Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Así está the company... Septiember 2016 Circulo de Empresarios
1. www.circulodeempresarios.org
Business activity (INE)
Commercial companies
In July the creation of commercial
companies increased by 1.7% over the same
period of the previous year, with La Rioja as
the autonomous community with the
greatest growth in business dynamism
(+85,7%).
By sectors, 39.4% of the companies are in
the commerce and construction sector,
followed by the hotel and restaurant trade
(10.3%) and real estate, financial and
insurance activities (10.1%).
Exporting countries
In 2015, the number of registered exporters
rose to 147,378, a figure similar to that for
2014, but representing 34.8% more than in
2010. Of these firms, 32.4% exported on a
regular basis (four consecutive years), and
accounted for 93.4% of the total value of
Spanish exports.
In the first half of this year, there has been a
2% rise year-on-year in the number of
exporting companies.
National accounting (INE)
The new GDP calculation confirmed a
growth rate of 3.2% in 2015, with domestic
demand 4 decimal points lower than
predicted. Also noteworthy is the upward
revision of industry growth during 2015,
which increased 7.4% over 2014 (it had
been previously estimated at 4.6%), and
accounted for 16.4% of GDP in 2015
(previously estimated at 15,5%).
Nevertheless, nominal GDP figures for 2014
and 2015 dropped by 4,315 and 5,551 million
euros, respectively.
Foreign affiliates in Spain
In 2014, the number of foreign affiliates in
Spain was 10,932, and they had total
billings of 464,304 million euros, employing
1,273,409 persons.
The countries with the greatest volume of
firms established in Spain were Germany
(18.5% of the total), France (13.3%) and the
USA (10.8%)..
0
100.000
200.000
300.000
400.000
500.000
600.000
Industry Trade Services
Foreign companies in Spain by sector
Number of employees Sales turnover
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on INE, 2016
3.090 3.678
4.163
Foreign companies
Previous series Advancedseries
Final consumption expenditure 3 2,6
Households 3,1 2,9
Public Administrations 2,7 2
Gross fixed capital formation 7 6,5
Domestic demandcontribution (pp) 3,7 3,3
Exports 5,4 4,9
Imports 7,5 5,6
External sector contribution (pp) -0,5 -0,1
Real GDP 3,2 3,2
Current prices GDP 1.081.190 1.075.639
Agriculture 2,3 2,3
Industry 15,5 16,4
Construction 5 5,1
Services 68 66,9
Employment 3 3
MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK 2015
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
New companies creation, montly
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on Registro Mercantil, 2016
Pre-crisis maximums
Así está…
30.000
34.000
38.000
42.000
46.000
50.000
50.000
70.000
90.000
110.000
130.000
150.000
170.000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Merchandise external trade
Number of companies
Total (left axis)
Regular (right axis)
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on Ministry of Economy, 2016
September 2016
The company
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on INE, Bankia Estudios, 2016
2. ‘Así está…The company’, a publication of the Círculo de Empresarios produced by its Department of the Economy, contains information and opinion from reliable sources.
However the Círculo de Empresarios does not guarantee its accuracy and does not take responsibility for any errors or omissions. This document is merely informative. As a
result, the Círculo de Empresarios is not responsible for any uses that may be made of the publication. The opinions and estimates of the Department can be modified without
any warning.
www.circulodeempresarios.org
Real Sector
Present situation
According to the General Notary Board, in
the first six months of 2016 (in seasonally
adjusted terms) 42,230 homes were sold in
Spain. This represents an increase of 15.9%
with respect to the same period of 2015,
something principally explained by the
creation of jobs, an increase in disposable
income, and some more favorable financing
conditions.
Financing costs
Since 2014, credit conditions among
companies have improved notably in part
due to:
The cleanup of the banking system
The recovery of solvent demand for
credit
The financial develeraging
ECB monetary easing
In addition to this, the gap between large
size and small size companies interest rates
has reduced almost a half since august-12
(288 bp 119 bp), in line with the
Eurozone average.
Non performing loans
According to the IMF, the non performing
loans rate in China is increasing, and is
now approximately at 14% (35% of GDP).
The eventual cost of a bailout could rise to
30% of the GDP, one of the largest figures
in world history.
Moreover, massive levels of stimulus in
order to prevent a hard landing of the chi-
nese economy thus far, will not last.
Perspectives
In the 2Q of 2016 the annual rate of change
in the Home Price Index (INE) was 3.9%
higher (6.3% in the 1Q), thus confirming
the trend toward price increases that was
begun in 2015. Predictions for the second
half of the year are positive, although there
is expected to be slight moderation in pric-
es due to Spain’s political uncertainty and
predictions of slower economic growth.
Demand indicators
Newoperations interest rate (%) 1,99
Newhomes sales(%, YoY) 17,8
Disposable income (%, YoY) 32,2
Supply indicators
Approval for newresidential construction(%, monthly) 41,3
Cement consumption(%, monthly) 3
Construction unemployment (%, monthly) -1,7
Real state indicators
July or latest data
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1T-2016
Yuan of credit growth requiered to generate 1 yuan of China GDP growth
¥
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on Morgan Stanley Research, 2016
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
9
1Q-2014 2Q-2014 3Q-2014 4Q-2014 1Q-2015 2Q-2015 3Q-2015 4Q-2015 1Q-2016 2Q-2016
Annual home sales prices (IPV)
General index
New homes Second hand homes General index
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on INE, BBVA Research, 2016
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-May 2016
New credit operations
Annual change (%)
< 1 million > 1 million Total
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on BBVA-IVIE, 2016
August 2015-16
18% cost
Source: Círculo de Empresarios based on BBVA Research, 2016
ECB’s Quantitative
Easing
* Official data: 2%
** China need 6 yuan credit growth to generate 1 yuan of China GDP growth