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Machine Learning for Energy Trading,
Automotive Sector and Logistics
BigML Summerschool, Breukelen, NL
Dr. Dieter Mayr, 8th of July, 2019
2
i. A1 Digital Machine Learning Platform powered by BigML
ii. Our perception on Machine Learning in various industries
iii. Use cases and solutions
iv. Our approach and recommendations
Agenda
3
Who we are
A1 Digital – IoT, ML, Cloud and Security Focus
3 Headquarters
Vienna, Munich and
Lausanne - present
in 10 countries
180
Employees
More than 500
international
customer projects
AffiliatedGroup
A1 Telekom Austria
Group & America Móvil
Your Partner
for Cloud, ML, IoT
and Security
4
A1 Digital‘s ML Team
 Our Mission: A1 Digital enables its customers to perform
Machine Learning and Advanced Analytics at Scale
 Core ML Team: Data Scientists as
… ML Consultants
… Product Manager
… Data Engineer & DevOps
 Our technology stack: one large BigML deployment running
in our own cloud (Exoscale)
 Our offer: Ml
Our perception on
Machine Learning in
various industries
6
7
Market starts demanding ML
How usually discover B2B customers dealing with ML:
SMEs
 Little strategy on ML, mainly individual persons
 Little low-hanging fruits: they know how to solve their problems
 Depending on industry: IT mostly drives efforts for ML
 Input often from the higher management „to try ML“
 Many obstacles: little resources (time), fear of learning curve,
underestimation of potential of own data, bad first experiences
Large
Enterprises
 Centralized vs decentralized ML Teams
 Often: strategy + „center of excellence“
 Large investments in complex infrastructure
 Communication: Business vs. Data Science team
 Lack of agile and simple ways to explore ML
Machine Learning requires a team!
9
The playing field in ML is moving very fast
10
Data related project remain complex….
• Even with best tools, it remains a
challenge to find a use case with
adequate data…
• ML is just one (important!)
element but cannot solve all
problems
• But: with ML project,
stakeholders learn, understand
the imporance of data and
become creative in finding new
use cases in thair fields.
11
But where we believe BigML is essential creating added value
• Nothing to install or configure
• No programming skills
required
• Smart data input
• Automatic Modeling
• Smart model consumption
PROGRAMMABLE
• Offer basic constructors that enable
sophisticated ML strategies
• API-first
SCALABLE
• Fully-automated infrastructure
• Instant access, instant scale
• All the complexities related to
infrastructure are abstracted away
• Serverless
Use Cases
and Solutions
13
What kind of ML Platform is needed ?
• Nothing to install or configure
• No programming skills
required
• Smart data input
• Automatic Modeling
• Smart model consumption
PROGRAMMABLE
• Offer basic constructors that enable
sophisticated ML strategies
• API-first
SCALABLE
• Fully-automated infrastructure
• Instant access, instant scale
• All the complexities related to
infrastructure are abstracted away
• Serverless
14
Machine Learning for
Energy Trading
REQUIREMENTS
 Automated workflow for predicting control energy
prices
 Evaluation of historic bids and revenues
OUR SOLUTION
 Analysis of historic trading strategy
 Expert workshops for defining data sources (spot
market prices, weather, etc.) and feature
engineering
 Identify best performing machine learning
algorithms
 Dashboard as decision support tool for trading and
evaluating historic bids
RESULTS
 10 % higher revenues from auctions
 More transparent decisions and reduced workload
15
Energy Trading Dashboard
ML Application for Energy Trading
Download data &
Feature Engineering
Auction
announcements
Filter
announcements
„ML-ready Data“
Price prediction for
the next auction
Auction results
Additional data
16
What kind of ML Platform is needed ?
• Nothing to install or configure
• No programming skills
required
• Smart data input
• Automatic Modeling
• Smart model consumption
PROGRAMMABLE
• Offer basic constructors that enable
sophisticated ML strategies
• API-first
SCALABLE
• Fully-automated infrastructure
• Instant access, instant scale
• All the complexities related to
infrastructure are abstracted away
• Serverless
17
Machine Learning for
Wagon Hire and Rail Logistics
REQUIREMENTS
 Forecast model on maintenance time required for each
wagon
 Creation of complex data model
 Scalable Solution to rapidly analyze vast amounts of data
 Open, exportable models, ready to use in production
OUR SOLUTION
 Consulting on use case selection
 Workshop on data selection (gain vs. efforts)
 Review of BigML platform how it fits into their
requirements
 Test OptiML on existing challenges
RESULTS
 OptiML outperforms existing models
 Data Science unit works faster, increases collaboration
 Leveraging existing models & efforts (from Python)
18
Bindings
How to use bindings for the ML platform? Python example
Add source file
Create a dataset from source
Split data set into training and
test datasets
Create a model (decision tree)
with a training dataset
Evaluate with a test dataset
Get desired evaluation
parameters
19
Bindings
Use the dashboard to evaluate any steps
Look up the Script-ID
Create execution for new
source with Script-ID
“Scriptify” one step or the
whole workflow
20
What kind of ML Platform is needed ?
• Nothing to install or configure
• No programming skills
required
• Smart data input
• Automatic Modeling
• Smart model consumption
PROGRAMMABLE
• Offer basic constructors that enable
sophisticated ML strategies
• API-first
SCALABLE
• Fully-automated infrastructure
• Instant access, instant scale
• All the complexities related to
infrastructure are abstracted away
• Serverless
21
Machine Learning for
Automotive Supplier
REQUIREMENTS
 Central ML Platform enabling potentially thousands
of engineers worldwide to get started with ML
 Easy entry in ML with ability to fully scale fast
OUR SOLUTION
 Discuss ML efforts and strategy
 Develop a PoC (on injection molding machines)
 Evaluate results and feedback from subject matter
experts
 Consulting to create a concept about how to roll-
out ML to business units
RESULTS
 10+ potential use cases
 Roadmap, learning program and show cases
 Cost-effective strategy for a global accessable ML
platform enabling engineers to optimize data
related routines
22
Challenging market expectations demands development of
ML-led Sense-Predict-React capabilities
• Conformity to
specification
• Product performance
Quality
• Low Rework cost
• High percentage of
passed quality inspection
• Low cost of quality
control
• Delivery Lead Times
• On Time Delivery
• Stock availability
Delivery
• Short production and
delivery lead time
• High accuracy of
inventory status
• High dependability of
internal lead times
• Product Selling
• Competitive Pricing
• Disruption driver
Cost
• Low unit cost of
manufacturing
• Fast inventory turnover
• High capacity utilization
• Product range
• Product portfolio offered
• Volume / product mix changes
Flexibility
• Shortest MRP and set
up times
• Shortest length of fixed
production schedule
• Optimal amount of
operating capacity
Our approach and
recommendations
DataExploration
• Use-Case workshop
• First, quick results
• Follow-up potential
Pilot Package
• Multiple workshops
• Multiple data
sources
• Reliable results
ProductiveSystem
• Improve pilot solution
• Integration in existing system.
• Deployment of Application
Expandon yourown
• Implement further
use cases on your
own
The way to Machine Learning based applications
We enable our customers step-by-step
Continuous Machine Learning trainings and support by A1 Digital experts
from data to results in about 6 weeks
25
 Prioritize  impact & reuse
 Develop ML strategy  core analytical capabilities & easy access (MLaaS) platforms
 Leverage partner  stay focused on your business
 Educate (repeatedly)  Unleash the Citizen Data Scientist.
 Domain knowledge  respect expertise and bring ML closer to decision making
 Freedom  Allow freedom for creativity and potentially failing
 Small steps  focus on fast first projects and stay agile
 Start now
Recommendations to our customers
Thank you for
you attention
contact us:
dieter.mayr@a1.digital

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DutchMLSchool. ML for Energy Trading and Automotive Sector

  • 1. Machine Learning for Energy Trading, Automotive Sector and Logistics BigML Summerschool, Breukelen, NL Dr. Dieter Mayr, 8th of July, 2019
  • 2. 2 i. A1 Digital Machine Learning Platform powered by BigML ii. Our perception on Machine Learning in various industries iii. Use cases and solutions iv. Our approach and recommendations Agenda
  • 3. 3 Who we are A1 Digital – IoT, ML, Cloud and Security Focus 3 Headquarters Vienna, Munich and Lausanne - present in 10 countries 180 Employees More than 500 international customer projects AffiliatedGroup A1 Telekom Austria Group & America Móvil Your Partner for Cloud, ML, IoT and Security
  • 4. 4 A1 Digital‘s ML Team  Our Mission: A1 Digital enables its customers to perform Machine Learning and Advanced Analytics at Scale  Core ML Team: Data Scientists as … ML Consultants … Product Manager … Data Engineer & DevOps  Our technology stack: one large BigML deployment running in our own cloud (Exoscale)  Our offer: Ml
  • 5. Our perception on Machine Learning in various industries
  • 6. 6
  • 7. 7 Market starts demanding ML How usually discover B2B customers dealing with ML: SMEs  Little strategy on ML, mainly individual persons  Little low-hanging fruits: they know how to solve their problems  Depending on industry: IT mostly drives efforts for ML  Input often from the higher management „to try ML“  Many obstacles: little resources (time), fear of learning curve, underestimation of potential of own data, bad first experiences Large Enterprises  Centralized vs decentralized ML Teams  Often: strategy + „center of excellence“  Large investments in complex infrastructure  Communication: Business vs. Data Science team  Lack of agile and simple ways to explore ML
  • 9. 9 The playing field in ML is moving very fast
  • 10. 10 Data related project remain complex…. • Even with best tools, it remains a challenge to find a use case with adequate data… • ML is just one (important!) element but cannot solve all problems • But: with ML project, stakeholders learn, understand the imporance of data and become creative in finding new use cases in thair fields.
  • 11. 11 But where we believe BigML is essential creating added value • Nothing to install or configure • No programming skills required • Smart data input • Automatic Modeling • Smart model consumption PROGRAMMABLE • Offer basic constructors that enable sophisticated ML strategies • API-first SCALABLE • Fully-automated infrastructure • Instant access, instant scale • All the complexities related to infrastructure are abstracted away • Serverless
  • 13. 13 What kind of ML Platform is needed ? • Nothing to install or configure • No programming skills required • Smart data input • Automatic Modeling • Smart model consumption PROGRAMMABLE • Offer basic constructors that enable sophisticated ML strategies • API-first SCALABLE • Fully-automated infrastructure • Instant access, instant scale • All the complexities related to infrastructure are abstracted away • Serverless
  • 14. 14 Machine Learning for Energy Trading REQUIREMENTS  Automated workflow for predicting control energy prices  Evaluation of historic bids and revenues OUR SOLUTION  Analysis of historic trading strategy  Expert workshops for defining data sources (spot market prices, weather, etc.) and feature engineering  Identify best performing machine learning algorithms  Dashboard as decision support tool for trading and evaluating historic bids RESULTS  10 % higher revenues from auctions  More transparent decisions and reduced workload
  • 15. 15 Energy Trading Dashboard ML Application for Energy Trading Download data & Feature Engineering Auction announcements Filter announcements „ML-ready Data“ Price prediction for the next auction Auction results Additional data
  • 16. 16 What kind of ML Platform is needed ? • Nothing to install or configure • No programming skills required • Smart data input • Automatic Modeling • Smart model consumption PROGRAMMABLE • Offer basic constructors that enable sophisticated ML strategies • API-first SCALABLE • Fully-automated infrastructure • Instant access, instant scale • All the complexities related to infrastructure are abstracted away • Serverless
  • 17. 17 Machine Learning for Wagon Hire and Rail Logistics REQUIREMENTS  Forecast model on maintenance time required for each wagon  Creation of complex data model  Scalable Solution to rapidly analyze vast amounts of data  Open, exportable models, ready to use in production OUR SOLUTION  Consulting on use case selection  Workshop on data selection (gain vs. efforts)  Review of BigML platform how it fits into their requirements  Test OptiML on existing challenges RESULTS  OptiML outperforms existing models  Data Science unit works faster, increases collaboration  Leveraging existing models & efforts (from Python)
  • 18. 18 Bindings How to use bindings for the ML platform? Python example Add source file Create a dataset from source Split data set into training and test datasets Create a model (decision tree) with a training dataset Evaluate with a test dataset Get desired evaluation parameters
  • 19. 19 Bindings Use the dashboard to evaluate any steps Look up the Script-ID Create execution for new source with Script-ID “Scriptify” one step or the whole workflow
  • 20. 20 What kind of ML Platform is needed ? • Nothing to install or configure • No programming skills required • Smart data input • Automatic Modeling • Smart model consumption PROGRAMMABLE • Offer basic constructors that enable sophisticated ML strategies • API-first SCALABLE • Fully-automated infrastructure • Instant access, instant scale • All the complexities related to infrastructure are abstracted away • Serverless
  • 21. 21 Machine Learning for Automotive Supplier REQUIREMENTS  Central ML Platform enabling potentially thousands of engineers worldwide to get started with ML  Easy entry in ML with ability to fully scale fast OUR SOLUTION  Discuss ML efforts and strategy  Develop a PoC (on injection molding machines)  Evaluate results and feedback from subject matter experts  Consulting to create a concept about how to roll- out ML to business units RESULTS  10+ potential use cases  Roadmap, learning program and show cases  Cost-effective strategy for a global accessable ML platform enabling engineers to optimize data related routines
  • 22. 22 Challenging market expectations demands development of ML-led Sense-Predict-React capabilities • Conformity to specification • Product performance Quality • Low Rework cost • High percentage of passed quality inspection • Low cost of quality control • Delivery Lead Times • On Time Delivery • Stock availability Delivery • Short production and delivery lead time • High accuracy of inventory status • High dependability of internal lead times • Product Selling • Competitive Pricing • Disruption driver Cost • Low unit cost of manufacturing • Fast inventory turnover • High capacity utilization • Product range • Product portfolio offered • Volume / product mix changes Flexibility • Shortest MRP and set up times • Shortest length of fixed production schedule • Optimal amount of operating capacity
  • 24. DataExploration • Use-Case workshop • First, quick results • Follow-up potential Pilot Package • Multiple workshops • Multiple data sources • Reliable results ProductiveSystem • Improve pilot solution • Integration in existing system. • Deployment of Application Expandon yourown • Implement further use cases on your own The way to Machine Learning based applications We enable our customers step-by-step Continuous Machine Learning trainings and support by A1 Digital experts from data to results in about 6 weeks
  • 25. 25  Prioritize  impact & reuse  Develop ML strategy  core analytical capabilities & easy access (MLaaS) platforms  Leverage partner  stay focused on your business  Educate (repeatedly)  Unleash the Citizen Data Scientist.  Domain knowledge  respect expertise and bring ML closer to decision making  Freedom  Allow freedom for creativity and potentially failing  Small steps  focus on fast first projects and stay agile  Start now Recommendations to our customers
  • 26. Thank you for you attention contact us: dieter.mayr@a1.digital