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Social Return on Investment
                 for Community-Based
                   Adaptation Planning
                                                Ariella Helfgott

              Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford
                        Land Dynamics, University of Wageningen
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide



                                1
picture of abrar




                   2
In 2010 a single flood in Pakistan ...
                 COST




                $50 billion?
                     OR

                $9.6 billion?
                    3
Current estimates of global cost of adaptation

   Most costing methods use top-down
   approaches based on econometric models
   Range from $4 billion (Stern 2006) to over
   $100 billion (UNFCCC 2007)
   Latest - $72-98 billion (World Bank 2009)
   How can one flood cost $50 billion when the
   total cost is only between $4 and $100
   billion (at most 2 of those floods)
                      4
Abrar decided...

To develop a methodology for
 community-based adaptation costing to
 supplement top-down methods and help
 provide the information that high level
 institutions responsible for top-down
 allocation need to ensure the money goes
 where it is most needed!

                   5
6
7
8
9
SROI a form of cost benefit analysis




 SROI = NPV benefits/PV costs




                 10
Planning for the future involves knowing...


   where you want to go (visions of the
   future)
   the context you will have to navigate
   within (including challenges you must
   face)
   what you have to work with
   (comprehensive asset mapping)
                     11
Adaptation planning involves specifying...




                    12
13
14
15
Interrelatedness




       16
Systems Thinking

problem of holism: system boundary judgements
are inevitable (Churchman 1968; Ulrich 1983;
Midgley 2000);
system boundary judgments are normative and
not an objective representation of the structure
of reality (ibid).
what belongs to the “whole system” is entirely
dependent on and relative to the inquirers choice
of conceptual boundary (Ulrich 1983).
                      17
18
Development Theory

Whereas problem based approaches ask
“Why have you failed?” strength-based
approaches ask “What makes success?”
Asset-Based Community Development
Appreciative Inquiry: Define, Discover,
Dream, Design, Do.

                  19
Systemic Adaptation Planning




             20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
Backcasting Kochiel Kenya




            35
Valuation Approaches




         36
37
38
East and West African Case
         Studies




            39
Kochiel Village – Kenya


Selected Intervention: Agroforestry




Insight - influence of external
stakeholders

                   40
Othidhe Village – Kenya

Intervention selected - Medical Centre




Insight - Linkages between development
and adaptation

                  41
Dodji - Senegal


Intervention selected - water storage and
distribution




Insight - gender based interventions

                  42
Future work

“scaling out” through replication, mixing media
and hand-over of data collection and of approach
appropriate information formats and pathways for
the results to be channelled to higher levels of
governance and decision-making
policy which is flexible enough to be locally
interpreted without being too abstract to be
meaningless

                       43
“I AM A CAR FULL OF PETROL...”




 •   ...JUST LOOKING FOR THE KEYS”


     •   MAURICE KWANGA 2011 KENYA

                   44
Thank you. Any questions?




            45

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CCAFS Science Meeting Item 04 Ariell Helfgott - PSROI

  • 1. Social Return on Investment for Community-Based Adaptation Planning Ariella Helfgott Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford Land Dynamics, University of Wageningen School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide 1
  • 3. In 2010 a single flood in Pakistan ... COST $50 billion? OR $9.6 billion? 3
  • 4. Current estimates of global cost of adaptation Most costing methods use top-down approaches based on econometric models Range from $4 billion (Stern 2006) to over $100 billion (UNFCCC 2007) Latest - $72-98 billion (World Bank 2009) How can one flood cost $50 billion when the total cost is only between $4 and $100 billion (at most 2 of those floods) 4
  • 5. Abrar decided... To develop a methodology for community-based adaptation costing to supplement top-down methods and help provide the information that high level institutions responsible for top-down allocation need to ensure the money goes where it is most needed! 5
  • 6. 6
  • 7. 7
  • 8. 8
  • 9. 9
  • 10. SROI a form of cost benefit analysis SROI = NPV benefits/PV costs 10
  • 11. Planning for the future involves knowing... where you want to go (visions of the future) the context you will have to navigate within (including challenges you must face) what you have to work with (comprehensive asset mapping) 11
  • 12. Adaptation planning involves specifying... 12
  • 13. 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. 15
  • 17. Systems Thinking problem of holism: system boundary judgements are inevitable (Churchman 1968; Ulrich 1983; Midgley 2000); system boundary judgments are normative and not an objective representation of the structure of reality (ibid). what belongs to the “whole system” is entirely dependent on and relative to the inquirers choice of conceptual boundary (Ulrich 1983). 17
  • 18. 18
  • 19. Development Theory Whereas problem based approaches ask “Why have you failed?” strength-based approaches ask “What makes success?” Asset-Based Community Development Appreciative Inquiry: Define, Discover, Dream, Design, Do. 19
  • 21. 21
  • 22. 22
  • 23. 23
  • 24. 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27. 27
  • 28. 28
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30
  • 31. 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. 33
  • 34. 34
  • 37. 37
  • 38. 38
  • 39. East and West African Case Studies 39
  • 40. Kochiel Village – Kenya Selected Intervention: Agroforestry Insight - influence of external stakeholders 40
  • 41. Othidhe Village – Kenya Intervention selected - Medical Centre Insight - Linkages between development and adaptation 41
  • 42. Dodji - Senegal Intervention selected - water storage and distribution Insight - gender based interventions 42
  • 43. Future work “scaling out” through replication, mixing media and hand-over of data collection and of approach appropriate information formats and pathways for the results to be channelled to higher levels of governance and decision-making policy which is flexible enough to be locally interpreted without being too abstract to be meaningless 43
  • 44. “I AM A CAR FULL OF PETROL...” • ...JUST LOOKING FOR THE KEYS” • MAURICE KWANGA 2011 KENYA 44
  • 45. Thank you. Any questions? 45