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NACS/BALVOR SKU RATIONALIZATION SURVEY

                                                                                  May 2010




             Retail Participant Summary


                                                                      117 South Cook Street #339
                                                                        Barrington, Illinois 60010
                                                                             phone: 847.722.2732
                                                                                 fax: 847.382.1801
                  Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.    davidbishop@balvor.com
Retailers completed the online survey between
                            2/25/10 and 3/1/10

                                                Number of Stores Operated
                                                     (Percent of Respondents)



                                                          500+ Stores,
                                                             10.5%
                           201 - 500 Stores, 9.8%


                                                                             1 - 10 Stores, 30.1%

                                             51 - 200 Stores,
                                                  15.8%


                                                                     11 - 50 Stores, 33.8%




Q: How many store do you currently operate? (n=133)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.   2
While 30 percent of convenience retailers offer more than
     4,000 SKU per store, the average is just over 3,000

                                    Average Number of SKUs Offered Per Store
                                                        (Percent of Respondents)
                                                                                                                                           22.9%

 Weighted Average based on store count
                                                                                     19.1%
                           3,011

                                                                                                           15.5%
                                                               14.5%
                                           12.6%


                                                                                                                         8.5%
                         6.6%




      0.3%

 1,000 or Less 1,001 to 1,500 1,501 to 2,000 2,001 to 2,500 2,501 to 3,000 3,001 to 3,500 3,501 to 4,000 4,001 or More

Q: How many unique products does/do your store(s) carry on average across all categories sold inside the store, at any point in time? (n=133)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                       Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                           3
Over 70 percent of the retailers indicated that the number of
    products offered has increased over the last 5 years

                                 Change in SKU Counts Offered Inside the Store
                                                        (Percent of Respondents)
                                                                                Don't Know, 1.5%


                                                             Remained
                                                             the Same,
                                                               12.0%



                                               Decreased, 14.3%


                                                                                      Increased, 72.2%




Q: Over the last five (5) years, on a per store basis, the number of products/SKUs offered has…? (n=133)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                        Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.   4
RETAILER PERSPECTIVE

 Given convenience retail is not the same as big-box retailing, find out what “SKU
 rationalization” means to convenience retailers. And, even though convenience is different,
 learn how convenience retailers are likely to handle freed up space if they did end up
 discontinuing products. Lastly, understand what the primary factors are that would explain
 why retailers are offering so many low-volume products.

                                  Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Most convenience retailers view SKU rationalization as a way
 to offer the right products as opposed to reduce SKU count
             as is the case in larger retail formats
                                 Retailer Perception About SKU Rationalization
                                                      (Percent of Respondents)


                Offering the correct mix of products.                                                                       59.7%




Determining the right number of products to carry.                                                        31.1%




                                 Other (please specify)                 5.0%




Reducing the absolute number of products carried.                      4.2%



Q: When you hear the term "SKU rationalization," which one of the following best represents what it means to you? (n=119)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                      Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                             6
More retailers are likely to use freed up space to strengthen
the in-stock position of top-sellers in the largest destination
          categories if they removed existing SKUs
                   Retailers That Would Give More Space to Category Top-Sellers
                                                       (Percent of Respondents)

    51.5%            50.0%



                                      35.0%
                                                      33.3%
                                                                          27.2%               26.6%        26.1%

                                                                                                                            18.0%
                                                                                                                                        16.4%




 Cigarettes           Beer             OTP          Packaged         Salty Snacks Packaged Ice             Candy           Health &    General
                                                    Beverages                        Cream                                Beauty Care Merchandise
                                                      (na)

Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                       Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                            7
Over half of the retailers are likely to add new products in
     snacking categories if they removed existing SKUs

                            Retailers That Would Add New Products to Category
                                                       (Percent of Respondents)

    58.8%
                     55.0%            54.8%
                                                      52.3%
                                                                          48.0%
                                                                                              45.0%

                                                                                                             34.5%        34.2%

                                                                                                                                      23.3%




Salty Snacks Packaged Ice            Candy          Packaged               OTP                 Beer         General     Health &     Cigarettes
                Cream                               Beverages                                              Merchandise Beauty Care
                                                      (na)

Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                       Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                          8
Nearly half of the retailers would shift space from the low-
 share categories elsewhere if they removed existing SKUs

                       Retailers That Would Shift Space Away From the Category
                                                       (Percent of Respondents)


    49.1%            47.7%




                                      25.2%
                                                       19.1%              18.3%               17.0%
                                                                                                            14.4%           14.0%

                                                                                                                                         5.0%



 General     Health &              Cigarettes          Candy         Packaged Ice              OTP         Packaged       Salty Snacks   Beer
Merchandise Beauty Care                                                 Cream                              Beverages
                                                                                                             (na)

Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                       Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                        9
Overview of what convenience retailers would do with freed
         up space related to removing existing SKUs

                                        Give more space to top-                    Use space to add new                    Shift space to another
Category                                 sellers in the category                  products in the category                        category

 Cigarettes                                          51.5%                                        23.3%                            25.2%

 Beer                                                50.0%                                        45.0%                            5.0%

 Packaged Beverages (na)                             33.3%                                        52.3%                            14.4%

 Salty Snacks                                        27.2%                                        58.8%                            14.0%

 OTP                                                 35.0%                                        48.0%                            17.0%

 Candy                                               26.1%                                        54.8%                            19.1%

 General Merchandise                                 16.4%                                        34.5%                            49.1%

 Health & Beauty Care                                18.0%                                        34.2%                            47.7%

 Packaged Ice Cream                                  26.6%                                        55.0%                            18.3%


 Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119)
 Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                        Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                           10
Nearly all retailers agree that serving their customers is a key
   factor explaining why many low-volume products are
                      offered in their stores
                                                  Retailer Level of Agreement
                                  (Percent of Respondents Agreeing with Statements)
                                                                                                                                               Top-Two

        Serve valued customers that shop the store(s)                                42.0%                                 46.2%                   88.2%



                Ensure that we offer a complete variety                        30.3%                               45.4%                           75.6%



       Remain compliant with manufacturer contracts                          26.1%                             47.1%                               73.1%



Maintain comparable assortments as key competitors                      16.8%                              50.4%                                   67.2%



        Be eligible for additional monies from supplier                  18.5%                         41.2%                                       59.7%


                                         Completely Agree             Somewhat Agree

Q: Please indicate your level of agreement with the following statements. You carry many of the lower-volume products in your store(s) in order to… (n=119)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                       Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                                 11
RETAILER PRACTICES

 Understand how often other retailers are reviewing assortment and what tools, techniques,
 and performance metrics they are using to support the decision-making process.




                                 Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Retailers are typically completing semi-annual resets for
        larger categories while many are adjusting even more
                  frequently in high-share categories
                                            Assortment Review Frequency
                                                         (Number per Year)                                                                        Wtd. Avg.



    High-Share Categories           13.8%                             45.0%                                          33.0%                8.3%     2.1x/yr




Moderate-Share Categories        6.4%                  36.7%                                                   52.3%                       4.6%    1.8x/yr




     Low-Share Categories 2.8%              22.9%                                           54.1%                                 20.2%            1.3x/yr



                             0.0%       10.0%     20.0%       30.0%        40.0%        50.0%        60.0%      70.0%    80.0%    90.0%     100.0%

                 4+ Times per Year           2-3 Times per Year              1 Time per Year                Less than 1 Time per Year

   Q: How often do you make major adjustments to product assortment in your store(s)? (n=109)
   Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                        Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                                13
The range of clustering techniques employed by retailers
      expands as the number of stores operated increases

                                     Prevalence of Store Clustering Techniques
                                              (Percent of Retailer Indicating “Yes”)

                                                                                                                88.9%
                 82.4%
                                               77.8%
                                                                                                           75.0%               74.4%
          67.5%                                                                                                                     66.7%
                                                                          60.5%


                                                                                  44.4%
                                        38.5%
                                                                                                      30.3%                30.3%
    27.3%                                                         27.3%
                                  21.2%




      By geography                  By trade area                 By demographics                   By category set size    By store type

                                                1 - 10 Stores           11 - 50 Stores            51+ Stores

Q: Do you use any of the following store clustering techniques to adjust product assortment among your stores? (n=109)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                       Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                    14
Most retailers use internal sales data to support assortment
  decisions while broader data sources vary by number of stores
  operated – especially related to wholesale and syndicated data

                    Use of Various Data Sources to Support Assortment Reviews
                       (Percent of Retailers Responding “Always” or “Most of the Time”)
            100.0%
  90.9%
      85.0%

                                72.5%
                                                               63.9%
                           60.6%
                                      50.0%


                                                         30.0%
                                                                                                              22.5%
                                                                                                         18.2%     19.4%
                                                                                15.2%        13.9%                                 15.0% 16.7%
                                                   12.1%
                                                                                        5.0%                                  6.1%


 Internal sales data        Wholesaler             Syndicated sales            Consumer panel            Market basket data Purchase decision
                           shipment data                 data                       data                                      tree research

                                               1 - 10 Stores          11 - 50 Stores            51+ Stores

Q: How often do you use the following information sources when making decisions about product assortment in your stores? (n=109)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                           15
Unit volume – a proxy for consumer demand – is the most
often used metric when determining what products to offer

                         Key Metrics Used When Making Assortment Decisions
                         (Percent of Retailers Indicating “Always” or Most of the Time”)


Unit volume contribution                                                                                                      85.3%



Dollar sales contribution                                                                                               79.8%



Gross profit contribution                                                                                             76.1%



Gross profit per unit sold                                                                                 62.0%



    Gross margin percent                                                                           50.9%


Q: What data metrics do you often use when making decisions about which products to remove from your store? (n=109)
Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                16
Background and Contact Information


Balvor LLC is a sales and marketing firm that provides               David Bishop
a range of consulting, sales support, and analytic                   Managing Partner
services to leading retailers, product suppliers,                    P: 847.722.2732
financial analyst, and other organizations.                          davidbishop@balvor.com
In convenience, Balvor works primarily with senior
marketing and merchandising teams that are
interested in developing more effective                              David specializes in small-format retailing and his
merchandising guidelines, enhancing collaborative                    focus in convenience crosses foodservice and
supplier practices, and evaluating various in-store                  merchandise categories. He’s examined various
programs and practices.                                              strategic topics impacting the business, including:
In addition to the SKU rationalization survey, Balvor                • Tobacco outlook & practices (‘10)
has examined retail trends and practices in
foodservice, private label, and tobacco for either                   • Motor fuel retailing trends & outlook (‘10),
NACS or other trade organizations.                                   • Youth access prevention to tobacco at retail (‘09),
During May and June of 2010, David is examining how
                                                                     • Private label trends & practices in convenience (‘08)
convenience retailers are adapting foodservice
strategies in collaboration with Convenience Store                   David is currently a member of CSD’s Supplier
Decisions.                                                           Advisory Board and NACS’ Convention & Events
                                                                     Committee.


                                        Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                      17

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Sku rationalization in convenience retail

  • 1. NACS/BALVOR SKU RATIONALIZATION SURVEY May 2010 Retail Participant Summary 117 South Cook Street #339 Barrington, Illinois 60010 phone: 847.722.2732 fax: 847.382.1801 Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. davidbishop@balvor.com
  • 2. Retailers completed the online survey between 2/25/10 and 3/1/10 Number of Stores Operated (Percent of Respondents) 500+ Stores, 10.5% 201 - 500 Stores, 9.8% 1 - 10 Stores, 30.1% 51 - 200 Stores, 15.8% 11 - 50 Stores, 33.8% Q: How many store do you currently operate? (n=133) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 2
  • 3. While 30 percent of convenience retailers offer more than 4,000 SKU per store, the average is just over 3,000 Average Number of SKUs Offered Per Store (Percent of Respondents) 22.9% Weighted Average based on store count 19.1% 3,011 15.5% 14.5% 12.6% 8.5% 6.6% 0.3% 1,000 or Less 1,001 to 1,500 1,501 to 2,000 2,001 to 2,500 2,501 to 3,000 3,001 to 3,500 3,501 to 4,000 4,001 or More Q: How many unique products does/do your store(s) carry on average across all categories sold inside the store, at any point in time? (n=133) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 3
  • 4. Over 70 percent of the retailers indicated that the number of products offered has increased over the last 5 years Change in SKU Counts Offered Inside the Store (Percent of Respondents) Don't Know, 1.5% Remained the Same, 12.0% Decreased, 14.3% Increased, 72.2% Q: Over the last five (5) years, on a per store basis, the number of products/SKUs offered has…? (n=133) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 4
  • 5. RETAILER PERSPECTIVE Given convenience retail is not the same as big-box retailing, find out what “SKU rationalization” means to convenience retailers. And, even though convenience is different, learn how convenience retailers are likely to handle freed up space if they did end up discontinuing products. Lastly, understand what the primary factors are that would explain why retailers are offering so many low-volume products. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.
  • 6. Most convenience retailers view SKU rationalization as a way to offer the right products as opposed to reduce SKU count as is the case in larger retail formats Retailer Perception About SKU Rationalization (Percent of Respondents) Offering the correct mix of products. 59.7% Determining the right number of products to carry. 31.1% Other (please specify) 5.0% Reducing the absolute number of products carried. 4.2% Q: When you hear the term "SKU rationalization," which one of the following best represents what it means to you? (n=119) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 6
  • 7. More retailers are likely to use freed up space to strengthen the in-stock position of top-sellers in the largest destination categories if they removed existing SKUs Retailers That Would Give More Space to Category Top-Sellers (Percent of Respondents) 51.5% 50.0% 35.0% 33.3% 27.2% 26.6% 26.1% 18.0% 16.4% Cigarettes Beer OTP Packaged Salty Snacks Packaged Ice Candy Health & General Beverages Cream Beauty Care Merchandise (na) Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 7
  • 8. Over half of the retailers are likely to add new products in snacking categories if they removed existing SKUs Retailers That Would Add New Products to Category (Percent of Respondents) 58.8% 55.0% 54.8% 52.3% 48.0% 45.0% 34.5% 34.2% 23.3% Salty Snacks Packaged Ice Candy Packaged OTP Beer General Health & Cigarettes Cream Beverages Merchandise Beauty Care (na) Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 8
  • 9. Nearly half of the retailers would shift space from the low- share categories elsewhere if they removed existing SKUs Retailers That Would Shift Space Away From the Category (Percent of Respondents) 49.1% 47.7% 25.2% 19.1% 18.3% 17.0% 14.4% 14.0% 5.0% General Health & Cigarettes Candy Packaged Ice OTP Packaged Salty Snacks Beer Merchandise Beauty Care Cream Beverages (na) Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 9
  • 10. Overview of what convenience retailers would do with freed up space related to removing existing SKUs Give more space to top- Use space to add new Shift space to another Category sellers in the category products in the category category Cigarettes 51.5% 23.3% 25.2% Beer 50.0% 45.0% 5.0% Packaged Beverages (na) 33.3% 52.3% 14.4% Salty Snacks 27.2% 58.8% 14.0% OTP 35.0% 48.0% 17.0% Candy 26.1% 54.8% 19.1% General Merchandise 16.4% 34.5% 49.1% Health & Beauty Care 18.0% 34.2% 47.7% Packaged Ice Cream 26.6% 55.0% 18.3% Q: If you removed existing SKUs in the following categories, what would you most likely do with freed up space? (n=119) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 10
  • 11. Nearly all retailers agree that serving their customers is a key factor explaining why many low-volume products are offered in their stores Retailer Level of Agreement (Percent of Respondents Agreeing with Statements) Top-Two Serve valued customers that shop the store(s) 42.0% 46.2% 88.2% Ensure that we offer a complete variety 30.3% 45.4% 75.6% Remain compliant with manufacturer contracts 26.1% 47.1% 73.1% Maintain comparable assortments as key competitors 16.8% 50.4% 67.2% Be eligible for additional monies from supplier 18.5% 41.2% 59.7% Completely Agree Somewhat Agree Q: Please indicate your level of agreement with the following statements. You carry many of the lower-volume products in your store(s) in order to… (n=119) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 11
  • 12. RETAILER PRACTICES Understand how often other retailers are reviewing assortment and what tools, techniques, and performance metrics they are using to support the decision-making process. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.
  • 13. Retailers are typically completing semi-annual resets for larger categories while many are adjusting even more frequently in high-share categories Assortment Review Frequency (Number per Year) Wtd. Avg. High-Share Categories 13.8% 45.0% 33.0% 8.3% 2.1x/yr Moderate-Share Categories 6.4% 36.7% 52.3% 4.6% 1.8x/yr Low-Share Categories 2.8% 22.9% 54.1% 20.2% 1.3x/yr 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 4+ Times per Year 2-3 Times per Year 1 Time per Year Less than 1 Time per Year Q: How often do you make major adjustments to product assortment in your store(s)? (n=109) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 13
  • 14. The range of clustering techniques employed by retailers expands as the number of stores operated increases Prevalence of Store Clustering Techniques (Percent of Retailer Indicating “Yes”) 88.9% 82.4% 77.8% 75.0% 74.4% 67.5% 66.7% 60.5% 44.4% 38.5% 30.3% 30.3% 27.3% 27.3% 21.2% By geography By trade area By demographics By category set size By store type 1 - 10 Stores 11 - 50 Stores 51+ Stores Q: Do you use any of the following store clustering techniques to adjust product assortment among your stores? (n=109) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 14
  • 15. Most retailers use internal sales data to support assortment decisions while broader data sources vary by number of stores operated – especially related to wholesale and syndicated data Use of Various Data Sources to Support Assortment Reviews (Percent of Retailers Responding “Always” or “Most of the Time”) 100.0% 90.9% 85.0% 72.5% 63.9% 60.6% 50.0% 30.0% 22.5% 18.2% 19.4% 15.2% 13.9% 15.0% 16.7% 12.1% 5.0% 6.1% Internal sales data Wholesaler Syndicated sales Consumer panel Market basket data Purchase decision shipment data data data tree research 1 - 10 Stores 11 - 50 Stores 51+ Stores Q: How often do you use the following information sources when making decisions about product assortment in your stores? (n=109) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 15
  • 16. Unit volume – a proxy for consumer demand – is the most often used metric when determining what products to offer Key Metrics Used When Making Assortment Decisions (Percent of Retailers Indicating “Always” or Most of the Time”) Unit volume contribution 85.3% Dollar sales contribution 79.8% Gross profit contribution 76.1% Gross profit per unit sold 62.0% Gross margin percent 50.9% Q: What data metrics do you often use when making decisions about which products to remove from your store? (n=109) Source: NACS/Balvor SKU Rationalization Survey, March 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 16
  • 17. Background and Contact Information Balvor LLC is a sales and marketing firm that provides David Bishop a range of consulting, sales support, and analytic Managing Partner services to leading retailers, product suppliers, P: 847.722.2732 financial analyst, and other organizations. davidbishop@balvor.com In convenience, Balvor works primarily with senior marketing and merchandising teams that are interested in developing more effective David specializes in small-format retailing and his merchandising guidelines, enhancing collaborative focus in convenience crosses foodservice and supplier practices, and evaluating various in-store merchandise categories. He’s examined various programs and practices. strategic topics impacting the business, including: In addition to the SKU rationalization survey, Balvor • Tobacco outlook & practices (‘10) has examined retail trends and practices in foodservice, private label, and tobacco for either • Motor fuel retailing trends & outlook (‘10), NACS or other trade organizations. • Youth access prevention to tobacco at retail (‘09), During May and June of 2010, David is examining how • Private label trends & practices in convenience (‘08) convenience retailers are adapting foodservice strategies in collaboration with Convenience Store David is currently a member of CSD’s Supplier Decisions. Advisory Board and NACS’ Convention & Events Committee. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 17