Bitcoin is an experimental digital currency that operates on a decentralized peer-to-peer network. It was created in 2009 by the pseudonymous developer Satoshi Nakamoto. The presentation provided an overview of how bitcoin works, including how transactions are broadcast on the network and incorporated into blocks, how miners compete to validate transactions and are incentivized with bitcoin rewards, and how the blockchain records and stores all transactions. While bitcoin aims to increase security, reduce costs and remove governments from money supply, the presentation noted flaws in capping the money supply and lack of governance could undermine it. Predictions were made that technology and adoption will continue to evolve but governments may intervene and deflation is not a problem if used alongside fiat currencies
2. FBI WARNING
The following presentation should be
considered ฿ullshit. The presenters are
not financial advisers. Please consult a
professional before investing your money
in Bitcoin or any other money laundering
scheme.
With any talk that involves money, a warning is always apt.
3. FBI WARNING
One of the presenters is a hardcore
capitalist and doesn’t like change, the
other is more reasonable.
I’ll be presenting the facts and Colin will
be presenting the ฿ullshit.
Zach: I have my own warning too!
9. Fiat Currency
Fiat Currency is issued by governments to pay taxes
Worth something because, by law, it must be accepted as a payment of debt.
Therefore people trust that if they have money, by law, they can trade it for goods.
10. And really, it’s run by men like these:
Mark Carney - Bank of Canada
Ben Bernanke - US Federal Reserve
11. bitcoin: We can do better
• Increase security while simplifying infrastructure overhead
• Reduce transaction costs
• Make transactions as fast as the internet
• Remove government from money supply
• Stabilize money supply to address inflation
12. Satoshi Nakamoto
Satoshi Nakamoto - creator of Bitcoin in 2009
Vanishes in 2010 leaving Gavin Andreeson and others to continue
Who is he?
13. bitcoin Quick Facts
• ~10million BTC in existence
• Market Price: $11.72 USD
• Market Cap: $110 million USD
• Transaction Volume: $2,800,000 USD / day
• Total miners revenue: $80,000 USD / day
23. Transactions are broadcast on
the P2P Network TX
Node 4
TX
Node 2
TX TX
TX message
Amount: 2 Node 1 Node 5
To: 175tWpb8…
TX
Node 3
TX
Node 6
Bob’s transaction is broadcast to peers, and propagates through the network
24. TXs are rolled together into
blocks originating from a miner ••••
Node 4
••••
Node 2
••••
••••
TX message
Amount: 2 Node 1 Node 5
To: 175tWpb8…
••••
Node 3
••••
••••
Miner 1 Node 6
collectively miners generate new block roughly every 10 minutes
A txn is harder to reverse once incorporated into a block (because it’s hard)
miners are incentivized bt reward
25. Each node has the entire chain
of blocks ••••
••••
••••
Node 4
••••
••••
••••
Node 2
••••
••••
•••• ••••
••••
••••
TX message
Amount: 2 Node 1 Node 5
To: 175tWpb8…
••••
••••
••••
••••
••••
Node 3
•••• ••••
••••
••••
Miner 1 Node 6
every txn ever - exists in the chain
presents scalability problems - but many feel these can be addressed
26. The Block Chain
Ref nonce ID Ref nonce ID Ref nonce ID Ref nonce ID
TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX
blocks consist of a collection of txns, a crypto-hash to make forgeries/changes too hard, and a random number
called a nonce.
bitcoins are not stored on your hard-drive, usb stick, iPhone - but in this shared chain
27. Miners compete to “find” new
blocks and transmit to nodes ••••
••••
•••• ••••
••••
••••
Node 4 Miner 4
••••
••••
••••
Node 2
••••
••••
•••• ••••
••••
••••
TX message
Amount: 2 Node 1 Node 5
To: 175tWpb8…
••••
••••
••••
Node 3
••••
••••
••••
•• ••••• ••••
Miner 1 Miner 2 Miner 3 Node 6
miners work to incorporate transactions the see into blocks of transactions
this is done both as a way of introducing new BTC and securing the network
28. this is what mining hardware looks like...
mining is performed by powerful computers
incentives to be the fastest miner have driven efficiency enhancements
from CPU to GPU to FPGA and soon ASIC
29. what is mining?
Yatzee!
Similar to Yatzee computers attempt to generate a new block using a predictable amount of
trial and error.
30. Ref nonce ID Ref nonce ID Ref nonce ID
Miner
TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX
miners working to discover next block
listening to txns and incorporating into this next block
31. Ref nonce ID
Miner SHA-256
TX TX TX
hash = sha256[sha256(version id + previous hash reference
+ sha256(transaction list) + nonce)]
How?
Mining hardware builds new block ‘attempt’
includes reference to prev block, random number and transactions
2^256
115 quattuorvigintillion
115792089237316195423570985008687907853269984665640564039457584007913129639936
32. Ref nonce ID
Miner SHA-256
TX TX TX
Current Difficulty
800+ Mhash/sec
difficulty adjusts to ensure 1 block / 10 mintues
36. Ref 4 ID
Miner
TX TX TX
Current Difficulty
We have a winner...
37. ef nonce ID Ref nonce ID Ref nonce ID Ref 4 ID
Miner
X TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX
Newly minted block
38. Why mining?
• The only way new BTC enter circulation
• Difficulty is adjusted to ensure 1 block / 10 minutes
• Confirms transactions
• Prevents double spending
• Nakamoto compared this process to gold miners expending
resources to add gold to circulation.
39. What’s in it for miners?
• 50 BTCs for each discovered block (declining over time)
• Transaction fees paid by users
@ 800 Mhash/sec -> $80/mo
40. Mining Reward v. Total Volume
฿50 ฿21million
฿40 ฿17million
฿30 ฿13million
฿20 ฿8million
฿10 ฿4million
฿0 ฿0million
2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 2029 2033
There is a cap to the amount of bitcoin currency in the system
The reward for mining will go down over time; revenue to be augmented by transaction volume
42. Total Revenue to Miners
General trend is that miners are making more money each day.
consider that there is a rate limit of max 1 block every 10 min, the overall gross revenue for each block is going up.
43. How is it doing?
A+ • Increase security while simplifying infrastructure overhead
A • Reduce transaction costs
A • Make transactions as fast as the internet
• Remove government from money supply
• Cap money supply to address inflation
bitcoin is cool.
44. Governance is the byproduct of
government monetary policy
But there are some dark sides of bitcoin: the lack of governance
* allows extortion from organizations like Russian Business Network
* allows Money Laundering
* and Ponzi schemes (Bernard Madoff shown here)
* and also allows the grayer areas like Silk Road
45. How is it doing?
A+ • Increase security while simplifying infrastructure overhead
A • Reduce transaction costs
A • Make transactions as fast as the internet
C+ • Remove government from money supply
? • Cap money supply to address inflation
49. Humans are predisposed to growth
humans like growth
social evolutionary theory: hunter-gather to agrarian; shift value from quantity to quality
50. Our economy is built on growth
economy is built on the assumption of growth.
“buy low, sell high” mantra
Growth leads to efficiencies and inc. productivity
Fueled by growth of the population, growth in efficiencies and growth of earning power
51. USD Purchasing Power vs.
Circulation Total
CA$1,003m
CA$802m
CA$602m
CA$401m
CA$201m
1914 1919 1924 1929 1934 1939 1944 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
isn’t the economic growth artificial because we are pumping money in the system?
No.
example: community of 10 people;
10 bitcoins each (100 total);
community grows 2x but still only 100 bitcoins in circulation;
prices have to go down.
52. The real story is about
standard of living
no.
add currency to compensate for growth; ensure that earning power doesn’t decrease
the truth: earning power is going up;
The Achilles heal of the system: limited money supply scarcity, hoarding, mattress’ing
To compensate: add money supply added at a steady rate while also encourage monetary liquidity
No one wants their buying power to go down
No one wants their wages to go down
53. Humans again are
the problem:
emotionally driven
Supply can be pumped in
consumer spending is a purely emotionally driven function
* the happier we feel
* the more we spend
* the more liquidity in the market
* the less inflation (monetary devaluation)
Achilles heal: no spending; example: small town
54. GDP = C + I + G + (X-M)
+ + +
formulas that will kill the mood at a dinner party
4 big levers usually used to keep liquidity; ensure price increases don’t rise too quickly:
spend your own money
give the banks so they can invest;
government spends (eg: ‘new deal’) to artificially cause liquidity
more imports > exports; what about a global economy
cf: 2008
55. Last 30 years of data:
inflation is under control
20%
16%
12%
8%
4%
0%
% Change CPI
-4%
-8%
-12%
-16%
1914 1920 1926 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010
Over the last 30 years we’ve figured this thing out this experiment
economics is like flying an airplane using the rear-view mirror.
Overall, we know how to adjust the right levers (G vs. i vs. C)
56. How is it doing?
A+ • Increase security while simplifying infrastructure overhead
A • Reduce transaction costs
A • Make transactions as fast as the internet
F • Remove government from money supply
F • Cap money supply to address inflation
For this reason, I think bitcoin is flawed.
caping the money supply will be the undoing of bitcoin
57. ฿ bitcoin: crossing the chasm
• Growth: uncapped potential for money supply
• Governance: don’t let the bad guys win
• Government: or algorithms that can stimulate a currency
• Greenback: technology for daily adoption
Early Adopters Pragmatists Conservatives Laggards
58. Predictions & Prognostications
Colin
Technology is cool
ideology is flawed
questions about scalability
Banking could benefit from the algorithms
Zach
Reminds me of early days of internet (Hype + Skepticism = both were right + evolution)
Will see volatile prices for a while
Expect governments to intervene good? bad? - some governance okay
Needs its Mosaic/Netscape moment - current apps work but have terrible UX
If this happens... expect $100/BTC within 5 years
Deflation is not a problem - don’t expect BTC to replace Fiat - ebooks didn’t replace paper
Gold is hoarded, therefor deflationary, you can exchange gold for USD, no problems right?
Expect more rapid adoption in 3rd world accompanied by cell phone growth / lack of infrastructure.
Reduced friction in moving money around = more global collaboration / distributed ventures => GOOD
60. How do I get my own bitcoins?
• Mine them yourself
• Buy them at an exchange:
• http://bitcoincharts.com/ - 50+ active markets
• I use https://www.cavirtex.com/
• Buy them at Wallmart, 7-11 !
• 700,000 locations - bitinstant.com/cashpayment.com
Issued by governments\nWorth something because, by law, it must be accepted as a payment of debt. Therefore people trust that if they have money, by law, they can trade it for goods.\n
And really, itsrun by men like these\nMark Carney - Bank of Canada\nBen Bernanke - US Federal Reserve \n
\n
Mr. Miyagi teacher of karate and creator of Bitcoin\nCreated in 2009\nVanishes in 2010 leaving Gavin Andreeson and others to continue\n
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\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
Bob’s transaction is broadcast to peers, and propagates through the network\n
collectively miners gen new block roughly every 10 minutes\nA txn is harder to reverse once incorporated into a block (because it’s hard)\nminers are incentivized bt reward\n
every txn ever - exists in the chain\npresents scalability problems - but many feel these can be addressed\n\n\n
blocks consist of a collection of txns, a crypto-hash to make forgeries/changes too hard, and a random number called a nonce.\nbitcoins are not stored on your hard-drive, usb stick, iPhone - but in this shared chain\n\n\n
miners work to incorporate transactions the see into blocks of transactions\nthis is done both as a way of introducing new BTC and securing the network\n\n
this is what mining hardware looks like...\nmining is performed by powerful computers\nincentives to be the fastest miner have driven efficiency enhancements\nfrom CPU to GPU to FPGA and soon ASIC\n\n\n
what is mining?\nYatzee! \nSimilar to Yatzee computers attempt to generate a new block using a predictable amount of \ntrial and error.\n\n
miners working to discover next block\nlistening to txns and incorporating into this next block\n
How?\nMining hardware builds new block ‘attempt’\nincludes reference to prev block, random number and transactions\n\n2^256\n115 quattuorvigintillion\n115792089237316195423570985008687907853269984665640564039457584007913129639936\n
800+ Mhash/sec\ndifficulty adjusts to ensure 1 block / 10 mintues\n\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
@ 800 Mhash/sec -> $80/mo\n\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
Russian Business Network\nMoney Laundering\nPonzi schemes - Bernard Madoff\nSilk Road - gray area\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
humans like growth\nsocial evolutionary theory: hunter-gather to agrarian; value from quantity to quality\n\n
Growth of the population; growth of earning power\nbuy low, sell high\nGrowth leads to efficiencies and inc. productivity\n\n
isn’t that artificial because we are pumping money in the system?\nexample: community of 10 people; 10 bitcoins each; grows 2x; prices go down.\n
no. \nadd currency to compensate for growth; ensure that earning power doesn’t decrease \nthe truth: earning power is going up;\nThe Achilles heal of the system: limited money supply scarcity, hoarding, mattress’ing\nTo compensate: add money supply added at a steady rate while also encourage monetary liquidity\nNo one wants their buying power to go down\nNo one wants their wages to go down\n
Supply can be pumped in\nconsumer spending is a purely emotionally driven function \n* the happier we feel\n* the more we spend\n* the more liquidity in the market\n* the less inflation (monetary devaluation)\nAchilles heal: no spending; example: small town\n
formulas that will kill the mood at a dinner party\n4 big levers usually used to keep liquidity; ensure price increases don’t rise too quickly:\nspend your own money\ngive the banks so they can invest;\ngovernment spends (eg: ‘new deal’) to artificially cause liquidity\nmore imports > exports; what about a global economy\ncf: 2008\n
flying an airplane using the rear-view mirror\nOver the last 30 years we’ve figured this thing out this experiment\n
\n
\n
Colin\nTechnology is cool\nideology is flawed\nquestions about scalability\nBanking could benefit from the algorithms\n\nZach\nReminds me of early days of internet (Hype + Skepticism = both were right + evolution)\nWill see volatile prices for a while\nExpect governments to intervene good? bad? - some governance okay\nNeeds its Mosaic/Netscape moment - current apps work but have terrible UX\nIf this happens... expect $100/BTC within 5 years\nDeflation is not a problem - don’t expect BTC to replace Fiat - ebooks didn’t replace paper\nGold is hoarded, therefor deflationary, you can exchange gold for USD, no problems right?\nExpect more rapid adoption in 3rd world accompanied by cell phone growth / lack of infrastructure.\nReduced friction in moving money around = more global collaboration / distributed ventures => GOOD\n\n