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CROSS-BORDER TRADE AND COMMERCE IN THAILAND:
 POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR ESTABLISHING SPECIAL
           BORDER ECONOMIC ZONES


                                      by


                               Choen Krainara


  A special study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the
                     degree of Doctor of Philosophy in
                 Regional and Rural Development Planning



 Examination Committee:      Professor Dr. Jayant Kumar Routray (Chairman)
                             Dr. Mokbul Morshed Ahmad (Co-assessor)



             Nationality: Thai
        Previous Degree: Master of Science
                          Asian Institute of Technology
                          Bangkok, Thailand



      Scholarship Donors: RTG Fellowships and AIT Fellowship Scheme




                       Asian Institute of Technology
            School of Environment, Resources and Development
                            Bangkok, Thailand
                              December 2008
Acknowledgements

The author would like to express his deepest sense of gratitude to his advisor and
Chairman Professor Dr. Jayant Kumar Routray, who provided constructive guidance
and inspiration throughout the study. The researcher would also like to thank
Dr.Mokbul Morshed Ahmad as co-assessor for offering valuable comments to make the
study complete.

A very special appreciation is extended to Khun Laaiad Wongthong at Office of
Information Technology and Communications of the Department of Customs, Thailand
for supplying cross-border trade data of Thailand with neighboring countries at
exceptional rate. If these data were not made available, the study would have not been
possible. Also, I wish to express thanks particularly to Khun Anusit Kanchanapol at
Padang Besar Customs House for providing top ten cross-border export and import of
commodities of Thailand with neighboring countries at selected border checkpoints as
well as insights by sharing informal cross-border trade practices.

Lastly, I would like to express my profound thankfulness to my mother, sisters, brothers
and friends for their understanding and moral supports for the duration of the study.




                                           ii
Abstract

The Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) regarded as a geo-spatial unit is very important
economic bloc due to it shares common culture, religion and linguistic base with a big
threshold of population and resources. This region also has great potential for development
underpinning by the GMS Development Cooperation and the Ayeyawady-Chao Phraya-
Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS). Thailand located at the strategic
location of South East Asian region has been intensifying economic interdependence with
neighbouring countries through increasing cross-border trade and people’s mobility which
made possible by means of greater degree of physical connectivity in the form of economic
corridors, continuous trade and investment facilitation. As a result, it opens up new
opportunities for Thailand to engage cross-border production and supply chain linkages
with neighbouring countries by establishing special border economic zones in prospective
locations in order to take advantage of cheap labor from Cambodia, Lao PDR and Myanmar
and wider access to their primary markets as well as penetrating to regional and global
markets.

Robust cross-border trade relations between Thailand and neighbouring countries have been
observed over last 13 years in which trading patterns are becoming quite diverse
depending on their comparative advantage, division of labor and specialization of
production. In general, Thailand mainly exports consumer, intermediate and some capital
goods to neighbouring countries, and imports primary goods such as agricultural, fishery
products and ranges of resources from neighbouring countries. Cross-border trade gaps
between Thailand and individual neighbouring countries greatly vary from one country to
another. In addition, cross-border retail trades particularly carried out by rural poor are
always conducted at specific allowed border crossings. Though the growth of cross-border
trade and commerce is flourishing, it is probable that this progress might lead to some
extent variation in regional development impacts. However, Thailand is facing significantly
chronic interregional inequalities in which the Northeastern has long been a backward
region followed by Northern region as well as obvious intra-regional differences. Out of 30
border provinces, 19 backward border provinces were identified. Taking these cross-border
trade interactions and people’s mobility as major factors, it can preliminarily be identified
possible eight special border economic zones corresponding with priority manufactured
commodities to be created in Thailand linking with neighbouring countries in order to
bridge not only intra-regional and interregional disparities within Thailand but also
international development gaps with Cambodia, Lao PDR, Malaysia and Myanmar,
respectively.

Such policy implications for establishing special economic zones in Thailand need to be
addressed with awareness in six main aspects: political, economic, social, infrastructural,
environmental and institutional. Recommendations to promote special border economic
zones have been made centering around exploring more geographical border areas as
special border economic zones in Thailand and possible linkages with neigbouring
countries, setting up a system for managing and administering special border economic
zones, establishing local supply chains networks to link up with the proposed special border
economic zones, providing cross-border logistics services, fostering close cooperation and
coordination on managing social problems associated with cross-border migration, as well
as rendering capacity building for integrated regional and local public administration
system.




                                             iii
Table of Contents

Chapter   Title                                                       Page

          Title Page                                                   i
          Acknowledgements                                             ii
          Abstract                                                     iii
          Table of Contents                                            iv
          List of Tables                                               vi
          List of Figures                                              vii
          List of Matrix and Maps                                      ix
          Abbreviations                                                x

  1        Introduction                                                1
          1.1 Background and Rationale of the Study                    1
          1.2 Objectives of the Study                                  2
          1.3 Scope of the Study                                       2
          1.4 Methodology                                              3
          1.5 Conceptual Framework                                     3

  2       International Trade, Border Economics and Special Border     6
          Economic Zone
          2.1 Concept of International Trade                           6
          2.2 Concept of Trade and Development                         6
          2.3 Concept of Border Economics                              6
          2.4 Concept of Special Border Economic Zone and              7
          Applications

  3       Overview of Cross-Border Trade and Commerce
          in Thailand                                                  11
          3.1 Geographical Locations and Physical Linkages of          11
              Thailand with Neighbouring Countries
          3.2 Transport and Telecommunication Networks                 11
          3.3 Types and Number of Nation-Wide Border Checkpoints       16
          3.4 Trade Agreements between Thailand and Neighbouring
              Countries
              3.4.1 Trade Agreements                                   18
              3.4.2 Trade-Relevant Cooperation                         22
          3.5 Thailand’s Trade Policies with Neighbouring Countries    23
          3.6 Cross-Border Trade and Commerce Relations between
              Thailand and Neighbouring Countries
              3.6.1 Markets of the Neighbouring Countries              24
              3.6.2 Overall Assessment of Cross-Border Trade and       25
                Commerce Relations Between Thailand and
                Five-Neighbouring Countries (Cambodia, China,
                Lao PDR, Myanmar and Malaysia)
              3.6.3 State of Cross-Border Trade Relations With         32
                    Individual Neighbouring Countries
          3.7 People’s Mobility Along the Border
              3.7.1 People’s Movement Through Border                   59


                                    iv
Checkpoints/Border Crossings
        3.7.2 Nation-Wide Share of Peoples Movement Through                61
               Border Crossings
    3.8 Thailand’s Cross-Border Investments in Four-Neighbouring
         Countries
        3.8.1 Cambodia                                                     63
        3.8.2 Lao PDR                                                      63
        3.8.3 Myanmar                                                      64
         3.8.4 Malaysia                                                    64
    3.9 Impacts of Cross-Border Trade, Commerce                            64
        and Investments Dealing with Neighbouring Countries
        on Thai Economy and Society

4   Status of Regional Development in Thailand                             67
    4.1 Interregional Disparities                                          67
    4.2 Intra-Regional Disparities Particularly for the Border Provinces
        4.2.1 Eastern Region                                               70
        4.2.2 Northeastern Region                                          71
        4.2.3 Northern Region                                              72
        4.2.4 Western Region                                               73
        4.2.5 Southern Region                                              74
    4.3 Existing Industrial Development Along Thai Border Area             76
    4.4 International Development Disparities Between Thailand and
        Neighbouring Countries                                             78


5   Prospects for Developing Special Border Economic Zones                 80
    in Thailand
        5.1 SWOT Analysis on Prospect for Promoting                        80
            Special Border Economic Zones
        5.2 Potential Geographical Border Areas and Economic               82
            Sectors for Cross-Border Development and
            Cooperation toward Development of Special Border
            Economic Zones Linking with Neighboring Countries

6   Conclusions and Recommendations                                        84
       6.1 Conclusions                                                     84
       6.2 Policy Implications for Establishing Special                    86
           Border Economic Zones in Thailand
       6.3 Recommendations                                                 87

    References                                                             89
    Appendixes                                                             93




                                 v
List of Tables

Table   Title                                                            Page

3.1     Types and Numbers of Border Checkpoints in Thailand Physically    16
         Connecting with Neighbouring Countries
3.2     Numbers of Commodity That Thailand Granted AISP Treatment         19
        To CLMV Countries
3.3     Time Frame For Import Trade Tariff Reductions                     22
3.4     Cross-Border Trade Gaps Between Thailand and                      30
        Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996 To 2008
3.5     Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities from Cambodia To          33
        Thailand Through Aranyaprathet Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.6     Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Cambodia To          35
        Thailand Through Aranyaprathet Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.7     Top Ten Cross-Border Trade Export Commodities From Thailand       39
        To Yunnan Province of Southern China Through Chiangsaen
        Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.8     Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Yunnan               41
        Province of Southern China To Thailand Through Chiangsaen
        Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.9     Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities From Thailand To          45
        Lao PDR Through Nong Khai Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.10    Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Lao PDR              47
        To Thailand Through Nong Khai Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.11    Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities From Thailand To          51
        Myanmar Through Maesod Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.12    Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Myanmar              52
        To Thailand Through Maesod Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.13    Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities From Thailand             56
        To Malaysia Through Sadao Border Checkpoint in 2007
3.14    Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Malaysia To          57
        Thailand Through Sadao Border Checkpoint
3.15    A Multi-Facet Impacts of Cross-Border Trade, Commerce             64
        and Investment Dealing with Neighbouring Countries on
        Thai Economy and Society
4.1     Gross Provincial Product of Eastern Border Provinces              68
4.2     Gross Provincial Product of Northeastern Border Provinces         69
4.3     Gross Provincial Product of Northern Border Provinces             73
4.4     Gross Provincial Product of Western Border Provinces              74
4.5     Gross Provincial Product of Southern Border Provinces             75
5.1     Potential Geographical Border Areas and Economic Sectors          83
        For Developing Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand




                                  vi
List of Figures

Figure   Title                                                         Page

1.1      Conceptual Framework                                           5
2.1      Proposed Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand             10
         and Its Potential Linkages with Neighbouring Countries
3.1      Aggregate Cross-Border Trade Export and Import                 27
         Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries
         and Transit Trade To/From China During 1996 To 2008
3.2      Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade between                29
         Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Balance
         of Transit Trade With China
3.3      Share of Aggregate Cross-Border Trade to International         31
         Trade Between Thailand and-Five Neighbouring Countries
3.4      Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand to Cambodia           33
         From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.5      Cross-Border Import Values From Thailand to Cambodia           33
         From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.6      Share of Aggregate Cross-Border Trade to Aggregate             37
         International Trade Between Thailand and Cambodia
         During 1996 To 2008
3.7      Cross-Border Export Trade Values through Transit Mode          39
         From Thailand to China During 1996 To 2008 Through Major
         Border Checkpoints
3.8      Cross-Border Import Trade Values Through Transit Mode          41
         From China To Thailand during 1996 To 2008 Through Major
         Border Checkpoints
3.9      Share of Border Trade Values Through Transit Mode To           43
         International Trade Values Between Thailand and China
         During 1996 To 2008
3.10     Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand To Lao PDR            44
         From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.11     Cross-Border Trade Import Values from Lao PDR To               46
         Thailand From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.12     Share of Cross-Border Trade Values To International Trade      49
         Values Between Thailand and Lao PDR During 1996 To 2008
3.13     Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand To Myanmar            50
         During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.14     Cross-Border Trade Import Values from Myanmar To Thailand      52
         During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.15     Share of Cross-Border Trade Values To International Trade      54
         Values between Thailand and Myanmar During 1996 To 2008
3.16     Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand to Malaysia           55
         During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.17     Cross-Border Trade Import Values From Malaysia To Thailand     57
         From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints
3.18     Share of Cross-Border Trade Values To International Trade      59
         Values Between Thailand and Malaysia During 1996 To 2008




                                  vii
Figure   Title                                                            Page

3.19     People’s Movement at Major Border Crossings in Thailand              60
         During 2002 To 2006
3.20     Nation-Wide Share of People’s Movement Through Border                62
         Crossings To Share of People Movement Through Other
         International Ports of Entry and Exit in Thailand
         During 2002 To 2006
4.1      Gross Regional Product Per Capita in Thailand During the             68
         Years 1981 To 2007
4.2      Primacy Index of Bangkok and Vicinities During 1999 To 2007          69
4.3      Gross National Income Purchasing Power Parity Gaps Between
         Thailand and Neighbouring Countries at Current International Price   77
4.4      Gross National Income Per Capita Purchasing Power Parity Gaps        78
         Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries




                                   viii
List of Matrix

Matrix   Title                                                          Page

3.1      Cumulative Cross-Border Trade Values of Thailand With           26
         Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996-2008 (January-April)



                             List of Maps
Map      Title                                                          Page

3.1      GMS Corridors Network                                           14
3.2      Geographical Distribution of All Types of Key Border            17
         Checkpoints in Thailand Connecting With Neighbouring
         Countries
3.3      Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between           36
         Thailand and Cambodia Through Aranyaprathet Border
         Checkpoint in 2007
3.4      Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between           42
         Thailand and China Through Chiangsaen Border Checkpoint
         in 2007
3.5      Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between           48
         Thailand and Laos PDR Through Nong Khai Border
         Checkpoint in 2007
3.6      Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between           53
         Thailand and Myanmar Through Maesod Border Checkpoint
         in 2007
3.7      Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between           58
         Thailand and Malaysia Through Sadao Border Checkpoint
         in 2007




                                   ix
Abbreviations

ACMECS    Ayeyawady - Chao Phraya - Mekong Economic Cooperation
          Strategy
ADB       Asian Development Bank
AEC       ASEAN Economic Community
AFTA      ASEAN Free Trade Area
AISP      ASEAN Integration System of Preferences
ASEAN     Association of South East Asian Nations
BIMSTEC   Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and
          Economic Cooperation
BOI       Board of Investment
CBTA      Cross Border Transport Agreement
CEPT      Common Effective Preferential Tariff
CIQ       Customs, Immigration and Quarantine
CLM       Cambodia-Lao PDR-Myanmar
CLMV      Cambodia-Lao PDR-Myanmar-Vietnam
CLMT      Cambodia- Lao PDR- Myanmar- Thailand
ECS       Economic Cooperation Strategy
ESB       Eastern Seaboard
EU        European Union
GMS       Greater Mekong Sub-region
GPP       Gross Provincial Product
GRP       Gross Regional Product
GSP       Generalized System of Preferences
IL        Inclusion List
IMT-GT    Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle
JTC       Joint Trade Committee
NAFTA     North America Free Trade Area
NESDB     Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board
RTA       Regional Trade Agreement
SBEZ      Special Border Economic Zone
SMEs      Small and Medium Enterprises
SSB       Southern Seaboard




                             x
Chapter 1

                                     Introduction

1.1 Background and Rationale of the Study

There is underlying reason of what a country chooses to produce such commodities.
This is mainly dependent on resource endowments that a country possesses supported
by key factors of productions. When two countries want to conduct international trade,
though they all may have absolute advantage over another country, they can in fact gain
from trade as long as the extent of comparing gain and loss of relative costs of
production between the two countries are apparently different. This means a country
should specialize in products and services in which it has highest return. David Ricardo
(1817) called this “Theory of Comparative Advantage” which is the principal
determinant of undertaking international trade. He concludes that a country should
select and export commodity which is most comparative advantage, and import such
commodity which is least comparative advantage.

In the present day, changing economic phenomena within the unique contexts entailed
by geo-politics and greater cross-border economic integration in many regions of the
world have driven the increasing attention on border economics. One of the key features
of the border economics characterized by a population variable which was the
exemplarily substantial income differentials between Mexico and the United States.
When accompanied by high rates of joblessness, income disparities between countries
frequently result in migratory outflows from low earnings regions to higher income
markets, (Harris and Todaro, 1970; Borjas, 1994; Durand, Massey, and Zeneno, 2001,
cited in Fullerton, 2003).

In response to this economic observable fact, Special Border Economic Zone (SBEZ) or
Maquiladora or export manufacturing sector has primarily been developed along the
border of Mexico and the United States since 1965. Its objectives were to take
advantage of available cheap labor in Mexico, proximity to primary markets and
regional supply networks in the United States, (Weiler and Zerlentes, 2003). The
implementation of the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which phases
out existing trade barriers between Mexico, Canada and the United States, was expected
to increase to the dispersion of Maquiladoras along the northern border of Mexico. In
Asian region, this concept has in recent decade been gaining impetus as a fashionable
model in realizing economic complementarities between two neighbouring countries
which have different stages of development. There have recently been implemented in
some bordering countries between North Korea and South Korea. Though this is quite
initial stage, the progress of undertaking seems pronounced.

In ASEAN region, regional cooperation and integration program is advancing through
the ASEAN Economic Community. Wide economic development gaps between
ASEAN member countries have opened up vast opportunities, for example between
Southern region of Malaysia and Singapore, to cooperate joint-production in the form of
Special Border Economic Zones along border areas in order to exploit
complementarities. Located at the cross-roads of mainland South East Asian region,
Thailand which is regarded as developed pocket similarly shares common border with
four-neighbouring countries namely Lao PDR, Cambodia, Myanmar and Malaysia.


                                           1
Continuously fostered by the regional economic cooperation programs namely the
Greater Mekong Sub-region, the Ayeyawady - Chao Phraya - Mekong Economic
Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS) and the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth
Triangle (IMT-GT), the cross-border trade relations between Thailand and these
neighbouring countries have been flourishing since a recent decade and are continuing
to increase signifying that the economic interdependence becomes intensified due to
better physical connectivity and the gradual effects of several trade agreements signed
with neighbouring countries. These can be evident from increased intra-regional trade
and investments, and greater people’s mobility.

Recognizing the large development disparities with neighbouring countries, Thailand
has directed policies toward distributing production bases to border regions in order to
internationally cooperate based on sister city and special border economic zone
concepts by taking advantages of regional accessibility, good access of quality raw
materials, labor and market proximity in neighbouring countries. Simultaneously,
Thailand is able to not only bridge intra-regional and interregional disparities within her
country but also to strengthen closer ties with neighbouring countries by means of co-
production scheme so that it can help sharing the benefits of economic
complementarities, appropriately managing huge numbers of illegally immigrant labor
inflows as well as sustainably bridging development divergences. This initiative is
considered having significant implications toward changing economic geography of
mainland South East Asian region as new regional production platforms for deeper
integration with the global supply chains and markets.

For this reason, it is necessary to explore the fundamental economic and social rationale
for establishing the special border economic zones in Thailand taking cross-border trade
and commerce prospects into major consideration in order to help identify the potential
geographical border regions resulting from greater connectivity and accessibility and
economic sectors to be promoted. In addition, status of regional development and extent
of interregional and intra-regional disparities are essential components to be assessed so
that insights on state of regional development and identification of backward border
regions and needed policies to support the establishment of special border economic
zones can be accurately carried out.

1.2 Objectives of the Study

The specific objectives of this review research were:
       1) To study the factors and the trend of cross-border trade scenarios between
       Thailand and neighbouring countries.
       2) To determine impacts of cross-border trade, commerce and investment
       dealing with neighbouring countries on Thai economy and society.
       3) To identify potential geographical border areas/regions and economic sectors
       for developing special border economic zones.
       4) To recommend policy implications necessary for promoting special border
       economic zones in Thailand.

1.3 Scope of the Study

This study covered a review of trade and investment agreements as well as trade
policies between Thailand and neighbouring countries. It also conducted assessment of


                                            2
cross-border trade relations between Thailand and four-neighbouring countries and
transit trade with China with particular emphasis on Yunnan Province for a 13 year
interval during 1996-2008. Particularly for the year 2008, data were available only for
four months from January-April which at the time of collecting data was considered as
the most complete availability of cross-border statistics maintained by the Customs
Department of Thailand. Cross-border’s people mobility will also be included. In
addition, status of regional development in Thailand will be evaluated incorporated
interregional and intra-regional disparities. In addition, international development
disparities between Thailand and neighbouring countries will also be highlighted.

1.4 Study Methodology

This study is descriptive research. It mainly used time series secondary data source for a
13 year interval on export-import of cross-border trade statistics compared with
international trade figures between Thailand and neighbouring countries from the
Customs Department of Thailand which is regarded as official statistics. In addition,
various reports, studies, and internet websites are key sources of most up to date data.

Particular data are gathered from relevant key agencies as follows:

• Overall Greater Mekong Sub-region strategies, sectoral strategies, policies and plans
  are mainly from the Asian Development Bank.
• National development policies and plans, policies for economic cooperation with
  neighbouring countries, Gross Regional Products (GRP), Gross Provincial Product
  (GPP) are from Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board.
• Trade policies and trade agreements are from Department of Trade Negotiations,
  Department of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Commerce and Ministry of Foreign
  Affairs
• Cross-border people’s mobility is from Immigration Bureau.
• Direct foreign investments from Thailand to neighbouring countries are from the
  Board of Investment.
• ASEAN cooperation and ASEAN statistics are from ASEAN Secretariat.
• Gross National Income of neighbouring countries are from the World Bank

Data analyses techniques applied were (1) quantitative analysis used such as number,
mean, percentage, share or ratio, trend analysis using time series data, and are variously
presented by graphs, pie diagram, matrix and tables. (2) qualitative analysis of
secondary data utilized literature review and SWOT analysis. Mapping techniques were
actively employed.

1.5 Conceptual Framework

The conceptual framework of this study centers on cross-border trade and commerce in
Thailand. It will begin by analyzing overall cross-border trade relations, people’s
mobility between Thailand and neighboring countries as well as investigating trade and
investments agreements and trade policies which will affect state of cross-border trade
between Thailand and neighboring countries. Then it will examine current infrastructure
support for enhancing transport and telecommunications linkages and impacts of cross-
border trade and commerce on Thai economy and society. Status of regional
development in Thailand will be assessed incorporated interregional and intra-regional


                                            3
disparities plus international development disparities between Thailand and neighboring
countries. It will also be proposed potential geographical border areas and economic
sectors preliminarily suitable to be developed as special border economic zones. Finally,
it will recommend policy implications needed for fostering the proposed establishment
of special border economic zones. The detail of conceptual framework is illustrated in
Figure1.1




                                           4
Figure 1.1 Conceptual Framework

                                               Cross-Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand


Ø Trade relations with neighbouring        Trade and investment agreements and        Infrastructure support for enhancing   Impacts of cross-border trade and
  countries through export-import of       trade policies with neighbouring           transport and telecommunications       commerce in Thailand
  major commodities at key border          countries under                            linkages through                            • Political aspect
  checkpoints connecting:                       •   Bilateral agreements                   • Land transport                       • Economic aspect
     • Eastern region with Cambodia             •   GMS agreements                         • River transport                      • Social aspect
     • Northeastern region with Lao PDR         •   ACMECS agreements                      • Telecommunications networks          • Infrastructural aspect
     • Northern region with Myanmar, Lao        •   AFTA agreements                                                               • Environmental and natural
       PDR and Yunnan province of China         •   WTO agreements                                                                  resources aspect
     • Southern region with Malaysia                                                                                              • Institutional aspect
Ø People’s mobility between Thailand
  and neighbouring countries through
  major border checkpoints.




                                                           Potential Border Areas and Economic Sectors for
                                                           Promoting Cross-Border Development
                                                                • Cross-border trade
Direct Investment from Thailand to
Neighbouring Countries                                          • Industry
                                                                • Agriculture
                                                                • Services and Logistics
                                                                • Tourism


                                                           Policy Implications for Developing Special
                                                           Border Economic Zones in Thailand


                                                                                  5
Chapter 2

   International Trade, Border Economics and Special Border Economic Zone

2.1 Concept of International Trade

There is underlying reason of what a country chooses to produce such commodities.
This is mainly dependent on resource endowments that a country possesses together
with mobilization of key factors of productions. Though two countries all may have
absolute advantage over another country, they can in fact gain from trade as long as the
extent of comparing gain and loss of relative costs of production between the two
countries are apparently different. This means a country should specialize in products
and services in which it has highest return. David Ricardo (1817) called this “Theory of
Comparative Advantage” which is the principal determinant of undertaking
international trade. He concludes that a country should select and export commodity
which is most comparative advantage, and imports such commodity which is least
comparative advantage.

2.2 Concept of Trade and Development

UN Millennium Project (2005) emphasized that trade openness can be a powerful driver
of economic growth, which is indispensable to reduce poverty and foster a country’s
development. Trade alone can not induce for achieving development; it should therefore
be associated with other institutional, macroeconomic, and microeconomic conditions
plus well designed social policies to attain development. On the other hand, opening up
markets to international trade may leave local producers flooded with more competitive
foreign producers, (Wikipedia, 2008). Sustained strong growth over longer periods is
strongly related to poverty reduction, while trade and growth are strongly linked.
Countries that develop always enhance their integration with the global economy.
Export-led growth strategy has been a key part of many countries’ successful
development.

Continents, countries and sectors that have not developed and remain largely poor have
comparative advantage in three main areas, (Wikipedia, 2008). :
   • Natural resource exploitation, i.e. natural capital such as rain forest timber;
   • Low-education labor-intensive manufacturing, due to high population densities
       and little suitable land per person;
   • Agriculture, due to low population densities and relatively large areas of suitable
       land per person.

The latter two are labor-intensive, helping to ensure that growth in these sectors will be
poverty-reducing. However, low value-added, price instability and unsustainability in
these commodity sectors mean they should be used only temporarily as catalyst of the
path to economic development.

2.3 Concept of Border Economics

Fullerton (2003) argues that border economics is still a new subject area. It has
originated from growing recognition to study economic phenomena within the unique


                                            6
contexts entailed by geo-politics. It is now gaining much attention due to greater cross-
border economic integration in many regions of the world. He highlights key features of
border economics being undertaken research efforts in the five variables:

       •   Population: Many studies involve border between economies that are
           characterized by substantial income differentials such as Mexico and the
           United States. When accompanied by high rates of joblessness, income
           disparities between countries frequently result in migratory outflows from
           low earnings regions to higher income markets. (Harris and Todaro, 1970;
           Borjas, 1994; Durand, Massey, and Zeneno, 2001 cited in Fullerton, 2003).

       •   Business cycle transmission: Economic integration in association with
           rapid financial and commercial liberalization influence border economic
           performance including retail border trade.

       •   Exchange rates: Most border economies still conduct business transactions
           that are affected by exchange rate transaction in addition to the world wide
           emergence of dominant currencies such as the dollar and the euro. Impacts
           of currency market fluctuation on retail segments in border contexts have
           been directly studied.

       •   Industrial development and labor markets: Devaluation of currency can
           accelerate foreign direct investment for example in Maquiladora or export
           manufacturing sector which both sides of the border/city pairs gained
           benefits, it may nevertheless not be the case in other parts of the world.
           Cross-border industrial linkages influence a wide range of regional economic
           outcomes (Hanson, 1998b; Love and Lage-Hidalgo, 2000 cited in Fullerton,
           2003).

       •   Natural resources economics: Environmental consequences of industrial
           expansion and economic growth at border regions are one of major concerns
           particularly on negative externalities. It is challenging to jointly manage and
           utilize natural resources and public utility e.g. energy services.

2.4 Concept of Special Border Economic Zone and Applications

The Special Border Economic Zone (SBEZ) concept commonly known as
Maquiladoras or export manufacturing sector has primarily been developed along the
border of Mexico and the United States since 1965. Its objectives were to take
advantage of available cheap labor in Mexico and proximity to primary markets and
regional supply networks in the US, (Weiler and Zerlentes, 2003). The implementation
of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which phases out existing
trade barriers between Mexico, Canada and the United States, was expected to increate
to the dispersion of Maquiladoras along the northern border of Mexico.




                                            7
This concept has increasingly become fashionable in realizing economic
complementarities between two countries which have different stages of development in
Asia. It is also adopted to create vast jobs as well as attracting foreign investments. In
East Asian region, North Korea has joined a collaborative economic development with
South Korea in developing Kaesong Industrial Park in 2002. It is located six miles north
of the Korean Demilitarized zone with direct road and rail access to South Korea. South
Korean firms are taking advantage of cheap labor available in the North to compete
with China to produce low-end goods such as shoes, cloths, and watches. By 2012, it is
expected that the industrial zone will cover 25 square miles and could create 725,000
jobs. Recently, more than 1,000 South Korean firms are reconsidering planned shifts of
production from China and South East Asia region to Kaesong (Wikipedia, 2006).


Similarly in South East Asian region, cross-border city pair’s cooperation concept is
widely recognized and applied as follows:


        •   In 2006, Malaysia has initiated Iskandar Malaysia, an economic, industrial
            and services cluster, in southern part of Johor Bahru state in order to attract
            foreign investments particularly from neighbouring Singapore.


        •   Cambodia is being set up a special border economic zone at Poipet, in
            Banteay Meanchey province expected to cross-border link with Thai side at
            Aranyaprathet district, Sakaeo province.


        •   Lao PDR has found Savan Seno Special Economic Zones in Savannakhet
            province in 2003. It has 2 separate sites: Site A at Khanthabouly city in
            pursuit of networking with Mukdahan city of Thailand, and Site B at Seno
            town located 28 kms. East from Khanthabouly city.


        •   Myanmar is in planning process in building special border economic zones
            at least two cities namely Myawaddy and Koh Song for connecting with
            Maesod and Ranong cities of Thailand.


        •   While Vietnam has directed three SBEZs. The first two SBEZs are at
            Xamat, 150 kms from the center of Ho Chi Minh city and Moc Bai in Tay
            Ninh province connecting with neighbouring Cambodia. The third one is at
            Lao Bao city in Quang Tri Province linking with Dansavan city,
            Savannakhet province of Lao PDR. All these SBEZs also intended to




                                            8
explore opportunities to perform cross-border co-production activities with
            their respective city pair’s counterparts in neighbouring countries.


        •   Thailand has initially planed to establish special border economic zones in
            Chiangrai, Tak and Songkhla provinces. A small industrial zone will also be
            set up in Mukdahan province. There is a question whether Thailand could
            additionally designate more geographically potential areas towards special
            border economic zones or not judging from the thriving growth of cross-
            border trade and commerce relations as well as the immediate requirement
            to address the continually large illegal immigration of labor from
            neighbouring countries into Thailand. Therefore, Thailand could probably
            turn this confronting threat into prospective closer economic and social
            integration with her neighbouring countries.

Please find the locations of proposed special border economic zones in Thailand and its
potential linkages with neighbouring countries in Figure 2.1.




                                           9
Figure 2.1 Proposed Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand and Its Potential Linkages With Neighbouring Countries




 Source: Adapted from Vimolsiri, P. (2008). Subregional Cooperation in GMS, ACMECS, IMT-GT: The Way Forward to Regional Integration, NESDB, Bangkok



                                                                  10
Chapter 3

           Overview of Cross-Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand

3.1 Geographical Locations and Physical Linkages of Thailand With Neighbouring
    Countries

Thailand is located at the strategic crossroads of mainland South East Asian region, in
which it shares common land border with four-neighbouring countries with total length
of 5,582 kms, (Exim Bank, 2004). In total, there are 30 provinces physically connect
with neighbouring countries. The physical linkages with individual countries are as
follows:

• Myanmar: Ten provinces of Northern, Central and Southern regions of Thailand
  link with Myanmar with longest total length at 2,400 Kms namely:
  Ø Northern region comprising provinces of Chiang Rai, Chiang Mai, Mae Hong
     Son, and Tak
  Ø Western region comprising provinces of Kanchanaburi, Ratchaburi, Phetchaburi,
     and Prachuapkhirikhan
  Ø Southern region comprising provinces of Chumphon and Ranong

• Lao PDR: Eleven provinces of Northern and Northeastern regions of Thailand
  connect with Lao PDR with total length at 1,810 Kms namely:
  Ø Northern region comprising provinces of Chiang Rai, Phayao, Nan, Uttaradit,
    and Phitsanulok
  Ø Northeastern region comprising provinces of Loei, Nong Khai, Nakhon
    Phanom, Mukdahan, Amnat Charoen and Ubon Ratchathani

• Cambodia: Seven provinces of Northeastern and Eastern regions of Thailand share
  common border with Cambodia with total length at 725 Kms namely:
  Ø Northeastern region comprising provinces of               Ubon Ratchathani,
    Si Sa Ket, Buri-Ram and Surin
  Ø Eastern region comprising provinces of Sakaeo, Chantaburi and Trat

• Malaysia: Four provinces of Southern region of Thailand share common border with
  Malaysia with total length at 647 kms namely Satun, Songkhla, Yala and Narathiwat.

3.2 Transport and Telecommunications Networks

     3.2.1 Road Transports and Bridge Links

NESDB (2007) indicated that Thailand currently has total road length approximately at
179,944.9 kms dividing into:
           • Special highways at 450 kms
           • National highways at 51,297 kms
           • Rural roads at 44,000 kms
           • Concession highways at 22 kms
           • Municipal roads at 84,000 kms
           • Express ways in Bangkok and vicinities at 175.9 kms


                                          11
It is perceived that road transport networks in Thailand are rather well developed both
within intra-regional and interregional linkages. In recent decade, Thailand has further
expanded road transport connections with major border cities of neighbouring countries
in order to facilitate cross-border trade and people mobility. These actions were partly
influenced by Thailand’s participation with the Greater Mekong Sub-region
Cooperation Program in order to foster regional transport integration towards
multimodal linkages (ADB, 2007). Where there is bordered by rivers, bridge links were
then constructed as follows:

• Thailand-Myanmar Friendship bridges built are as follows:

  Ø Maesai district, Chiang Rai province and Thachilek city, Thachilek province
    crossing Maesai river. In addition, another bridge crossing Maesai river in Chiang
    Rai province linking with Thachilek province of Myanmar already in place.
  Ø Maesod district, Tak province and Myawaddy city, Myawaddy province crossing
    Moei river.

• Thailand-Lao PDR        Friendship bridges crossing Mekong river are as follows:

  Ø Nong Khai province and Vientiane, capital city of Lao PDR
  Ø Mukdahan province and Savannakhet province
  Ø Nakhon Phanom province and Khammouan province. It is now in planning
    process.
  Ø Chiang Khong District, Chiang Rai province and Huisai city, Bokeo province. It
    is now in planning process.

• Thailand-Malaysia Bridges crossing Golok river are as follows:

  Ø Sungai Golok district, Narathiwat province and Rantau Phangan city, Kelantan
    state
  Ø Ban Buketa, Wang district, Narathiwat province and Bukit Bunga city, Kelantan
    state
  Ø Takbai district, Narathiwat province and Pengkalan Kubo city, Kelantan state. It is
    currently under planning process.

     3.2.2 Rail Transport

Thailand has rail network of total length at 4,129 kms covering 47 provinces. This
comprises single track at 3,881 kms, double track at 165 kms and triple track at 83 kms.
The major railway link to neighbouring countries recently operated is the route
Bangkok to Thanalang (3.5 kms from Thai border) in Vientiane, Lao PDR. The Trans
GMS railway connection so called the Singapore-Kunming Railway Link (SKRL) is
under planning process. This route will link Singapore-Kuala Lumpur-Bangkok-
Aranyaprathet-Poipet-Srisophon-Phnom Penh-Hochiminh City-Hanoi and terminates in
Kunming. In the future, rail mode will play an important role in carrying bulk quantity
of commodities, stimulating GMS intra-trade, promoting industrial zones as well as
enhancing efficient utilization of the land along the railway line where it passes by the
mentioned cities/countries.




                                           12
3.2.3 River/Water Transport

Within the context of the GMS, Chiangsaen River Port, operated in 2003, plays vital
role in connecting Northern region of Thailand with southern part of China. The
transshipment trend at Chiangsaen River Port is on the rise as in 2004 such throughput
were at 74,414 Tons. While in the first half of 2005, it accommodated at 74,742 Tons.
In response to this increase, Department of Maritime is building the second Chiangsaen
River Port just about 10 kms downstream away in order to handle movement of goods
at maximum 0.524 Million Ton/year.

      3.2.4 GMS Corridors Network

The GMS adopts area-based approach in the form of economic corridor to spearhead
regional development in a transnational fashion. Originally, three major economic
corridors were proposed namely the North-South, East-West and Southern Economic
Corridors. Later in 2007, six more economic corridors were added to reflect dynamic
sub-regional cooperation as well as extending further links to South Asian region
immediately connecting with India. Please see details of total nine economic corridors
in Map 3.1 below.




                                         13
Source: GMS Transport Sector Strategy, Coast to Coast and Mountain to Sea: Towards Integrated
        Mekong Transport Systems. (2007). Asian Development Bank
Map 3.1: GMS Corridors Network



                                                14
Out of nine, six GMS corridors will pass through Thailand consisting of:

•   North-South Economic Corridor (NSEC) : Kunming-Bangkok
•   East-West Economic Corridor (EWEC) : Danang-Mukdahan-Maesod-Mawlamyine
•   Southern Corridor : Dawei-Bangkok-Quy Nhon and Dawei-Bangkok-Vung Tau
•   Southern Coastal Corridor : Bangkok-Nam Can
•   Central Corridor : Kunming-Sihanoukville/Sattahip
•   Northeastern Corridor : Nanning–Bangkok/Laem Chabang

It is spatially planned that GMS corridors will connect major urban regions in the GMS.
GMS corridors could also influence a certain extent of urbanization process. So it is
challenging on how to convert them into full-fledged economic corridors. Rural
development along the corridors could probably be one of the means to respond to these
greater connectivity and accessibility in order to bridge regional disparities in Thailand.
In addition, an array of practices including spatial governance, inter-sectoral linkages,
cross-border coordination, public-private partnerships and central-local coordination
could also be made possible for the realization of the GMS economic corridors, (Vries
and Priemus, 2003). Also, these key economic corridors are overlapping with the Asian
Highway routes crossing the Greater Mekong Sub-region, which will additionally
influence toward spearheading faster geographical links of the GMS with South Asian
and East Asian regions.

      3.2.5 Telecommunications Networks

According to the NESDB (2007), the overall telephone network of Thailand from IMD
World Competitiveness Year Book 2007 found that in 2005 Thailand had fixed line
users per 1,000 populations at approximate 110 numbers which was rather low rate
when compared with Malaysia at 168, Japan 453, Korea 492 and Taiwan at 598
numbers, respectively. Even so, the tariff rates of international calls including to
neighbouring countries were already at competitive prices facilitating greater
convenient business transaction and social contacts regionally and globally. However,
there exist reasonable gaps in numbers of fixed line telephone users between rural and
urban areas. Mobile phone users are quite high at 430 numbers per 1,000 populations,
which are good alternative to connect with neighbouring countries. In terms of internet
usage, in 2004, the internet users in urban areas were yet higher than rural areas for 2.28
times.

Regarding the cooperation of Telecommunications sector under the GMS, this initiative
complements and supplements the national missing links as well as strengthening GMS-
wide network so that it can support regional economic growth. The key projects
included GMS Information Superhighway Network (ISN), in which the first phase was
finished and is now about to implement. Various services such as voice, internet,
international bandwidth and e-government/ e-commerce applications will be offered
throughout GMS. Importantly, promoting rural ICT development as a means for
reducing poverty has been seriously taken into account, which can help bridging digital
divide and promote cross-border trade undertaking, (ADB, 2007).




                                            15
3.3 Types and Number of Nation-Wide Border Checkpoints

Cross-border trade is transacted through major border checkpoints nation-wide.
Department of Foreign Trade (2008) classifies that there are three broad categories of
border checkpoints linking Thailand with neighbouring countries as follows:
• International border checkpoint It is internationally opened for people of the two
   neighbouring countries as well as facilitating trade, tourists and vehicle movements.
   It must be approved by both governments. In Thailand, it is under the purview of
   Ministry of Interior with prior approval from the Cabinet.

• Temporary border checkpoint It is temporarily opened for specific purposes in a
  given time period which shall not affect national security. When reached the allowed
  time period or completed its mission, the temporary border checkpoint shall be
  immediately closed.

• Local border crossing It is opened for cooperating with neighbouring countries for
  humanitarian reasons as well as extending special treatment for conducting retail
  border trade e.g. consumer goods and necessary medicines among local rural
  peoples, which both sides of local authorities have agreed upon. It is under the
  purview of Provincial Governor with prior approval from Ministry of Interior.

There are 71 combined border checkpoints in Thailand linking with four neighbouring
countries. For detailed figures of each type of border checkpoints, it is presented in
Table 3.1 below.

Table 3.1: Types and Numbers of Border Checkpoints in Thailand Physically
Connecting With Neighbouring Countries

                      International          Temporary             Local
Neighbouring
                         border                border             border              Remarks
  countries
                       checkpoints           checkpoints         crossings
1. Myanmar                  3                     1                 10          Sangkhlaburi is
                                                                                considered as both
                                                                                temporary and local
                                                                                border crossings.
2.Lao PDR                    13                     1                21

3.Cambodia                    6                     -                 8

4.Malaysia                    8                     -                 -

     Total                   30                     2                39
Source: Division of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Interior cited in Changhlam, 2005, Promoting Thailand-
        Myanmar border trade: paper presented at the seminar on “Turning new face of Maesod as
        gateway of East-West Economic Corridor” at Central Maesod Hill Hotel, Maesod district, Tak
        province on 23 September 2005

In relation to national geographical distribution of all types of border checkpoints in
Thailand, it is shown in Map 3.2.




                                                  16
Source: The Customs Department, Thailand
Map 3.2: Geographical Distribution of All Types of Key Border Checkpoints in
         Thailand Physically Connecting With Neighbouring Countries


                                           17
3.4 Trade Agreements Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries

In the recent two decades, Thailand has undertaken a number of trade agreements and
trade-related agreements with neighbouring countries bilaterally and regionally. These
consist of the following:

       3.4.1 Trade Agreements

               1) Bilateral trade and investment agreements

Trade agreements between Thailand and neighbouring countries are mostly coordinated
by Ministry of Commerce. In 2000, Thailand signed trade agreement with Malaysia in
order to develop and strengthen trade facilitation and economic relations on the basis of
mutual benefit, (Department of Trade Negotiations, 2000). These agreements were
effective for at least 10 years. Through this agreement, a Joint Trade Committee (JTC)
was established in order to ensure proper and successful implementation of this
agreement as well as acting as a body for resolving trade problems. Presumably,
Thailand might have already singed these sorts of agreements with the rest of
contiguous countries. Currently, JTC was a useful mechanism in expanding trade
relations with bordering countries.

Additionally, Thailand through coordination of Ministry of Foreign Affairs has
extensively engaged bilateral agreements on promotion and protection of investments
with 42 contracting parties all over the world. The primary objectives of these
agreements were to create favorable conditions for greater economic cooperation
between both States particularly for the investment by investors in another country,
(Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2008). It is recognized that promotion of such investments
and the reciprocal protection of investments will be conducive to the stimulation of
individual business initiative, and will increase prosperity of both States. So far,
Thailand has signed these bilateral agreements with four-neighbouring countries,
namely Cambodia in 1995; China in 1985; Lao PDR in 1990 and Myanmar in 2008.
Under these agreements, both sides will consider to issue Certificate of Approval for
Protection (C.A.P.) to requesting investors of another contracting party. Normally, these
agreements will be effective for at least 20 years, and is extendable upon further
decision of both countries. These agreements are also served as broad guidelines for
strengthening close cooperation as well as fostering free flows of capital with
neighbouring countries.

            2) Regional trade agreements (RTAs)

In recent decade, regional trade agreements have progressively played more pivotal role
in expanding intra-regional trade as tariff barriers are gradually diminished. As a result,
member countries could eventually enjoy effects of freer trade flows resulting from
multiple trade agreements, which will bring about greater welfare and better quality of
life of peoples in participating countries. The key regional trade agreements between
Thailand and neighbouring countries are as follows:

• Ayeyawady - Chao Phraya - Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy
  (ACMECS) in short called ECS It is a four-nation economic cooperation strategy
  initiated in 2003. The member countries consisted of Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar


                                            18
and Thailand (CLMT). Its objectives were to reduce trade barriers, improve transport
   linkages and upgrade major border checkpoints. Trade and investment facilitation
   and agricultural and industrial cooperation are the two important aspects among the
   five keys strategic areas of cooperation. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2008). In 2004,
   Thailand implemented a significant project to improve livelihood conditions along
   border areas of neighbouring CLM through the Contract Farming Initiative by
   exempting import duties known as “One Way Free Trade” to exporters from CLM
   into Thailand comprising 11 major agricultural produces. These were sweet corn,
   corn for livestock, cashew nut, soybean, ground nut, eucalyptus tree, potato, sesame,
   caster bean, pearl barley, and green gram- bean. In 2008, Thailand planned to import
   these produces at 1.2 million tons from Cambodia, 0.5 million ton from Lao PDR
   and 0.2 million ton from Myanmar, (Thairath, 2008). The Thai buyers/importers
   utilized these commodities as raw material for agro-processing industry both for
   domestic consumption and exports as well as partly using as sources of energy
   substitution. This initiative proved rather successful, and the trend of contract
   farming with neighbouring countries is flourishing.

• ASEAN Integration System of Preferences (AISP) It is a measure to grant special
  treatment from old six countries of ASEAN to new members comprising Cambodia,
  Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam under Initiative for ASEAN Integration: IAI,
  which is bilaterally given “One Way Free Trade” basis of import without prior
  negotiation, (www.wood4season.com). Its key objectives were to promote and
  expand trade and investments within intra-ASEAN region, as well as reducing
  development gaps between old and new ASEAN member countries. The time frame
  for implementing this scheme was at eight years beginning on 1 January 2002 until
  31 December 2009. The numbers of commodity that Thailand granted AISP
  treatment to CLMV from 2004 until at present are shown in Table 3.3.

Table 3.2: Cumulative Numbers of Commodities that Thailand Granted AISP
           Treatment to CLMV Countries
                                                                             Unit: commodity
                       Numbers of Commodity that Thailand granted
  Year                              AISP treatment
                Cambodia       Lao PDR         Myanmar           Vietnam
  2002                  48              26               72                              19
  2003                  49              27               72                              19
  2004                 309             187              160                              34
  2005                 340             300              850                              63
Source: www.wood4season.com, retrieved on 24 May 2008

As a result of this scheme, Thailand imports key commodities from CLMV countries as
follows:
   Ø Cambodia : Live cow and buffalo, fish fingerling, prawn (fresh or dried), crab,
      sweet corn, longan, dry chili, soybean, sesame, lichee, milk bottle, mattress,
      woven made of artificial fiber, textiles (made of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial
      fiber and wool), underwear, shoes and metal structure, etc.

   Ø Lao PDR : Live cow and buffalo, fresh fish, cabbage, nuts, asparagus, sweet
     corn, lichee, snap bean, longan, fresh or frozen banana, corn, ground nut, canned


                                             19
fruits, granite stone, marble, juniper, woven artificial fabrics, stocking, woven
     made of artificial fiber, textiles (made of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber
     and wool), underwear, wood furniture, reed furniture and bamboo made from
     ceramics, etc.

  Ø Myanmar : Ornamental fish, crab, prawn, fish, mussel (fresh or dried) chicken
    and duck egg, honey, bird nest, nuts, onion, barley rice, sorghum, corn flour,
    guava, mangosteen, sunflower seed, fat and vegetable fat, bread, fruit juices, soft
    drink, liquor, fragrance, mosquito repellent, shampoo, motorcycle tyres, school
    bags, tableware and kitchenware made from woods, woven fabrics (made of
    cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber and wool), woods, carpet, textiles (made
    of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber and wool), stocking, underwear, shoes
    and circuit board, etc.

  Ø Vietnam: Chili, seeds of anise, cashew nut, diamond cutter or polishing
    machines, woodfree paper, leather and bovine leather products, print circuit board,
    and parts of footwear, etc.

• ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) The old six member countries of ASEAN
comprise Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, while
the new members’ countries are Vietnam, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Cambodia. The old
member countries will reduce import duties of Inclusion List (IL) within the Common
Effective Preferential Tariff Scheme (CEPT) to 0-5 % within 2003 and to become zero
(0) % within 2010. Whereas the newer member countries will lower import duties of IL
within CEPT to 0-5% in 2006 for Vietnam; Lao PDR and Myanmar in 2008; Cambodia
in 2010 and all four countries to become zero (0)% in 2015.

The list of commodities under CEPT covers 105,123 items, (ASEAN Secretariat, 2008).
To be eligible for these trade benefits, export commodities must totally be used local
contents. In any case, if it does not wholly obtain local content materials from an
ASEAN member country, a minimum of 40% of local content of F.O.B prices will be
accepted as ASEAN product origin. In addition, it can also be calculated cumulative
rules of origin within ASEAN member countries with required minimum of combined
local content at 20%, (Department of ASEAN Affairs, 2008). It is also compulsory
among member countries to concurrently phase out non-tariff barriers so that it can help
advance towards ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) within 2015. Thailand’s total
trade with ASEAN expanded significantly after entering into effect of AFTA. For
instance, in 2006, the share of Thailand’s total trade within ASEAN represented at
20.30 % of Thailand’s total trade with the world.

• ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement
Agreement on Trade in Goods of the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive
Economic Cooperation between the ASEAN and China has been signed on 29
November 2004 leading to gradual trade liberalization of both parties for two major
categories: These are Early Harvest Program and Tariff Reduction for General
Commodities Program. Regarding the Early Harvest Program, it consisted of
agricultural products within the customs Harmonized Standard numbers 01-08
comprising livestock, meat and other edible parts of animal, fish, dairy products, eggs of
chicken and duck, animal products, trees, vegetables and fruits and edible nuts,
including specific products which were effective only on bilateral basis.


                                           20
Under this agreement, China and old ASEAN member countries started reducing import
tariffs on 1 January 2004, and were lowered to zero (0) % by 1 January 2006. The rest
of newer ASEAN member countries were given flexible treatment on tariff lines and
time frame for tariffs reduction, but there must be zero (0) % by 2010, (Department of
Industrial Promotion, 2008). It was conditionally reduced tariffs only within import
quotas particularly on onion and garlic. Furthermore, Thailand and China bilaterally
accelerated tariff elimination for the Early Harvest Program of the customs Harmonized
Standard number 07-08 consisting of vegetables and fruits to become zero (0) % by 1
October 2003.

In relation to Tariff Reduction for General Commodities Program, it was divided
into 2 tracks; these are Normal Track and Sensitive Track.

• Normal Track It was agreed to reduce tariffs which were higher than 20% to
  become 20% by 1 January 2005. If there is already lower than 20 %, it shall be
  reduced periodically. And tariff rate of all commodities will be reduced to zero (0) %
  by 1 January 2010 (5 years). There are 150 commodities to be granted flexibility to
  reduce tariff at zero (0) % until 2012. Thailand’s flexible commodities were wool,
  cotton, textile materials, synthetic fibers, etc. In addition, it should increase
  commodities which were having tariff at 0-5 % from 40% to 60 % by 2007.

• Sensitive Track There will not be over 400 commodities and not over 10% of
  import values. It was agreed that tariff will be reduced to be 20% by 2012, and will
  be final tariff at 0-5 % in 2018. For Highly Sensitive Track, it was initially agreed to
  be not over 40 % or 100 commodities out of total sensitive list. It should be selected
  such criteria for having least numbers of commodities, and then reduce tariff to
  become 50 % by 2015.

  Rules of Origin are applied which some commodities should be wholly obtained,
  while others should compulsorily be used minimum 40 % of local contents. Both
  sides also agreed, upon facing trade dispute, to use safeguard measures effective for
  at least four years during transitional implementation of specific products. These can
  be done in the form of anti-dumping measure in order to counter influx of
  commodities as well as protecting specific domestic industries.

• Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic
  Cooperation (BIMSTEC)

BIMSTEC consisted of seven countries namely India, Sri Lanka,
Thailand, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar and Nepal. It has a combined population at
1,300 millions or 21 % of world populations, but currently there are limited trade
transaction and values among member countries. So, there still have vast opportunities
for further cooperation. BIMSTEC is sort of south-south cooperation; it is also a
convergence of foreign policies between “Look West” of Thailand and “Look East” of
India, (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2008). Member countries have signed agreement on
BIMSTEC Free Trade Area on 8 January 2004, and became effective by 1 July 2006. Its
principal objectives were to stimulate trade and investments within intra-BIMSTEC as
well as attracting foreign investment into BIMSTEC Free Trade Area. The time frames
for gradual tax reduction for goods, which were voluntarily selected by each member


                                           21
country, were classified into two groups. These are Fast Track and Normal Track. Its
specific details of time frame are shown in Table 3.3.

Table 3.3: Time Frame for Import Trade Tariff Reductions

                                       Fast Track Group
                                Time frame for developing              Time frame for LDC
        Countries
                                      country parties                          party
India, Sri Lanka, and            1 July 2006-30 June 2009            1 July 2006-30 June 2007
Thailand
Bangladesh, Bhutan,               1 July 2006-30 June 2011           1 July 2006-30 June 2009
Myanmar and Nepal
Source: BIMST-EC Secretariat, retrieved from http://www.bimstec.org/, on 22 May 2008

                                     Normal Track Group
                                 Time frame for developing             Time frame for LDC
         Countries
                                          countries                            party
 India, Sri Lanka, and            1 July 2007-30 June 2012           1 July 2007-30 June 2010
 Thailand
 Bangladesh, Bhutan,               1 July 2007-30 June 2017           1 July 2007-1 July 2015
 Myanmar and Nepal
Source: BIMST-EC Secretariat, retrieved from http://www.bimstec.org/, on 22 May 2008

     3.4.2 Trade-Relevant Cooperation
• Greater Mekong Sub-region Development Cooperation Program

The GMS was initiated in 1992 to foster regional economic cooperation and integration
consisting of six countries namely Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Yunnan and
Guangxi Zhuang Provinces of China, Thailand and Vietnam. In terms of trade, it
promotes and facilitates intra-GMS and extra-GMS trade particularly on agricultural
trade, investment and tourism, which are keys to foster economic growth as well as
helping alleviate poverty in the GMS. Priority is given to the main economic corridors.
This can be done through customs modernization, investment promotion and facilitation
of cross-border trade as well as mobility of tourists and business peoples, (ADB. 2007).
To materialize this initiative, Cross-Border Transport Agreement (CBTA) with total 20
annexes was set up in 2003 aiming to deals with speedy facilitation of customs and
immigration procedures at the border-crossing points thus resulting in increase trade
flow both intra-GMS and extra-GMS. Full implementation of this agreement and its
annexes and protocols is expected to complete by 2009, but in fact it will face a delay.
The pilot border crossings are Lao Bao-Dansavanh, Poipet-Aranyaprathet, Mukdahan-
Savnnakhet, Bavet-Mocbai, Maesod-Myawaddy, Maesai-Tachilek, and Hekou-Lao Cai,
(Tsuneishi, 2008).

• Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT)

This economic cooperation framework covers fourteen southern provinces of Thailand,
eight northern states of Malaysia and ten provinces of almost the whole area of
Sumatera island of Indonesia. The program aims to establish seamless transportation
network and facilitate cross-border trade and extra-IMT-GT trade as well as enhancing



                                                22
least cost logistics services. Besides, it also regionally intends to ease greater flows of
tourists and labor mobility.

3.5 Thailand’s Trade Policies With Neighbouring Countries

With respect to macro foreign and international economic policies, the Royal Thai
Government proactively reaffirms initiatives to expand cooperation and diplomatic ties
not only with ASEAN member countries but also toward East Asian and South Asian
regions as well as actively engaging with other regions of the world, (Royal Thai
Government Statement, 2008). Nevertheless, development partnerships between
Thailand and neighbouring countries and other Asian countries are among priority
regions. In terms of trade, the Royal Thai Government places significant emphasis on
upholding AFTA, promoting trade and investment with neighbouring countries,
enhancing cross-border trade toward development of common regional production bases
for goods and services in the region.

Specifically, the key policies for increasing trade flows with neighbouring countries are
as follows:

• Increase volume and values of cross-border trade and transit trade in order to
  continuously keep pace with the growth of GMS regional economy.

• Undergo cross-border trade reform towards international standard system so that it
  can solve cross-border trade problems, improve faster customs procedures, as well
  as extending assistance to develop necessary infrastructure in linking with
  neighbouring countries. This will help facilitate trade, reduce production cost as well
  as boosting degree of national competitiveness.

• Explore new markets. And cross-border markets will not only be confined to border
  areas but will also link up with the rest of domestic markets of neighbouring
  countries as well as further transiting to the nearby large neighbouring countries
  markets. This will therefore open up new markets access for Thailand’s and co-
  production products.

• Establish special border economic zones along GMS economic corridors by
  adopting co-production and cross-border supply chains schemes with city pairs as
  well as seriously taking cooperation on labor management with neighbouring
  countries into account. This will become new regional production networks in
  ASEAN, widen up market access to neighbouring countries as well as facilitating
  transit trade to large nearby markets in China, South East Asian, South Asian and
  East Asian regions, and global market at large.

• Promote contract farming in neighbouring countries in order to increase supply of
  raw materials for industrial and energy sectors both along border areas and in
  respective inner regions of Thailand as well.

• Relocate some industrial, agricultural and services investments to neighbouring
  countries in order to help generate jobs, distribute income and narrow development
  gaps between Thailand and neighbouring countries in parallel with sharing of natural
  resources, labor, capital, technology and expertise. The target industries are agro-


                                            23
processing, wood industries, sugar industry, energy, construction, tourism, and hotel
  and services.

• Actively negotiate on transit trade regime with neighbouring countries e.g. Lao PDR,
  Myanmar and Vietnam to facilitate freer flow of goods to nearby neighbouring
  countries markets in South East Asian, South Asian, and East Asian regions.

It is remarkable that the trade policies and progress of physical infrastructure
development between Thailand and neighbouring countries has to some extent been
converging which can help match policy supports for expanding cross-border trade
activities and actions for promoting speedy flows of goods and peoples. This can partly
generate positive impacts of trade and development and minimize negative impacts on
transboundary basis. Also, the existing bilateral and regional trade policies have
concertedly facilitated toward the establishment of special border economic zones in
Thailand linking with potential border areas in neighbouring countries.

3.6 Cross-Border Trade and Commerce Relations Between Thailand and
    Neighbouring Countries

Cross-border trade is one of the key indicators of closer interdependence between
Thailand and neighbouring countries. In 1988, Thailand has proclaimed a policy of
turning “Indochina battlefields into a marketplace” (Chandoevwit, et at. 2005). This,
coupled with the GMS Regional Economic Integration Program has further pushed
Thailand to deepen economic relationships with neighbouring countries. Since then,
cross-border trade is flourishing despite occasional political conflicts. As a result,
greater flows of goods and people mobility are evident.

       3.6.1 Markets of Neighbouring Countries

Thailand has possessed strategic locational advantages at the junction of mainland
South East Asian region allowing businesses and private sectors to conduct both cross-
border trade and transit trade. The market can be divided into two groups namely:

• Neighbouring countries markets which can be transacted through cross-border
  trade with total prospective consumers at 93.22 million populations, (Population
  Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2008). This can break
  down into Malaysia 25.65 millions, Myanmar 47.96 millions, Lao PDR 5.66 millions
  and Cambodia 13.95 millions.

• Nearby neighbouring countries markets which can be transacted through
  transit trade with total prospective consumers at 2.689 billion populations,
  (Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2008). This
  can classify their populations into Vietnam 85.02 millions, India 1,134.40 millions,
  Bangladesh 153.28 millions, China 1,312.97 millions, and Singapore 4.32 millions.
  To reach these nearby markets, Thailand is able to use land transport for onward
  movement of commodities passing her border checkpoints through respective
  neighbouring countries destinations which can significantly shorten travel distance
  resulting in a reduction of logistics cost as well as enhancing Thailand’s degree of
  competiveness of goods.



                                          24
3.6.2 Overall Assessment of Cross-border Trade and Commerce Relations
             Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries (Cambodia,
             China, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Malaysia)

              1) Cumulative Cross-Border Trade Values of Thailand With Five-
                 Neighbouring Countries During 1996 to 2008 (January-April)

There is a dichotomy of border trade behaviors. The following analyses are formal or
official cross-border trade statistics of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries,
whereas the data on extent of informal cross-border trade are unknown. According to a
customs official, the trend of informal cross-border trade is declining as a consequence
of continued government efforts to formalize such cross-border trading. The data
consist of a 13-year interval from 1996-2008. Specifically for the year 2008, the data
were only available for four months beginning from January to April.

During 1996-2008 (January-April), the cumulative cross-border trade values of
Thailand with five-neighbouring countries were significantly amounted at 2,317.53
billion Baht represented at 20.51 % of cumulative trade values of Thailand with five-
neighbouring countries. The cumulative share of cross-border export from Thailand to
these neighbouring countries was as high at 59.06 %. While the cumulative share of
cross-border import from these neighbouring countries were at 40.94 % divided into
2.31 % for Lao PDR; 17.77 % for Myanmar; 0.52 % for Cambodia; 0.59 % for China
and 19.71 % for Malaysia. As a result, Thailand gained significant cumulative balance
of cross-border trade at 420.36 billion Baht. Please see details in Matrix 3.1.




                                          25
Matrix 3.1 : Cumulative Cross-Border Trade Values of Thailand With Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996 to 2008 (January-April)
                                                                                                                     Unit: Billions of Baht
                            Thailand                       Lao PDR                      Myanmar                       Cambodia                       China                         Malaysia                         Total
 Country
                  CBT          IT      Total      CBT        IT      Total     CBT        IT       Total     CBT         IT       Total    CBT        IT       Total      CBT         IT       Total      CBT        IT       Total

                                                                                                                                                                                               1,849.0              3,971.6
1.Thailand         X           X         X        230.96     47.08    278.04   143.19     101.44    244.64   192.32      118.62   310.94   158.08   2,499.79   2,657.88   644.39    1,204.69         8   1,368.94         2    5,340.57


2.Lao PDR           53.75     24.45       78.20   X           X       X        X           X        X        X            X        X         X         X         X          X         X          X          53.75    24.45        78.20


3.Myanmar          412.01     55.16     467.17    X           X       X        X           X        X        X            X        X         X         X         X          X         X          X        412.01     55.16      467.17


4.Cambodia          12.14      0.83       12.98   X           X       X        X           X        X        X            X        X         X         X         X          X         X          X          12.14     0.83        12.98
5.China
(Yunnan                       3,113.                                                                                                                                                                                3,113.8
Province )          13.70         89   3,127.59   X           X       X        X           X        X        X            X        X         X         X         X          X         X          X          13.70         9    3,127.59
                              1,815.                                                                                                                                                                                1,815.9
6.Malaysia         456.98         92   2,272.91   X           X       X        X           X        X        X            X        X         X         X         X          X         X          X        456.98          2    2,272.91

                              5,010.                                                                                                                                                           1,849.0              8,981.8
     Total         948.58        25    5,958.83   230.96     47.08    278.04   143.19     101.44    244.64   192.32      118.62   310.94   158.08   2,499.79   2,657.88   644.39   1,204.69          8   2,317.53         7   11,299.40
             Source: The Customs Department, Thailand
             Remarks: CBT refers to cross-border trade of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries.
                       IT refers to international trade of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries.




                                                                                                                 26
2) Overall Annual Cross-Border Trade Values Between Thailand
                          and Five-Neighbouring Countries

For the sake of simplifying such comparisons, trading categories between Thailand and
neighbouring countries are purposively divided into (1) cross-border trade and (2)
international trade which consists of export and import of goods through sea-borne and
air-borne mode of transportation. Transit trade relations between Thailand and China
are regrouping under cross-border trade category in order to collectively present
significant picture of total trade values between Thailand and five-neighbouring
countries. Cross-border trade has played steadily significant role in bridging closer
relations between Thailand and neighbouring countries reflecting greater extent of
interdependence in the GMS. Due to cross proximity, coupled with multiple regional
trade agreements effects with bordering countries and gradually convenient transport
networks, cross-border trade has shown on the rising trend as appears in Figure 3.1.

                                                                                                                  Unit: Millions of Baht
   450,000   Million Baht



   400,000



   350,000



   300,000



   250,000



   200,000



   150,000



   100,000



    50,000



        0
              1996          1997      1998      1999       2000      2001       2002      2003       2004      2005       2006      2007    2008 (Jan-
                                                                                                                                              April)
                            Aggregate cross-border trade export values from Thailnd to four-neighbouring countries and transit trade to China
                            Aggregate cross-border import values from four-neighbouring countries and transit trade from China to Thailand
                            Aggregate cross-border trade values between Thailand and four-neighbouring countries and transit trade with China

Source: Cross-border trades statistics for various years, The Department of Customs, Thailand

Figure 3.1: Aggregate Annual Cross-Border Trade Export and Import Between
            Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade
            To/From Yunnan Province of China During 1996-2008 (January-
            April)

In relation to the aggregate border trade values with five-neighbouring countries, it
steadily increased from 34.916 billions Baht in 1996 to 60.495 billions Baht in 1999.
Later, it steeply rose from 106.423 billion Baht in 2000 up to 401.360 billions Baht in
2007. The average annual cross-border trade growth of goods during 1996-2007 was at
26 %. With respect to export of goods originated both from border regions and other


                                                                      27
regions of Thailand, during 1996-1999, it slowly increased from amounting 24.297
billions Baht to 39.660 billions Baht. After that, it rather steeply surged from 73.113
billions Baht in 2000 to 235.630 billions Baht in 2007, which accounted for as high
growth at 222.28 %. The average annual cross-border export growth of goods from
1996-2007 was at 25%.

Regarding import of goods, it was quite similar trend with the latter, but the base value
of import was much lower than export values. It steadily increased during 1996-1999,
and then it quickly rose from amounting 33.226 billions Baht in 2000 to 165.729
billions Baht in 2007, which represented at distinct growth rate at 398.79 %. The
average annual cross-border import growth of goods from 1996-2007 was at 30 %. So,
the average annual cross-border import growth in recent decade was higher than that the
average cross-border export growth at 1.2 times reflecting strong economic
interdependence between Thailand and five neighbouring countries. In 2006, the
aggregate cross-border trade values between Thailand and five-neighbouring countries
accounted for 22.59 % of Thailand’s total trade with ASEAN, or at 3.83 % of
Thailand’s total trade with the world.

This is considered as high performance of both cross-border export and import due to it
can constantly keep pace of growth strongly revealing continuous efforts made by the
Royal Thai Government, neighbouring countries governments, ADB and development
partners in realizing economic and cross-border trade prospects in the GMS. It is
difficult to quantify specific factors or determinants of such growth. Rather, the
achievement was presumably upheld by multiple-effects of regional trade agreements
ranging from AFTA and ASEAN-China in general, and one way free trade initiative in
pursuit of reducing development disparities among countries in the GMS in particular. It
should be noted that Thailand has conducted cross-border trade directly with four-
neighbouring countries namely Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Malaysia; trading
with Yunnan province of Southern China is in the form of transit arrangement. Overall,
it is optimistically indicating that the trend of cross-border trade keeps increasing, which
partly can help sustain macroeconomic growth. This growth may somehow contribute
to regional development toward the improvement of better quality of life of all Thai and
neighbouring countries citizens including to some extent those rural poor and
marginalized groups residing along border areas.

       3) Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade Between Thailand and Four-
          Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade Balance With Yunnan
          Province of China

Indeed, aggregate balance of cross-border trade in goods was somewhat striking as it
revealed with positive and negative trade balance scenarios. In general, Thailand has
gained favorable trade balances with bordering partner countries, which were rather
reasonable amount from 13.678 billions Baht in 1996 to 18.827 billions Baht in 1999.
Later, it steeply escalated, despite facing negative trade balance with Myanmar, from
39.887 billion Baht in 2000 to 69.901 billions Baht in 2007 reflecting as high growth at
34 % during this period. Yet, Thailand acquired most positive balance of cross-border
trade with Lao PDR, followed by Cambodia, Malaysia and China, respectively. The
average annual growth rate of balance of cross-border trade from 1996-2007 was at
28.5%, which is regarded as high performance due to certain uncontrollable factor
intervened; that is the fluctuation of the Thai Baht currency resulting in a 10 % increase


                                            28
of price for Thai products exported to neighbouring countries markets particularly to
Cambodia, (Thai Chamber of Commerce, 2007). However, it appears that Thailand is
still slightly gaining favorable balance of cross-border trade with five-neighbouring
countries. Please see details in Figure 3.2.
                                                                                                                Unit: Millions of Baht
  435,000    Million Baht


  385,000


  335,000


  285,000


  235,000


  185,000


  135,000


   85,000


   35,000


   -15,000   1996       1997       1998      1999       2000      2001       2002      2003       2004      2005       2006      2007      2008
                                                                                                                                           (Jan-
                                                                                                                                           Apr)
   -65,000
                    Malaysia
                    China
                    Cam bodia
                    Lao PDR
                    Myanmar
                    Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Balance of Transit Trade W China
                                                                                                                                            ith
                    Aggregate Cross-Border Trade V alues Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade Values With China

Source: The Customs Department, Thailand

Figure 3.2: Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade Between Thailand and
            Four-Neighbouring Countries and Balance of Transit Trade With
            China

On the contrary, balance of cross-border trade between Thailand and Myanmar has been
represented somewhat high extent of interdependence between these two countries.
During 1996-2000s, Thailand had secured favorable trade balance with Myanmar with
slightly large amount ranging from 2.090-6.671 billions Baht with average annual
growth rate as high at 49.5%. However, when started importing a large amount of
natural gas from Myanmar for domestic electricity generation in 2001 through
Sangklaburi local border crossing, since then Thailand has been confronting persistently
deficit balance of cross-border trade. During 2001-2007, it jumped from -22.261
billions Baht to -54.861 billions Baht showing average annual negative balance of
cross-border trade at -62.75 %. The average balance of cross-border trade between
Thailand and Myanmar during 1996-2007 was as much negative at -21.81%, and the
tendency may be increasing depending on the likelihood of economic growth in
Thailand.



                                                                   29
4) Cross-Border Trade Gaps Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring
           Countries

Table 3.4 Cross-Border Trade Gaps Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring
          Countries During 1996-2008 (January-April)
                                                                                   Unit: Number of time
Countries                                                     Year
                1996   1997   1998   1999   2000    2001   2002    2003    2004        2005    2006       2007    2008
                                                                                                                  (Jan-
                                                                                                                 April)
1.Lao PDR      3       3.46   6.4    3.76   4.49    4.31   4.12    4.21    4.9        5.44    3.6     3.29       3.31

2.Myanmar      4.9     7.61   3.72   4.47   2.14    -3.4   -4.84   -2.53   -2.84      -3.41   -4.56   -3.58      -3.18

3. Cambodia    1.21    1.05   3.44   4.85   28.92   30.9   36.21   34.58   22.1       22.52   25.8    19.56      21.55

4. China       10.31   8.63   1.13   1.4    4.53    4.84   9.35    8.58    9.27       13.45   16.3    15.03      16.26
(Yunnan
Province)
5.Malaysia     1.92    2.16   1.89   1.42   1.61    1.52   1.22    1.4     1.39       1.27    1.34    1.32       1.46

Source: The Customs Department, Thailand

As mentioned previously, Thailand generally gained significant balance of cross-border
trade with neighbouring countries. Consequently, there has been emerging of
considerable trade gaps. This is mainly resulted from different stages of development,
diverse extent of government supports on cross-border trade undertaking and divergent
degree of entrepreneurship. During 1996-2008 (January-April), the average annual
cross-border trade gaps between Thailand and neighboring countries greatly varied from
one country to another. Cambodia has been experiencing such fluctuating trade gaps
with Thailand, in which the cross-border export of goods from Cambodia to Thailand
were much lower than that of cross-border import of goods from Thailand to Cambodia
for the annual average of 19.43 times. As a result, Cambodia ranked first of
neighbouring countries with highest widening cross-border trade gaps. It then followed
by Yunnan province of China with cross-border trade gaps at annual average at 9.16
times. Lao PDR came third with cross-border trade gaps at annual average at 4.17 times,
which is still considered as high inequality. Malaysia ran fourth with cross-border trade
gaps at reasonable annual average at 1.53 times. On the other hand, Thailand has been
facing substantial negative cross-border trade gaps with Myanmar at annual average at -
0.42 time. Thailand alone seems likely to constantly secure favorable balance of cross-
border trade with least developed and developing neighbouring countries leaving the
tendency of cross-border trade gaps to be existed at steady state. Therefore, one of the
means to bring down these persisting trade gaps can be fostered through enhancing
closer cross-border supply chain networks between Thailand and these neighboring
countries.

        5) Share of Aggregate Cross-Border Trade To International Trade
              Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries

Trade data are disaggregated into two categories: these are (1) share of aggregate cross-
border trade and (2) share of international trade. From this assessment, it to some extent


                                                    30
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones
Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones

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Special Study on Cross Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand : Policy Implications for Establishing Special Border Economic Zones

  • 1. CROSS-BORDER TRADE AND COMMERCE IN THAILAND: POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR ESTABLISHING SPECIAL BORDER ECONOMIC ZONES by Choen Krainara A special study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Regional and Rural Development Planning Examination Committee: Professor Dr. Jayant Kumar Routray (Chairman) Dr. Mokbul Morshed Ahmad (Co-assessor) Nationality: Thai Previous Degree: Master of Science Asian Institute of Technology Bangkok, Thailand Scholarship Donors: RTG Fellowships and AIT Fellowship Scheme Asian Institute of Technology School of Environment, Resources and Development Bangkok, Thailand December 2008
  • 2. Acknowledgements The author would like to express his deepest sense of gratitude to his advisor and Chairman Professor Dr. Jayant Kumar Routray, who provided constructive guidance and inspiration throughout the study. The researcher would also like to thank Dr.Mokbul Morshed Ahmad as co-assessor for offering valuable comments to make the study complete. A very special appreciation is extended to Khun Laaiad Wongthong at Office of Information Technology and Communications of the Department of Customs, Thailand for supplying cross-border trade data of Thailand with neighboring countries at exceptional rate. If these data were not made available, the study would have not been possible. Also, I wish to express thanks particularly to Khun Anusit Kanchanapol at Padang Besar Customs House for providing top ten cross-border export and import of commodities of Thailand with neighboring countries at selected border checkpoints as well as insights by sharing informal cross-border trade practices. Lastly, I would like to express my profound thankfulness to my mother, sisters, brothers and friends for their understanding and moral supports for the duration of the study. ii
  • 3. Abstract The Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) regarded as a geo-spatial unit is very important economic bloc due to it shares common culture, religion and linguistic base with a big threshold of population and resources. This region also has great potential for development underpinning by the GMS Development Cooperation and the Ayeyawady-Chao Phraya- Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS). Thailand located at the strategic location of South East Asian region has been intensifying economic interdependence with neighbouring countries through increasing cross-border trade and people’s mobility which made possible by means of greater degree of physical connectivity in the form of economic corridors, continuous trade and investment facilitation. As a result, it opens up new opportunities for Thailand to engage cross-border production and supply chain linkages with neighbouring countries by establishing special border economic zones in prospective locations in order to take advantage of cheap labor from Cambodia, Lao PDR and Myanmar and wider access to their primary markets as well as penetrating to regional and global markets. Robust cross-border trade relations between Thailand and neighbouring countries have been observed over last 13 years in which trading patterns are becoming quite diverse depending on their comparative advantage, division of labor and specialization of production. In general, Thailand mainly exports consumer, intermediate and some capital goods to neighbouring countries, and imports primary goods such as agricultural, fishery products and ranges of resources from neighbouring countries. Cross-border trade gaps between Thailand and individual neighbouring countries greatly vary from one country to another. In addition, cross-border retail trades particularly carried out by rural poor are always conducted at specific allowed border crossings. Though the growth of cross-border trade and commerce is flourishing, it is probable that this progress might lead to some extent variation in regional development impacts. However, Thailand is facing significantly chronic interregional inequalities in which the Northeastern has long been a backward region followed by Northern region as well as obvious intra-regional differences. Out of 30 border provinces, 19 backward border provinces were identified. Taking these cross-border trade interactions and people’s mobility as major factors, it can preliminarily be identified possible eight special border economic zones corresponding with priority manufactured commodities to be created in Thailand linking with neighbouring countries in order to bridge not only intra-regional and interregional disparities within Thailand but also international development gaps with Cambodia, Lao PDR, Malaysia and Myanmar, respectively. Such policy implications for establishing special economic zones in Thailand need to be addressed with awareness in six main aspects: political, economic, social, infrastructural, environmental and institutional. Recommendations to promote special border economic zones have been made centering around exploring more geographical border areas as special border economic zones in Thailand and possible linkages with neigbouring countries, setting up a system for managing and administering special border economic zones, establishing local supply chains networks to link up with the proposed special border economic zones, providing cross-border logistics services, fostering close cooperation and coordination on managing social problems associated with cross-border migration, as well as rendering capacity building for integrated regional and local public administration system. iii
  • 4. Table of Contents Chapter Title Page Title Page i Acknowledgements ii Abstract iii Table of Contents iv List of Tables vi List of Figures vii List of Matrix and Maps ix Abbreviations x 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Background and Rationale of the Study 1 1.2 Objectives of the Study 2 1.3 Scope of the Study 2 1.4 Methodology 3 1.5 Conceptual Framework 3 2 International Trade, Border Economics and Special Border 6 Economic Zone 2.1 Concept of International Trade 6 2.2 Concept of Trade and Development 6 2.3 Concept of Border Economics 6 2.4 Concept of Special Border Economic Zone and 7 Applications 3 Overview of Cross-Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand 11 3.1 Geographical Locations and Physical Linkages of 11 Thailand with Neighbouring Countries 3.2 Transport and Telecommunication Networks 11 3.3 Types and Number of Nation-Wide Border Checkpoints 16 3.4 Trade Agreements between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries 3.4.1 Trade Agreements 18 3.4.2 Trade-Relevant Cooperation 22 3.5 Thailand’s Trade Policies with Neighbouring Countries 23 3.6 Cross-Border Trade and Commerce Relations between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries 3.6.1 Markets of the Neighbouring Countries 24 3.6.2 Overall Assessment of Cross-Border Trade and 25 Commerce Relations Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries (Cambodia, China, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Malaysia) 3.6.3 State of Cross-Border Trade Relations With 32 Individual Neighbouring Countries 3.7 People’s Mobility Along the Border 3.7.1 People’s Movement Through Border 59 iv
  • 5. Checkpoints/Border Crossings 3.7.2 Nation-Wide Share of Peoples Movement Through 61 Border Crossings 3.8 Thailand’s Cross-Border Investments in Four-Neighbouring Countries 3.8.1 Cambodia 63 3.8.2 Lao PDR 63 3.8.3 Myanmar 64 3.8.4 Malaysia 64 3.9 Impacts of Cross-Border Trade, Commerce 64 and Investments Dealing with Neighbouring Countries on Thai Economy and Society 4 Status of Regional Development in Thailand 67 4.1 Interregional Disparities 67 4.2 Intra-Regional Disparities Particularly for the Border Provinces 4.2.1 Eastern Region 70 4.2.2 Northeastern Region 71 4.2.3 Northern Region 72 4.2.4 Western Region 73 4.2.5 Southern Region 74 4.3 Existing Industrial Development Along Thai Border Area 76 4.4 International Development Disparities Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries 78 5 Prospects for Developing Special Border Economic Zones 80 in Thailand 5.1 SWOT Analysis on Prospect for Promoting 80 Special Border Economic Zones 5.2 Potential Geographical Border Areas and Economic 82 Sectors for Cross-Border Development and Cooperation toward Development of Special Border Economic Zones Linking with Neighboring Countries 6 Conclusions and Recommendations 84 6.1 Conclusions 84 6.2 Policy Implications for Establishing Special 86 Border Economic Zones in Thailand 6.3 Recommendations 87 References 89 Appendixes 93 v
  • 6. List of Tables Table Title Page 3.1 Types and Numbers of Border Checkpoints in Thailand Physically 16 Connecting with Neighbouring Countries 3.2 Numbers of Commodity That Thailand Granted AISP Treatment 19 To CLMV Countries 3.3 Time Frame For Import Trade Tariff Reductions 22 3.4 Cross-Border Trade Gaps Between Thailand and 30 Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996 To 2008 3.5 Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities from Cambodia To 33 Thailand Through Aranyaprathet Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.6 Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Cambodia To 35 Thailand Through Aranyaprathet Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.7 Top Ten Cross-Border Trade Export Commodities From Thailand 39 To Yunnan Province of Southern China Through Chiangsaen Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.8 Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Yunnan 41 Province of Southern China To Thailand Through Chiangsaen Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.9 Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities From Thailand To 45 Lao PDR Through Nong Khai Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.10 Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Lao PDR 47 To Thailand Through Nong Khai Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.11 Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities From Thailand To 51 Myanmar Through Maesod Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.12 Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Myanmar 52 To Thailand Through Maesod Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.13 Top Ten Cross-Border Export Commodities From Thailand 56 To Malaysia Through Sadao Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.14 Top Ten Cross-Border Import Commodities From Malaysia To 57 Thailand Through Sadao Border Checkpoint 3.15 A Multi-Facet Impacts of Cross-Border Trade, Commerce 64 and Investment Dealing with Neighbouring Countries on Thai Economy and Society 4.1 Gross Provincial Product of Eastern Border Provinces 68 4.2 Gross Provincial Product of Northeastern Border Provinces 69 4.3 Gross Provincial Product of Northern Border Provinces 73 4.4 Gross Provincial Product of Western Border Provinces 74 4.5 Gross Provincial Product of Southern Border Provinces 75 5.1 Potential Geographical Border Areas and Economic Sectors 83 For Developing Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand vi
  • 7. List of Figures Figure Title Page 1.1 Conceptual Framework 5 2.1 Proposed Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand 10 and Its Potential Linkages with Neighbouring Countries 3.1 Aggregate Cross-Border Trade Export and Import 27 Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade To/From China During 1996 To 2008 3.2 Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade between 29 Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Balance of Transit Trade With China 3.3 Share of Aggregate Cross-Border Trade to International 31 Trade Between Thailand and-Five Neighbouring Countries 3.4 Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand to Cambodia 33 From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.5 Cross-Border Import Values From Thailand to Cambodia 33 From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.6 Share of Aggregate Cross-Border Trade to Aggregate 37 International Trade Between Thailand and Cambodia During 1996 To 2008 3.7 Cross-Border Export Trade Values through Transit Mode 39 From Thailand to China During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.8 Cross-Border Import Trade Values Through Transit Mode 41 From China To Thailand during 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.9 Share of Border Trade Values Through Transit Mode To 43 International Trade Values Between Thailand and China During 1996 To 2008 3.10 Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand To Lao PDR 44 From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.11 Cross-Border Trade Import Values from Lao PDR To 46 Thailand From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.12 Share of Cross-Border Trade Values To International Trade 49 Values Between Thailand and Lao PDR During 1996 To 2008 3.13 Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand To Myanmar 50 During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.14 Cross-Border Trade Import Values from Myanmar To Thailand 52 During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.15 Share of Cross-Border Trade Values To International Trade 54 Values between Thailand and Myanmar During 1996 To 2008 3.16 Cross-Border Export Values From Thailand to Malaysia 55 During 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.17 Cross-Border Trade Import Values From Malaysia To Thailand 57 From 1996 To 2008 Through Major Border Checkpoints 3.18 Share of Cross-Border Trade Values To International Trade 59 Values Between Thailand and Malaysia During 1996 To 2008 vii
  • 8. Figure Title Page 3.19 People’s Movement at Major Border Crossings in Thailand 60 During 2002 To 2006 3.20 Nation-Wide Share of People’s Movement Through Border 62 Crossings To Share of People Movement Through Other International Ports of Entry and Exit in Thailand During 2002 To 2006 4.1 Gross Regional Product Per Capita in Thailand During the 68 Years 1981 To 2007 4.2 Primacy Index of Bangkok and Vicinities During 1999 To 2007 69 4.3 Gross National Income Purchasing Power Parity Gaps Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries at Current International Price 77 4.4 Gross National Income Per Capita Purchasing Power Parity Gaps 78 Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries viii
  • 9. List of Matrix Matrix Title Page 3.1 Cumulative Cross-Border Trade Values of Thailand With 26 Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996-2008 (January-April) List of Maps Map Title Page 3.1 GMS Corridors Network 14 3.2 Geographical Distribution of All Types of Key Border 17 Checkpoints in Thailand Connecting With Neighbouring Countries 3.3 Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between 36 Thailand and Cambodia Through Aranyaprathet Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.4 Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between 42 Thailand and China Through Chiangsaen Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.5 Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between 48 Thailand and Laos PDR Through Nong Khai Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.6 Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between 53 Thailand and Myanmar Through Maesod Border Checkpoint in 2007 3.7 Geographical Cross-Border Trade Relationships Between 58 Thailand and Malaysia Through Sadao Border Checkpoint in 2007 ix
  • 10. Abbreviations ACMECS Ayeyawady - Chao Phraya - Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy ADB Asian Development Bank AEC ASEAN Economic Community AFTA ASEAN Free Trade Area AISP ASEAN Integration System of Preferences ASEAN Association of South East Asian Nations BIMSTEC Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation BOI Board of Investment CBTA Cross Border Transport Agreement CEPT Common Effective Preferential Tariff CIQ Customs, Immigration and Quarantine CLM Cambodia-Lao PDR-Myanmar CLMV Cambodia-Lao PDR-Myanmar-Vietnam CLMT Cambodia- Lao PDR- Myanmar- Thailand ECS Economic Cooperation Strategy ESB Eastern Seaboard EU European Union GMS Greater Mekong Sub-region GPP Gross Provincial Product GRP Gross Regional Product GSP Generalized System of Preferences IL Inclusion List IMT-GT Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle JTC Joint Trade Committee NAFTA North America Free Trade Area NESDB Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board RTA Regional Trade Agreement SBEZ Special Border Economic Zone SMEs Small and Medium Enterprises SSB Southern Seaboard x
  • 11. Chapter 1 Introduction 1.1 Background and Rationale of the Study There is underlying reason of what a country chooses to produce such commodities. This is mainly dependent on resource endowments that a country possesses supported by key factors of productions. When two countries want to conduct international trade, though they all may have absolute advantage over another country, they can in fact gain from trade as long as the extent of comparing gain and loss of relative costs of production between the two countries are apparently different. This means a country should specialize in products and services in which it has highest return. David Ricardo (1817) called this “Theory of Comparative Advantage” which is the principal determinant of undertaking international trade. He concludes that a country should select and export commodity which is most comparative advantage, and import such commodity which is least comparative advantage. In the present day, changing economic phenomena within the unique contexts entailed by geo-politics and greater cross-border economic integration in many regions of the world have driven the increasing attention on border economics. One of the key features of the border economics characterized by a population variable which was the exemplarily substantial income differentials between Mexico and the United States. When accompanied by high rates of joblessness, income disparities between countries frequently result in migratory outflows from low earnings regions to higher income markets, (Harris and Todaro, 1970; Borjas, 1994; Durand, Massey, and Zeneno, 2001, cited in Fullerton, 2003). In response to this economic observable fact, Special Border Economic Zone (SBEZ) or Maquiladora or export manufacturing sector has primarily been developed along the border of Mexico and the United States since 1965. Its objectives were to take advantage of available cheap labor in Mexico, proximity to primary markets and regional supply networks in the United States, (Weiler and Zerlentes, 2003). The implementation of the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which phases out existing trade barriers between Mexico, Canada and the United States, was expected to increase to the dispersion of Maquiladoras along the northern border of Mexico. In Asian region, this concept has in recent decade been gaining impetus as a fashionable model in realizing economic complementarities between two neighbouring countries which have different stages of development. There have recently been implemented in some bordering countries between North Korea and South Korea. Though this is quite initial stage, the progress of undertaking seems pronounced. In ASEAN region, regional cooperation and integration program is advancing through the ASEAN Economic Community. Wide economic development gaps between ASEAN member countries have opened up vast opportunities, for example between Southern region of Malaysia and Singapore, to cooperate joint-production in the form of Special Border Economic Zones along border areas in order to exploit complementarities. Located at the cross-roads of mainland South East Asian region, Thailand which is regarded as developed pocket similarly shares common border with four-neighbouring countries namely Lao PDR, Cambodia, Myanmar and Malaysia. 1
  • 12. Continuously fostered by the regional economic cooperation programs namely the Greater Mekong Sub-region, the Ayeyawady - Chao Phraya - Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS) and the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT), the cross-border trade relations between Thailand and these neighbouring countries have been flourishing since a recent decade and are continuing to increase signifying that the economic interdependence becomes intensified due to better physical connectivity and the gradual effects of several trade agreements signed with neighbouring countries. These can be evident from increased intra-regional trade and investments, and greater people’s mobility. Recognizing the large development disparities with neighbouring countries, Thailand has directed policies toward distributing production bases to border regions in order to internationally cooperate based on sister city and special border economic zone concepts by taking advantages of regional accessibility, good access of quality raw materials, labor and market proximity in neighbouring countries. Simultaneously, Thailand is able to not only bridge intra-regional and interregional disparities within her country but also to strengthen closer ties with neighbouring countries by means of co- production scheme so that it can help sharing the benefits of economic complementarities, appropriately managing huge numbers of illegally immigrant labor inflows as well as sustainably bridging development divergences. This initiative is considered having significant implications toward changing economic geography of mainland South East Asian region as new regional production platforms for deeper integration with the global supply chains and markets. For this reason, it is necessary to explore the fundamental economic and social rationale for establishing the special border economic zones in Thailand taking cross-border trade and commerce prospects into major consideration in order to help identify the potential geographical border regions resulting from greater connectivity and accessibility and economic sectors to be promoted. In addition, status of regional development and extent of interregional and intra-regional disparities are essential components to be assessed so that insights on state of regional development and identification of backward border regions and needed policies to support the establishment of special border economic zones can be accurately carried out. 1.2 Objectives of the Study The specific objectives of this review research were: 1) To study the factors and the trend of cross-border trade scenarios between Thailand and neighbouring countries. 2) To determine impacts of cross-border trade, commerce and investment dealing with neighbouring countries on Thai economy and society. 3) To identify potential geographical border areas/regions and economic sectors for developing special border economic zones. 4) To recommend policy implications necessary for promoting special border economic zones in Thailand. 1.3 Scope of the Study This study covered a review of trade and investment agreements as well as trade policies between Thailand and neighbouring countries. It also conducted assessment of 2
  • 13. cross-border trade relations between Thailand and four-neighbouring countries and transit trade with China with particular emphasis on Yunnan Province for a 13 year interval during 1996-2008. Particularly for the year 2008, data were available only for four months from January-April which at the time of collecting data was considered as the most complete availability of cross-border statistics maintained by the Customs Department of Thailand. Cross-border’s people mobility will also be included. In addition, status of regional development in Thailand will be evaluated incorporated interregional and intra-regional disparities. In addition, international development disparities between Thailand and neighbouring countries will also be highlighted. 1.4 Study Methodology This study is descriptive research. It mainly used time series secondary data source for a 13 year interval on export-import of cross-border trade statistics compared with international trade figures between Thailand and neighbouring countries from the Customs Department of Thailand which is regarded as official statistics. In addition, various reports, studies, and internet websites are key sources of most up to date data. Particular data are gathered from relevant key agencies as follows: • Overall Greater Mekong Sub-region strategies, sectoral strategies, policies and plans are mainly from the Asian Development Bank. • National development policies and plans, policies for economic cooperation with neighbouring countries, Gross Regional Products (GRP), Gross Provincial Product (GPP) are from Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board. • Trade policies and trade agreements are from Department of Trade Negotiations, Department of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Commerce and Ministry of Foreign Affairs • Cross-border people’s mobility is from Immigration Bureau. • Direct foreign investments from Thailand to neighbouring countries are from the Board of Investment. • ASEAN cooperation and ASEAN statistics are from ASEAN Secretariat. • Gross National Income of neighbouring countries are from the World Bank Data analyses techniques applied were (1) quantitative analysis used such as number, mean, percentage, share or ratio, trend analysis using time series data, and are variously presented by graphs, pie diagram, matrix and tables. (2) qualitative analysis of secondary data utilized literature review and SWOT analysis. Mapping techniques were actively employed. 1.5 Conceptual Framework The conceptual framework of this study centers on cross-border trade and commerce in Thailand. It will begin by analyzing overall cross-border trade relations, people’s mobility between Thailand and neighboring countries as well as investigating trade and investments agreements and trade policies which will affect state of cross-border trade between Thailand and neighboring countries. Then it will examine current infrastructure support for enhancing transport and telecommunications linkages and impacts of cross- border trade and commerce on Thai economy and society. Status of regional development in Thailand will be assessed incorporated interregional and intra-regional 3
  • 14. disparities plus international development disparities between Thailand and neighboring countries. It will also be proposed potential geographical border areas and economic sectors preliminarily suitable to be developed as special border economic zones. Finally, it will recommend policy implications needed for fostering the proposed establishment of special border economic zones. The detail of conceptual framework is illustrated in Figure1.1 4
  • 15. Figure 1.1 Conceptual Framework Cross-Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand Ø Trade relations with neighbouring Trade and investment agreements and Infrastructure support for enhancing Impacts of cross-border trade and countries through export-import of trade policies with neighbouring transport and telecommunications commerce in Thailand major commodities at key border countries under linkages through • Political aspect checkpoints connecting: • Bilateral agreements • Land transport • Economic aspect • Eastern region with Cambodia • GMS agreements • River transport • Social aspect • Northeastern region with Lao PDR • ACMECS agreements • Telecommunications networks • Infrastructural aspect • Northern region with Myanmar, Lao • AFTA agreements • Environmental and natural PDR and Yunnan province of China • WTO agreements resources aspect • Southern region with Malaysia • Institutional aspect Ø People’s mobility between Thailand and neighbouring countries through major border checkpoints. Potential Border Areas and Economic Sectors for Promoting Cross-Border Development • Cross-border trade Direct Investment from Thailand to Neighbouring Countries • Industry • Agriculture • Services and Logistics • Tourism Policy Implications for Developing Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand 5
  • 16. Chapter 2 International Trade, Border Economics and Special Border Economic Zone 2.1 Concept of International Trade There is underlying reason of what a country chooses to produce such commodities. This is mainly dependent on resource endowments that a country possesses together with mobilization of key factors of productions. Though two countries all may have absolute advantage over another country, they can in fact gain from trade as long as the extent of comparing gain and loss of relative costs of production between the two countries are apparently different. This means a country should specialize in products and services in which it has highest return. David Ricardo (1817) called this “Theory of Comparative Advantage” which is the principal determinant of undertaking international trade. He concludes that a country should select and export commodity which is most comparative advantage, and imports such commodity which is least comparative advantage. 2.2 Concept of Trade and Development UN Millennium Project (2005) emphasized that trade openness can be a powerful driver of economic growth, which is indispensable to reduce poverty and foster a country’s development. Trade alone can not induce for achieving development; it should therefore be associated with other institutional, macroeconomic, and microeconomic conditions plus well designed social policies to attain development. On the other hand, opening up markets to international trade may leave local producers flooded with more competitive foreign producers, (Wikipedia, 2008). Sustained strong growth over longer periods is strongly related to poverty reduction, while trade and growth are strongly linked. Countries that develop always enhance their integration with the global economy. Export-led growth strategy has been a key part of many countries’ successful development. Continents, countries and sectors that have not developed and remain largely poor have comparative advantage in three main areas, (Wikipedia, 2008). : • Natural resource exploitation, i.e. natural capital such as rain forest timber; • Low-education labor-intensive manufacturing, due to high population densities and little suitable land per person; • Agriculture, due to low population densities and relatively large areas of suitable land per person. The latter two are labor-intensive, helping to ensure that growth in these sectors will be poverty-reducing. However, low value-added, price instability and unsustainability in these commodity sectors mean they should be used only temporarily as catalyst of the path to economic development. 2.3 Concept of Border Economics Fullerton (2003) argues that border economics is still a new subject area. It has originated from growing recognition to study economic phenomena within the unique 6
  • 17. contexts entailed by geo-politics. It is now gaining much attention due to greater cross- border economic integration in many regions of the world. He highlights key features of border economics being undertaken research efforts in the five variables: • Population: Many studies involve border between economies that are characterized by substantial income differentials such as Mexico and the United States. When accompanied by high rates of joblessness, income disparities between countries frequently result in migratory outflows from low earnings regions to higher income markets. (Harris and Todaro, 1970; Borjas, 1994; Durand, Massey, and Zeneno, 2001 cited in Fullerton, 2003). • Business cycle transmission: Economic integration in association with rapid financial and commercial liberalization influence border economic performance including retail border trade. • Exchange rates: Most border economies still conduct business transactions that are affected by exchange rate transaction in addition to the world wide emergence of dominant currencies such as the dollar and the euro. Impacts of currency market fluctuation on retail segments in border contexts have been directly studied. • Industrial development and labor markets: Devaluation of currency can accelerate foreign direct investment for example in Maquiladora or export manufacturing sector which both sides of the border/city pairs gained benefits, it may nevertheless not be the case in other parts of the world. Cross-border industrial linkages influence a wide range of regional economic outcomes (Hanson, 1998b; Love and Lage-Hidalgo, 2000 cited in Fullerton, 2003). • Natural resources economics: Environmental consequences of industrial expansion and economic growth at border regions are one of major concerns particularly on negative externalities. It is challenging to jointly manage and utilize natural resources and public utility e.g. energy services. 2.4 Concept of Special Border Economic Zone and Applications The Special Border Economic Zone (SBEZ) concept commonly known as Maquiladoras or export manufacturing sector has primarily been developed along the border of Mexico and the United States since 1965. Its objectives were to take advantage of available cheap labor in Mexico and proximity to primary markets and regional supply networks in the US, (Weiler and Zerlentes, 2003). The implementation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which phases out existing trade barriers between Mexico, Canada and the United States, was expected to increate to the dispersion of Maquiladoras along the northern border of Mexico. 7
  • 18. This concept has increasingly become fashionable in realizing economic complementarities between two countries which have different stages of development in Asia. It is also adopted to create vast jobs as well as attracting foreign investments. In East Asian region, North Korea has joined a collaborative economic development with South Korea in developing Kaesong Industrial Park in 2002. It is located six miles north of the Korean Demilitarized zone with direct road and rail access to South Korea. South Korean firms are taking advantage of cheap labor available in the North to compete with China to produce low-end goods such as shoes, cloths, and watches. By 2012, it is expected that the industrial zone will cover 25 square miles and could create 725,000 jobs. Recently, more than 1,000 South Korean firms are reconsidering planned shifts of production from China and South East Asia region to Kaesong (Wikipedia, 2006). Similarly in South East Asian region, cross-border city pair’s cooperation concept is widely recognized and applied as follows: • In 2006, Malaysia has initiated Iskandar Malaysia, an economic, industrial and services cluster, in southern part of Johor Bahru state in order to attract foreign investments particularly from neighbouring Singapore. • Cambodia is being set up a special border economic zone at Poipet, in Banteay Meanchey province expected to cross-border link with Thai side at Aranyaprathet district, Sakaeo province. • Lao PDR has found Savan Seno Special Economic Zones in Savannakhet province in 2003. It has 2 separate sites: Site A at Khanthabouly city in pursuit of networking with Mukdahan city of Thailand, and Site B at Seno town located 28 kms. East from Khanthabouly city. • Myanmar is in planning process in building special border economic zones at least two cities namely Myawaddy and Koh Song for connecting with Maesod and Ranong cities of Thailand. • While Vietnam has directed three SBEZs. The first two SBEZs are at Xamat, 150 kms from the center of Ho Chi Minh city and Moc Bai in Tay Ninh province connecting with neighbouring Cambodia. The third one is at Lao Bao city in Quang Tri Province linking with Dansavan city, Savannakhet province of Lao PDR. All these SBEZs also intended to 8
  • 19. explore opportunities to perform cross-border co-production activities with their respective city pair’s counterparts in neighbouring countries. • Thailand has initially planed to establish special border economic zones in Chiangrai, Tak and Songkhla provinces. A small industrial zone will also be set up in Mukdahan province. There is a question whether Thailand could additionally designate more geographically potential areas towards special border economic zones or not judging from the thriving growth of cross- border trade and commerce relations as well as the immediate requirement to address the continually large illegal immigration of labor from neighbouring countries into Thailand. Therefore, Thailand could probably turn this confronting threat into prospective closer economic and social integration with her neighbouring countries. Please find the locations of proposed special border economic zones in Thailand and its potential linkages with neighbouring countries in Figure 2.1. 9
  • 20. Figure 2.1 Proposed Special Border Economic Zones in Thailand and Its Potential Linkages With Neighbouring Countries Source: Adapted from Vimolsiri, P. (2008). Subregional Cooperation in GMS, ACMECS, IMT-GT: The Way Forward to Regional Integration, NESDB, Bangkok 10
  • 21. Chapter 3 Overview of Cross-Border Trade and Commerce in Thailand 3.1 Geographical Locations and Physical Linkages of Thailand With Neighbouring Countries Thailand is located at the strategic crossroads of mainland South East Asian region, in which it shares common land border with four-neighbouring countries with total length of 5,582 kms, (Exim Bank, 2004). In total, there are 30 provinces physically connect with neighbouring countries. The physical linkages with individual countries are as follows: • Myanmar: Ten provinces of Northern, Central and Southern regions of Thailand link with Myanmar with longest total length at 2,400 Kms namely: Ø Northern region comprising provinces of Chiang Rai, Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son, and Tak Ø Western region comprising provinces of Kanchanaburi, Ratchaburi, Phetchaburi, and Prachuapkhirikhan Ø Southern region comprising provinces of Chumphon and Ranong • Lao PDR: Eleven provinces of Northern and Northeastern regions of Thailand connect with Lao PDR with total length at 1,810 Kms namely: Ø Northern region comprising provinces of Chiang Rai, Phayao, Nan, Uttaradit, and Phitsanulok Ø Northeastern region comprising provinces of Loei, Nong Khai, Nakhon Phanom, Mukdahan, Amnat Charoen and Ubon Ratchathani • Cambodia: Seven provinces of Northeastern and Eastern regions of Thailand share common border with Cambodia with total length at 725 Kms namely: Ø Northeastern region comprising provinces of Ubon Ratchathani, Si Sa Ket, Buri-Ram and Surin Ø Eastern region comprising provinces of Sakaeo, Chantaburi and Trat • Malaysia: Four provinces of Southern region of Thailand share common border with Malaysia with total length at 647 kms namely Satun, Songkhla, Yala and Narathiwat. 3.2 Transport and Telecommunications Networks 3.2.1 Road Transports and Bridge Links NESDB (2007) indicated that Thailand currently has total road length approximately at 179,944.9 kms dividing into: • Special highways at 450 kms • National highways at 51,297 kms • Rural roads at 44,000 kms • Concession highways at 22 kms • Municipal roads at 84,000 kms • Express ways in Bangkok and vicinities at 175.9 kms 11
  • 22. It is perceived that road transport networks in Thailand are rather well developed both within intra-regional and interregional linkages. In recent decade, Thailand has further expanded road transport connections with major border cities of neighbouring countries in order to facilitate cross-border trade and people mobility. These actions were partly influenced by Thailand’s participation with the Greater Mekong Sub-region Cooperation Program in order to foster regional transport integration towards multimodal linkages (ADB, 2007). Where there is bordered by rivers, bridge links were then constructed as follows: • Thailand-Myanmar Friendship bridges built are as follows: Ø Maesai district, Chiang Rai province and Thachilek city, Thachilek province crossing Maesai river. In addition, another bridge crossing Maesai river in Chiang Rai province linking with Thachilek province of Myanmar already in place. Ø Maesod district, Tak province and Myawaddy city, Myawaddy province crossing Moei river. • Thailand-Lao PDR Friendship bridges crossing Mekong river are as follows: Ø Nong Khai province and Vientiane, capital city of Lao PDR Ø Mukdahan province and Savannakhet province Ø Nakhon Phanom province and Khammouan province. It is now in planning process. Ø Chiang Khong District, Chiang Rai province and Huisai city, Bokeo province. It is now in planning process. • Thailand-Malaysia Bridges crossing Golok river are as follows: Ø Sungai Golok district, Narathiwat province and Rantau Phangan city, Kelantan state Ø Ban Buketa, Wang district, Narathiwat province and Bukit Bunga city, Kelantan state Ø Takbai district, Narathiwat province and Pengkalan Kubo city, Kelantan state. It is currently under planning process. 3.2.2 Rail Transport Thailand has rail network of total length at 4,129 kms covering 47 provinces. This comprises single track at 3,881 kms, double track at 165 kms and triple track at 83 kms. The major railway link to neighbouring countries recently operated is the route Bangkok to Thanalang (3.5 kms from Thai border) in Vientiane, Lao PDR. The Trans GMS railway connection so called the Singapore-Kunming Railway Link (SKRL) is under planning process. This route will link Singapore-Kuala Lumpur-Bangkok- Aranyaprathet-Poipet-Srisophon-Phnom Penh-Hochiminh City-Hanoi and terminates in Kunming. In the future, rail mode will play an important role in carrying bulk quantity of commodities, stimulating GMS intra-trade, promoting industrial zones as well as enhancing efficient utilization of the land along the railway line where it passes by the mentioned cities/countries. 12
  • 23. 3.2.3 River/Water Transport Within the context of the GMS, Chiangsaen River Port, operated in 2003, plays vital role in connecting Northern region of Thailand with southern part of China. The transshipment trend at Chiangsaen River Port is on the rise as in 2004 such throughput were at 74,414 Tons. While in the first half of 2005, it accommodated at 74,742 Tons. In response to this increase, Department of Maritime is building the second Chiangsaen River Port just about 10 kms downstream away in order to handle movement of goods at maximum 0.524 Million Ton/year. 3.2.4 GMS Corridors Network The GMS adopts area-based approach in the form of economic corridor to spearhead regional development in a transnational fashion. Originally, three major economic corridors were proposed namely the North-South, East-West and Southern Economic Corridors. Later in 2007, six more economic corridors were added to reflect dynamic sub-regional cooperation as well as extending further links to South Asian region immediately connecting with India. Please see details of total nine economic corridors in Map 3.1 below. 13
  • 24. Source: GMS Transport Sector Strategy, Coast to Coast and Mountain to Sea: Towards Integrated Mekong Transport Systems. (2007). Asian Development Bank Map 3.1: GMS Corridors Network 14
  • 25. Out of nine, six GMS corridors will pass through Thailand consisting of: • North-South Economic Corridor (NSEC) : Kunming-Bangkok • East-West Economic Corridor (EWEC) : Danang-Mukdahan-Maesod-Mawlamyine • Southern Corridor : Dawei-Bangkok-Quy Nhon and Dawei-Bangkok-Vung Tau • Southern Coastal Corridor : Bangkok-Nam Can • Central Corridor : Kunming-Sihanoukville/Sattahip • Northeastern Corridor : Nanning–Bangkok/Laem Chabang It is spatially planned that GMS corridors will connect major urban regions in the GMS. GMS corridors could also influence a certain extent of urbanization process. So it is challenging on how to convert them into full-fledged economic corridors. Rural development along the corridors could probably be one of the means to respond to these greater connectivity and accessibility in order to bridge regional disparities in Thailand. In addition, an array of practices including spatial governance, inter-sectoral linkages, cross-border coordination, public-private partnerships and central-local coordination could also be made possible for the realization of the GMS economic corridors, (Vries and Priemus, 2003). Also, these key economic corridors are overlapping with the Asian Highway routes crossing the Greater Mekong Sub-region, which will additionally influence toward spearheading faster geographical links of the GMS with South Asian and East Asian regions. 3.2.5 Telecommunications Networks According to the NESDB (2007), the overall telephone network of Thailand from IMD World Competitiveness Year Book 2007 found that in 2005 Thailand had fixed line users per 1,000 populations at approximate 110 numbers which was rather low rate when compared with Malaysia at 168, Japan 453, Korea 492 and Taiwan at 598 numbers, respectively. Even so, the tariff rates of international calls including to neighbouring countries were already at competitive prices facilitating greater convenient business transaction and social contacts regionally and globally. However, there exist reasonable gaps in numbers of fixed line telephone users between rural and urban areas. Mobile phone users are quite high at 430 numbers per 1,000 populations, which are good alternative to connect with neighbouring countries. In terms of internet usage, in 2004, the internet users in urban areas were yet higher than rural areas for 2.28 times. Regarding the cooperation of Telecommunications sector under the GMS, this initiative complements and supplements the national missing links as well as strengthening GMS- wide network so that it can support regional economic growth. The key projects included GMS Information Superhighway Network (ISN), in which the first phase was finished and is now about to implement. Various services such as voice, internet, international bandwidth and e-government/ e-commerce applications will be offered throughout GMS. Importantly, promoting rural ICT development as a means for reducing poverty has been seriously taken into account, which can help bridging digital divide and promote cross-border trade undertaking, (ADB, 2007). 15
  • 26. 3.3 Types and Number of Nation-Wide Border Checkpoints Cross-border trade is transacted through major border checkpoints nation-wide. Department of Foreign Trade (2008) classifies that there are three broad categories of border checkpoints linking Thailand with neighbouring countries as follows: • International border checkpoint It is internationally opened for people of the two neighbouring countries as well as facilitating trade, tourists and vehicle movements. It must be approved by both governments. In Thailand, it is under the purview of Ministry of Interior with prior approval from the Cabinet. • Temporary border checkpoint It is temporarily opened for specific purposes in a given time period which shall not affect national security. When reached the allowed time period or completed its mission, the temporary border checkpoint shall be immediately closed. • Local border crossing It is opened for cooperating with neighbouring countries for humanitarian reasons as well as extending special treatment for conducting retail border trade e.g. consumer goods and necessary medicines among local rural peoples, which both sides of local authorities have agreed upon. It is under the purview of Provincial Governor with prior approval from Ministry of Interior. There are 71 combined border checkpoints in Thailand linking with four neighbouring countries. For detailed figures of each type of border checkpoints, it is presented in Table 3.1 below. Table 3.1: Types and Numbers of Border Checkpoints in Thailand Physically Connecting With Neighbouring Countries International Temporary Local Neighbouring border border border Remarks countries checkpoints checkpoints crossings 1. Myanmar 3 1 10 Sangkhlaburi is considered as both temporary and local border crossings. 2.Lao PDR 13 1 21 3.Cambodia 6 - 8 4.Malaysia 8 - - Total 30 2 39 Source: Division of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Interior cited in Changhlam, 2005, Promoting Thailand- Myanmar border trade: paper presented at the seminar on “Turning new face of Maesod as gateway of East-West Economic Corridor” at Central Maesod Hill Hotel, Maesod district, Tak province on 23 September 2005 In relation to national geographical distribution of all types of border checkpoints in Thailand, it is shown in Map 3.2. 16
  • 27. Source: The Customs Department, Thailand Map 3.2: Geographical Distribution of All Types of Key Border Checkpoints in Thailand Physically Connecting With Neighbouring Countries 17
  • 28. 3.4 Trade Agreements Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries In the recent two decades, Thailand has undertaken a number of trade agreements and trade-related agreements with neighbouring countries bilaterally and regionally. These consist of the following: 3.4.1 Trade Agreements 1) Bilateral trade and investment agreements Trade agreements between Thailand and neighbouring countries are mostly coordinated by Ministry of Commerce. In 2000, Thailand signed trade agreement with Malaysia in order to develop and strengthen trade facilitation and economic relations on the basis of mutual benefit, (Department of Trade Negotiations, 2000). These agreements were effective for at least 10 years. Through this agreement, a Joint Trade Committee (JTC) was established in order to ensure proper and successful implementation of this agreement as well as acting as a body for resolving trade problems. Presumably, Thailand might have already singed these sorts of agreements with the rest of contiguous countries. Currently, JTC was a useful mechanism in expanding trade relations with bordering countries. Additionally, Thailand through coordination of Ministry of Foreign Affairs has extensively engaged bilateral agreements on promotion and protection of investments with 42 contracting parties all over the world. The primary objectives of these agreements were to create favorable conditions for greater economic cooperation between both States particularly for the investment by investors in another country, (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2008). It is recognized that promotion of such investments and the reciprocal protection of investments will be conducive to the stimulation of individual business initiative, and will increase prosperity of both States. So far, Thailand has signed these bilateral agreements with four-neighbouring countries, namely Cambodia in 1995; China in 1985; Lao PDR in 1990 and Myanmar in 2008. Under these agreements, both sides will consider to issue Certificate of Approval for Protection (C.A.P.) to requesting investors of another contracting party. Normally, these agreements will be effective for at least 20 years, and is extendable upon further decision of both countries. These agreements are also served as broad guidelines for strengthening close cooperation as well as fostering free flows of capital with neighbouring countries. 2) Regional trade agreements (RTAs) In recent decade, regional trade agreements have progressively played more pivotal role in expanding intra-regional trade as tariff barriers are gradually diminished. As a result, member countries could eventually enjoy effects of freer trade flows resulting from multiple trade agreements, which will bring about greater welfare and better quality of life of peoples in participating countries. The key regional trade agreements between Thailand and neighbouring countries are as follows: • Ayeyawady - Chao Phraya - Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS) in short called ECS It is a four-nation economic cooperation strategy initiated in 2003. The member countries consisted of Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar 18
  • 29. and Thailand (CLMT). Its objectives were to reduce trade barriers, improve transport linkages and upgrade major border checkpoints. Trade and investment facilitation and agricultural and industrial cooperation are the two important aspects among the five keys strategic areas of cooperation. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2008). In 2004, Thailand implemented a significant project to improve livelihood conditions along border areas of neighbouring CLM through the Contract Farming Initiative by exempting import duties known as “One Way Free Trade” to exporters from CLM into Thailand comprising 11 major agricultural produces. These were sweet corn, corn for livestock, cashew nut, soybean, ground nut, eucalyptus tree, potato, sesame, caster bean, pearl barley, and green gram- bean. In 2008, Thailand planned to import these produces at 1.2 million tons from Cambodia, 0.5 million ton from Lao PDR and 0.2 million ton from Myanmar, (Thairath, 2008). The Thai buyers/importers utilized these commodities as raw material for agro-processing industry both for domestic consumption and exports as well as partly using as sources of energy substitution. This initiative proved rather successful, and the trend of contract farming with neighbouring countries is flourishing. • ASEAN Integration System of Preferences (AISP) It is a measure to grant special treatment from old six countries of ASEAN to new members comprising Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam under Initiative for ASEAN Integration: IAI, which is bilaterally given “One Way Free Trade” basis of import without prior negotiation, (www.wood4season.com). Its key objectives were to promote and expand trade and investments within intra-ASEAN region, as well as reducing development gaps between old and new ASEAN member countries. The time frame for implementing this scheme was at eight years beginning on 1 January 2002 until 31 December 2009. The numbers of commodity that Thailand granted AISP treatment to CLMV from 2004 until at present are shown in Table 3.3. Table 3.2: Cumulative Numbers of Commodities that Thailand Granted AISP Treatment to CLMV Countries Unit: commodity Numbers of Commodity that Thailand granted Year AISP treatment Cambodia Lao PDR Myanmar Vietnam 2002 48 26 72 19 2003 49 27 72 19 2004 309 187 160 34 2005 340 300 850 63 Source: www.wood4season.com, retrieved on 24 May 2008 As a result of this scheme, Thailand imports key commodities from CLMV countries as follows: Ø Cambodia : Live cow and buffalo, fish fingerling, prawn (fresh or dried), crab, sweet corn, longan, dry chili, soybean, sesame, lichee, milk bottle, mattress, woven made of artificial fiber, textiles (made of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber and wool), underwear, shoes and metal structure, etc. Ø Lao PDR : Live cow and buffalo, fresh fish, cabbage, nuts, asparagus, sweet corn, lichee, snap bean, longan, fresh or frozen banana, corn, ground nut, canned 19
  • 30. fruits, granite stone, marble, juniper, woven artificial fabrics, stocking, woven made of artificial fiber, textiles (made of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber and wool), underwear, wood furniture, reed furniture and bamboo made from ceramics, etc. Ø Myanmar : Ornamental fish, crab, prawn, fish, mussel (fresh or dried) chicken and duck egg, honey, bird nest, nuts, onion, barley rice, sorghum, corn flour, guava, mangosteen, sunflower seed, fat and vegetable fat, bread, fruit juices, soft drink, liquor, fragrance, mosquito repellent, shampoo, motorcycle tyres, school bags, tableware and kitchenware made from woods, woven fabrics (made of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber and wool), woods, carpet, textiles (made of cotton, synthetic thread, artificial fiber and wool), stocking, underwear, shoes and circuit board, etc. Ø Vietnam: Chili, seeds of anise, cashew nut, diamond cutter or polishing machines, woodfree paper, leather and bovine leather products, print circuit board, and parts of footwear, etc. • ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) The old six member countries of ASEAN comprise Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, while the new members’ countries are Vietnam, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Cambodia. The old member countries will reduce import duties of Inclusion List (IL) within the Common Effective Preferential Tariff Scheme (CEPT) to 0-5 % within 2003 and to become zero (0) % within 2010. Whereas the newer member countries will lower import duties of IL within CEPT to 0-5% in 2006 for Vietnam; Lao PDR and Myanmar in 2008; Cambodia in 2010 and all four countries to become zero (0)% in 2015. The list of commodities under CEPT covers 105,123 items, (ASEAN Secretariat, 2008). To be eligible for these trade benefits, export commodities must totally be used local contents. In any case, if it does not wholly obtain local content materials from an ASEAN member country, a minimum of 40% of local content of F.O.B prices will be accepted as ASEAN product origin. In addition, it can also be calculated cumulative rules of origin within ASEAN member countries with required minimum of combined local content at 20%, (Department of ASEAN Affairs, 2008). It is also compulsory among member countries to concurrently phase out non-tariff barriers so that it can help advance towards ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) within 2015. Thailand’s total trade with ASEAN expanded significantly after entering into effect of AFTA. For instance, in 2006, the share of Thailand’s total trade within ASEAN represented at 20.30 % of Thailand’s total trade with the world. • ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement Agreement on Trade in Goods of the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation between the ASEAN and China has been signed on 29 November 2004 leading to gradual trade liberalization of both parties for two major categories: These are Early Harvest Program and Tariff Reduction for General Commodities Program. Regarding the Early Harvest Program, it consisted of agricultural products within the customs Harmonized Standard numbers 01-08 comprising livestock, meat and other edible parts of animal, fish, dairy products, eggs of chicken and duck, animal products, trees, vegetables and fruits and edible nuts, including specific products which were effective only on bilateral basis. 20
  • 31. Under this agreement, China and old ASEAN member countries started reducing import tariffs on 1 January 2004, and were lowered to zero (0) % by 1 January 2006. The rest of newer ASEAN member countries were given flexible treatment on tariff lines and time frame for tariffs reduction, but there must be zero (0) % by 2010, (Department of Industrial Promotion, 2008). It was conditionally reduced tariffs only within import quotas particularly on onion and garlic. Furthermore, Thailand and China bilaterally accelerated tariff elimination for the Early Harvest Program of the customs Harmonized Standard number 07-08 consisting of vegetables and fruits to become zero (0) % by 1 October 2003. In relation to Tariff Reduction for General Commodities Program, it was divided into 2 tracks; these are Normal Track and Sensitive Track. • Normal Track It was agreed to reduce tariffs which were higher than 20% to become 20% by 1 January 2005. If there is already lower than 20 %, it shall be reduced periodically. And tariff rate of all commodities will be reduced to zero (0) % by 1 January 2010 (5 years). There are 150 commodities to be granted flexibility to reduce tariff at zero (0) % until 2012. Thailand’s flexible commodities were wool, cotton, textile materials, synthetic fibers, etc. In addition, it should increase commodities which were having tariff at 0-5 % from 40% to 60 % by 2007. • Sensitive Track There will not be over 400 commodities and not over 10% of import values. It was agreed that tariff will be reduced to be 20% by 2012, and will be final tariff at 0-5 % in 2018. For Highly Sensitive Track, it was initially agreed to be not over 40 % or 100 commodities out of total sensitive list. It should be selected such criteria for having least numbers of commodities, and then reduce tariff to become 50 % by 2015. Rules of Origin are applied which some commodities should be wholly obtained, while others should compulsorily be used minimum 40 % of local contents. Both sides also agreed, upon facing trade dispute, to use safeguard measures effective for at least four years during transitional implementation of specific products. These can be done in the form of anti-dumping measure in order to counter influx of commodities as well as protecting specific domestic industries. • Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) BIMSTEC consisted of seven countries namely India, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar and Nepal. It has a combined population at 1,300 millions or 21 % of world populations, but currently there are limited trade transaction and values among member countries. So, there still have vast opportunities for further cooperation. BIMSTEC is sort of south-south cooperation; it is also a convergence of foreign policies between “Look West” of Thailand and “Look East” of India, (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2008). Member countries have signed agreement on BIMSTEC Free Trade Area on 8 January 2004, and became effective by 1 July 2006. Its principal objectives were to stimulate trade and investments within intra-BIMSTEC as well as attracting foreign investment into BIMSTEC Free Trade Area. The time frames for gradual tax reduction for goods, which were voluntarily selected by each member 21
  • 32. country, were classified into two groups. These are Fast Track and Normal Track. Its specific details of time frame are shown in Table 3.3. Table 3.3: Time Frame for Import Trade Tariff Reductions Fast Track Group Time frame for developing Time frame for LDC Countries country parties party India, Sri Lanka, and 1 July 2006-30 June 2009 1 July 2006-30 June 2007 Thailand Bangladesh, Bhutan, 1 July 2006-30 June 2011 1 July 2006-30 June 2009 Myanmar and Nepal Source: BIMST-EC Secretariat, retrieved from http://www.bimstec.org/, on 22 May 2008 Normal Track Group Time frame for developing Time frame for LDC Countries countries party India, Sri Lanka, and 1 July 2007-30 June 2012 1 July 2007-30 June 2010 Thailand Bangladesh, Bhutan, 1 July 2007-30 June 2017 1 July 2007-1 July 2015 Myanmar and Nepal Source: BIMST-EC Secretariat, retrieved from http://www.bimstec.org/, on 22 May 2008 3.4.2 Trade-Relevant Cooperation • Greater Mekong Sub-region Development Cooperation Program The GMS was initiated in 1992 to foster regional economic cooperation and integration consisting of six countries namely Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Yunnan and Guangxi Zhuang Provinces of China, Thailand and Vietnam. In terms of trade, it promotes and facilitates intra-GMS and extra-GMS trade particularly on agricultural trade, investment and tourism, which are keys to foster economic growth as well as helping alleviate poverty in the GMS. Priority is given to the main economic corridors. This can be done through customs modernization, investment promotion and facilitation of cross-border trade as well as mobility of tourists and business peoples, (ADB. 2007). To materialize this initiative, Cross-Border Transport Agreement (CBTA) with total 20 annexes was set up in 2003 aiming to deals with speedy facilitation of customs and immigration procedures at the border-crossing points thus resulting in increase trade flow both intra-GMS and extra-GMS. Full implementation of this agreement and its annexes and protocols is expected to complete by 2009, but in fact it will face a delay. The pilot border crossings are Lao Bao-Dansavanh, Poipet-Aranyaprathet, Mukdahan- Savnnakhet, Bavet-Mocbai, Maesod-Myawaddy, Maesai-Tachilek, and Hekou-Lao Cai, (Tsuneishi, 2008). • Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT) This economic cooperation framework covers fourteen southern provinces of Thailand, eight northern states of Malaysia and ten provinces of almost the whole area of Sumatera island of Indonesia. The program aims to establish seamless transportation network and facilitate cross-border trade and extra-IMT-GT trade as well as enhancing 22
  • 33. least cost logistics services. Besides, it also regionally intends to ease greater flows of tourists and labor mobility. 3.5 Thailand’s Trade Policies With Neighbouring Countries With respect to macro foreign and international economic policies, the Royal Thai Government proactively reaffirms initiatives to expand cooperation and diplomatic ties not only with ASEAN member countries but also toward East Asian and South Asian regions as well as actively engaging with other regions of the world, (Royal Thai Government Statement, 2008). Nevertheless, development partnerships between Thailand and neighbouring countries and other Asian countries are among priority regions. In terms of trade, the Royal Thai Government places significant emphasis on upholding AFTA, promoting trade and investment with neighbouring countries, enhancing cross-border trade toward development of common regional production bases for goods and services in the region. Specifically, the key policies for increasing trade flows with neighbouring countries are as follows: • Increase volume and values of cross-border trade and transit trade in order to continuously keep pace with the growth of GMS regional economy. • Undergo cross-border trade reform towards international standard system so that it can solve cross-border trade problems, improve faster customs procedures, as well as extending assistance to develop necessary infrastructure in linking with neighbouring countries. This will help facilitate trade, reduce production cost as well as boosting degree of national competitiveness. • Explore new markets. And cross-border markets will not only be confined to border areas but will also link up with the rest of domestic markets of neighbouring countries as well as further transiting to the nearby large neighbouring countries markets. This will therefore open up new markets access for Thailand’s and co- production products. • Establish special border economic zones along GMS economic corridors by adopting co-production and cross-border supply chains schemes with city pairs as well as seriously taking cooperation on labor management with neighbouring countries into account. This will become new regional production networks in ASEAN, widen up market access to neighbouring countries as well as facilitating transit trade to large nearby markets in China, South East Asian, South Asian and East Asian regions, and global market at large. • Promote contract farming in neighbouring countries in order to increase supply of raw materials for industrial and energy sectors both along border areas and in respective inner regions of Thailand as well. • Relocate some industrial, agricultural and services investments to neighbouring countries in order to help generate jobs, distribute income and narrow development gaps between Thailand and neighbouring countries in parallel with sharing of natural resources, labor, capital, technology and expertise. The target industries are agro- 23
  • 34. processing, wood industries, sugar industry, energy, construction, tourism, and hotel and services. • Actively negotiate on transit trade regime with neighbouring countries e.g. Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam to facilitate freer flow of goods to nearby neighbouring countries markets in South East Asian, South Asian, and East Asian regions. It is remarkable that the trade policies and progress of physical infrastructure development between Thailand and neighbouring countries has to some extent been converging which can help match policy supports for expanding cross-border trade activities and actions for promoting speedy flows of goods and peoples. This can partly generate positive impacts of trade and development and minimize negative impacts on transboundary basis. Also, the existing bilateral and regional trade policies have concertedly facilitated toward the establishment of special border economic zones in Thailand linking with potential border areas in neighbouring countries. 3.6 Cross-Border Trade and Commerce Relations Between Thailand and Neighbouring Countries Cross-border trade is one of the key indicators of closer interdependence between Thailand and neighbouring countries. In 1988, Thailand has proclaimed a policy of turning “Indochina battlefields into a marketplace” (Chandoevwit, et at. 2005). This, coupled with the GMS Regional Economic Integration Program has further pushed Thailand to deepen economic relationships with neighbouring countries. Since then, cross-border trade is flourishing despite occasional political conflicts. As a result, greater flows of goods and people mobility are evident. 3.6.1 Markets of Neighbouring Countries Thailand has possessed strategic locational advantages at the junction of mainland South East Asian region allowing businesses and private sectors to conduct both cross- border trade and transit trade. The market can be divided into two groups namely: • Neighbouring countries markets which can be transacted through cross-border trade with total prospective consumers at 93.22 million populations, (Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2008). This can break down into Malaysia 25.65 millions, Myanmar 47.96 millions, Lao PDR 5.66 millions and Cambodia 13.95 millions. • Nearby neighbouring countries markets which can be transacted through transit trade with total prospective consumers at 2.689 billion populations, (Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2008). This can classify their populations into Vietnam 85.02 millions, India 1,134.40 millions, Bangladesh 153.28 millions, China 1,312.97 millions, and Singapore 4.32 millions. To reach these nearby markets, Thailand is able to use land transport for onward movement of commodities passing her border checkpoints through respective neighbouring countries destinations which can significantly shorten travel distance resulting in a reduction of logistics cost as well as enhancing Thailand’s degree of competiveness of goods. 24
  • 35. 3.6.2 Overall Assessment of Cross-border Trade and Commerce Relations Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries (Cambodia, China, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Malaysia) 1) Cumulative Cross-Border Trade Values of Thailand With Five- Neighbouring Countries During 1996 to 2008 (January-April) There is a dichotomy of border trade behaviors. The following analyses are formal or official cross-border trade statistics of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries, whereas the data on extent of informal cross-border trade are unknown. According to a customs official, the trend of informal cross-border trade is declining as a consequence of continued government efforts to formalize such cross-border trading. The data consist of a 13-year interval from 1996-2008. Specifically for the year 2008, the data were only available for four months beginning from January to April. During 1996-2008 (January-April), the cumulative cross-border trade values of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries were significantly amounted at 2,317.53 billion Baht represented at 20.51 % of cumulative trade values of Thailand with five- neighbouring countries. The cumulative share of cross-border export from Thailand to these neighbouring countries was as high at 59.06 %. While the cumulative share of cross-border import from these neighbouring countries were at 40.94 % divided into 2.31 % for Lao PDR; 17.77 % for Myanmar; 0.52 % for Cambodia; 0.59 % for China and 19.71 % for Malaysia. As a result, Thailand gained significant cumulative balance of cross-border trade at 420.36 billion Baht. Please see details in Matrix 3.1. 25
  • 36. Matrix 3.1 : Cumulative Cross-Border Trade Values of Thailand With Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996 to 2008 (January-April) Unit: Billions of Baht Thailand Lao PDR Myanmar Cambodia China Malaysia Total Country CBT IT Total CBT IT Total CBT IT Total CBT IT Total CBT IT Total CBT IT Total CBT IT Total 1,849.0 3,971.6 1.Thailand X X X 230.96 47.08 278.04 143.19 101.44 244.64 192.32 118.62 310.94 158.08 2,499.79 2,657.88 644.39 1,204.69 8 1,368.94 2 5,340.57 2.Lao PDR 53.75 24.45 78.20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 53.75 24.45 78.20 3.Myanmar 412.01 55.16 467.17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 412.01 55.16 467.17 4.Cambodia 12.14 0.83 12.98 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 12.14 0.83 12.98 5.China (Yunnan 3,113. 3,113.8 Province ) 13.70 89 3,127.59 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 13.70 9 3,127.59 1,815. 1,815.9 6.Malaysia 456.98 92 2,272.91 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 456.98 2 2,272.91 5,010. 1,849.0 8,981.8 Total 948.58 25 5,958.83 230.96 47.08 278.04 143.19 101.44 244.64 192.32 118.62 310.94 158.08 2,499.79 2,657.88 644.39 1,204.69 8 2,317.53 7 11,299.40 Source: The Customs Department, Thailand Remarks: CBT refers to cross-border trade of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries. IT refers to international trade of Thailand with five-neighbouring countries. 26
  • 37. 2) Overall Annual Cross-Border Trade Values Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries For the sake of simplifying such comparisons, trading categories between Thailand and neighbouring countries are purposively divided into (1) cross-border trade and (2) international trade which consists of export and import of goods through sea-borne and air-borne mode of transportation. Transit trade relations between Thailand and China are regrouping under cross-border trade category in order to collectively present significant picture of total trade values between Thailand and five-neighbouring countries. Cross-border trade has played steadily significant role in bridging closer relations between Thailand and neighbouring countries reflecting greater extent of interdependence in the GMS. Due to cross proximity, coupled with multiple regional trade agreements effects with bordering countries and gradually convenient transport networks, cross-border trade has shown on the rising trend as appears in Figure 3.1. Unit: Millions of Baht 450,000 Million Baht 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Jan- April) Aggregate cross-border trade export values from Thailnd to four-neighbouring countries and transit trade to China Aggregate cross-border import values from four-neighbouring countries and transit trade from China to Thailand Aggregate cross-border trade values between Thailand and four-neighbouring countries and transit trade with China Source: Cross-border trades statistics for various years, The Department of Customs, Thailand Figure 3.1: Aggregate Annual Cross-Border Trade Export and Import Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade To/From Yunnan Province of China During 1996-2008 (January- April) In relation to the aggregate border trade values with five-neighbouring countries, it steadily increased from 34.916 billions Baht in 1996 to 60.495 billions Baht in 1999. Later, it steeply rose from 106.423 billion Baht in 2000 up to 401.360 billions Baht in 2007. The average annual cross-border trade growth of goods during 1996-2007 was at 26 %. With respect to export of goods originated both from border regions and other 27
  • 38. regions of Thailand, during 1996-1999, it slowly increased from amounting 24.297 billions Baht to 39.660 billions Baht. After that, it rather steeply surged from 73.113 billions Baht in 2000 to 235.630 billions Baht in 2007, which accounted for as high growth at 222.28 %. The average annual cross-border export growth of goods from 1996-2007 was at 25%. Regarding import of goods, it was quite similar trend with the latter, but the base value of import was much lower than export values. It steadily increased during 1996-1999, and then it quickly rose from amounting 33.226 billions Baht in 2000 to 165.729 billions Baht in 2007, which represented at distinct growth rate at 398.79 %. The average annual cross-border import growth of goods from 1996-2007 was at 30 %. So, the average annual cross-border import growth in recent decade was higher than that the average cross-border export growth at 1.2 times reflecting strong economic interdependence between Thailand and five neighbouring countries. In 2006, the aggregate cross-border trade values between Thailand and five-neighbouring countries accounted for 22.59 % of Thailand’s total trade with ASEAN, or at 3.83 % of Thailand’s total trade with the world. This is considered as high performance of both cross-border export and import due to it can constantly keep pace of growth strongly revealing continuous efforts made by the Royal Thai Government, neighbouring countries governments, ADB and development partners in realizing economic and cross-border trade prospects in the GMS. It is difficult to quantify specific factors or determinants of such growth. Rather, the achievement was presumably upheld by multiple-effects of regional trade agreements ranging from AFTA and ASEAN-China in general, and one way free trade initiative in pursuit of reducing development disparities among countries in the GMS in particular. It should be noted that Thailand has conducted cross-border trade directly with four- neighbouring countries namely Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Malaysia; trading with Yunnan province of Southern China is in the form of transit arrangement. Overall, it is optimistically indicating that the trend of cross-border trade keeps increasing, which partly can help sustain macroeconomic growth. This growth may somehow contribute to regional development toward the improvement of better quality of life of all Thai and neighbouring countries citizens including to some extent those rural poor and marginalized groups residing along border areas. 3) Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade Between Thailand and Four- Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade Balance With Yunnan Province of China Indeed, aggregate balance of cross-border trade in goods was somewhat striking as it revealed with positive and negative trade balance scenarios. In general, Thailand has gained favorable trade balances with bordering partner countries, which were rather reasonable amount from 13.678 billions Baht in 1996 to 18.827 billions Baht in 1999. Later, it steeply escalated, despite facing negative trade balance with Myanmar, from 39.887 billion Baht in 2000 to 69.901 billions Baht in 2007 reflecting as high growth at 34 % during this period. Yet, Thailand acquired most positive balance of cross-border trade with Lao PDR, followed by Cambodia, Malaysia and China, respectively. The average annual growth rate of balance of cross-border trade from 1996-2007 was at 28.5%, which is regarded as high performance due to certain uncontrollable factor intervened; that is the fluctuation of the Thai Baht currency resulting in a 10 % increase 28
  • 39. of price for Thai products exported to neighbouring countries markets particularly to Cambodia, (Thai Chamber of Commerce, 2007). However, it appears that Thailand is still slightly gaining favorable balance of cross-border trade with five-neighbouring countries. Please see details in Figure 3.2. Unit: Millions of Baht 435,000 Million Baht 385,000 335,000 285,000 235,000 185,000 135,000 85,000 35,000 -15,000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Jan- Apr) -65,000 Malaysia China Cam bodia Lao PDR Myanmar Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Balance of Transit Trade W China ith Aggregate Cross-Border Trade V alues Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Transit Trade Values With China Source: The Customs Department, Thailand Figure 3.2: Aggregate Balance of Cross-Border Trade Between Thailand and Four-Neighbouring Countries and Balance of Transit Trade With China On the contrary, balance of cross-border trade between Thailand and Myanmar has been represented somewhat high extent of interdependence between these two countries. During 1996-2000s, Thailand had secured favorable trade balance with Myanmar with slightly large amount ranging from 2.090-6.671 billions Baht with average annual growth rate as high at 49.5%. However, when started importing a large amount of natural gas from Myanmar for domestic electricity generation in 2001 through Sangklaburi local border crossing, since then Thailand has been confronting persistently deficit balance of cross-border trade. During 2001-2007, it jumped from -22.261 billions Baht to -54.861 billions Baht showing average annual negative balance of cross-border trade at -62.75 %. The average balance of cross-border trade between Thailand and Myanmar during 1996-2007 was as much negative at -21.81%, and the tendency may be increasing depending on the likelihood of economic growth in Thailand. 29
  • 40. 4) Cross-Border Trade Gaps Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries Table 3.4 Cross-Border Trade Gaps Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries During 1996-2008 (January-April) Unit: Number of time Countries Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Jan- April) 1.Lao PDR 3 3.46 6.4 3.76 4.49 4.31 4.12 4.21 4.9 5.44 3.6 3.29 3.31 2.Myanmar 4.9 7.61 3.72 4.47 2.14 -3.4 -4.84 -2.53 -2.84 -3.41 -4.56 -3.58 -3.18 3. Cambodia 1.21 1.05 3.44 4.85 28.92 30.9 36.21 34.58 22.1 22.52 25.8 19.56 21.55 4. China 10.31 8.63 1.13 1.4 4.53 4.84 9.35 8.58 9.27 13.45 16.3 15.03 16.26 (Yunnan Province) 5.Malaysia 1.92 2.16 1.89 1.42 1.61 1.52 1.22 1.4 1.39 1.27 1.34 1.32 1.46 Source: The Customs Department, Thailand As mentioned previously, Thailand generally gained significant balance of cross-border trade with neighbouring countries. Consequently, there has been emerging of considerable trade gaps. This is mainly resulted from different stages of development, diverse extent of government supports on cross-border trade undertaking and divergent degree of entrepreneurship. During 1996-2008 (January-April), the average annual cross-border trade gaps between Thailand and neighboring countries greatly varied from one country to another. Cambodia has been experiencing such fluctuating trade gaps with Thailand, in which the cross-border export of goods from Cambodia to Thailand were much lower than that of cross-border import of goods from Thailand to Cambodia for the annual average of 19.43 times. As a result, Cambodia ranked first of neighbouring countries with highest widening cross-border trade gaps. It then followed by Yunnan province of China with cross-border trade gaps at annual average at 9.16 times. Lao PDR came third with cross-border trade gaps at annual average at 4.17 times, which is still considered as high inequality. Malaysia ran fourth with cross-border trade gaps at reasonable annual average at 1.53 times. On the other hand, Thailand has been facing substantial negative cross-border trade gaps with Myanmar at annual average at - 0.42 time. Thailand alone seems likely to constantly secure favorable balance of cross- border trade with least developed and developing neighbouring countries leaving the tendency of cross-border trade gaps to be existed at steady state. Therefore, one of the means to bring down these persisting trade gaps can be fostered through enhancing closer cross-border supply chain networks between Thailand and these neighboring countries. 5) Share of Aggregate Cross-Border Trade To International Trade Between Thailand and Five-Neighbouring Countries Trade data are disaggregated into two categories: these are (1) share of aggregate cross- border trade and (2) share of international trade. From this assessment, it to some extent 30