SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 16
Climate change in the subtropics: The impacts of projected averages and variability on banana productivity   J. Ramirez,  D. Turner , I. Van den Bergh, C. Staver, D. Brown and A. Jarvis ESRI User Conference – July, 2011
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Identification of current banana areas by means of expert consultation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Identification of current banana areas by means of expert consultation
Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results:   Current suitability + limiting factor
Results:   2020s suitability + change
Results:   2050s suitability + change
Results:   Homoclims ,[object Object],[object Object]
Discussion and conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Discussion and conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discussion and conclusions… ,[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Is your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentation
Is your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentationIs your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentation
Is your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentation
ffbroadwell
 
Presentation -GAMFC (2014)
Presentation -GAMFC (2014)Presentation -GAMFC (2014)
Presentation -GAMFC (2014)
William Agyakwah
 

Mais procurados (12)

CSA Symposium 2016 - Alvin Murray Day 2 Session 1
CSA Symposium 2016 - Alvin Murray Day 2 Session 1CSA Symposium 2016 - Alvin Murray Day 2 Session 1
CSA Symposium 2016 - Alvin Murray Day 2 Session 1
 
Technology Advantage Breeding new varieties - Graham Thiele CGIAR Research Pr...
Technology Advantage Breeding new varieties - Graham Thiele CGIAR Research Pr...Technology Advantage Breeding new varieties - Graham Thiele CGIAR Research Pr...
Technology Advantage Breeding new varieties - Graham Thiele CGIAR Research Pr...
 
Next generation root, tuber and banana crops: raising the bar for heat, droug...
Next generation root, tuber and banana crops: raising the bar for heat, droug...Next generation root, tuber and banana crops: raising the bar for heat, droug...
Next generation root, tuber and banana crops: raising the bar for heat, droug...
 
Managing Climate Change Risk in the Forest
Managing Climate Change Risk in the ForestManaging Climate Change Risk in the Forest
Managing Climate Change Risk in the Forest
 
Forest Adaptation
Forest AdaptationForest Adaptation
Forest Adaptation
 
Enhancing food security through agroforestry practices: Key lessons from the ...
Enhancing food security through agroforestry practices: Key lessons from the ...Enhancing food security through agroforestry practices: Key lessons from the ...
Enhancing food security through agroforestry practices: Key lessons from the ...
 
Northwest Regional Climate Hub
Northwest Regional Climate Hub Northwest Regional Climate Hub
Northwest Regional Climate Hub
 
Climate-smart, site-specific agriculture: reducing uncertainty on when, where...
Climate-smart, site-specific agriculture: reducing uncertainty on when, where...Climate-smart, site-specific agriculture: reducing uncertainty on when, where...
Climate-smart, site-specific agriculture: reducing uncertainty on when, where...
 
Is your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentation
Is your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentationIs your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentation
Is your farm climate ready cfsa 2012 presentation
 
Extending the Growing Season in Northern Rhode Island, Gardening Guidebook
Extending the Growing Season in Northern Rhode Island, Gardening Guidebook Extending the Growing Season in Northern Rhode Island, Gardening Guidebook
Extending the Growing Season in Northern Rhode Island, Gardening Guidebook
 
Term ppt
Term pptTerm ppt
Term ppt
 
Presentation -GAMFC (2014)
Presentation -GAMFC (2014)Presentation -GAMFC (2014)
Presentation -GAMFC (2014)
 

Destaque

Crop study banana
Crop study bananaCrop study banana
Crop study banana
mumbai
 
Banana in pakistan
Banana in pakistanBanana in pakistan
Banana in pakistan
iqra junejo
 
Seismic ssi effects and liquification
Seismic ssi effects and liquificationSeismic ssi effects and liquification
Seismic ssi effects and liquification
Arpan Banerjee
 

Destaque (20)

Crop study banana
Crop study bananaCrop study banana
Crop study banana
 
Roots and Water, Plants Biology Lesson PowerPoint
Roots and Water, Plants Biology Lesson PowerPointRoots and Water, Plants Biology Lesson PowerPoint
Roots and Water, Plants Biology Lesson PowerPoint
 
Soils
SoilsSoils
Soils
 
GENETIC DIVERSITY OF BANANA AND ITS BIOINFORMATIC APPROACH
GENETIC DIVERSITY OF BANANAAND ITS BIOINFORMATIC APPROACHGENETIC DIVERSITY OF BANANAAND ITS BIOINFORMATIC APPROACH
GENETIC DIVERSITY OF BANANA AND ITS BIOINFORMATIC APPROACH
 
Banana in pakistan
Banana in pakistanBanana in pakistan
Banana in pakistan
 
Banana Marketing in Central Africa
Banana Marketing in Central AfricaBanana Marketing in Central Africa
Banana Marketing in Central Africa
 
Seismic ssi effects and liquification
Seismic ssi effects and liquificationSeismic ssi effects and liquification
Seismic ssi effects and liquification
 
The Banana Plant: Morphology, Propagation and Breeding
The Banana Plant: Morphology, Propagation and BreedingThe Banana Plant: Morphology, Propagation and Breeding
The Banana Plant: Morphology, Propagation and Breeding
 
Botany plant morphology
Botany plant morphologyBotany plant morphology
Botany plant morphology
 
Soil fertility management liminmg
Soil fertility management liminmgSoil fertility management liminmg
Soil fertility management liminmg
 
History soil fertility
History soil fertilityHistory soil fertility
History soil fertility
 
Banana Industry
Banana IndustryBanana Industry
Banana Industry
 
project proposal of Banana cultivation
 project proposal of Banana cultivation project proposal of Banana cultivation
project proposal of Banana cultivation
 
Soil fertility evaluation P K MANI
Soil fertility evaluation  P K MANISoil fertility evaluation  P K MANI
Soil fertility evaluation P K MANI
 
Salinity stress tolerance in plants master seminar
Salinity stress tolerance in plants master seminarSalinity stress tolerance in plants master seminar
Salinity stress tolerance in plants master seminar
 
Seminar abiotic stress
Seminar abiotic stressSeminar abiotic stress
Seminar abiotic stress
 
Abiotic stress resistance @ sid
Abiotic stress resistance @ sidAbiotic stress resistance @ sid
Abiotic stress resistance @ sid
 
Properties of soils (teach)
Properties of soils (teach) Properties of soils (teach)
Properties of soils (teach)
 
Plant response to stress
Plant response to stressPlant response to stress
Plant response to stress
 
Ki drainage2011
Ki drainage2011Ki drainage2011
Ki drainage2011
 

Semelhante a David B / Julian R - Climate change and subtropical bananas (2010 08 22 ESRI User Conference)

Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012
Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012
Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012
Decision and Policy Analysis Program
 
PROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFE
PROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFEPROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFE
PROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFE
terefa1234
 
A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...
A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...
A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...
Decision and Policy Analysis Program
 
Impact of climate change on Moroccan agriculture
Impact of climate change on Moroccan agricultureImpact of climate change on Moroccan agriculture
Impact of climate change on Moroccan agriculture
ICARDA
 

Semelhante a David B / Julian R - Climate change and subtropical bananas (2010 08 22 ESRI User Conference) (20)

Climate Change and Future Food Security: The Impacts on root and Tuber Crops
Climate Change and Future Food Security: The Impacts on root and Tuber CropsClimate Change and Future Food Security: The Impacts on root and Tuber Crops
Climate Change and Future Food Security: The Impacts on root and Tuber Crops
 
Climate change impacts on cocoa in Ghana
Climate change impacts on cocoa in GhanaClimate change impacts on cocoa in Ghana
Climate change impacts on cocoa in Ghana
 
JRV – Adapting cropping systems climate variability APEC Piura 2016
JRV – Adapting cropping systems climate variability APEC Piura 2016JRV – Adapting cropping systems climate variability APEC Piura 2016
JRV – Adapting cropping systems climate variability APEC Piura 2016
 
JRV adapting cropping systems variability APEC Piura Sept 2016
JRV adapting cropping systems variability APEC Piura Sept 2016JRV adapting cropping systems variability APEC Piura Sept 2016
JRV adapting cropping systems variability APEC Piura Sept 2016
 
Workshop crop suitability modeling GMS
Workshop crop suitability modeling GMSWorkshop crop suitability modeling GMS
Workshop crop suitability modeling GMS
 
Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012
Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012
Mer F - Use of climate predictions for impact studies, Nairobi Aug 2012
 
Assessing the consequences of climate change on cocoa and tomato production i...
Assessing the consequences of climate change on cocoa and tomato production i...Assessing the consequences of climate change on cocoa and tomato production i...
Assessing the consequences of climate change on cocoa and tomato production i...
 
Julian R - Using the EcoCrop model and database to forecast impacts of cc
Julian R - Using the EcoCrop model and database to forecast impacts of ccJulian R - Using the EcoCrop model and database to forecast impacts of cc
Julian R - Using the EcoCrop model and database to forecast impacts of cc
 
PROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFE
PROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFEPROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFE
PROJECT OF THE TITLE PROPOSAL FINL FOR COFFE
 
DAPA on World climate teach-in day
DAPA on World climate teach-in dayDAPA on World climate teach-in day
DAPA on World climate teach-in day
 
A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...
A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...
A Eitzinger - Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Kenyan Coffee S...
 
Impact of climate change on coffee and mango growing areas in Haiti
Impact of climate change on coffee and mango growing areas in HaitiImpact of climate change on coffee and mango growing areas in Haiti
Impact of climate change on coffee and mango growing areas in Haiti
 
Climate change and Agriculture in East Africa, West Africa and the Indo-Gange...
Climate change and Agriculture in East Africa, West Africa and the Indo-Gange...Climate change and Agriculture in East Africa, West Africa and the Indo-Gange...
Climate change and Agriculture in East Africa, West Africa and the Indo-Gange...
 
CSA Symposium 2016 - Dr. Dale Rankine Day 2 Session 1
CSA Symposium 2016 - Dr. Dale Rankine Day 2 Session 1CSA Symposium 2016 - Dr. Dale Rankine Day 2 Session 1
CSA Symposium 2016 - Dr. Dale Rankine Day 2 Session 1
 
Impact of climate change on Moroccan agriculture
Impact of climate change on Moroccan agricultureImpact of climate change on Moroccan agriculture
Impact of climate change on Moroccan agriculture
 
Andy Jarvis - Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supag...
Andy Jarvis - Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supag...Andy Jarvis - Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supag...
Andy Jarvis - Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supag...
 
Andy J Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supagro No...
Andy J   Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supagro No...Andy J   Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supagro No...
Andy J Climate Change Models Can Guide Our Adaptation Strategies Supagro No...
 
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the  New Normal of Climate ...Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the  New Normal of Climate ...
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...
 
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the  New Normal of Climate ...Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the  New Normal of Climate ...
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...
 
Applications of the Climate Analogues approach for site specific adaptation m...
Applications of the Climate Analogues approach for site specific adaptation m...Applications of the Climate Analogues approach for site specific adaptation m...
Applications of the Climate Analogues approach for site specific adaptation m...
 

Mais de Decision and Policy Analysis Program

Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...
Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...
Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...
Decision and Policy Analysis Program
 

Mais de Decision and Policy Analysis Program (20)

Propuesta Servicios Climáticos región del SICA CAC/CIAT
Propuesta Servicios Climáticos región del SICA CAC/CIATPropuesta Servicios Climáticos región del SICA CAC/CIAT
Propuesta Servicios Climáticos región del SICA CAC/CIAT
 
Logros alcanzados en servicios climáticos en el sector agropecuario de la reg...
Logros alcanzados en servicios climáticos en el sector agropecuario de la reg...Logros alcanzados en servicios climáticos en el sector agropecuario de la reg...
Logros alcanzados en servicios climáticos en el sector agropecuario de la reg...
 
Servicios Integrados Participativos de Clima para la Agricultura (PICSA)
Servicios Integrados Participativos de Clima para la Agricultura (PICSA)Servicios Integrados Participativos de Clima para la Agricultura (PICSA)
Servicios Integrados Participativos de Clima para la Agricultura (PICSA)
 
Potencialidades y desafíos en el corredor seco Centroamericano frente al camb...
Potencialidades y desafíos en el corredor seco Centroamericano frente al camb...Potencialidades y desafíos en el corredor seco Centroamericano frente al camb...
Potencialidades y desafíos en el corredor seco Centroamericano frente al camb...
 
Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FIMA)
Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FIMA)Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FIMA)
Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FIMA)
 
Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FAO-PLACA)
Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FAO-PLACA)Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FAO-PLACA)
Servicios Climaticos para la Agricultura (FAO-PLACA)
 
Modelación de impactos de cambio climático en agricultura
Modelación de impactos de cambio climático en agriculturaModelación de impactos de cambio climático en agricultura
Modelación de impactos de cambio climático en agricultura
 
Modelación de Cultivos para generar Servicios Agroclimáticos (Aquacrop V6.0)
Modelación de Cultivos para generar Servicios Agroclimáticos (Aquacrop V6.0)Modelación de Cultivos para generar Servicios Agroclimáticos (Aquacrop V6.0)
Modelación de Cultivos para generar Servicios Agroclimáticos (Aquacrop V6.0)
 
Servicios Climáticos para la Agricultura (ANSC-Guatemala)
Servicios Climáticos para la Agricultura (ANSC-Guatemala)Servicios Climáticos para la Agricultura (ANSC-Guatemala)
Servicios Climáticos para la Agricultura (ANSC-Guatemala)
 
Modelación climática; Cambio climático y agricultura
Modelación climática; Cambio climático y agriculturaModelación climática; Cambio climático y agricultura
Modelación climática; Cambio climático y agricultura
 
Vulnerabilidad de los productores ante la variabilidad y el cambio climático
Vulnerabilidad de los productores ante la variabilidad y el cambio climáticoVulnerabilidad de los productores ante la variabilidad y el cambio climático
Vulnerabilidad de los productores ante la variabilidad y el cambio climático
 
Modelacion de cultivos para generar servicios agroclimaticos
Modelacion de cultivos para generar servicios agroclimaticosModelacion de cultivos para generar servicios agroclimaticos
Modelacion de cultivos para generar servicios agroclimaticos
 
Introducción a los servicios climáticos
Introducción a los servicios climáticosIntroducción a los servicios climáticos
Introducción a los servicios climáticos
 
Introducción a la problemática del cambio climático global y observación de c...
Introducción a la problemática del cambio climático global y observación de c...Introducción a la problemática del cambio climático global y observación de c...
Introducción a la problemática del cambio climático global y observación de c...
 
Servicios climáticos para la agricultura en América Latina
Servicios climáticos para la agricultura en América LatinaServicios climáticos para la agricultura en América Latina
Servicios climáticos para la agricultura en América Latina
 
Importancia de los pronósticos aplicados al sector agrícola durante la crisis...
Importancia de los pronósticos aplicados al sector agrícola durante la crisis...Importancia de los pronósticos aplicados al sector agrícola durante la crisis...
Importancia de los pronósticos aplicados al sector agrícola durante la crisis...
 
Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas en Centro América
Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas en Centro AméricaMesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas en Centro América
Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas en Centro América
 
Training on Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA)...
Training on Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA)...Training on Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA)...
Training on Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA)...
 
Perspectivas y escenario futuros de la producción de frijol ante el cambio cl...
Perspectivas y escenario futuros de la producción de frijol ante el cambio cl...Perspectivas y escenario futuros de la producción de frijol ante el cambio cl...
Perspectivas y escenario futuros de la producción de frijol ante el cambio cl...
 
Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...
Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...
Apoyo en la toma de decisiones en agricultura a través de las Mesas Técnicas ...
 

Último

“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf
“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf
“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf
Muhammad Subhan
 

Último (20)

Human Expert Website Manual WCAG 2.0 2.1 2.2 Audit - Digital Accessibility Au...
Human Expert Website Manual WCAG 2.0 2.1 2.2 Audit - Digital Accessibility Au...Human Expert Website Manual WCAG 2.0 2.1 2.2 Audit - Digital Accessibility Au...
Human Expert Website Manual WCAG 2.0 2.1 2.2 Audit - Digital Accessibility Au...
 
TopCryptoSupers 12thReport OrionX May2024
TopCryptoSupers 12thReport OrionX May2024TopCryptoSupers 12thReport OrionX May2024
TopCryptoSupers 12thReport OrionX May2024
 
Vector Search @ sw2con for slideshare.pptx
Vector Search @ sw2con for slideshare.pptxVector Search @ sw2con for slideshare.pptx
Vector Search @ sw2con for slideshare.pptx
 
Extensible Python: Robustness through Addition - PyCon 2024
Extensible Python: Robustness through Addition - PyCon 2024Extensible Python: Robustness through Addition - PyCon 2024
Extensible Python: Robustness through Addition - PyCon 2024
 
Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Engineering a Robust, High-performance...
Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Engineering a Robust, High-performance...Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Engineering a Robust, High-performance...
Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Engineering a Robust, High-performance...
 
Syngulon - Selection technology May 2024.pdf
Syngulon - Selection technology May 2024.pdfSyngulon - Selection technology May 2024.pdf
Syngulon - Selection technology May 2024.pdf
 
Microsoft CSP Briefing Pre-Engagement - Questionnaire
Microsoft CSP Briefing Pre-Engagement - QuestionnaireMicrosoft CSP Briefing Pre-Engagement - Questionnaire
Microsoft CSP Briefing Pre-Engagement - Questionnaire
 
1111 ChatGPT Prompts PDF Free Download - Prompts for ChatGPT
1111 ChatGPT Prompts PDF Free Download - Prompts for ChatGPT1111 ChatGPT Prompts PDF Free Download - Prompts for ChatGPT
1111 ChatGPT Prompts PDF Free Download - Prompts for ChatGPT
 
The Zero-ETL Approach: Enhancing Data Agility and Insight
The Zero-ETL Approach: Enhancing Data Agility and InsightThe Zero-ETL Approach: Enhancing Data Agility and Insight
The Zero-ETL Approach: Enhancing Data Agility and Insight
 
Observability Concepts EVERY Developer Should Know (DevOpsDays Seattle)
Observability Concepts EVERY Developer Should Know (DevOpsDays Seattle)Observability Concepts EVERY Developer Should Know (DevOpsDays Seattle)
Observability Concepts EVERY Developer Should Know (DevOpsDays Seattle)
 
How we scaled to 80K users by doing nothing!.pdf
How we scaled to 80K users by doing nothing!.pdfHow we scaled to 80K users by doing nothing!.pdf
How we scaled to 80K users by doing nothing!.pdf
 
Top 10 CodeIgniter Development Companies
Top 10 CodeIgniter Development CompaniesTop 10 CodeIgniter Development Companies
Top 10 CodeIgniter Development Companies
 
WebRTC and SIP not just audio and video @ OpenSIPS 2024
WebRTC and SIP not just audio and video @ OpenSIPS 2024WebRTC and SIP not just audio and video @ OpenSIPS 2024
WebRTC and SIP not just audio and video @ OpenSIPS 2024
 
“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf
“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf
“Iamnobody89757” Understanding the Mysterious of Digital Identity.pdf
 
Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Integrating Distributed Data Stores Ac...
Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Integrating Distributed Data Stores Ac...Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Integrating Distributed Data Stores Ac...
Event-Driven Architecture Masterclass: Integrating Distributed Data Stores Ac...
 
(Explainable) Data-Centric AI: what are you explaininhg, and to whom?
(Explainable) Data-Centric AI: what are you explaininhg, and to whom?(Explainable) Data-Centric AI: what are you explaininhg, and to whom?
(Explainable) Data-Centric AI: what are you explaininhg, and to whom?
 
Design Guidelines for Passkeys 2024.pptx
Design Guidelines for Passkeys 2024.pptxDesign Guidelines for Passkeys 2024.pptx
Design Guidelines for Passkeys 2024.pptx
 
Long journey of Ruby Standard library at RubyKaigi 2024
Long journey of Ruby Standard library at RubyKaigi 2024Long journey of Ruby Standard library at RubyKaigi 2024
Long journey of Ruby Standard library at RubyKaigi 2024
 
Design and Development of a Provenance Capture Platform for Data Science
Design and Development of a Provenance Capture Platform for Data ScienceDesign and Development of a Provenance Capture Platform for Data Science
Design and Development of a Provenance Capture Platform for Data Science
 
Cyber Insurance - RalphGilot - Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University.pptx
Cyber Insurance - RalphGilot - Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University.pptxCyber Insurance - RalphGilot - Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University.pptx
Cyber Insurance - RalphGilot - Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University.pptx
 

David B / Julian R - Climate change and subtropical bananas (2010 08 22 ESRI User Conference)

  • 1. Climate change in the subtropics: The impacts of projected averages and variability on banana productivity J. Ramirez, D. Turner , I. Van den Bergh, C. Staver, D. Brown and A. Jarvis ESRI User Conference – July, 2011
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Identification of current banana areas by means of expert consultation
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Results: Current suitability + limiting factor
  • 10. Results: 2020s suitability + change
  • 11. Results: 2050s suitability + change
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.

Notas do Editor

  1. Underline the process to obtain the current banana production areas
  2. In most cases the expert print the map, marks the areas over it, scan the marked map and send it back to us.
  3. Current map after merge all the maps after expert consultation
  4. This is just to show from where we take the climate data
  5. The International Centre for Tropical Agriculture, with the support of Bioversity International and the International Potato Centre (CIP) has developed a simple mechanistic model based on the FAO database of crop ecological requirements Ecocrop. The model, which stands with the same name as the FAO's database uses temperature and precipitation thresholds in order to evaluate the suitability of a certain place to hold a certain crop species by means of the WorldClim database (Hijmans et al., 2005). The model was implemented in the software DIVA-GIS (Hijmans et al., 2005) and has been largely used to predict suitability of various crops under different climatic conditions – Of course you know what it is…
  6. While, as can be expected for a tropical crop, overall suitability in the subtropics is much lower than in the tropics, there is a great variation between the different subtropical sites. Some of our key sites have reasonably high suitability (Paraguay, Formosa in Argentina, the Mozambique-South Africa border and Hainan province in China), while others have very low suitability (northern India, southern non-coastal China, southern Brazil, northern Morocco and the Canary Islands). Rainfall is the most limiting factor in most sites (Fig. 1b), except in Paraguay, Argentina and Brazil.
  7. Of the 9 key sites, 3 sites seem to be largely unaffected by expected changes in climate in 2020s (the Mozambique-South Africa border, the Canary islands and northern Morocco), 4 sites will be disadvantaged (northern India, Paraguay, Formosa in Argentina and southern coastal China including Hainan province), and 2 sites are expected to become more favorable for banana production (southern Brazil and southern non-coastal China. We can thus not generalize across the subtropics, but need to deal with each region individually.
  8. These trends are confirmed in 2050s.
  9. The larger the homoclime area and the higher the probability, the more likely it is to achieve significant impact through technology transfer to homologue sites and adoption by farmers, current and in future The highest proportion (in terms of area) in similarity, meaning the highest potential for transferability of technologies between sites, was found for the northern India, with 49% of the total aggregated area being a homoclime with a probability threshold above 0.1. The Canary Islands and northern Morocco, on the other hand, resulted as areas with a very low proportion of homoclimes, probably due to their marked dry periods throughout the year. Southern Brazil also had only a very small proportion of homoclimes.
  10. The highest proportion (in terms of area) in similarity, meaning the highest potential for transferability of technologies between sites, was found for the northern India, with 49% of the total aggregated area being a homoclime with a probability threshold above 0.1. The Canary Islands and northern Morocco, on the other hand, resulted as areas with a very low proportion of homoclimes, probably due to their marked dry periods throughout the year. Southern Brazil also had only a very small proportion of homoclimes.
  11. The highest proportion (in terms of area) in similarity, meaning the highest potential for transferability of technologies between sites, was found for the northern India, with 49% of the total aggregated area being a homoclime with a probability threshold above 0.1. The Canary Islands and northern Morocco, on the other hand, resulted as areas with a very low proportion of homoclimes, probably due to their marked dry periods throughout the year. Southern Brazil also had only a very small proportion of homoclimes.
  12. Using a simple technique we have obtained usefull data that could be used to make complex analysis like the we have presented