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The UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
                                  Driving Economic Recovery




             Researched & produced by




www.upc.ie
                                                              3
Designed by
UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future

Contents

Foreword
Dana Strong, Chief Executive, UPC Ireland	2


Executive Summary 	                                                                   4

Introduction 	                                                                        6

Chapter 1: Life Online	                                                               9

Chapter 2: The Digital Consumer	                                                      24

Chapter 3: The Digital Business 	                                                     33

Conclusion: Towards a Digital Future	                                                 45




© 2012 UPC Ireland and Amárach Research, the content of this report may be used
and republished freely once The UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future is credited.
Foreword
                          Driving Economic Recovery
                          The shared goal of transforming Ireland into         The report puts current online consumer spending at €3.7 billion and
                          a knowledge based society and a competitive          forecasts it to rise to €5.7 billion, an increase of more than 40% by
                          economy is critically dependent on our               2016. It also predicts a doubling of Ireland’s ‘Internet economy’ by 2016
                          capacity not only to deliver a world class digital   bringing its total value to €11.3 billion. A challenge for Irish businesses
                          infrastructure but also on our ability to maximise   will be to ensure that these increases are met by Irish based productivity
                          engagement with that infrastructure.                 and innovation with a corresponding benefit for jobs and the economy.

For the past 3 years, UPC has been a key change agent in Ireland               The evidence is clear. Ireland is well capable of grasping the
leading a surge in broadband adoption and raising awareness of the             opportunity presented by new media, digital developments, broadband
benefits of going digital for households and businesses.                       and the Internet and this will contribute to restoring the health of
                                                                               our economy. In turn, all stakeholders must play their part in the
This independently conducted research, commissioned by UPC, is
                                                                               development of our digital economy to create jobs growth, economic
part of our continued contribution to transforming Ireland into a
                                                                               growth, and enhanced competitiveness.
global digital leader. The report presents findings of surveys across a
sample of the Irish consumer and business population. It provides a            I would like to thank Amárach for their research expertise and
comprehensive snapshot of Ireland’s current position and seeks to look         everyone who has participated in this groundbreaking report for
ahead to the future where digital uptake can drive economic recovery           Ireland. UPC is proud to be playing its part in delivering the digital
and create new jobs which will underpin national competitiveness.              future and we will continue to work with Government, business and
                                                                               society in general to ensure that we all collectively realise this potential
The Internet is clearly having a profound impact on the way we live
                                                                               for Ireland to succeed to the maximum extent possible.
and work. The Amárach research shows that Irish society is ready and
confident for the digital future. Ireland performs well in many criteria       Why not help us track Ireland’s progress? We would like to invite all
in comparison with OECD and EU indicators. Consumer investment in              individuals and businesses to participate in the UPC Digital Index at
digital products and services is strong and is equally matched by the          www.upc.ie/digitalindex
skills to use them.

Crucially, Irish businesses are already making strong progress towards
the digital future and they are very aware of the opportunities it
presents for efficiencies and growth. Most telling is the firm belief on
the part of the majority of companies that getting their online strategy       Dana Strong
right will translate into real and significant revenue growth.                 Chief Executive Officer, UPC Ireland


2 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
€11.3Bn
                                                       Projected Value of the Irish
                                                       Internet Economy (Ireland 2016)




                           €5.7Bn
                           Projected Online Consumer
                           Spending (Ireland 2016)

€3.7Bn
Online Consumer Spending
(Ireland 2012)




                                                                                         UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 3
Executive Summary
Seize the Future                                                                 The Surveys
Ireland is in the middle of a revolution – a digital revolution. For all         UPC commissioned Amárach Research to carry out two, parallel
the economic difficulties and challenges we have faced in recent                 surveys in August 2012: the first was an online survey comprising
years, the story of digital technology in Ireland is a story of success.         1,000 adults aged 16 and over, representative of Ireland’s population;
Comparisons with other countries show that Ireland is on par or                  and the second comprised a telephone and web survey of 201
even ahead of OECD and EU nations when it comes to several key                   IT decision-makers in Irish SMEs and larger corporations, with quotas
measures of digital adoption.                                                    to ensure a cross-section of companies by size. The surveys were
                                                                                 carried out on an entire market wide basis and included customers
Ireland’s future progress towards the digital future will help us solve
                                                                                 of all telecommunications providers.
some of the economic problems we now face. Improving access to
higher broadband speeds in households and businesses opens up new                Life Online
opportunities for citizens, consumers, employers and employees. By               Already, 8 in 10 adults use the Internet in Ireland, up from fewer than
seizing the digital future, Ireland can secure a higher standard of living       5 in 10 in 2007. Indeed, broadband take-up in Ireland matches the EU
through faster economic growth, as well as tackling the scourges of              average at two thirds of homes.
unemployment and emigration through the creation of new jobs, new
                                                                                 The Internet is now a vital part of our everyday lives, and shapes how
services and new businesses.
                                                                                 we work, relax, learn and shop. Internet users spend 156 minutes
The Size of the Prize                                                            (2.6 hours) online on a typical weekday, rising higher at the weekend. On
If Ireland simply follows the trend in other countries at a similarly            average there are two or more people using broadband in every home,
advanced stage of digitisation, then the Internet’s contribution to our          with two or more devices connected at the same time – as smartphones
economy will grow from about 3% of GDP at present to 6% by 2016.                 become more common, more people and devices will be connected.
That’s an increase in the value of Ireland’s digital economy from under
                                                                                 Shopping and social networks are the most popular online activities,
€5 billion this year to over €11 billion in 2016, creating new jobs and
                                                                                 while a third of adults already use the Internet at home for work
new businesses along the way.
                                                                                 purposes. 6 in 10 workers are expected to work from home some or
As for jobs potential, raising the level of digitisation in Ireland to that of   all of the time by 2016.
our nearest neighbour, the UK, would reduce the numbers unemployed
                                                                                 The Irish are digital optimists, and look forward to a host of new
in Ireland by nearly 18,000; with even bigger reductions possible if the
                                                                                 services that will enable them to study, shop, work and share from
level rose to that of the leading Scandinavian countries.
                                                                                 the comfort of their home in future. Indeed, half of all adults would be
                                                                                 interested in running their own business from home at some stage,
                                                                                 facilitated by digital technologies.


4 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
The Digital Consumer                                                        The Digital Business
The impact of digital technology on the Irish economy is significant.       Ireland’s digital revolution is not just good for consumers, it’s
Already there are 2.6 million online shoppers in Ireland, who will spend    good for business. It appears that Irish businesses have ‘moved
€3.7bn in 2012 across a range of product and service categories. Irish      on’ from the recession, with 8 in 10 now optimistic about their
consumers will spend €5.7bn online by 2016, or 7% of all consumer           growth prospects for the next 2 years. Two thirds expect to expand
spending in the economy.                                                    in Ireland in the coming years, and nearly half plan on expanding
                                                                            abroad. Furthermore, a majority of businesses intend hiring
Some 8 in 10 Internet users use the web to research products they are       new staff in the next 2 years, with a strong emphasis on IT and
interested in buying, but then buy them locally in Irish shops. It goes     digital skills.
the other way too: 6 in 10 Irish Internet users use their local shops to
                                                                            Digital technology has delivered productivity increases and cost
research products they are interested in, but then buy them online,
                                                                            savings to a majority of businesses. One key area for future
often at significant cost savings.
                                                                            improvement is the application of digital technology to employee
There are significant opportunities for Irish businesses – including        engagement and management. Already, 6 in 10 companies enable
retailers – to respond to these trends. Over 6 in 10 online shoppers        their staff to work from home to varying degrees during contracted
would buy from an Irish website if they knew about one that matched         hours – a practice that is expected to grow.
equivalent offers from international sites.
                                                                            The UPC Digital Business Index – also created for this study –
The UPC Digital Consumer Index – specially created for this study –         tells us that 3 in 10 Irish businesses are ‘Digital Leaders’, while 1 in 7
tells us that some 30% of Irish adults are ‘Digital Leaders’, while 8%      are ‘Digital Laggards’; with the balance falling into the category of
are ‘Digital Laggards’: the balance are what we call ‘Digital Followers’.   ‘Digital Followers’.

                                                                            We have much to gain from the digital future in terms of higher
                                                                            standards of living, a better quality of life, improved consumer welfare,
                                                                            greater business productivity and lower unemployment. This report
                                                                            shows the road ahead to the digital future: together we must take the
                                                                            next steps.




                                                                                                                    UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 5
Introduction
What is the one service in your home that you couldn’t live without?          From a European standpoint, the EU has identified a number of Digital
The number 1 choice, for over a third of Irish adults in 2012, is             Agenda targets (EU Targets) aimed to “help reboot the EU economy and
broadband. Number 2 is electricity (for over a fifth of adults),              enable citizens and businesses get the most out of digital technologies”.1
with television in the number 3 position. These findings are a                More locally, the Irish Government recently published its National
remarkable indication of how embedded the Internet has become                 Broadband Plan which aims to better the EU’s broadband speed targets
in our daily lives (leaving aside the matter of how broadband could           during the lifetime of the current government.2
work without electricity!).

But even more remarkable is just how quickly the ‘digital revolution’           EU Digital Agenda targets
has happened in Ireland, and how much more we have to look forward              By 2013
to in the years ahead. This report is designed to help Irish citizens and       Basic broadband for all
businesses prepare for the digital future. We think you will be surprised
and inspired by the findings from our research and by the changes               By 2015
we can expect in how we live, work and play. The good news is that,             50% of population to buy online
despite the tough economic challenges we face, Ireland is well placed           33% of SMEs to make online sales
to be a winner on the road to the digital future.                               60–75% of the population to use the Internet regularly
Our Surveys
UPC commissioned Amárach Research to carry out two, parallel                    By 2020
surveys in August 2012: the first was an online survey comprising               30Mbps for all citizens
1,000 adults aged 16 and over, representative of Ireland’s population;          50% of population to subscribe to 100Mbps
and the second comprised a telephone and web survey of 201 IT
decision-makers in Irish SMEs and larger corporations, with quotas              Ireland’s National Broadband Plan targets
to ensure a cross-section of companies by size.                                 70Mbps for 50% of population
The key findings from both surveys are explored in the rest of this report.     40Mbps for 70-85% of population
                                                                                30Mbps for 100% population
Digital Targets for a Digital Future
The importance and benefits of being digitally connected and engaged
along with having access to high speed broadband services are                 1	 EU Digital Agenda scoreboard for Ireland: https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/
globally recognised. Given this, there is growing interest in measuring          scoreboard/ireland
                                                                              2	 ‘Delivering a Connected Society: A National Broadband Plan for Ireland’, Department
the performance of countries in terms of digital trends and their
                                                                                 of Communications, Energy and National Resources, http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/
economic and social impact.                                                      rdonlyres/1EA7B477-741B-4B74-A08E-6350135C32D2/0/NBP.pdf


6 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
The good news is that Ireland rates very favourably not just among its                 The comparative picture for Irish businesses is, if anything, even more
EU counterparts but also at a global level. Irish consumers are broadly                positive.
equal to their OECD and EU counterparts when it comes to measures
                                                                                       The percentage of businesses (employing 10 or more) with broadband
such as the percentage of households with broadband – in fact Ireland
                                                                                       in Ireland is slightly over the OECD average (90% vs 88%), as is the
has already met the first of the EU’s Targets, universal broadband. 3, 4
                                                                                       proportion of employees using the Internet at work. The biggest
Ireland also compares very well in relation to other indicators such as                (positive) gap in terms of these businesses relates to selling online,
the percentage of Irish consumers who shop online (slightly above the                  where Irish businesses are nearly 30% more likely to sell online than
OECD average and significantly in excess of future EU Targets).                        the OECD average.

With respect to the availability of high speed broadband services the most             International targets and comparisons are an important indicator
recent Akamai State of the Internet report shows that Ireland ranks 15th in            of Ireland’s progress. There have been several efforts to gauge the
the world – and 9th in Europe – in terms of average measured broadband                 progress of nations towards the digital future:
speed 5. The Akamai report shows that Irish households are surfing faster
                                                                                       »» IBM and the Economist Intelligence Unit have published a report
than advanced markets such as the UK and Germany. Indeed, in the two
                                                                                          on Digital Economy Rankings 20108 which places Ireland 17th in
year period from Q2 2010 to Q2 2012, the share of residential broadband
                                                                                          the world, based on a composite score across six indices, including
subscribers with contracted download speeds greater than or equal to
                                                                                          broadband speeds as well as consumer and business digital
10Mbps tripled: from 7.3% to 22.9%6. As a result, not only has the first
                                                                                          adoption.
of the EU Targets been met but with 35% of Irish households already
today able to receive 150Mbps7, Ireland is well on its way to meeting its              »» The World Economic Forum’s Global Information Technology Report
ambitious targets as set out in the National Broadband Plan.                              20129 ranks Ireland 25th in the world in terms of a Networked
                                                                                          Readiness Index (derived from economic, social, political as well as
                                                                                          technological measures).
3	 Available from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD):
   http://www.oecd.org/sti/Interneteconomy/ieoutlook.htm
                                                                                       Both reports help us track our digital progress and the strength of our
4	 National and Rural Broadband Plans:                                                 digital economy.
   http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Communications/Communications+Development/
   National+Broadband+Scheme/National+Broadband+Scheme.htm and                         It is important to stress, however, that Ireland still has some way to go in
   http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Communications/Communications+Development/                  terms of securing the maximum benefits for its citizens and businesses
   Rural+Broadband+Scheme/
                                                                                       from digital technology. One indication of the ‘digital gap’ is measured
5	 Akamai State of the Internet: http://www.akamai.com/stateoftheInternet/
6	 ComReg’s latest commentary: http://www.comreg.ie/publications/quarterly_report_
   q2_2012.583.104195.p.html                                                           8	IBM/EIU: http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/bus/html/ibv-digitaleconomy2010.html
7	 UPC Press Release http://www.upc.ie/pdf/UPCbreaksIrishInternetSpeedBarrier.pdf      9	WEF: http://www.weforum.org/reports/global-information-technology-report-2012


                                                                                                                                     UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 7
by Booz & Company’s Digitisation Score10. Their measure is a composite
index, derived from national data for the ubiquity of digital services
and products, affordability, usage and broadband speeds, etc. Although
Ireland scores well in terms of its Digitisation Score – putting it in the
advanced group of countries among the 150 surveyed – we clearly have
room for improvement. Booz estimates a score of 47 for Ireland while
the highest scoring nation is Norway at 6411.

The crux of the Digitisation Score is that it shows a clear relationship
between higher scores and higher economic growth – and lower
unemployment. The Booz analysis of the links between digitisation and
the wider economy shows that among digitally advanced countries like
Ireland, every 10 point increase in digitisation scores increases GDP per
capita by 0.62%.

Furthermore, an increase of 10 points in digitisation reduces a nation’s
unemployment rate by 0.84%. To put this in context, simply raising
Ireland’s digitisation score from 47 to the equivalent UK score of 54
(a 7 point increase) would reduce the numbers unemployed in Ireland
by nearly 18,000 – based on the Live Register in September 201212.




10	Booz & Co: http://www.booz.com/global/home/what_we_think/digitisation/megatrend
11	 Booz & Co article on Digitisation and Prosperity: http://www.strategy-business.com/
    article/00127
12	Central Statistics Office: http://cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/labourmarket/



8 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
1 | Life Online
»	 8 in 10 adults use the Internet in Ireland, up from fewer 	
   than 5 in 10 in 2007
»	 Broadband takeup in Ireland matches the EU average at 	
   two thirds of homes
»	 On average there are two or more people using broadband in
   every home, with two or more devices connected at the same time
»	 Broadband users spend 2.6 hours online on a typical weekday
»	 Shopping and social networks are the most popular online activities
»	 A third of adults use the Internet at home for work purposes
»	 Half of all adults would be interested in running their own
   business from home at some stage in the future




                                                                         UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 9
Cast your mind back five years to 2007. It was the height of the Celtic   Connected Nation
Tiger in Ireland, following a decade of remarkable growth, and we         But before we look ahead to the digital future, let’s take a closer a look at
had one of the highest standards of living in Europe. Nowadays we         the digital present. The UPC consumer survey shows that Irish people are
are painfully aware of what has been lost since the peak, but we are      confident users of digital technology already. Indeed, there is widespread
perhaps less aware of what we have gained. Take digital technology        ownership of a range of technologies, as summarised in Fig 2:
- the table below contrasts the % of Irish adults owning and using
each technology then and now (Fig 1).                                                            Digital Technology in the Home %
                                                                          Fig 2: Digital Technologies at Home: % of Irish Adults
                                                                                                        %
Fig 1: % of Irish adults owning and using digital technology                                 Laptop    85
since 2007                                                                           Digital Camera    75
                                                                                 Landline Telephone    71
 % of All Irish Adults*                          2007            2012                 Flat Screen TV   70
 Internet at Home                                   48             78            Paid for TV Service   67
 Broadband at Home                                  24             65        Ordinary Mobile Phone     64
 Shopping Online                                     15            59           Smartphone/iPhone      61
 Banking Online                                     18             42                           WiFi   60
 Mobile Phone                                       90             98                      MP3/iPod    57

 Smartphone                                          5<**          34                            PC    50
                                                                                              HDTV     45
 Using Social Networks                              10<**          52
                                                                            Portable Games Console     37
* Sources: ComReg & Amárach Research data ** Amárach estimates                           GPS Device    37
                                                                            Internet Enabled Games     29
Despite a decline in consumer spending, falling house prices and rising
                                                                                         Tablet/iPad   19
unemployment, Irish consumer adoption of digital technologies has
                                                                                            eReader    17
risen steadily through the recession. Consumer investment in digital
                                                                          Home Surveillance System     10
products and services - and the skills to use them - tells us something
                                                                                           Smart TV    5
very important about the shape of the recovery when it comes,
namely that Ireland’s next phase of economic growth will be driven                            3D TV    4

more by ‘clicks’ than by bricks.                                                                   0        20        40        60        80       100




10 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Ownership and adoption is not evenly distributed, however, and some                                                                                                                                       European context, the chart below (Fig 3) shows the percentage of
significant differences emerge from our study:                                                                                                                                                            households with broadband across the European Union. Average take-
                                                                                                                                                                                                          up runs at 67% in the EU, with Ireland just slightly below at 65%.
»» Laptop ownership declines with age, after peaking among 25–34s
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Among those with broadband at home, almost half in our survey
»» Landline phone ownership rises with age, peaking among over 55s                                                                                                                                        (49%) say that broadband access is more important than having a
»» Smartphone ownership is highest among 25–34s, and higher for                                                                                                                                           telephone, and 1 in 5 (19%) say broadband is more important than TV
   men than women                                                                                                                                                                                         (rising to 31% of under 25s). Though only 1% considered their home
                                                                                                                                                                                                          broadband more important than their car!
»» HDTV ownership peaks among 45-54s
                                                                                                                                                                                                          One of the key reasons for the appeal of broadband is that it enables
»» Internet enabled games peak among under 24s; tablets/iPads
                                                                                                                                                                                                          multiple users in a household to benefit from the technology at the same
   among 35-44s
                                                                                                                                                                                                          time. Indeed, our research shows that only 1 in 4 broadband users is the
Broadband is a key enabling technology facilitating a diverse number                                                                                                                                      sole user in their household; while among the 76% with multiple users,
of digital devices in the home. To put Ireland’s performance in a                                                                                                                                         there are typically two or more other users as well (Fig 4).
Household Broadband Europe %
Fig 3: Broadband take-up: % of Households having a Broadband Connection
 %
100



80

                                                                                                                                                     European Union – 27 countries

60



40
                                                               United Kingdom




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Slovak Republic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Czech Republic
                                                                                                                                        Luxembourg
                                       Netherlands




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Lithuania
20
                                                                                         Germany
                             Denmark




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Romania
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Portugal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Hungary
                                                                                                                                                                                     Slovenia




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Bulgaria
                                                                                                           Belgium
                    Sweden




                                                                                Norway




                                                                                                                                                                                                Estonia
                                                                                                                     Austria
                                                     Finland
          Iceland




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Cyprus




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Greece
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Ireland




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Poland
                                                                                                                               France




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Latvia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Spain
                                                                                                   Malta




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Italy
 0

      Source: Digital Agenda for Europe: https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/scoreboard



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 11
Fig 4: Number of Broadband Users in the household                          One key gap in evaluating broadband speed sufficiency is that a
                                                                           significant minority of Irish broadband users simply don’t know their
                                                   Five or                 home broadband speed. Indeed, almost 1 in 4 (23%) home broadband
                                                    more
        Yes                                          13%
                                                                           users is unsure of the speed they are supposed to have at home (rising
        24%                                                                to a third of under 25s). The picture that emerges from our research
                                                                           shows future room for improvement: typical broadband speeds are, on
                                            Four       Number     Two
              Only user                                                    balance, not considered sufficient for the future.
                                            19%        of users   42%

                            No
                           76%                                             Digital Time Use
                                                    Three
                                                     26%
                                                                           Inevitably, access to and usage of digital technologies have resulted
                                                                           in profound shifts in how Irish people spend their time. In the UPC
                                                                           consumer survey we asked broadband users about the amount of
                                                                           time they spend accessing the Internet a) on a typical weekday, and
Of course, it is not just people who connect to broadband in the           b) on a typical weekend day. The answers by demographic groups are
home - it’s devices as well. The average broadband household has           summarised in minutes per day in Fig 6 below.
two devices connected at the same time, rising to three devices in
households containing 16-24 year olds, and falling to under two            Fig 6: Minutes per day spent online
devices in broadband households among over 55s.                                                                       Weekend       Increase at
                                                                                                        Weekday         Day          Weekend
Speed Check                                                                All Adults                      156           167             11
But we are only at the beginning of a user and device explosion. The
                                                                           15-24                           179           187             8
average number of users and devices connected to broadband in Irish
                                                                           25-34                           173           189             16
homes will grow sharply in the near future, thanks to smartphones,
                                                                           35-44                           155           166             11
tablets and the emergence of the ‘Internet of things’ (e.g. your fridge
connected over the web to your online shopping list). This raises a        45-54                           147           160             12
fundamental question about broadband capacity.                             55+                             133           140             7
                                                                           Higher Income                   152           166             14
In our research we asked broadband users whether the speed of their
broadband was a) sufficient for their current needs and b) sufficient      Lower Income                    159           168             9
for their likely future needs (Fig 5, on facing page). At present some
69% of home users consider their broadband speed to be sufficient.
However, looking to the future, only 44% of home users expect their
existing broadband speed to be sufficient for their likely future needs.


12 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Fig 5: Sufficiency of Broadband Speeds: Present & Future
Yes    No   Don’t Know

              3%
                                                                Only


                                                                44%
                                       17%

      28%     Is your
                                            Sufficient
            broadband
                                            for future    44%
               speed
                                          likely needs?
            sufficient?
                          69%
                                    39%
                                                                of people feel their broadband
                                                                speed is sufficent for future needs


                                                                                  UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 13
69%
        63%                          Use Soclal Networks
                                                                              55%
        Bank online
                                                           44%                Read the news
                                                           Use On Demand TV
                                                                                              33%
                                                                                              Play games




14 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Fig 6 indicates that age is an important driver of time spent online,        The Broadband Explosion 	                                              UPC Insight
       though at an average of over 2.6 hours per weekday it is clear that
                                                                                    The consumption of data and content has exploded around the world
       Internet usage now occupies a lot of people’s leisure and work time.         and no less so in Ireland. Data from INEX shows an 800% increase
       Accessing the Internet at home is the main way in which people access        in total traffic per month in Ireland since 2009. While all forms of
       the web. On a typical weekday, consumers say that over three quarters        data consumption are going up, the largest driver of this increase is
       (79%) of their access takes place at home, only 13% at work and the          coming from the continuing massive growth in video viewing across
       balance while out and about (e.g. via their mobile phone). Nowadays,         the web – from professional output to self-published content. In
                                                                                    meeting these changing demands, UPC is enabling consumers to
       Irish people use the Internet for a wide range of activities and services,
                                                                                    access increasing volumes of content at higher speeds and at a
       ranging from entertainment to work to simply keeping in touch. Fig 7
                                                                                    constantly reducing cost per megabit ratio. The market has been
       shows the proportion of adults who use broadband at home for
                                                                                    responding to affordable broadband and UPC is leading this change.
       each activity.
                                                                                    Fig 8: Ireland Year-on-Year Traffic Growth – Petabytes*
       Fig 7: Online Activities and Services used at Home
                                                                                    40
                                  %                                                 30
         Shopping online         70                                                 20
       Social networking         69                                                 10
                 YouTube         68                                                  0
                                                                                          Sept 09       Sept 10        Sept 11       Sept 12
         Search/research         63
                  Banking        63                                                 65%
                      News       55                                                 Irish households have a broadband connection
                     Music       46
                                                                                    70%
          On demand TV           44
                                                                                    Reduction in the price per Mbps in UPC’s service since 2010
Skype/video conversation         39
                   Movies        33                                                 50 Mbps
                   Sports        33                                                 The entry level speed for UPC broadband customers
                   Games         33
                                                                                    1.4 Gbps
       Instant Messaging         30
                                                                                    The record breaking consumer Irish Internet speed set by UPC
                    iTunes       25
                                                                                    (September 2012)
            Streaming TV         24
                                                                                    Total Users: source Comreg quarterly reports (www.comreg.ie)
                Education        23
                                                                                    Peering Traffic Volume: source INEX (www.inex.ie)
         Streaming radio          21                                                Total Traffic: assumption that 20% of total broadband traffic is INEX peering while
                   Betting       14                                                 remaining 80% is Transit
                                                                                    * 1 Petabyte = 1 million gigabytes
                             0     10   20   30    40    50     60     70      80

                                                                                                                                   UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 15
Of course, there aren’t enough hours in the day to fit in all of the
above activities. Sure enough, many people are now doing different       Fig 10: Media Multi-Tasking: EU countries % incidence
activities in tandem with one another. Some 3 in 10 in our consumer      %
                                                                         80
survey are surfing the web while watching TV. And young people are
                                                                         70
leading this trend (Fig 9).
                                                                         60
                                                                         50

Fig 9: Media Multi-Tasking in Ireland: % using laptop/tablet/            40
                                                                         30
smartphone all the time/almost always, while watching TV
                                                                         20




                                                                                                                  Ireland
                                                                         10
 %




                                                                                         NO




                                                                                                                                                                         HU
                                                                                                                                                               HR




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           UA
                                                                                              RU
                                                                                                   UK




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                RO
                                                                                                                                                                                        GR
                                                                                                                            CH




                                                                                                                                                DK




                                                                                                                                                                                                            BG
                                                                               EU




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 RS
                                                                                                        SK




                                                                                                                                 NL




                                                                                                                                                                                                  CZ
                                                                                                                                                     TR




                                                                                                                                                                                   DE
                                                                                                                                           BE
                                                                                    FR




                                                                                                                                                                    PT


                                                                                                                                                                              PL
                                                                                                                                      SE




                                                                                                                                                                                             AT


                                                                                                                                                                                                       ES
                                                                                                             SI




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      IT
                                                                                                                                                          FI
                                                                          0
50

40

30

20
                                                                                                                                                                          54
                                                                                                                             69
 10
            30            43           44      31       27        13
                                                                                                                                            58
  0
           Total       15–24s        25–34s   35–44s   45–54s    55+                                                             56                                                                         66


                                                                              59
Indeed, the Irish generally are leading the way, as the incidence of                          62               58                47                       48
                                                                                                              58
what some call media multi-tasking in Ireland is already above the EU                                                                           59
                                                                                                                                                          60                                  62
average as reported in a recent IAB Europe survey (Fig 10).                                             71
                                                                                                                                                62        53
                                                                                                                                                                          31
We can expect media multi-tasking to grow in future as more users                                                                     37
                                                                                                                                                                          41
with more devices - linked to faster broadband - enjoy the benefits of
                                                                              52    53
a more interactive TV experience, enhanced by the capabilities of real                                                                                          47                           55
time participation, feedback and commentary via Twitter etc.

                                                                         Source: IAB Europe: http://www.iabeurope.eu/research/mediascope-europe/
                                                                         media-multi-tasking-means-more-active-consumers-bulletin.aspx



16 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Gaming Partner %
                                                                                                        80
                                                                                                        70
                                                                                                        60
                                                                                                        50
Digital Entertainment                                                                                   »» Nearly 1 in 5 (17%) have used their TV to view Facebook
                                                                                                        40
Television, as we have seen, is still the dominant leisure time activity                                   (27% of under 25s)
                                                                                                        30
in the home for most Irish people. But television is no longer confined                                 »» Nearly 1 in 2 (44%) use On Demand TV (such as RTÉ and TV3 Players)
                                                                                                        20
to the television set. In our survey we found that significant minorities
of adults use their TV - or a device connected to their TV - to access a                                One activity that has traditionally combined the television set with
                                                                                                         10
                                                                                                                  71           21            14        21            1
range of web services:                                                                                  another device has been gaming. 1 in 3 (33%) of all those with
                                                                                                          0




                                                                                                                          Alone




                                                                                                                                                     At home with friends




                                                                                                                                                                                                    Other players in Ireland




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Other players abroad




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Other
                                                                                                        broadband in the home use the Internet to play online games. Most
»» Nearly 1 in 4 (23%) have used their TV to watch YouTube                                              play alone or with other household members, but over a third play
   (35% of under 25s)                                                                                   with players elsewhere in Ireland or even abroad (Fig 11).



Fig 11: Online Gamers: Players and Devices
Gaming Partner %                                                                                        Device Used %
80                                                                                                      25
70
                                                                                                        20
60
50
                                                                                                        15
40
30                                                                                                      10

20
                                                                                                         5
10
          71              21                       14                          21                 1
 0                                                                                                       0
          Alone




                       At home with friends




                                              Other players in Ireland




                                                                         Other players abroad




                                                                                                Other




                                                                                                               XBox 360

                                                                                                                                  Playstation

                                                                                                                                                PC

                                                                                                                                                                            Laptop

                                                                                                                                                                                     Nintendo Wii

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Nintendo DS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             iPhone/smartphone

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Other

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                N/A

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Don't know
Device Used %
25

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 17
20
The Digital Viewer – On Demand 	                         UPC Insight     Working from Home
                                                                         Of course, people use the Internet at home for work purposes as well -
There is an ongoing proliferation of information devices in Irish
                                                                         and the incidence is quite remarkable, as illustrated in Fig 12.
homes. Consumer bandwidth and content requirements are growing
constantly and this is being driven primarily by an explosion in video
content, ranging from the use of iPlayers to all other streaming,        Fig 12: Incidence of Working from Home
viewing and downloadable content.

These trends are also impacting across wider society as social
networking communities grow specifically around TV and online
content. TV itself is being totally transformed where the advent of                  Do you use
On Demand TV is changing habits by putting viewers in full control                  the Internet                          For what
                                                                                      at home                             activities?
of their personal TV schedule. They can watch whatever they want,                     for work?
whenever they want it.

Since launching our free On Demand TV service, UPC has gleaned
some unique insights into this “anytime” phenomenon.

8m                                                                       Yes 	        34%	                    Check Emails 	               89%
The number of views of UPC On Demand content in 5 months                 No 	         40%	                    Work on reports/
77%                                                                      Don’t Know 	 26%	                    presentations 	              56%
The percentage of UPC’s On Demand capable customers who have             			                                  Planning/scheduling 	        48%
                                                                         			                                  Skype with colleagues/
used the service since launch
                                                                         			                                  clients 	                    21%
45%                                                                      			                                  Research 	                   3%
of the 8 million views of On Demand TV to date are views of              			                                  Other 	                      6%
domestic Irish TV
                                                                         A third of adults in our survey are already working from home to
70%
                                                                         varying degrees, rising to 46% of 35-44 year olds. Although most
The proportion of Irish households with a pay TV subscription
                                                                         are using it for ‘bandwidth-lite’ activities such as checking email, a
                                                                         minority are also using it for more collaborative work such as video-
                                                                         conferencing and report preparations.




18 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Knowledge vs Benefits
                                                                               All of us use many different technologies – and most would struggle
                                                                               to explain how they work, even though we benefit every day from
                                                                               their capabilities. In our research we asked consumers to rate a)
                                                                               their knowledge of digital technology, and b) the benefit from digital
                                                                               technology on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is low and 10 is high. Fig 13
                                                                               summarises the overall findings, and points to a clear difference
                                                                               between knowledge and benefits.


                                                                               Fig 13: Digital Technology: Knowledge & Benefits




                                                                                           Rating of                                 Rating of
                                                                                          knowledge                                  benefits
                                                                                           of digital                              from digital
                                                                                          technology                               technology




A recent report by IDC forecasts that mobile workers will                      	
represent 57% of the total Irish working population – or 1.4                   Low 	         11%	                     Low 	            4%
million workers – by 2016*, driven by the communications tools                 Medium 	      42%	                     Medium 	         30%
and channels now increasingly available. This future dynamic                   High 	        47%	                     High 	           67%
between home and work is a theme we return to in Chapter 3
when we explore how Irish businesses are responding to the
digital opportunity.

* Source: IDC Report for O2 Ireland: http://www.o2online.ie/o2/uploads/pdfs/
terms/business/O2-7801-G-Joined-Up-IDC-Inserts.pdf




                                                                                                                      UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 19
There are a number of demographic differences in relation to the
digital knowledge/benefit gap, as summarised in Fig 14.

Fig 14: The Digital Knowledge/Benefit Gap – Mean Score
out of 10
                           Digital           Digital      Digital
                         Knowledge          Benefits     K/B Gap
 TOTAL                       6.2              7.2            1
 15-24s                       7.2             7.7           0.5
 25-34s                       6.6             7.3           0.6
 35-44s                       6.2             7.3            1.1
 45-54s                       5.6             6.9           1.3
 55+s                         5.3             6.8           1.4
 Higher Income                6.3             7.2           0.9
 Lower Income                 6.0              7.1           1.1
                                                                         »	 Nearly 3 in 4 agree the Internet allows them to make smarter
                                                                            purchasing decisions (rising to 77% of 35–44s)
The gap is bigger for some than for others, but most people clearly
feel they benefit from digital technologies, indicating a generally      »	 Nearly two thirds agree the Internet opens up new career,
positive, even optimistic outlook on the contribution of digital            educational and social opportunities (rising to 69% of under 25s)
technology today and in the future.                                      »	 Over half agree they wouldn’t be able to buy many of the things
                                                                            they want without the Internet (rising to 60% of 25–34s), and 4
Digital Optimists                                                           in 10 say they wouldn’t be able to afford many of the things they
Given the positive dynamic in consumer adoption of digital technology       want without the Internet (also higher for 25–34s)
– despite weak domestic demand – we might assume that Irish people
                                                                         »	 Over 4 in 10 (44%) agree their family life is better because of
are optimistic about the digital future. Indeed they are, and not just
                                                                            the Internet (rising to 50% of 35–44s)
the future. In our survey we asked people about the impact of digital
technologies on their lives today – whether they agree or disagree       »	 Nearly 4 in 10 (38%) agree they wouldn’t be able to do their
about the different impacts of technology. The responses overall are        job without the Internet (rising to 45% of 25–34s)
very positive (Fig 15).



20 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Fig 15: Life Online: Impact of Digital Technology Nowadays                Fig 16: The Digital Future: Likelihood and Appeal
                                          Disagree    Agree                     Likelihood of future outcome          Appeal of future outcome
                                                                                Unlikely Likely                       Unwelcome Welcome
     The Internet allows me to make       7
       smarter purchasing decisions                                                                                    13
                                          73                              People will get more of their shopping       58
                                                                          delivered to their home after ordering
   The internet opens up new career                                                  it online, including groceries    15
                                          8                                                                            49
           opportunities, educational
   opportunities, social opportunities    64
                                                                                 People won’t need to go to the        21
                                          22                              cinema or rent DVDs. They will pay to        51
I wouldn’t be able to buy many of the
                                                                             watch movies using online services        27
    things I want without the Internet    52                                           available via broadband         35

      My family life is better because    23
                                                                                                                       19
                        of the Internet   44                                   Faster Internet services will have      48
                                                                                                improved my life       10
                                          26                                                                           60
  I wouldn’t be able to afford many of
the things I want without the Internet    41
                                                                             People will be able to work abroad        24
                                                                          and not have to leave Ireland because        45
                                          28                                technology will enable them to stay
      I wouldn’t be able to do my job                                                                                  19
                 without the Internet     38                                      at home while doing their job        49

  My internet speed at home isn't fast    46                                                                           31
                                                                           People won’t need to physically go to       40
enough for all my family requirements     28                              universities/colleges because they will
                                                                            be able to do all course work online       33
                                    % 0       10   20 30 40 50 60 70 80                                                34

                                                                                                                       29
                                                                             People won’t need to go to work in        39
Irish people look forward with considerable optimism to the future           offices because they will be able to      28
effects of digital technologies.                                              work from home most of the time          41
In our survey we asked people to consider a range of possible future                                           % 0          10   20    30     40     50     60
trends driven by technology. They were asked to say a) to what extent
they thought each trend is likely or unlikely to happen; and b) whether
or not they would welcome each trend in the future. The results are
summarised in the chart on the right (Fig 16).


                                                                                                                       UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 21
»» Home Shopping: the majority (58%) of consumers think it likely
                                                                            In terms of expected and welcome futures, over half of Irish
   that people will use the Internet to do more shopping, with
                                                                            adults (53%) think it likely that ‘the adoption of better digital
   deliveries to their home, while almost half (49%) would welcome
                                                                            technologies will speed Ireland’s economic recovery’. An even
   such a scenario.
                                                                            bigger majority (63%) would welcome the digital-led recovery.
»» Home Movies: just over half of all adults (51%) expect that movies
   via broadband will replace going to the cinema, though fewer
                                                                           When asked, more people were interested in availing of lifestyle,
   welcome this development (35%).
                                                                           learning and employment changes if technology made it possible
»» Faster Services: just under half of all adults (48%) expect faster      (Fig 17).
   Internet services to improve their lives in future, and even more
                                                                           The most popular change is that of working from home for 1 to 2 days
   (60%) would welcome such improvement.
                                                                           per week. Over 6 in 10 (62%) of all adults are interested in such an
»» Migration: under half (45%) of people in Ireland think it likely that   arrangement, rising to 67% of 25–34s. This is followed by the prospect
   we will be able to become ‘virtual emigrants’, using technology         of running your own business from home: attractive to half the
   to work abroad but stay at home, while nearly half (49%) would          population (51%). Moving to the countryside while still working from
   welcome this.                                                           home also has broad appeal for 43% of all adults (and even more so
»» College: some 4 in 10 (40%) think it likely that future students will   among 25–34s).
   do all their course work online.

»» Working: 4 in 10 (39%) think that office work will become a thing
   of the past, with the same proportion welcoming such a trend.

One interesting demographic difference that emerges in our study
is that over 55s are typically more positive and welcoming about the
potential changes that the digital future might bring – suggesting that
the ‘generation gap’ in relation to technology will soon be gone.




22 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Fig 17: The Digital Home: Interest in Future Services
                                                                                       One area that will see considerable change being driven by digital
                                               Not interested   Interested             technology is that of health care and medical services. Half the
                                                                                       population (51%) is open to diagnoses and treatments by foreign
                                                15
  Working from home 1 or 2 days a week                                                 experts, delivered via digital technology, rising to 57% of over
                                                62
                                                                                       55s (inevitably a key target market).
                                                20
       Running your business from home
                                                51                                   Exploiting the full capacity of the web to create fulfilling lives and
                   Receiving full medical
                                                23                                   satisfying work is not all a one way street. Our assessment of future
     diagnoses/treatment by world class
      health/medical experts in different       51                                   scenarios included the idea of ‘digital mentoring’ – enabling people to
  hospitals and centres around the world                                             use their skills and experience to coach and advise young people and
    Getting further qualifications from an      25                                   even businesses in Ireland and in other parts of the world. There is
                            Irish university    50                                   very considerable interest in this idea: with 45% of adults expressing
            Using your skills/experience to                                          an interest. This type of initiative is indicative of the transformative
                                                24
coach/advise young people in other parts                                             potential of the web, and another sign of how Ireland’s economic
  of the world or even business/ organisa-      45
        tions like ones you have worked in
                                                                                     recovery might come about.
 Learning a foreign language by receiving       26
  lessons via Skype from a native speaker       45

     Getting further qualifications from a      30
                     European University        44

     Moving to the countryside while still      29
          being able to work from home          43

                                        % 0      10 20 30 40 50 60           70 80




                                                                                                                           UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 23
2 | The Digital Consumer
The previous chapter examined
technology usage and time spent online
by Irish consumers. In this chapter we
focus on money.


  »	 2.6 million Irish online shoppers will spend
     €3.7bn in 2012
  »	 Travel related spending and clothing and
     footwear are the biggest purchases
  »	 8 in 10 Internet users use the web to
     research products but buy in local shops
  »	 6 in 10 Internet users use local shops to
     research products but buy online
  »	 Over 6 in 10 online shoppers would buy from
     an Irish website if they knew about it
  »	 Irish consumers will spend €5.7bn online
     by 2016, or 7% of all spending
  »	 30% of Irish adults are ‘Digital Leaders’,
     while 8% are ‘Digital Laggards’




24 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Online Spending
Fig 18 summarises the current state of play of the online market in                       Our estimates for the value of online expenditure are derived from
Ireland. Irish consumers will spend €3.7 billion online this year. Just to                answers to our consumer survey. We asked consumers to estimate
put that in context, total consumer spending is forecast to reach €80.9                   their average monthly expenditure online. The average stands at
billion in 20121, which means that nearly 5% of all consumer spending                     €116 per adult per month, rising from €61 per month among 15-24
will be online this year – compared to less than 1% in 2007.                              year olds to €168 per month among over 55s.

We have profiled the market by age group – and it tells us something
very interesting about the distribution of digital spending power. For                  Online spending is driven by travel and hotels – as shown in the next
example, 15-24s represent just 15% of the adult population but nearly                   chart (Fig 19) – though other items also figure prominently, especially
20% of Internet shoppers. However, when it comes to spending power,                     clothing/footwear, and books and music.
their combined spending is just over 10% of the total. On the other
hand, over 55s make up 28% of the population but just 14% of Internet
shoppers. But their spending power is over 20% of the total.

Fig 18: Online Consumer Spending by Age Group

                                                           Internet                      Online             Share                  Share                   Share
                                  Population         Shoppers 000s                  expenditure           of adult            of Internet               of online
 Age Group                       000s 2012*                 2012**                  €m 2012***          population             Shoppers                 spending
 15–24                                   553.4                    509.1                  €371.8               15.4%                19.8%                     10.1%
 25–34                                   733.5                   669.0                  €926.5 	20.4%                               25.1%                   25.2%
 35–44                                   700.0                   604.8                   €721.6               19.5%                22.5%                    19.6%
 45–54                                   586.3                    418.9                 €622.9                16.3%                15.9%                    16.9%
 55+                                     1,017.8                  369.2                  €746.1              28.3%                 14.2%                   20.3%
 Total                                 3,591.0                  2632.9                 €3,680.5             100.0%                100.0%                  100.0%
 * QNHS CSO ** Amárach Survey *** Amárach Calculations




1	 ESRI Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2012: http://www.esri.ie/UserFiles/
   publications/QEC2012AUT_ES.pdf




                                                                                                                             UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 25
Fig 19: Items Purchased Online in past 6 months                                     Clicks & Bricks
                                       % of adults
                                                                                     Though nearly 5% of all Irish consumer spending is now online,
Travel/hotel related bookings          61
                                                                                     95% is not. However, a significant proportion of offline spending
            Clothing/footwear          53                                            is influenced by the web, even if that is not where the transaction
                         Books         51                                            ultimately takes place. Indeed, most Irish Internet users use
                                                                                     the web to help find better deals and to inform their purchase
        Music/CDs MP3 tracks           29
                                                                                     decisions; ‘always’ in the case of 41% of all users, and ‘often’ in
       Movies/DVD/film rental          28
                                                                                     the case of an additional 50% of users.
   Electronic goods (e.g. ipod)        26

        Medical/health related         21
                                                                                    Some consumers use the web to research products and choices online
           Toys/baby products          19                                           but ultimately buy offline in local stores, perhaps because it is more
 Electrical goods (e.g. toaster)       19                                           convenient (‘clicks and bricks’). Consumers also research products
                     Groceries         19
                                                                                    and choices in local stores and then buy online, perhaps because it
                                                                                    is cheaper (‘bricks and clicks’). The chart on the next page (Fig 20)
          Perfumes/cosmetics           18
                                                                                    summarises this situation: 8 in 10 (80%) Internet users research online
                       Flowers         10                                           and buy local, while 6 in 10 (58%) research local and buy online.
                      Furniture        7
                                                                                    How does this impact on different markets and sectors? The table on
        Tickets/concert tickets        1                                            the next page (Fig 21) shows the channel preferences of consumers
                         Other         4                                            who have purchased online in each category over the past 6 months,
                                   0        10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   in terms of whether they prefer to buy in a shop or prefer to buy
                                                                                    online, or have no preference.

Perhaps not surprisingly, price is a key motivation for Ireland’s 2.6               Clearly a number of markets have effectively gone ‘virtual’: booking
million Internet shoppers (45% of the total). The importance of price for           flights, buying music and ordering movies, to name the most obvious
shopping online falls slightly with age, while convenience (32% of the              from the chart. Others still show a strong preference for ‘bricks’:
total) rises with age. A better range or selection is important too (21%).          clothing, groceries and furniture for example.




26 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
67%
                          Fig 20: Clicks vs Bricks
                          Yes      No    Don’t Know	

                                         5%                                      5%
                                                15%


Of people prefer to buy                                                         Research
                                        Research
music online                              online                     37%       locally but       58%
                                        buy locally                             buy online



                                          80%



                          Fig 21
                                                                                            Doesn’t
                                                                            Prefer to        matter
                                                             Prefer to      buy in a          or no
                                                            buy online        shop         preference
                          Travel/hotel related services       87%              2%              11%
                          Music/CDs/mp3 tracks
                                                              67%              12%             21%
                          (e.g. iTunes)
                          Medical and health related
                                                              60%              14%             26%
                          (e.g. insurance, equipment)
                          Movies/DVDs/film rentals
                                                              59%              16%             25%
                          (e.g.iTunes)
                          Electronic goods (e.g. iPad)        48%              19%             33%
                          Flowers                             48%              19%             33%
                          Books                               42%             28%              30%
                          Electrical goods (e.g. toaster)     40%             37%              23%
                          Perfumes and cosmetics              35%             33%              32%
                          Toys/baby products                  30%             30%              40%
                          Clothing/footwear                    19%            55%              26%
                          Furniture                            19%            53%              28%
                          Groceries, food or alcohol           16%            55%              29%

                                                              UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 27
If You’re Irish                                                                  Not shown is the percentage shopping across a mix of Irish/
There are, though, some interesting differences when it comes to the             international websites, which is the experience of nearly half of
provenance of websites themselves, specifically in relation to whether           shoppers in categories like baby products and cosmetics. Nevertheless,
a website is Irish or international. Fig 22 shows the location of websites       there are some stark differences. When it comes to groceries, timing
used by shoppers in each category.                                               is everything so a ‘local’ site is vital to ensure fresh produce is still
                                                                                 fresh when it arrives. On the other hand, the more digital a product
Fig 22: eTailers: Irish Vs Foreign Websites                                      or service becomes then the less important would appear to be a
                          Irish Website   International website                  site’s provenance. Hence music and movies are predominantly being
                           65                                                    purchased via international websites.
Groceries/food/alcohol     11
                                                                                 Over 55s tend to have a bias towards Irish websites – though it is by no
                           46
 Medical/health related    12                                                    means uniform across all categories. Nevertheless, this is important
                           44                                                    given their share of total online spending noted above. Of course,
               Flowers     15                                                    many consumers may feel they simply have no choice about where
                           33                                                    to buy products and services online. As Fig 23 shows, when those who
              Furniture    17
                                                                                 purchased from international websites were asked if they knew of any
                           30                                                    equivalent Irish websites selling the same products, between half and
           Travel/hotel    19
                                                                                 three quarters said no or simply didn’t know, depending on the category.
                           23
      Electrical goods     23                                                    But sizeable minorities in most categories were aware of alternative,
   Toys/baby products
                           17                                                    Irish websites selling the products or services they were buying. They
                           23
                                                                                 chose not to ‘buy Irish’ mainly because of price, but also because
                           17
     Clothing/footwear     25
                                                                                 of perceptions about range and choice. Curiously, price tends to be
                                                                                 more motivating to middle aged shoppers (35-44s and 45-54s), while
                           7
    Perfume/cosmetics      29                                                    range is more important to younger (under 25s) and older (over 55s)
                           13                                                    shoppers.
      Electronic goods
                           31
                                                                                 However, a key finding for Irish website operators is that the majority
                           12
                 Books
                           42                                                    (61%) of those not aware of equivalent Irish sites when shopping would
                                                                                 purchase from an Irish site if they knew about it.
                           9
Movies/DVD/film rental
                           47

                           8
Music/CD’s/MP3 tracks
                           47

                    % 0         10   20     30     40     50      60   70   80

28 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future
Upc report on ireland's digital future

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Upc report on ireland's digital future

  • 1. The UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future Driving Economic Recovery Researched & produced by www.upc.ie 3
  • 3. UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future Contents Foreword Dana Strong, Chief Executive, UPC Ireland 2 Executive Summary 4 Introduction 6 Chapter 1: Life Online 9 Chapter 2: The Digital Consumer 24 Chapter 3: The Digital Business 33 Conclusion: Towards a Digital Future 45 © 2012 UPC Ireland and Amárach Research, the content of this report may be used and republished freely once The UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future is credited.
  • 4. Foreword Driving Economic Recovery The shared goal of transforming Ireland into The report puts current online consumer spending at €3.7 billion and a knowledge based society and a competitive forecasts it to rise to €5.7 billion, an increase of more than 40% by economy is critically dependent on our 2016. It also predicts a doubling of Ireland’s ‘Internet economy’ by 2016 capacity not only to deliver a world class digital bringing its total value to €11.3 billion. A challenge for Irish businesses infrastructure but also on our ability to maximise will be to ensure that these increases are met by Irish based productivity engagement with that infrastructure. and innovation with a corresponding benefit for jobs and the economy. For the past 3 years, UPC has been a key change agent in Ireland The evidence is clear. Ireland is well capable of grasping the leading a surge in broadband adoption and raising awareness of the opportunity presented by new media, digital developments, broadband benefits of going digital for households and businesses. and the Internet and this will contribute to restoring the health of our economy. In turn, all stakeholders must play their part in the This independently conducted research, commissioned by UPC, is development of our digital economy to create jobs growth, economic part of our continued contribution to transforming Ireland into a growth, and enhanced competitiveness. global digital leader. The report presents findings of surveys across a sample of the Irish consumer and business population. It provides a I would like to thank Amárach for their research expertise and comprehensive snapshot of Ireland’s current position and seeks to look everyone who has participated in this groundbreaking report for ahead to the future where digital uptake can drive economic recovery Ireland. UPC is proud to be playing its part in delivering the digital and create new jobs which will underpin national competitiveness. future and we will continue to work with Government, business and society in general to ensure that we all collectively realise this potential The Internet is clearly having a profound impact on the way we live for Ireland to succeed to the maximum extent possible. and work. The Amárach research shows that Irish society is ready and confident for the digital future. Ireland performs well in many criteria Why not help us track Ireland’s progress? We would like to invite all in comparison with OECD and EU indicators. Consumer investment in individuals and businesses to participate in the UPC Digital Index at digital products and services is strong and is equally matched by the www.upc.ie/digitalindex skills to use them. Crucially, Irish businesses are already making strong progress towards the digital future and they are very aware of the opportunities it presents for efficiencies and growth. Most telling is the firm belief on the part of the majority of companies that getting their online strategy Dana Strong right will translate into real and significant revenue growth. Chief Executive Officer, UPC Ireland 2 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 5. €11.3Bn Projected Value of the Irish Internet Economy (Ireland 2016) €5.7Bn Projected Online Consumer Spending (Ireland 2016) €3.7Bn Online Consumer Spending (Ireland 2012) UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 3
  • 6. Executive Summary Seize the Future The Surveys Ireland is in the middle of a revolution – a digital revolution. For all UPC commissioned Amárach Research to carry out two, parallel the economic difficulties and challenges we have faced in recent surveys in August 2012: the first was an online survey comprising years, the story of digital technology in Ireland is a story of success. 1,000 adults aged 16 and over, representative of Ireland’s population; Comparisons with other countries show that Ireland is on par or and the second comprised a telephone and web survey of 201 even ahead of OECD and EU nations when it comes to several key IT decision-makers in Irish SMEs and larger corporations, with quotas measures of digital adoption. to ensure a cross-section of companies by size. The surveys were carried out on an entire market wide basis and included customers Ireland’s future progress towards the digital future will help us solve of all telecommunications providers. some of the economic problems we now face. Improving access to higher broadband speeds in households and businesses opens up new Life Online opportunities for citizens, consumers, employers and employees. By Already, 8 in 10 adults use the Internet in Ireland, up from fewer than seizing the digital future, Ireland can secure a higher standard of living 5 in 10 in 2007. Indeed, broadband take-up in Ireland matches the EU through faster economic growth, as well as tackling the scourges of average at two thirds of homes. unemployment and emigration through the creation of new jobs, new The Internet is now a vital part of our everyday lives, and shapes how services and new businesses. we work, relax, learn and shop. Internet users spend 156 minutes The Size of the Prize (2.6 hours) online on a typical weekday, rising higher at the weekend. On If Ireland simply follows the trend in other countries at a similarly average there are two or more people using broadband in every home, advanced stage of digitisation, then the Internet’s contribution to our with two or more devices connected at the same time – as smartphones economy will grow from about 3% of GDP at present to 6% by 2016. become more common, more people and devices will be connected. That’s an increase in the value of Ireland’s digital economy from under Shopping and social networks are the most popular online activities, €5 billion this year to over €11 billion in 2016, creating new jobs and while a third of adults already use the Internet at home for work new businesses along the way. purposes. 6 in 10 workers are expected to work from home some or As for jobs potential, raising the level of digitisation in Ireland to that of all of the time by 2016. our nearest neighbour, the UK, would reduce the numbers unemployed The Irish are digital optimists, and look forward to a host of new in Ireland by nearly 18,000; with even bigger reductions possible if the services that will enable them to study, shop, work and share from level rose to that of the leading Scandinavian countries. the comfort of their home in future. Indeed, half of all adults would be interested in running their own business from home at some stage, facilitated by digital technologies. 4 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 7. The Digital Consumer The Digital Business The impact of digital technology on the Irish economy is significant. Ireland’s digital revolution is not just good for consumers, it’s Already there are 2.6 million online shoppers in Ireland, who will spend good for business. It appears that Irish businesses have ‘moved €3.7bn in 2012 across a range of product and service categories. Irish on’ from the recession, with 8 in 10 now optimistic about their consumers will spend €5.7bn online by 2016, or 7% of all consumer growth prospects for the next 2 years. Two thirds expect to expand spending in the economy. in Ireland in the coming years, and nearly half plan on expanding abroad. Furthermore, a majority of businesses intend hiring Some 8 in 10 Internet users use the web to research products they are new staff in the next 2 years, with a strong emphasis on IT and interested in buying, but then buy them locally in Irish shops. It goes digital skills. the other way too: 6 in 10 Irish Internet users use their local shops to Digital technology has delivered productivity increases and cost research products they are interested in, but then buy them online, savings to a majority of businesses. One key area for future often at significant cost savings. improvement is the application of digital technology to employee There are significant opportunities for Irish businesses – including engagement and management. Already, 6 in 10 companies enable retailers – to respond to these trends. Over 6 in 10 online shoppers their staff to work from home to varying degrees during contracted would buy from an Irish website if they knew about one that matched hours – a practice that is expected to grow. equivalent offers from international sites. The UPC Digital Business Index – also created for this study – The UPC Digital Consumer Index – specially created for this study – tells us that 3 in 10 Irish businesses are ‘Digital Leaders’, while 1 in 7 tells us that some 30% of Irish adults are ‘Digital Leaders’, while 8% are ‘Digital Laggards’; with the balance falling into the category of are ‘Digital Laggards’: the balance are what we call ‘Digital Followers’. ‘Digital Followers’. We have much to gain from the digital future in terms of higher standards of living, a better quality of life, improved consumer welfare, greater business productivity and lower unemployment. This report shows the road ahead to the digital future: together we must take the next steps. UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 5
  • 8. Introduction What is the one service in your home that you couldn’t live without? From a European standpoint, the EU has identified a number of Digital The number 1 choice, for over a third of Irish adults in 2012, is Agenda targets (EU Targets) aimed to “help reboot the EU economy and broadband. Number 2 is electricity (for over a fifth of adults), enable citizens and businesses get the most out of digital technologies”.1 with television in the number 3 position. These findings are a More locally, the Irish Government recently published its National remarkable indication of how embedded the Internet has become Broadband Plan which aims to better the EU’s broadband speed targets in our daily lives (leaving aside the matter of how broadband could during the lifetime of the current government.2 work without electricity!). But even more remarkable is just how quickly the ‘digital revolution’ EU Digital Agenda targets has happened in Ireland, and how much more we have to look forward By 2013 to in the years ahead. This report is designed to help Irish citizens and Basic broadband for all businesses prepare for the digital future. We think you will be surprised and inspired by the findings from our research and by the changes By 2015 we can expect in how we live, work and play. The good news is that, 50% of population to buy online despite the tough economic challenges we face, Ireland is well placed 33% of SMEs to make online sales to be a winner on the road to the digital future. 60–75% of the population to use the Internet regularly Our Surveys UPC commissioned Amárach Research to carry out two, parallel By 2020 surveys in August 2012: the first was an online survey comprising 30Mbps for all citizens 1,000 adults aged 16 and over, representative of Ireland’s population; 50% of population to subscribe to 100Mbps and the second comprised a telephone and web survey of 201 IT decision-makers in Irish SMEs and larger corporations, with quotas Ireland’s National Broadband Plan targets to ensure a cross-section of companies by size. 70Mbps for 50% of population The key findings from both surveys are explored in the rest of this report. 40Mbps for 70-85% of population 30Mbps for 100% population Digital Targets for a Digital Future The importance and benefits of being digitally connected and engaged along with having access to high speed broadband services are 1 EU Digital Agenda scoreboard for Ireland: https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/ globally recognised. Given this, there is growing interest in measuring scoreboard/ireland 2 ‘Delivering a Connected Society: A National Broadband Plan for Ireland’, Department the performance of countries in terms of digital trends and their of Communications, Energy and National Resources, http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/ economic and social impact. rdonlyres/1EA7B477-741B-4B74-A08E-6350135C32D2/0/NBP.pdf 6 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 9. The good news is that Ireland rates very favourably not just among its The comparative picture for Irish businesses is, if anything, even more EU counterparts but also at a global level. Irish consumers are broadly positive. equal to their OECD and EU counterparts when it comes to measures The percentage of businesses (employing 10 or more) with broadband such as the percentage of households with broadband – in fact Ireland in Ireland is slightly over the OECD average (90% vs 88%), as is the has already met the first of the EU’s Targets, universal broadband. 3, 4 proportion of employees using the Internet at work. The biggest Ireland also compares very well in relation to other indicators such as (positive) gap in terms of these businesses relates to selling online, the percentage of Irish consumers who shop online (slightly above the where Irish businesses are nearly 30% more likely to sell online than OECD average and significantly in excess of future EU Targets). the OECD average. With respect to the availability of high speed broadband services the most International targets and comparisons are an important indicator recent Akamai State of the Internet report shows that Ireland ranks 15th in of Ireland’s progress. There have been several efforts to gauge the the world – and 9th in Europe – in terms of average measured broadband progress of nations towards the digital future: speed 5. The Akamai report shows that Irish households are surfing faster »» IBM and the Economist Intelligence Unit have published a report than advanced markets such as the UK and Germany. Indeed, in the two on Digital Economy Rankings 20108 which places Ireland 17th in year period from Q2 2010 to Q2 2012, the share of residential broadband the world, based on a composite score across six indices, including subscribers with contracted download speeds greater than or equal to broadband speeds as well as consumer and business digital 10Mbps tripled: from 7.3% to 22.9%6. As a result, not only has the first adoption. of the EU Targets been met but with 35% of Irish households already today able to receive 150Mbps7, Ireland is well on its way to meeting its »» The World Economic Forum’s Global Information Technology Report ambitious targets as set out in the National Broadband Plan. 20129 ranks Ireland 25th in the world in terms of a Networked Readiness Index (derived from economic, social, political as well as technological measures). 3 Available from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD): http://www.oecd.org/sti/Interneteconomy/ieoutlook.htm Both reports help us track our digital progress and the strength of our 4 National and Rural Broadband Plans: digital economy. http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Communications/Communications+Development/ National+Broadband+Scheme/National+Broadband+Scheme.htm and It is important to stress, however, that Ireland still has some way to go in http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Communications/Communications+Development/ terms of securing the maximum benefits for its citizens and businesses Rural+Broadband+Scheme/ from digital technology. One indication of the ‘digital gap’ is measured 5 Akamai State of the Internet: http://www.akamai.com/stateoftheInternet/ 6 ComReg’s latest commentary: http://www.comreg.ie/publications/quarterly_report_ q2_2012.583.104195.p.html 8 IBM/EIU: http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/bus/html/ibv-digitaleconomy2010.html 7 UPC Press Release http://www.upc.ie/pdf/UPCbreaksIrishInternetSpeedBarrier.pdf 9 WEF: http://www.weforum.org/reports/global-information-technology-report-2012 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 7
  • 10. by Booz & Company’s Digitisation Score10. Their measure is a composite index, derived from national data for the ubiquity of digital services and products, affordability, usage and broadband speeds, etc. Although Ireland scores well in terms of its Digitisation Score – putting it in the advanced group of countries among the 150 surveyed – we clearly have room for improvement. Booz estimates a score of 47 for Ireland while the highest scoring nation is Norway at 6411. The crux of the Digitisation Score is that it shows a clear relationship between higher scores and higher economic growth – and lower unemployment. The Booz analysis of the links between digitisation and the wider economy shows that among digitally advanced countries like Ireland, every 10 point increase in digitisation scores increases GDP per capita by 0.62%. Furthermore, an increase of 10 points in digitisation reduces a nation’s unemployment rate by 0.84%. To put this in context, simply raising Ireland’s digitisation score from 47 to the equivalent UK score of 54 (a 7 point increase) would reduce the numbers unemployed in Ireland by nearly 18,000 – based on the Live Register in September 201212. 10 Booz & Co: http://www.booz.com/global/home/what_we_think/digitisation/megatrend 11 Booz & Co article on Digitisation and Prosperity: http://www.strategy-business.com/ article/00127 12 Central Statistics Office: http://cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/labourmarket/ 8 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 11. 1 | Life Online » 8 in 10 adults use the Internet in Ireland, up from fewer than 5 in 10 in 2007 » Broadband takeup in Ireland matches the EU average at two thirds of homes » On average there are two or more people using broadband in every home, with two or more devices connected at the same time » Broadband users spend 2.6 hours online on a typical weekday » Shopping and social networks are the most popular online activities » A third of adults use the Internet at home for work purposes » Half of all adults would be interested in running their own business from home at some stage in the future UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 9
  • 12. Cast your mind back five years to 2007. It was the height of the Celtic Connected Nation Tiger in Ireland, following a decade of remarkable growth, and we But before we look ahead to the digital future, let’s take a closer a look at had one of the highest standards of living in Europe. Nowadays we the digital present. The UPC consumer survey shows that Irish people are are painfully aware of what has been lost since the peak, but we are confident users of digital technology already. Indeed, there is widespread perhaps less aware of what we have gained. Take digital technology ownership of a range of technologies, as summarised in Fig 2: - the table below contrasts the % of Irish adults owning and using each technology then and now (Fig 1). Digital Technology in the Home % Fig 2: Digital Technologies at Home: % of Irish Adults % Fig 1: % of Irish adults owning and using digital technology Laptop 85 since 2007 Digital Camera 75 Landline Telephone 71 % of All Irish Adults* 2007 2012 Flat Screen TV 70 Internet at Home 48 78 Paid for TV Service 67 Broadband at Home 24 65 Ordinary Mobile Phone 64 Shopping Online 15 59 Smartphone/iPhone 61 Banking Online 18 42 WiFi 60 Mobile Phone 90 98 MP3/iPod 57 Smartphone 5<** 34 PC 50 HDTV 45 Using Social Networks 10<** 52 Portable Games Console 37 * Sources: ComReg & Amárach Research data ** Amárach estimates GPS Device 37 Internet Enabled Games 29 Despite a decline in consumer spending, falling house prices and rising Tablet/iPad 19 unemployment, Irish consumer adoption of digital technologies has eReader 17 risen steadily through the recession. Consumer investment in digital Home Surveillance System 10 products and services - and the skills to use them - tells us something Smart TV 5 very important about the shape of the recovery when it comes, namely that Ireland’s next phase of economic growth will be driven 3D TV 4 more by ‘clicks’ than by bricks. 0 20 40 60 80 100 10 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 13. Ownership and adoption is not evenly distributed, however, and some European context, the chart below (Fig 3) shows the percentage of significant differences emerge from our study: households with broadband across the European Union. Average take- up runs at 67% in the EU, with Ireland just slightly below at 65%. »» Laptop ownership declines with age, after peaking among 25–34s Among those with broadband at home, almost half in our survey »» Landline phone ownership rises with age, peaking among over 55s (49%) say that broadband access is more important than having a »» Smartphone ownership is highest among 25–34s, and higher for telephone, and 1 in 5 (19%) say broadband is more important than TV men than women (rising to 31% of under 25s). Though only 1% considered their home broadband more important than their car! »» HDTV ownership peaks among 45-54s One of the key reasons for the appeal of broadband is that it enables »» Internet enabled games peak among under 24s; tablets/iPads multiple users in a household to benefit from the technology at the same among 35-44s time. Indeed, our research shows that only 1 in 4 broadband users is the Broadband is a key enabling technology facilitating a diverse number sole user in their household; while among the 76% with multiple users, of digital devices in the home. To put Ireland’s performance in a there are typically two or more other users as well (Fig 4). Household Broadband Europe % Fig 3: Broadband take-up: % of Households having a Broadband Connection % 100 80 European Union – 27 countries 60 40 United Kingdom Slovak Republic Czech Republic Luxembourg Netherlands Lithuania 20 Germany Denmark Romania Portugal Hungary Slovenia Bulgaria Belgium Sweden Norway Estonia Austria Finland Iceland Cyprus Greece Ireland Poland France Latvia Spain Malta Italy 0 Source: Digital Agenda for Europe: https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/scoreboard UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 11
  • 14. Fig 4: Number of Broadband Users in the household One key gap in evaluating broadband speed sufficiency is that a significant minority of Irish broadband users simply don’t know their Five or home broadband speed. Indeed, almost 1 in 4 (23%) home broadband more Yes 13% users is unsure of the speed they are supposed to have at home (rising 24% to a third of under 25s). The picture that emerges from our research shows future room for improvement: typical broadband speeds are, on Four Number Two Only user balance, not considered sufficient for the future. 19% of users 42% No 76% Digital Time Use Three 26% Inevitably, access to and usage of digital technologies have resulted in profound shifts in how Irish people spend their time. In the UPC consumer survey we asked broadband users about the amount of time they spend accessing the Internet a) on a typical weekday, and Of course, it is not just people who connect to broadband in the b) on a typical weekend day. The answers by demographic groups are home - it’s devices as well. The average broadband household has summarised in minutes per day in Fig 6 below. two devices connected at the same time, rising to three devices in households containing 16-24 year olds, and falling to under two Fig 6: Minutes per day spent online devices in broadband households among over 55s. Weekend Increase at Weekday Day Weekend Speed Check All Adults 156 167 11 But we are only at the beginning of a user and device explosion. The 15-24 179 187 8 average number of users and devices connected to broadband in Irish 25-34 173 189 16 homes will grow sharply in the near future, thanks to smartphones, 35-44 155 166 11 tablets and the emergence of the ‘Internet of things’ (e.g. your fridge connected over the web to your online shopping list). This raises a 45-54 147 160 12 fundamental question about broadband capacity. 55+ 133 140 7 Higher Income 152 166 14 In our research we asked broadband users whether the speed of their broadband was a) sufficient for their current needs and b) sufficient Lower Income 159 168 9 for their likely future needs (Fig 5, on facing page). At present some 69% of home users consider their broadband speed to be sufficient. However, looking to the future, only 44% of home users expect their existing broadband speed to be sufficient for their likely future needs. 12 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 15. Fig 5: Sufficiency of Broadband Speeds: Present & Future Yes No Don’t Know 3% Only 44% 17% 28% Is your Sufficient broadband for future 44% speed likely needs? sufficient? 69% 39% of people feel their broadband speed is sufficent for future needs UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 13
  • 16. 69% 63% Use Soclal Networks 55% Bank online 44% Read the news Use On Demand TV 33% Play games 14 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 17. Fig 6 indicates that age is an important driver of time spent online, The Broadband Explosion UPC Insight though at an average of over 2.6 hours per weekday it is clear that The consumption of data and content has exploded around the world Internet usage now occupies a lot of people’s leisure and work time. and no less so in Ireland. Data from INEX shows an 800% increase Accessing the Internet at home is the main way in which people access in total traffic per month in Ireland since 2009. While all forms of the web. On a typical weekday, consumers say that over three quarters data consumption are going up, the largest driver of this increase is (79%) of their access takes place at home, only 13% at work and the coming from the continuing massive growth in video viewing across balance while out and about (e.g. via their mobile phone). Nowadays, the web – from professional output to self-published content. In meeting these changing demands, UPC is enabling consumers to Irish people use the Internet for a wide range of activities and services, access increasing volumes of content at higher speeds and at a ranging from entertainment to work to simply keeping in touch. Fig 7 constantly reducing cost per megabit ratio. The market has been shows the proportion of adults who use broadband at home for responding to affordable broadband and UPC is leading this change. each activity. Fig 8: Ireland Year-on-Year Traffic Growth – Petabytes* Fig 7: Online Activities and Services used at Home 40 % 30 Shopping online 70 20 Social networking 69 10 YouTube 68 0 Sept 09 Sept 10 Sept 11 Sept 12 Search/research 63 Banking 63 65% News 55 Irish households have a broadband connection Music 46 70% On demand TV 44 Reduction in the price per Mbps in UPC’s service since 2010 Skype/video conversation 39 Movies 33 50 Mbps Sports 33 The entry level speed for UPC broadband customers Games 33 1.4 Gbps Instant Messaging 30 The record breaking consumer Irish Internet speed set by UPC iTunes 25 (September 2012) Streaming TV 24 Total Users: source Comreg quarterly reports (www.comreg.ie) Education 23 Peering Traffic Volume: source INEX (www.inex.ie) Streaming radio 21 Total Traffic: assumption that 20% of total broadband traffic is INEX peering while Betting 14 remaining 80% is Transit * 1 Petabyte = 1 million gigabytes 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 15
  • 18. Of course, there aren’t enough hours in the day to fit in all of the above activities. Sure enough, many people are now doing different Fig 10: Media Multi-Tasking: EU countries % incidence activities in tandem with one another. Some 3 in 10 in our consumer % 80 survey are surfing the web while watching TV. And young people are 70 leading this trend (Fig 9). 60 50 Fig 9: Media Multi-Tasking in Ireland: % using laptop/tablet/ 40 30 smartphone all the time/almost always, while watching TV 20 Ireland 10 % NO HU HR UA RU UK RO GR CH DK BG EU RS SK NL CZ TR DE BE FR PT PL SE AT ES SI IT FI 0 50 40 30 20 54 69 10 30 43 44 31 27 13 58 0 Total 15–24s 25–34s 35–44s 45–54s 55+ 56 66 59 Indeed, the Irish generally are leading the way, as the incidence of 62 58 47 48 58 what some call media multi-tasking in Ireland is already above the EU 59 60 62 average as reported in a recent IAB Europe survey (Fig 10). 71 62 53 31 We can expect media multi-tasking to grow in future as more users 37 41 with more devices - linked to faster broadband - enjoy the benefits of 52 53 a more interactive TV experience, enhanced by the capabilities of real 47 55 time participation, feedback and commentary via Twitter etc. Source: IAB Europe: http://www.iabeurope.eu/research/mediascope-europe/ media-multi-tasking-means-more-active-consumers-bulletin.aspx 16 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 19. Gaming Partner % 80 70 60 50 Digital Entertainment »» Nearly 1 in 5 (17%) have used their TV to view Facebook 40 Television, as we have seen, is still the dominant leisure time activity (27% of under 25s) 30 in the home for most Irish people. But television is no longer confined »» Nearly 1 in 2 (44%) use On Demand TV (such as RTÉ and TV3 Players) 20 to the television set. In our survey we found that significant minorities of adults use their TV - or a device connected to their TV - to access a One activity that has traditionally combined the television set with 10 71 21 14 21 1 range of web services: another device has been gaming. 1 in 3 (33%) of all those with 0 Alone At home with friends Other players in Ireland Other players abroad Other broadband in the home use the Internet to play online games. Most »» Nearly 1 in 4 (23%) have used their TV to watch YouTube play alone or with other household members, but over a third play (35% of under 25s) with players elsewhere in Ireland or even abroad (Fig 11). Fig 11: Online Gamers: Players and Devices Gaming Partner % Device Used % 80 25 70 20 60 50 15 40 30 10 20 5 10 71 21 14 21 1 0 0 Alone At home with friends Other players in Ireland Other players abroad Other XBox 360 Playstation PC Laptop Nintendo Wii Nintendo DS iPhone/smartphone Other N/A Don't know Device Used % 25 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 17 20
  • 20. The Digital Viewer – On Demand UPC Insight Working from Home Of course, people use the Internet at home for work purposes as well - There is an ongoing proliferation of information devices in Irish and the incidence is quite remarkable, as illustrated in Fig 12. homes. Consumer bandwidth and content requirements are growing constantly and this is being driven primarily by an explosion in video content, ranging from the use of iPlayers to all other streaming, Fig 12: Incidence of Working from Home viewing and downloadable content. These trends are also impacting across wider society as social networking communities grow specifically around TV and online content. TV itself is being totally transformed where the advent of Do you use On Demand TV is changing habits by putting viewers in full control the Internet For what at home activities? of their personal TV schedule. They can watch whatever they want, for work? whenever they want it. Since launching our free On Demand TV service, UPC has gleaned some unique insights into this “anytime” phenomenon. 8m Yes 34% Check Emails 89% The number of views of UPC On Demand content in 5 months No 40% Work on reports/ 77% Don’t Know 26% presentations 56% The percentage of UPC’s On Demand capable customers who have Planning/scheduling 48% Skype with colleagues/ used the service since launch clients 21% 45% Research 3% of the 8 million views of On Demand TV to date are views of Other 6% domestic Irish TV A third of adults in our survey are already working from home to 70% varying degrees, rising to 46% of 35-44 year olds. Although most The proportion of Irish households with a pay TV subscription are using it for ‘bandwidth-lite’ activities such as checking email, a minority are also using it for more collaborative work such as video- conferencing and report preparations. 18 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 21. Knowledge vs Benefits All of us use many different technologies – and most would struggle to explain how they work, even though we benefit every day from their capabilities. In our research we asked consumers to rate a) their knowledge of digital technology, and b) the benefit from digital technology on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is low and 10 is high. Fig 13 summarises the overall findings, and points to a clear difference between knowledge and benefits. Fig 13: Digital Technology: Knowledge & Benefits Rating of Rating of knowledge benefits of digital from digital technology technology A recent report by IDC forecasts that mobile workers will represent 57% of the total Irish working population – or 1.4 Low 11% Low 4% million workers – by 2016*, driven by the communications tools Medium 42% Medium 30% and channels now increasingly available. This future dynamic High 47% High 67% between home and work is a theme we return to in Chapter 3 when we explore how Irish businesses are responding to the digital opportunity. * Source: IDC Report for O2 Ireland: http://www.o2online.ie/o2/uploads/pdfs/ terms/business/O2-7801-G-Joined-Up-IDC-Inserts.pdf UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 19
  • 22. There are a number of demographic differences in relation to the digital knowledge/benefit gap, as summarised in Fig 14. Fig 14: The Digital Knowledge/Benefit Gap – Mean Score out of 10 Digital Digital Digital Knowledge Benefits K/B Gap TOTAL 6.2 7.2 1 15-24s 7.2 7.7 0.5 25-34s 6.6 7.3 0.6 35-44s 6.2 7.3 1.1 45-54s 5.6 6.9 1.3 55+s 5.3 6.8 1.4 Higher Income 6.3 7.2 0.9 Lower Income 6.0 7.1 1.1 » Nearly 3 in 4 agree the Internet allows them to make smarter purchasing decisions (rising to 77% of 35–44s) The gap is bigger for some than for others, but most people clearly feel they benefit from digital technologies, indicating a generally » Nearly two thirds agree the Internet opens up new career, positive, even optimistic outlook on the contribution of digital educational and social opportunities (rising to 69% of under 25s) technology today and in the future. » Over half agree they wouldn’t be able to buy many of the things they want without the Internet (rising to 60% of 25–34s), and 4 Digital Optimists in 10 say they wouldn’t be able to afford many of the things they Given the positive dynamic in consumer adoption of digital technology want without the Internet (also higher for 25–34s) – despite weak domestic demand – we might assume that Irish people » Over 4 in 10 (44%) agree their family life is better because of are optimistic about the digital future. Indeed they are, and not just the Internet (rising to 50% of 35–44s) the future. In our survey we asked people about the impact of digital technologies on their lives today – whether they agree or disagree » Nearly 4 in 10 (38%) agree they wouldn’t be able to do their about the different impacts of technology. The responses overall are job without the Internet (rising to 45% of 25–34s) very positive (Fig 15). 20 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 23. Fig 15: Life Online: Impact of Digital Technology Nowadays Fig 16: The Digital Future: Likelihood and Appeal Disagree Agree Likelihood of future outcome Appeal of future outcome Unlikely Likely Unwelcome Welcome The Internet allows me to make 7 smarter purchasing decisions 13 73 People will get more of their shopping 58 delivered to their home after ordering The internet opens up new career it online, including groceries 15 8 49 opportunities, educational opportunities, social opportunities 64 People won’t need to go to the 21 22 cinema or rent DVDs. They will pay to 51 I wouldn’t be able to buy many of the watch movies using online services 27 things I want without the Internet 52 available via broadband 35 My family life is better because 23 19 of the Internet 44 Faster Internet services will have 48 improved my life 10 26 60 I wouldn’t be able to afford many of the things I want without the Internet 41 People will be able to work abroad 24 and not have to leave Ireland because 45 28 technology will enable them to stay I wouldn’t be able to do my job 19 without the Internet 38 at home while doing their job 49 My internet speed at home isn't fast 46 31 People won’t need to physically go to 40 enough for all my family requirements 28 universities/colleges because they will be able to do all course work online 33 % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 34 29 People won’t need to go to work in 39 Irish people look forward with considerable optimism to the future offices because they will be able to 28 effects of digital technologies. work from home most of the time 41 In our survey we asked people to consider a range of possible future % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 trends driven by technology. They were asked to say a) to what extent they thought each trend is likely or unlikely to happen; and b) whether or not they would welcome each trend in the future. The results are summarised in the chart on the right (Fig 16). UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 21
  • 24. »» Home Shopping: the majority (58%) of consumers think it likely In terms of expected and welcome futures, over half of Irish that people will use the Internet to do more shopping, with adults (53%) think it likely that ‘the adoption of better digital deliveries to their home, while almost half (49%) would welcome technologies will speed Ireland’s economic recovery’. An even such a scenario. bigger majority (63%) would welcome the digital-led recovery. »» Home Movies: just over half of all adults (51%) expect that movies via broadband will replace going to the cinema, though fewer When asked, more people were interested in availing of lifestyle, welcome this development (35%). learning and employment changes if technology made it possible »» Faster Services: just under half of all adults (48%) expect faster (Fig 17). Internet services to improve their lives in future, and even more The most popular change is that of working from home for 1 to 2 days (60%) would welcome such improvement. per week. Over 6 in 10 (62%) of all adults are interested in such an »» Migration: under half (45%) of people in Ireland think it likely that arrangement, rising to 67% of 25–34s. This is followed by the prospect we will be able to become ‘virtual emigrants’, using technology of running your own business from home: attractive to half the to work abroad but stay at home, while nearly half (49%) would population (51%). Moving to the countryside while still working from welcome this. home also has broad appeal for 43% of all adults (and even more so »» College: some 4 in 10 (40%) think it likely that future students will among 25–34s). do all their course work online. »» Working: 4 in 10 (39%) think that office work will become a thing of the past, with the same proportion welcoming such a trend. One interesting demographic difference that emerges in our study is that over 55s are typically more positive and welcoming about the potential changes that the digital future might bring – suggesting that the ‘generation gap’ in relation to technology will soon be gone. 22 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 25. Fig 17: The Digital Home: Interest in Future Services One area that will see considerable change being driven by digital Not interested Interested technology is that of health care and medical services. Half the population (51%) is open to diagnoses and treatments by foreign 15 Working from home 1 or 2 days a week experts, delivered via digital technology, rising to 57% of over 62 55s (inevitably a key target market). 20 Running your business from home 51 Exploiting the full capacity of the web to create fulfilling lives and Receiving full medical 23 satisfying work is not all a one way street. Our assessment of future diagnoses/treatment by world class health/medical experts in different 51 scenarios included the idea of ‘digital mentoring’ – enabling people to hospitals and centres around the world use their skills and experience to coach and advise young people and Getting further qualifications from an 25 even businesses in Ireland and in other parts of the world. There is Irish university 50 very considerable interest in this idea: with 45% of adults expressing Using your skills/experience to an interest. This type of initiative is indicative of the transformative 24 coach/advise young people in other parts potential of the web, and another sign of how Ireland’s economic of the world or even business/ organisa- 45 tions like ones you have worked in recovery might come about. Learning a foreign language by receiving 26 lessons via Skype from a native speaker 45 Getting further qualifications from a 30 European University 44 Moving to the countryside while still 29 being able to work from home 43 % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 23
  • 26. 2 | The Digital Consumer The previous chapter examined technology usage and time spent online by Irish consumers. In this chapter we focus on money. » 2.6 million Irish online shoppers will spend €3.7bn in 2012 » Travel related spending and clothing and footwear are the biggest purchases » 8 in 10 Internet users use the web to research products but buy in local shops » 6 in 10 Internet users use local shops to research products but buy online » Over 6 in 10 online shoppers would buy from an Irish website if they knew about it » Irish consumers will spend €5.7bn online by 2016, or 7% of all spending » 30% of Irish adults are ‘Digital Leaders’, while 8% are ‘Digital Laggards’ 24 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 27. Online Spending Fig 18 summarises the current state of play of the online market in Our estimates for the value of online expenditure are derived from Ireland. Irish consumers will spend €3.7 billion online this year. Just to answers to our consumer survey. We asked consumers to estimate put that in context, total consumer spending is forecast to reach €80.9 their average monthly expenditure online. The average stands at billion in 20121, which means that nearly 5% of all consumer spending €116 per adult per month, rising from €61 per month among 15-24 will be online this year – compared to less than 1% in 2007. year olds to €168 per month among over 55s. We have profiled the market by age group – and it tells us something very interesting about the distribution of digital spending power. For Online spending is driven by travel and hotels – as shown in the next example, 15-24s represent just 15% of the adult population but nearly chart (Fig 19) – though other items also figure prominently, especially 20% of Internet shoppers. However, when it comes to spending power, clothing/footwear, and books and music. their combined spending is just over 10% of the total. On the other hand, over 55s make up 28% of the population but just 14% of Internet shoppers. But their spending power is over 20% of the total. Fig 18: Online Consumer Spending by Age Group Internet Online Share Share Share Population Shoppers 000s expenditure of adult of Internet of online Age Group 000s 2012* 2012** €m 2012*** population Shoppers spending 15–24 553.4 509.1 €371.8 15.4% 19.8% 10.1% 25–34 733.5 669.0 €926.5 20.4% 25.1% 25.2% 35–44 700.0 604.8 €721.6 19.5% 22.5% 19.6% 45–54 586.3 418.9 €622.9 16.3% 15.9% 16.9% 55+ 1,017.8 369.2 €746.1 28.3% 14.2% 20.3% Total 3,591.0 2632.9 €3,680.5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% * QNHS CSO ** Amárach Survey *** Amárach Calculations 1 ESRI Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2012: http://www.esri.ie/UserFiles/ publications/QEC2012AUT_ES.pdf UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 25
  • 28. Fig 19: Items Purchased Online in past 6 months Clicks & Bricks % of adults Though nearly 5% of all Irish consumer spending is now online, Travel/hotel related bookings 61 95% is not. However, a significant proportion of offline spending Clothing/footwear 53 is influenced by the web, even if that is not where the transaction Books 51 ultimately takes place. Indeed, most Irish Internet users use the web to help find better deals and to inform their purchase Music/CDs MP3 tracks 29 decisions; ‘always’ in the case of 41% of all users, and ‘often’ in Movies/DVD/film rental 28 the case of an additional 50% of users. Electronic goods (e.g. ipod) 26 Medical/health related 21 Some consumers use the web to research products and choices online Toys/baby products 19 but ultimately buy offline in local stores, perhaps because it is more Electrical goods (e.g. toaster) 19 convenient (‘clicks and bricks’). Consumers also research products Groceries 19 and choices in local stores and then buy online, perhaps because it is cheaper (‘bricks and clicks’). The chart on the next page (Fig 20) Perfumes/cosmetics 18 summarises this situation: 8 in 10 (80%) Internet users research online Flowers 10 and buy local, while 6 in 10 (58%) research local and buy online. Furniture 7 How does this impact on different markets and sectors? The table on Tickets/concert tickets 1 the next page (Fig 21) shows the channel preferences of consumers Other 4 who have purchased online in each category over the past 6 months, 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 in terms of whether they prefer to buy in a shop or prefer to buy online, or have no preference. Perhaps not surprisingly, price is a key motivation for Ireland’s 2.6 Clearly a number of markets have effectively gone ‘virtual’: booking million Internet shoppers (45% of the total). The importance of price for flights, buying music and ordering movies, to name the most obvious shopping online falls slightly with age, while convenience (32% of the from the chart. Others still show a strong preference for ‘bricks’: total) rises with age. A better range or selection is important too (21%). clothing, groceries and furniture for example. 26 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future
  • 29. 67% Fig 20: Clicks vs Bricks Yes No Don’t Know 5% 5% 15% Of people prefer to buy Research Research music online online 37% locally but 58% buy locally buy online 80% Fig 21 Doesn’t Prefer to matter Prefer to buy in a or no buy online shop preference Travel/hotel related services 87% 2% 11% Music/CDs/mp3 tracks 67% 12% 21% (e.g. iTunes) Medical and health related 60% 14% 26% (e.g. insurance, equipment) Movies/DVDs/film rentals 59% 16% 25% (e.g.iTunes) Electronic goods (e.g. iPad) 48% 19% 33% Flowers 48% 19% 33% Books 42% 28% 30% Electrical goods (e.g. toaster) 40% 37% 23% Perfumes and cosmetics 35% 33% 32% Toys/baby products 30% 30% 40% Clothing/footwear 19% 55% 26% Furniture 19% 53% 28% Groceries, food or alcohol 16% 55% 29% UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 27
  • 30. If You’re Irish Not shown is the percentage shopping across a mix of Irish/ There are, though, some interesting differences when it comes to the international websites, which is the experience of nearly half of provenance of websites themselves, specifically in relation to whether shoppers in categories like baby products and cosmetics. Nevertheless, a website is Irish or international. Fig 22 shows the location of websites there are some stark differences. When it comes to groceries, timing used by shoppers in each category. is everything so a ‘local’ site is vital to ensure fresh produce is still fresh when it arrives. On the other hand, the more digital a product Fig 22: eTailers: Irish Vs Foreign Websites or service becomes then the less important would appear to be a Irish Website International website site’s provenance. Hence music and movies are predominantly being 65 purchased via international websites. Groceries/food/alcohol 11 Over 55s tend to have a bias towards Irish websites – though it is by no 46 Medical/health related 12 means uniform across all categories. Nevertheless, this is important 44 given their share of total online spending noted above. Of course, Flowers 15 many consumers may feel they simply have no choice about where 33 to buy products and services online. As Fig 23 shows, when those who Furniture 17 purchased from international websites were asked if they knew of any 30 equivalent Irish websites selling the same products, between half and Travel/hotel 19 three quarters said no or simply didn’t know, depending on the category. 23 Electrical goods 23 But sizeable minorities in most categories were aware of alternative, Toys/baby products 17 Irish websites selling the products or services they were buying. They 23 chose not to ‘buy Irish’ mainly because of price, but also because 17 Clothing/footwear 25 of perceptions about range and choice. Curiously, price tends to be more motivating to middle aged shoppers (35-44s and 45-54s), while 7 Perfume/cosmetics 29 range is more important to younger (under 25s) and older (over 55s) 13 shoppers. Electronic goods 31 However, a key finding for Irish website operators is that the majority 12 Books 42 (61%) of those not aware of equivalent Irish sites when shopping would purchase from an Irish site if they knew about it. 9 Movies/DVD/film rental 47 8 Music/CD’s/MP3 tracks 47 % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 28 UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future