This document from the North Carolina Citizens for Freedom and Equality Foundation provides information and analysis on the 2014 elections in North Carolina. It discusses demographic and population changes in NC and how they are shifting the state's political landscape. Data and statistics are presented on voter registration numbers, turnout, election results, and partisan preferences in different areas of the state for congressional districts, state legislative districts, and other state-wide races.

1. 2014 Election Updates & Insights
NCFEF is a non-partisan, nonprofit organization that
conducts impartial, objective research and analysis on
candidates, campaigns, voter attitudes and demographic
changes that impact North Carolina’s political landscape.
Joe Stewart
Executive Director
jstewart@ncfef.org
(919) 614-0520
www.ncfef.org
@ncfef
NCFEF

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4. • Now over 70 key industry and
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21
6

5. 2015 NCFEF Conventional Voting Behavior (CVB)
Partisan topography of NC
has shifted from
West v. East
to
Urban v. Rural
NC CVB
COMP
In URBAN – RURAL partisan alignment
SUBURBS = BATTLE GROUND
50%
Non-Native
Most Rural
Urban State
Continued
growth

7. North Carolina – larger, more diverse, older
Total
Population
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65+
64-18
<18
1990
6,628,637
75.6% 22.0% 1.2% 1.2% 12.1%
63.5%
35.8
24.4%
2015
10,042,802
63.8% 22.1% 9.1% 5.0% 15.1%
62.1%
37.8
22.8%

9. North Carolina’s Shifting Political Landscape

10. NC Population Growth Not Even
49 NC counties have lost population since 2010
(2014 Census Bureau Data)

11. Population
growth brings
greater
urbanization &
demographic
diversity
Generational
shift in
partisan and
ideological
orientation
Continued
globalization and
of economy

12. 2016 Election

13. 2012 Early Voting

14. 2016 Early Voting

15. 2016 Early Voting

16. 2016 Early Voting

17. Turnout
Year
Early
% of votes cast
Election Day
Turnout
% of reg voters
2008
2,476,411
56.88%
1,809,166
4,353,739
69.93%

18. Turnout
Year
Early
% of votes cast
Election Day
Turnout
% of reg voters
2008
2,476,411
56.88%
1,809,166
4,353,739
69.93%
2012
2,745,914
60.95%
1,736,377
4,505,372
68.42%

19. Turnout
Year
Early
% of votes cast
Election Day
Turnout
% of reg voters
2008
2,476,411
56.88%
1,809,166
4,353,739
69.93%
2012
2,745,914
60.95%
1,736,377
4,505,372
68.42%
2016
3,102,834
65.8%
1,612,924
4,715,758
68.2%

20. 2016 President – Final Polls

21. 2016 President – North Carolina
Trump
49.9%✔
Clinton
46.1%
Johnson
2.7%

22. 2016 President – North Carolina

23. 2016 President – Electoral College

26. Insider, in an election
where voters wanted an
outsider
Did not win over
‘Obama coalition,’
especially young
people
We should have known
when only real
challenge in Democratic
Primary was a guy
who’s not a Democrat
Simply not popular

27. What does this election say about the
future of the Republican Party … ?

28. 2016 President – Exit Polls

29. 2016 President – Exit Polls

30. 2016 President – Exit Polls

31. 2016 President – Exit Polls

32. 2016 President – Exit Polls

33. 2016 President – Exit Polls

34. 2016 US Senate – Final Polls

35. 2016 US Senate
Haugh (L)
3.6%
Burr (R) – I
51.1%✔
Ross (D)
45.3%

36. 2016 US Senate

37. NC Congressional Districts

38. DISTRICT, CVB, REGISTRATION CANDIDATES VOTE
NC 1 – Strong DEM
Bertie, Durham, Edgecombe, Gates,
Granville, Halifax, Hertford, Martin,
Northampton, Pitt, Vance, Warren,
Washington, Wilson
61.6%-15.3%-22.8%-0.3%
✔G. K. Butterfield (I) – 68.6%
J.J. Summerell – 2.4%
H. Powell Dew, Jr. – 29.0%
NC 2 – Strong REP
Franklin, Harnett, Johnston, Nash,
Wake, Wilson
36.1%-34.7%-28.8%-0.5%
John P. McNeil – 43.3%
✔George Holding (I) – 56.7%
NC 3 – Lean REP
Beaufort, Camden, Carteret, Chowan,
Craven, Currituck, Dare, Greene, Hyde,
Jones, Lenoir, Onslow, Pamlico,
Pasquotank, Perquimans, Pitt, Tyrrell
38.0%-31.8%-29.8%-0.4%
Ernest T. Reeves – 32.7%
✔Walter B. Jones (I) – 67.3%
2016 US House

39. DISTRICT, CVB, REGISTRATION CANDIDATES VOTE
NC 4 – Strong DEM
Durham, Orange, Wake
44.3%-20.8%-34.3%-0.6%
✔David Price (I) – 68.2%
Sue Googe – 31.8%
NC 5 – Strong REP
Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery,
Catawba, Forsyth, Stokes, Surry,
Watauga, Wilkes, Yadkin
34.3%-37.9%-27.3%-0.4%
Josh Brannon – 41.5%
✔Virginia Foxx (I) – 58.5%
NC 6 – Strong REP
Alamance, Caswell, Chatham,
Guilford, Lee, Person, Randolph,
Rockingham
39.0%-33.6%-27.0%-0.4%
Pete Glidewell – 40.7%
✔B. Mark Walker (I) – 59.3%
2016 US House

40. DISTRICT, CVB, REGISTRATION CANDIDATES VOTE
NC 7 – Lean REP
Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus,
Duplin, Johnston, New Hanover,
Pender, Sampson, Wayne
38.4%-32.7%-28.5%-0.4%
J. Wesley Casteen – 39.0%
✔David Rouzer (I) – 61.0%
NC 8 – Lean REP
Cabarrus, Cumberland, Hoke,
Montgomery, Moore, Rowan, Stanly
36.8%-33.8%-29.0%-0.4%
Thomas Mills – 41.2%
✔Richard Hudson (I) – 58.8%
NC 9 – Strong REP
Anson, Bladen, Cumberland,
Mecklenburg, Richmond, Robeson,
Scotland, Union
40.9%-31.5%-27.3%-0.3%
Christian Cano – 41.7%
✔Robert Pittenger (I) – 58.3%
2016 US House

41. DISTRICT, CVB, REGISTRATION CANDIDATES VOTE
NC 10 – Strong REP
Buncombe, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston,
Iredell, Lincoln, Polk, Rutherford
34.6%-35.2%-29.8%-0.4%
Andy Millard – 36.9%
✔Patrick McHenry (I) – 63.1%
NC 11 – Strong REP
Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Cherokee,
Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson,
Jackson, Macon, Madison, McDowell,
Mitchell, Swain, Transylvania, Yancey
31.9%-35.1%-32.5%-0.4%
Rick Bryson – 35.9%
✔Mark Meadows (I) – 64.1%
NC 12 – Strong DEM
Mecklenburg
50.2%-20.7%-28.6%-0.5%
✔Alma Adams (I) – 67.0%
Leon Threatt – 33.0%
NC 13 – Lean REP OPEN SEAT
Davidson, Davie, Guilford, Iredell, Rowan
37.2%-35.0%-27.4%-0.4%
Bruce Davis – 43.9%
✔Ted Budd – 56.1%
2016 US House

42. 2016 NC Supreme Court
Edmunds Seat
Robert H. Edmunds
R-Guilford
45.5%
Michael Morgan
D-Wake
54.5%✔

44. CANDIDATES VOTE CANDIDATES VOTE
Linda Stephens (D) 48.7% ✔Valarie Zackery (R) 53.8%
✔Phil Berger, Jr. (R) 50.3%
Rickye
McKoy-Mitchell (D)
46.2%
✔Bob Hunter (R) 54.4% ✔Richard Dietz (R) 53.5%
Abe Jones (D) 45.6% Vince Rozier (D) 46.5%
OPEN SEAT
✔Hunter Murphy (R) 48.8%
Margaret Eagles (D) 45.5%
Donald R. Buie (U) 5.7%
2016 NC Court of Appeals

45. 2016 Governor
Cecil – (L) McCrory (R) - I Cooper - (D)

46. 2016 Governor
Cecil (L)
2.3%
McCrory (R) – I
48.8%
Cooper (D)
48.9%✔

47. 2016 Governor

49. RACE CANDIDATES VOTE
Lt. Governor
✔Forest (I) – 51.9%
Coleman – 45.3%
Cole – 2.9%
OPEN SEAT
Attorney General
Newton – 49.8%
✔Stein – 50.2%
Auditor
Stuber – 49.9%
✔Wood (I) – 50.1%
Agriculture Commissioner
✔Troxler (I) – 55.6%
Smith – 44.4%
Insurance Commissioner
✔Causey – 50.4%
Goodwin (I) – 49.6%
2016 NC Council of State

50. RACE CANDIDATES VOTE
Labor Commission
✔Berry (I) – 55.2%
Meeker – 44.7%
Secretary of State
LaPaglia – 47.8%
✔Marshall (I) – 52.5%
Superintendent of Public
Instruction
✔Johnson – 50.6%
Atkinson (I) – 49.4%
OPEN SEAT
State Treasurer
✔Folwell – 52.7%
Blue – 47.3%
2016 NC Council of State

51. Votes Cast Office
Ballot
Order
4,688,664 President
-28,914 Governor 1
-89,550 Lt. Governor 2
-125,967 Attorney General 3
-164,620 Agriculture 5
-168,139 Labor 7
-176,506 Secretary of State 8
-189,866 Public Instruction 9
-194,889 Auditor 4
-201,730 Insurance Commissioner 6
-204,701 State Treasurer 10
2016 NC Council of State

52. 2016 President – North Carolina

53. 2016 US Senate

54. 2016 Governor

55. 2016 General Election – 50% of Votes
41.54%
37.04%
40.58%
46.26%
21.74%
40.77% 41.25%
51.03%
65.06%
37.92%
34.17% 37.02%
41.55%
19.79%
37.57%
41.87%
46.26%
63.58%
37.23% 32.90% 38.16% 42.66% 18.22% 40.11% 40.25% 49.55% 63.17%
BURR % McCRORY % TRUMP %

56. 2016 General Election – Biggest Vote Margin
36,082 35,542
32,214
30,485
29,723
27,012
34,681 35,108 35,566
29,581 28,589
26,382
29,901 28,380 30,677 26,208 22,114 22,449
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
RANDOLPH DAVIDSON UNION GASTON IREDELL CATAWBA
TRUMP V CLINTON BURR v ROSS McCRORY v COOPER

57. NC General Assembly
DIST CVB RATING SR LR COMP LD SD
CURRENT
NC House
74–45–1 59 14 8
3R 4D 1U
2 37
NC Senate
34–16 24 6 4
4 GOP
0 16

58. NC General Assembly
DIST CVB RATING SR LR COMP LD SD
CURRENT
NC House
74–45–1 59 14 8
3R 4D 1U
2 37
NC Senate
34–16 24 6 4
4 GOP
0 16
2017
NC House
74–46
59
57D 2D
14
12R 2D
8
4R 4D
2 37
1R 36D
NC Senate
35–15 24 6 4
4 GOP
0 16
1R 15D

59. CVB for NC SENATE 34 REP – 16 DEM
STRONG DEM (16) COMPETITIVE (4) LEAN REP (6) STRONG REP (24)
28
Robinson
Guilford
21
Clark
Hoke
19
Meredith
Cumberland
8
Rabon
Brunswick
50
Davis
Macon
24
Gunn
Alamance
39
Rucho (NR)
Mecklenburg
40
Waddell*
Mecklenburg
5
Davis
Greene
1
Cook
Beaufort
9
Lee*
New Hanover
46
Daniel
Burke
47
Hise
Mitchell
31
Krawiec
Forsyth
38
Ford
Mecklenburg
13
Smith*
Robeson
25 McInnis*
Richmond
15
Alexander*
Wake
27
Wade
Guilford
2
Sanderson
Pamlico
44
Curtis
Lincoln
14
Blue
Wake
23
Foushee
Orange
18
Barefoot
Wake
10
B. Jackson
Sampson
11
Newton
(NR)
Wilson
45
Ballard**
Watauga
35
Tucker
Union
20
McKissick
Durham
22
Woodard
Durham
12
Rabin
Harnett
6
Brown
Onslow
48
Apodaca
(NR)
Henderson
42
Wells*
Catawba
4
Bryant
Nash
37
J. Jackson
Mecklenburg
17
Barringer
Wake
41
Tarte
Mecklenburg
36
Hartsell (NR)
Cabarrus
33
Bingham (NR)
Davidson
3
Smith-
Ingram*
Edgecombe
16
Chaudhuri**
Wake
26
Berger
Rockingham
43
Harrington
Gaston
30
Randleman
Wilkes
32
Lowe*
Forsyth
49
Van Duyn*
Buncombe
*freshman **appointed
italics = winner
NR = not running in 2016
7
Pate
Wayne
34 Brock
Davie
29
Tillman
Randolph

60. CVB for NC SENATE 35 REP – 15 DEM
STRONG DEM (16) COMPETITIVE (4) LEAN REP (6) STRONG REP (24)
28
Robinson
Guilford
21
Clark
Hoke
19
Meredith
Cumberland
8
Rabon
Brunswick
50
Davis
Macon
24
Gunn
Alamance
39
BISHOP
Mecklenburg
40
Waddell
Mecklenburg
5
Davis
Greene
1
Cook
Beaufort
9
Lee
New Hanover
46
Daniel
Burke
47
Hise
Mitchell
31
Krawiec
Forsyth
38
Ford
Mecklenburg
13
Britt
Robeson
25 McInnis
Richmond
15
Alexander
Wake
27
Wade
Guilford
2
Sanderson
Pamlico
44
Curtis
Lincoln
14
Blue
Wake
23
Foushee
Orange
18
Barefoot
Wake
10
B. Jackson
Sampson
11
HORNER
Wilson
45
Ballard
Watauga
35
Tucker
Union
20
McKissick
Durham
22
Woodard
Durham
12
Rabin
Harnett
6
Brown
Onslow
48
EDWARDS
Henderson
42
Wells
Catawba
4
Bryant
Nash
37
J. Jackson
Mecklenburg
17
Barringer
Wake
41
Tarte
Mecklenburg
36
NEWTON
Cabarrus
33
DUNN
Davidson
3
Smith-
Ingram
Edgecombe
16
CHAUDHURI
Wake
26
Berger
Rockingham
43
Harrington
Gaston
30
Randleman
Wilkes
32
Lowe
Forsyth
49
Van Duyn
Buncombe
7
Pate
Wayne
34 Brock
Davie
29
Tillman
Randolph

61. NC Senate Districts
In Lawsuit

62. DIST CVB WINNER
3 SD Erica Smith-Ingram
5 SD Don Davis
6 SR Harry Brown
7 SR Louis Pate
8 LR Bill Rabon
10 LR Brent Jackson
14 SD Dan Blue
26 SR Phil Berger
29 SR Jerry Tillman
31 SR Joyce Krawiec
32 SD Paul Lowe
34 SR Andrew C. Brock
35 SR Tommy Tucker
42 SR Andy Wells
43 SR Kathy Harrington
2016 NC Senate – WINNERS

63. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
1 CO 1,165 80.0
✔Bill Cook (I) – 59.2%
Brownie Futrell – 40.8%
2 SR 3,151 90.0
✔Norman Sanderson (I) – 66.3%
Dorothea White – 33.7%
4 SD -3,495 45.0
✔Angela R. Bryant (I) – 67.7%
Richard Scott – 32.3%
9 LR 13,579 90.0
✔Michael Lee (I) – 57.4%
Andrew Barnhill – 42.6%

64. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
12 LR 15,450 90.0
✔Ronald Rabin (I) – 57.6%
Susan Byerly – 42.4%
13 SD -553 54.2
Jane W. Smith (I) – 44.8%
✔Danny Earl (JR) Britt – 55.2%
15 LR 16,411 65.0
✔John Alexander (I) – 50.0%
Laurel Deegan-Fricke – 45.7%
Brad Hessell – 4.3%

65. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
17 LR 27,427 80.0
✔Tamara Barringer (I) – 48.3%
Susan Evans – 47.5%
Susan Hogarth – 4.2%
18 CO 16,934 90.0
✔Chad Barefoot (I) – 55.4%
Gil Johnson – 44.6%
19 CO 5,560 78.9
✔Wesley Meredith (I) – 56.5%
Toni Morris – 43.5%

66. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
20 SD 9,597 32.5
✔Floyd B. McKissick, Jr. (I) – 81.6%
Barbara Howe – 18.4%
21 SD 5,996 77.5
✔Ben Clark (I) – 71.8%
Dan Travieso – 28.2%
22 SD 14,891 52.3
✔Mike Woodard (I) – 65.5%
Greg Doucette – 34.5%
23 SD 11,812 37.2
✔Valerie P. Foushee (I) – 68.0%
Mary Lopez Carter – 32.0%

67. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
24 SR 4,950 95.0
✔Rick Gunn (I) – 60.9%
John Thorpe – 39.1%
25 CO -2,603 90.0
✔Tom McInnis (I) – 63.9%
Dannie Montgomery – 36.1%
27 SR 9,258 90.0
✔Trudy Wade (I) – 53.2%
Michael Garrett – 46.8%
28 SD 7,432 28.6
✔Gladys A. Robinson (I) – 83.8%
Devin R. King – 16.2%

68. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
30 SR -2,189 90.0
✔Shirley Randleman (I) – 72.6%
Michael Holleman – 27.4%
37 SD 15,790 38.2
✔Jeff Jackson (I) – 67.9%
Bob Diamond – 32.1%
38 SD 22,663 70.0
✔Joel Ford (I) – 79.2%
Richard Rivette – 20.8%

69. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
40 SD 12,219 35.8
✔Joyce Waddell (I) – 82.4%
Marguerite Cooke – 17.6%
41 SR 28,598 90.0
✔Jeff Tarte (I) – 54.6%
Jonathan Hudson – 40.6%
Chris Cole – 4.8%
44 SR 8,165 90.0
✔David L. Curtis (I) – 77.3%
Nick Haag – 22.7%
46 SR -2,428 80.5
✔Warren Daniel (I) – 66.2%
Anne Fischer – 33.8%

70. 2016 NC SENATE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
47 SR -1,473 85.8
✔Ralph Hise (I) – 64.9%
Mary Jane Boyd – 35.1%
49 SD 8,910 45.0
✔Terry Van Duyn (I) – 74.4%
William Meredith – 24.6%
50 SR 865 87.5
✔Jim Davis (I) – 62.5%
Jane Hipps – 37.5%

71. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC SENATE
DIST & INCUMBENT CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
11
NEWTON (R)
SR 4,638 79.4
✔Rick Horner – 61.2%
Albert Pacer – 38.8%
16
STEIN (D)
SD 17,905 40.0
Eric Weaver – 34.7%
✔Jay Chaudhuri – 65.3%
33
BINGHAM (R)
SR 791 85.8
✔Cathy Dunn – 71.6%
Jim Beall Graham – 28.4%
36
HARTSELL (R)
SR 14,784 85.5
✔Paul R. Newton – 62.6%
Robert Brown – 37.4%

72. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC SENATE
DIST & INCUMBENT CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
39
RUCHO (R)
SR 13,641 83.0
✔Dan Bishop – 56.8%
Lloyd Scher – 43.2%
45
SOUCEK (R)
SR -519 85.0
✔Deanna Ballard – 65.0%
Art Sherwood – 35.0%
48
APODACA (R)
SR 7,675 95.0
✔Chuck Edwards – 62.0%
Norman Bossert – 38.0%

73. STRONG DEM (37) LEAN REP (14) STRONG REP (59)
29
L. Hall
Durham
114
Fisher
Buncombe
66
Goodman
Richmond
118
Presnell
Yancey
55
Brody
Union
86
Blackwell
Burke
110
Hastings
Gaston
96
Adams*
Catawba
106
Cunningham
Mecklenburg 42
Lucas
Cumberland
39
Jackson
Wake
49
Pendleton*
Wake
14
Cleveland
Onslow
82
Pittman
Cabarrus
77
Warren
Rowan
69
Arp
Union
102
Carney
Mecklenburg
5
Hunter
Hertford
50
Meyer
Orange
9
Murphy**
Pitt
36
Dollar
Wake
15
Shepard
Onslow
98
Bradford*
Mecklenburg
13
McElraft
Carteret
31
Michaux
Durham
32
Baskerville (NR)
Garrison
Vance
LEAN DEM (2)
45
Szoka
Cumberland
40
Avila
Wake
109
Bumgardner
Gaston
91
Hall**
Stokes
81
Brown (NR)
Davidson
33
Gill
Wake
72
Hanes
Forsyth 54
Reives
Lee
63
Ross
Alamance
37
Stam (NR)
Wake
26
Daughtry (NR)
Johnston
74
Conrad
Forsyth
87
Robinson
(D. Hall)
Caldwell
99
R. Moore
Mecklenburg
100
Cotham (NR)
Autry
Mecklenburg
44
Richardson**
Cumberland
53
Lewis
Harnett
62
Blust
Guilford
16
Millis
Pender
104
Bishop (NR)
Mecklenburg
76
Ford
Rowan
38
Lewis Holley
Wake
23
Willingham*
Edgecombe
COMP (8)
93
Jordan
Ashe
111
T. Moore
Cleveland
83
Johnson
Cabarrus
10
J. Bell
Wayne
95
Fraley
Iredell
60
Brockman*
Guilford
47
C. Graham
Robeson
119
Queen
Haywood 1
Steinburg
Chowan
75
Lambeth
Forsyth
19
Davis
New Hanover
84
R. Turner
Iredell
89
Setzer
Catawba
58
Sgro*
Guilford
30
Luebke
Durham
2
Yarborough*
Person
65
Jones
Rockingham
88
Bryan
Mecklenburg
4
Dixon
Duplin
17
Iler
Brunswick
68
Horn
Union
107
Alexander
Mecklenburg
43
Floyd
Cumberland
22
Brisson
Bladen
3
Speciale
Craven
25
Collins
Nash
59
Hardister
Guilford
108
Torbett
Gaston
94
Elmore
Wilkes
56
Insko
Orange
21
L. Bell
Sampson
92
Moore**
Mecklenburg
51
Salmon*
Harnett
103
Brawley
Mecklenburg
61
Faircloth
Guilford
105
Schaffer (NR)
Mecklenburg
79
Howard
Davie
24
Farmer-
Butterfield
Wilson
7
Richardson
Franklin
115
Ager*
Buncombe
64
Riddell
Alamance
Catlin (NR)
Grange
New Hanover
52
Boles
Moore
97
Saine
Lincoln
48
Pierce
Scotland
18
Hamilton
New Hanover
6
Tine (NR)
Dare
116
B. Turner*
Buncombe
Rogers**
Rutherford
117
McGrady
Henderson
85
Dobson
McDowell
71
Terry
Forsyth
34
G. Martin
Wake
8
S. Martin
Wilson
35
Malone
Wake
Whitmire (NR)
Transylvania
120
West (NR)
Cherokee
73
Zachary*
Yadkin
57
Harrison
Guilford
12
Graham
Lenoir
41
Adcock*
Wake
28
Langdon (NR)
Johnston
80
Watford
Davidson
27
Wray
Northampton
11
D. Hall
Wake *freshman **appointed italics = winner
NR = not running in 2016
90
Stevens
Surry
70
Hurley
Randolph
101
Earle
Mecklenburg
46
Waddell (NR)
Columbus
67
Burr
Stanly
78
McNeill
Randolph
CVB for NC HOUSE 74 REP – 45 DEM – 1 UNA

74. STRONG DEM (37) LEAN REP (14) STRONG REP (59)
29
L. Hall
Durham
114
Fisher
Buncombe
66
Goodman
Richmond
118
Presnell
Yancey
55
Brody
Union
86
Blackwell
Burke
110
Hastings
Gaston
96
Adams
Catawba
106
Cunningham
Mecklenburg 42
Lucas
Cumberland
39
Jackson
Wake
49
BALL
Wake
14
Cleveland
Onslow
82
Pittman
Cabarrus
77
Warren
Rowan
69
Arp
Union
102
Carney
Mecklenburg
5
Hunter
Hertford
50
Meyer
Orange
9
MURPHY
Pitt
36
Dollar
Wake
15
Shepard
Onslow
98
Bradford
Mecklenburg
13
McElraft
Carteret
31
Michaux
Durham
32
GARRISON
Vance
LEAN DEM (2)
45
Szoka
Cumberland
40
JOHN
Wake
109
Bumgardner
Gaston
91
K. HALL
Stokes
81
POTTS
Davidson
33
Gill
Wake
72
Hanes
Forsyth
54
Reives
Lee
63
Ross
Alamance
37
HUNT-
WILLIAMS
Wake
26
WHITE
Johnston
74
Conrad
Forsyth
87
D. HALL
Caldwell
99
R. Moore
Mecklenburg
100
AUTRY
Mecklenburg
44
Richardson
Cumberland
53
Lewis
Harnett
62
Blust
Guilford
16
Millis
Pender
104
DULIN
Mecklenburg
76
Ford
Rowan
38
Lewis Holley
Wake
23
Willingham
Edgecombe
COMP (8)
93
Jordan
Ashe
111
T. Moore
Cleveland
83
Johnson
Cabarrus
10
J. Bell
Wayne
95
Fraley
Iredell
60
Brockman
Guilford
47
C. Graham
Robeson
119
CLAMPITT
Haywood
1
Steinburg
Chowan
75
Lambeth
Forsyth
19
Davis
New Hanover
84
R. Turner
Iredell
89
Setzer
Catawba
58
QUICK
Guilford
30
Luebke*
Durham
2
Yarborough
Person
65
Jones
Rockingham
88
BELK
Mecklenburg
4
Dixon
Duplin
17
Iler
Brunswick
68
Horn
Union
107
Alexander
Mecklenburg
43
Floyd
Cumberland
22
Brisson
Bladen
3
Speciale
Craven
25
Collins
Nash
59
Hardister
Guilford
108
Torbett
Gaston
94
Elmore
Wilkes
56
Insko
Orange
21
L. Bell
Sampson
92
BEASLEY
Mecklenburg
51
SAULS
Harnett
103
Brawley
Mecklenburg
61
Faircloth
Guilford
105
STONE
Mecklenburg
79
Howard
Davie
24
Farmer-
Butterfield
Wilson
7
Richardson
Franklin
115
Ager
Buncombe
64
Riddell
Alamance
20
GRANGE
New Hanover
52
Boles
Moore
97
Saine
Lincoln
48
Pierce
Scotland
18
Hamilton
New Hanover
6
BOSWELL
Dare
116
B. Turner
Buncombe
112
ROGERS
Rutherford
117
McGrady
Henderson
85
Dobson
McDowell
71
Terry
Forsyth
34
G. Martin
Wake
8
S. Martin
Wilson
35
Malone
Wake
113
HENSON
Transylvania
120
CORBIN
Cherokee
73
Zachary
Yadkin
57
Harrison
Guilford
12
Graham
Lenoir
41
Adcock
Wake
28
STRICKLAND
Johnston
80
Watford
Davidson
27
Wray
Northampton
11
D. Hall
Wake
90
Stevens
Surry
70
Hurley
Randolph
101
Earle
Mecklenburg
46
B. JONES
Columbus
67
Burr
Stanly
78
McNeill
Randolph
CVB for NC HOUSE 74 REP – 46 DEM

75. NC House Districts
In Lawsuit

76. 2016 NC House – WINNERS
DIST CVB INCUMBENT DIST CVB INCUMBENT DIST CVB INCUMBENT
4 SR Jimmy Dixon 48 SD Garland E. Pierce 78 SR Allen McNeill
5 SD Howard Hunter III 52 SR Jamie Boles 79 SR Julia Howard
12 SD George Graham 56 SD Verla Insko 80 SR Sam Watford
14 SR George G. Cleveland 57 SD Pricey Harrison 85 SR Josh Dobson
19 SR Ted Davis, Jr. 60 SD Cecil Brockman 89 SR Mitchell Setzer
21 SD Larry M. Bell 61 SR John Faircloth 95 SR John Fraley
22 COMP William D. Brisson 62 SR John Blust 96 SR Jay Adams
23 SD Shelly Willingham 63 LR Steve Ross 97 SR Jason Saine
24 SD Jean Farmer-Butterfield 64 LR Dennis Riddell 99 SD Rodney Moore
27 SD Michael Wray 66 SD Ken Goodman 102 SD Becky Carney
29 SD Larry Hall 68 SR Craig Horn 106 SD Carla Cunningham
31 SD Mickey Michaux 71 SD Evelyn Terry 107 SD Kelly Alexander
33 SD Rosa Gill 72 SD Ed Hanes 108 SR John A. Torbett
39 SD Darren Jackson 73 SR Lee Zachary 110 SR Kelly Hastings
42 SD Marvin W. Lucas 75 SR Donny Lambeth 111 SR Tim Moore
43 SD Elmer Floyd 76 SR Carl Ford 114 SD Susan C. Fisher
45 LR John Szoka 77 SR Harry Warren 116 LR Brian Turner
47 SD Charles Graham 117 SR Chuck McGrady

77. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
1 LR 768 92.5
✔Bob Steinburg (I) – 64.1%
Sam Davis – 35.9%
2 CO -1,605 85
✔Larry Yarborough (I) – 60.6%
Joe Parish – 39.4%
3 LR 368 71.7
✔Michael Speciale (I) – 64.9%
Marva Fisher Baldwin – 35.1%
7 SD -72 44.2
✔Bobbie J. Richardson (I) – 67.8%
William D. Hancock II – 32.2%

78. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
8 CO 1,861 90
✔Susan Martin (I) – 50.2%
Charlie Patt Farris – 49.8%
10 SR 8,137 92.5
✔John R. Bell (I) – 71.7%
Evelyn Paul – 28.3%
11 SD 5,646 54.2
✔Duane Hall (I) – 60.8%
Ray Martin – 32.0%
Brian Lewis – 7.2%
13 SR 2,265 95
✔Pat McElraft (I) – 70.8%
Rodney Alexander – 29.2%

79. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
15 SR 811 90
✔Phillip Shepard (I) – 69.6%
Dan Whitten – 30.4%
16 SR 7,204 81.7
✔Chris W. Millis (I) – 67.1%
Steve Unger – 32.9%
17 SR 7,812 90
✔Frank Iler (I) – 66.4%
Charles Warren – 33.6%
18 SD 4,737 68.9
✔Susi Hamilton (I) – 61.1%
Gerald Benton – 39.9%

80. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
25 SR 830 85.5
✔Jeff Collins (I) – 68.1%
James D. Gailliard – 31.9%
30 SD 11,548 11.3
✔Paul Luebke (I) – 73.9%
Elissa Fuchs – 26.1%
34 SD 2,625 29.1
✔Grier Martin (I) – 67.6%
Bill Morris – 32.4%
35 LR 14,184 69.2
✔Chris Malone (I) – 53.1%
Terrence Everitt – 46.9%

81. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
36 SR 6,399 85.8
✔Nelson Dollar (I) – 49.3%
Jennifer Ferrell – 46.5%
Brian Irving – 4.2%
38 SD 9,300 35.8
✔Yvonne Lewis Holley (I) – 84.8%
Olen Watson III – 15.2%
40 SR 13,125 73.9
Marilyn Avila (I) – 49.6%
✔Joe John – 50.4%
41 CO 15,176 54.2
✔Gale Adcock (I) – 57.0%
Chris Shoffner – 43.0%

82. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
44 LD 1,998 50
✔Billy Richardson (I) – 50.6%
Jim Arp – 49.4%
49 LR 2,346 66.8
Gary Pendleton (I) – 47.2%
✔Cynthia Ball – 48.7%
David Ulmer – 4.1%
50 SD 6,127 51.8
✔Graig R. Meyer (I) – 57.2%
Rod Chaney – 42.8%

83. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
51 LR 5,706 76.7
Brad Salmon (I) – 44.3%
✔John Sauls – 55.7%
53 LR 7,740 90.5
✔David R. Lewis (I) – 60.7%
Jon Blum – 39.3%
54 LD 5,531 50
✔Robert T. Reives II (I) – 57.2%
Wesley Seawell – 42.8%

84. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
55 SR 683 85.8
✔Mark Brody (I) – 60.5%
Kim Hargett – 39.5%
59 SR 5,676 81.7
✔Jon Hardister (I) – 60.4%
Scott Jones – 39.6%
65 LR -2,516 85.8
✔Bert Jones (I) – 60.5%
H. Keith Duncan – 39.5%

85. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
67 SR -472 81.7
✔Justin P. Burr (I) – 53.3%
Carson R. Snyder – 27.7%
Billy Mills – 19.0%
69 SR 6,387 90.8
✔Dean Arp (I) – 66.0%
Gordon Daniels – 34.0%
70 SR 605 85.8
✔Pat B. Hurley (I) – 76.2%
Lois Bohnsack – 23.8%
74 SR 1,963 85.8
✔Debra Conrad (I) – 63.5%
Marilyn Baker – 36.5%

86. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
82 SR 9,031 69.2
✔Larry G. Pittman (I) – 57.9%
Earle Schecter – 42.1%
83 SR 4,343 90
✔Linda P. Johnson (I) – 63.2%
Jeremy Hachen - 36.8%
84 SR 1,890 90
✔Rena W. Turner (I) – 69.3%
John Wayne Kahl – 30.7%
86 SR -161 85.5
✔Hugh Blackwell (I) – 62.5%
Tim Barnsback – 37.5%

87. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
88 SR 1,353 92.5
Rob Bryan (I) – 49.4%
✔Mary Belk – 50.6%
90 SR -737 90
✔Sarah Stevens (I) – 73.2%
Vera Smith Reynolds – 26.8%
93 LR 1,326 81.7
✔Jonathan C. Jordan (I) – 53.0%
Sue Counts – 47.0%
94 SR -729 85
✔Jeffrey Elmore (I) – 74.5%
Michael Lentz – 25.5%
98 SR 13,475 90
✔John Bradford (I) – 56.5%
Jane Campbell – 43.5%

88. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
118 LR 508 85.8
✔Michele D. Presnell (I) – 55.4%
Rhonda C. Schandevel – 44.6%
119 CO 1,119 48.3
Joe Sam Queen (I) – 49.6%
✔Mike Clampitt – 50.4%

89. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC HOUSE
HOUSE DIST
INCUMBENT
CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
6
TINE (U)
CO 238 90.0
✔Beverly Boswell – 51.9%
Warren Judge – 48.1%
9
B. BROWN (R)
LR 3,747 90.0
✔Greg Murphy – 57.5%
Brian Farkas – 42.5%
20
CATLIN (R)
SR 6,747 78.9 ✔Holly Grange – 100%
26
DAUGHTRY (R)
SR 8,091 95.0
✔Donna M. White – 58.0%
Rich Nixon – 42.0%
28
LANGDON (R)
SR 4,368 85.8
✔Larry C. Strickland – 70.7%
Patricia Oliver – 29.3%

90. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC HOUSE
HOUSE DISTRICT
INCUMBENT
CVB
POP
+/-
INC
LBR
CANDIDATES
32
B’VILLE (D)
SD -1,692 40.8 ✔Terry Garrison – 100%
37
STAM (R)
SR 12,046 85.8
✔Linda Hunt-Williams – 52.3%
Randy Barrow – 43.0%
Robert Rose – 4.7%
46
WADDELL (D)
SD -1,093 85.0
✔Brenden Jones – 60.4%
Tim Benton – 36.4%
Thomas (Tom) Howell Jr – 3.2%

91. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC HOUSE
HOUSE DISTRICT
INCUMBENT
CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
58
JOHNSON (D)
SD 1,995 ✔Amos Quick – 100%
81
R. BROWN (R)
SR 663 80.0
✔Larry W. Potts – 68.4%
Andy Herick – 31.6%
91
H’WAY (R)
SR 1,050 85.8
✔Kyle Hall – 66.4%
Eugene Russell – 33.6%

92. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC HOUSE
HOUSE DISTRICT
INCUMBENT
CVB
POP
+/-
INC
LBR
CANDIDATES
92
JETER (R)
CO 15,160 86.7
Beth Danae Caulfield – 44.6%
✔Chaz Beasley – 54.4%
100
COTHAM (D)
SD 1,692 59.3 ✔John Autry - 100%
104
BISHOP (R)
SR 1,417 85.0
✔Andy Dulin – 55.3%
Peter Noris – 44.7%
105
SCHAFFER (R)
SR 12,855 85.0
✔Scott Stone – 55.3%
Connie Green-Johnson – 44.7%

93. 2016 NC HOUSE
DIST CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
101 SD 10,098 45
✔Beverly Miller Earle (I) – 76.0%
Justin Dunn – 24.0%
103 SR 6,714 90.5
✔Bill Brawley (I) – 56.2%
Rochelle Rivas – 43.8%
109 SR 1,476 77.5
✔Dana Bumgardner (I) – 61.2%
Susan Maxon – 38.8%
115 CO 3,778 50
✔John Ager (I) – 55.6%
Frank Moretz – 44.4%

94. 2016 OPEN SEAT RACES – NC HOUSE
HOUSE DISTRICT
INCUMBENT
CVB POP +/- LBR CANDIDATES
112
HAGER (R)
SR -2,475 95.0
✔David Rogers – 71.0%
Ben Edwards – 29.0%
113
WHITMIRE (R)
SR 757 90.0
✔Cody Henson – 61.6%
Maureen M. Copelof – 38.4%
120
WEST (R)
SR -573 95.0
✔Kevin Corbin –72.0%
Randy Hogsed – 28.0%

95. Observations on 2016 Election
• This is the new North Carolina – electoral landscape
has shifted and will continue to
• Urban versus Rural, also educational attainment
• Candidates and issue communication matter a lot
• Millennials on the rise – as candidates
• Political environment keeping us from addressing real
issue

96. Observations on 2016 Election

98. What does 2016 mean for 2018
• First midterm of new President historically goes
against their party
• Probably within start of next economic slowdown
• 2017 Election and new district maps
• No US Senate race in NC (state Sup Court seat)
• Follows two years of gridlock or HB2-type stuff
• More civil unrest, incidents of terrorism

99. What can business do?
• Be your own party

100. What can business do?
• Inform your workforce

101. What can business do?
• Commit to engagement

102. 2014 Election Updates & Insights
Questions?
Joe Stewart
Executive Director
jstewart@ncfef.org
(919) 614-0520
www.ncfef.org
@ncfef
NCFEF