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A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS
S P E C I A L R E P O R T
A History of
Fake News
www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures
A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS
2
T
he term “fake news” entered American political dis-
course during the 2016 election with both Democrats
and Republicans charging each other and the media
with generating fake news. Ever since, there have been count-
less stories about how public opinions are manipulated for
political gain. In March, it was revealed that a consulting firm
called Cambridge Analytica acquired Facebook user data and
used it to try to influence voters in the run-up to the election.
Just a few weeks later lawmakers in Malaysia approved a law
making it a crime to spread fake news, punishable by up to six
years in prison. Fake news has become a global issue that af-
fects the core of contemporary information technology. It has
gone from a charge hurled during an American political cam-
paign to an issue shaping global political discourse.
Fake news could also simply be called “lying,” something that
has been part of political culture ever since there were politi-
cal cultures. Let me give some American examples. In 1940,
during the presidential campaign, Franklin Roosevelt said that
the United States would not get involved in a European war,
even as U.S. and British military officials were laying plans for
how such a war would be fought. In 1960, Dwight Eisenhower
claimed that a weather research aircraft was shot down over
Soviet airspace, when in reality it was a U-2 spy plane. John F.
Kennedy charged that the Eisenhower administration’s negli-
gence had allowed the Soviets to surge ahead in the number of
A History of Fake News
www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures
A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS
3
missiles they created. Not only was this not true, but Kennedy
knew it wasn’t true. Lyndon Johnson, during the 1964 cam-
paign, waged a campaign to convince the public that Barry
Goldwater was likely to start a nuclear war because he was
mentally unstable. Then, Goldwater supporters spread con-
spiracy theories that Johnson had John F. Kennedy murdered.
There are examples from outside the U.S. as well. The British
planted a story during World War I that the Germans were us-
ing Belgian bodies to make soap. During Stalin’s blood bath
in the 1930s, Soviet propaganda
convinced many in the West that
the Soviet Union was reaching new
heights of well-being. In the midst
of the catastrophic rule of Mao in
China, Western intellectuals like
Jean-Paul Sartre, having bought
into Chinese propaganda that glo-
rified what was happening in the country, wore Mao suits to
symbolize their support for China.
Lying in politics isn’t new, nor is the practice of spreading ru-
mors to achieve certain ends. So is there anything new and
noteworthy about what’s happening today?
The Science of Marketing
One of the things that is relatively new that must be consid-
ered is the merger of marketing and elections. Contemporary
marketing of products and services emerged in full force after
World War II. Marketing is different from advertising, of course.
Advertising has been around forever and is simply designed to
pitch a product to the public. Marketing dissects the public into
different segments and identifies ways to approach those seg-
ments and compel them to purchase a product. Businesses
Lying in politics isn’t
new, nor is the practice
of spreading rumors to
achieve certain ends.
www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures
A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS
4
have done this for a long time. When P.T. Barnum said “There is
a sucker born every minute,” what he was saying is that people
are highly susceptible to a good pitch. The pitch doesn’t have
to be honest nor the product useful – a sucker will buy it any-
way. What marketing did was bring a level of precision to iden-
tifying suckers and what will convince them to buy something
that they may not need or even want.
But in recent decades, the segmentation of the public moved
from an intuitive exercise to a mathematical one. Identifying
ways to reach particular segments is all about communica-
tion. The secret sauce, as they call it, is the message that is
delivered to the audience that compels them to buy. Roosevelt
did not need mathematical analysis to know how to manage
public opinion. It was in his nature. Lincoln, Roosevelt and Rea-
gan all understood the public, and the manipulation of public
opinion started there. In their times, the leader was intimately
bound to the public.
The introduction of marketing methodol-
ogies made it possible to manage public
opinion impersonally. Marketing can turn
an issue or candidate into a commodity
and shape people’s perception of it. Where-
as leaders previously crafted their own per-
sonas, making them more authentic and
therefore effective, marketing is now used
to design leaders’ personas for them. Authenticity is lost and
with it the quality of leadership and moral authority over is-
sues. People have always been cynical about politics, but the
careful crafting of the image of leaders and issues has created
a degree of uncertainty in modern political life.
Politics, authoritarian or democratic, has always been about
building coalitions. Different people have different interests,
but as the Federalist Papers pointed out, the essence of pol-
Marketing can turn an
issue or candidate into
a commodity and shape
people’s perception of it.
www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures
A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS
5
itics is taking totally different interests and crafting a major-
ity. Historically, this has been done through the intuition and
knowledge of the leader and advisers. Now it’s being done
increasingly through marketing – by identifying a message
that will resonate with large segments of the population and, if
needed, inflaming the message to get an even larger response.
The handmaiden of marketing has been advertising and public
relations. The goal was not only to shape public opinion but to
shape the media that delivered the news and influenced public
opinion. This was a difficult task. Advertising is extremely ex-
pensive and this limits its use. Shaping news stories was even
harder. Editors controlled the content, and they were difficult
to persuade on a large scale. Moreover, there were multiple
newspapers and networks, many of which were biased, but
the biases balanced out.
Reaching the Masses
The single most important characteristic of web-based ad-
vertising is that it is cheap and can reach large numbers of
people. Hillary Clinton raised vast amounts of money. Donald
Trump didn’t. He used the internet intensely while Clinton fo-
cused on traditional media. When we look at Cambridge Ana-
lytica, we see marketing on steroids – or at least an attempt
at it. Through Facebook, the company received data that had
a specificity unavailable to older marketing methods. It al-
lowed the Trump campaign to identify targets, reach them
with uniquely effective messages, and have those messages
be forwarded to and seen by millions of people.
There is nothing new in lying to the public and other nations.
It is sometimes essential, sometimes effective. What is new
is the amount of information on the audience that is available,
the ability to segment the audience to more refined degrees,
www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures
A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS
6
and the ability to reach a large audience at low cost.
Some see the internet as a democratizing force in this regard.
But the problem is that the democratizing element was rap-
idly identified as an opportunity for marketers of goods and
services and later for political actors. The public broke down
into tribes bombarded by different sources. Having differences
of opinion is part of a healthy democracy, but the differences
were so stark that they eliminated the opportunity for debate
between factions. In other words, segmentation shattered the
political culture.
The isolation of factions from each other and the sense of ab-
solute righteousness, coupled with the demonization of oth-
ers, have grown to levels we haven’t seen before. I don’t know
what Cambridge Analytica’s impact on the election was, but
the tradition of politics, the science of marketing and the tools
of social media allowed anyone with a minimal budget to craft
a new and embittered faction in the
users’ own living rooms. If a sucker
is born every minute, then there are a
lot of suckers to sell to. P.T. Barnum
had to use a megaphone to find out
who the suckers were. Cambridge
Analytica had to click a few boxes.
Many have been obsessed with the increasing costs of po-
litical campaigns. But with the rise of internet marketing and
social media, this will be less of a concern. The internet has
democratized politics. And this is what the founders feared. Its
why they created a republic, not a democracy.
 
If a sucker is born every
minute, then there are a
lot of suckers to sell to.
www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures7
Geopolitical Futures gives you the information you need to cut through the hype and
get to the meaning behind the sensationalist headlines. The meaning that can trans-
form the way you view the world.
Every day the media produces an overwhelming amount of information, projected
through the biases of whatever interests pay their bills. A recent Gallup poll found that 62
percent of Americans think the news media favors a political party.
This is where we come in. Geopolitical thought leader and New York Times bestselling
author George Friedman founded Geopolitical Futures to disrupt the conversation about
foreign policy and international news.
This industry has become the domain of so-called experts and media outlets that only
give you the “what” without the “why.”
In everything we do, we aim to give you that “why” – without the biased spin.
Since we strive to be as unbiased as humanly possible, we depend solely on individual
subscribers to keep the company running. This way we’re not beholden to special inter-
ests or advertisers or any political agenda that would try to censor what we know to be
the truth.
We want to give you all of the tools you need to feel confident making decisions and
taking on the world every day. So if you subscribe now, you’ll get access to all of our daily
analysis, archival content and forecasts for the discounted price of $249 $99.
Subscribe Now and Save 60%
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History of fake news

  • 1. A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS S P E C I A L R E P O R T A History of Fake News
  • 2. www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS 2 T he term “fake news” entered American political dis- course during the 2016 election with both Democrats and Republicans charging each other and the media with generating fake news. Ever since, there have been count- less stories about how public opinions are manipulated for political gain. In March, it was revealed that a consulting firm called Cambridge Analytica acquired Facebook user data and used it to try to influence voters in the run-up to the election. Just a few weeks later lawmakers in Malaysia approved a law making it a crime to spread fake news, punishable by up to six years in prison. Fake news has become a global issue that af- fects the core of contemporary information technology. It has gone from a charge hurled during an American political cam- paign to an issue shaping global political discourse. Fake news could also simply be called “lying,” something that has been part of political culture ever since there were politi- cal cultures. Let me give some American examples. In 1940, during the presidential campaign, Franklin Roosevelt said that the United States would not get involved in a European war, even as U.S. and British military officials were laying plans for how such a war would be fought. In 1960, Dwight Eisenhower claimed that a weather research aircraft was shot down over Soviet airspace, when in reality it was a U-2 spy plane. John F. Kennedy charged that the Eisenhower administration’s negli- gence had allowed the Soviets to surge ahead in the number of A History of Fake News
  • 3. www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS 3 missiles they created. Not only was this not true, but Kennedy knew it wasn’t true. Lyndon Johnson, during the 1964 cam- paign, waged a campaign to convince the public that Barry Goldwater was likely to start a nuclear war because he was mentally unstable. Then, Goldwater supporters spread con- spiracy theories that Johnson had John F. Kennedy murdered. There are examples from outside the U.S. as well. The British planted a story during World War I that the Germans were us- ing Belgian bodies to make soap. During Stalin’s blood bath in the 1930s, Soviet propaganda convinced many in the West that the Soviet Union was reaching new heights of well-being. In the midst of the catastrophic rule of Mao in China, Western intellectuals like Jean-Paul Sartre, having bought into Chinese propaganda that glo- rified what was happening in the country, wore Mao suits to symbolize their support for China. Lying in politics isn’t new, nor is the practice of spreading ru- mors to achieve certain ends. So is there anything new and noteworthy about what’s happening today? The Science of Marketing One of the things that is relatively new that must be consid- ered is the merger of marketing and elections. Contemporary marketing of products and services emerged in full force after World War II. Marketing is different from advertising, of course. Advertising has been around forever and is simply designed to pitch a product to the public. Marketing dissects the public into different segments and identifies ways to approach those seg- ments and compel them to purchase a product. Businesses Lying in politics isn’t new, nor is the practice of spreading rumors to achieve certain ends.
  • 4. www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS 4 have done this for a long time. When P.T. Barnum said “There is a sucker born every minute,” what he was saying is that people are highly susceptible to a good pitch. The pitch doesn’t have to be honest nor the product useful – a sucker will buy it any- way. What marketing did was bring a level of precision to iden- tifying suckers and what will convince them to buy something that they may not need or even want. But in recent decades, the segmentation of the public moved from an intuitive exercise to a mathematical one. Identifying ways to reach particular segments is all about communica- tion. The secret sauce, as they call it, is the message that is delivered to the audience that compels them to buy. Roosevelt did not need mathematical analysis to know how to manage public opinion. It was in his nature. Lincoln, Roosevelt and Rea- gan all understood the public, and the manipulation of public opinion started there. In their times, the leader was intimately bound to the public. The introduction of marketing methodol- ogies made it possible to manage public opinion impersonally. Marketing can turn an issue or candidate into a commodity and shape people’s perception of it. Where- as leaders previously crafted their own per- sonas, making them more authentic and therefore effective, marketing is now used to design leaders’ personas for them. Authenticity is lost and with it the quality of leadership and moral authority over is- sues. People have always been cynical about politics, but the careful crafting of the image of leaders and issues has created a degree of uncertainty in modern political life. Politics, authoritarian or democratic, has always been about building coalitions. Different people have different interests, but as the Federalist Papers pointed out, the essence of pol- Marketing can turn an issue or candidate into a commodity and shape people’s perception of it.
  • 5. www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS 5 itics is taking totally different interests and crafting a major- ity. Historically, this has been done through the intuition and knowledge of the leader and advisers. Now it’s being done increasingly through marketing – by identifying a message that will resonate with large segments of the population and, if needed, inflaming the message to get an even larger response. The handmaiden of marketing has been advertising and public relations. The goal was not only to shape public opinion but to shape the media that delivered the news and influenced public opinion. This was a difficult task. Advertising is extremely ex- pensive and this limits its use. Shaping news stories was even harder. Editors controlled the content, and they were difficult to persuade on a large scale. Moreover, there were multiple newspapers and networks, many of which were biased, but the biases balanced out. Reaching the Masses The single most important characteristic of web-based ad- vertising is that it is cheap and can reach large numbers of people. Hillary Clinton raised vast amounts of money. Donald Trump didn’t. He used the internet intensely while Clinton fo- cused on traditional media. When we look at Cambridge Ana- lytica, we see marketing on steroids – or at least an attempt at it. Through Facebook, the company received data that had a specificity unavailable to older marketing methods. It al- lowed the Trump campaign to identify targets, reach them with uniquely effective messages, and have those messages be forwarded to and seen by millions of people. There is nothing new in lying to the public and other nations. It is sometimes essential, sometimes effective. What is new is the amount of information on the audience that is available, the ability to segment the audience to more refined degrees,
  • 6. www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures A HISTORY OF FAKE NEWS 6 and the ability to reach a large audience at low cost. Some see the internet as a democratizing force in this regard. But the problem is that the democratizing element was rap- idly identified as an opportunity for marketers of goods and services and later for political actors. The public broke down into tribes bombarded by different sources. Having differences of opinion is part of a healthy democracy, but the differences were so stark that they eliminated the opportunity for debate between factions. In other words, segmentation shattered the political culture. The isolation of factions from each other and the sense of ab- solute righteousness, coupled with the demonization of oth- ers, have grown to levels we haven’t seen before. I don’t know what Cambridge Analytica’s impact on the election was, but the tradition of politics, the science of marketing and the tools of social media allowed anyone with a minimal budget to craft a new and embittered faction in the users’ own living rooms. If a sucker is born every minute, then there are a lot of suckers to sell to. P.T. Barnum had to use a megaphone to find out who the suckers were. Cambridge Analytica had to click a few boxes. Many have been obsessed with the increasing costs of po- litical campaigns. But with the rise of internet marketing and social media, this will be less of a concern. The internet has democratized politics. And this is what the founders feared. Its why they created a republic, not a democracy.   If a sucker is born every minute, then there are a lot of suckers to sell to.
  • 7. www.geopoliticalfutures.com © 2018 Geopolitical Futures7 Geopolitical Futures gives you the information you need to cut through the hype and get to the meaning behind the sensationalist headlines. The meaning that can trans- form the way you view the world. Every day the media produces an overwhelming amount of information, projected through the biases of whatever interests pay their bills. A recent Gallup poll found that 62 percent of Americans think the news media favors a political party. This is where we come in. Geopolitical thought leader and New York Times bestselling author George Friedman founded Geopolitical Futures to disrupt the conversation about foreign policy and international news. This industry has become the domain of so-called experts and media outlets that only give you the “what” without the “why.” In everything we do, we aim to give you that “why” – without the biased spin. Since we strive to be as unbiased as humanly possible, we depend solely on individual subscribers to keep the company running. This way we’re not beholden to special inter- ests or advertisers or any political agenda that would try to censor what we know to be the truth. We want to give you all of the tools you need to feel confident making decisions and taking on the world every day. So if you subscribe now, you’ll get access to all of our daily analysis, archival content and forecasts for the discounted price of $249 $99. Subscribe Now and Save 60%