Metro Atlanta and Buckhead Demographics and Economics
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This document provides demographic and economic data for Metro Atlanta and Buckhead. It shows that Buckhead has experienced significant population and job growth since 2000. Buckhead has a highly educated and affluent population that is older and less diverse than the Atlanta region overall. The data presented indicate trends in factors like income, housing, health, education and employment that are important to the future growth and development of Buckhead.
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Metro Atlanta and Buckhead Demographics and Economics
- 1. Metro Atlanta and Buckhead Demographics and Economics Mike Alexander, AICP Research and Analytics Division Manager Atlanta Regional Commission malexander@atlantaregional.com
- 4. Which Area Added The Most Population, 2000-2010?
- 6. This Southwest Atlanta tract has added the most people with 4,267.
- 7. Which Area Has The Highest Concentration of Those With At Least A Bachelor’s Degree?
- 9. 91.8% of the population have at least a Bachelor’s Degree, in this tract of South Buckhead.
- 10. Which Area Has The Highest Concentration of Children Under 5 Years Old?
- 12. This Thomasville Heights tract has 20% of the population at age 5 or younger.
- 13. Which Area Has The Highest Concentration of People Over 65 Years Old?
- 15. The highest concentration of people over age 65 is in this Buckhead tract, with 27.3%.
- 16. Which Area Has The Most Children Added Under Age 5?
- 18. The highest number of children under 5 added is in this Western tract, with 386.
- 19. Which Area Has The Most People For Ages 65 and Over?
- 21. This Buckhead tract has 2,150 people over age 65, the highest in the city.
- 22. Which Area of Atlanta Has The Highest Median Household Income?
- 24. Atlanta’s highest median household is $150,631 in this Buckhead tract.
- 25. How Have Metropolitan Atlanta and Buckhead Grown?
- 26. Southeastern Population Growth 2000 to 2010 County Net Change Red to Tan = Growth Blues = Loss Source: US Census
- 27. Metropolitan Growth 2000 to 2010 Source : Census Bureau, 28-County MSA Total Hispanic Black White Total Hispanic Black White Houston 1,231,393 745,935 214,928 85,643 Tampa, FL 387,246 203,566 72,970 57,482 Dallas 1,210,229 634,449 233,890 158,283 Chicago 362,789 462,377 (58,255) (193,010) Atlanta 1,020,879 276,993 473,493 106,267 Minneapolis 311,027 77,162 83,464 63,623 Riverside 970,030 767,440 58,919 5,613 San Diego 281,480 240,383 (7,887) (48,786) Phoenix 941,011 418,706 80,318 320,370 Philadelphia 278,196 181,963 93,161 (140,551) Washington 785,987 341,107 155,648 58,019 Boston 215,058 128,911 54,009 (136,692) New York 574,107 760,983 (67,709) (558,563) San Francisco 211,651 205,545 (37,595) (185,650) Miami 557,071 608,865 191,658 (267,991) Baltimore 157,495 72,425 74,124 (66,652) Los Angeles 463,210 583,070 (85,025) (361,772) St. Louis 114,209 31,582 36,764 7,349 Seattle 395,931 147,023 36,061 27,015 Detroit (156,307) 41,147 (37,603) (194,535) Metro 2000-2010 Population Change MSA Metro 2000-2010 Population Change MSA
- 28. Buckhead Population Growth 66,772 77,787 80,465 33,930 40,313 41,564 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 2000 2010 2013 Households Population Source: ESRI Demographics
- 29. Since 2010 Source: US Census Estimates
- 30. A Lot of Growth
- 31. Diversity
- 32. 50.7 54.3 61.1 54.7 50.1 67.9 39.5 47.8 31.8 34.7 48.2 52.8 64.7 58.1 36.5 67.1 48.7 32.1 7.4 24.0 17.2 15.0 23.0 16.8 10.6 6.9 19.9 16.3 15.4 20.7 5.2 7.6 11.6 25.4 6.4 6.4 4.7 6.8 7.0 5.0 7.8 12.0 16.4 3.6 11.7 6.0 6.3 6.6 8.3 4.5 11.4 10.8 31.9 10.2 21.2 28.0 4.2 36.0 29.6 44.8 41.8 23.8 25.9 8.3 30.1 47.7 16.8 14.4 Metropolitan Ethnicity As a % of Total Population 2010 Census Atlanta has a relatively small share of Hispanic Population compared to other metro areas. White African American Other Hispanic Source : Census Bureau 2010 Census
- 33. -100,000 -50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Atlanta Spalding Rockdale Fayette Clayton Walton Barrow Carroll Bartow DeKalb Newton Coweta Douglas Hall Paulding Cherokee Forsyth Cobb Henry Fulton Gwinnett White Black Asian Hispanic Other County Race & Ethnicity Change, 2000 – 2010 (US Census)
- 35. 2013 Population by Race Comparison 11.6% 0.1% 0.3% 2.6% 5.0% 4.9% 32.4% 54.7% 7.4% 0.0% 0.2% 2.1% 3.1% 4.5% 10.6% 79.5% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% Hispanic Origin (Any Race) Pacific Islander Alone American Indian Alone Two or More Races Some Other Race Alone Asian Alone Black Alone White Alone Buckhead Atlanta Metro Source: ESRI Demographics
- 36. Distribution of Race-2010 More than 200,000 Gwinnett residents were born in a different country! Source: U.S. Census
- 37. Age
- 38. 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 - 4 5-9 10-14 15 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75 - 84 85+ Buckhead Atlanta Metro 2013 Age Comparison Source: ESRI Demographics
- 39. 20 County Area Compared to Nation 2010 Census 20-County Area Baby Boomers: Born between 1944 and 1963 GI and Silent Generation: Born before 1944 Generation X (BABY BUST): 1964 to 1977 Generation Y (ECHO, Millennial) 1978 to 1992 Generation Z: 1993 to 2010 -10.00% -8.00% -6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% <5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+ Female Male Nation
- 40. Where Millennials Live 2010 (AGE 15-30)
- 42. Health
- 43. Oh Yeah… Place Matters! Source: County Health Rankings
- 44. Male Change in Life Expectancy Source: County Health Rankings 1999 to 2009 Source: http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/
- 45. 2009 Male Life Expectancy Source: http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/
- 46. 2009 Female Life Expectancy Source: http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/
- 47. Death Rates: Major Cardiovascular Diseases Source: GA Dept. of Health (OASIS)
- 49. Education
- 50. 34.1 46.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Percent Metropolitan Statistical Area HS- BAC+ 20 Largest MSAs: Educational Attainment, 2010 US: Bachelor 30.9% BLUE Equals Percent without High School Diploma 50 Source: American Community Survey, 2010 1-Year
- 51. US: 30.9% 51 Source: American Community Survey 2007-2011
- 52. Educational Attainment Buckhead (SD) 75% with Bachelor’s Degree
- 53. 16 4 5 15 20 10 7 8 17 13 11 9 14 12 19 6 1 3 18 2 2 16 18 9 1 8 5 13 3 10 12 15 6 11 7 14 19 20 4 17 11 12 15 7 9 5 10 19 4 8 14 6 3 13 1 17 20 16 2 18 15 13 5 8 14 17 20 1 19 9 2 11 16 6 12 10 3 4 18 7 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Science/Engineering Business Education Arts/Humanities Source: 2009 American Community Survey Note: The American Community Survey relies on sample data to develop estimates. The figures shown are the midpoint for a range of possible estimates at the 90 percent confidence level. Since a range of estimates is possible for each metro area, the ranks may not be exact. Degree Type by Metro Area (Ranks for each degree on chart)
- 54. High School Graduation Rates 88.4 86.27 82.32 81.9 78.23 76.21 76.01 74.85 74.82 74.74 73.35 72.73 72.35 70.98 70.05 68.53 67.56 67.08 66.22 66.2 64.22 64.14 58.82 58.65 58.43 56.01 51.96 51.48 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Decatur City Forsyth Buford City Carrollton City Fayette Cartersville City Paulding Coweta Cherokee Walton Cobb Hall Henry Douglas Fulton Social Circle City Gwinnett Carroll Bartow Rockdale Barrow Newton Spalding DeKalb Gainsville City Marietta City Atlanta Public Schools Clayton Graduation Rate, 2010-2011 NEW METHOD % 54 Source: GA DoE
- 55. Socioeconomics
- 56. 2013 Income Comparison 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% <$15,000 $15,000 - $24,999 $25,000 - $34,999 $35,000 - $49,999 $50,000 - $74,999 $75,000 - $99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 $150,000 - $199,000 $200,000+ Buckhead Atlanta Metro Source: ESRI Demographics
- 57. Atlanta MSA and the Nation Source: BLS, CES SAE series
- 58. Recent Atlanta MSA Trends by Industry MAY Source: BLS, CES,
- 59. Recent Atlanta MSA Trends by Industry August Source: BLS, CES,
- 60. Large Metros Employment Change
- 61. Large Metros Employment Change
- 62. Source: BLS CES SAE
- 64. Source: Zillow
- 66. Foreclosures Shifting 2007 PSQM Source : Equity Depot 66
- 67. Source : Equity Depot 67 Foreclosures Shifting 2010 PSQM
- 68. Source : Equity Depot 68 Foreclosures Shifting 2012 PSQM
- 70. 10-County Employment Change -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Professional and Technical Services Retail Trade State and Local Administrative and Waste Services Health Care and Social Assistance Accommodation and Food Services Other Services, except Public Administration Wholesale Trade Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Transportation and Warehousing Construction Manufacturing Information Educational Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Federal Civilian Management of Companies and Enterprises Federal Military 1990 1990to2011 Source: REMI, BLS
- 71. Employment Change 2010 to 2012 Buckhead added 7,510 jobs 3rd Superdistrict in Job Change N Fulton and N DeKalb 1-2 96, 471 Total Jobs 6th largest Superdistrict
- 72. Employment Performance Comparison 3.86% 0.52% -5.94% -2.78% 4.44% 6.43% -3.73% -5.51% 1.14% 8.44% -8.00% -6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 05to2006 06to2008 08to2009 09to2010 10to2012 Metro Atlanta Buckhead Source: ARC Estimates (GA Dept. of Labor Data) Buckhead Prof Sc Tech job increase 2005-2012 4,161 (12%) is 22% of the total increase for the 20-County Region
- 73. Buckhead Employment Sectors (2011) 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Public Administration Manufacturing Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Construction Management of Companies and Enterprises Other Services (excluding Public Administration) Educational Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Transportation and Warehousing Information Administration & Support, Waste Management and… Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Finance and Insurance Health Care and Social Assistance Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Source: Census LEHD On the Map
- 74. Commuting Patterns to work in Buckhead
- 75. Where Residents go to Work Where Workers Live
- 78. South Atlantic (Georgia) forecast to grow the most.
- 79. South Atlantic (Georgia) forecast to grow the most.
- 80. South Atlantic (Georgia) forecast to grow the most.
- 81. South Atlantic (Georgia) forecast to grow the most.
- 82. Population Growth Comparison United States 20-County Area Rest of Georgia (139 Counties) Source: Plan 2040 Forecasts, 2009
- 85. 20-County Population Trends: Draft Forecast 2013 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 5,278 7,887 inThousands Total Population Average Annual %
- 86. Region’s Aging Profile DRAFT Limited Transportation Update Forecast (2013) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Ages 0-4 Ages 5-9 Ages 10-14 Ages 15-19 Ages 20-24 Ages 25-29 Ages 30-34 Ages 35-39 Ages 40-44 Ages 45-49 Ages 50-54 Ages 55-59 Ages 60-64 Ages 65-69 Ages 70-74 Ages 75-79 Ages 80-84 Ages 85+ Age Pyramid 2010 2040
- 87. DRAFT Limited Transportation Update Forecast (2013) 87 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Ages 85+ Ages 80-84 Ages 75-79 Ages 70-74 Ages 65-69 Ages 60-64
- 88. More Diverse 71% 60% 50% 47% 43% 40% 25% 28% 32% 31% 31% 30% 2% 4% 7% 8% 9% 9% 2% 7% 11% 14% 17% 22% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 White Black Other Hispanic Source: Plan 2040 Forecasts
- 89. 20-County Forecast Area 24% 24% 20% 68% 67% 60% 8% 9% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Age 65 and Older Age 16-64 Age 0-15 Labor Force Share Getting Smaller 1,456,824 29% 3,103,125 63% 384,991 8% Workers and Dependents - 2005 0-19 20-64 65+ 2,086,038 25% 4,559,462 55% 1,610,823 20% Workers and Dependents - 2040 0-19 20-64 65+ Roughly 1.6 workers for every dependent today. By 2040, roughly one-to- one Source: Census and ARC Plan2040 Forecast 89
- 92. County Growth
- 94. 20-County Employment Trends: Draft Limited Transportation Update Forecast (2013) 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 4,824 inThousands Total Employment 1.99% 1.28% 1.24% Average Annual % Change
- 95. 20-County Employment Change by Sector: Draft Limited Transportation Update Forecast (2013) -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Educational Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Management of Companies and Enterprises State Government Federal Civilian Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Information Transportation and Warehousing Finance and Insurance Other Services, except Public Administration Administrative and Waste Management Services Health Care and Social Assistance Construction Accommodation and Food Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Wholesale Trade Local Government Manufacturing Retail Trade 1990 1990-2013 2013-2040
- 96. -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Management of Companies and Enterprises Federal Civilian Information Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation State Government Educational Services Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Transportation and Warehousing Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Accommodation and Food Services Other Services, except Public Administration Local Government Retail Trade Construction Administrative and Waste Management Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Health Care and Social Assistance 1990 1990-2013 2013-2040 20-County Employment Change by Sector: Draft Limited Transportation Update Forecast (2013)
- 98. Metro Atlanta and Cobb County Demographics and Economics for the Traton Homes 2013 Mike Alexander, AICP Research and Analytics Division Manager Atlanta Regional Commission malexander@atlantaregional.com
- 99. THIS IS A VIDEO MAKE IT PLAY BY CLICKING Employmen t Blue Served by Heavy Rail Transit
- 100. Urbanized Area 1950 to 2010 Source: US Census, ARC
- 101. Growth Creates Demand for Infrastructure: Are We Prepared? TRANSIT (same scale, yellow transit lines and red transit stops)
- 104. “If you want to be a leader, you’ve got to be a reader.” David Noebel, religious leader and writer (1937–)
- 105. Questions? Mike Alexander, AICP Research and Analytics Division Manager Atlanta Regional Commission malexander@atlantaregional.com http://www.neighborhoodnexus.org/http://www.atlantaregional.com/
Notas do Editor
- Like
- Metros are living longer. In some counties, mostly rural, life expectancy ACTUALLY FELL!
- And as you can see here, the South Atlantic region – Virginia, the Carolinas, Georgia and Florida – is expected to add more people than any other region in the nation over the next 25 years or so. This should bode well for our economic future. Still, there are plenty of opportunities for us to make sure metro Atlanta not only participates in this growth, but becomes the place to be for the next generation of creative workers.
- And as you can see here, the South Atlantic region – Virginia, the Carolinas, Georgia and Florida – is expected to add more people than any other region in the nation over the next 25 years or so. This should bode well for our economic future. Still, there are plenty of opportunities for us to make sure metro Atlanta not only participates in this growth, but becomes the place to be for the next generation of creative workers.
- And as you can see here, the South Atlantic region – Virginia, the Carolinas, Georgia and Florida – is expected to add more people than any other region in the nation over the next 25 years or so. This should bode well for our economic future. Still, there are plenty of opportunities for us to make sure metro Atlanta not only participates in this growth, but becomes the place to be for the next generation of creative workers.
- And as you can see here, the South Atlantic region – Virginia, the Carolinas, Georgia and Florida – is expected to add more people than any other region in the nation over the next 25 years or so. This should bode well for our economic future. Still, there are plenty of opportunities for us to make sure metro Atlanta not only participates in this growth, but becomes the place to be for the next generation of creative workers.
- Like 76 million of that 128 will be Hispanic at the Nat level
- Like
- Like HEALTH CARE LEADING SECTOR Smaller Share of Working Age Population (Green) Substantial Share growth in 65 and over (More Dependents, Less Workers)
- First, let me tell you a little about what the Atlanta Regional Commission or ARC is and does. We are designated by the state as one of 12 regional commissions to coordinate land use planning and development amongst the state’s counties. Every county in Georgia is a member of one of these 12 regional commissions. ARC’s 10-county area is represented in white on this map. ARC is probably best known for its involvement in metro Atlanta’s transportation planning. ARC is designated by the federal government as the metropolitan planning organization, or MPO, for the “urbanized Atlanta region.” The “urbanized area” is determined every 10 years by the U.S. Census Bureau. Currently, the Atlanta urbanized area covers these 20 counties. Soon it will grow to include all or parts of 23 counties based on the 2010 Census. Being the MPO means that all the federal transportation money for our 20 counties comes through ARC. So, if you’re a local jurisdiction and you want to use any federal dollars for transportation, your project or program has to be in the region’s plans. Along with land use and transportation, we also have many other federal and state designations. The acronyms for all of these would cause your head to spin: the AAA, the ARWB, the EDD, the MNGWPD, the MAPDC, and… well, you get the picture. A bunch of official government stuff. What it really means is that we are involved in many aspects of life in metro Atlanta: land use planning and community development; water supply planning, water conservation and water quality; services for our rapidly aging and disabled populations; development of a workforce that is ready to tackle the jobs of today and tomorrow. So, it’s through this very broad lens that ARC views the regional community. And, it’s through this lens that I would like to speak to you today.
- Of course, if our population isn’t employed, it’s hard to have a successful region now or in the future.
- After the vote on the transportation referendum, people began asking what “Plan B” is. Folks, the referendum was a Plan B of sorts. The Atlanta region already has a 25-year Regional Transportation Plan with roughly $60 billion in federal funding. The referendum was an opportunity to begin to close the gap between that and the $60 billion worth of projects and programs we need in order to keep up with our growth. The challenge, as you can see here, is that most of that $60 billion goes to maintaining the extensive network we already have. First 6 years of the RTP are the Transportation Improvement Program. The current TIP, from 2012-2017 has about $7.6 billion worth of transportation funding in it. As the MPO, ARC manages both of these plans. The projects meet the guidelines of the USDOT and the statewide plan developed by GDOT. However, the projects and programs that get funded are, for the most part, recommended by the local communities where they will be implemented. For example, the current TIP, from 2012-2017, includes major projects like the new toll lanes on I-75 north and south of I-285, some work on major state highways like Highway 92 and Highway 20. It includes some transit, like the Atlanta Streetcar. But it also includes many projects and programs that have a much more local impact. These “local” projects all work together to help metro Atlantans get where they need to go all across the region. Of course, if the Governor and GDOT decide to make a major project like Georgia 400 and I-285 a priority, and they can find funding for it, something like that would be added to the TIP. The RTP has some transit, for example, the Clifton Corridor, the I-20 East and possible MARTA expansion up Georgia 400. And both the RTP and TIP include many of the “small” projects that provide a lot of bang for the buck, like signal retiming, intersection improvements and the like.