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Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
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© 2010 Landor Associates.
All rights reserved.

Landor Associates is one of the world’s
leading strategic brand consulting and
design firms. Landor is part of WPP, one of
the largest global communications services
companies. Visit us at landor.com.
Landor’s 2011
trends forecast
Market trends and their
impact on brands


Over the past year, we’ve seen our world grow          In the all-inclusive spirit of social media, we asked   Trevor Wade is director of digital
smaller and more transparent. People are               a broad spectrum of Landor’s experts to comment         marketing for Landor Associates and
feeling empowered by social media: breaking            on what they expect to see next year. Here, then,       editor of Landor’s trends forecast.
news on Twitter before it reaches major media          are our predictions for 2011 on these timely topics:
outlets, boldly critiquing products and experi-
ences online, trusting word-of-mouth over              •   The search for purpose
traditional marketing. Demonstrating sustain-          •   Design
able practices has become the cost of entry for        •   Social media
businesses and is no longer a differentiator in        •   Shopping behavior
the marketplace. And the good a company does           •   Packaging
within and for its community is beginning to           •   Sustainability
have an impact on its bottom line.                     •   Color direction
                                                       •   The petroleum industry
In spite of a sobered financial consciousness, people   •   The energy industry
are ready to be surprised and delighted again — not    •   Marketing in the Middle East
by the flashy or the fancy, but by authentic brand     •   Food
stories and personal connections.                      •   The globalization of Asian brands
                                                       •   Interactive entertainment
As public awareness of marketing, brands, and          •   Brand management
design continues to grow, those in the business of
selling have to work harder and smarter to earn the
money consumers are spending so carefully. What
will this mean for brands in 2011?




                                                                                                                                      Landor Associates 1
The search for purpose
 by Scott Osman

  Scott Osman is global director of             What can we expect to see in 2011?                    have already aligned their corporate social responsi-
  corporate social responsibility in the New                                                          bility practices with their brand management and
  York office of Landor Associates. Scott’s     Social purpose as a business value is here to stay,   communications teams — a big shift in corporate
  article “Citizenship branding” is available   and in 2011 we can expect even more companies         structure — and we can expect more of this trend.
  on landor.com.                                to acknowledge its importance. Brands will work       Once they learn each other’s languages, these
                                                to identify the ways they can help society. Success   disparate departments will benefit greatly from
                                                in the marketplace will require that companies be     sharing ideas and resources. This internal reorgani-
                                                sustainable, committed, and authentic.                zation will create value for companies at the same
                                                                                                      time it supports their social contributions.
                                                Studies such as Goodpurpose, by Edelman,
                                                and Corporate Purpose Impact 2010 from Burson-        Which brands will stand out?
                                                Marsteller indicate overwhelmingly that when
                                                making decisions about what to buy, consumers         Brands that find a way to express their values and
                                                now look at how a company operates, where its         merge social purpose with brand promise will stand
                                                products come from and how they are made, and         out. Almost all companies on the Forbes Global 2000
                                                how it treats its employees. These factors may        list are currently making significant social contribu-
                                                not drive every purchase, but more and more they      tions, although they may not be communicating
                                                are impacting the bottom line. This fundamental       this to the public. Making these actions known
                                                shift in consumer behavior is unlikely to reverse.    will be just as important as espousing the values
                                                                                                      behind them.
                                                What are the implications of these trends
                                                for brands?                                           In low-engagement categories, social purpose
  Method has enjoyed great success with                                                               provides a golden opportunity to create passionate,
  a business model that strives to develop      As more “good” goods enter the market, brands         relevant differentiation. Look for purpose-driven
  products using safe, sustainable materials    will have to clearly define their social purpose and   breakout brands to emerge in the financial service,
  and responsible manufacturing practices.      make it central to their business. Many companies     airline, education, and energy categories. Companies
                                                                                                      such as Method have inspired employees and
                                                                                                      captured the imagination of consumers with its
                                                                                                      naturally derived, biodegradable household cleaners.

                                                                                                      Studies show that CEOs are eager for their compa-
                                                                                                      nies to have purpose and that employees want to
                                                                                                      work for good companies. Now it’s time for middle
                                                                                                      managers, those most responsible for implementa-
                                                                                                      tion, to climb aboard.

                                                                                                      The burning question for 2011

                                                                                                      Will middle management recognize and act
                                                                                                      on the importance of social purpose?




                                                                   © method




2 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in design
by Paul Owen

What can we expect to see in 2011?                        of functional, light-interface designs that optimize        Paul Owen is executive creative director
                                                          content navigation will grow on all screen-based            in the New York office of Landor Associates.
Innovation, influence marketing, and customer             platforms. Novelty plays, such as invisible logos,          Paul’s work has been recognized interna-
experience were the business buzzwords of 2010.           user-generated logos, and logos as containers,              tionally with design awards including the
Consumers no longer believe the smoke and mirrors         have probably had their day, too.                           D&AD Pencil, PromaxBDA (gold and silver),
of traditional marketing. Their trust must be earned                                                                  One Show (gold), and a special accredita-
on a daily basis. Never before has business collabo-      Which brands will stand out?                                tion from the Art Directors Club, New York.
rated so openly with consumers. We’ve learned that
we can’t be smart, creative, or innovative without        The buzzwords of 2011? Share, design, delight.
sharing. And the early days of the twenty-first century    Next year, I guarantee, the big brand stories will
have provided an explosion of technological tools         be developed around an ethical purpose through
to optimize collaboration.                                a design-led, collaborative process. Here are four
                                                          stories I’m keeping my eye on:
It’s clear that the rules of brand design are funda-
mentally changing. Success no longer depends              • Redesigned license laws for sharing. Anything
on consistency and adherence to strict brand                produced under Creative Commons license
guidelines, but on open, flexible, and innovative           will be worth following. For more information:
experience design that allows for nimble navigation         creativecommons.org
across changing marketplaces. There’s a new
mantra for design:                                        • Simple functional interface design leads, as
                                                            proximity networking is set to go commercial              ABOVE: New license laws from Creative
Share=design=delight                                        in 2011. For example: foursquare.com                      Commons are changing the way designers
                                                                                                                      work and share ideas.
Sharing leads to ideas. Ideas facilitate design, and      • Content is king. The shape of TV will radically
design transforms needs into demand. Design is the          shift next year. Smaller personalized content             BELOW: Location-based networking presents
process that realizes the potential in collaboration.       aggregators are the ones to watch. For                    new opportunities for interface design.
Design provides the divergent exploration of a shared       example: devour.com
thought and then the rigorous, convergent focus to
deliver something useful or meaningful—and if it’s        • Ethical design thinking and business leadership
spot on, something absolutely delightful.                   from “B corporations”—defined as socially
                                                            responsible businesses that are required to
What are the implications of these trends?                  consider the interests of societal stakeholders
                                                            such as employees, communities, and the
Design is having a positive effect on business              environment. For more information:
processes. As more and more companies realize               bcorporation.net
that their Six Sigma processes aren’t giving them
sought-after results, they are turning to design
thinking to uncover more meaningful solutions.            Awareness of design among the general population
                                                          is at an all-time high. We will see increased interaction
Corporate responsibility will play a much larger role     between designers and consumers in the coming year.
as many market-leading brands realign their business      Tropicana and the Gap are just the beginning. Smart
strategies to values over value. With this growing        brands, knowing that design is a major means of
conscience comes the responsibility for design to         connecting with audiences, will introduce new
deliver sustainable solutions that focus on the right     elements as adroitly as possible.
balance of ethics, form, and function. Poor design        —Sean King, design director, corporate
has ended up in enough landfills.                             communications

Online design is dropping flash, splash, and animated
extras. With the rise of mobile connectivity, the power




                                                                                                                                              Landor Associates 3
Location-based services will move toward
tailoring suggestions, information, and offers
to a user’s current whereabouts for a highly
personalized and rewarding digital experience.




4 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in social media
by Alex Do

What can we expect to see in 2011?                      What are the implications of these trends              Alex Do is director of digital branding in the
                                                        for brands?                                            San Francisco office of Landor Associates.
Curated content: In 2011, social network users                                                                 His article about open-source branding is
will become more discriminating about the content       Earn a place in the stream. Brands will have to        available on landor.com.
in their streams. Nonstop content and promotions        earn their way into people’s streams with meaningful
from brands can be overwhelming and annoying;           content and, better yet, rewards. If their content
users are starting to hide brand updates, filter         is truly compelling, it’ll get noticed and “liked,”
friends, and prioritize content.                        generating comments and re-tweets. Smart brand
                                                        managers will focus on the story line, engaging
Social commerce and group buying: Tapping               customers in relevant dialogue and providing
friends for recommendations, posting deals on           platforms for customer expression.
a network, and following the picks of celebrities can
make shopping easier and more enjoyable. People         Reimagine the storefront. Brands will need to
are more willing to share purchase information if       augment and extend their e-commerce offerings.
there’s something it in for them, such as discounts,    More brands and merchants will develop shopping
trendsetter status, or the cool factor.                 apps inside existing social platforms. Delta Air
                                                        Lines now lets travelers book flights from its
Group buying through sites such as Groupon,             Facebook fan page.
LivingSocial, YouSwoop, and Scoutmob will
continue to thrive in 2011. New players include         Redesign the mobile experience. More and more
Wow, The Knot, and Walmart’s CrowdSaver, set            interaction will take place via mobile devices. The
to offer an 18 percent discount on plasma TVs           mobile phone design interface needs to accommo-
when the product gets more than 5,000 “likes.”          date this shift. Mobile use of social media alters
                                                        how people interact with platforms and the way
Niche markets: In 2010 location-based services          that brands engage customers.
including Foursquare, Gowalla, and Facebook
Places picked up users and garnered a lot of media
attention. But many users tired of checking in          Social media provides an enormous opportunity
to places without a payoff beyond earning badges        to craft brand voice and add value by linking brands
or becoming “mayor.” In 2011 location-based             to the right people at the right time, with messages
services will move toward tailoring suggestions,        they will want to share.
information, and offers to a user’s current where-      —Melissa Parsey, senior client manager,
abouts for a highly personalized and rewarding             New York office
digital experience.
                                                                                                               Expect group-buying sites such as
Xtify’s geo-location technology will allow brands                                                              Groupon (featured above) to become
to target their users with messages and calls to                                                               more popular.
action specific to where they are and where they’ve
been. Shopkick describes itself as the first mobile
app to reward consumers simply for walking into
a store and scanning product bar codes with their
phones. Best Buy, American Eagle Outfitters,
Sports Authority, and Facebook have already
adopted Shopkick. Other platforms such as
Foodspotting appeal to the foodie niche.




                                                                                                                                        Landor Associates 5
Trends in shopping behavior
 by John Matthews

  John Matthews is director of strategy          We all hope that the global recovery will gain            Real value: The retail sector rocked most by the
  in the Sydney office of Landor Associates.     strength in 2011. Here in Australia, online sales figures recession was that broad blur of “masstige” and
  His current article, “One playful idea,”       show that strong economies are looking to weaker         “new luxury.” Suddenly, paying premium prices for
  is available on landor.com.                    ones (in our case, to America) as a fertile source of     average products with flashy logos made consumers
                                                 bargains. Consumers learned their lesson from the         look dumb rather than rich. In 2011 shoppers
                                                 financial crisis and will proceed with caution. Their      will search for ruggedness, longevity, reliability,
                                                 behavior is likely to remain volatile, fluctuating        and real ingredients. Using old-fashioned materials
                                                 between bursts of optimism and pessimism.                 in apparel represents value and emotional security
                                                                                                           in a very tangible way, as seen in Nike’s Harris
                                                 Green versus lean: Sustainable consumption                Tweed sneakers.
                                                 was already growing prior to the economic crisis.
                                                 But in 2011 we’ll see a slight shift as consumers buy     Real stories: At the same time that shoppers
                                                 fewer new products, opting instead for refills and         found their security shaken and their disposable
                                                 recycling. Rather than paying a premium for green,        income decimated, they were also bombarded with
                                                 shoppers will demand that all brands become               novelty. The movement of brands into digital and
                                                 more ecofriendly.                                         social media generated odd, attention-seeking
                                                                                                           strategies that seemed to have little or no link to
                                                 Real places: Country-of-origin brands are likely          what products actually did, such as the Vegemite
                                                 to become a greater force in retail. Origins will         variant rechristened iSnack 2.0. (Don’t expect
  Consumers will seek out ruggedness,            be a big part of food retailing; traceability down        to find it on shelves today!) Brands must first look
  longevity, and old-fashioned materials, such   the length of the supply chain will give brands           at the functionality that differentiates them, then
  as those found in Nike’s Air Royal Harris      an opportunity to differentiate. Wherever they            express their essence through authentic stories
  Tweed sneakers.                                can, brands will connect us to the source.                and ideas that ring true with customers.

                                                                                                         The burning question for 2011: Will shoppers return
                                                                                                         to their old ways, or will the hangover of recession
                                                                                                         create long-term changes in buying behavior?


                                                                                                         Expect to see brands trying disruption tactics
                                                                                                         to combat “autopilot shopping,” especially for
                                                                                                         low-involvement fast-moving consumer goods.
                                                                                                         —Fiona Atzler, client director, New York office

                                                                                                         More consumers will shift away from traditional
                                                                                                         retail toward digital retailing.
                                                                                                         —Robin Thompson, brand strategist,
                                                                                                            New York office

                                                                                                        Although private label brands are gaining popularity
                                                                                                        in the U.S., they have not approached the level of
                                                                                                        acceptance seen in Europe. In 2011, U.S. retailers
                                                                                                        will continue to borrow private label strategies from
                                                                                                        progressive retailers from across the pond such
                                                                                                        as Tesco and Marks & Spencer.
                                                                                                        —Samar Birwadker, senior insights manager,
                                                                                                           San Francisco office




6 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in packaging
by Wendy Hunt and Anne Reid

In 2011, expect packaging to become more sustain-      in areas affected by disaster. In New Orleans        Wendy Hunt is client director in the Cincinnati
able, incorporate recent technological advances,       following Hurricane Katrina, the Procter & Gamble-   office of Landor Associates, working with
and feed into consumers’ desire for their purchases    sponsored initiative washed almost 14,000 loads of   multiple Procter & Gamble brands.
to serve a greater purpose.                            laundry for 11,000 families.
                                                                                                            Anne Reid is senior director of design
Bells and whistles: Modern consumers are               The burning question for 2011                        realization in the Cincinnati office of Landor
shopping experts who spend mere seconds making                                                              Associates. She has a particular interest
purchase decisions. Especially in supermarkets,        The challenge will be finding ways to do more         in sustainable packaging.
packaging must work hard to tempt shoppers into        with less — reducing waste, using fewer natural
trying new products. Revolutionary technologies        resources, and cutting down transport distance—      With contributions by
such as thin film and printed batteries can have        while using packaging to communicate brand           Anna Singh, client manager, Cincinnati office
a phenomenal impact at the first moment of truth,       promise and the actions that back it up.
adding light, sound, and movement to packaging.
Sound chips can deliver promotional messages
from store shelves; paper-thin video screens can
demonstrate product use. The first brands to adopt                                                           The Tide Loads of Hope program gives
these cutting-edge strategies are sure to make                                                              back to the community in an on-brand way
a splash in the crowded marketplace.                                                                        by providing laundry services to families
                                                                                                            affected by disaster.
Reusable: After noticing the product (first moment
of truth) and reading the product label (second),
there is now a third moment of truth for consumers:
reusing packaging. More brands will make this
possible, banking on the cool factor to extend brand
message beyond the life of the product. Burt’s Bees,
whose natural body care line already appeals to
environmentally conscious customers, now provides
reusable carrying cases for its lip balm.

Sustainable: More companies will pledge to lessen
their impact on the environment and look for
innovative ways to do so. Paper Mate recently
introduced biodegradable pens with compostable
outer shells that break down into organic matter
within a year. Following a more traditional route,
Kraft Foods plans to reduce its carbon footprint
in 2011 by decreasing waste from its plants, elimin-
ating 150 million pounds of packaging material,
and cutting CO2 emissions by 25 percent.

Purposeful: To remain relevant in 2011, brands
must stand for something and align their brand
promise with the good they do — and convey
both through their packaging. The Tide Loads
of Hope program and its corresponding limited-
edition detergent give back to the community
in an on-brand way: by providing laundry facilities




                                                                                                                                      Landor Associates 7
More and more consumers look at facts
  and figures about product ingredients and
  environmental impact before they buy.




8 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in sustainability
by Russ Meyer

What can we expect to see in 2011?                     green brands are niche players such as Tom’s of           Russ Meyer is chief strategy officer
                                                       Maine and Seventh Generation. Landor’s annual             of Landor Associates. His article “Five
As we continue to emerge from the worst economic       ImagePower® Green Brands Survey shows that                reasons not to have a green brand (and
conditions since the Great Depression, consumers       consumers think of corporate brands such as               why those reasons are wrong)” is available
will remain shell-shocked. Perhaps the greatest        Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Walmart, and General          on landor.com.
advance in sustainability over the last three years    Electric as more sustainable than their product
has been the global decline in consumption. When       brands. The challenge for corporate brands is to find
consumers do buy, they are more thoughtful,            ways of extending this green halo onto their product
considering not just where and how products are        and service brands.
created, but whether they really need them at all.
I believe this is the beginning of a long-term shift   Electric cars are poised for plenty of press attention
in purchase behavior, moving from wanton,              in 2011, a significant year for the car market, when
willy-nilly buying sprees into a more considered       three electric cars will all be available in the United
approach to consumption.                               States: Chevy Volt, Nissan Leaf, and Tesla.

What is the implication of this for brands?            The burning question for 2011

Brands have two challenges. The first is to convince    How can we achieve a balance between reducing
consumers that their product or service will make      consumption of resources and encouraging
a noticeable difference in consumers’ lives and        consumers to purchase sustainable products?
that they are worthy of being purchased. They
must make their functional benefits overt and
apparent. Consumers will no longer be willing to
try out sustainable products just for their green-
ness — brands must differentiate themselves
in other ways, too. In these days of cautious
consumerism, products have to prove superior
functionality or risk remaining on the shelf.

The second challenge for sustainable brands is
to be specific about their green claims. Gone are
the days of fuzzy, friendly labels like “natural.”
Since 2005, we’ve seen a major increase in
consumers’ understanding of sustainability. Smart
consumers now look for facts and figures detailing
which chemicals their cleaning products contain,
how much energy is used to create and transport
a piece of furniture, and the true carbon footprint
of a pair of sneakers. If brands can’t provide this
hard data, consumers will turn to sources like the
GoodGuide and other champions of transparency
to learn the truth.

Which brands will stand out?

Despite the ongoing interest in sustainability,
few mainstream consumer brands have smoothly
incorporated this attribute into their brand promise
and image. Clorox Green Works aside, the best-known




                                                                                                                                         Landor Associates 9
Trends in color direction
  by Jack Bredenfoerder

   Jack Bredenfoerder is design director in      Color trends are fleeting and ephemeral; color         Finally, purples will move away from recent
   the Cincinnati office of Landor Associates.   connections, told through compelling design stories    mauve hues and come alive with the influence
   He is internationally recognized as a color   that speak to the consumer’s heart, mind, and soul,    of fire. They are like the colors seen deep under
   authority and served as president of the      are the future of color direction.                     smoldering coals — a bright glimpse at the joy
   Color Marketing Group in 2007 and 2008.                                                              of the future. Fire will also pull navy into a deep,
                                                 What can we expect to see in 2011?                     royal blue purple.

                                                 The color design story for 2011 is an inspiring tale   The coming year will challenge brands to set
                                                 of fire and passion. The world is in a period of        themselves on fire with passion. The brands that
                                                 accelerated change — a fire building across our         come alive with honest, intense warmth and
                                                 globe as we move in a new direction with renewed       understanding will succeed in attracting customers
                                                 energy. Fiery red passion is surfacing as the main     to their tribal fire.
                                                 concept that will fuel the colors and design ideas
                                                 of 2011.

                                                 In India, fire is seen as a cleanser and purifier;
                                                 it prepares the world for new beginnings. Fire
                                                 clears away the clutter and brings the possibility
                                                 of a phoenix to rise from its ashes. A single flame
                                                 is a symbol of hope; a bonfire is a community
                                                 celebration of commitment to achieving new goals.

                                                 Fire-inspired reds, oranges, and ambers are the
                                                 fireworks of 2011. These hot divas will burst forth
                                                 with the power, energy, and passion necessary
                                                 to bring fresh excitement.

                                                 Lighter golden browns represent the natural
                                                 comforting luxuries enjoyed by the fire. Think of
                                                 cashmere, almonds, fine scotch, and aged tobacco.

                                                 The long-term global blue cycle will continue to
                                                 develop. Bright, clean blues still symbolize hope
                                                 for a unified planet. But in 2011, the blues will be
                                                 more aquatic; their watery presence will balance
                                                 the fire colors.

                                                 Greens will be layered and reminiscent of the forest
                                                 floor after firewood is collected. In this spectrum
                                                 of soft hues we find natural, new beginnings.

                                                 Charcoal, smoke, and ash will inspire soft
                                                 whispers of color. Graphite black will celebrate
                                                 the new Nobel Prize-winning compound graphene,
                                                 a super-strong but light carbon that is expected
                                                 to change the future of humankind.




10 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Landor                  color direction
Passionate fire
Fire                                                                                            Comforting luxuries




                                                                                                                                                         Fire             PANTONE®           C




                                                                                                                                                         Red hot          PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Spark            PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Burn baby burn   PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Candlelight      PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Glow             PANTONE        C
                                                               ©       Landor Associates
                                                                                                                                                         Warmth           PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Kiss             PANTONE    C
                                                                                                                                ©      Getty Images


                                                                                                                                                         Cuddle           PANTONE    C

Water planet                                                                                    Forest floor                                              Wine cork        PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Camel hair       PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Tobacco          PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Scotch           PANTONE     C

                                                                                                                                                         Smoked almond    PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Reflection        PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Mist             PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         H OMG!           PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Oceanic          PANTONE     C

                                                                                                                                                         Blue planet      PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Deepwater        PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Blue lichen      PANTONE    C
                                                                   ©     Getty Images

                                                                                                                                                         Lamb ears        PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                            ©        Landor Associates
                                                                                                                                                         New leaf         PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Sprout           PANTONE        C

Smoke and ash                                                                                   Glowing embers                                           Moss             PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Frog             PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         White ash        PANTONE Warm Gray C

                                                                                                                                                         Wisp             PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Fire brick       PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Smoke cloud      PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Organic ash      PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Graphene         PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Charcoal         PANTONE        C

                                                                                                                                                         Burnout          PANTONE     C

                                                                                                                                                         Warm thoughts    PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                                                         Passion          PANTONE    C
                                                                   ©       Getty Images
                                                                                                                                                         Ember            PANTONE    C

                                                                                                                            ©       Landor Associates    Imagination      PANTONE    C



Colors by Jack Bredenfoerder   Forecast color information provided by Landor. PANTONE® Colors displayed may not
©       Landor Associates      match PANTONE-identified standards. Consult current PANTONE Color Publications for
                               accurate color. Pantone trademarks and copyrights are the property of, and are used with
                               the written permission of, Pantone LLC. Portions © Pantone LLC, 2010. All rights reserved.




                                                                                                                                                                                                 Landor Associates 11
Trends in the petroleum industry
  by Andrew Welch

   Andrew Welch is executive director in the     The Macondo well disaster in the Gulf of Mexico         such as governmental affiliations, operating licenses,
   London office of Landor Associates. His       has been well documented, as has the public             corporate culture, transparency, and communication.
   recent article on transforming the customer   outcry in its wake. What remains to be seen is
   experience is available on landor.com.        the impact it will have on oil company operations       Safety first, second, and third: Operational
                                                 in the future.                                          integrity and safety, always central issues for
                                                                                                         petroleum companies, will become the primary
                                                 Rising costs, risks . . . and rewards: Access to oil    factors in all commercial, operational, and strategic
                                                 reserves remains difficult and treacherous, whether     decisions. In the future, a petroleum company’s
                                                 they’re deep under the ocean bed or in the equally      success may be determined less by the conventional
                                                 inaccessible terrains of Russia and the Middle East.    metrics of profit, market share, and capital invest-
                                                 There’s been talk of requiring oil companies to         ment than by the nontraditional ones of employee
                                                 set up prefunded contingency plans to deal with         behavior and corporate responsibility.
                                                 potential disasters. Even so, there will still be big
                                                 money to be made in Big Oil. Emerging economies         Reassessing the value of values: Big Oil company
                                                 have an insatiable appetite for oil; China’s use        culture, often the amalgam of disparate acquisitions
                                                 alone is up 20 percent this year.                       and inherited operating principles, will find that
                                                                                                         lip service to brand values is no longer adequate.
                                                 Eye of the storm: Petroleum companies will              A clear, uncompromising set of standards for action
                                                 also face unrelenting public scrutiny and renewed       and accountability will be required both of oil
   Heavy machinery removes oil-contaminated      hostility. The debate over Big Oil and the environ-     companies and of the local partners that operate
   sands following the Macondo disaster.         ment will be joined by other controversial issues       on their behalf.

                                                                                                         Unified but not uniform: Centralized, monolithic
                                                                                                         operations may give way to a more agile and locally
                                                                                                         relevant approach, unified by a common purpose.
                                                                                                         As many natural energy resources are found in
                                                                                                         challenging environments, international oil compa-
                                                                                                         nies will succeed only by building high-quality,
                                                                                                         durable relationships with local governments and
                                                                                                         business partners. This will be especially true in
                                                                                                         emerging economies where officials are unlikely
                                                                                                         to cede control to oil companies’ American or
                                                                                                         European headquarters.

                                                                                                         Small is beautiful: Going forward, combining local
                                                                                                         sensitivity and flexible management with global
                                                                                                         know-how and capital will be the preferred operating
                                                                                                         model for oil companies. Perhaps in 2011 Big Oil will
                                                                                                         begin to think, act, and function more like Smaller Oil.




12 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in the energy industry
by Ian Wood

The consumer energy business is facing a rare            even more challenging, they will be competing         Ian Wood is executive director in the
challenge — and opportunity. In order to reduce          against some of the most powerful, stretchable        London office of Landor Associates. His
carbon output, a number of governments across            brands in the world.                                  article “Don’t chicken out of innovation”
the globe are mandating the placement of smart                                                                 is available on landor.com.
meters in all households. In the United Kingdom          The winner, however, becomes the gatekeeper to
alone, that amounts to about 20 million homes.           all energy devices in consumers’ homes, and the
                                                         prize is massive: constant, free brand communica-
Smart meters, like the non-smart variety, measure        tion and reinforcement.
energy usage. But they are also capable of communi-
cating with an energy supplier and with other            The burning question for 2011
household devices. The information is delivered in
real time and can be analyzed in a multitude of ways     Will energy companies be so consumed with the
that have been impossible until now: usage by day,       massive undertaking of installing millions of smart
season, time, or appliance, making it easier to          meters that they miss the opportunity to communi-
diagnose problems within a house and much more.          cate with residents?

The smart meter, with its ability to manage energy
remotely, brings us one step closer to making the
digital home a reality. Google and PayPal globally,
and Sky, O2, and Tesco in the United Kingdom,
envision a residence with a single device or system
that controls heating, lighting, programming,
security, diagnosis, and entertainment. These brands
are competing to own the heart of this new home.                                                               O2 is making a bid to own the heart of
                                                                                                               the home with its O2 Joggler—you can
Therein lies the threat and opportunity for energy                                                             watch videos, check the weather, text
companies: Smart meters have displays that sit on                                                              friends, and more.
kitchen countertops or in living rooms. They are the
means by which people will monitor and eventually
control the heating and lighting in their homes. As
a marketer, wouldn’t you love to have access to
a wireless, Internet-enabled, updatable touch screen
to communicate with your customers — and, better
yet, have it paid for by the government?

Right now, energy brands enjoy little equity or
loyalty from consumers. They are best liked when
they aren’t attracting attention. If they want to play
a larger role in the development of the digital home,
they will have to put significant effort into areas
familiar to marketers: relationship building, innova-
tion, customer service, delight and surprise, and
value adding. Not only is this new territory for most
energy brands to navigate, it will be desperately
difficult for them to succeed in wooing customers,
given the low base they start from. To make matters




                                                                                                                                        Landor Associates 13
Marketing trends in the Middle East
   by Aneesh Sharma

   Aneesh Sharma is brand strategist in      Although growth may not be as rapid and unbridled        to thrive. Telecom companies Du in the UAE and
   the Dubai office of Landor Associates.    as in past years, the Middle East, with its half         the Kuwait-based Zain, as well as Aramex (the
   He writes about brands and marketing      a billion consumers, is still a thriving market. Great   Jordanian version of FedEx), are giving global
   in the Middle East for Landor’s blog.     opportunities lie not only in Saudi Arabia but also      players a run for their money causing them to
                                             in Syria, Iraq, and North Africa, especially Libya       reexamine their regional strategies.
                                             and Algeria.
                                                                                                      What are the implications of these trends
                                             What can we expect to see in 2011?                       for brands?

                                             Woman power: Women exercise considerable                 Expect more brands to directly address women’s
                                             economic clout in the Arab world, both as members        issues and cater to their needs, particularly in the
                                             of the workforce and as business owners in their         health and fitness, financial service, and retail
                                             own right. It is estimated that women control more       industries. Mainstream brands will either spin
                                             than 40 percent of the private wealth in Saudi           off women’s divisions or develop completely new
                                             Arabia, the region’s largest economy. Expect to          brands managed by and for Middle Eastern women.
                                             see women-owned businesses grow in size and
                                             expand their reach across the Middle East.               Local brands will continue to grow in 2011 and
                                                                                                      move into nearby markets that Western brands
                                             Regional pride: Regional brands that couple              consider too risky politically.
   The Dubai supermarket Aswaaq offers       cultural relevance with global brand stature, high
   a sophisticated and extensive variety     quality, and unique product attributes will continue     Which brands will stand out?
   of products but has the feel of a local
   corner store.                                                                                      Global brands that have successfully localized
                                                                                                      and local brands that exude global confidence
                                                                                                      will stand out in the year to come.

                                                                                                      France 24: This relatively new kid on the media
                                                                                                      block is growing by leaps and bounds in the Middle
                                                                                                      East, mainly because of its push to regionalize
                                                                                                      content both linguistically and editorially.
                                                                                                      Homegrown news sources Al Arabiya and Al
                                                                                                      Jazeera will have to watch out.

                                                                                                      Air Arabia: The UAE-based budget carrier now
                                                                                                      operates three hubs, in Sharjah, Alexandria, and
                                                                                                      Casablanca, which connect regional cities to each
                                                                                                      other and to destinations in Europe, North Africa,
                                                                                                      Central Asia, and the Indian subcontinent.

                                                                                                      The burning question for 2011

                                                                                                      How will global brands prove their credentials to
                                                                                                      Middle Eastern consumers — with new products,
                                                                                                      brands, and tactics? Or simply by acquiring
                                                                                                      regional companies?




14 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in food
by Kristin James

What can we expect to see in 2011?                       The burning question for 2011                           Kristin James is senior marketing manager
                                                                                                                 in the New York office of Landor Associates.
The value shift currently under way will mean major      How will quick-service restaurants adapt to             She is a graduate of the Institute of Culinary
growth in the farm-to-table movement — especially        patrons who are concerned about where and               Education’s Pastry and Baking Arts program.
in the United States where consumers have long           how food is sourced and its impact on the
felt unconnected to the source of their food. In         immediate community?
the wake of the financial crisis, people want simple,
authentic experiences, and they want to under-
stand how their choices impact their immediate           We will see increased transparency about food
communities. It is very satisfying to buy locally        ingredients in the coming year. New York has banned
and feel that you know the person who grew your          trans fats in restaurant food and requires chain
lettuce or raised your beef.                             restaurants to list calorie counts. Smart food brands
                                                         will make this information available everywhere, not
Food has always been about family and community;         just where it’s mandated by law.
this is even more true today. Look for a surge in        —Sean King, design director, corporate
community and urban gardening and for retailers             communications
pushing locally grown products.

What are the implications of these trends
for brands?
                                                                                                                 Walmart’s direct farm program in China is
Brands will have to build in emotional meaning                                                                   giving millions of people access to quality,
beyond convenience or trend-driven claims. “Value”                                                               locally grown food.
no longer means price point, but refers to how
products benefit customers and improve their lives.

Not everyone has access to a good farmers’ market
or garden, but the underlying drivers for authenticity
and connection are something big brands can take
on. Walmart is doubling, and in some cases tripling,
the amount of locally sourced food it sells, and will
be stricter about how that food is grown. Given
Walmart’s size, ubiquity, and pricing, that means
many more people will have access to quality,
locally grown food.

Which brands will stand out?

Brands that connect and feel human will get
noticed. Marketers should understand that people
are still very intimidated by food and cooking, in
spite of (or maybe because of) the unprecedented
amount of information available. The food industry
could learn from new world winemakers, who
have taken a very intellectual industry and found
a way to connect with customers through down-
to-earth brand stories.




                                                                                                                                          Landor Associates 15
The globalization of Asian brands
  by Monica Au and Lulu Raghavan

   Monica Au is client managing director in        Monica Au on China                                       Meanwhile, many international brands are trying
   the Hong Kong office of Landor Associates.                                                               to adapt to local Chinese markets. As local brands
   She writes regularly about consumer             What can we expect to see in 2011?                       become more prominent, international brands’
   insights and branding in China.                                                                          competitive edge — and with it, their justification
                                                   Consumers around the world will lower their              for demanding premium prices — will further erode.
   Lulu Raghavan is country director in the        resistance to Chinese brands. Buying less
   Mumbai office of Landor Associates. She         expensive products is a smart choice these days,         On the road: Looking beyond Japan and Korea,
   has written many articles including a regular   and the worldwide economic downturn will allow           the world will turn to China to provide the next
   column for Hotel Management Asia.               Chinese brands that offer reasonable quality at          great value-added cars. At the 2009 motor show
                                                   reasonable prices to expand into global markets.         in Shanghai, 20 local brands launched alternative
   With contributions by                                                                                    energy cars that drew considerable attention;
   Melissa Parsey, senior client manager,          China will also have plenty of opportunity to            the government sees this as a major source of
   New York office                                 learn from the world’s best business practices,          investment for the future. Great Wall Motors is
                                                   as international firms continue to bring branding         already selling in Australia, Chery is running
                                                   knowledge, R&D capabilities, technologies, and           on the road in Central and South America, and
                                                   global management models with them into “the             Geely made headlines when it purchased Ford’s
                                                   Middle Kingdom.” China’s vast domestic market            Swedish Volvo unit.
                                                   will become more sophisticated, providing
                                                   a training ground for local brands to experiment         The burning question for 2011
                                                   and excel in their fields before going global.
                                                                                                            How will Chinese brands manage the transition
                                                   Made in China: Local brands adopting the look            to global markets?
                                                   and feel of international giants have had consider-
                                                   able success in China, giving them more money
                                                   to invest in branding. They also move at lightning
                                                   speed, quick to pick up where global competitors
                                                   fall short. Brands such as Nike 360 command such
                                                   status that it was little surprise to see local sports
                                                   brand 361 Degrees enter the market. Mimicking Nike’s
                                                   success, 361 Degrees rocketed from a small-scale
                                                   local operation to one of the largest sports brands
                                                   in the market over the past eight years.
   Tsingtao beer is one of the first globally
   recognized Chinese brands.




16 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Lulu Raghavan on India                                    The “frugal” or “reverse” style of innovation pioneered   Tata’s innovative Nano car will change
                                                          in India reduces product price to its lowest possible     the way thousands of middle-class
What can we expect to see in 2011?                        level, presenting a real threat to Western companies      families in India get around.
                                                          with much higher costs. Especially in countries
Mergers and acquisitions: Indian companies                where per capita income averages far below that
have found that purchasing established interna-           of the United States, this puts goods within reach
tional brands puts them on the fast track to global       of many more local and global consumers.
expansion. Tata’s acquisition of Jaguar Land Rover,
Wipro Consumer Care’s purchase of Yardley’s Asian         Tata’s Swach water purifier won the global ICIS
assets, and Megha Mittal’s takeover of Escada are         award in 2010 for most innovative product. Tata
all recent examples of successful buyouts. As India       Nano, “the people’s car,” will change mobility
Inc.’s pride and confidence in its performance             patterns for thousands of middle-class families
increase, expect to see more such acquisitions.           in the region and beyond, and D.light’s innovative
                                                          products provide high-quality, reliable electricity
Homegrown appeal: Global interest in Indian               solutions for the home.
design, craftsmanship, cuisine, and holistic lifestyles
will give homegrown brands a boost. Brands already        The burning question for 2011
established locally, such as Hidesign (leather
accessories), Sula (wine), Ganjam (high-end jewelry),     Do Indian companies have the global management
and Shahnaz Husain (ayurvedic beauty care), will          expertise to make their brands profitable in
focus on getting a foothold in European markets           overseas markets?
to spearhead international growth.

Purposeful innovation: The Boston Consulting
Group’s Innovation 2010 study suggests that mature
economies’ once unquestioned dominance in
innovation is fading and India, China, and Brazil
are poised to take over. The number of Indian
companies seen as top innovators is rising while
the number of American companies is declining.
What’s more, Indian brands are additionally showing
the world how social and corporate responsibility
can be deeply embedded in a business approach.




                                                                                                                                            Landor Associates 17
Trends in interactive entertainment
  by Frank Vial

   Frank Vial is strategy director in the       Interactive entertainment looks very different today    Digital delivery: Game companies will shift
   San Francisco office of Landor Associates.   than it did 10 years ago due to the spiraling cost      their delivery from one-time retail transactions
   Frank writes regularly for Landor’s blog     of producing games. The industry has gone through       to ongoing digital relationships. Alternative business
   and his article “A second honeymoon:         a period of contraction, with a small number of         models — such as offering games for
   Rekindling the romance with the Chinese      publishers — Electronic Arts, Activision, and           free, but selling upgrades, extras, and virtual
   consumer” is available on landor.com.        Ubisoft — bringing development houses on board.         goods — will attract new gamers and generate
                                                                                                        volume-based revenue.
   With contributions by                        By minimizing risk and maximizing shareholder
   Chris Pike, knowledge sharing applications   value, these companies have also effectively stifled    Virtual possibilities: Expect gaming to become
   developer; Sean King, design director of     creativity among blockbuster titles. They expect        an immersive, full-sensory experience, moving
   corporate communications; and Aaron          to lose money (or earn very little) on the majority     from narrow, linear story lines to expansive universes
   Burghard, designer                           of their releases, but make up for it through huge      with infinite possibilities. Platforms will
                                                margins on sequels to their most popular games.         be made increasingly open source to allow fans to
                                                If a niche title is an unexpected hit, publishers are   develop richer gaming worlds. Gesture recognition,
                                                quick to turn it into a series.                         force feedback technology, and augmented reality
                                                                                                        games will go mainstream.
                                                What can we expect to see in 2011?
                                                                                                        Mainstream audience: The definition of “gamer”
   The new Xbox Kinect bypasses a controller    Always on: Gaming will become an always-on,             will broaden to include both genders and all ages.
   and uses motion-sensing technology to        always-connected community. Expect Facebook             Nintendo’s Wii, which encourages active play and
   make games more active and appealing         to build its gaming capabilities, while gaming          interactivity, opened the door to the family living
   to the whole family.                         companies create their own social networks.             room; its handheld DS is marketed primarily as
                                                                                                        a teaching toy and boasts a line of tutoring games for
                                                                                                        kids. And the Xbox Kinect doesn’t require
                                                                                                        a controller at all, using motion-sensing technology
                                                                                                        to make games even more active and appeal to
                                                                                                        a broader range of interests than ever.

                                                                                                        Which brands will stand out?

                                                                                                        Category leader Electronic Arts will continue to
                                                                                                        push interactive entertainment in sports, fitness,
                                                                                                        education, and social gaming.

                                                                                                        Disney will use its acquisition of Playdom to push
                                                                                                        Disney, ESPN, and potentially Touchstone content
                                                                                                        into social gaming. Startup Zynga will continue
                                                                                                        to expand its portfolio.

                                                                                                        Leading consumer brands such as PepsiCo, and
                                                                                                        perhaps even business-to-business brands like
                                                                                                        IBM, will explore interactive edutainment as a way
                                                                                                        to connect with customers.

                                                                                                        The burning question for 2011

                                                                                                        How can gaming companies remain profitable
                                                                                                        while expanding their audiences and shifting
                                                                                                        to a direct-to-consumer business model?




18 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
Trends in brand management
by Felix Stöckle

Democratic branding: The rise of social media            I hope brand managers realize that they are in            Felix Stöckle is managing director in the
has catapulted marketing into an era of total            charge of the customer experience, rather than            Hamburg office of Landor Associates. His
transparency as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, and          relying on agencies to communicate their positioning.     current article, “How social media is
consumer blogs have made it possible for ordinary        They must find new ways to measure the efficacy of        changing the way brands are managed,”
consumers to communicate with millions of people         their brand’s experience and to embed great power         is available on landor.com.
they have never met. Before the digital era, brand       apps in all functions, from product innovation to
owners relied on paid advertising to control and         customer service.
spread their message. Today, digital word of mouth       — Frank Vial, strategy director, San Francisco office
allows uncontrolled brand communications to go
out to a massive global audience.                        We can expect to see more playfulness, consumer
                                                         creativity, and partner co-programming in brand
Social media conversations focus predominantly           management going forward, as well as more system
on brand delivery. People use these outlets to           innovation. The brands that will stand out in 2011 will
communicate and evaluate their personal experi-          be those that inspire and lead us, not just compete.
ences — and especially to share stories about            — Fiona Atzler, client director, New York office
how brands are delivering against their promise.
The bigger the gap between promise and delivery,
the louder their voices will be; and often, the
more sarcastic and cynical in tone. Ultimately,
the customer’s brand experience is what influences
peer impressions.

As a result, marketers will need to move away
from brand promise statements and toward brand
experience management, with more attention
given to how the intended experience is delivered,
monitored, and measured. This trend will continue
in 2011, especially as constant communication
through mobile devices becomes the norm. Expect
branding to become more democratized and
increasingly open source.

The open paradigm: A brand manager is now                 Customer buy-in                                                          Employee action
a facilitator who engages with a community of             drives business                               i                        transforms business
consumers to solicit their input. Successful brand
managers will provide consumers with tools that
encourage feedback, invite collaboration, and offer
possibilities for brand personalization. And they’ll
pay attention to what customers are telling them.

The brands that adapt best to this open paradigm — 
being authentic in the delivery and cocreation of
experiences — will win in the coming year. Those
that don’t will lose first relevance, then credibility,
and eventually sales and market share.




                                                                                                                                           Landor Associates 19
www.landor.com

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Landor’s 2011 trends forecast

  • 2. This PDF is designed to be printed double-sided to help you conserve paper. © 2010 Landor Associates. All rights reserved. Landor Associates is one of the world’s leading strategic brand consulting and design firms. Landor is part of WPP, one of the largest global communications services companies. Visit us at landor.com.
  • 3. Landor’s 2011 trends forecast Market trends and their impact on brands Over the past year, we’ve seen our world grow In the all-inclusive spirit of social media, we asked Trevor Wade is director of digital smaller and more transparent. People are a broad spectrum of Landor’s experts to comment marketing for Landor Associates and feeling empowered by social media: breaking on what they expect to see next year. Here, then, editor of Landor’s trends forecast. news on Twitter before it reaches major media are our predictions for 2011 on these timely topics: outlets, boldly critiquing products and experi- ences online, trusting word-of-mouth over • The search for purpose traditional marketing. Demonstrating sustain- • Design able practices has become the cost of entry for • Social media businesses and is no longer a differentiator in • Shopping behavior the marketplace. And the good a company does • Packaging within and for its community is beginning to • Sustainability have an impact on its bottom line. • Color direction • The petroleum industry In spite of a sobered financial consciousness, people • The energy industry are ready to be surprised and delighted again — not • Marketing in the Middle East by the flashy or the fancy, but by authentic brand • Food stories and personal connections. • The globalization of Asian brands • Interactive entertainment As public awareness of marketing, brands, and • Brand management design continues to grow, those in the business of selling have to work harder and smarter to earn the money consumers are spending so carefully. What will this mean for brands in 2011? Landor Associates 1
  • 4. The search for purpose by Scott Osman Scott Osman is global director of What can we expect to see in 2011? have already aligned their corporate social responsi- corporate social responsibility in the New bility practices with their brand management and York office of Landor Associates. Scott’s Social purpose as a business value is here to stay, communications teams — a big shift in corporate article “Citizenship branding” is available and in 2011 we can expect even more companies structure — and we can expect more of this trend. on landor.com. to acknowledge its importance. Brands will work Once they learn each other’s languages, these to identify the ways they can help society. Success disparate departments will benefit greatly from in the marketplace will require that companies be sharing ideas and resources. This internal reorgani- sustainable, committed, and authentic. zation will create value for companies at the same time it supports their social contributions. Studies such as Goodpurpose, by Edelman, and Corporate Purpose Impact 2010 from Burson- Which brands will stand out? Marsteller indicate overwhelmingly that when making decisions about what to buy, consumers Brands that find a way to express their values and now look at how a company operates, where its merge social purpose with brand promise will stand products come from and how they are made, and out. Almost all companies on the Forbes Global 2000 how it treats its employees. These factors may list are currently making significant social contribu- not drive every purchase, but more and more they tions, although they may not be communicating are impacting the bottom line. This fundamental this to the public. Making these actions known shift in consumer behavior is unlikely to reverse. will be just as important as espousing the values behind them. What are the implications of these trends for brands? In low-engagement categories, social purpose Method has enjoyed great success with provides a golden opportunity to create passionate, a business model that strives to develop As more “good” goods enter the market, brands relevant differentiation. Look for purpose-driven products using safe, sustainable materials will have to clearly define their social purpose and breakout brands to emerge in the financial service, and responsible manufacturing practices. make it central to their business. Many companies airline, education, and energy categories. Companies such as Method have inspired employees and captured the imagination of consumers with its naturally derived, biodegradable household cleaners. Studies show that CEOs are eager for their compa- nies to have purpose and that employees want to work for good companies. Now it’s time for middle managers, those most responsible for implementa- tion, to climb aboard. The burning question for 2011 Will middle management recognize and act on the importance of social purpose? © method 2 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 5. Trends in design by Paul Owen What can we expect to see in 2011? of functional, light-interface designs that optimize Paul Owen is executive creative director content navigation will grow on all screen-based in the New York office of Landor Associates. Innovation, influence marketing, and customer platforms. Novelty plays, such as invisible logos, Paul’s work has been recognized interna- experience were the business buzzwords of 2010. user-generated logos, and logos as containers, tionally with design awards including the Consumers no longer believe the smoke and mirrors have probably had their day, too. D&AD Pencil, PromaxBDA (gold and silver), of traditional marketing. Their trust must be earned One Show (gold), and a special accredita- on a daily basis. Never before has business collabo- Which brands will stand out? tion from the Art Directors Club, New York. rated so openly with consumers. We’ve learned that we can’t be smart, creative, or innovative without The buzzwords of 2011? Share, design, delight. sharing. And the early days of the twenty-first century Next year, I guarantee, the big brand stories will have provided an explosion of technological tools be developed around an ethical purpose through to optimize collaboration. a design-led, collaborative process. Here are four stories I’m keeping my eye on: It’s clear that the rules of brand design are funda- mentally changing. Success no longer depends • Redesigned license laws for sharing. Anything on consistency and adherence to strict brand produced under Creative Commons license guidelines, but on open, flexible, and innovative will be worth following. For more information: experience design that allows for nimble navigation creativecommons.org across changing marketplaces. There’s a new mantra for design: • Simple functional interface design leads, as proximity networking is set to go commercial ABOVE: New license laws from Creative Share=design=delight in 2011. For example: foursquare.com Commons are changing the way designers work and share ideas. Sharing leads to ideas. Ideas facilitate design, and • Content is king. The shape of TV will radically design transforms needs into demand. Design is the shift next year. Smaller personalized content BELOW: Location-based networking presents process that realizes the potential in collaboration. aggregators are the ones to watch. For new opportunities for interface design. Design provides the divergent exploration of a shared example: devour.com thought and then the rigorous, convergent focus to deliver something useful or meaningful—and if it’s • Ethical design thinking and business leadership spot on, something absolutely delightful. from “B corporations”—defined as socially responsible businesses that are required to What are the implications of these trends? consider the interests of societal stakeholders such as employees, communities, and the Design is having a positive effect on business environment. For more information: processes. As more and more companies realize bcorporation.net that their Six Sigma processes aren’t giving them sought-after results, they are turning to design thinking to uncover more meaningful solutions. Awareness of design among the general population is at an all-time high. We will see increased interaction Corporate responsibility will play a much larger role between designers and consumers in the coming year. as many market-leading brands realign their business Tropicana and the Gap are just the beginning. Smart strategies to values over value. With this growing brands, knowing that design is a major means of conscience comes the responsibility for design to connecting with audiences, will introduce new deliver sustainable solutions that focus on the right elements as adroitly as possible. balance of ethics, form, and function. Poor design —Sean King, design director, corporate has ended up in enough landfills. communications Online design is dropping flash, splash, and animated extras. With the rise of mobile connectivity, the power Landor Associates 3
  • 6. Location-based services will move toward tailoring suggestions, information, and offers to a user’s current whereabouts for a highly personalized and rewarding digital experience. 4 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 7. Trends in social media by Alex Do What can we expect to see in 2011? What are the implications of these trends Alex Do is director of digital branding in the for brands? San Francisco office of Landor Associates. Curated content: In 2011, social network users His article about open-source branding is will become more discriminating about the content Earn a place in the stream. Brands will have to available on landor.com. in their streams. Nonstop content and promotions earn their way into people’s streams with meaningful from brands can be overwhelming and annoying; content and, better yet, rewards. If their content users are starting to hide brand updates, filter is truly compelling, it’ll get noticed and “liked,” friends, and prioritize content. generating comments and re-tweets. Smart brand managers will focus on the story line, engaging Social commerce and group buying: Tapping customers in relevant dialogue and providing friends for recommendations, posting deals on platforms for customer expression. a network, and following the picks of celebrities can make shopping easier and more enjoyable. People Reimagine the storefront. Brands will need to are more willing to share purchase information if augment and extend their e-commerce offerings. there’s something it in for them, such as discounts, More brands and merchants will develop shopping trendsetter status, or the cool factor. apps inside existing social platforms. Delta Air Lines now lets travelers book flights from its Group buying through sites such as Groupon, Facebook fan page. LivingSocial, YouSwoop, and Scoutmob will continue to thrive in 2011. New players include Redesign the mobile experience. More and more Wow, The Knot, and Walmart’s CrowdSaver, set interaction will take place via mobile devices. The to offer an 18 percent discount on plasma TVs mobile phone design interface needs to accommo- when the product gets more than 5,000 “likes.” date this shift. Mobile use of social media alters how people interact with platforms and the way Niche markets: In 2010 location-based services that brands engage customers. including Foursquare, Gowalla, and Facebook Places picked up users and garnered a lot of media attention. But many users tired of checking in Social media provides an enormous opportunity to places without a payoff beyond earning badges to craft brand voice and add value by linking brands or becoming “mayor.” In 2011 location-based to the right people at the right time, with messages services will move toward tailoring suggestions, they will want to share. information, and offers to a user’s current where- —Melissa Parsey, senior client manager, abouts for a highly personalized and rewarding New York office digital experience. Expect group-buying sites such as Xtify’s geo-location technology will allow brands Groupon (featured above) to become to target their users with messages and calls to more popular. action specific to where they are and where they’ve been. Shopkick describes itself as the first mobile app to reward consumers simply for walking into a store and scanning product bar codes with their phones. Best Buy, American Eagle Outfitters, Sports Authority, and Facebook have already adopted Shopkick. Other platforms such as Foodspotting appeal to the foodie niche. Landor Associates 5
  • 8. Trends in shopping behavior by John Matthews John Matthews is director of strategy We all hope that the global recovery will gain Real value: The retail sector rocked most by the in the Sydney office of Landor Associates. strength in 2011. Here in Australia, online sales figures recession was that broad blur of “masstige” and His current article, “One playful idea,” show that strong economies are looking to weaker “new luxury.” Suddenly, paying premium prices for is available on landor.com. ones (in our case, to America) as a fertile source of average products with flashy logos made consumers bargains. Consumers learned their lesson from the look dumb rather than rich. In 2011 shoppers financial crisis and will proceed with caution. Their will search for ruggedness, longevity, reliability, behavior is likely to remain volatile, fluctuating and real ingredients. Using old-fashioned materials between bursts of optimism and pessimism. in apparel represents value and emotional security in a very tangible way, as seen in Nike’s Harris Green versus lean: Sustainable consumption Tweed sneakers. was already growing prior to the economic crisis. But in 2011 we’ll see a slight shift as consumers buy Real stories: At the same time that shoppers fewer new products, opting instead for refills and found their security shaken and their disposable recycling. Rather than paying a premium for green, income decimated, they were also bombarded with shoppers will demand that all brands become novelty. The movement of brands into digital and more ecofriendly. social media generated odd, attention-seeking strategies that seemed to have little or no link to Real places: Country-of-origin brands are likely what products actually did, such as the Vegemite to become a greater force in retail. Origins will variant rechristened iSnack 2.0. (Don’t expect Consumers will seek out ruggedness, be a big part of food retailing; traceability down to find it on shelves today!) Brands must first look longevity, and old-fashioned materials, such the length of the supply chain will give brands at the functionality that differentiates them, then as those found in Nike’s Air Royal Harris an opportunity to differentiate. Wherever they express their essence through authentic stories Tweed sneakers. can, brands will connect us to the source. and ideas that ring true with customers. The burning question for 2011: Will shoppers return to their old ways, or will the hangover of recession create long-term changes in buying behavior? Expect to see brands trying disruption tactics to combat “autopilot shopping,” especially for low-involvement fast-moving consumer goods. —Fiona Atzler, client director, New York office More consumers will shift away from traditional retail toward digital retailing. —Robin Thompson, brand strategist, New York office Although private label brands are gaining popularity in the U.S., they have not approached the level of acceptance seen in Europe. In 2011, U.S. retailers will continue to borrow private label strategies from progressive retailers from across the pond such as Tesco and Marks & Spencer. —Samar Birwadker, senior insights manager, San Francisco office 6 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 9. Trends in packaging by Wendy Hunt and Anne Reid In 2011, expect packaging to become more sustain- in areas affected by disaster. In New Orleans Wendy Hunt is client director in the Cincinnati able, incorporate recent technological advances, following Hurricane Katrina, the Procter & Gamble- office of Landor Associates, working with and feed into consumers’ desire for their purchases sponsored initiative washed almost 14,000 loads of multiple Procter & Gamble brands. to serve a greater purpose. laundry for 11,000 families. Anne Reid is senior director of design Bells and whistles: Modern consumers are The burning question for 2011 realization in the Cincinnati office of Landor shopping experts who spend mere seconds making Associates. She has a particular interest purchase decisions. Especially in supermarkets, The challenge will be finding ways to do more in sustainable packaging. packaging must work hard to tempt shoppers into with less — reducing waste, using fewer natural trying new products. Revolutionary technologies resources, and cutting down transport distance— With contributions by such as thin film and printed batteries can have while using packaging to communicate brand Anna Singh, client manager, Cincinnati office a phenomenal impact at the first moment of truth, promise and the actions that back it up. adding light, sound, and movement to packaging. Sound chips can deliver promotional messages from store shelves; paper-thin video screens can demonstrate product use. The first brands to adopt The Tide Loads of Hope program gives these cutting-edge strategies are sure to make back to the community in an on-brand way a splash in the crowded marketplace. by providing laundry services to families affected by disaster. Reusable: After noticing the product (first moment of truth) and reading the product label (second), there is now a third moment of truth for consumers: reusing packaging. More brands will make this possible, banking on the cool factor to extend brand message beyond the life of the product. Burt’s Bees, whose natural body care line already appeals to environmentally conscious customers, now provides reusable carrying cases for its lip balm. Sustainable: More companies will pledge to lessen their impact on the environment and look for innovative ways to do so. Paper Mate recently introduced biodegradable pens with compostable outer shells that break down into organic matter within a year. Following a more traditional route, Kraft Foods plans to reduce its carbon footprint in 2011 by decreasing waste from its plants, elimin- ating 150 million pounds of packaging material, and cutting CO2 emissions by 25 percent. Purposeful: To remain relevant in 2011, brands must stand for something and align their brand promise with the good they do — and convey both through their packaging. The Tide Loads of Hope program and its corresponding limited- edition detergent give back to the community in an on-brand way: by providing laundry facilities Landor Associates 7
  • 10. More and more consumers look at facts and figures about product ingredients and environmental impact before they buy. 8 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 11. Trends in sustainability by Russ Meyer What can we expect to see in 2011? green brands are niche players such as Tom’s of Russ Meyer is chief strategy officer Maine and Seventh Generation. Landor’s annual of Landor Associates. His article “Five As we continue to emerge from the worst economic ImagePower® Green Brands Survey shows that reasons not to have a green brand (and conditions since the Great Depression, consumers consumers think of corporate brands such as why those reasons are wrong)” is available will remain shell-shocked. Perhaps the greatest Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Walmart, and General on landor.com. advance in sustainability over the last three years Electric as more sustainable than their product has been the global decline in consumption. When brands. The challenge for corporate brands is to find consumers do buy, they are more thoughtful, ways of extending this green halo onto their product considering not just where and how products are and service brands. created, but whether they really need them at all. I believe this is the beginning of a long-term shift Electric cars are poised for plenty of press attention in purchase behavior, moving from wanton, in 2011, a significant year for the car market, when willy-nilly buying sprees into a more considered three electric cars will all be available in the United approach to consumption. States: Chevy Volt, Nissan Leaf, and Tesla. What is the implication of this for brands? The burning question for 2011 Brands have two challenges. The first is to convince How can we achieve a balance between reducing consumers that their product or service will make consumption of resources and encouraging a noticeable difference in consumers’ lives and consumers to purchase sustainable products? that they are worthy of being purchased. They must make their functional benefits overt and apparent. Consumers will no longer be willing to try out sustainable products just for their green- ness — brands must differentiate themselves in other ways, too. In these days of cautious consumerism, products have to prove superior functionality or risk remaining on the shelf. The second challenge for sustainable brands is to be specific about their green claims. Gone are the days of fuzzy, friendly labels like “natural.” Since 2005, we’ve seen a major increase in consumers’ understanding of sustainability. Smart consumers now look for facts and figures detailing which chemicals their cleaning products contain, how much energy is used to create and transport a piece of furniture, and the true carbon footprint of a pair of sneakers. If brands can’t provide this hard data, consumers will turn to sources like the GoodGuide and other champions of transparency to learn the truth. Which brands will stand out? Despite the ongoing interest in sustainability, few mainstream consumer brands have smoothly incorporated this attribute into their brand promise and image. Clorox Green Works aside, the best-known Landor Associates 9
  • 12. Trends in color direction by Jack Bredenfoerder Jack Bredenfoerder is design director in Color trends are fleeting and ephemeral; color Finally, purples will move away from recent the Cincinnati office of Landor Associates. connections, told through compelling design stories mauve hues and come alive with the influence He is internationally recognized as a color that speak to the consumer’s heart, mind, and soul, of fire. They are like the colors seen deep under authority and served as president of the are the future of color direction. smoldering coals — a bright glimpse at the joy Color Marketing Group in 2007 and 2008. of the future. Fire will also pull navy into a deep, What can we expect to see in 2011? royal blue purple. The color design story for 2011 is an inspiring tale The coming year will challenge brands to set of fire and passion. The world is in a period of themselves on fire with passion. The brands that accelerated change — a fire building across our come alive with honest, intense warmth and globe as we move in a new direction with renewed understanding will succeed in attracting customers energy. Fiery red passion is surfacing as the main to their tribal fire. concept that will fuel the colors and design ideas of 2011. In India, fire is seen as a cleanser and purifier; it prepares the world for new beginnings. Fire clears away the clutter and brings the possibility of a phoenix to rise from its ashes. A single flame is a symbol of hope; a bonfire is a community celebration of commitment to achieving new goals. Fire-inspired reds, oranges, and ambers are the fireworks of 2011. These hot divas will burst forth with the power, energy, and passion necessary to bring fresh excitement. Lighter golden browns represent the natural comforting luxuries enjoyed by the fire. Think of cashmere, almonds, fine scotch, and aged tobacco. The long-term global blue cycle will continue to develop. Bright, clean blues still symbolize hope for a unified planet. But in 2011, the blues will be more aquatic; their watery presence will balance the fire colors. Greens will be layered and reminiscent of the forest floor after firewood is collected. In this spectrum of soft hues we find natural, new beginnings. Charcoal, smoke, and ash will inspire soft whispers of color. Graphite black will celebrate the new Nobel Prize-winning compound graphene, a super-strong but light carbon that is expected to change the future of humankind. 10 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 13. Landor color direction Passionate fire Fire Comforting luxuries Fire PANTONE® C Red hot PANTONE C Spark PANTONE C Burn baby burn PANTONE C Candlelight PANTONE C Glow PANTONE C © Landor Associates Warmth PANTONE C Kiss PANTONE C © Getty Images Cuddle PANTONE C Water planet Forest floor Wine cork PANTONE C Camel hair PANTONE C Tobacco PANTONE C Scotch PANTONE C Smoked almond PANTONE C Reflection PANTONE C Mist PANTONE C H OMG! PANTONE C Oceanic PANTONE C Blue planet PANTONE C Deepwater PANTONE C Blue lichen PANTONE C © Getty Images Lamb ears PANTONE C © Landor Associates New leaf PANTONE C Sprout PANTONE C Smoke and ash Glowing embers Moss PANTONE C Frog PANTONE C White ash PANTONE Warm Gray C Wisp PANTONE C Fire brick PANTONE C Smoke cloud PANTONE C Organic ash PANTONE C Graphene PANTONE C Charcoal PANTONE C Burnout PANTONE C Warm thoughts PANTONE C Passion PANTONE C © Getty Images Ember PANTONE C © Landor Associates Imagination PANTONE C Colors by Jack Bredenfoerder Forecast color information provided by Landor. PANTONE® Colors displayed may not © Landor Associates match PANTONE-identified standards. Consult current PANTONE Color Publications for accurate color. Pantone trademarks and copyrights are the property of, and are used with the written permission of, Pantone LLC. Portions © Pantone LLC, 2010. All rights reserved. Landor Associates 11
  • 14. Trends in the petroleum industry by Andrew Welch Andrew Welch is executive director in the The Macondo well disaster in the Gulf of Mexico such as governmental affiliations, operating licenses, London office of Landor Associates. His has been well documented, as has the public corporate culture, transparency, and communication. recent article on transforming the customer outcry in its wake. What remains to be seen is experience is available on landor.com. the impact it will have on oil company operations Safety first, second, and third: Operational in the future. integrity and safety, always central issues for petroleum companies, will become the primary Rising costs, risks . . . and rewards: Access to oil factors in all commercial, operational, and strategic reserves remains difficult and treacherous, whether decisions. In the future, a petroleum company’s they’re deep under the ocean bed or in the equally success may be determined less by the conventional inaccessible terrains of Russia and the Middle East. metrics of profit, market share, and capital invest- There’s been talk of requiring oil companies to ment than by the nontraditional ones of employee set up prefunded contingency plans to deal with behavior and corporate responsibility. potential disasters. Even so, there will still be big money to be made in Big Oil. Emerging economies Reassessing the value of values: Big Oil company have an insatiable appetite for oil; China’s use culture, often the amalgam of disparate acquisitions alone is up 20 percent this year. and inherited operating principles, will find that lip service to brand values is no longer adequate. Eye of the storm: Petroleum companies will A clear, uncompromising set of standards for action also face unrelenting public scrutiny and renewed and accountability will be required both of oil Heavy machinery removes oil-contaminated hostility. The debate over Big Oil and the environ- companies and of the local partners that operate sands following the Macondo disaster. ment will be joined by other controversial issues on their behalf. Unified but not uniform: Centralized, monolithic operations may give way to a more agile and locally relevant approach, unified by a common purpose. As many natural energy resources are found in challenging environments, international oil compa- nies will succeed only by building high-quality, durable relationships with local governments and business partners. This will be especially true in emerging economies where officials are unlikely to cede control to oil companies’ American or European headquarters. Small is beautiful: Going forward, combining local sensitivity and flexible management with global know-how and capital will be the preferred operating model for oil companies. Perhaps in 2011 Big Oil will begin to think, act, and function more like Smaller Oil. 12 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 15. Trends in the energy industry by Ian Wood The consumer energy business is facing a rare even more challenging, they will be competing Ian Wood is executive director in the challenge — and opportunity. In order to reduce against some of the most powerful, stretchable London office of Landor Associates. His carbon output, a number of governments across brands in the world. article “Don’t chicken out of innovation” the globe are mandating the placement of smart is available on landor.com. meters in all households. In the United Kingdom The winner, however, becomes the gatekeeper to alone, that amounts to about 20 million homes. all energy devices in consumers’ homes, and the prize is massive: constant, free brand communica- Smart meters, like the non-smart variety, measure tion and reinforcement. energy usage. But they are also capable of communi- cating with an energy supplier and with other The burning question for 2011 household devices. The information is delivered in real time and can be analyzed in a multitude of ways Will energy companies be so consumed with the that have been impossible until now: usage by day, massive undertaking of installing millions of smart season, time, or appliance, making it easier to meters that they miss the opportunity to communi- diagnose problems within a house and much more. cate with residents? The smart meter, with its ability to manage energy remotely, brings us one step closer to making the digital home a reality. Google and PayPal globally, and Sky, O2, and Tesco in the United Kingdom, envision a residence with a single device or system that controls heating, lighting, programming, security, diagnosis, and entertainment. These brands are competing to own the heart of this new home. O2 is making a bid to own the heart of the home with its O2 Joggler—you can Therein lies the threat and opportunity for energy watch videos, check the weather, text companies: Smart meters have displays that sit on friends, and more. kitchen countertops or in living rooms. They are the means by which people will monitor and eventually control the heating and lighting in their homes. As a marketer, wouldn’t you love to have access to a wireless, Internet-enabled, updatable touch screen to communicate with your customers — and, better yet, have it paid for by the government? Right now, energy brands enjoy little equity or loyalty from consumers. They are best liked when they aren’t attracting attention. If they want to play a larger role in the development of the digital home, they will have to put significant effort into areas familiar to marketers: relationship building, innova- tion, customer service, delight and surprise, and value adding. Not only is this new territory for most energy brands to navigate, it will be desperately difficult for them to succeed in wooing customers, given the low base they start from. To make matters Landor Associates 13
  • 16. Marketing trends in the Middle East by Aneesh Sharma Aneesh Sharma is brand strategist in Although growth may not be as rapid and unbridled to thrive. Telecom companies Du in the UAE and the Dubai office of Landor Associates. as in past years, the Middle East, with its half the Kuwait-based Zain, as well as Aramex (the He writes about brands and marketing a billion consumers, is still a thriving market. Great Jordanian version of FedEx), are giving global in the Middle East for Landor’s blog. opportunities lie not only in Saudi Arabia but also players a run for their money causing them to in Syria, Iraq, and North Africa, especially Libya reexamine their regional strategies. and Algeria. What are the implications of these trends What can we expect to see in 2011? for brands? Woman power: Women exercise considerable Expect more brands to directly address women’s economic clout in the Arab world, both as members issues and cater to their needs, particularly in the of the workforce and as business owners in their health and fitness, financial service, and retail own right. It is estimated that women control more industries. Mainstream brands will either spin than 40 percent of the private wealth in Saudi off women’s divisions or develop completely new Arabia, the region’s largest economy. Expect to brands managed by and for Middle Eastern women. see women-owned businesses grow in size and expand their reach across the Middle East. Local brands will continue to grow in 2011 and move into nearby markets that Western brands Regional pride: Regional brands that couple consider too risky politically. The Dubai supermarket Aswaaq offers cultural relevance with global brand stature, high a sophisticated and extensive variety quality, and unique product attributes will continue Which brands will stand out? of products but has the feel of a local corner store. Global brands that have successfully localized and local brands that exude global confidence will stand out in the year to come. France 24: This relatively new kid on the media block is growing by leaps and bounds in the Middle East, mainly because of its push to regionalize content both linguistically and editorially. Homegrown news sources Al Arabiya and Al Jazeera will have to watch out. Air Arabia: The UAE-based budget carrier now operates three hubs, in Sharjah, Alexandria, and Casablanca, which connect regional cities to each other and to destinations in Europe, North Africa, Central Asia, and the Indian subcontinent. The burning question for 2011 How will global brands prove their credentials to Middle Eastern consumers — with new products, brands, and tactics? Or simply by acquiring regional companies? 14 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 17. Trends in food by Kristin James What can we expect to see in 2011? The burning question for 2011 Kristin James is senior marketing manager in the New York office of Landor Associates. The value shift currently under way will mean major How will quick-service restaurants adapt to She is a graduate of the Institute of Culinary growth in the farm-to-table movement — especially patrons who are concerned about where and Education’s Pastry and Baking Arts program. in the United States where consumers have long how food is sourced and its impact on the felt unconnected to the source of their food. In immediate community? the wake of the financial crisis, people want simple, authentic experiences, and they want to under- stand how their choices impact their immediate We will see increased transparency about food communities. It is very satisfying to buy locally ingredients in the coming year. New York has banned and feel that you know the person who grew your trans fats in restaurant food and requires chain lettuce or raised your beef. restaurants to list calorie counts. Smart food brands will make this information available everywhere, not Food has always been about family and community; just where it’s mandated by law. this is even more true today. Look for a surge in —Sean King, design director, corporate community and urban gardening and for retailers communications pushing locally grown products. What are the implications of these trends for brands? Walmart’s direct farm program in China is Brands will have to build in emotional meaning giving millions of people access to quality, beyond convenience or trend-driven claims. “Value” locally grown food. no longer means price point, but refers to how products benefit customers and improve their lives. Not everyone has access to a good farmers’ market or garden, but the underlying drivers for authenticity and connection are something big brands can take on. Walmart is doubling, and in some cases tripling, the amount of locally sourced food it sells, and will be stricter about how that food is grown. Given Walmart’s size, ubiquity, and pricing, that means many more people will have access to quality, locally grown food. Which brands will stand out? Brands that connect and feel human will get noticed. Marketers should understand that people are still very intimidated by food and cooking, in spite of (or maybe because of) the unprecedented amount of information available. The food industry could learn from new world winemakers, who have taken a very intellectual industry and found a way to connect with customers through down- to-earth brand stories. Landor Associates 15
  • 18. The globalization of Asian brands by Monica Au and Lulu Raghavan Monica Au is client managing director in Monica Au on China Meanwhile, many international brands are trying the Hong Kong office of Landor Associates. to adapt to local Chinese markets. As local brands She writes regularly about consumer What can we expect to see in 2011? become more prominent, international brands’ insights and branding in China. competitive edge — and with it, their justification Consumers around the world will lower their for demanding premium prices — will further erode. Lulu Raghavan is country director in the resistance to Chinese brands. Buying less Mumbai office of Landor Associates. She expensive products is a smart choice these days, On the road: Looking beyond Japan and Korea, has written many articles including a regular and the worldwide economic downturn will allow the world will turn to China to provide the next column for Hotel Management Asia. Chinese brands that offer reasonable quality at great value-added cars. At the 2009 motor show reasonable prices to expand into global markets. in Shanghai, 20 local brands launched alternative With contributions by energy cars that drew considerable attention; Melissa Parsey, senior client manager, China will also have plenty of opportunity to the government sees this as a major source of New York office learn from the world’s best business practices, investment for the future. Great Wall Motors is as international firms continue to bring branding already selling in Australia, Chery is running knowledge, R&D capabilities, technologies, and on the road in Central and South America, and global management models with them into “the Geely made headlines when it purchased Ford’s Middle Kingdom.” China’s vast domestic market Swedish Volvo unit. will become more sophisticated, providing a training ground for local brands to experiment The burning question for 2011 and excel in their fields before going global. How will Chinese brands manage the transition Made in China: Local brands adopting the look to global markets? and feel of international giants have had consider- able success in China, giving them more money to invest in branding. They also move at lightning speed, quick to pick up where global competitors fall short. Brands such as Nike 360 command such status that it was little surprise to see local sports brand 361 Degrees enter the market. Mimicking Nike’s success, 361 Degrees rocketed from a small-scale local operation to one of the largest sports brands in the market over the past eight years. Tsingtao beer is one of the first globally recognized Chinese brands. 16 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 19. Lulu Raghavan on India The “frugal” or “reverse” style of innovation pioneered Tata’s innovative Nano car will change in India reduces product price to its lowest possible the way thousands of middle-class What can we expect to see in 2011? level, presenting a real threat to Western companies families in India get around. with much higher costs. Especially in countries Mergers and acquisitions: Indian companies where per capita income averages far below that have found that purchasing established interna- of the United States, this puts goods within reach tional brands puts them on the fast track to global of many more local and global consumers. expansion. Tata’s acquisition of Jaguar Land Rover, Wipro Consumer Care’s purchase of Yardley’s Asian Tata’s Swach water purifier won the global ICIS assets, and Megha Mittal’s takeover of Escada are award in 2010 for most innovative product. Tata all recent examples of successful buyouts. As India Nano, “the people’s car,” will change mobility Inc.’s pride and confidence in its performance patterns for thousands of middle-class families increase, expect to see more such acquisitions. in the region and beyond, and D.light’s innovative products provide high-quality, reliable electricity Homegrown appeal: Global interest in Indian solutions for the home. design, craftsmanship, cuisine, and holistic lifestyles will give homegrown brands a boost. Brands already The burning question for 2011 established locally, such as Hidesign (leather accessories), Sula (wine), Ganjam (high-end jewelry), Do Indian companies have the global management and Shahnaz Husain (ayurvedic beauty care), will expertise to make their brands profitable in focus on getting a foothold in European markets overseas markets? to spearhead international growth. Purposeful innovation: The Boston Consulting Group’s Innovation 2010 study suggests that mature economies’ once unquestioned dominance in innovation is fading and India, China, and Brazil are poised to take over. The number of Indian companies seen as top innovators is rising while the number of American companies is declining. What’s more, Indian brands are additionally showing the world how social and corporate responsibility can be deeply embedded in a business approach. Landor Associates 17
  • 20. Trends in interactive entertainment by Frank Vial Frank Vial is strategy director in the Interactive entertainment looks very different today Digital delivery: Game companies will shift San Francisco office of Landor Associates. than it did 10 years ago due to the spiraling cost their delivery from one-time retail transactions Frank writes regularly for Landor’s blog of producing games. The industry has gone through to ongoing digital relationships. Alternative business and his article “A second honeymoon: a period of contraction, with a small number of models — such as offering games for Rekindling the romance with the Chinese publishers — Electronic Arts, Activision, and free, but selling upgrades, extras, and virtual consumer” is available on landor.com. Ubisoft — bringing development houses on board. goods — will attract new gamers and generate volume-based revenue. With contributions by By minimizing risk and maximizing shareholder Chris Pike, knowledge sharing applications value, these companies have also effectively stifled Virtual possibilities: Expect gaming to become developer; Sean King, design director of creativity among blockbuster titles. They expect an immersive, full-sensory experience, moving corporate communications; and Aaron to lose money (or earn very little) on the majority from narrow, linear story lines to expansive universes Burghard, designer of their releases, but make up for it through huge with infinite possibilities. Platforms will margins on sequels to their most popular games. be made increasingly open source to allow fans to If a niche title is an unexpected hit, publishers are develop richer gaming worlds. Gesture recognition, quick to turn it into a series. force feedback technology, and augmented reality games will go mainstream. What can we expect to see in 2011? Mainstream audience: The definition of “gamer” The new Xbox Kinect bypasses a controller Always on: Gaming will become an always-on, will broaden to include both genders and all ages. and uses motion-sensing technology to always-connected community. Expect Facebook Nintendo’s Wii, which encourages active play and make games more active and appealing to build its gaming capabilities, while gaming interactivity, opened the door to the family living to the whole family. companies create their own social networks. room; its handheld DS is marketed primarily as a teaching toy and boasts a line of tutoring games for kids. And the Xbox Kinect doesn’t require a controller at all, using motion-sensing technology to make games even more active and appeal to a broader range of interests than ever. Which brands will stand out? Category leader Electronic Arts will continue to push interactive entertainment in sports, fitness, education, and social gaming. Disney will use its acquisition of Playdom to push Disney, ESPN, and potentially Touchstone content into social gaming. Startup Zynga will continue to expand its portfolio. Leading consumer brands such as PepsiCo, and perhaps even business-to-business brands like IBM, will explore interactive edutainment as a way to connect with customers. The burning question for 2011 How can gaming companies remain profitable while expanding their audiences and shifting to a direct-to-consumer business model? 18 Landor’s 2011 trends forecast
  • 21. Trends in brand management by Felix Stöckle Democratic branding: The rise of social media I hope brand managers realize that they are in Felix Stöckle is managing director in the has catapulted marketing into an era of total charge of the customer experience, rather than Hamburg office of Landor Associates. His transparency as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, and relying on agencies to communicate their positioning. current article, “How social media is consumer blogs have made it possible for ordinary They must find new ways to measure the efficacy of changing the way brands are managed,” consumers to communicate with millions of people their brand’s experience and to embed great power is available on landor.com. they have never met. Before the digital era, brand apps in all functions, from product innovation to owners relied on paid advertising to control and customer service. spread their message. Today, digital word of mouth — Frank Vial, strategy director, San Francisco office allows uncontrolled brand communications to go out to a massive global audience. We can expect to see more playfulness, consumer creativity, and partner co-programming in brand Social media conversations focus predominantly management going forward, as well as more system on brand delivery. People use these outlets to innovation. The brands that will stand out in 2011 will communicate and evaluate their personal experi- be those that inspire and lead us, not just compete. ences — and especially to share stories about — Fiona Atzler, client director, New York office how brands are delivering against their promise. The bigger the gap between promise and delivery, the louder their voices will be; and often, the more sarcastic and cynical in tone. Ultimately, the customer’s brand experience is what influences peer impressions. As a result, marketers will need to move away from brand promise statements and toward brand experience management, with more attention given to how the intended experience is delivered, monitored, and measured. This trend will continue in 2011, especially as constant communication through mobile devices becomes the norm. Expect branding to become more democratized and increasingly open source. The open paradigm: A brand manager is now Customer buy-in Employee action a facilitator who engages with a community of drives business i transforms business consumers to solicit their input. Successful brand managers will provide consumers with tools that encourage feedback, invite collaboration, and offer possibilities for brand personalization. And they’ll pay attention to what customers are telling them. The brands that adapt best to this open paradigm —  being authentic in the delivery and cocreation of experiences — will win in the coming year. Those that don’t will lose first relevance, then credibility, and eventually sales and market share. Landor Associates 19
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