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Finance Sub-Committee
Meeting on Pensions




                           Bridget Gainer, Chair
             Cook County Pension Sub-Committee
                                  June 29, 2011

                         Info@BridgetGainer.com
                                  312-603-4210
Paths to Solvency




        Paths to Solvency
       Commissioner Gainer   2
Introduction


   The Cook County Pension Fund is currently funded
    at 60.7%. The funded status has dropped 30% in
    the last ten years and 15% in the last five.

   Cook County, as the employer, has made their full
    statutory required contributions to the Pension
    Fund every year and has repaid any loans from
    the fund.

   The statutory contribution is a multiple of the
    employee contribution and unrelated to the
    actuarial value of the liability being accrued by
    the fund.

                    Paths to Solvency
                   Commissioner Gainer                  3
Benefits, Employer & Employee Contribution: No Change



  80.00%                                         • Projected funded status with
  60.00%                                         no changes to benefit formula
  40.00%
                                  Funded
                                                 or contribution levels
  20.00%                          Status

   0.00%
            2010 2020 2030 2038
 -20.00%


Millions                                     Billions

 $400                                            $28
                                                 $23
 $300                                            $18
                                     ER Cont.                                 Assets
 $200                                            $13
                                     EE Cont.     $8                          Liability
 $100                                             $3
    $0                                           -$2
           2010 2020 2030 2038                          2010 2020 2030 2038

                                          Table 1
                                   Paths to Solvency
                                  Commissioner Gainer                               4
Benefits: No Change
   Employee Contribution: No Change (8.5% of pay)
   Employer Contribution: Increase Employer contribution to reach 80% in 2040


                                              • Employer Contributes 21.49% of payroll
 85.00%
 80.00%                                         annually beginning in 2012
 75.00%
 70.00%
                                              • Employer currently contributes
                                     Funded
 65.00%                              Status     approximately 13% of payroll
 60.00%
 55.00%
 50.00%
            2010 2020 2030 2040



Millions
                                                  Billions
$1,000
                                                        $25
 $800
                                                        $20
 $600                              ER Cont.                                         Assets
 $400                                                   $15
                                   EE Cont.                                         Libaility
 $200                                                   $10
    $0                                                   $5
           2010 2020 2030 2040                                2010 2020 2030 2040


                                           Table 2
                                   Paths to Solvency
                                  Commissioner Gainer                                           5
Benefits: Multiple 2.4 to 2.2; FAS = final 8 years; retirement age increased 5 years;
 COLA reduced to lesser of 3% or ½ CPI.
 Employee Contribution: an additional 1% of Salary to 9.5%
 Employer Contribution: No formula change, but increases with wage & contributions

                                              • Changes only apply to those under 50
70.00%                                        • Multiplier changed from 2.4% to 2.2%
65.00%                                        • Final Average Salary changed to average of last 8
60.00%                                        yrs.
                                     Funded
55.00%
                                     Status   • COLA reduced to 3% or half of CPI
50.00%                                        • Retirement Age increased 5 years
45.00%                                        • Employees Contribute 9.5% of Salary
40.00%
           2010 2020 2030 2040


  Millions
                                                    Billions
   $400
                                                         $25
   $300
                                   ER Cont.              $20
   $200                                                                                Assets
                                   EE Cont.              $15
   $100
                                                                                       Liabilities
      $0                                                 $10
             2010 2020 2030 2040
                                                          $5
                                                               2010 2020 2030 2040


                                          Table 12
                                    Paths to Solvency
                                   Commissioner Gainer                                           6
Benefits: Multiple 2.4 to 2.2; FAS = final 8 years; retirement age increased 5
      years; COLA reduced to lesser of 3% or ½ CPI.
      Employee Contribution: Additional 1% of Salary to 9.5%
      Employer Contribution: Ramp over 10 years until 80% funded in 2040.



  85.00%
  80.00%
                                                   • After 10 years Employer Contribution
  75.00%
  70.00%                             Funded        levels off at 16.42%
  65.00%                             Status
  60.00%
  55.00%
  50.00%
             2010 2020 2030 2040



Millions                                                 Billions
 $800                                                       $25
 $600                                                       $20
                                   ER. Cont.                                              Assets
 $400                                                       $15
                                   EE Cont.                                               Liabilities
 $200                                                       $10
    $0                                                       $5
           2010 2020 2030 2040                                      2010 2020 2030 2040

                                              Table 13
                                     Paths to Solvency
                                    Commissioner Gainer                                             7
Benefits: Basket of Changes only applies to Employees under age 50:
   Employee Contribution: Additional 1% of Salary to 9.5%
   Employer Contribution: No formula change, but increases with wage & contributions

                                                 • Benefit changes apply only to
  70.00%                                         Employees under age 50
  60.00%
  50.00%
                                                 • Employer contributes at current formula
  40.00%                             Funded
  30.00%                             Status
  20.00%
  10.00%
   0.00%
             2010 2020 2030 2040




Millions                                              Billions
 $400                                                     $25
 $300                                                     $20
                                   ER. Cont.              $15                          Assets
 $200
                                   EE Cont.               $10                          Liabilities
 $100                                                      $5
    $0                                                     $0
           2010 2020 2030 2040                                   2010 2020 2030 2040

                                           Table 15
                                     Paths to Solvency
                                    Commissioner Gainer                                          8
Benefits: Basket of Changes only apply to those under age 50
         Employee Contribution: Additional 1% of Salary
         Employer Contribution: Ramp over 10 years until 80% funded in 2040


                                                               Changes only apply to those under
   85.00%
                                                                50
   80.00%
   75.00%                                                      Multiplier changed from 2.4% to
   70.00%                                Funded                 2.2%
   65.00%                                Status                FAS to average of last 8 years
   60.00%
   55.00%                                                       COLA reduced to 3% or half of CPI
   50.00%                                                       Retirement Age increased 5 years
               2010 2020 2030 2040                             After 10 years Employer
                                                                Contribution levels off at 16.42%
                                                                            .
Millions                                                       $25

$1,000                                                         $20
 $800
                                                               $15                                   Assets
 $600                                ER Cont.
                                                                                                     Liabilities
 $400                                EE Cont.                  $10
 $200
    $0                                                          $5
           2010 2020 2030 2040                                       2010       2020   2030   2040


                                                Table 16
                                       Paths to Solvency
                                      Commissioner Gainer                                                      9
Employer Contribution


   $1,000,000,000

    $900,000,000

    $800,000,000                                        No Change

    $700,000,000                                        Basket

    $600,000,000                                        Basket only under 50
    $500,000,000
                                                        80% Funded as Level Dollar
    $400,000,000                                        Amount
                                                        Basket and 80% Funded
    $300,000,000                                        Goal
                                                        Basket and 80% Funded
    $200,000,000
                                                        Goal only under age 50
    $100,000,000

              $0
                    2010     2020     2030       2040




                            Paths to Solvency
                           Commissioner Gainer                                       10
Funded Status

       90.00%


       80.00%


       70.00%
                                               No Change
       60.00%
                                               Basket
       50.00%
                                               Basket under 50
       40.00%
                                               80% Funded as Level
                                               Amount
       30.00%
                                               Basket and 80% goal

       20.00%                                  Basket under 50 and
                                               80% goal
       10.00%


       0.00%
                2010   2020    2030     2040
      -10.00%


                        Paths to Solvency
                       Commissioner Gainer                           11
Results


   If no action is taken the Cook County Employee Annuity and
    Benefit Fund will have no assets and the County would have
    to enter a pay-as-you-go policy by 2038.

   Even if benefits are modified slightly by using the changes in
    the basket, that still will not bring the fund to an 80%
    solvency.

   In order to be 80% solvent by 2040 there will have to be
    increases by the Employer greater than the current statutory
    contribution limits, increase in Employee contributions and
    changes to the retiree benefit structure.




                       Paths to Solvency
                      Commissioner Gainer                        12
401(k)/Defined Contribution
Research Report




            401(k) Report
         Commissioner Gainer   13
Defined Contribution Plans for a Public Workforce
Senate Bill 512, the pension bill debated in Springfield this year, contained a
provision for a self-managed plan for all State, City of Chicago and Cook County
employees. This was a new development, as 401(k) style plans are currently
limited to the State University Retirement System (SURS) system. With funded
ratio‟s for public plans dropping and calls for budget cuts, nationally, the
conversation has grown around switching from Defined Benefit (DB) retirement
plans to Defined Contribution (DC).

These calls are countered by those uncomfortable with the increased risk for the
employees of market volatility and longevity risk. Arguments have been put
forward in support of maintaining the DB status quo, amending DB plans and
moving toward DC. Recently, new 401(k) vehicles have been introduced that
focus on maintaining the retirement income security within a DC plan.

For a public sector population without the guaranteed income of Social Security,
the stability of the future retirement income stream is paramount. As the demand
for 401(k) like vehicles grows for this population, plans with greater income
security, investment decision support, employee education and annuity-like
features have increased.

The following report details the results of national studies on the way employees
use 401(k) plan assets, academic research or best practices and case studies
from other public plans.


                               401(k) Report
                            Commissioner Gainer                                    14
“Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and Cash outs
      Are Eroding Retirement Income”
                                                                  Hewitt 2011

Examined: The behavior of 1.8 million employees in 110 large 401(k) plans
nationally to assess their ability to provide sufficient retirement income
   28% of all active participants had a loan outstanding.
   70% of Employees that had loans outstanding at termination defaulted on the
    repayment.
   In 2010 over 6.9% of 401(k) participants took a withdrawal of funds.
   401(k) members with lower salaries were more likely to take a withdrawal and
    more women were taking withdrawals than men.
   The majority of employees that took a withdrawal did so due to eviction or
    foreclosure.
   42% of the workers that lost their jobs in 2010 took a cash out of their 401(k)
   Younger workers who change jobs are more likely to cash out their 401(k)
   Cashing out a 401(k) reduces future retirement income between 11% and 67%

Suggestions: Enact measures that reduce loans, withdrawals and cash outs

    Restrict the number of loans allowed and the amount an employee can borrow or
     withdraw
    Limit the reasons for hardship withdrawals
    Simplify rollover process for those who are leaving employment for a new
     position



                                  401(k) Report
                               Commissioner Gainer                                15
“Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and
Cash outs Are Eroding Retirement Income”
                                                       Hewitt 2011




30.00%


25.00%


20.00%


15.00%                                                Percentage of 401(k)
                                                      Participants with Loans

10.00%


 5.00%


 0.00%
         2005   2006   2007    2008     2009   2010




                          401(k) Report
                       Commissioner Gainer                                 16
“Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and
Cash outs Are Eroding Retirement Income”
                                                                                                                             Hewitt 2011


                                                                             10.00   20.00   30.00   40.00   50.00   60.00
                                                                    0.00%     %       %       %       %       %       %




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                                                                                                                                    Top Reported
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                                     Bi
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                               -D




                                                                                                                                    Withdrawals
                            st

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                                                                                401(k) Report
                                                                             Commissioner Gainer                                                   17
“401(k) Plans in Living Color: A Study of 401(k) Savings
Disparities Across Racial and Ethnic Groups”
                                                Ariel Investments July 2009



Examined: The results of an analysis of private sector 401k plans
   broken down by participant race.

       African Americans are 167% more likely to take a hardship
        withdrawal than white participants.

       Hispanics borrow from their 401(k) plans at a higher rate than
        whites, but a lower rate than African Americans.

       Asian workers are the lease likely to borrow against their 401(k)

Suggestions: Implement best practices to increase retirement
   income security

       Encourage employers to collect and report their 401k data by race
        and ethnicity

       Change loan features to facilitate retirement income stability

                           401(k) Report
                        Commissioner Gainer                                   18
401(k) Plans in Living Color: A Study of 401(k) Savings Disparities Across
Racial and Ethnic Groups”
                                                   Ariel Investments July 2009




                            401(k) Report
                         Commissioner Gainer                                     19
“Defined Contribution Pension Plans in the Public Sector: A
          Benchmark Analysis”
                                                                   Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania 2008




               The University of Pennsylvania Wharton School comprised a list of best practices for 401(k)/Defined
                Contribution Pension Plans that will help provide an adequate and secure retirement income.

Eligibility and Participation                                    Mandatory Enrollment/Opt Out
                                                                 Waiting period of a year or less for participation

Vesting                                                          100% Vested after one year of employment

Contributions (Employer and Employee)                            12% of pay if covered by Social Security
                                                                 18 to 20% of pay if not covered by Social Security

Investments                                                      Mandatory/default investment into lifecycle target-date funds
                                                                 Limited menu of options of major asset classes


Distributions                                                    Pre-retirement:
                                                                 No lump sum distributions at job change
                                                                 No hardship withdrawals
                                                                 No plan loans
                                                                 Retirement:
                                                                 Level of mandatory annuitization with inflation-protected income
                                                                 Limited lump-sum distribution

Administrative Structure and Fees                                Single vendor recordkeeping structure
                                                                 Single point of contact for participants
                                                                 Larger plans standard: total administrative and investment costs not to
                                                                 exceed 100 basis points

Other Participant Services                                       Broad-based employee investment education
                                                                 Individual-specific investment advice
                                                                 Services delivered through multiple modes: call center, internet and in-
                                                                 person


                                                 401(k) Report
                                              Commissioner Gainer                                                                   20
“Look Before You Leap; The Unintended Consequences of Pension Freezes”

                                      National Institute on Retirement Security Oct. 2008




West Virginia Case Study:
 In 1991, the West Virginia Teacher‟s Retirement System (TRS), a DB
  plan, was frozen, and all newly hired teachers were put into a new
  plan, the Teachers Defined Contribution Retirement System (TDC).

   In 2004 the State conducted a study of teacher‟s retirement 401(k)
    plans and determined that the average balance was $41,478 with only
    6% of participants accumulating over $100,000.

   The State decided that allowing teachers to invest themselves was too
    risky and passed a law in 2005 that moved all new teachers into a DB
    plan.

   When given the opportunity to move from the DC plan back to the DB
    plan over 75% of West Virginia teachers under 40 switched into the
    DB.




                          401(k) Report
                       Commissioner Gainer                                                  21
Governance




           Governance
        Commissioner Gainer   22
Cook County Pension Fund Board


     Nine Member Board                                           22%

   4 Elected by Current
    Employees
        3 County Employees
        1 Forest Preserve
         Employee
   3 Elected by Retirees
        2 County Retirees
        1 Forest Preserve Retiree
                                              78%
   2 Appointed
        1 by the Treasurer
        1 by the Comptroller
                                                    Ex Officio
                                                    Elected
    Investment Committee
   Committee of the Whole

                           Governance
                        Commissioner Gainer                            23
Types of Pension Fund Members
   Elected Members: Elected by active or retired members of the
    retirement system.

   Ex Officio: Members of the Board of Trustees by virtue of appointment or
    election to another public office. Example: County Treasurer.

   Appointed: Members appointed by the elected Chief Executive or
    Governing Body. Subject matter expertise can be required. i.e.,
    investment, finance or actuarial. Also called “Public Appointments” based
    on duty to represent taxpayer interest in the performance of the pension
    fund, akin to independent directors on corporate boards.

   A study by the University of Michigan Found the Average Board was (Hess
    2005):
      36% Elected
      15% Ex Officio
      44% Appointed


   The Same study found that the optimal level of elected board membership
    was a maximum of 47%
                              Governance
                           Commissioner Gainer                          24
Board Composition: Local and National Funds
   State of FL Retirement System:              Cook County Annuity & Benefit Fund:
    100% Ex Officio                              77% elected, 23% appointed

   Public Safety Retirement System AZ:         Municipal Employees and Benefit Fund
    75% appointed, 25% Elected                   of Chicago: 60% Elected, 40% Ex Officio

   AZ State Retirement System:                 Fireman’s Annuity and Benefit Fund of
                                                 Chicago: 50% Elected. 50% Ex Officio:
    100% Appointed                               Fire Commissioner, City Treasurer,
                                                 Comptroller, Clerk
   LA County Board of Retirement: 45%
    Appointed, 45% Elected, 10% Ex Officio      Chicago Laborer’s Pension and
                                                 Welfare Fund: 50% appointed by the
   CALPERS: 25% Appointed, 50% Elected,         Mayor, 50% appointed by the Laborers
    25% Ex Officio                               Union

   Iowa Public Employee Retirement             Policeman Annuity and Benefit Fund
    Board: 85% Appointed, 15% Ex Officio         of Chicago: 50% Appointed, 50% Elected

   NJ Public Employee Retirement               IMRF: 50% Elected by members, 50%
    System: 35% Appointed, 65% Elected           elected by participating governments

   TX County/District Retirement System:
                                                IL State Employees: 45% Appointed,
    100% Appointed                               45% Elected, 10% Ex Officio

                                                ISBI: 55% appointed, 45% ex-officio
                                   Governance
                                Commissioner Gainer                                     25
Other Funds Publicly Appointed Member’s Qualifications

   AZ State Retirement System:                  Iowa Public Employees
    Four of the members shall have at             Retirement System: Three public
    least ten years' substantial                  members, appointed by the
    experience as any one or a                    Governor, who are not members of
    combination of the following:                 IPERS and who each have
        1. A portfolio manager acting in         substantial institutional investment
         a fiduciary capacity.                    experience or substantial
        2. A securities analyst.                 institutional financial experience.
        3. An employee or principal of
         a trust institution, investment         Illinois Municipal Retirement
         organization or endowment                Fund: A nominee for executive
         fund acting either in a                  trustee must be employed by an
         management or an investment              IMRF employer as a chief executive
         related capacity.                        officer, chief finance officer, or other
        4. A chartered financial analyst         officer, executive or department
         in good standing as determined           head.
         by the association for
         investment management and
         research.
        5. A professor at the university
         level teaching economics or
         investment related subjects.
        6. An economist.
        7. Any other professional
         engaged in the field of public or
         private finances.
                               Governance
                            Commissioner Gainer                                        26
Results of Research Data
   The percentage of the board that is elected by members or serve ex-officio has a
    positive effect on funding level (or appearance of funding).
        “asset allocation and the funding level decisions indicate member elected
         trustees are more focused on a stable, sustainable plan to provide future
         benefits as opposed to chasing higher returns through a riskier asset allocation.
        The object of higher funding is strengthened by the presence of ex-officio
         trustees, who serve as part of their job responsibilities. (Harper 2008)

   „There are board characteristics that significantly correlated with investment manager
    outperformance……. The (greater the) length of the board term has a negative
    relationship with manager returns versus the benchmark.‟ (Harper 2008)

   In the University of Michigan Study, “once the board consists of 47% member-
    elected trustees, there are diminishing returns to placing an additional member-
    elected trustee on the board.” (Hess 2005)

   Any board that operates effectively includes members who have a mix of skills,
    competencies, and behaviors, Board composition should reflect the varied interests of
    those responsible for funding the plan and should include plan participants and
    retirees, citizens of the governmental unit, and officers of the plan sponsor, as well
    as independent directors. This assures balanced deliberations and decision making.
    (GFOA 2010)



                                    Governance
                                 Commissioner Gainer                                   27
Disability Benefits




            Disability Benefits
           Commissioner Gainer    28
Disability and Pension


   If an employee‟s disability continues after the maximum ordinary
    disability benefit, then the employee can withdraw before age 60 from
    service and receive their maximum benefit allowed. There will be no
    penalty for withdrawal from service before age 60.

   While on disability, pensionable years of service accumulate as if the
    employee were working and any time spent on disability counts to
    overall service credit.

   In determining the final average salary, any years spent on disability
    are credited with the salary the worker was receiving whey they were
    injured.




                         Disability Benefits
                        Commissioner Gainer                              29
Annual Cash Outflow from the Pension Fund for
Disability Payments




                   Disability Benefits
                  Commissioner Gainer           30
Pension Fund Disability Cost Breakdown



$14,000,000
$12,000,000
$10,000,000
 $8,000,000                                  Duty
 $6,000,000                                  Ordinary
 $4,000,000
 $2,000,000
        $0
              2009                    2010



                Disability Benefits
               Commissioner Gainer                 31
County + Pension Fund Disability Costs



 $35,000,000
 $30,000,000
 $25,000,000
 $20,000,000                                Pension Fund
                                            Disability Payments
 $15,000,000
                                            Cook County Workers
 $10,000,000                                Compensation
  $5,000,000
         $0
               2006 2007 2008 2009 2010



                      Disability Benefits
                     Commissioner Gainer                     32
Disability Annual Cost as % of Total Fund
Expenditures




                 Disability Benefits
                Commissioner Gainer         33
Recent Changes
and Comparisons to
Pension Funds Across
the Country

      Recent Changes and Comparisons
           Commissioner Gainer         34
Recent Changes
New Jersey Pension Fund

   Retirement Age increased to 65 for all future employees. Current
    retirement age is either 60 or 62 depending on date of hire.

   EE Contribution: Increase 1% now and a 1% increase over the next 7
    years. State Employees currently paying 5.5%.

   Benefit Formula
        Current Employees: 65% of Final Average Salary, plus 1% for every year
         over 25 years of service up to 30 years of service.
        Future Employees: 60% of Final Average Salary, plus 1% for every year
         over 25 years and up to 30 years of service.

   ER Contribution: 2018 begins a 30 year amortization plan.

   COLA: No additional COLA for current retirees, Eliminates COLA for all
    future retirees.

   Reported to save $300 Million next year and over $3 Billion in the
    next 10 years.
                     Recent Changes and Comparisons
                          Commissioner Gainer                                     35
Recent Changes
New York Pension Fund


   Creates the 6th tier of pension benefits in the NYS system.

   Retirement Age: Increased to 65, currently 62 for most
    and 57 for teachers.

   Vesting: Increased to 12 years from 10.

   EE Contribution: Increases to 6% from 3%

   ER Contribution: Maintains the Current Actuarially
    Required Contribution.

   Reported to save $93 Billion over the next 30 years.


                Recent Changes and Comparisons
                     Commissioner Gainer                     36
Recent Changes
Atlanta Pension Fund


   Current Employees can remain in their current plan, but contributions
    will increase from 8% to 13% of Salary.

   New Employees now participate in a Hybrid Plan
        1% Defined Benefit Multiplier for every year of service
        Employees contribute 8% for their Defined Benefit Portion
        Employees contribute a minimum of 3.75% to a Defined Contribution,
         401(k) style plan. Employees can opt to contribute an additional 4.25%.
        ER matches the Employee Defined Contribution 100%.
        15 years to vest in Defined Benefit Portion, 5 years to vest in Defined
         Contribution Portion
        Retirement age for police and fire is increased to 57 from 55
        Retirement age for other employees is increased to 62 from 60.


   Reported to save the city $25 million over the first year and over
    $300 million over the next 30 years.



                     Recent Changes and Comparisons
                          Commissioner Gainer                                      37
Recent Changes
Florida Pension Fund


   Current Employees
        No COLA increase after July 1, 2011, was 3% annually.
        Contribution increased to 3% from 0%


   Future Employees
        Same changes as current Employees, plus
        Vesting increased to 8 years, from 6 years
        Final Average Salary determination is 8 highest fiscal years average, was
         the 5 highest average.
        Normal Retirement age is 65 for most employees, 60 for special risk
         employees (police, fire, etc. )


   All employees will continue to participate in the Social Security
    System




                     Recent Changes and Comparisons
                          Commissioner Gainer                                        38
County Comparison

   The following charts outline a Comparison between the Cook County
    Pension Fund and the following Counties:
        Los Angeles County CA
        Maricopa County AZ, A member of the Arizona Retirement System
        Miami Dade County FL, A member of the Florida Retirement System
        Harris County TX, A member of the Texas County and District Retirement
         System


   Cook County and Los Angeles County do not participate in Social
    Security, the other funds do participate in Social Security




                     Recent Changes and Comparisons
                          Commissioner Gainer                                     39
County Comparison
Retirement Age


  70

  60

  50

  40

  30                                                              Full Benefit

  20

  10

   0
       Cook County Los Angeles   Maricopa   Miami Dade   Harris
                     County       County      County     County




                      Recent Changes and Comparisons
                           Commissioner Gainer                              40
County Comparison
Vesting


  10

   9

   8

   7

   6

   5
                                                                         Years of Service
   4

   3

   2

   1

   0
       Cook County Los Angeles   Miami Dade   Maricopa   Harris County
                     County        County      County




                      Recent Changes and Comparisons
                           Commissioner Gainer                                         41
County Comparison
Multiplier and Final Average Salary (FAS)


           Multiplier                         Final Average Salary
   Cook County: 2.4%                      Cook County: 48 Highest
                                            consecutive months in the
                                            last 10 years
   Los Angeles County: Between
    11.82% of FAS and 100%                 Los Angeles County: Highest
    depending on years of service           Monthly average of any 12
    when retired                            consecutive months

   Miami Dade County: 1.6%                Miami Dade County: Average
                                            of five highest years of
                                            creditable service
   Maricopa County: 2.1% to
    2.3% depending on years of             Maricopa County: Highest 36
    service                                 months of last 10 years

   Harris County Texas: Not a DB          Harris County: Not a DB plan
    plan

                  Recent Changes and Comparisons
                       Commissioner Gainer                              42

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  • 1. Finance Sub-Committee Meeting on Pensions Bridget Gainer, Chair Cook County Pension Sub-Committee June 29, 2011 Info@BridgetGainer.com 312-603-4210
  • 2. Paths to Solvency Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 2
  • 3. Introduction  The Cook County Pension Fund is currently funded at 60.7%. The funded status has dropped 30% in the last ten years and 15% in the last five.  Cook County, as the employer, has made their full statutory required contributions to the Pension Fund every year and has repaid any loans from the fund.  The statutory contribution is a multiple of the employee contribution and unrelated to the actuarial value of the liability being accrued by the fund. Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 3
  • 4. Benefits, Employer & Employee Contribution: No Change 80.00% • Projected funded status with 60.00% no changes to benefit formula 40.00% Funded or contribution levels 20.00% Status 0.00% 2010 2020 2030 2038 -20.00% Millions Billions $400 $28 $23 $300 $18 ER Cont. Assets $200 $13 EE Cont. $8 Liability $100 $3 $0 -$2 2010 2020 2030 2038 2010 2020 2030 2038 Table 1 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 4
  • 5. Benefits: No Change Employee Contribution: No Change (8.5% of pay) Employer Contribution: Increase Employer contribution to reach 80% in 2040 • Employer Contributes 21.49% of payroll 85.00% 80.00% annually beginning in 2012 75.00% 70.00% • Employer currently contributes Funded 65.00% Status approximately 13% of payroll 60.00% 55.00% 50.00% 2010 2020 2030 2040 Millions Billions $1,000 $25 $800 $20 $600 ER Cont. Assets $400 $15 EE Cont. Libaility $200 $10 $0 $5 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 Table 2 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 5
  • 6. Benefits: Multiple 2.4 to 2.2; FAS = final 8 years; retirement age increased 5 years; COLA reduced to lesser of 3% or ½ CPI. Employee Contribution: an additional 1% of Salary to 9.5% Employer Contribution: No formula change, but increases with wage & contributions • Changes only apply to those under 50 70.00% • Multiplier changed from 2.4% to 2.2% 65.00% • Final Average Salary changed to average of last 8 60.00% yrs. Funded 55.00% Status • COLA reduced to 3% or half of CPI 50.00% • Retirement Age increased 5 years 45.00% • Employees Contribute 9.5% of Salary 40.00% 2010 2020 2030 2040 Millions Billions $400 $25 $300 ER Cont. $20 $200 Assets EE Cont. $15 $100 Liabilities $0 $10 2010 2020 2030 2040 $5 2010 2020 2030 2040 Table 12 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 6
  • 7. Benefits: Multiple 2.4 to 2.2; FAS = final 8 years; retirement age increased 5 years; COLA reduced to lesser of 3% or ½ CPI. Employee Contribution: Additional 1% of Salary to 9.5% Employer Contribution: Ramp over 10 years until 80% funded in 2040. 85.00% 80.00% • After 10 years Employer Contribution 75.00% 70.00% Funded levels off at 16.42% 65.00% Status 60.00% 55.00% 50.00% 2010 2020 2030 2040 Millions Billions $800 $25 $600 $20 ER. Cont. Assets $400 $15 EE Cont. Liabilities $200 $10 $0 $5 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 Table 13 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 7
  • 8. Benefits: Basket of Changes only applies to Employees under age 50: Employee Contribution: Additional 1% of Salary to 9.5% Employer Contribution: No formula change, but increases with wage & contributions • Benefit changes apply only to 70.00% Employees under age 50 60.00% 50.00% • Employer contributes at current formula 40.00% Funded 30.00% Status 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 2010 2020 2030 2040 Millions Billions $400 $25 $300 $20 ER. Cont. $15 Assets $200 EE Cont. $10 Liabilities $100 $5 $0 $0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 Table 15 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 8
  • 9. Benefits: Basket of Changes only apply to those under age 50 Employee Contribution: Additional 1% of Salary Employer Contribution: Ramp over 10 years until 80% funded in 2040  Changes only apply to those under 85.00% 50 80.00% 75.00%  Multiplier changed from 2.4% to 70.00% Funded 2.2% 65.00% Status  FAS to average of last 8 years 60.00% 55.00%  COLA reduced to 3% or half of CPI 50.00%  Retirement Age increased 5 years 2010 2020 2030 2040  After 10 years Employer Contribution levels off at 16.42% . Millions $25 $1,000 $20 $800 $15 Assets $600 ER Cont. Liabilities $400 EE Cont. $10 $200 $0 $5 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 Table 16 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 9
  • 10. Employer Contribution $1,000,000,000 $900,000,000 $800,000,000 No Change $700,000,000 Basket $600,000,000 Basket only under 50 $500,000,000 80% Funded as Level Dollar $400,000,000 Amount Basket and 80% Funded $300,000,000 Goal Basket and 80% Funded $200,000,000 Goal only under age 50 $100,000,000 $0 2010 2020 2030 2040 Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 10
  • 11. Funded Status 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% No Change 60.00% Basket 50.00% Basket under 50 40.00% 80% Funded as Level Amount 30.00% Basket and 80% goal 20.00% Basket under 50 and 80% goal 10.00% 0.00% 2010 2020 2030 2040 -10.00% Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 11
  • 12. Results  If no action is taken the Cook County Employee Annuity and Benefit Fund will have no assets and the County would have to enter a pay-as-you-go policy by 2038.  Even if benefits are modified slightly by using the changes in the basket, that still will not bring the fund to an 80% solvency.  In order to be 80% solvent by 2040 there will have to be increases by the Employer greater than the current statutory contribution limits, increase in Employee contributions and changes to the retiree benefit structure. Paths to Solvency Commissioner Gainer 12
  • 13. 401(k)/Defined Contribution Research Report 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 13
  • 14. Defined Contribution Plans for a Public Workforce Senate Bill 512, the pension bill debated in Springfield this year, contained a provision for a self-managed plan for all State, City of Chicago and Cook County employees. This was a new development, as 401(k) style plans are currently limited to the State University Retirement System (SURS) system. With funded ratio‟s for public plans dropping and calls for budget cuts, nationally, the conversation has grown around switching from Defined Benefit (DB) retirement plans to Defined Contribution (DC). These calls are countered by those uncomfortable with the increased risk for the employees of market volatility and longevity risk. Arguments have been put forward in support of maintaining the DB status quo, amending DB plans and moving toward DC. Recently, new 401(k) vehicles have been introduced that focus on maintaining the retirement income security within a DC plan. For a public sector population without the guaranteed income of Social Security, the stability of the future retirement income stream is paramount. As the demand for 401(k) like vehicles grows for this population, plans with greater income security, investment decision support, employee education and annuity-like features have increased. The following report details the results of national studies on the way employees use 401(k) plan assets, academic research or best practices and case studies from other public plans. 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 14
  • 15. “Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and Cash outs Are Eroding Retirement Income” Hewitt 2011 Examined: The behavior of 1.8 million employees in 110 large 401(k) plans nationally to assess their ability to provide sufficient retirement income  28% of all active participants had a loan outstanding.  70% of Employees that had loans outstanding at termination defaulted on the repayment.  In 2010 over 6.9% of 401(k) participants took a withdrawal of funds.  401(k) members with lower salaries were more likely to take a withdrawal and more women were taking withdrawals than men.  The majority of employees that took a withdrawal did so due to eviction or foreclosure.  42% of the workers that lost their jobs in 2010 took a cash out of their 401(k)  Younger workers who change jobs are more likely to cash out their 401(k)  Cashing out a 401(k) reduces future retirement income between 11% and 67% Suggestions: Enact measures that reduce loans, withdrawals and cash outs  Restrict the number of loans allowed and the amount an employee can borrow or withdraw  Limit the reasons for hardship withdrawals  Simplify rollover process for those who are leaving employment for a new position 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 15
  • 16. “Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and Cash outs Are Eroding Retirement Income” Hewitt 2011 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% Percentage of 401(k) Participants with Loans 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 16
  • 17. “Leakage of Participants’ DC Assets: How Loans, Withdrawals, and Cash outs Are Eroding Retirement Income” Hewitt 2011 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 0.00% % % % % % % n tio ic Ev e/ n ur io s at lo uc c re Ed Fo al ic ed M Top Reported ll Reasons for Bi ue Hardship -D Withdrawals st se Pa ha rc Pu x e Ta om H er th O 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 17
  • 18. “401(k) Plans in Living Color: A Study of 401(k) Savings Disparities Across Racial and Ethnic Groups” Ariel Investments July 2009 Examined: The results of an analysis of private sector 401k plans broken down by participant race.  African Americans are 167% more likely to take a hardship withdrawal than white participants.  Hispanics borrow from their 401(k) plans at a higher rate than whites, but a lower rate than African Americans.  Asian workers are the lease likely to borrow against their 401(k) Suggestions: Implement best practices to increase retirement income security  Encourage employers to collect and report their 401k data by race and ethnicity  Change loan features to facilitate retirement income stability 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 18
  • 19. 401(k) Plans in Living Color: A Study of 401(k) Savings Disparities Across Racial and Ethnic Groups” Ariel Investments July 2009 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 19
  • 20. “Defined Contribution Pension Plans in the Public Sector: A Benchmark Analysis” Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania 2008  The University of Pennsylvania Wharton School comprised a list of best practices for 401(k)/Defined Contribution Pension Plans that will help provide an adequate and secure retirement income. Eligibility and Participation Mandatory Enrollment/Opt Out Waiting period of a year or less for participation Vesting 100% Vested after one year of employment Contributions (Employer and Employee) 12% of pay if covered by Social Security 18 to 20% of pay if not covered by Social Security Investments Mandatory/default investment into lifecycle target-date funds Limited menu of options of major asset classes Distributions Pre-retirement: No lump sum distributions at job change No hardship withdrawals No plan loans Retirement: Level of mandatory annuitization with inflation-protected income Limited lump-sum distribution Administrative Structure and Fees Single vendor recordkeeping structure Single point of contact for participants Larger plans standard: total administrative and investment costs not to exceed 100 basis points Other Participant Services Broad-based employee investment education Individual-specific investment advice Services delivered through multiple modes: call center, internet and in- person 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 20
  • 21. “Look Before You Leap; The Unintended Consequences of Pension Freezes” National Institute on Retirement Security Oct. 2008 West Virginia Case Study:  In 1991, the West Virginia Teacher‟s Retirement System (TRS), a DB plan, was frozen, and all newly hired teachers were put into a new plan, the Teachers Defined Contribution Retirement System (TDC).  In 2004 the State conducted a study of teacher‟s retirement 401(k) plans and determined that the average balance was $41,478 with only 6% of participants accumulating over $100,000.  The State decided that allowing teachers to invest themselves was too risky and passed a law in 2005 that moved all new teachers into a DB plan.  When given the opportunity to move from the DC plan back to the DB plan over 75% of West Virginia teachers under 40 switched into the DB. 401(k) Report Commissioner Gainer 21
  • 22. Governance Governance Commissioner Gainer 22
  • 23. Cook County Pension Fund Board Nine Member Board 22%  4 Elected by Current Employees  3 County Employees  1 Forest Preserve Employee  3 Elected by Retirees  2 County Retirees  1 Forest Preserve Retiree 78%  2 Appointed  1 by the Treasurer  1 by the Comptroller Ex Officio Elected Investment Committee  Committee of the Whole Governance Commissioner Gainer 23
  • 24. Types of Pension Fund Members  Elected Members: Elected by active or retired members of the retirement system.  Ex Officio: Members of the Board of Trustees by virtue of appointment or election to another public office. Example: County Treasurer.  Appointed: Members appointed by the elected Chief Executive or Governing Body. Subject matter expertise can be required. i.e., investment, finance or actuarial. Also called “Public Appointments” based on duty to represent taxpayer interest in the performance of the pension fund, akin to independent directors on corporate boards.  A study by the University of Michigan Found the Average Board was (Hess 2005):  36% Elected  15% Ex Officio  44% Appointed  The Same study found that the optimal level of elected board membership was a maximum of 47% Governance Commissioner Gainer 24
  • 25. Board Composition: Local and National Funds  State of FL Retirement System:  Cook County Annuity & Benefit Fund: 100% Ex Officio 77% elected, 23% appointed  Public Safety Retirement System AZ:  Municipal Employees and Benefit Fund 75% appointed, 25% Elected of Chicago: 60% Elected, 40% Ex Officio  AZ State Retirement System:  Fireman’s Annuity and Benefit Fund of Chicago: 50% Elected. 50% Ex Officio: 100% Appointed Fire Commissioner, City Treasurer, Comptroller, Clerk  LA County Board of Retirement: 45% Appointed, 45% Elected, 10% Ex Officio  Chicago Laborer’s Pension and Welfare Fund: 50% appointed by the  CALPERS: 25% Appointed, 50% Elected, Mayor, 50% appointed by the Laborers 25% Ex Officio Union  Iowa Public Employee Retirement  Policeman Annuity and Benefit Fund Board: 85% Appointed, 15% Ex Officio of Chicago: 50% Appointed, 50% Elected  NJ Public Employee Retirement  IMRF: 50% Elected by members, 50% System: 35% Appointed, 65% Elected elected by participating governments  TX County/District Retirement System:  IL State Employees: 45% Appointed, 100% Appointed 45% Elected, 10% Ex Officio  ISBI: 55% appointed, 45% ex-officio Governance Commissioner Gainer 25
  • 26. Other Funds Publicly Appointed Member’s Qualifications  AZ State Retirement System:  Iowa Public Employees Four of the members shall have at Retirement System: Three public least ten years' substantial members, appointed by the experience as any one or a Governor, who are not members of combination of the following: IPERS and who each have  1. A portfolio manager acting in substantial institutional investment a fiduciary capacity. experience or substantial  2. A securities analyst. institutional financial experience.  3. An employee or principal of a trust institution, investment  Illinois Municipal Retirement organization or endowment Fund: A nominee for executive fund acting either in a trustee must be employed by an management or an investment IMRF employer as a chief executive related capacity. officer, chief finance officer, or other  4. A chartered financial analyst officer, executive or department in good standing as determined head. by the association for investment management and research.  5. A professor at the university level teaching economics or investment related subjects.  6. An economist.  7. Any other professional engaged in the field of public or private finances. Governance Commissioner Gainer 26
  • 27. Results of Research Data  The percentage of the board that is elected by members or serve ex-officio has a positive effect on funding level (or appearance of funding).  “asset allocation and the funding level decisions indicate member elected trustees are more focused on a stable, sustainable plan to provide future benefits as opposed to chasing higher returns through a riskier asset allocation.  The object of higher funding is strengthened by the presence of ex-officio trustees, who serve as part of their job responsibilities. (Harper 2008)  „There are board characteristics that significantly correlated with investment manager outperformance……. The (greater the) length of the board term has a negative relationship with manager returns versus the benchmark.‟ (Harper 2008)  In the University of Michigan Study, “once the board consists of 47% member- elected trustees, there are diminishing returns to placing an additional member- elected trustee on the board.” (Hess 2005)  Any board that operates effectively includes members who have a mix of skills, competencies, and behaviors, Board composition should reflect the varied interests of those responsible for funding the plan and should include plan participants and retirees, citizens of the governmental unit, and officers of the plan sponsor, as well as independent directors. This assures balanced deliberations and decision making. (GFOA 2010) Governance Commissioner Gainer 27
  • 28. Disability Benefits Disability Benefits Commissioner Gainer 28
  • 29. Disability and Pension  If an employee‟s disability continues after the maximum ordinary disability benefit, then the employee can withdraw before age 60 from service and receive their maximum benefit allowed. There will be no penalty for withdrawal from service before age 60.  While on disability, pensionable years of service accumulate as if the employee were working and any time spent on disability counts to overall service credit.  In determining the final average salary, any years spent on disability are credited with the salary the worker was receiving whey they were injured. Disability Benefits Commissioner Gainer 29
  • 30. Annual Cash Outflow from the Pension Fund for Disability Payments Disability Benefits Commissioner Gainer 30
  • 31. Pension Fund Disability Cost Breakdown $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,000,000 Duty $6,000,000 Ordinary $4,000,000 $2,000,000 $0 2009 2010 Disability Benefits Commissioner Gainer 31
  • 32. County + Pension Fund Disability Costs $35,000,000 $30,000,000 $25,000,000 $20,000,000 Pension Fund Disability Payments $15,000,000 Cook County Workers $10,000,000 Compensation $5,000,000 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Disability Benefits Commissioner Gainer 32
  • 33. Disability Annual Cost as % of Total Fund Expenditures Disability Benefits Commissioner Gainer 33
  • 34. Recent Changes and Comparisons to Pension Funds Across the Country Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 34
  • 35. Recent Changes New Jersey Pension Fund  Retirement Age increased to 65 for all future employees. Current retirement age is either 60 or 62 depending on date of hire.  EE Contribution: Increase 1% now and a 1% increase over the next 7 years. State Employees currently paying 5.5%.  Benefit Formula  Current Employees: 65% of Final Average Salary, plus 1% for every year over 25 years of service up to 30 years of service.  Future Employees: 60% of Final Average Salary, plus 1% for every year over 25 years and up to 30 years of service.  ER Contribution: 2018 begins a 30 year amortization plan.  COLA: No additional COLA for current retirees, Eliminates COLA for all future retirees.  Reported to save $300 Million next year and over $3 Billion in the next 10 years. Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 35
  • 36. Recent Changes New York Pension Fund  Creates the 6th tier of pension benefits in the NYS system.  Retirement Age: Increased to 65, currently 62 for most and 57 for teachers.  Vesting: Increased to 12 years from 10.  EE Contribution: Increases to 6% from 3%  ER Contribution: Maintains the Current Actuarially Required Contribution.  Reported to save $93 Billion over the next 30 years. Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 36
  • 37. Recent Changes Atlanta Pension Fund  Current Employees can remain in their current plan, but contributions will increase from 8% to 13% of Salary.  New Employees now participate in a Hybrid Plan  1% Defined Benefit Multiplier for every year of service  Employees contribute 8% for their Defined Benefit Portion  Employees contribute a minimum of 3.75% to a Defined Contribution, 401(k) style plan. Employees can opt to contribute an additional 4.25%.  ER matches the Employee Defined Contribution 100%.  15 years to vest in Defined Benefit Portion, 5 years to vest in Defined Contribution Portion  Retirement age for police and fire is increased to 57 from 55  Retirement age for other employees is increased to 62 from 60.  Reported to save the city $25 million over the first year and over $300 million over the next 30 years. Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 37
  • 38. Recent Changes Florida Pension Fund  Current Employees  No COLA increase after July 1, 2011, was 3% annually.  Contribution increased to 3% from 0%  Future Employees  Same changes as current Employees, plus  Vesting increased to 8 years, from 6 years  Final Average Salary determination is 8 highest fiscal years average, was the 5 highest average.  Normal Retirement age is 65 for most employees, 60 for special risk employees (police, fire, etc. )  All employees will continue to participate in the Social Security System Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 38
  • 39. County Comparison  The following charts outline a Comparison between the Cook County Pension Fund and the following Counties:  Los Angeles County CA  Maricopa County AZ, A member of the Arizona Retirement System  Miami Dade County FL, A member of the Florida Retirement System  Harris County TX, A member of the Texas County and District Retirement System  Cook County and Los Angeles County do not participate in Social Security, the other funds do participate in Social Security Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 39
  • 40. County Comparison Retirement Age 70 60 50 40 30 Full Benefit 20 10 0 Cook County Los Angeles Maricopa Miami Dade Harris County County County County Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 40
  • 41. County Comparison Vesting 10 9 8 7 6 5 Years of Service 4 3 2 1 0 Cook County Los Angeles Miami Dade Maricopa Harris County County County County Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 41
  • 42. County Comparison Multiplier and Final Average Salary (FAS) Multiplier Final Average Salary  Cook County: 2.4%  Cook County: 48 Highest consecutive months in the last 10 years  Los Angeles County: Between 11.82% of FAS and 100%  Los Angeles County: Highest depending on years of service Monthly average of any 12 when retired consecutive months  Miami Dade County: 1.6%  Miami Dade County: Average of five highest years of creditable service  Maricopa County: 2.1% to 2.3% depending on years of  Maricopa County: Highest 36 service months of last 10 years  Harris County Texas: Not a DB  Harris County: Not a DB plan plan Recent Changes and Comparisons Commissioner Gainer 42