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Beyond                                                                               Key Findings
Core Markets
Investors seek hIgher yIelds
                                                                                     	 A recent survey conducted
                                                                                        exclusively for National Real
                                                                                        Estate Investor (NREI), Retail
                                                                                        Traffic and Coldwell Banker
In non-Core Markets                                                                     Commercial® found that 44%
                                                                                        of respondents expect to
                                                                                        make additional investments
                                                                                        in non-core markets in 2011;


A
          s the commercial real estate sector continues to recover from the “Great      also, 41% of respondents
          Recession,” investors across the nation are ramping up their acquisition      say those markets offer
          and development activity. While core, coastal markets such as New             the best development
York, Washington, D.C., Southern California and San Francisco continue to be            opportunities today.
the most desirable locales for most larger, institutional investors, non-core and    	 Owners expect to continue
alternative markets are increasingly attractive. These alternative markets offer        to invest in their properties
an attractive option to core markets, particularly for entrepreneurial and non-         in secondary and tertiary
                                    institutional investors.                            markets. In fact, nearly half
                                                                                        of respondents plan to
                                       “Smart money is looking at alternative mar-
                                                                                        upgrade their properties.
      “Smart money is               kets due to better returns, higher upside and       Meanwhile, 40% plan to
  looking at alternative            less competition,” says Fred Schmidt, presi-        increase rents in 2011.
  markets due to better dent & COO of Coldwell Banker Commercial
                                    Affiliates. “Secondary and tertiary markets      	 46% of respondents say the
 returns, higher upside allow investors to achieve a higher yield,                      vacancy rate for their smaller
  and less competition. along with diversification of assets and geog-                  market portfolio is less than
                                                                                        10%. Nearly four out of 10
Secondary and tertiary raphy. They offer an opportunity to generate                     respondents expect the
markets allow investors real wealth and returns.”                                       vacancy rate to decrease
    to achieve a higher                A recent survey conducted exclusively for        somewhat or greatly in 2011.
                                                                                        Another 40% say the vacancy
      yield, along with             National Real Estate Investor (NREI), Retail        rate will stay the same; 45%
 diversification of assets Traffic and Coldwell Banker Commercial                       of respondents expect rents
  and geography. They               found that 44% of respondents expect to             to increase in 2011.
  offer an opportunity              make additional investments in non-core
                                                                                     	 Respondents have seen
       to generate real             markets in 2011; 41% of respondents say these
                                                                                        average cap rates of 8% to
   wealth and returns.”             markets offer the best development opportu-         12.5% in non-core markets.
                                    nities today.
        Fred Schmidt,
                                       “Ever yone wa nts to invest in major          	 Strength of economy and
     preSident & cOO OF                                                                 availability of financing were
      cOldwell BAnker               markets, but as cap rates are driven down,
                                                                                        the two most important
  cOmmerciAl AFFiliAteS             investors are willing to accept more risk and       factors when considering an
                                    move into secondary and tertiary markets,”          investment in a secondary
                                    says H. Michael Schwartz, CEO of Strategic          and tertiary market.
Storage Trust Inc., the first and only public, non-traded REIT that specializes in
the self-storage industry. Today, SSTI’s portfolio includes approximately 48,000
self-storage units, 6 million rentable square feet of storage space and 76 proper-    Survey Methodology
ties located in 17 states and Canada.                                                 Between May 12 and June 5, 2011, NREI and RT
                                                                                      surveyed commercial real estate owner, manager
                                                                                      and developer subscribers using an email invitation
                                                                                      containing a link to the online questionnaire. The
                                                                                      findings presented in this report are based on the
                                                                                      194 qualified responses that were received.




                                                                                                      Beyond Core Markets C1
Be yond Core Marke tS


       The NREI/Retail Traffic/Coldwell       and worries that smaller markets are         ception often plays a greater role than
    Banker Commercial survey collected        more vulnerable to shifts in demand          reality when it comes to investing in
    data from 194 developers, owners and      and supply because markets are not as        smaller markets. “They haven’t stud-
    managers from May 12 to June 6, 2011.     deep as larger, core markets.                ied the markets enough to know the
    Respondents own and/or manage an             Since the financial crisis and the        real risk, so it’s easier to say ‘no,’” he
    average 1.4 million square feet of com-   onset of the recession, however, inves-      explains. “Sometimes the reasons
    mercial real estate in secondary and      tors have eschewed risk and focused          why an investor won’t look at a par-
    tertiary markets.                         predominantly on the best proper-            ticular place have nothing to do with
       Additional key findings:               ties in the best markets. This “flight       market fundamentals.”
    investment:                               to quality” has limited the interest in
    •	 Owners	 expect	 to	 continue	to	       secondary and tertiary markets. Yet,         viBrant MiCro-eConoMieS
       invest in their properties in sec-     investor appetite for risk – or perhaps      In fact, many smaller markets not
       ondary and tertiary markets. In        acceptance is a more accurate descrip-       only have vibrant, growing econo-
       fact, nearly half of respondents       tion – is slowly returning as property       mies, but population growth as well.
       plan to upgrade their properties.      valuations stabilize.                        An annual ranking of the top eco-
       Meanwhile, 40% plan to increase           “We’re back to a more normalized          nomic growth markets in the United
       rents in 2011.                         market where investors are compen-           States conducted by POLICOM found
    Vacancy:                                  sated for risk,” Dietrich says. “As a        that only one of the top 10 markets
    •	 46%	of	respondents	say	the	vacancy	    result, we’re seeing investors being less    was considered “core” or “primary”
       rate for their smaller market port-    cautious and looking at properties and       markets for most commercial real
       folio is less than 10%.                markets they wouldn’t have looked at         estate investors: Washington, D.C.
    •	 Nearly	four	out	of	10	respondents	     last year.”                                     The Palm City, Fla.-based eco-
       expect the vacancy rate to decrease       Yet, secondary and tertiary markets       nomic consulting f irm measures
       somewhat or greatly in 2011.           often are overlooked or misunder-            23 economic factors over a 20-year
    •	 Another	40%	say	the	vacancy	rate	
       will stay the same.
                                                 what are you planning for your properties
    •	 45%	of	respondents	expect	rents	to	
                                                 in secondary and/or tertiary markets in 2011?
       increase in 2011.
    returns:                                           Upgrades                                                                   48%
    •	 Strength	of	economy	and	availabil-        Increasing rent                                                     40%
       ity of financing were the two most             Expansion                                    26%
       important factors when consider-            Lowering rent                   13%
       ing an investment in a secondary              Contraction        6%
       and tertiary market.                         Downgrades        2%
    rewarded for riSk                                      Other                 11%                         National Real Estate Investor,

    Du r i ng t he most recent ma rket
                                                        No reply         4%                                 Retail Traffic, Coldwell Banker
                                                                                                           Commercial Survey – June 2011

    boom, the risk premium for assets
    in secondary and tertiary markets         stood, especially by larger, institutional   period to identify the top performing
    eroded as competition for real estate     investors. “In general, people think         markets in the nation. “The rankings
    intensified. The yield spread between     that larger markets are deeper – that        do not reflect the latest ‘hotspot’ or
    properties in core markets such as        they have greater demand to capture,         boom town, but the areas that have
    Washington, D.C., and smaller, non-       but they’re missing out,” says Dan           t he best economic fou ndat ion,”
    core markets such as Minneapolis          Bernstein, chief investment officer and      says William Fruth, president of
    narrowed to the point where it was        executive vice president at Campus           POLICOM. “While most communi-
    almost non-existent.                      Apartments, the largest privately            ties have slowed or declined during
       Simply put, investors were not         held student housing company in the          this recession, the strongest areas
    being rewarded for risk, explains         United States.                               have been able to weather the storm.”
    Robert Dietrich, managing director in        Mark Stapp, a real estate developer          “ T he cit ies t hat have no eco-
    FMV Opinions’ real estate valuation       and executive director of the Master         nomic drivers – where industries
    services division. Throughout market      of Real Estate Development program           have departed – it’s very difficult to
    ups and downs, those risks have not       at the W.P. Carey School of Business         think about why one should invest
    changed – concerns about exit strategy    at Arizona State University, says per-       in them,” says Alan Feldman, CEO

    C2 Beyond Core Markets
Be yond Core MarketS


what is the average cap rate you have been                                                 group. “Many smaller cities are will-
seeing in secondary and tertiary markets?                                                  ing to provide significant financial
                                                                 National Real Estate
                                                               Investor, Retail Traffic,   and tax incentives that aren’t available
0% - 10%       2%                                                   Coldwell Banker
                                                                Commercial Survey –
                                                                           June 2011
                                                                                           in major markets.”
 3% - 5%                  10%
 6% - 8%                                                                 40%               ChaSing yield
                                                                                           Investors interested in secondary and
9% - 10%                                                      35%                          tertiary markets are chasing yield
Over 10%                       13%                                                         and focused on markets with strong
                                                                                           economic drivers and dominant prop-
 No reply    1%
                                                                                           erties in the market.
                                                                                              “Part of the beauty of investing
at Philadelphia-based Resource Real           “Because of our region’s afford-             in secondary and tertiary markets is
Estate,	which	manages	roughly	$1.5	        ability and projected growth, we’ve             that there’s less of a herd mentality,”
billion in assets. “But smaller towns      seen a number of large national insti-          Bernstein says. “People flood larger
that have something to offer – sustain-    tutions and industries transfer from            markets and suddenly there’s greater
able industries and growing regional       their existing metro locations to our           competition – prices are driven up
economies – those can offer outsized       market,” Redmond adds. “We have                 and cap rates are driven down.”
returns because fewer people are inter-    even seen financial service compa-                 Bernstein recalls a recent opportu-
ested in investing in them.”               nies relocate to Raleigh-Durham                 nity to acquire a student housing asset
   Consider Shreveport, La. – a ter-       from Manhattan.”                                in New York City. The property was
tiary market by anyone’s measure with                                                      priced to trade at a 2% cap rate. “I’d
a population of 398,694, according to        “In general, people think                     rather make additional investments
the 2010 U.S. Census. This southern           that larger markets are                      in the markets in which we’ve seen
city currently is enjoying an economic        deeper – that they have                      higher yields – markets like Lancaster,
boom, driven primarily by the natural       greater demand to capture,                     Pa., or Richmond, Va., where we have
gas sector. It is experiencing in-migra-                                                   a 23-building portfolio – than invest
                                             but they’re missing out,”
tion as people seek jobs created by the                                                    in a core market and get a 2% return,”
                                                  dAn BernStein, chieF
Haynesville Shale, one of the largest                                                      he says.
                                                inVeStment OFFicer And
natural gas deposits on the planet.            executiVe Vice preSident                       Better yields are one of the reasons
   Admittedly, Shreveport is not a               At cAmpuS ApArtmentS                      why Phoenix-based Cole Real Estate
market that most investors seek out.                                                       Investments is open to investing in
Given the opportunity and knowledge           “With corporate clients, we’ve               smaller markets, according to Scott
of the market, however, smart inves-       noticed that many of them willingly             Holmes, vice president of acquisitions
tors jump at the chance to invest there.   bypass larger markets in favor of sec-          and team leader for multi-tenant retail
   For example, earlier this year,         ondary or tertiary markets when it              acquisitions. He notes that second-
Inland Diversified Real Estate Trust       comes to setting up back-office, call           ary and tertiary markets can provide
Inc.	invested	$43.5	million	in	the	mar-    center or data operations,” according           yields	premiums	–	anywhere	from	50	
ket to acquire Regal Court Shopping        to Vik Bangia, a senior vice president          to	150	basis	points	higher	than	pri-
Centre, a 363,167-square-foot power        with Realogy’s Global Client Solutions          mary markets.
center anchored by Kohl’s, J.C. Penney
and Dicks Sporting Goods. The Oak
Brook, Ill.-based REIT expects to real-       what is your average vacancy rate
ize an 8.1% cap rate on the property.         in secondary and tertiary markets?
   Likewise, Raleigh-Durham, N.C.,              0% - 10%                                                                             46%
has seen its star rise, according to
Billie Redmond, president of locally-          11% - 20%                                                 31%
based Coldwell Banker Commercial               21% - 30%                     10%
Trademark Properties. She points
to the recent trend in which sizeable
                                               31% - 40%             6%
organizations are choosing to move              Over 41%           5%
                                                                                                                            National Real Estate
from large metropolitan markets to                                                                     Investor, Retail Traffic, Coldwell Banker
smaller cities.
                                                 No reply    1%                                               Commercial Survey – June 2011



                                                                                                            Beyond Core Markets C3
Be yond Core Marke tS


                                                                       Capital Flows to Smaller Markets
       The non-traded R EIT recently
                                                                       Availability of capital is a key determining factor when it comes to
    invested nearly $33 million in the ter-                            investing in secondary and tertiary markets, according to a survey
    tiary markets of San Marcos, Texas, a                              conducted exclusively for National Real Estate Investor (NREI), Retail
    college	town	located	about	45	minutes	                             Traffic and Coldwell Banker Commercial.
    south of Austin, and Bismarck, N.D.,
                                                                       And, after a long dry spell, it seems that financing is finally available
    which has a population of 108,779,                                 for investors who are making bets on smaller markets. Both local
    according to the 2010 U.S. Census.                                 and regional banks are lending again, albeit sparingly, and as pension
       In San Marcos, Cole acquired                                    funds and life insurance company lenders focus on core and primary
    Red Oak Village, a 176,000-square-                                 markets, conduit lenders have been forced to head to smaller markets
    foot, 96% leased power center for                                  to meet their origination objectives.
    about $22 million. In Bismarck, it                                 For example, Stonegate Real Estate Investments LLC refinanced two
    bought Pinehurst Square West, a                                    trophy office properties, one in Birmingham, Ala., and one in Oklahoma
    69,000-square-foot power center that                               City, for a total of $70 million. Wells Fargo provided two 10-year, fixed-
    is shadow anchored by Lowe’s and                                   rate mortgages for the four-building Urban Center in Birmingham and
                                                                       Quail Springs Parkway Plaza in Oklahoma City.
    Kohl’s,	for	$10.25	million.	
       Moreover, rental rate growth in sec-                            Similarly, Parmenter Realty Partners was able to obtain two CMBS
    ondary and tertiary markets still can                              loans totaling $85 million for its two Class A office buildings, Warren
    be rewarding to owners, albeit not as                              Place I & II. JP Morgan Chase originated the loans for the properties,
    extreme or volatile as core or coastal                             which total 959,928 square feet.
    markets. For example, Parmenter                                    “Most secondary and tertiary markets tend to avoid overbuilding
    Realty Partners COO Andrew Weiss                                   during development cycles, and one could argue that, because they
    says its trophy office buildings, known                            lack the volatility often seen in markets that investors really like, they
    as Warren Place I & II in Tulsa, Okla.,                            actually are less risky,” says Norm Nichols, executive vice president
                                                                       and manager of income property finance for KeyBank Real Estate
    performed well throughout the reces-
                                                                       Capital, the segment of the bank’s business that is focused on private
    sion: occupancy has stayed well above                              commercial real estate owners, investors and developers.
    90% and rents continue to increase.
       Tulsa, with a population of 391,906,
    has a diversified economy that con-                          market,” explains Brad Miller, presi-                         are	arriving	–	more	than	15,800	of	
    tinues to create jobs, Weiss says. As                        dent of Encore Multi-Family, which                            whom are working-age spouses.
    of May 2011, the unemployment rate                           has projects under development in                                El Paso’s apartment market occu-
    in	that	market	was	just	5.8%,	roughly	                       other secondary and tertiary mar-                             pancy is hovering at 98%, setting the
    3.5%	lower	than	the	national	unem-                           kets throughout Texas, including                              stage for rent growth. In fact, a recent
    ployment rate, according to the U.S.                         Texarkana and Temple, for a total of                          report by MPF Research calculated
    Bureau of Labor Statistics.                                  more than $33 million in project costs.                       that the nation’s strongest rent growth
       Tulsa’s strong economy has com-                              Likewise, in El Paso, Texas, demand                        during the past year has occurred in
    pelled Encore Multi-Family LLC to                            for apartments has outstripped supply                         El Paso.
    enter the market. The Dallas-based                           as the city absorbs thousands of new                             Resource Realty hasn’t overlooked
    apartment developer has broken                               residents from the expansion of Fort                          the opportunities El Paso offers,
    ground on a new project in Bixby, one                        Bliss. The army base has benefitted                           Feldman says. “We’ve made a lot of
    of Tulsa’s suburbs.                                          from the Base Realignment and Closure                         investments in El Paso because we
       “When we look at a market like                            (BRAC) program – its population has                           like smaller markets that have good
    Bixby, which is the fastest growing                          increased from 17,000 troops to 24,000,                       economic drivers like Fort Bliss,” he
    city in Oklahoma, we don’t think it’s                        with 40,000 troops expected by 2013.                          explains. “Sometimes bigger isn’t nec-
    a risky market, even if it isn’t a core                      An additional 36,800 family members                           essarily better.” l



   aBout Coldwell Banker CoMMerCial
   A subsidiary of Realogy Corporation, the Coldwell Banker Commercial® (CBC®) organization is a worldwide leader in the
   commercial real estate industry. Headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, the company is comprised of a collaborative global
   network of independently owned and operated affiliates. In fact, the Coldwell Banker Commercial organization has one of the largest geographic footprints in commercial
   real estate with nearly 200 companies and over 2,000 professionals throughout the U.S. and internationally. CBC professionals offer a comprehensive portfolio of Service
   Lines for most major property types. Visit their website at www.cbcworldwide.com for more information.


    C4 Beyond Core Markets

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Beyond Key Findings: Investors Seek Opportunities in Non-Core Markets

  • 1. Beyond Key Findings Core Markets Investors seek hIgher yIelds  A recent survey conducted exclusively for National Real Estate Investor (NREI), Retail Traffic and Coldwell Banker In non-Core Markets Commercial® found that 44% of respondents expect to make additional investments in non-core markets in 2011; A s the commercial real estate sector continues to recover from the “Great also, 41% of respondents Recession,” investors across the nation are ramping up their acquisition say those markets offer and development activity. While core, coastal markets such as New the best development York, Washington, D.C., Southern California and San Francisco continue to be opportunities today. the most desirable locales for most larger, institutional investors, non-core and  Owners expect to continue alternative markets are increasingly attractive. These alternative markets offer to invest in their properties an attractive option to core markets, particularly for entrepreneurial and non- in secondary and tertiary institutional investors. markets. In fact, nearly half of respondents plan to “Smart money is looking at alternative mar- upgrade their properties. “Smart money is kets due to better returns, higher upside and Meanwhile, 40% plan to looking at alternative less competition,” says Fred Schmidt, presi- increase rents in 2011. markets due to better dent & COO of Coldwell Banker Commercial Affiliates. “Secondary and tertiary markets  46% of respondents say the returns, higher upside allow investors to achieve a higher yield, vacancy rate for their smaller and less competition. along with diversification of assets and geog- market portfolio is less than 10%. Nearly four out of 10 Secondary and tertiary raphy. They offer an opportunity to generate respondents expect the markets allow investors real wealth and returns.” vacancy rate to decrease to achieve a higher A recent survey conducted exclusively for somewhat or greatly in 2011. Another 40% say the vacancy yield, along with National Real Estate Investor (NREI), Retail rate will stay the same; 45% diversification of assets Traffic and Coldwell Banker Commercial of respondents expect rents and geography. They found that 44% of respondents expect to to increase in 2011. offer an opportunity make additional investments in non-core  Respondents have seen to generate real markets in 2011; 41% of respondents say these average cap rates of 8% to wealth and returns.” markets offer the best development opportu- 12.5% in non-core markets. nities today. Fred Schmidt, “Ever yone wa nts to invest in major  Strength of economy and preSident & cOO OF availability of financing were cOldwell BAnker markets, but as cap rates are driven down, the two most important cOmmerciAl AFFiliAteS investors are willing to accept more risk and factors when considering an move into secondary and tertiary markets,” investment in a secondary says H. Michael Schwartz, CEO of Strategic and tertiary market. Storage Trust Inc., the first and only public, non-traded REIT that specializes in the self-storage industry. Today, SSTI’s portfolio includes approximately 48,000 self-storage units, 6 million rentable square feet of storage space and 76 proper- Survey Methodology ties located in 17 states and Canada. Between May 12 and June 5, 2011, NREI and RT surveyed commercial real estate owner, manager and developer subscribers using an email invitation containing a link to the online questionnaire. The findings presented in this report are based on the 194 qualified responses that were received. Beyond Core Markets C1
  • 2. Be yond Core Marke tS The NREI/Retail Traffic/Coldwell and worries that smaller markets are ception often plays a greater role than Banker Commercial survey collected more vulnerable to shifts in demand reality when it comes to investing in data from 194 developers, owners and and supply because markets are not as smaller markets. “They haven’t stud- managers from May 12 to June 6, 2011. deep as larger, core markets. ied the markets enough to know the Respondents own and/or manage an Since the financial crisis and the real risk, so it’s easier to say ‘no,’” he average 1.4 million square feet of com- onset of the recession, however, inves- explains. “Sometimes the reasons mercial real estate in secondary and tors have eschewed risk and focused why an investor won’t look at a par- tertiary markets. predominantly on the best proper- ticular place have nothing to do with Additional key findings: ties in the best markets. This “flight market fundamentals.” investment: to quality” has limited the interest in • Owners expect to continue to secondary and tertiary markets. Yet, viBrant MiCro-eConoMieS invest in their properties in sec- investor appetite for risk – or perhaps In fact, many smaller markets not ondary and tertiary markets. In acceptance is a more accurate descrip- only have vibrant, growing econo- fact, nearly half of respondents tion – is slowly returning as property mies, but population growth as well. plan to upgrade their properties. valuations stabilize. An annual ranking of the top eco- Meanwhile, 40% plan to increase “We’re back to a more normalized nomic growth markets in the United rents in 2011. market where investors are compen- States conducted by POLICOM found Vacancy: sated for risk,” Dietrich says. “As a that only one of the top 10 markets • 46% of respondents say the vacancy result, we’re seeing investors being less was considered “core” or “primary” rate for their smaller market port- cautious and looking at properties and markets for most commercial real folio is less than 10%. markets they wouldn’t have looked at estate investors: Washington, D.C. • Nearly four out of 10 respondents last year.” The Palm City, Fla.-based eco- expect the vacancy rate to decrease Yet, secondary and tertiary markets nomic consulting f irm measures somewhat or greatly in 2011. often are overlooked or misunder- 23 economic factors over a 20-year • Another 40% say the vacancy rate will stay the same. what are you planning for your properties • 45% of respondents expect rents to in secondary and/or tertiary markets in 2011? increase in 2011. returns: Upgrades 48% • Strength of economy and availabil- Increasing rent 40% ity of financing were the two most Expansion 26% important factors when consider- Lowering rent 13% ing an investment in a secondary Contraction 6% and tertiary market. Downgrades 2% rewarded for riSk Other 11% National Real Estate Investor, Du r i ng t he most recent ma rket No reply 4% Retail Traffic, Coldwell Banker Commercial Survey – June 2011 boom, the risk premium for assets in secondary and tertiary markets stood, especially by larger, institutional period to identify the top performing eroded as competition for real estate investors. “In general, people think markets in the nation. “The rankings intensified. The yield spread between that larger markets are deeper – that do not reflect the latest ‘hotspot’ or properties in core markets such as they have greater demand to capture, boom town, but the areas that have Washington, D.C., and smaller, non- but they’re missing out,” says Dan t he best economic fou ndat ion,” core markets such as Minneapolis Bernstein, chief investment officer and says William Fruth, president of narrowed to the point where it was executive vice president at Campus POLICOM. “While most communi- almost non-existent. Apartments, the largest privately ties have slowed or declined during Simply put, investors were not held student housing company in the this recession, the strongest areas being rewarded for risk, explains United States. have been able to weather the storm.” Robert Dietrich, managing director in Mark Stapp, a real estate developer “ T he cit ies t hat have no eco- FMV Opinions’ real estate valuation and executive director of the Master nomic drivers – where industries services division. Throughout market of Real Estate Development program have departed – it’s very difficult to ups and downs, those risks have not at the W.P. Carey School of Business think about why one should invest changed – concerns about exit strategy at Arizona State University, says per- in them,” says Alan Feldman, CEO C2 Beyond Core Markets
  • 3. Be yond Core MarketS what is the average cap rate you have been group. “Many smaller cities are will- seeing in secondary and tertiary markets? ing to provide significant financial National Real Estate Investor, Retail Traffic, and tax incentives that aren’t available 0% - 10% 2% Coldwell Banker Commercial Survey – June 2011 in major markets.” 3% - 5% 10% 6% - 8% 40% ChaSing yield Investors interested in secondary and 9% - 10% 35% tertiary markets are chasing yield Over 10% 13% and focused on markets with strong economic drivers and dominant prop- No reply 1% erties in the market. “Part of the beauty of investing at Philadelphia-based Resource Real “Because of our region’s afford- in secondary and tertiary markets is Estate, which manages roughly $1.5 ability and projected growth, we’ve that there’s less of a herd mentality,” billion in assets. “But smaller towns seen a number of large national insti- Bernstein says. “People flood larger that have something to offer – sustain- tutions and industries transfer from markets and suddenly there’s greater able industries and growing regional their existing metro locations to our competition – prices are driven up economies – those can offer outsized market,” Redmond adds. “We have and cap rates are driven down.” returns because fewer people are inter- even seen financial service compa- Bernstein recalls a recent opportu- ested in investing in them.” nies relocate to Raleigh-Durham nity to acquire a student housing asset Consider Shreveport, La. – a ter- from Manhattan.” in New York City. The property was tiary market by anyone’s measure with priced to trade at a 2% cap rate. “I’d a population of 398,694, according to “In general, people think rather make additional investments the 2010 U.S. Census. This southern that larger markets are in the markets in which we’ve seen city currently is enjoying an economic deeper – that they have higher yields – markets like Lancaster, boom, driven primarily by the natural greater demand to capture, Pa., or Richmond, Va., where we have gas sector. It is experiencing in-migra- a 23-building portfolio – than invest but they’re missing out,” tion as people seek jobs created by the in a core market and get a 2% return,” dAn BernStein, chieF Haynesville Shale, one of the largest he says. inVeStment OFFicer And natural gas deposits on the planet. executiVe Vice preSident Better yields are one of the reasons Admittedly, Shreveport is not a At cAmpuS ApArtmentS why Phoenix-based Cole Real Estate market that most investors seek out. Investments is open to investing in Given the opportunity and knowledge “With corporate clients, we’ve smaller markets, according to Scott of the market, however, smart inves- noticed that many of them willingly Holmes, vice president of acquisitions tors jump at the chance to invest there. bypass larger markets in favor of sec- and team leader for multi-tenant retail For example, earlier this year, ondary or tertiary markets when it acquisitions. He notes that second- Inland Diversified Real Estate Trust comes to setting up back-office, call ary and tertiary markets can provide Inc. invested $43.5 million in the mar- center or data operations,” according yields premiums – anywhere from 50 ket to acquire Regal Court Shopping to Vik Bangia, a senior vice president to 150 basis points higher than pri- Centre, a 363,167-square-foot power with Realogy’s Global Client Solutions mary markets. center anchored by Kohl’s, J.C. Penney and Dicks Sporting Goods. The Oak Brook, Ill.-based REIT expects to real- what is your average vacancy rate ize an 8.1% cap rate on the property. in secondary and tertiary markets? Likewise, Raleigh-Durham, N.C., 0% - 10% 46% has seen its star rise, according to Billie Redmond, president of locally- 11% - 20% 31% based Coldwell Banker Commercial 21% - 30% 10% Trademark Properties. She points to the recent trend in which sizeable 31% - 40% 6% organizations are choosing to move Over 41% 5% National Real Estate from large metropolitan markets to Investor, Retail Traffic, Coldwell Banker smaller cities. No reply 1% Commercial Survey – June 2011 Beyond Core Markets C3
  • 4. Be yond Core Marke tS Capital Flows to Smaller Markets The non-traded R EIT recently Availability of capital is a key determining factor when it comes to invested nearly $33 million in the ter- investing in secondary and tertiary markets, according to a survey tiary markets of San Marcos, Texas, a conducted exclusively for National Real Estate Investor (NREI), Retail college town located about 45 minutes Traffic and Coldwell Banker Commercial. south of Austin, and Bismarck, N.D., And, after a long dry spell, it seems that financing is finally available which has a population of 108,779, for investors who are making bets on smaller markets. Both local according to the 2010 U.S. Census. and regional banks are lending again, albeit sparingly, and as pension In San Marcos, Cole acquired funds and life insurance company lenders focus on core and primary Red Oak Village, a 176,000-square- markets, conduit lenders have been forced to head to smaller markets foot, 96% leased power center for to meet their origination objectives. about $22 million. In Bismarck, it For example, Stonegate Real Estate Investments LLC refinanced two bought Pinehurst Square West, a trophy office properties, one in Birmingham, Ala., and one in Oklahoma 69,000-square-foot power center that City, for a total of $70 million. Wells Fargo provided two 10-year, fixed- is shadow anchored by Lowe’s and rate mortgages for the four-building Urban Center in Birmingham and Quail Springs Parkway Plaza in Oklahoma City. Kohl’s, for $10.25 million. Moreover, rental rate growth in sec- Similarly, Parmenter Realty Partners was able to obtain two CMBS ondary and tertiary markets still can loans totaling $85 million for its two Class A office buildings, Warren be rewarding to owners, albeit not as Place I & II. JP Morgan Chase originated the loans for the properties, extreme or volatile as core or coastal which total 959,928 square feet. markets. For example, Parmenter “Most secondary and tertiary markets tend to avoid overbuilding Realty Partners COO Andrew Weiss during development cycles, and one could argue that, because they says its trophy office buildings, known lack the volatility often seen in markets that investors really like, they as Warren Place I & II in Tulsa, Okla., actually are less risky,” says Norm Nichols, executive vice president and manager of income property finance for KeyBank Real Estate performed well throughout the reces- Capital, the segment of the bank’s business that is focused on private sion: occupancy has stayed well above commercial real estate owners, investors and developers. 90% and rents continue to increase. Tulsa, with a population of 391,906, has a diversified economy that con- market,” explains Brad Miller, presi- are arriving – more than 15,800 of tinues to create jobs, Weiss says. As dent of Encore Multi-Family, which whom are working-age spouses. of May 2011, the unemployment rate has projects under development in El Paso’s apartment market occu- in that market was just 5.8%, roughly other secondary and tertiary mar- pancy is hovering at 98%, setting the 3.5% lower than the national unem- kets throughout Texas, including stage for rent growth. In fact, a recent ployment rate, according to the U.S. Texarkana and Temple, for a total of report by MPF Research calculated Bureau of Labor Statistics. more than $33 million in project costs. that the nation’s strongest rent growth Tulsa’s strong economy has com- Likewise, in El Paso, Texas, demand during the past year has occurred in pelled Encore Multi-Family LLC to for apartments has outstripped supply El Paso. enter the market. The Dallas-based as the city absorbs thousands of new Resource Realty hasn’t overlooked apartment developer has broken residents from the expansion of Fort the opportunities El Paso offers, ground on a new project in Bixby, one Bliss. The army base has benefitted Feldman says. “We’ve made a lot of of Tulsa’s suburbs. from the Base Realignment and Closure investments in El Paso because we “When we look at a market like (BRAC) program – its population has like smaller markets that have good Bixby, which is the fastest growing increased from 17,000 troops to 24,000, economic drivers like Fort Bliss,” he city in Oklahoma, we don’t think it’s with 40,000 troops expected by 2013. explains. “Sometimes bigger isn’t nec- a risky market, even if it isn’t a core An additional 36,800 family members essarily better.” l aBout Coldwell Banker CoMMerCial A subsidiary of Realogy Corporation, the Coldwell Banker Commercial® (CBC®) organization is a worldwide leader in the commercial real estate industry. Headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, the company is comprised of a collaborative global network of independently owned and operated affiliates. In fact, the Coldwell Banker Commercial organization has one of the largest geographic footprints in commercial real estate with nearly 200 companies and over 2,000 professionals throughout the U.S. and internationally. CBC professionals offer a comprehensive portfolio of Service Lines for most major property types. Visit their website at www.cbcworldwide.com for more information. C4 Beyond Core Markets