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The transformation of life,
universe and everything
Björn Ekelund
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 2
Vatican City 2005
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 3
Vatican City 2013
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 4
6.5B
subscriptions
1.2B
smartphones
Mobile 2020
5B
smartphones
10B
subscriptions
90%
population
55%
population
Source: Forecast based on extrapolated data from multiple sources
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 5
The third wave
Combustion Electricity ICT
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 6
The third economy
Trade Money Digital
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 7
For every 1000 internet
connections, 80 jobs are created
Source: Ericsson and Arthur D. Little 2013
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 8
For every new job in ICT,
up to 5 new jobs are created
Source: European Commission report 2013
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 9
Multiplication on multiplication
makes exponential…
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 10
technology IS developing
exponentially.
intuition IS linear.
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 11
We are in for a ride…
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 12
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 13
“The full potential not yet
fully understood”
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 14
Governments react
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 15
Total profit =
$1.9B
Total profit =
$3.7B
Profit pool disruption
Operating profit
1995
Film
retail
Camera retail
Camera
manufacturing
Film
manufacturing
Photofinishing
retail
Photofinishing
wholesale
Agx paper and chemicals
Photofinishing equipment
Enhanced services
2005
Segments that did not exist in 1995
Film
camera
mfg
D-compact
mfg
Memory
mfg
Digital camera
retail
Rolled & single use film mfg
Film camera retail
Rolled film retail
Retail photofinishing
Photofinishing equipment
Paper & Chemicals
Enhanced services
D-SLR mfg
Memory retail
Digital imaging software
Online photofinishing
Photo printers, retail
Photo printers, mfg
Source: Analyst reports, company reports, Bain analysis
20
10
0
30
40
50%
Photography example
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 16
Networked Society
People
Business
Society
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 17
EMPOWERMENT OF
INDIVIDUALS
ENABLING
TECHNOLOGIES
+
EXTENSION OF
BUSINESS
+
A NEW FOUNDATION
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 18
SEATTLE trash tracking
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 19
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 20
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 21
Strategies that seemed
impossible or EVEN insane
ONLY a few years ago –
may now be perfectly
feasible
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 22
FROM THE LEFT FIELD…
Tesla, the fastest-growing stock in the automotive industry, is founded and
run by a software engineer
Instagram, a company with only thirteen employees at the time, was acquired
for a billion dollars just three months after Kodak filed for bankruptcy
Over 40 % of the companies that where on the top of the
Fortune 500 list in 2000 where no longer there in 2010
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 23
the megatrends and ict
SMART IS THE
NEW GREEN
BRICKS AND
CLICKS
CONNECTIVITY &
CONVERGENCE
FUTURE OF
MOBILITY
INNOVATE TO
ZERO
VALUE FOR
MONEY
FUTURE OF
ENERGYHEALTH AND
WELLNESS
SOCIAL TRENDS
CHANGING
URBANIZATION –
CITY AS A
CUSTOMER
Source: “World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures” Frost & Sullivan 2014
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 24
People communication
Information publishing
Process computerization
Social networking
Interactivity & transactions
Value distribution
Power of the crowd
Collaborative innovation
Ecosystem orchestration
Infrastructure Practices Integration
Impact
Customer
intimacy
FlexibilityProcess
digitalization
Value
analysis
New
process
tools
Shared
data
Digital
distribution
Community
working
Reshaped
ecosystems
Digital
processes
Redefined
business
assets
User
co-creation
Innovative
experience
Simplified
value
proposition
Step
changed
efficiency
ICT driven Transformation
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 25
Rise of new logics
Learning
Education
Transport
Mobility
Healthcare
Wellness
Retail
realize
Banking
Transact
Communicate
Collaborate
media
Social media
Working
creating
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 26
Mobility – Transport
“I often chose virtual presence
rather than going to office”
“I always get a suggestion for a
train where I can be sure to get a
seat “
“I am identified, and charged
according to the type of ride I take”
“Most taxis nowadays are
driverless”
“I am not charged anything
until I am on the trains”
“I always share my car
travel with others”
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 27
1 year mobile subscription = 25kg CO2
1 hour car driving = 25kg CO2 Source: The Guardian, Green Living Blog
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 28
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 29
Public transportation
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 30
For every dollar invested in public
transportation, 4 dollars of business is generated
Source: American Public Transportation Association, 2014
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 31
Half of the world’s urban
population is exposed to air
pollution exceeding 2½ times
the recommended levels. Source:WHO Air pollution estimates for 1600 cities in 91 countries. March 2014
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 32
Curitiba, Brazil
Source: Ericsson 2012
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 33
Mass transit
authority, NYC
Source: Private photos, 2014
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 34
Picture courtesy of Wikimedia
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 35
7,75
Digital products and services
Industry
Public sector
Tomorrow?
Photo courtesy of Region Skåne
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 36
Market Technology
Applications
Users
Unique conditions
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 37
Skåne
80’s 90’s 00’s 10’s Next
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 38
Moving target
90’s
00’s
10’s
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 39
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 40
Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 41
The Transformation of Life, Universe and Everything

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The Transformation of Life, Universe and Everything

  • 1. The transformation of life, universe and everything Björn Ekelund
  • 2. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 2 Vatican City 2005
  • 3. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 3 Vatican City 2013
  • 4. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 4 6.5B subscriptions 1.2B smartphones Mobile 2020 5B smartphones 10B subscriptions 90% population 55% population Source: Forecast based on extrapolated data from multiple sources
  • 5. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 5 The third wave Combustion Electricity ICT
  • 6. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 6 The third economy Trade Money Digital
  • 7. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 7 For every 1000 internet connections, 80 jobs are created Source: Ericsson and Arthur D. Little 2013
  • 8. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 8 For every new job in ICT, up to 5 new jobs are created Source: European Commission report 2013
  • 9. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 9 Multiplication on multiplication makes exponential…
  • 10. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 10 technology IS developing exponentially. intuition IS linear.
  • 11. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 11 We are in for a ride…
  • 12. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 12
  • 13. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 13 “The full potential not yet fully understood”
  • 14. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 14 Governments react
  • 15. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 15 Total profit = $1.9B Total profit = $3.7B Profit pool disruption Operating profit 1995 Film retail Camera retail Camera manufacturing Film manufacturing Photofinishing retail Photofinishing wholesale Agx paper and chemicals Photofinishing equipment Enhanced services 2005 Segments that did not exist in 1995 Film camera mfg D-compact mfg Memory mfg Digital camera retail Rolled & single use film mfg Film camera retail Rolled film retail Retail photofinishing Photofinishing equipment Paper & Chemicals Enhanced services D-SLR mfg Memory retail Digital imaging software Online photofinishing Photo printers, retail Photo printers, mfg Source: Analyst reports, company reports, Bain analysis 20 10 0 30 40 50% Photography example
  • 16. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 16 Networked Society People Business Society
  • 17. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 17 EMPOWERMENT OF INDIVIDUALS ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES + EXTENSION OF BUSINESS + A NEW FOUNDATION
  • 18. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 18 SEATTLE trash tracking
  • 19. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 19
  • 20. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 20
  • 21. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 21 Strategies that seemed impossible or EVEN insane ONLY a few years ago – may now be perfectly feasible
  • 22. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 22 FROM THE LEFT FIELD… Tesla, the fastest-growing stock in the automotive industry, is founded and run by a software engineer Instagram, a company with only thirteen employees at the time, was acquired for a billion dollars just three months after Kodak filed for bankruptcy Over 40 % of the companies that where on the top of the Fortune 500 list in 2000 where no longer there in 2010
  • 23. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 23 the megatrends and ict SMART IS THE NEW GREEN BRICKS AND CLICKS CONNECTIVITY & CONVERGENCE FUTURE OF MOBILITY INNOVATE TO ZERO VALUE FOR MONEY FUTURE OF ENERGYHEALTH AND WELLNESS SOCIAL TRENDS CHANGING URBANIZATION – CITY AS A CUSTOMER Source: “World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures” Frost & Sullivan 2014
  • 24. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 24 People communication Information publishing Process computerization Social networking Interactivity & transactions Value distribution Power of the crowd Collaborative innovation Ecosystem orchestration Infrastructure Practices Integration Impact Customer intimacy FlexibilityProcess digitalization Value analysis New process tools Shared data Digital distribution Community working Reshaped ecosystems Digital processes Redefined business assets User co-creation Innovative experience Simplified value proposition Step changed efficiency ICT driven Transformation
  • 25. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 25 Rise of new logics Learning Education Transport Mobility Healthcare Wellness Retail realize Banking Transact Communicate Collaborate media Social media Working creating
  • 26. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 26 Mobility – Transport “I often chose virtual presence rather than going to office” “I always get a suggestion for a train where I can be sure to get a seat “ “I am identified, and charged according to the type of ride I take” “Most taxis nowadays are driverless” “I am not charged anything until I am on the trains” “I always share my car travel with others”
  • 27. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 27 1 year mobile subscription = 25kg CO2 1 hour car driving = 25kg CO2 Source: The Guardian, Green Living Blog
  • 28. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 28
  • 29. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 29 Public transportation
  • 30. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 30 For every dollar invested in public transportation, 4 dollars of business is generated Source: American Public Transportation Association, 2014
  • 31. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 31 Half of the world’s urban population is exposed to air pollution exceeding 2½ times the recommended levels. Source:WHO Air pollution estimates for 1600 cities in 91 countries. March 2014
  • 32. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 32 Curitiba, Brazil Source: Ericsson 2012
  • 33. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 33 Mass transit authority, NYC Source: Private photos, 2014
  • 34. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 34 Picture courtesy of Wikimedia
  • 35. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 35 7,75 Digital products and services Industry Public sector Tomorrow? Photo courtesy of Region Skåne
  • 36. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 36 Market Technology Applications Users Unique conditions
  • 37. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 37 Skåne 80’s 90’s 00’s 10’s Next
  • 38. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 38 Moving target 90’s 00’s 10’s
  • 39. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 39
  • 40. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 40
  • 41. Björn Ekelund | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-09 | Page 41