New World Tower                                                 Singapore 048616
                                      10F and 14F World Trade Centre
300 Huaihai Zhong Road                                                        Tel	 :	 65 6223 2323
                                      Jl Jenderal Sudirman
Shanghai 200021                                                               Fax	 :	 65 6222 4901
                                      Kav 29-31 Jakarta 12920
Tel	 :	 86 21 6141 3688                                                       Dennis Yeo
                                      Tel	 :	 62 21 521 1400
Fax	 :	 86 21 6141 3699                                                       Managing Director
                                      Fax	 :	 62 21 521 1411
Lina Wong                                                                     Singapore & Industrial Services | Asia
                                      Mike Broomell
Managing Director                                                             dennis.yeo@colliers.com
                                      Managing Director
East and South West China             mike.broomell@colliers.com
Investment Services, China                                                    Bangkok, Thailand
lina.wong@colliers.com                                                        17/F Ploenchit Center
                                      Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
                                                                              2 Sukhumvit Road
                                      c/o Mark Lampard*
Hong Kong, HKSAR                                                              Klongtoey, Bangkok 10110
                                      Managing Director
5701 Central Plaza                                                            Tel	 :	 66 2 656 7000
                                      Corporate Solutions | Asia Pacific
18 Harbour Road                                                               Fax	 :	 66 2 656 7111
                                      Te	 :	 65 6531 8601
Wanchai, Hong Hong                                                            Simon Landy
                                      Fax	 :	 65 6557 0649
Company Licence No: C-006052                                                  Executive Chairman
                                      mark.lampard@colliers.com
Tel	 :	 852 2828 9888                                                         simon.landy@colliers.com
                                      * Based in Singapore
Fax	 :	 852 2828 9899
Richard Kirke (E-279867)                                                      Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
                                      Karachi, Pakistan
Managing Director                                                             Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
                                      Suite 2-A, level 2, Harbour House
richard.kirke@colliers.com                                                    7F Bitexco Building
                                      37-A, Lalazar Avenue
Piers Brunner (E-183614)                                                      19-25 Nguyen Hue Street
                                      Beach Hotel Road, Off. M.T Khan Road
Chief Executive Officer - Asia                                                District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
                                      Karachi, Pakistan
piers.brunner@colliers.com                                                    Tel	 :	 84 8 827 5665
                                      Tel : 92 21 3561 2550-2
                                                                              Fax	 :	 84 8 827 5667
                                      Fax : 92 21 3563 6382
                                                                              Peter Dinning
                                      Mohammed Yasir Qidwai
                                                                              General Director
                                      Senior Manager, Corporate Solutions &
                                                                              peter.dinning@colliers.com
                                      Research
                                      research.khi@colliers.com




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey                                                                          www.colliers.com
Hanoi, Vietnam                                 New Delhi, India                           Perth, Australia
10F, Capital Tower Building                    204/205, 2nd Floor                         Level 19, 140 St Georges Terrace
109 Tran Hung Dao Street                       Kanchenjunga Building                      Perth WA 6000
Hoan Kiem District, Hanoi, Vietnam             18 Barakhamba Road                         Tel	 :	 61 8 9261 6666
Tel	 :	 84 4 3941 3277                         New Delhi 110 001                          Fax	 :	 61 8 9261 6665
Fax	 :	 84 4 3941 3278                         Tel	 :	 91 11 4360 7500                    K. Imran Mohiuddin
Dane Moodie                                    Fax	 :	 91 11 2335 6624                    State Chief Executive
Managing Director                              Ajay Rakheja                               imran.mohiuddin@colliers.com
dane.moodie@colliers.com                       Office Director
                                               ajay.rakheja@colliers.com                  Sydney, Australia
                                                                                          Level 12, Grosvenor Place
INDIA
                                               Pune, India                                225 George Street
Bengaluru, India                               Bramha Luxury Hotels Ltd.                  Sydney NSW 2000
Prestige Garnet, Level 2, Unit No. 201/202     (Le Meridien Pune)                         Tel	 :	 61 2 9257 0222
36 Ulsoor Road, Bengaluru 560 042              101 R.B.M. Road                            Fax	 :	 61 2 9251 3297
Tel	 :	 91 80 4079 5500                        Pune 411 001, Maharashtra                  Malcom Tyson
Fax	 :	 91 80 4112 3131                        Tel	 : 	91 20 4120 6435                    State Chief Executive
Goutam Chakraborty                             Fax 	 : 	91 20 4120 6434                   malcom.tyson@colliers.com
Office Director                                Suresh Castellino
goutam.chakraborty@colliers.com                Office Director                            Auckland, New Zealand
                                               suresh.castellino@colliers.com             SAP Tower, Level 27
Chennai, India                                                                            151 Queen Street
Unit 1C, 1st Floor, Heavitree Complex                                                     Auckland 1140
23 Spurtank Road, Chetpet                      AUSTRALASIA
                                                                                          Tel : 64 9 358 1888
Chennai 600 031                                Adelaide, Australia                        Fax : 64 9 358 1999
Tel	 :	 91 44 2836 1064                        Level 10, 99 Gawler Place                  Mark Synnott
Fax	 :	 91 44 2836 1377                        Adelaide SA 5000                           Chief Executive Officer, New Zealand
Kaushik Reddy                                  Tel	 :	 61 8 8305 8888                     mark.synnott@colliers.com
Office Director                                Fax	 :	 61 8 8231 7712
kaushik.reddy@colliers.com                     James Young                                Wellington, New Zealand
                                               State Chief Executive                      Level 10, 36 Customhouse Quay
Gurgaon, India                                 james.young@colliers.com                   Wellington 6011
1st Floor, Technopolis Building                                                           Tel	 :	 64 4 473 4413
DLF Golf Course                                Brisbane, Australia                        Fax	 :	 64 4 499 1550 (Agency)
Main Sector Road                               Level 20 Central Plaza One                 	    :	 64 4 470 3902 (Valuation)
Sector 54, Gurgaon 122 002                     345 Queen Street                           Richard Findlay
Tel	 :	 91 124 4375807                         Brisbane QLD 4000                          Managing Director
Fax	 :	 91 124 4375806                         Tel	 :	 07 3229 1233                       richard.findlay@colliers.com
Ajay Rakheja                                   Fax	 :	 07 3120 4555
Office Director                                Simon Beirne
ajay.rakheja@colliers.com                      State Chief Executive
                                               simon.beirne@colliers.com
Kolkata, India
Infinity Business Centre, Infinity Benchmark   Canberra, Australia
Level 18, Room No 13, Plot G - 1               Ground floor, 21-23 Marcus Clarke Street
Block EP & GP, Sector V, Salt Lake             Canberra ACT 2601
Kolkata 700 091, West Bengal                   Tel	 :	 61 2 6257 2121
Tel	 :	 91 33 2357 6501                        Fax	 :	 61 2 6257 2937
Fax	 :	 91 33 2357 6502                        Paul Powderly
Soumya Mukherjee                               State Chief Executive
Office Director                                paul.powderly@colliers.com
soumya.mukherjee@colliers.com
                                               Melbourne, Australia
Mumbai, India                                  Level 32 367 Collins Street
31-A, 3rd Floors, Film Centre                  Melbourne VIC 3000
68 Tardeo Road                                 Tel	 :	 61 3 9629 8888
Mumbai 400 034                                 Fax	 :	 61 3 9629 8549
Tel : 91 22 4050 4500                          John Marasco
Fax : 91 22 2351 4272                          State Chief Executive
Prabhu Raghavendra                             john.marasco@colliers.com
Office Director
prabhu.raghavendra@colliers.com
George McKay
South Asia Director
Office & Integrated Services
george.mckay@colliers.com




Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey                                                                                    www.colliers.com
www.colliers.com

Copyright © 2012 Colliers International.

You are receiving this collateral because you either subscribed for it or expressed your interest to receive it at some point to Colliers International. If
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The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy,
we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting
on any of the material contained in this report.

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Asia office leasing_survey-3_Q2012-r

  • 2. executive Colliers International is delighted to present the results of our 3Q 2012 Asia Office Leasing Survey. We surveyed all of our office leasing professionals in Asia through an on-line questionnaire in early summary September 2012. Based on the findings of our Survey and the methodology of Diffusion Index (DI), Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index was at 55.1% in 3Q 2012 (2Q 2012:64.2%), indicating that market participants are holding positive views on market outlook but their confidence is not as strong as previous quarter. The sub-index of real estate requirements decreased to 60.4% in 3Q 2012 from 78.9% in 2Q 2012. It indicates the office tenants are seeking for expansion while the pace of expansion was less aggressive. In terms of rental expectations, market expectation is less strong when compared with 2Q 2012 since the reading of the rental expectations sub-index decreased to 67.0% in 3Q 2012 from 72.2% in 2Q 2012. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index MAIN-Index 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 Market Confidence 62.9% 64.2% 55.1% sub-Index 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 New Leasing Inquiry 52.8% 54.4% 51.4% Real Estate Requirements 79.3% 78.9% 60.4% Vendors’ Expectations 49.4% 51.1% 41.5% Rental Expectations 70.0% 72.2% 67.0% The readings of the Index and Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%. A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 3. NEW INQUIRY GROWING AT SLOWER PACE New Leasing Inquiry The overall level of new office leasing inquiry decreased in 3Q 2012. As reported, there were 25.5% of our brokers saying the level of inquiry was an increase, up from 23.3% in 2Q 2012. However, 22.6% of our brokers saw a decline in new leasing inquiry (2Q 2012: 14.4%). The diffusion index of clients’ new leasing enquiry was at 51.4% in 3Q 2012, decreased from the 54.4% in 2Q 2012. Compared to last quarter, how do you see the level of new leasing inquiries in 3Q 2012? New Leasing Inquiry Sub-Index The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%. A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 4. BANKING AND FINANCE IS THE MOST ACTIVE Most Active Tenant Groups Similar to the preceding quarter, the most active office tenants groups remained “Banking, Finance, Insurance (FIRE)” and “IT” sectors during 3Q 2012. Breaking down by key business sectors, rise in activity happened in “Banking, Finance, Insurance (FIRE)”, “IT” and “Professional Consultants” sectors. Which of the following tenant groups are the most active in your market? Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 5. LESS AGGRESSIVE IN EXPANSIONS Clients’ Real Estate Requirements About 41.5% of our brokers saw an increase of real estate requirements from their clients; the percentage was lower than that in 2Q 2012 (i.e. 62.2%). Across the various key markets in the region, 20.8% of our brokers said a contraction of their clients’ real estate requirements during 3Q 2012, compared with 4.4% in previous quarter. The reading of diffusion index of clients’ real estate requirements was at 60.4% in 3Q 2012 as compared to 78.9% in 2Q 2012, suggesting the clients are less aggressive in taking on additional space in 3Q 2012. In view of your clients’ requirements, what are their real estate requirements? Real Estate Requirements Sub-Index The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%. A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 6. VENDORS BECAME CAUTIOUS Vendors’ Expectations In 3Q 2012, over half of the vendors (ie. 54.7%) offered the same level of leasing incentives as previous quarter. More vendors (31.1% in 3Q 2012 vs 23.3% in 2Q 2012) were being more generous in offering leasing incentives. The reading of diffusion index of vendors’ expectations was at 41.5% in 3Q 2012. Since it was below the 50%-mark, it signified that vendors generally took a cautious view on the market and were being more generous in offering lease incentives. Looking at leasing incentives (free rent, cash, etc), are landlords in your market : Vendors’ Expectations Sub-Index The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%. A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 7. POSITIVE EXPECTATIONS ON RENTAL GROWTH Rental Expectations On a forward-looking basis, fewer brokers (46.2% in 3Q 2012 vs 56.7% in 2Q 2012) expected rents to increase over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, more brokers (41.5% in 3Q 2012 vs 31.1% in 2Q 2012) believed rents will remain stable over the next 12 months. The reading of diffusion index of rental expectations was at 67.0% in 3Q 2012, decreased from 72.2% in 2Q 2012. Since it was above the 50%-mark, our brokers remain positive on prospective trend of office rentals in the next 12 months. Over the next 12 months, do you expect rents in your market to: Rental Expectations Sub-Index The readings of the Sub-Index fall within the range of 0% to 100%. A reading above 50% indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50% indicates that it is generally declining. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 8. methodology Short questionnaires comprising five key questions had been sent to our office leasing brokers in the Asian region via an on- line survey platform during the first week of September 2012. Using the technique of * Diffusion Index (DI), the results were used to develop four sub-indices covering (1) New Leasing Inquiry, (2) Real Estate Requirements, (3) Vendors’ Expectations and (4) Rental Expectations. After all, Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index is a composite index based on the above four diffusion indexes with equal weights. * Diffusion Index (DI) = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0) P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported an improvement P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported no change P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported a deterioration A reading above 50 percent indicates the market trend is generally improving; below 50 percentage indicates that it is generally declining. The Main Index Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index (“Leasing Confidence Index”) is the main index. It is constructed by using the methodology of Diffusion Index (DI) and the consolidation of four component sub-indices - New Leasing Inquiry, Real Estate Requirements, Vendors’ Expectations and Rental Expectations. Applying equal weighs to the four sub-indices, the Leasing Confidence Index with reading above 50% indicates the Asia leasing market confidence is general improving. The Index indicates the market confidence is deteriorating when it reads below 50%. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Market Confidence Index = (DI1 + DI2 + DI3 + DI4 )/4 Four Sub-indices The construction of the four sub-indices is based on the each of the following four questions. New Leasing Inquiry Index Data is taken from the responses to the question – “Compared to last quarter, how do you see the level of new leasing inquiries in the current quarter?” P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported an improvement of inquiries P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported no change P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported a deterioration of inquires Diffusion Index (DI1) of New Leasing Inquiry = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0) This is a measurement of the change of clients’ inquiries during the quarterly period. Based on the methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above 50% indicates the level of new leasing inquiries is improving during the quarter, and it is declining when it read below 50%. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 9. Real Estate Requirements Data is taken from the responses to the question – “In view of your clients’ requirements, what are their real estate requirements? P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported an expansion of clients’ requirements P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported no change P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported a contraction of clients’ requirements Diffusion Index (DI2) of Real Estate Requirement = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0) This is a measurement of the change of clients’ requirements. Based on the methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above 50% indicates the level of clients’ requirement is expanding during the quarter, and it is contracting when it read below 50%. Vendors’ Expectations Data is taken from the responses to the question – “Looking at leasing incentives (free rent, cash, etc), are landlords in your market are being more generous, about the same or being less generous? P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported landlords are less generous P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported about the same P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported landlords are more generous Diffusion Index (DI3) of Vendors’ Expectations = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0) This is a measurement of vendors’ expectations on the leasing market with reference to the change of lease incentives being offered to their tenants. Based on the methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above 50% indicates vendors’ expectations are improving during the quarter, but it is contracting when it read below 50%. Rental Expectations Data is taken from the responses to the question – “Over the next 12 months, do you expect rents in your market to increase quickly, increase slowly, remain fairly flat or decrease slowly? P1 = Percentage number of respondents that reported rents to increase either quickly or slowing in the next 12 months P2 = Percentage number of respondents that reported rents to remain fairly flat in the next 12 months P3 = Percentage number of respondents that reported rents to decrease slowly in the next 12 months Diffusion Index (DI4) of Rental Expectations = (P1*1) + (P2*0.5) + (P3*0) This is a measurement of rental expectations on the leasing market with reference to the read of brokers. Based on the methodology of Diffusion Index, the reading above 50% indicates rental expectations over the next 12 months are positive during the quarter, but it is negative when it read below 50%. Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey 3Q 2012
  • 10. For further details, please contact: GREATER CHINA Taipei, Taiwan Lahore, Pakistan Beijing, China 49F TAIPEI 101 TOWER Suite 2, Mezzanine 2, Executive Floors 502 Tower W3, Oriental Plaza No. 7 Xin Yi Road Sec 5, Taipei 110 Al-Qadir Heights, Main Boulevard No 1 East Changan Avenue Tel : 886 2 8101 2000 New Garden Town, Lahore, Pakistan Dongcheng District Fax : 886 2 8101 2345 Tel : 92 42 3584 3474-6 Beijing 100738 Andrew Liu Fax : 92 21 3563 6382 Tel : 86 10 8518 1633 Managing Director Ahmed Khan Fax : 86 10 8518 1638 andrew.liu@colliers.com Country Manager Amanda Gao ahmed.khan@colliers.com Managing Director, North China NORTH ASIA amanda.gao@colliers.com Islamabad, Pakistan Seoul, South Korea ONE Constitution Avenue, Adjacent Convention 10F Korea Tourism Organization Bldg. Centre & Diplomatic Enclave Islamabad, Chengdu, China 10 Da-dong Pakistan Unit 1504 Yanlord Landmark Jung-gu, Seoul 100-180 Tel : 92 51 834 7433 1 Renmin South Road Section 2 Tel : 82 2 6740 2000 Fax : 92 51 831 4737 Chengdu 610016 Fax : 82 2 318 2015 Waleed Murrawat Tel : 86 28 8658 6288 Jay Yun Regional Sales Manager Fax : 86 28 8672 3226 Senior Director & General Manager waleed.murrawat@colliers.com Jacky Tsai jay.yun@colliers.com General Manager jacky.tsai@colliers.com Manila, Philippines Tokyo, Japan 10F Tower 2 RCBC Plaza Halifax Building Ayala Avenue, Makati City Guangzhou, China 3-16-26 Roppongi Philippines1226 702 Teem Tower Minato-ku, Tokyo 106-0032 Japan Tel : 63 2 888 9988 208 Tianhe Road Tel : 81 3 5563 2111 Fax : 63 2 845 2612 Guangzhou 510620 Fax : 81 3 5563 2100 David Young Tel : 86 20 3819 3888 James Fink Managing Director Fax : 86 20 3819 3899 Senior Managing Director david.a.young@colliers.com Eric Lam james.fink@colliers.co.jp Managing Director eric.lam@colliers.com Singapore SOUTH EAST ASIA 1 Raffles Place Shanghai, China #45-00 One Raffles Place Jakarta, Indonesia 16F Hong Kong New World Tower Singapore 048616 10F and 14F World Trade Centre 300 Huaihai Zhong Road Tel : 65 6223 2323 Jl Jenderal Sudirman Shanghai 200021 Fax : 65 6222 4901 Kav 29-31 Jakarta 12920 Tel : 86 21 6141 3688 Dennis Yeo Tel : 62 21 521 1400 Fax : 86 21 6141 3699 Managing Director Fax : 62 21 521 1411 Lina Wong Singapore & Industrial Services | Asia Mike Broomell Managing Director dennis.yeo@colliers.com Managing Director East and South West China mike.broomell@colliers.com Investment Services, China Bangkok, Thailand lina.wong@colliers.com 17/F Ploenchit Center Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2 Sukhumvit Road c/o Mark Lampard* Hong Kong, HKSAR Klongtoey, Bangkok 10110 Managing Director 5701 Central Plaza Tel : 66 2 656 7000 Corporate Solutions | Asia Pacific 18 Harbour Road Fax : 66 2 656 7111 Te : 65 6531 8601 Wanchai, Hong Hong Simon Landy Fax : 65 6557 0649 Company Licence No: C-006052 Executive Chairman mark.lampard@colliers.com Tel : 852 2828 9888 simon.landy@colliers.com * Based in Singapore Fax : 852 2828 9899 Richard Kirke (E-279867) Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Karachi, Pakistan Managing Director Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Suite 2-A, level 2, Harbour House richard.kirke@colliers.com 7F Bitexco Building 37-A, Lalazar Avenue Piers Brunner (E-183614) 19-25 Nguyen Hue Street Beach Hotel Road, Off. M.T Khan Road Chief Executive Officer - Asia District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Karachi, Pakistan piers.brunner@colliers.com Tel : 84 8 827 5665 Tel : 92 21 3561 2550-2 Fax : 84 8 827 5667 Fax : 92 21 3563 6382 Peter Dinning Mohammed Yasir Qidwai General Director Senior Manager, Corporate Solutions & peter.dinning@colliers.com Research research.khi@colliers.com Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey www.colliers.com
  • 11. Hanoi, Vietnam New Delhi, India Perth, Australia 10F, Capital Tower Building 204/205, 2nd Floor Level 19, 140 St Georges Terrace 109 Tran Hung Dao Street Kanchenjunga Building Perth WA 6000 Hoan Kiem District, Hanoi, Vietnam 18 Barakhamba Road Tel : 61 8 9261 6666 Tel : 84 4 3941 3277 New Delhi 110 001 Fax : 61 8 9261 6665 Fax : 84 4 3941 3278 Tel : 91 11 4360 7500 K. Imran Mohiuddin Dane Moodie Fax : 91 11 2335 6624 State Chief Executive Managing Director Ajay Rakheja imran.mohiuddin@colliers.com dane.moodie@colliers.com Office Director ajay.rakheja@colliers.com Sydney, Australia Level 12, Grosvenor Place INDIA Pune, India 225 George Street Bengaluru, India Bramha Luxury Hotels Ltd. Sydney NSW 2000 Prestige Garnet, Level 2, Unit No. 201/202 (Le Meridien Pune) Tel : 61 2 9257 0222 36 Ulsoor Road, Bengaluru 560 042 101 R.B.M. Road Fax : 61 2 9251 3297 Tel : 91 80 4079 5500 Pune 411 001, Maharashtra Malcom Tyson Fax : 91 80 4112 3131 Tel : 91 20 4120 6435 State Chief Executive Goutam Chakraborty Fax : 91 20 4120 6434 malcom.tyson@colliers.com Office Director Suresh Castellino goutam.chakraborty@colliers.com Office Director Auckland, New Zealand suresh.castellino@colliers.com SAP Tower, Level 27 Chennai, India 151 Queen Street Unit 1C, 1st Floor, Heavitree Complex Auckland 1140 23 Spurtank Road, Chetpet AUSTRALASIA Tel : 64 9 358 1888 Chennai 600 031 Adelaide, Australia Fax : 64 9 358 1999 Tel : 91 44 2836 1064 Level 10, 99 Gawler Place Mark Synnott Fax : 91 44 2836 1377 Adelaide SA 5000 Chief Executive Officer, New Zealand Kaushik Reddy Tel : 61 8 8305 8888 mark.synnott@colliers.com Office Director Fax : 61 8 8231 7712 kaushik.reddy@colliers.com James Young Wellington, New Zealand State Chief Executive Level 10, 36 Customhouse Quay Gurgaon, India james.young@colliers.com Wellington 6011 1st Floor, Technopolis Building Tel : 64 4 473 4413 DLF Golf Course Brisbane, Australia Fax : 64 4 499 1550 (Agency) Main Sector Road Level 20 Central Plaza One : 64 4 470 3902 (Valuation) Sector 54, Gurgaon 122 002 345 Queen Street Richard Findlay Tel : 91 124 4375807 Brisbane QLD 4000 Managing Director Fax : 91 124 4375806 Tel : 07 3229 1233 richard.findlay@colliers.com Ajay Rakheja Fax : 07 3120 4555 Office Director Simon Beirne ajay.rakheja@colliers.com State Chief Executive simon.beirne@colliers.com Kolkata, India Infinity Business Centre, Infinity Benchmark Canberra, Australia Level 18, Room No 13, Plot G - 1 Ground floor, 21-23 Marcus Clarke Street Block EP & GP, Sector V, Salt Lake Canberra ACT 2601 Kolkata 700 091, West Bengal Tel : 61 2 6257 2121 Tel : 91 33 2357 6501 Fax : 61 2 6257 2937 Fax : 91 33 2357 6502 Paul Powderly Soumya Mukherjee State Chief Executive Office Director paul.powderly@colliers.com soumya.mukherjee@colliers.com Melbourne, Australia Mumbai, India Level 32 367 Collins Street 31-A, 3rd Floors, Film Centre Melbourne VIC 3000 68 Tardeo Road Tel : 61 3 9629 8888 Mumbai 400 034 Fax : 61 3 9629 8549 Tel : 91 22 4050 4500 John Marasco Fax : 91 22 2351 4272 State Chief Executive Prabhu Raghavendra john.marasco@colliers.com Office Director prabhu.raghavendra@colliers.com George McKay South Asia Director Office & Integrated Services george.mckay@colliers.com Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey www.colliers.com
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