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EVALUATION AND DUE
DILIGENCE OF BUSINESS
ANGELS INVESTMENTS

Claude Florin, A3 Angels




                                                                                  2
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of projects impacts results
                                  % exits
        70
        60
        50
        40
        30
        20
        10
         0
                  less 1X to 5X to 10X to more
                  than 5X 10X 30X than
                   1X                     30X
                           Less than 20 hours
                           More than 20 hours
Source: Kaufmann foundation 2007 N= 539 BAs - 3’000 BA investments
                                                                                    4
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program     Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Assessing and mitigating market risks

Scenario analysis                                                   Uncertain predictions
                      Market size


                Market dynamics


                    Market needs


                        Willingness
                          to pay


                  Target market
                                                                                                 5
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                 Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Valuation matters

Principles                                                           Investment example
  A bad business at a good                                             CHF 1M investment
  price is a looser                                                    CHF 20M exit
  A good business at a bad                                             ROI simulation
  price is not a winner                                              Pre-money   Exit after 5         Exit after 7
  Price matters                                                      valuation   years                years
     Pre-money valuation impact                                      1           58%                  39%
  The future determines the                                          5           27%                  19%
  value, not the past                                                10          13%                  9%


  Source : Peter Pfister, CTI Start-up, 2010
                                                                                                                     8
   CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                     Supported by
   Venture Concept Sàrl
Team - Why does it matter so much?
     The product/service is what attracts attention

     People transform the project into reality

     No individual has an infinite array of qualities and
     competencies

     The observer (i.e. you!) matters as much as the one
     observed
Source : Frank Gerritzen,, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   12
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Inventory of competencies

Team                                                                  Assesment bias
  Inventor or entrepreneur ?                                            How to assess the personality
  Who is part of the team?                                              and competencies of the
  Are competencies                                                      entrepreneur and founding
  overlapping or                                                        team?
  complementary?                                                        Usus magister est optimus!
                                                                        Beware your own experience
                                                                        and projections.
                                                                        Do not trust your instincts:
                                                                        objectivity!
  Source : Frank Gerritzen,, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                                    13
    CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                  Supported by
    Venture Concept Sàrl
Competencies vs. attitude
Frequent attitudes                                                    Life goals

1. Resistance to change                                                 Include entrepreneur and team

2. Difficulty to question own                                           Driving factors
   competencies
                                                                        Looking for lifetime employment ?
3. Infatuation with product / service /
   colleagues.                                                          Industry experience

4. Lack of sales skills / willingness to                                Ready to give up CEO title
   ‘hit the road’
                                                                        Paranoid, strong personality
  Source : Frank Gerritzen,, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                                            14
    CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                       Supported by
    Venture Concept Sàrl
Team organization and recruitment
   What do you bring to the table?
   What is the start-up looking for?
   Transparency, honesty and clarity (no hurt feelings!)
   Know your limitations as much as the entrepreneur’s




                  Young                                           Experienced
              entrepreneurs                                        Business
                                                                    Angels



                                                                                        16
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program          Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Strong personality may impact performance
     Risk factors


Personality                                                         Underperformance
• Over confidence                                                   •  Poor delegation
• Reliance on of personal taste                                     •  Poor planning
  and opinion                                                       •  Excessive optimism
• Intuitive decision-making led                                     •  Lack of awareness of the
  by emotive factors                                                   environment
• Education or experience                                           •  Inability to adapt to change.
  gaps
• Resistance to advice


                                                                                                   24
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Role of BA in the team
                                                           “Bring something to the party”
                                                                     Expertise    Share strategy
                                                                     Skills       Manage problems
                                                                     Time         Act in good faith
                                                                     Networking   No self-serving interest
                                                                     Money

                  Young                                                        Experienced
              entrepreneurs                                                     Business
                                                                                 Angels



                                                                                                              25
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                        Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Team motivation with participation
   Salaries lower than the market rate but performance bonus
   Stock are a useful tool for start-ups.
    Shares : employee tax discount 6% year of the lockup period, max 60%
    (law revision 2010).
    Options : taxed at exercise date.(GE, VD if vesting period)

   Attract key management and                                       Act as an incentive for
             employees                                             achieving growth targets

       Cost effective method for                                  Limit size of pool to prevent
       rewarding employees for                                    the dilution of overall share
         extraordinary efforts                                                value



                                                                                                    28
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                      Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Investment sectors
      ICT,
      Software and Multimedia
      Medtech, biotech
      Environment, Energy and Health
      Creative industries
      Manufacturing,
      Food,
      Retail
      Services




Source : Popular sectors for investments in EBAN 2008 survey
                                                                                 29
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
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Involvement in Company
   Lead investor
   Board member
   Advisor / coach / mentor
   Crisis management support
   Exit or next round of fund raising
   Passive




                                                                                 30
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
«More or Less Correct» vs. «Completely Wrong»




                                                                    vs




Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                        32
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program        Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Technology Adoption Life Cycle
                                                         Mainstreet market

                                         Pragmatists:               Conservatives:
                                         Use it when it’s ready!    Make sure it’s ready!
 Early market                                                                                    Late market


                                                                                        Skeptics:
   Techies:           Visionaries:
                                                                                        Never happen!
   Try it!            Be the first mover!



                                                  Bowling
                                                  Alley

                Innovators            Early adopters Early majority Late majority               Laggards
© Chasm Group   2.5%                  13.5%          34%            34%                         16%
                                                                                                               33
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                       Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Assessing the target market
                                                                  # patients
                                 Market size                      Total value of segment
                                                                  Growth rate
                                                                  Accessibility
                                                                  Potential for reimbursement


                               Market dynamics                    # competitors per segment
                                                                  Maturity of product/services
                                                                  Market penetration and share
                                                                  Revenue, profitability, pricing
                                                                  SWOT
                                Market needs                      Intensity of competition (Porter)
                                                                  Investor interest in segment

                                                                  Variability of needs in segment
                                                                  Are needs met by current treatments
                                  Willingness                     Unmet needs and gaps
                                    to pay
                                                                  Openness of stakeholders to innovations
                                                                  Likelihood of adopting innovations
                                                                  Willingness to absorb costs
Source : Stanford Bio design
                                Target market
                                                                                                            34
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                          Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Market size evaluation
     Market Size for product and / or technology to be correctly identified
      Top  Down
          Reports, Conferences, Web, Stats, …
      Bottom  Up
          Harvest “real” numbers from different sources
          Interviews with industry experts & veterans, sales reps, local players,
          Re-calculate the market size
     Top  Down and Bottom  UP
      estimations should be in the same log range




Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   35
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Market Size Identification
     Market Size for Product and / or Technology to be Correctly Identified
      Strength of the “selling proposition”
         New Markets to be created (i.e. social media, …)
         Prime Market vs. OEM
         “off label” sale potential
         Generic vs Branded
         Strength of Brand
         IP and Trade Mark
         …




Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   37
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Medtech market analysis
                               Prevalence                                                                 Market size
                                                                   100000
                           ESRD                                                                                     47%




                                                                   Cost / patient / year $
                                                                                                                  274%
            Severe CKD
                                                                                    10000                                            190%
       Moderate CKD
                                                                                                                       15%
                    Mild CKD
                                                                                             1000
                                     0        5      10 15 20 %
                                                                                                    10             100               1000
                               Mild CKD                                                                  Total medical expenses $B

                               Moderate CKD
                               Severe CKD
                               ESRD
Source : Stanford Bio design
                                                                                                                                            39
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                                               Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
“Shifts”



           Founder(s)                                       Entrepreneur      Manager
           Friends                                              Team          Organisation
           Science                                             Product        Market
           Prototype                                      Trial/Small Scale   Manufacture / Sale
           Unit: 1x                                           Unit: 10x       Unit: 100x
                 $                                                  $$$             $$$...$



Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                               41
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program               Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Porter’s Five Forces
                                                                   Newcomers
                                                                   Ability of new
                                                                   entrants to start
                                                                   operations

                    Suppliers                             Competitive environment                Customers
                             Relative                             Competitive          Relative
                             strength and                         strength of rival    strength and
                             number of                            firms                number of
                             sellers                                                   buyers

                                      Substitution Ability of new
                                      products     products to
                                                                  replace existing
                                                                  products
                                                                                                             48
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                          Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Medtech sales channels
                                                                  Yes    Complex / expensive      No
                                                                          medical device ?


                                                                                                  No dedicated sales
                                                     Dedicated sales force
                                                                                                        force


                                                                                                       Complex
                                                  High                     Low              Yes                        No
                                                            Volume ?                                   product
                                                                                                       pipeline

                                 Sales force



                 No            Funding supports       Yes         Access to KOL relationships
                                 sales force ?

                                               2-4 years
     Manufacturer                                              Direct sales            Specialized
                                     Hybrid model                                                                         Distributor
      licensing                                                   force                 distributor

Source : Stanford Bio design

                                                                                                                                        53
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                                            Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Questions you should consider in relation to products

     Is or could the product/technology solving a core problem?
     What could be the applications the technology can be used for?
     Is the technology disruptive (By factors, not just 10%) e.g.:
       Faster
       Lighter
       Cheaper
       Less power consumption
       Etc.
     What is the status of the development (Research, prototype,
     industrialization)

Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   67
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Be aware:

• You might not find the disruptive element in the product/technology but in
  the meta-system of potential client (E.g. Lemoptix: Pico-projector:
  unreached miniaturization makes it useful for mobile phones. Arktis:
  Reduction of false alarms in container ports)

• Calculate the cost-, product-advantage of a potential client application to
  get a feel for the market demand, pull.




Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   68
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Questions you should consider in relations to clients

     Are some clients already willing to pay for services, prototypes?
     Has the company identified the most promising application to “test the
     water”? Are they focused or just all over the place?
     Are they talking to engineers only or is there some pull from business
     development of the client company?
     Are they able/willing to develop the final product/services in an iterative
     way with clients?




Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   69
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Be aware:

         Don’t get dragged away by the technology. It’s all about the application,
         even if the startup does not yet know, which application might be the
         most promising one.

         What is the design in effort for the client? Even if the technology might
         have a huge advantage for the client, if his own engineering effort is
         substantial he might be reluctant.

         The “pain relieve” for the client is the key, not the nice technology!


Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                     70
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Intellectual Property Rights - Intangible assets

                Patent
                                                                   Copyright
                Design                                            Author right

           Trademark                                              Trade secrets

      Domain names
                                                                   Know How
          Topography

       Plant varieties

                                                                                        71
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program          Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
IP Due Diligence

Granted Patents                                                     Patent Applications
   Granted claims covering the                                         Assess patentability of existing
   product on the market                                               patent applications
   Maintenance fees (annuities)                                        Scope of protection (Interpretation
   paid ?                                                              of the claims may differ from one
   Appropriate territorial coverage                                    country to another)
   Assess FTO and enforceability of                                    Further searches may be needed
   IPR                                                                 to ascertain patentability
   Review licensing policies                                           Ownership of rights
   Review the register for security                                    Take into account the 18 months
   interests                                                           ‘blind period’


                                                                                                         73
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                     Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Decision to apply IP Protection

Pros                                                                 Cons
  protection from infringement                                        risk of disclosure of sensitive
   competitive advantage                                              knowledge
  returns on R&D investments                                           long, complex and costly
   increasing company value                                           procedures
   licensing revenues                                                  potential difficulties in
   raising image of company                                           enforcement of IPRs
  security for investors                                               short life-cycle of products
                                                                       lack of knowledge


                                                                                                        74
   CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                   Supported by
   Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Questions you should consider considering IP, patents

     Who owns the IP, it is protected & has freedom to act
     Do the have a second opinion report, e.g. CTI label package?
     What’s the patent all about?
     Can it easily be circumvented (Most of them can)?




Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   76
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Be aware:


• Can you defend a patent as a startup? Most likely you cant. Think about
  ways to protect your IP differently (E.g. produce the building blocks with
  different outsourcing partners)




Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   77
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Evaluation of the product and technology
Take away:

     Connect the dots, try to think about the meta-system:
      the client application
      the clients effort to use the particular technology

     Iterate
       3h                            First meeting, read docs, are there enough green lights?
       3 days                        Are the red lights manageable, what do clients say?
       3 month                       Interview with field experts, IP analyses, etc.

         Don’t analyze endlessly, rather stop, you never know it all

Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                                78
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program            Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
IP Due Diligence

Registered Trademarks                                               Trademark applications
   Check effective use of the                                          Assess registrability (availibilty
   trademark                                                           searches)
   Renewal fee paid ?                                                  Ownership of rights
   Appropriate territorial coverage
   Review licensing policies
   Review the register for security
   interests
   Review commercial agreements
   (exclusivity …)



                                                                                                            79
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                      Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Patents
   Exclusive right or monopoly to prevent competitors from manufacturing,
   using, selling, offering for sale, importing the invention in a specific
   territory for a limited time.

   Protect inventions that are new, involve an inventive step and are
   susceptible of industrial application.

   They protect :
    Technical characteristics / features (product claim)
    Process of manufacturing or functions (method or use claim)
    20 years from filing date (+5 years for medical



                                                                                 85
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Trademarks ® ™
   Sign for distinguishing goods and services from competitors on the
   market place
   May take different forms (word, image, logo, sound, smell, three
   dimensional representation …)
   Not limited in time
   Protection for specific goods or services in a determined territory
   Prevent others from using, selling, offering to sale, advertising identical or
   similar products or services under the registered trademark




                                                                                    87
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Designs ®
   Protect the aesthetical aspect (two or three dimensional, shape, contour,
   line, appearance, colour, texture …) of a product for a limited time in a
   specific territory.

   Criteria for registration
    Novelty (Prior disclosure prevents obtaining a valid design)
    Original creation (Not original if the overall impression only distinguishes
    from existing designs by minor characteristic)

   Registered for five years, may be renewed for 4 additional 5 years periods




                                                                                 89
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Copyright / Author Right ©
   Protects the original work of an author.
    books, manual, maps, charts, prints, musical compositions, dramatic
    works, photographs, paintings, drawings, sculptures, motion pictures,
    computer programs, sound recordings, choreography and architectural
    works

   Protects the expression or the materialization of an idea, not the idea or
   concept itself
   Automatic protection, does not need registration (use of the © copyright,
   [date], [name], all rights reserved) mention recommended
   Duration 70 years after the death of the author
   International recognition (Bern convention)

                                                                                 90
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
How to Protect IP and Manage it ?
   Keep invention related information confidential
   Use 'Non-Disclosure Agreement' in preliminary discussions,
   studies or collaboration with sub contractors or academics
   Determine ownership of IPR
   Assess patentability of the invention (prior art searches)
   Determine a strategy for protecting the invention
   File and prosecute patent applications
   Monitor the market and enforce IP rights




                                                                                 95
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Choose your VC
     VCs will become your partners and you will spend a lot of time & energy
     with them > Choose them carefully;
     Target equity at exit is not a function of initial equity stake but the reflects
     of the company strategy;
     Equity at exit depends on:
           Technology success;
           Negotiation power;
           Market;
           Competition.




Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                        107
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
The VC’s new Investment Model
      Same as before for the beginning of the story (Company creation with
     100k, founders and F&F are shareholders), but…
      Once the business model is in place, the first round of investors come
     into the company. Ideally some smart money together with deep pockets
     to follow over time. Small investment “to see”…
      This shareholders’ group is ready to support the company even in rough
     times as long as the end goal is still in sight and reachable with
     reasonable means. Else down-rounds occur frequently.
      New investors may be attracted at a later stage, depending on the actual
     cash needs of the company. Will not happen at a “huge” premium
     towards initial investors. Exceptions are always possible!
      Only investors with long term view and deep pockets might end-up
     having healthy portfolios.
Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   111
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Some Lessons Learnt
     What comes out of our experience …

     A game is not won (or lost) until is really over;
     Always think a couple of strokes in advance;
     Common sense is key;
     Grab your luck when you recognize it;
     Endurance, Endurance, Endurance;
     Timing is key




Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   112
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Some Lessons Learnt II
     Consider fully funded scenarios only;
     Ensure full support of investors and co-investors in rough times;
     Start with very small amounts;
     Be patient;
     Ensure support of larger funds;
     Back mainly big ideas;
     Small ideas have to be “cheap” or avoided…




Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012

                                                                                   113
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Levels and methods of valuation

           Investor‘s                   Capital                           Cash     Operating
                                                                                                  expenses




                                                                                                                 Customers
                                                               Company
           expenses                    payment                           Outflow    costs
Investor




           Investor‘s                 Dividends                           Cash      Operating
                                                                                                      earnings
             return                   + capital                           Inflow    revenues



                  „VC“                                    •Discounted cash-flow ,
                 method                                   •Multiples (comparables)




                                                                                                                             114
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                              Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Valuation on the timeline

         Par Value                             Price a              Price b    Final Price

                                                                                                  Time
     Foundation                                  Intermediate Valuations           Most
                                               (with up- and downrounds)         important
                                                                                 Valuation



      Pie                                            Financing Rounds               Exit
   Calculator                                                                   (Trade Sale,
                                                                                 watch out
                                                                              for IPO issues)
Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                         116
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                  Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Valuation: two views
  Company’s View
  (DCF Method classical)
  Company Value =                                                                      CV
  Sum of discounted FCF +                                                              Continuing Value
  discounted CV
                                                                  1   2   3   4   5    ∞                  t


Investor’s View
(Venture Capital Method)
IRR (Internal rate of return)
                                                                                  EXIT Value
Sum discounted CF = 0

                                                                  1   2   3   4    5                          t

Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                              119
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                          Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Success rate
Number of                                   Category                Probability
Projects                                                            (in %)
                                            Highflyer (IPO)
                  1-2                       Star (Trade Sale)           10-20 %
                                            Successful EXIT
                                            LifeStyle company
                  3-4                       Survival mode               30-40 %
                                            Bankruptcy
                  5-6                       Failure                     50-60 %
                                            Winding down
Source: Rule of thumb of the VC industry.
                                                                                       120
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program       Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Expected return by stage of company
              Project stage                                       Expected Return     Multiplicator
                                                                       (p.a.)       (holding period:
                                                                                        5 Years)
                         Seed                                        60-80 %         10.5 - 18.9 x

                     Start-up                                        50-70 %          7.6 - 14.2 x

                 First stage                                         40-60 %          5.4 - 10.5 x


 Put those numbers in relation the expected success rates
 and the VC Business model!
Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                       121
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                      Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Business model Venture Capital

          Initial situation : VC Company with CHF 10 Mio. in funds
          10 Investments of CHF 1 Mio. in Start-up
          All Exits in 5 years
                                                                    Data   Factor           Return
    Target IRR for all projects                                     40%    5.3 x
    Highflyers / Star (successful exit)                              2     5.3 x       CHF 10.6 Mio.
    Lifestyle companies (buyback founders)                           4      1x          CHF 4.0 Mio.
    Bankruptcy                                                       4      0x                0
    Return of VC in 5 years                                                            CHF 14.6 Mio.
    Return of VC in % p.a. (IRR)                                                             8%
    (calculated on profit of CHF 4.6 for 5 years)
Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                       122
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program            Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Business Angel methods
Berkus Method                                                        Meier Method
 Sound idea                                 CHF 1 Mio.                1 Manager        CHF 1.5 Mio.
 Prototype                                + CHF 1 Mio.                2 Managers     + CHF 1.5 Mio.
 Quality mgt team                         + CHF 1-2 M.                Value Range:     CHF 1.5 - 6 Mio.
 Quality board                            + CHF 1 Mio.
 Any roll-out, sales                      + CHF 1 Mio.
 Value Range:                               HF 1 - 6 Mio.




 Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                          126
   CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                   Supported by
   Venture Concept Sàrl
Business Angel methods


 Rule of thirds                                                     Morbitzer method
 1/3 Founders                                                       Businessidea          CHF 0.75 Mio.
 1/3 Management Tea                                                 Mgt Team              CHF 1.5 Mio.
 1/3 Investor (BA)                                                  Prototype (PoC)       CHF 0.75 Mio.
                                                                    Board/Investors       CHF 0.75 Mio.
                                                                    Total                 CHF 3.75 Mio.
Price range method                                                  -Value add investor   CHF 0.75 to 1.0 Mio.
Only consider to invest if:                                         Valuation             CHF 2.75 - 3 Mio.
Valuation range proposed by
founders is CHF 2 - 5 Mio.


Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                          127
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                         Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Valuation of an high potential venture (1)

Lemoptix case study                                                  What do we need ?
 24-month old technology company,                                    1.   Risk adjusted cost of capital (IRR)
 Successfully beta-tested its product                                2.   Capital Need (investment)
 Seeking $2 million of venture capital to                            3.   Exit timing of investor
 go into volume production and                                       4.   Exit Value:
 distribution.                                                             -Future earnings and profits (NP = net
 Forecasting sales revenue of $30                                          profit)
 million with net income of $5 million in 5                                -Comparable P/E
 years.
 What percent of the equity will the
 venture capitalists require?



 Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                                                    128
   CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                           Supported by
   Venture Concept Sàrl
Pre- and post-money valuation
     Post-money valuation                                           CHF 9.5 Mio 100 %
     -Investment                                                    CHF 2.0 Mio. 42 %
     Pre-money valuation                                            CHF 7.5 Mio. 58 %




Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest

                                                                                              131
  CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program              Supported by
  Venture Concept Sàrl
Internal rate of return (IRR) to compensate risk
                                                   Years                                                                 Years
 IRR %                                                                                Multiple
                        1        2        3          4   5          6        7                       1      2      3       4      5      6      7
               1             -        -        -       -        -        -        -           0%    1.00   1.00   1.00   1.00    1.00   1.00   1.00
               2         100         41       26     19       15        12       10
                                                                                              5%    1.05   1.10   1.16   1.22    1.28   1.34   1.41
Multiple




               3         200         73       44     32       25        20       17
                                                                                              10%   1.10   1.21   1.33   1.46    1.61   1.77   1.95
               4         300      100         59     41       32        26       22
               5                                                                              15%   1.15   1.32   1.52   1.75    2.01   2.31   2.66




                                                                                      IRR %
                         400      124         71     50       38        31       26
               6         500      145         82     57       43        35       29           20%   1.20   1.44   1.73   2.07    2.49   2.99   3.58
               7         600      165         91     63       48        38       32           25%   1.25   1.56   1.95   2.44    3.05   3.81   4.77
                                                                                              30%   1.30   1.69   2.20   2.86    3.71   4.83   6.27
.xls function                                                                                 35%   1.35   1.82   2.46   3.32    4.48   6.05   8.17
   = IRR(values, guess)                                                                       40%   1.40   1.96   2.74   3.84    5.38   7.53   10.5

   e.g.: IRR(D1:D:60,0.3/12)
      monthly or annual compounding



                                                                                                                                                 136
           CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                                        Supported by
           Venture Concept Sàrl
Valuation matters

Principles                                                           Investment example
  A bad business at a good                                             CHF 1M investment
  price is a looser                                                    CHF 20M exit
  A good business at a bad                                             ROI simulation
  price is not a winner                                              Pre-money   Exit after         Exit after
  Price matters                                                      valuation    5 years            7 years
     Pre-money valuation impact                                          1         58%                39%
  The future determines the                                              5         27%                19%
  value, not the past                                                    10        13%                 9%


  Source : Peter Pfister, CTI Start-UP, 2010
                                                                                                                 137
   CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                   Supported by
   Venture Concept Sàrl
Discounted Cash Flow
      Net residual
         value




                                                 Discounted by capital costs
  Net value of
 the free cash-
flow during the
    planning
     period


    Point of time
    of valuation
                          0                  1             2       3           4   5      >5

                                                             Planning period           Residual value
                                                                                                         142
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                           Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Discount rates


   Stage                                        Discount          CAPM
   Seed stage                                   70-100%           4-14%
   Start-up stage                                50-70%           4-14%
   First stage                                   50-70%
   Second stage                                  35-50%
   Later stage                                   25-40%




Source: Patrick Frei & Benoît Leleux

                                                                                         143
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program           Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Every method gives a different valuation

Discounted Cash-Flow                                                             Multiples
 Often over estimates real value                                                   Simple– no negative numbers
 Uncertain assumptions                                                             Time value not considered
 Not applicable for growth                                                         Just a high-level forecast
 companies
                                                                                                            year
                                                                                                              2011     2012     2013   2014   2015        2016




                                                                                    turnover multip
                                                                                                      0.5        0      250    1,000 2,500 5,000        10,000
                                                                                                      1.0        0      500    2,000 5,000 10,000       20,000
                                                                                                      1.5        0      750    3,000 7,500 15,000       30,000
                     annual growth of the        residual value                                       2.0        0    1,000    4,000 10,000 20,000      40,000
                               8%                  10%                    15%                         2.5        0    1,250    5,000 12,500 25,000      50,000
              35%            4,850                5,144                  6,135
              40%            3,351                3,517                  4,048                              year
 risk ratio




                                                                                                              2011     2012     2013    2014     2015     2016
              45%            2,359                2,458                  2,766                        5.0   neg.     neg.     neg.     2,500   10,000   25,000
                                                                                    EBIT-Multiple
              50%            1,675                1,737                  1,926                        6.0   neg.     neg.     neg.     3,000   12,000   30,000
              55%            1,190                1,230                  1,351                        7.0   neg.     neg.     neg.     3,500   14,000   35,000
                                                                                                      8.0   neg.     neg.     neg.     4,000   16,000   40,000
                                                                                                      9.0   neg.     neg.     neg.     4,500   18,000   45,000
                                                                                                                                                                 145
       CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                                                         Supported by
       Venture Concept Sàrl
Growing annuity
   A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.

                                             C                C×(1+g)   C ×(1+g)2             C×(1+g)T-1
                                                                                        …
                  0                          1                    2        3                    T



   Present value of a growing annuity:




                                                                                                      149
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Comparables (public companies Europe)
Industry                                                           EV/EBITDA                  EV/EBIT
Biotechnology                                                          NA                       NA
Communications Equipment                                              5.33                     7.75
Computer Hardware                                                     4.91                     7.40
Consumer Electronics                                                  3.44                     6.35
Consumer Finance                                                     42.67                     49.19
Electronic Components                                                 3.70                     6.39
Electronic Equipment and Instruments                                  5.62                     8.01
Health Care Technology                                                5.51                     10.45
Home Entertainment Software                                           4.17                     31.04
Integrated Telecommunication Services                                 5.17                     10.28
Internet Retail                                                      13.73                     18.41
Internet Software and Services                                        8.03                     22.55
Semiconductor Equipment                                               4.65                     6.37
Semiconductors                                                        6.31                      NA
Systems Software                                                      6.27                     8.90
Wireless Telecommunication Services                                   6.61                     12.17


Source: Damodoran on-line

                                                                                                        153
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program               Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Comparables (public companies Europe)
Industry Group                                         Price/Sales   Net Margin   EV/Sales Pre-tax Operating Margin
Biotechnology                                              4.72       -11.84%       4.63            -4.23%
Computer Software                                          2.89       11.09%        2.94            18.16%
Computers/Peripherals                                      0.85        8.62%        0.84            10.23%
Electronics                                                1.29        5.48%        1.41            10.25%
Electronics (Consumer & Office)                            0.81        3.21%        1.00             7.77%
Heathcare Information and
Technology                                                   1.61     5.47%         1.79               10.84%
Heathcare Products & Services                                2.85     14.19%        2.97               19.21%
Internet software and services                               1.62     4.63%         1.68               6.87%
Pharma & Drugs                                               2.22     15.48%        2.57               24.46%
Power                                                        0.89     7.69%         1.62               14.59%
Semiconductor                                                1.40      1.42%        1.53                6.42%
Semiconductor Equip                                          2.33     11.85%        2.27               19.44%
Telecom (Wireless)                                           1.83     23.63%        2.46               16.07%
Telecom. Equipment                                           0.80      2.54%        0.84                6.53%



                                                                                                                      154
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                             Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Creating a startup is a tough journey!
Many interesting projects do not take off, or die…

                                                                                 Growth


                                                                  Industrialisation
 Product development                               Financing



                                                                                 Commercial validation
                                                                      Commercialisation
Project                  Technical validation


                                                                                                         158
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                       Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
To build a successful startup, one must:
            “Solve an important,
            valuable problem…
            For clients who have
            money…
            Who want to pay well…
            With a short sales cycle…
            And will buy more, soon”



                                                                                             159
            CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
            Venture Concept Sàrl
Source: Index - Adapted from Ken Morse, MIT
The process
   Timeline and milestones
   Investments criteria
   SWOT and strategic analysis
   Due diligence
   Contract, term sheet



Deal flow                    Deal                         Due      Investment   Structure         Investment
generation                 screening                   diligence     decision   transaction       management




                                                                                                         160
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                    Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Investment process



                                                                             50%
                                                                        Screening

                                                                       Evaluation    4 Months

                                                                     Due diligence



                                                                  Investment
                                                                      1%


                                                                                                    161
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                      Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Due diligence process as an ongoing dialogue
                       Entrepreneur                                             Business Angel
                                                                 Negotiations
                          Introduction                                             Deal flow
                                                                 of business
                            Pitching                                             identification
                                                                 opportunity



                                                                                   Valuation
                        Business plan                           Due diligence
                                                                                  discussions




                           Investment                            Shareholder
                                                                                  Financing
                            readiness                            agreement

                                                                                                             162
            CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                   Supported by
            Venture Concept Sàrl
Source: fiban.org
Steps in the investment process
 Stage                                  Evaluating B. Plan           Due diligence             Negotiation           Monitoring     EXIT

 Entrepreneur                      Prepare Business Plan     Provide information     Disclose all relevant     Provide periodic
                                                                                     business information      management
                                   Contact investors                                                           accounts
                                                                                                               Communicate
                                                                                                               with investors
 Entrepreneur &                                              Meet to discuss BP      Negotiate final terms
 investor                                                    Build relationship      Document constitution
                                                             Outline terms           and voting rights
                                                             Liaise with external
                                                             consultants and
                                                             accountants
 Investor                          Review the Business       Conduct enquiries       Draw up completion        Seat on board ?
                                   Plan                      Value the business      documentation             Monitor
                                                             Consider financing                                investment
                                                             structure                                         Constructive input
                                                             Initiate external DD                              Involvement in
                                                                                                               major decisions
 Reports                           Business Plan             Offer letter            Disclosure letter         Management
                                                             Consultants reports     Warranties and            accounts
                                                             Accountant reports      indemnities               Minutes of boards
                                                                                     Memorandum and            and other
                                                                                     articles of association   meetings
                                                                                     Shareholder
                                                                                     agreement
Source : Guide to private equity, BVCA / PWC, 2003
                                                                                                                                           165
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                                                Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Investors are evaluating a number of parameters




                                                                                 166
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Four main risks to evaluate
            Product risk                                           Technology, patents

            Financial risk                                         Expenses, refinancing

            People risks                                           Entrepreneur, team

            Market risks                                           Business model,
                                                                   customer demand

Source : Peter Pfister, CTI Start-UP, 2010
                                                                                           168
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program            Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Top Investment criteria
Selected Criteria                                                            BAs                  VCs
Enthusiasm of the entrepreneur(s)                                             1                    3
Trustworthiness of entrepreneurs(s)                                           2                    1
Sales potential of the product                                                3                    5
Expertise of the entrepreneur(s)                                              4                    2
Investor liked entrepreneur(s) upon meeting                                   5                    9
Growth potential of the market                                                6                    6
Quality of the product                                                        7                   10
Perceived financial rewards (for investors)                                   8                    4
Niche market                                                                  9                   13
Track record of the entrepreneurs                                            10                    8

Source : Mark Van Osnabrugge and Robert J. Robinson, Angel Investing, 2000
                                                                                                        172
    CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                Supported by
    Venture Concept Sàrl
Business model
Key Partners                 Key Activities               Value              Customer                 Customer
                                                          Propositions       Relationships            Segments




                             Key Resources                                   Channels




Cost structure                                                      Revenue streams




                                                                                                                 174
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                              Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Financial Forecasts




© Dilbert – International Herald Tribune 17.09.2011
                                                                                 177
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program   Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Five Types of Start-ups – Be aligned !
         Lifestyle                                                 Work to live their passion

         Small business                                            Work to feed the family

         Scalable start-ups                                        Born to be big

         Buyable start-ups                                         Born to Flip

         Social start-ups                                          Driven to make a difference
Source : Steve Blank’s blog, Sept 6th, 2011
                                                                                                   178
 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                    Supported by
 Venture Concept Sàrl
Due Diligence Process




Source: http://www.angelcapitalwiki.org/mediawiki/index.php5?title=Due_Diligence
                                                                                                  181
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                    Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl
Due Diligence Process


                                    Extreme A                    Best Practice     Extreme B


                  Eyes-wide-shut                              Reasonable              Exhaustive due
                  investing                                   investigations          diligence

                  Forget cardinal rule :                      To ensure as far as     See themselves as
                  killer ideas +                              possible that           financial moguls
                  profitable business                         entrepreneurs can do    rather than mentors
                                                              what they say           with money




                                                                                                            182
      CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                       Supported by
      Venture Concept Sàrl
Source: http://www.angelcapitalwiki.org/mediawiki/index.php5?title=Due_Diligence
Due Diligence checklist
Track record of the management
Size and growth potential of the market
Demand for product/service among target customers
Ability to deliver product/service on time and at agreed price
Competitive advantage of the product
Competitors
Marketing and distribution plans
Soundness of financial projections
Assessment of the intellectual property rights, if any
Existing or possible legal contingencies
Valuation for the venture
Source : Mark Van Osnabrugge and Robert J. Robinson, Angel Investing: Matching Start-Up Funds
With Start-Up Companies
                                                                                                       183
CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program                         Supported by
Venture Concept Sàrl

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Evaluation and due diligence of business angel investments

  • 1. EVALUATION AND DUE DILIGENCE OF BUSINESS ANGELS INVESTMENTS Claude Florin, A3 Angels 2 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 2. Evaluation of projects impacts results % exits 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 less 1X to 5X to 10X to more than 5X 10X 30X than 1X 30X Less than 20 hours More than 20 hours Source: Kaufmann foundation 2007 N= 539 BAs - 3’000 BA investments 4 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 3. Assessing and mitigating market risks Scenario analysis Uncertain predictions Market size Market dynamics Market needs Willingness to pay Target market 5 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 4. Valuation matters Principles Investment example A bad business at a good CHF 1M investment price is a looser CHF 20M exit A good business at a bad ROI simulation price is not a winner Pre-money Exit after 5 Exit after 7 Price matters valuation years years Pre-money valuation impact 1 58% 39% The future determines the 5 27% 19% value, not the past 10 13% 9% Source : Peter Pfister, CTI Start-up, 2010 8 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 5. Team - Why does it matter so much? The product/service is what attracts attention People transform the project into reality No individual has an infinite array of qualities and competencies The observer (i.e. you!) matters as much as the one observed Source : Frank Gerritzen,, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 12 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 6. Inventory of competencies Team Assesment bias Inventor or entrepreneur ? How to assess the personality Who is part of the team? and competencies of the Are competencies entrepreneur and founding overlapping or team? complementary? Usus magister est optimus! Beware your own experience and projections. Do not trust your instincts: objectivity! Source : Frank Gerritzen,, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 13 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 7. Competencies vs. attitude Frequent attitudes Life goals 1. Resistance to change Include entrepreneur and team 2. Difficulty to question own Driving factors competencies Looking for lifetime employment ? 3. Infatuation with product / service / colleagues. Industry experience 4. Lack of sales skills / willingness to Ready to give up CEO title ‘hit the road’ Paranoid, strong personality Source : Frank Gerritzen,, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 14 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 8. Team organization and recruitment What do you bring to the table? What is the start-up looking for? Transparency, honesty and clarity (no hurt feelings!) Know your limitations as much as the entrepreneur’s Young Experienced entrepreneurs Business Angels 16 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 9. Strong personality may impact performance Risk factors Personality Underperformance • Over confidence • Poor delegation • Reliance on of personal taste • Poor planning and opinion • Excessive optimism • Intuitive decision-making led • Lack of awareness of the by emotive factors environment • Education or experience • Inability to adapt to change. gaps • Resistance to advice 24 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 10. Role of BA in the team “Bring something to the party”  Expertise Share strategy  Skills Manage problems  Time Act in good faith  Networking No self-serving interest  Money Young Experienced entrepreneurs Business Angels 25 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 11. Team motivation with participation Salaries lower than the market rate but performance bonus Stock are a useful tool for start-ups. Shares : employee tax discount 6% year of the lockup period, max 60% (law revision 2010). Options : taxed at exercise date.(GE, VD if vesting period) Attract key management and Act as an incentive for employees achieving growth targets Cost effective method for Limit size of pool to prevent rewarding employees for the dilution of overall share extraordinary efforts value 28 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 12. Investment sectors ICT, Software and Multimedia Medtech, biotech Environment, Energy and Health Creative industries Manufacturing, Food, Retail Services Source : Popular sectors for investments in EBAN 2008 survey 29 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 13. Involvement in Company Lead investor Board member Advisor / coach / mentor Crisis management support Exit or next round of fund raising Passive 30 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 14. «More or Less Correct» vs. «Completely Wrong» vs Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 32 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 15. Technology Adoption Life Cycle Mainstreet market Pragmatists: Conservatives: Use it when it’s ready! Make sure it’s ready! Early market Late market Skeptics: Techies: Visionaries: Never happen! Try it! Be the first mover! Bowling Alley Innovators Early adopters Early majority Late majority Laggards © Chasm Group 2.5% 13.5% 34% 34% 16% 33 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 16. Assessing the target market # patients Market size Total value of segment Growth rate Accessibility Potential for reimbursement Market dynamics # competitors per segment Maturity of product/services Market penetration and share Revenue, profitability, pricing SWOT Market needs Intensity of competition (Porter) Investor interest in segment Variability of needs in segment Are needs met by current treatments Willingness Unmet needs and gaps to pay Openness of stakeholders to innovations Likelihood of adopting innovations Willingness to absorb costs Source : Stanford Bio design Target market 34 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 17. Market size evaluation Market Size for product and / or technology to be correctly identified Top  Down Reports, Conferences, Web, Stats, … Bottom  Up Harvest “real” numbers from different sources Interviews with industry experts & veterans, sales reps, local players, Re-calculate the market size Top  Down and Bottom  UP estimations should be in the same log range Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 35 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 18. Market Size Identification Market Size for Product and / or Technology to be Correctly Identified Strength of the “selling proposition” New Markets to be created (i.e. social media, …) Prime Market vs. OEM “off label” sale potential Generic vs Branded Strength of Brand IP and Trade Mark … Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 37 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 19. Medtech market analysis Prevalence Market size 100000 ESRD 47% Cost / patient / year $ 274% Severe CKD 10000 190% Moderate CKD 15% Mild CKD 1000 0 5 10 15 20 % 10 100 1000 Mild CKD Total medical expenses $B Moderate CKD Severe CKD ESRD Source : Stanford Bio design 39 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 20. “Shifts” Founder(s) Entrepreneur Manager Friends Team Organisation Science Product Market Prototype Trial/Small Scale Manufacture / Sale Unit: 1x Unit: 10x Unit: 100x $ $$$ $$$...$ Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 41 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 21. Porter’s Five Forces Newcomers Ability of new entrants to start operations Suppliers Competitive environment Customers Relative Competitive Relative strength and strength of rival strength and number of firms number of sellers buyers Substitution Ability of new products products to replace existing products 48 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 22. Medtech sales channels Yes Complex / expensive No medical device ? No dedicated sales Dedicated sales force force Complex High Low Yes No Volume ? product pipeline Sales force No Funding supports Yes Access to KOL relationships sales force ? 2-4 years Manufacturer Direct sales Specialized Hybrid model Distributor licensing force distributor Source : Stanford Bio design 53 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 23. Evaluation of the product and technology Questions you should consider in relation to products Is or could the product/technology solving a core problem? What could be the applications the technology can be used for? Is the technology disruptive (By factors, not just 10%) e.g.: Faster Lighter Cheaper Less power consumption Etc. What is the status of the development (Research, prototype, industrialization) Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 67 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 24. Evaluation of the product and technology Be aware: • You might not find the disruptive element in the product/technology but in the meta-system of potential client (E.g. Lemoptix: Pico-projector: unreached miniaturization makes it useful for mobile phones. Arktis: Reduction of false alarms in container ports) • Calculate the cost-, product-advantage of a potential client application to get a feel for the market demand, pull. Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 68 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 25. Evaluation of the product and technology Questions you should consider in relations to clients Are some clients already willing to pay for services, prototypes? Has the company identified the most promising application to “test the water”? Are they focused or just all over the place? Are they talking to engineers only or is there some pull from business development of the client company? Are they able/willing to develop the final product/services in an iterative way with clients? Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 69 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 26. Evaluation of the product and technology Be aware: Don’t get dragged away by the technology. It’s all about the application, even if the startup does not yet know, which application might be the most promising one. What is the design in effort for the client? Even if the technology might have a huge advantage for the client, if his own engineering effort is substantial he might be reluctant. The “pain relieve” for the client is the key, not the nice technology! Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 70 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 27. Intellectual Property Rights - Intangible assets Patent Copyright Design Author right Trademark Trade secrets Domain names Know How Topography Plant varieties 71 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 28. IP Due Diligence Granted Patents Patent Applications Granted claims covering the Assess patentability of existing product on the market patent applications Maintenance fees (annuities) Scope of protection (Interpretation paid ? of the claims may differ from one Appropriate territorial coverage country to another) Assess FTO and enforceability of Further searches may be needed IPR to ascertain patentability Review licensing policies Ownership of rights Review the register for security Take into account the 18 months interests ‘blind period’ 73 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 29. Decision to apply IP Protection Pros Cons protection from infringement risk of disclosure of sensitive competitive advantage knowledge returns on R&D investments long, complex and costly increasing company value procedures licensing revenues potential difficulties in raising image of company enforcement of IPRs security for investors short life-cycle of products lack of knowledge 74 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 30. Evaluation of the product and technology Questions you should consider considering IP, patents Who owns the IP, it is protected & has freedom to act Do the have a second opinion report, e.g. CTI label package? What’s the patent all about? Can it easily be circumvented (Most of them can)? Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 76 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 31. Evaluation of the product and technology Be aware: • Can you defend a patent as a startup? Most likely you cant. Think about ways to protect your IP differently (E.g. produce the building blocks with different outsourcing partners) Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 77 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 32. Evaluation of the product and technology Take away: Connect the dots, try to think about the meta-system: the client application the clients effort to use the particular technology Iterate 3h First meeting, read docs, are there enough green lights? 3 days Are the red lights manageable, what do clients say? 3 month Interview with field experts, IP analyses, etc. Don’t analyze endlessly, rather stop, you never know it all Source : Balz Roth, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 78 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 33. IP Due Diligence Registered Trademarks Trademark applications Check effective use of the Assess registrability (availibilty trademark searches) Renewal fee paid ? Ownership of rights Appropriate territorial coverage Review licensing policies Review the register for security interests Review commercial agreements (exclusivity …) 79 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 34. Patents Exclusive right or monopoly to prevent competitors from manufacturing, using, selling, offering for sale, importing the invention in a specific territory for a limited time. Protect inventions that are new, involve an inventive step and are susceptible of industrial application. They protect : Technical characteristics / features (product claim) Process of manufacturing or functions (method or use claim) 20 years from filing date (+5 years for medical 85 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 35. Trademarks ® ™ Sign for distinguishing goods and services from competitors on the market place May take different forms (word, image, logo, sound, smell, three dimensional representation …) Not limited in time Protection for specific goods or services in a determined territory Prevent others from using, selling, offering to sale, advertising identical or similar products or services under the registered trademark 87 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 36. Designs ® Protect the aesthetical aspect (two or three dimensional, shape, contour, line, appearance, colour, texture …) of a product for a limited time in a specific territory. Criteria for registration Novelty (Prior disclosure prevents obtaining a valid design) Original creation (Not original if the overall impression only distinguishes from existing designs by minor characteristic) Registered for five years, may be renewed for 4 additional 5 years periods 89 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 37. Copyright / Author Right © Protects the original work of an author. books, manual, maps, charts, prints, musical compositions, dramatic works, photographs, paintings, drawings, sculptures, motion pictures, computer programs, sound recordings, choreography and architectural works Protects the expression or the materialization of an idea, not the idea or concept itself Automatic protection, does not need registration (use of the © copyright, [date], [name], all rights reserved) mention recommended Duration 70 years after the death of the author International recognition (Bern convention) 90 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 38. How to Protect IP and Manage it ? Keep invention related information confidential Use 'Non-Disclosure Agreement' in preliminary discussions, studies or collaboration with sub contractors or academics Determine ownership of IPR Assess patentability of the invention (prior art searches) Determine a strategy for protecting the invention File and prosecute patent applications Monitor the market and enforce IP rights 95 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 39. Choose your VC VCs will become your partners and you will spend a lot of time & energy with them > Choose them carefully; Target equity at exit is not a function of initial equity stake but the reflects of the company strategy; Equity at exit depends on: Technology success; Negotiation power; Market; Competition. Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 107 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 40. The VC’s new Investment Model Same as before for the beginning of the story (Company creation with 100k, founders and F&F are shareholders), but… Once the business model is in place, the first round of investors come into the company. Ideally some smart money together with deep pockets to follow over time. Small investment “to see”… This shareholders’ group is ready to support the company even in rough times as long as the end goal is still in sight and reachable with reasonable means. Else down-rounds occur frequently. New investors may be attracted at a later stage, depending on the actual cash needs of the company. Will not happen at a “huge” premium towards initial investors. Exceptions are always possible! Only investors with long term view and deep pockets might end-up having healthy portfolios. Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 111 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 41. Some Lessons Learnt What comes out of our experience … A game is not won (or lost) until is really over; Always think a couple of strokes in advance; Common sense is key; Grab your luck when you recognize it; Endurance, Endurance, Endurance; Timing is key Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 112 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 42. Some Lessons Learnt II Consider fully funded scenarios only; Ensure full support of investors and co-investors in rough times; Start with very small amounts; Be patient; Ensure support of larger funds; Back mainly big ideas; Small ideas have to be “cheap” or avoided… Source : Diego Braguglia, CTI Start-UP, Angel Days 2012 113 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 43. Levels and methods of valuation Investor‘s Capital Cash Operating expenses Customers Company expenses payment Outflow costs Investor Investor‘s Dividends Cash Operating earnings return + capital Inflow revenues „VC“ •Discounted cash-flow , method •Multiples (comparables) 114 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 44. Valuation on the timeline Par Value Price a Price b Final Price Time Foundation Intermediate Valuations Most (with up- and downrounds) important Valuation Pie Financing Rounds Exit Calculator (Trade Sale, watch out for IPO issues) Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 116 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 45. Valuation: two views Company’s View (DCF Method classical) Company Value = CV Sum of discounted FCF + Continuing Value discounted CV 1 2 3 4 5 ∞ t Investor’s View (Venture Capital Method) IRR (Internal rate of return) EXIT Value Sum discounted CF = 0 1 2 3 4 5 t Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 119 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 46. Success rate Number of Category Probability Projects (in %) Highflyer (IPO) 1-2 Star (Trade Sale) 10-20 % Successful EXIT LifeStyle company 3-4 Survival mode 30-40 % Bankruptcy 5-6 Failure 50-60 % Winding down Source: Rule of thumb of the VC industry. 120 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 47. Expected return by stage of company Project stage Expected Return Multiplicator (p.a.) (holding period: 5 Years) Seed 60-80 % 10.5 - 18.9 x Start-up 50-70 % 7.6 - 14.2 x First stage 40-60 % 5.4 - 10.5 x Put those numbers in relation the expected success rates and the VC Business model! Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 121 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 48. Business model Venture Capital Initial situation : VC Company with CHF 10 Mio. in funds 10 Investments of CHF 1 Mio. in Start-up All Exits in 5 years Data Factor Return Target IRR for all projects 40% 5.3 x Highflyers / Star (successful exit) 2 5.3 x CHF 10.6 Mio. Lifestyle companies (buyback founders) 4 1x CHF 4.0 Mio. Bankruptcy 4 0x 0 Return of VC in 5 years CHF 14.6 Mio. Return of VC in % p.a. (IRR) 8% (calculated on profit of CHF 4.6 for 5 years) Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 122 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 49. Business Angel methods Berkus Method Meier Method Sound idea CHF 1 Mio. 1 Manager CHF 1.5 Mio. Prototype + CHF 1 Mio. 2 Managers + CHF 1.5 Mio. Quality mgt team + CHF 1-2 M. Value Range: CHF 1.5 - 6 Mio. Quality board + CHF 1 Mio. Any roll-out, sales + CHF 1 Mio. Value Range: HF 1 - 6 Mio. Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 126 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 50. Business Angel methods Rule of thirds Morbitzer method 1/3 Founders Businessidea CHF 0.75 Mio. 1/3 Management Tea Mgt Team CHF 1.5 Mio. 1/3 Investor (BA) Prototype (PoC) CHF 0.75 Mio. Board/Investors CHF 0.75 Mio. Total CHF 3.75 Mio. Price range method -Value add investor CHF 0.75 to 1.0 Mio. Only consider to invest if: Valuation CHF 2.75 - 3 Mio. Valuation range proposed by founders is CHF 2 - 5 Mio. Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 127 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 51. Valuation of an high potential venture (1) Lemoptix case study What do we need ? 24-month old technology company, 1. Risk adjusted cost of capital (IRR) Successfully beta-tested its product 2. Capital Need (investment) Seeking $2 million of venture capital to 3. Exit timing of investor go into volume production and 4. Exit Value: distribution. -Future earnings and profits (NP = net Forecasting sales revenue of $30 profit) million with net income of $5 million in 5 -Comparable P/E years. What percent of the equity will the venture capitalists require? Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 128 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 52. Pre- and post-money valuation Post-money valuation CHF 9.5 Mio 100 % -Investment CHF 2.0 Mio. 42 % Pre-money valuation CHF 7.5 Mio. 58 % Source : Jean-Pierre Vuilleumier, Angel Days 2012 © CTI -Invest 131 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 53. Internal rate of return (IRR) to compensate risk Years Years IRR % Multiple 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 - - - - - - - 0% 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2 100 41 26 19 15 12 10 5% 1.05 1.10 1.16 1.22 1.28 1.34 1.41 Multiple 3 200 73 44 32 25 20 17 10% 1.10 1.21 1.33 1.46 1.61 1.77 1.95 4 300 100 59 41 32 26 22 5 15% 1.15 1.32 1.52 1.75 2.01 2.31 2.66 IRR % 400 124 71 50 38 31 26 6 500 145 82 57 43 35 29 20% 1.20 1.44 1.73 2.07 2.49 2.99 3.58 7 600 165 91 63 48 38 32 25% 1.25 1.56 1.95 2.44 3.05 3.81 4.77 30% 1.30 1.69 2.20 2.86 3.71 4.83 6.27 .xls function 35% 1.35 1.82 2.46 3.32 4.48 6.05 8.17 = IRR(values, guess) 40% 1.40 1.96 2.74 3.84 5.38 7.53 10.5 e.g.: IRR(D1:D:60,0.3/12) monthly or annual compounding 136 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 54. Valuation matters Principles Investment example A bad business at a good CHF 1M investment price is a looser CHF 20M exit A good business at a bad ROI simulation price is not a winner Pre-money Exit after Exit after Price matters valuation 5 years 7 years Pre-money valuation impact 1 58% 39% The future determines the 5 27% 19% value, not the past 10 13% 9% Source : Peter Pfister, CTI Start-UP, 2010 137 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 55. Discounted Cash Flow Net residual value Discounted by capital costs Net value of the free cash- flow during the planning period Point of time of valuation 0 1 2 3 4 5 >5 Planning period Residual value 142 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 56. Discount rates Stage Discount CAPM Seed stage 70-100% 4-14% Start-up stage 50-70% 4-14% First stage 50-70% Second stage 35-50% Later stage 25-40% Source: Patrick Frei & Benoît Leleux 143 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 57. Every method gives a different valuation Discounted Cash-Flow Multiples Often over estimates real value Simple– no negative numbers Uncertain assumptions Time value not considered Not applicable for growth Just a high-level forecast companies year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 turnover multip 0.5 0 250 1,000 2,500 5,000 10,000 1.0 0 500 2,000 5,000 10,000 20,000 1.5 0 750 3,000 7,500 15,000 30,000 annual growth of the residual value 2.0 0 1,000 4,000 10,000 20,000 40,000 8% 10% 15% 2.5 0 1,250 5,000 12,500 25,000 50,000 35% 4,850 5,144 6,135 40% 3,351 3,517 4,048 year risk ratio 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 45% 2,359 2,458 2,766 5.0 neg. neg. neg. 2,500 10,000 25,000 EBIT-Multiple 50% 1,675 1,737 1,926 6.0 neg. neg. neg. 3,000 12,000 30,000 55% 1,190 1,230 1,351 7.0 neg. neg. neg. 3,500 14,000 35,000 8.0 neg. neg. neg. 4,000 16,000 40,000 9.0 neg. neg. neg. 4,500 18,000 45,000 145 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 58. Growing annuity A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity. C C×(1+g) C ×(1+g)2 C×(1+g)T-1 … 0 1 2 3 T Present value of a growing annuity: 149 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 59. Comparables (public companies Europe) Industry EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT Biotechnology NA NA Communications Equipment 5.33 7.75 Computer Hardware 4.91 7.40 Consumer Electronics 3.44 6.35 Consumer Finance 42.67 49.19 Electronic Components 3.70 6.39 Electronic Equipment and Instruments 5.62 8.01 Health Care Technology 5.51 10.45 Home Entertainment Software 4.17 31.04 Integrated Telecommunication Services 5.17 10.28 Internet Retail 13.73 18.41 Internet Software and Services 8.03 22.55 Semiconductor Equipment 4.65 6.37 Semiconductors 6.31 NA Systems Software 6.27 8.90 Wireless Telecommunication Services 6.61 12.17 Source: Damodoran on-line 153 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 60. Comparables (public companies Europe) Industry Group Price/Sales Net Margin EV/Sales Pre-tax Operating Margin Biotechnology 4.72 -11.84% 4.63 -4.23% Computer Software 2.89 11.09% 2.94 18.16% Computers/Peripherals 0.85 8.62% 0.84 10.23% Electronics 1.29 5.48% 1.41 10.25% Electronics (Consumer & Office) 0.81 3.21% 1.00 7.77% Heathcare Information and Technology 1.61 5.47% 1.79 10.84% Heathcare Products & Services 2.85 14.19% 2.97 19.21% Internet software and services 1.62 4.63% 1.68 6.87% Pharma & Drugs 2.22 15.48% 2.57 24.46% Power 0.89 7.69% 1.62 14.59% Semiconductor 1.40 1.42% 1.53 6.42% Semiconductor Equip 2.33 11.85% 2.27 19.44% Telecom (Wireless) 1.83 23.63% 2.46 16.07% Telecom. Equipment 0.80 2.54% 0.84 6.53% 154 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 61. Creating a startup is a tough journey! Many interesting projects do not take off, or die… Growth Industrialisation Product development Financing Commercial validation Commercialisation Project Technical validation 158 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 62. To build a successful startup, one must: “Solve an important, valuable problem… For clients who have money… Who want to pay well… With a short sales cycle… And will buy more, soon” 159 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl Source: Index - Adapted from Ken Morse, MIT
  • 63. The process Timeline and milestones Investments criteria SWOT and strategic analysis Due diligence Contract, term sheet Deal flow Deal Due Investment Structure Investment generation screening diligence decision transaction management 160 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 64. Investment process 50% Screening Evaluation 4 Months Due diligence Investment 1% 161 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 65. Due diligence process as an ongoing dialogue Entrepreneur Business Angel Negotiations Introduction Deal flow of business Pitching identification opportunity Valuation Business plan Due diligence discussions Investment Shareholder Financing readiness agreement 162 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl Source: fiban.org
  • 66. Steps in the investment process Stage Evaluating B. Plan Due diligence Negotiation Monitoring EXIT Entrepreneur Prepare Business Plan Provide information Disclose all relevant Provide periodic business information management Contact investors accounts Communicate with investors Entrepreneur & Meet to discuss BP Negotiate final terms investor Build relationship Document constitution Outline terms and voting rights Liaise with external consultants and accountants Investor Review the Business Conduct enquiries Draw up completion Seat on board ? Plan Value the business documentation Monitor Consider financing investment structure Constructive input Initiate external DD Involvement in major decisions Reports Business Plan Offer letter Disclosure letter Management Consultants reports Warranties and accounts Accountant reports indemnities Minutes of boards Memorandum and and other articles of association meetings Shareholder agreement Source : Guide to private equity, BVCA / PWC, 2003 165 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 67. Investors are evaluating a number of parameters 166 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 68. Four main risks to evaluate Product risk Technology, patents Financial risk Expenses, refinancing People risks Entrepreneur, team Market risks Business model, customer demand Source : Peter Pfister, CTI Start-UP, 2010 168 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 69. Top Investment criteria Selected Criteria BAs VCs Enthusiasm of the entrepreneur(s) 1 3 Trustworthiness of entrepreneurs(s) 2 1 Sales potential of the product 3 5 Expertise of the entrepreneur(s) 4 2 Investor liked entrepreneur(s) upon meeting 5 9 Growth potential of the market 6 6 Quality of the product 7 10 Perceived financial rewards (for investors) 8 4 Niche market 9 13 Track record of the entrepreneurs 10 8 Source : Mark Van Osnabrugge and Robert J. Robinson, Angel Investing, 2000 172 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 70. Business model Key Partners Key Activities Value Customer Customer Propositions Relationships Segments Key Resources Channels Cost structure Revenue streams 174 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 71. Financial Forecasts © Dilbert – International Herald Tribune 17.09.2011 177 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 72. Five Types of Start-ups – Be aligned ! Lifestyle Work to live their passion Small business Work to feed the family Scalable start-ups Born to be big Buyable start-ups Born to Flip Social start-ups Driven to make a difference Source : Steve Blank’s blog, Sept 6th, 2011 178 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 73. Due Diligence Process Source: http://www.angelcapitalwiki.org/mediawiki/index.php5?title=Due_Diligence 181 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl
  • 74. Due Diligence Process Extreme A Best Practice Extreme B Eyes-wide-shut Reasonable Exhaustive due investing investigations diligence Forget cardinal rule : To ensure as far as See themselves as killer ideas + possible that financial moguls profitable business entrepreneurs can do rather than mentors what they say with money 182 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl Source: http://www.angelcapitalwiki.org/mediawiki/index.php5?title=Due_Diligence
  • 75. Due Diligence checklist Track record of the management Size and growth potential of the market Demand for product/service among target customers Ability to deliver product/service on time and at agreed price Competitive advantage of the product Competitors Marketing and distribution plans Soundness of financial projections Assessment of the intellectual property rights, if any Existing or possible legal contingencies Valuation for the venture Source : Mark Van Osnabrugge and Robert J. Robinson, Angel Investing: Matching Start-Up Funds With Start-Up Companies 183 CTI Commission for Technology and Innovation | Start-up program Supported by Venture Concept Sàrl