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Chapter 2
International Flow of Funds

Answers to End of Chapter Questions
1.Balance of Payments.
a.

What is the current account generally composed of?ANSWER: The current
account balance is composed of (1) the balance of trade, (2) the
netamount of payments of interest to foreign investors and from foreign
investment, (3) paymentsfrom international tourism, and (4) private gifts and
grants. b. What is the capital account generally composed of?ANSWER: The
capital account is composed of all capital investments made between
countries,including both direct foreign investment and purchases of securities
with maturities exceeding oneyear.
2.Inflation Effect on Trade.
a.How would a relatively high home inflation rate affect the home
country’s current account,other things being equal?
ANSWER: A high inflation rate tends to increase imports and
d e c r e a s e e x p o r t s , t h e r e b y increasing the current account deficit, other
things equal. b.Is a negative current account harmful to
a country? Discuss.ANSWER: This question is intended to encourage opinions
and does not have a perfect solution.A negative current account is thought to
reflect lost jobs in a country, which is unfavorable. Yet,the foreign importing
reflects strong competition from foreign producers, which may keep
prices(inflation) low.
3.Government Restrictions.
How can government restrictions affect international payments amongcountries?
ANSWER:

Governments can place tariffs or quotas on imports to restrict imports. They can
also place taxes on income from foreign securities, thereby
discouraging investors from purchasingforeign securities. If they loosen
restrictions, they can encourage international payments amongcountries.
4.
IMF.
 a . W h a t a r e s o m e o f t h e m a j o r o b j e c t i v e s o f t h e I M F ? ANSWER:

Major IMF objectives are to (1) promote cooperation amo
n g c o u n t r i e s o n international monetary issues, (2) promote stability
in exchange rates, (3) provide temporaryfunds to member
countries attempting to correct
imbalances of international payments, (4) promote free mobility of capital
funds across countries, and (5) promote free trade. b.How is the IMF involved
in international trade?A N S W E R : T h e I M F i n i n v o l v e d i n
i n t e r n a t i o n a l t r a d e b e c a u s e i t a t t e m p t s t o s t a b i l i z e internati
onal payments, and trade represents a significant portion of the international
payments.



5.Exchange Rate Effect on Trade Balance.
Would the U.S. balance of trade deficit be larger or smaller if the dollar
depreciates against all currencies, versus depreciating against some
currencies but appreciated against others? Explain.ANSWER:

If the dollar weakens against all currencies, the U.S. balance of trade
deficit willlikely be smaller. Some U.S. importers would have more seriously
considered purchasing
their g o o d s i n t h e U . S . i f m o s t o r a l l c u r r e n c i e s s i m u l t a n e o u s l y s t
r e n g t h e n e d a g a i n s t t h e d o l l a r . Conversely, if some currencies
weaken against the dollar, the U.S. importers may have simplyshifted
their importing from one foreign country to another.
6.Demand for Exports.
A relatively small U.S. balance of trade deficit is commonly attributed to astrong
demand for U.S. exports. What do you think is the underlying reason
for the strongdemand for U.S. exports?A N S W E R : T h e s t r o n g d e m a n d
for U.S. exports is commonly attributed to
s t r o n g f o r e i g n economies or to a weak dollar.
7.September 11 Effects on Trade.
Why do you think international trade volume could be reducedas a result of the
terrorist attacks on the U.S. on September 11, 2001? Are there any products
for which international trade may increase?ANSWER. Open-ended. The terrorist
attacks caused an increase in security, which could make itmore difficult to ship
some types of products. There could be an increase in the international tradeof
some security system products, as the general demand for these products
increases.
8.Effects of the Euro.
Explain how the existence of the euro may affect U.S. international
trade.ANSWER: The euro allowed for a single currency among many
European countries. It couldencourage firms in those countries to trade
among each other since there is no exchange rate risk.This would possibly cause
them to trade less with the U.S.The euro can increase trade within Europe
because it eliminates the need for several Europeancountries to exchange
currencies when trading with each other.
9.Currency Effects.
When South Korea’s export growth stalled, some South Korean
f i r m s suggested that South Korea’s primary export problem was the
weakness in the Japanese yen.How would you interpret this statement?
ANSWER:

One of South Korea’s primary competitors in exporting is Japan, which produces
andexports many of the same types of products to the same
countries. When the Japanese yen isweak, some importers switch to
Japanese products in place of South Korean products. For thisreason, it is often
suggested that South Korea’s primary export problem is weakness in
theJapanese yen.
10.Effects of Tariffs.
Assume a simple world in which the U.S. exports soft drinks and beer
toFrance and imports wine from France. If the U.S. imposes large
tariffs on the French wine,explain the likely impact on the values of the
U.S. beverage firms, U.S. wine producers, theFrench beverage firms, and
the French wine producers.A N S W E R : T h e
U.S. wine producers benefit from the U.S. tariffs, while the
F r e n c h w i n e producers are adversely affected. The French
government would likely retaliate by imposingtariffs on the U.S. beverage
firms, which would adversely affect their value. The French beverage firms
would benefit.




Advanced Questions
11.Free Trade.
There has been considerable momentum to reduce or remove trade
barriers in aneffort to achieve “free trade.” Yet, one disgruntled executive of an
exporting firm stated, “Freetrade is not conceivable; we are always at the mercy
of the exchange rate. Any country can usethis mechanism to impose trade
barriers.” What does this statement mean?ANSWER: This statement implies
that even if there were no explicit barriers, a governmentcould attempt
to manipulate exchange rates to a level that would effectively reduce
foreigncompetition. For example, a U.S. firm may be discouraged from
attempting to export to Japan if t h e v a l u e o f t h e d o l l a r
is very high against the yen. The prices of the U.S. goods from
t h e Japanese perspective are too high because of the strong dollar. The reverse
situation could also be possible in which a Japanese exporting firm is priced out
of the U.S. market because of a strongyen (weak dollar). [Answer is based on
opinion.]
12. International Investments.
In recent years many U.S.-based MNCs have increased their
investments in foreign securities, which are not as susceptible to
negative shocks in the U.S.market. Also, when MNCs believe that U.S.
securities are overvalued, they can pursue non-U.S.securities that are driven by a
different market. Moreover, in periods of low U.S. interest rates,U.S. corporations
tend to seek investments in foreign securities. In general, the flow of funds
intoforeign countries tends to decline when U.S. investors anticipate a strong
dollar.a.Explain how expectations of a strong dollar can affect the
tendency of U.S. investors to investabroad.ANSWER: A weak dollar
would discourage U.S. investors from investing abroad. It can causethe
investors to purchase foreign currency (when investing) at a higher
exchange rate than theexchange rate at which they would sell the currency
(when the investment is liquidated). b . E x p l a i n h o w l o w U . S . i n t e r e s t
rates can affect the tendency of U.S.-based MNCs
t o i n v e s t abroad.A N S W E R : L o w U . S . i n t e r e s t r a t e s c a n e n c o u r a g e
U . S . - b a s e d M N C s t o i n v e s t a b r o a d , a s investors seek higher returns on
their investment than they can earn in the U.S.c.In general terms, what is the
attraction of foreign investments to U.S. investors?ANSWER: The main
attraction is potentially higher returns. The international stocks
canoutperform U.S. stocks, and international bonds can outperform U.S.
bonds. However, there is noguarantee that the returns on international
investments will be so favorable. Some investors mayalso pursue international
investments to diversify their investment portfolio, which can possiblyreduce
risk.
13.Exchange Rate Effects on Trade.
a. Explain why a stronger dollar could enlarge the U.S. balance of trade deficit.
Explain why aweaker dollar could affect the U.S. balance of trade
deficit.ANSWER: A stronger dollar makes U.S. exports more expensive
to importers and may reduceimports. It makes U.S. imports cheap and
may increase U.S. imports. A weaker home currencyincreases the
prices of imports purchased by the home country and reduces the
prices paid byforeign businesses for the home country’s exports. This
should cause a decrease in the homecountry’s demand for imports and
an increase in the foreign demand for the home country’s xports, and
therefore increase the current account. However, this relationship can be
distorted byother factors. b.It is sometimes suggested that a floating
exchange rate will adjust to reduce or eliminate anycurrent account
deficit. Explain why this adjustment would occur.ANSWER: A current account
deficit reflects a net sale of the home currency in exchange for
other currencies. This places downward pressure on that home
currency’s value. If the currencyweakens, it will reduce the home
demand for foreign goods (since goods will now be moreexpensive),
and will increase the home export volume (since exports will appear
cheaper toforeign countries).c.Why does the exchange rate not always
adjust to a current account deficit?ANSWER:In some cases, the home
currency will remain strong even though a current account deficit exists,since
other factors (such as international capital flows) can offset the forces placed on
the currency by the current account.
 Solution to Continuing Case Problem: Blades, Inc.
1.How could a higher level of inflation in Thailand affect Blades
(assume U.S. inflation remainsconstant)? ANSWER: A high level of inflation
in Thailand relative to the United States could affect Bladesfavorably. Generally,
if a country’s inflation rate increases relative to the countries with which
ittrades, consumers and corporations within the country will most
likely purchase more goodsoverseas, as local goods become more expensive.
Consequently, Blades’ sales to Thailand mayincrease.

2.How could competition from firms in Thailand and from
U . S . f i r m s c o n d u c t i n g b u s i n e s s i n Thailand affect Blades?ANSWER:
Blades would be favorably affected relative to Thai roller blade
manufacturers andrelative to other U.S. roller blade manufacturers with
operations in Thailand. Both groups of firmswill likely be forced to raise their
prices if they want to maintain the same profit margin shouldinflation in
Thailand increase. This is especially true if both groups of firms source their
suppliesdirectly from Thailand, so that the prices of these supplies are
subject to the higher inflation
inT h a i l a n d . C o n v e r s e l y , B l a d e s ’ c o s t o f g o o d s s o l d i n c u r r e d i n
T h a i l a n d i s r e l a t i v e l y s m a l l . Consequently, costs will not be subject
to the higher level of inflation in Thailand to a greatextent and Blades
will probably not have to raise its prices to the same extent as Thai roller
blademanufacturers or U.S. manufacturers with operations in Thailand
How could a decreasing level of national income in Thailand affect Blades?
ANSWER: At first glance, it would appear that a decreasing level of national income in
Thailandcould hurt Blades financially, as Thai consumers will have less money to spend.
Furthermore, thiseffect may be magnified because Blades manufactures a leisure product,
which is probably one of the first products Thai consumers will stop buying. The
arrangement Blades has with its primaryThai importer mitigates this effect
somewhat, since the latter has committed himself to the purchase of a certain
number of “Speedos” annually. Nevertheless, the importer may not offer
tor e n e w t h i s a r r a n g e m e n t i n e x c e s s o f t h e o r i g i n a l t h r e e y e a r s i f t h e
T h a i e c o n o m y d o e s n o t improve.4.How could a continued depreciation of the
Thai baht affect Blades? How would it affect Blades’ relative to U.S. exporters
invoicing their roller blades in U.S. dollars?ANSWER: A continued depreciation of the
Thai baht would hurt Blades, especially because thefirm invoices its roller blades in baht.
A continued depreciation of the baht means that the baht-
denominated revenue in Thailand will convert to fewer U.S. dollars.
B l a d e s a l s o h a s s o m e expenses in baht, but this amount is less than the revenue
denominated in baht.Although Blades would be hurt by a depreciating baht
because its exports are denominated in b a h t , t h e d e m a n d f o r B l a d e s ’
p r o d u c t s m a y i n c r e a s e r e l a t i v e t o t h a t o f i t s U . S . c o m p e t i t o r s exporting
to Thailand. This is because most of the U.S. firms exporting roller blades to
Thailandinvoice their products in U.S. dollars. If the baht depreciates, Thai importers will
have to convertmore baht to dollars in order to pay for the dollar-denominated
exports.5.If Blades increases its business in Thailand and experiences serious
financial problems, are
therea n y i n t e r n a t i o n a l a g e n c i e s t h a t t h e c o m p a n y c o u l d a p p r o a c h f o r
l o a n s o r o t h e r f i n a n c i a l assistance?ANSWER: An agency extending direct loans to
corporations involved in international trade is theInternational Financial
Corporation (IFC). Besides extending loans, the IFC may also purchase stock
in a corporation, thereby becoming part owner.
 Solution to Supplemental Case: Maple Leaf Paper Company
This case reflects the actual experience of a Canadian exporting firm (although the name
and industryhave been changed) to the free-trade agreement on January 2, 1989. The
appreciation in Canadiandollars (resulting from the agreement) offset the tariff,
so that the firm was no better off with the free-trade agreement. The case shows
that the effects of free trade are not always so obvious and maydiffer across
firms.a.While the tariff allowed for a 12 percent decline in price, the U.S.
clients will have to pay more dollars to obtain Canadian dollars in the future, based
on the forecast of the exchange rate. Theexchange rate is expected to rise by 13.15
percent. Given that the 12 percent tariff is removedalong with the exchange rate
movement, the net effect will be an increase in price to U.S. clientsof about one
percent. Based on the relationship between the price and U.S. demand,
the U.S.demand for Maple Leaf paper should decline 3 percent in response to the one
percent increase in price. This implies a U.S. demand of 174,600 rolls of paper per
year.In Canada, the 20 percent increase in demand (provided in the case) implies an
annual demand of 24,000 rolls. Therefore, the total demand for Maple Leaf paper should
be around 198,600 rolls,which is slightly less than the total demand in the past


The precise forecast is not as important as the general concept
h e r e . W h a t s e e m e d t o b e a favorable event does not benefit Maple
Leaf. While the free-trade agreement allows for theremoval of tariffs, it causes a
shift in international trade flows, which places upward pressure onthe Canadian dollar’s
value. The appreciation of the Canadian dollar is expected to overwhelmthe effect of
removing the tariff, forcing the price in U.S. dollars to rise.c.The U.S. exporting firm
is not directly affected by the removal of the tariff on Canadian exports, but
would benefit from the appreciation of the Canadian dollar.
 Small Business Dilemma
Identifying Factors That Will Affect the Foreign Demand at the S
p o r t s E x p o r t s Company
Identify the factors that affect the current account balance between the U.S. and the U.K.
Explain howeach factor may possibly affect the British demand for the footballs that are
produced by the SportsExports Company.ANSWER:1.High inflation in the U.K.
could cause a shift in the demand for U.S. products instead of
British products. However, at this time there is not a British producer of footballs, so
that high Britishinflation will not cause an increase in the demand for U.S.-produced
footballs.2. High national income in the U.K. could increase the amount of spending by
British consumers,and would therefore cause an increase in the demand for footballs
produced by the Sports ExportsCompany. A lower national income in the U.K. would
have the opposite effect.3. Government restrictions could be imposed by the
British government on goods (such as the footballs) exported by U.S.
firms. However, footballs are not likely to be targeted by the Britishgovernment as a
product that should be subject to restrictions.4. The exchange rate of the British pound
will change over time. However, since the Sports ExportsCompany is willing to accept
pounds when it sells footballs to the distributor, the distributor doesnot have to convert
the pounds into dollars. Therefore, the British demand for footballs is
notaffected by changes in the value of the pound (unless this causes the Sports Exports
Company tochange the price it charges for the footballs someday)

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Chapter 2

  • 1. Chapter 2 International Flow of Funds Answers to End of Chapter Questions 1.Balance of Payments. a. What is the current account generally composed of?ANSWER: The current account balance is composed of (1) the balance of trade, (2) the netamount of payments of interest to foreign investors and from foreign investment, (3) paymentsfrom international tourism, and (4) private gifts and grants. b. What is the capital account generally composed of?ANSWER: The capital account is composed of all capital investments made between countries,including both direct foreign investment and purchases of securities with maturities exceeding oneyear. 2.Inflation Effect on Trade. a.How would a relatively high home inflation rate affect the home country’s current account,other things being equal? ANSWER: A high inflation rate tends to increase imports and d e c r e a s e e x p o r t s , t h e r e b y increasing the current account deficit, other things equal. b.Is a negative current account harmful to a country? Discuss.ANSWER: This question is intended to encourage opinions and does not have a perfect solution.A negative current account is thought to reflect lost jobs in a country, which is unfavorable. Yet,the foreign importing reflects strong competition from foreign producers, which may keep prices(inflation) low. 3.Government Restrictions. How can government restrictions affect international payments amongcountries? ANSWER: Governments can place tariffs or quotas on imports to restrict imports. They can also place taxes on income from foreign securities, thereby discouraging investors from purchasingforeign securities. If they loosen restrictions, they can encourage international payments amongcountries. 4. IMF. a . W h a t a r e s o m e o f t h e m a j o r o b j e c t i v e s o f t h e I M F ? ANSWER: Major IMF objectives are to (1) promote cooperation amo n g c o u n t r i e s o n international monetary issues, (2) promote stability in exchange rates, (3) provide temporaryfunds to member
  • 2. countries attempting to correct imbalances of international payments, (4) promote free mobility of capital funds across countries, and (5) promote free trade. b.How is the IMF involved in international trade?A N S W E R : T h e I M F i n i n v o l v e d i n i n t e r n a t i o n a l t r a d e b e c a u s e i t a t t e m p t s t o s t a b i l i z e internati onal payments, and trade represents a significant portion of the international payments. 5.Exchange Rate Effect on Trade Balance. Would the U.S. balance of trade deficit be larger or smaller if the dollar depreciates against all currencies, versus depreciating against some currencies but appreciated against others? Explain.ANSWER: If the dollar weakens against all currencies, the U.S. balance of trade deficit willlikely be smaller. Some U.S. importers would have more seriously considered purchasing their g o o d s i n t h e U . S . i f m o s t o r a l l c u r r e n c i e s s i m u l t a n e o u s l y s t r e n g t h e n e d a g a i n s t t h e d o l l a r . Conversely, if some currencies weaken against the dollar, the U.S. importers may have simplyshifted their importing from one foreign country to another. 6.Demand for Exports. A relatively small U.S. balance of trade deficit is commonly attributed to astrong demand for U.S. exports. What do you think is the underlying reason for the strongdemand for U.S. exports?A N S W E R : T h e s t r o n g d e m a n d for U.S. exports is commonly attributed to s t r o n g f o r e i g n economies or to a weak dollar. 7.September 11 Effects on Trade. Why do you think international trade volume could be reducedas a result of the terrorist attacks on the U.S. on September 11, 2001? Are there any products for which international trade may increase?ANSWER. Open-ended. The terrorist attacks caused an increase in security, which could make itmore difficult to ship some types of products. There could be an increase in the international tradeof some security system products, as the general demand for these products increases. 8.Effects of the Euro. Explain how the existence of the euro may affect U.S. international trade.ANSWER: The euro allowed for a single currency among many European countries. It couldencourage firms in those countries to trade among each other since there is no exchange rate risk.This would possibly cause them to trade less with the U.S.The euro can increase trade within Europe
  • 3. because it eliminates the need for several Europeancountries to exchange currencies when trading with each other. 9.Currency Effects. When South Korea’s export growth stalled, some South Korean f i r m s suggested that South Korea’s primary export problem was the weakness in the Japanese yen.How would you interpret this statement? ANSWER: One of South Korea’s primary competitors in exporting is Japan, which produces andexports many of the same types of products to the same countries. When the Japanese yen isweak, some importers switch to Japanese products in place of South Korean products. For thisreason, it is often suggested that South Korea’s primary export problem is weakness in theJapanese yen. 10.Effects of Tariffs. Assume a simple world in which the U.S. exports soft drinks and beer toFrance and imports wine from France. If the U.S. imposes large tariffs on the French wine,explain the likely impact on the values of the U.S. beverage firms, U.S. wine producers, theFrench beverage firms, and the French wine producers.A N S W E R : T h e U.S. wine producers benefit from the U.S. tariffs, while the F r e n c h w i n e producers are adversely affected. The French government would likely retaliate by imposingtariffs on the U.S. beverage firms, which would adversely affect their value. The French beverage firms would benefit. Advanced Questions 11.Free Trade. There has been considerable momentum to reduce or remove trade barriers in aneffort to achieve “free trade.” Yet, one disgruntled executive of an exporting firm stated, “Freetrade is not conceivable; we are always at the mercy of the exchange rate. Any country can usethis mechanism to impose trade barriers.” What does this statement mean?ANSWER: This statement implies that even if there were no explicit barriers, a governmentcould attempt to manipulate exchange rates to a level that would effectively reduce foreigncompetition. For example, a U.S. firm may be discouraged from attempting to export to Japan if t h e v a l u e o f t h e d o l l a r
  • 4. is very high against the yen. The prices of the U.S. goods from t h e Japanese perspective are too high because of the strong dollar. The reverse situation could also be possible in which a Japanese exporting firm is priced out of the U.S. market because of a strongyen (weak dollar). [Answer is based on opinion.] 12. International Investments. In recent years many U.S.-based MNCs have increased their investments in foreign securities, which are not as susceptible to negative shocks in the U.S.market. Also, when MNCs believe that U.S. securities are overvalued, they can pursue non-U.S.securities that are driven by a different market. Moreover, in periods of low U.S. interest rates,U.S. corporations tend to seek investments in foreign securities. In general, the flow of funds intoforeign countries tends to decline when U.S. investors anticipate a strong dollar.a.Explain how expectations of a strong dollar can affect the tendency of U.S. investors to investabroad.ANSWER: A weak dollar would discourage U.S. investors from investing abroad. It can causethe investors to purchase foreign currency (when investing) at a higher exchange rate than theexchange rate at which they would sell the currency (when the investment is liquidated). b . E x p l a i n h o w l o w U . S . i n t e r e s t rates can affect the tendency of U.S.-based MNCs t o i n v e s t abroad.A N S W E R : L o w U . S . i n t e r e s t r a t e s c a n e n c o u r a g e U . S . - b a s e d M N C s t o i n v e s t a b r o a d , a s investors seek higher returns on their investment than they can earn in the U.S.c.In general terms, what is the attraction of foreign investments to U.S. investors?ANSWER: The main attraction is potentially higher returns. The international stocks canoutperform U.S. stocks, and international bonds can outperform U.S. bonds. However, there is noguarantee that the returns on international investments will be so favorable. Some investors mayalso pursue international investments to diversify their investment portfolio, which can possiblyreduce risk. 13.Exchange Rate Effects on Trade. a. Explain why a stronger dollar could enlarge the U.S. balance of trade deficit. Explain why aweaker dollar could affect the U.S. balance of trade deficit.ANSWER: A stronger dollar makes U.S. exports more expensive to importers and may reduceimports. It makes U.S. imports cheap and may increase U.S. imports. A weaker home currencyincreases the prices of imports purchased by the home country and reduces the prices paid byforeign businesses for the home country’s exports. This should cause a decrease in the homecountry’s demand for imports and an increase in the foreign demand for the home country’s xports, and therefore increase the current account. However, this relationship can be distorted byother factors. b.It is sometimes suggested that a floating exchange rate will adjust to reduce or eliminate anycurrent account
  • 5. deficit. Explain why this adjustment would occur.ANSWER: A current account deficit reflects a net sale of the home currency in exchange for other currencies. This places downward pressure on that home currency’s value. If the currencyweakens, it will reduce the home demand for foreign goods (since goods will now be moreexpensive), and will increase the home export volume (since exports will appear cheaper toforeign countries).c.Why does the exchange rate not always adjust to a current account deficit?ANSWER:In some cases, the home currency will remain strong even though a current account deficit exists,since other factors (such as international capital flows) can offset the forces placed on the currency by the current account. Solution to Continuing Case Problem: Blades, Inc. 1.How could a higher level of inflation in Thailand affect Blades (assume U.S. inflation remainsconstant)? ANSWER: A high level of inflation in Thailand relative to the United States could affect Bladesfavorably. Generally, if a country’s inflation rate increases relative to the countries with which ittrades, consumers and corporations within the country will most likely purchase more goodsoverseas, as local goods become more expensive. Consequently, Blades’ sales to Thailand mayincrease. 2.How could competition from firms in Thailand and from U . S . f i r m s c o n d u c t i n g b u s i n e s s i n Thailand affect Blades?ANSWER: Blades would be favorably affected relative to Thai roller blade manufacturers andrelative to other U.S. roller blade manufacturers with operations in Thailand. Both groups of firmswill likely be forced to raise their prices if they want to maintain the same profit margin shouldinflation in Thailand increase. This is especially true if both groups of firms source their suppliesdirectly from Thailand, so that the prices of these supplies are subject to the higher inflation inT h a i l a n d . C o n v e r s e l y , B l a d e s ’ c o s t o f g o o d s s o l d i n c u r r e d i n T h a i l a n d i s r e l a t i v e l y s m a l l . Consequently, costs will not be subject to the higher level of inflation in Thailand to a greatextent and Blades will probably not have to raise its prices to the same extent as Thai roller blademanufacturers or U.S. manufacturers with operations in Thailand
  • 6. How could a decreasing level of national income in Thailand affect Blades? ANSWER: At first glance, it would appear that a decreasing level of national income in Thailandcould hurt Blades financially, as Thai consumers will have less money to spend. Furthermore, thiseffect may be magnified because Blades manufactures a leisure product, which is probably one of the first products Thai consumers will stop buying. The arrangement Blades has with its primaryThai importer mitigates this effect somewhat, since the latter has committed himself to the purchase of a certain number of “Speedos” annually. Nevertheless, the importer may not offer tor e n e w t h i s a r r a n g e m e n t i n e x c e s s o f t h e o r i g i n a l t h r e e y e a r s i f t h e T h a i e c o n o m y d o e s n o t improve.4.How could a continued depreciation of the Thai baht affect Blades? How would it affect Blades’ relative to U.S. exporters invoicing their roller blades in U.S. dollars?ANSWER: A continued depreciation of the Thai baht would hurt Blades, especially because thefirm invoices its roller blades in baht. A continued depreciation of the baht means that the baht- denominated revenue in Thailand will convert to fewer U.S. dollars. B l a d e s a l s o h a s s o m e expenses in baht, but this amount is less than the revenue denominated in baht.Although Blades would be hurt by a depreciating baht because its exports are denominated in b a h t , t h e d e m a n d f o r B l a d e s ’ p r o d u c t s m a y i n c r e a s e r e l a t i v e t o t h a t o f i t s U . S . c o m p e t i t o r s exporting to Thailand. This is because most of the U.S. firms exporting roller blades to Thailandinvoice their products in U.S. dollars. If the baht depreciates, Thai importers will have to convertmore baht to dollars in order to pay for the dollar-denominated exports.5.If Blades increases its business in Thailand and experiences serious financial problems, are therea n y i n t e r n a t i o n a l a g e n c i e s t h a t t h e c o m p a n y c o u l d a p p r o a c h f o r l o a n s o r o t h e r f i n a n c i a l assistance?ANSWER: An agency extending direct loans to corporations involved in international trade is theInternational Financial Corporation (IFC). Besides extending loans, the IFC may also purchase stock in a corporation, thereby becoming part owner. Solution to Supplemental Case: Maple Leaf Paper Company This case reflects the actual experience of a Canadian exporting firm (although the name and industryhave been changed) to the free-trade agreement on January 2, 1989. The appreciation in Canadiandollars (resulting from the agreement) offset the tariff, so that the firm was no better off with the free-trade agreement. The case shows that the effects of free trade are not always so obvious and maydiffer across firms.a.While the tariff allowed for a 12 percent decline in price, the U.S. clients will have to pay more dollars to obtain Canadian dollars in the future, based on the forecast of the exchange rate. Theexchange rate is expected to rise by 13.15 percent. Given that the 12 percent tariff is removedalong with the exchange rate movement, the net effect will be an increase in price to U.S. clientsof about one percent. Based on the relationship between the price and U.S. demand, the U.S.demand for Maple Leaf paper should decline 3 percent in response to the one percent increase in price. This implies a U.S. demand of 174,600 rolls of paper per year.In Canada, the 20 percent increase in demand (provided in the case) implies an
  • 7. annual demand of 24,000 rolls. Therefore, the total demand for Maple Leaf paper should be around 198,600 rolls,which is slightly less than the total demand in the past The precise forecast is not as important as the general concept h e r e . W h a t s e e m e d t o b e a favorable event does not benefit Maple Leaf. While the free-trade agreement allows for theremoval of tariffs, it causes a shift in international trade flows, which places upward pressure onthe Canadian dollar’s value. The appreciation of the Canadian dollar is expected to overwhelmthe effect of removing the tariff, forcing the price in U.S. dollars to rise.c.The U.S. exporting firm is not directly affected by the removal of the tariff on Canadian exports, but would benefit from the appreciation of the Canadian dollar. Small Business Dilemma Identifying Factors That Will Affect the Foreign Demand at the S p o r t s E x p o r t s Company Identify the factors that affect the current account balance between the U.S. and the U.K. Explain howeach factor may possibly affect the British demand for the footballs that are produced by the SportsExports Company.ANSWER:1.High inflation in the U.K. could cause a shift in the demand for U.S. products instead of British products. However, at this time there is not a British producer of footballs, so that high Britishinflation will not cause an increase in the demand for U.S.-produced footballs.2. High national income in the U.K. could increase the amount of spending by British consumers,and would therefore cause an increase in the demand for footballs produced by the Sports ExportsCompany. A lower national income in the U.K. would have the opposite effect.3. Government restrictions could be imposed by the British government on goods (such as the footballs) exported by U.S. firms. However, footballs are not likely to be targeted by the Britishgovernment as a product that should be subject to restrictions.4. The exchange rate of the British pound will change over time. However, since the Sports ExportsCompany is willing to accept pounds when it sells footballs to the distributor, the distributor doesnot have to convert the pounds into dollars. Therefore, the British demand for footballs is notaffected by changes in the value of the pound (unless this causes the Sports Exports Company tochange the price it charges for the footballs someday)