This document appears to be a poll or survey of Hawaii voters that includes the following information: - Support for candidates in the governor's race, with Democrat David Ige leading with 40% and Republican Duke Aiona second at 34%. - Predictions of who will win the governor's race, with 48% predicting Ige and 27% predicting Aiona. - Additional questions about candidate preferences in hypothetical two-way races and voter demographics. - The document contains overviews of results as well as cross-tabulations analyzing response differences across demographic groups.

1. Sample'Size:'1,221
Margin'of'Error:'+/7'2.8%
October'16'719,'2014
70%'Landlines,'30%'Cell'Phones
Who'are'you'supporZng'in'the'race'for'Governor'between'Democrat'David'Ige,'Independent'candidate'Mufi'Hannemann,'
Liberatarian'Jeff'Davis,'and'Republican'Duke'Ainoa'[candidate'name'order'rotated]?
Governor
Ige 40%
Aiona 34%
Hannemann 11%
Davis 6%
Undecided 8%
No'maSer'which'candidate'you'support'for'Governor,'who'do'you'think'is'most'likely'to'win?'
Gov_Predict
Ige 48%
Aiona 27%
Hannemann 8%
Davis 6%
No'PredicZon 12%
If#didn't#select#Ige#or#Aiona:'If'the'elecZon'for'Governor'were'only'between'David'Ige'and'Duke'Aiona'[candidate'name'
order'rotated],'with'no'other'candidates,'what'would'you'do?
Subsample'='311
Gov_Two'Candidates
Ige 27%
Aiona 26%
Niether 22%
Unsure 25%

2. Demographics
Gender
Male 47%
Female 52%
Refused 1%
Age
Under'50 26%
50'or'older 74%
Ethnicity
Caucasian 37%
Japanese 29%
Filipino 8%
Hawaiian 10%
Chinese 6%
Hispanic/LaZno 1%
Other/Mixed 9%
Refused 0%
County_CD
Oahu_1 52%
Oahu_2 17%
Hawaii 15%
Maui 11%
Kauai 5%
PoliZcal'OrientaZon
Liberal 27%
Moderate 31%
ConservaZve 28%
Unsure 14%

3. Party'ID
Democrat 49%
Republican 25%
Independent 21%
Unsure 5%
Military'Family
Yes 58%
No 39%
Refused 3%
Union'Family
Yes 35%
No 61%
Refused 4%
Household'Income
Less'than'$50,000 28%
$50,000'7'$100,000 33%
More'than'$100,000 19%
Refused 19%
CROSSTABS
Governor Male Female
Ige 41% 40%
Aiona 33% 35%
Hannemann 12% 11%
Davis 6% 6%
Undecided 7% 8%

4. Governor Under'50 50'or'older
Ige 37% 44%
Aiona 40% 34%
Hannemann 10% 11%
Davis 5% 4%
Undecided 7% 7%
Governor Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic/LaZno
Ige 47% 49% 33% 28% 34% 36%
Aiona 35% 24% 42% 48% 42% 43%
Hannemann 9% 14% 11% 14% 7% 14%
Davis 5% 8% 3% 3% 1% 3%
Undecided 5% 5% 11% 8% 16% 5%
Governor Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Ige 38% 39% 49% 40% 46%
Aiona 37% 35% 31% 29% 24%
Hannemann 11% 12% 10% 15% 9%
Davis 5% 6% 8% 4% 13%
Undecided 9% 8% 3% 12% 8%
Governor Liberal Moderate ConservaZve Unsure
Ige 69% 48% 16% 26%
Aiona 8% 30% 65% 30%
Hannemann 12% 11% 11% 13%
Davis 6% 4% 5% 6%
Undecided 4% 7% 3% 24%
Governor Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Ige 66% 15% 24% 19%
Aiona 13% 68% 47% 16%
Hannemann 13% 9% 14% 2%
Davis 3% 3% 10% 16%
Undecided 6% 5% 6% 48%

5. Governor Military'Family Not'a'Military'Family
Ige 43% 42%
Aiona 35% 32%
Hannemann 11% 12%
Davis 4% 6%
Undecided 7% 7%
Governor Union'Family Not'a'Union'Family
Ige 48% 41%
Aiona 27% 37%
Hannemann 13% 11%
Davis 7% 4%
Undecided 4% 8%
Governor Less'than'$50,000 $50,000'7'$100,000 $100,000+
Ige 45% 46% 46%
Aiona 31% 35% 29%
Hannemann 12% 11% 13%
Davis 8% 3% 4%
Undecided 4% 4% 7%
If#didn't#select#Ige#or#Aiona:'If'the'elecZon'for'Governor'were'only'between'David'Ige'and'Duke'Aiona'[candidate'name'
order'rotated],'with'no'other'candidates,'what'would'you'do?
Subsample'='311
Governor_TwoCandidates Hannemann Davis Undecided
Ige 39% 26% 11%
Aiona 32% 36% 9%
Neither 23% 29% 15%
Unsure 6% 8% 65%

6. If#Voted#in#Democra8c#Primary#Only:'In'the'DemocraZc'primary'for'Governor,'did'you'vote'for'David'Ige,'or'Neil'
Abercrombie'[candidate'name'order'rotated]?
Subsample'='814
Governor Ige Abercrombie Unsure
Ige 53% 62% 16%
Aiona 26% 13% 39%
Hannemann 10% 15% 8%
Davis 6% 3% 10%
Undecided 5% 6% 26%
Gov_Decide Ige Aiona Hannemann Davis
Two'weeks 22% 17% 36% 30%
One'month 21% 15% 30% 23%
Month'plus 56% 66% 31% 32%
Unsure 1% 2% 3% 15%
Gov_Predict Ige Aiona Hannemann Davis Undecided
Ige 83% 16% 32% 58% 26%
Aiona 4% 64% 15% 8% 9%
Hannemann 3% 2% 41% 12% 7%
Davis 4% 7% 3% 15% 3%
No'PredicZon 6% 11% 9% 7% 56%