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A
                                     Defining and identifying the status quo of Rosengård




                                                                                       B
                                     Exploring the driving factors in Rosengård’s reality




                                                                                       C
                                                                      A time perspective




                                                                                       D
                                           A response to the future: strategy and action




Moving scenarios
Rosengård: days of the future past
B + C
                             Understanding the relationship between                     D
             A               the main factors identified in Step 1.     Defining a response to the status quo
   Identifying the driving     Understanding these factors in the         and the proposed scenario. Six key
  forces and uncertainties           light of a timescale.            terms are proposed as an answer to what
                                                                       the future appears to have in mind for
                                                                                      Rosengård.




                                                                                            A
                                                                               SWOT analysis of Rosengård




An overview
A




Strengths and opportunities                                      Weaknesses and threats
Mostly associated with the young human capital of Rosengård.     Rosengård is a potentially volatile community when it comes to
                                                                 its social standing: it is overcrowded, neglected and isolated.
Youngsters can be shaped and educated, and have a good outlook
when it comes to the possibility of learning the Swedish lan-    The absence of a sense of ownership is also a problem: most
guage and acquiring a formal education.                          people only rent their apartments and thus have little attach-
                                                                 ment to a community they regard as temporary.
Also, there is cheap labour force in the community, which may
supply hands to the projected increase in agriculture due to     Finally, since it is populated by a vast majority of migrants,
climate change.                                                  it is very susceptible to foreign circumstances, so its social
                                                                 make-up will continue to be overwhelmingly migrant, and under
                                                                 the risk of further social isolation.




                                                                                   Rosengård today                  SWOT
B
The driving forces
                                                         Climate                        Economy
                                                      Global warming is expected     Rosengård is a community
                                                      to continue. Its consequenc-   with lower scholarity levels
                                                      es are location-specific:      and high unemployment. With
                                                      Swedish winters are already    Malmö’s economy continuous-
                                                      milder and agricultural pro-   ly diversifying, Rosengård
                                                      duction and coverage could     demands more investment in
                                                      benefit from this.             both the economic context,
                                                                                     and its educational reality.
                                                      However, due to its so-
                                                      cial make-up, Rosengård is     The creation of micro-busi-
                                                      highly vulnerable to foreign   nesses based on knowledge
                                                      events, so droughts, fam-      and technology address both
                                                      ine or food-related wars in    situations and could be a
                                                      warmer latitudes are ex-       valid answer to the chal-
                                                      pected to translate to more    lenges of the future,
                                                      newcomers to Scandinavia.



                                                         Social                         Land use
                                                      Sweden will continue receiv-   Rosengård meant the end of
                                                      ing migrants. While Aus-       high rise housing blocks in
                                                      tralia or Canada welcome       Sweden. However, it is ex-
                                                      educated migrants Sweden re-   pected that public housing
                                                      mains accesible to all. How-   development will continue
                                                      ever, Rosengård may only see   elsewhere in Malmö.
                                                      a slight population increase
                                                      and due to lack of phsyical    How will this affect the
                                                      space and public services,     social landscape of Rosen-
                                                      it is not expected to exceed   gård? Will its population
                                                      24.000 residents.              decrease, remain stable or
                                                                                     increase?
                                                      Can more migrants mean cheap
                                                      labour to the agricultural
                                                      future and support to the
                                                      Swedish pension system?

  Sub-issues tangle with each other trans-category.
Time perspective                                                                                                                    C




1961                        1971                        1991                        2008                        2014
5.250 inhabitants           23.112 inhabitants          17.190 inhabitants          21.904 inhabitants          22.224 inhabitants




           White people leave Rosengård; population continues to grow

                    Today, only about 1 in 10 residents of Rosengård is not of foreign extraction.
                    It is expected that White Flight, which emphasizes segregation of the community, will continue in Rosengård.
                    The population will continue increasing at a moderate rate, fueled by middle Eastern and African migrants.

                    The development landscape of Malmö as a whole will continue its diversifying process, switching from industry
                    to a knowledge-based society.

                    These situations call for more intense social integration and educational      efforts.




                                                                                                                                     Source: Malmö Stad
                    Climate-related consequences are expected to take a longer time to be felt.
D

   Ownership / Micro business / bartering

What?
Today, residents don’t own their homes and will move out as soon as
possible. Can they own other aspects of life in Rosengård?

Why?
To enhance the sense of belonging and affection towards the commu-
nity, as well as to involve residents in development iniatives.

How?
Small commercial initiatives provide an alternative. Neighborhood
businesses and public services often a different approach to owner-
ship: to take care of something that is somehow benefitial to the
community. Additionally, it can be a source of income. Micro busi-
nesses need less than 5 employees and the nearly 22.000 people of
Rosengård (11.000 young!) conform a defined market to start.

Bartering provides an additional perspective: it eliminates the
need for money. When you are new in a country, you may not have
cash but you have skills which you can trade for products or ser-
vices. When you combine bartering with creating a sense of owner-
ship, the result is an increase sense of communal ownership. With
a future where agriculture and food-production appear relevant to
Skåne’s landscape, small scale vegetable production, trading and
commercialization appears as an important alternative to address
these issues.




         Neighborhood commerce: an alternative approach to ownership.
                                                                        6 step-response
                                                                                     Part 1
D
6 step-response
             Part 2
                        Urban sports /
                      self expression /
                      access to education and technology

                      What?
                      Life in Rosengård is like living in a diagram where the
                      functions are disconnected between themselves and from the
                      rest of the city. Apartment blocks erase all sign of in-
                      dividuality, and the original architectural programme for
                      this Million Programme project is very stiff when it comes
                      to these issues. The point: to take activities that are
                      popular among young people and make them a spatial prior-
                      ity.

                      Why?
                      Because it is a way to add value to Rosengård’s inhabit-
                      ants. Many people play football, but nowadays activities
                      like brake dancing or skateboarding are growing strong
                      among young people.

                      How?
                      By offering young people the chance to be visible and
                      identifiable in the community, in new ways. Urban sports,
                      the internet (Facebook, Wikipedia, etc.) or urban art are
                      potential branding and knowledge generators.

                      There are over 10.000 young persons in Rosengård, some of
                      them don’t work or go to school. To give young people some
                      tools today is to avoid problems tomorrow.




                      Skateboarding - Grafitti - Murals - Brake dancing - Nintendo Wii
                      - WiFi park - Parcour - BMX - Rollerblading - Interactive wall
One future, two outcomes.
People will continue arriving in Rosengård.
The City of Malmö foresees it, and the cir-
 cumstances examined before appear to back
 this prediction. How will the community,
  the city and the country deal with this
             impending future?

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Scenarios

  • 1. A Defining and identifying the status quo of Rosengård B Exploring the driving factors in Rosengård’s reality C A time perspective D A response to the future: strategy and action Moving scenarios Rosengård: days of the future past
  • 2. B + C Understanding the relationship between D A the main factors identified in Step 1. Defining a response to the status quo Identifying the driving Understanding these factors in the and the proposed scenario. Six key forces and uncertainties light of a timescale. terms are proposed as an answer to what the future appears to have in mind for Rosengård. A SWOT analysis of Rosengård An overview
  • 3. A Strengths and opportunities Weaknesses and threats Mostly associated with the young human capital of Rosengård. Rosengård is a potentially volatile community when it comes to its social standing: it is overcrowded, neglected and isolated. Youngsters can be shaped and educated, and have a good outlook when it comes to the possibility of learning the Swedish lan- The absence of a sense of ownership is also a problem: most guage and acquiring a formal education. people only rent their apartments and thus have little attach- ment to a community they regard as temporary. Also, there is cheap labour force in the community, which may supply hands to the projected increase in agriculture due to Finally, since it is populated by a vast majority of migrants, climate change. it is very susceptible to foreign circumstances, so its social make-up will continue to be overwhelmingly migrant, and under the risk of further social isolation. Rosengård today SWOT
  • 4. B The driving forces Climate Economy Global warming is expected Rosengård is a community to continue. Its consequenc- with lower scholarity levels es are location-specific: and high unemployment. With Swedish winters are already Malmö’s economy continuous- milder and agricultural pro- ly diversifying, Rosengård duction and coverage could demands more investment in benefit from this. both the economic context, and its educational reality. However, due to its so- cial make-up, Rosengård is The creation of micro-busi- highly vulnerable to foreign nesses based on knowledge events, so droughts, fam- and technology address both ine or food-related wars in situations and could be a warmer latitudes are ex- valid answer to the chal- pected to translate to more lenges of the future, newcomers to Scandinavia. Social Land use Sweden will continue receiv- Rosengård meant the end of ing migrants. While Aus- high rise housing blocks in tralia or Canada welcome Sweden. However, it is ex- educated migrants Sweden re- pected that public housing mains accesible to all. How- development will continue ever, Rosengård may only see elsewhere in Malmö. a slight population increase and due to lack of phsyical How will this affect the space and public services, social landscape of Rosen- it is not expected to exceed gård? Will its population 24.000 residents. decrease, remain stable or increase? Can more migrants mean cheap labour to the agricultural future and support to the Swedish pension system? Sub-issues tangle with each other trans-category.
  • 5. Time perspective C 1961 1971 1991 2008 2014 5.250 inhabitants 23.112 inhabitants 17.190 inhabitants 21.904 inhabitants 22.224 inhabitants White people leave Rosengård; population continues to grow Today, only about 1 in 10 residents of Rosengård is not of foreign extraction. It is expected that White Flight, which emphasizes segregation of the community, will continue in Rosengård. The population will continue increasing at a moderate rate, fueled by middle Eastern and African migrants. The development landscape of Malmö as a whole will continue its diversifying process, switching from industry to a knowledge-based society. These situations call for more intense social integration and educational efforts. Source: Malmö Stad Climate-related consequences are expected to take a longer time to be felt.
  • 6. D Ownership / Micro business / bartering What? Today, residents don’t own their homes and will move out as soon as possible. Can they own other aspects of life in Rosengård? Why? To enhance the sense of belonging and affection towards the commu- nity, as well as to involve residents in development iniatives. How? Small commercial initiatives provide an alternative. Neighborhood businesses and public services often a different approach to owner- ship: to take care of something that is somehow benefitial to the community. Additionally, it can be a source of income. Micro busi- nesses need less than 5 employees and the nearly 22.000 people of Rosengård (11.000 young!) conform a defined market to start. Bartering provides an additional perspective: it eliminates the need for money. When you are new in a country, you may not have cash but you have skills which you can trade for products or ser- vices. When you combine bartering with creating a sense of owner- ship, the result is an increase sense of communal ownership. With a future where agriculture and food-production appear relevant to Skåne’s landscape, small scale vegetable production, trading and commercialization appears as an important alternative to address these issues. Neighborhood commerce: an alternative approach to ownership. 6 step-response Part 1
  • 7. D 6 step-response Part 2 Urban sports / self expression / access to education and technology What? Life in Rosengård is like living in a diagram where the functions are disconnected between themselves and from the rest of the city. Apartment blocks erase all sign of in- dividuality, and the original architectural programme for this Million Programme project is very stiff when it comes to these issues. The point: to take activities that are popular among young people and make them a spatial prior- ity. Why? Because it is a way to add value to Rosengård’s inhabit- ants. Many people play football, but nowadays activities like brake dancing or skateboarding are growing strong among young people. How? By offering young people the chance to be visible and identifiable in the community, in new ways. Urban sports, the internet (Facebook, Wikipedia, etc.) or urban art are potential branding and knowledge generators. There are over 10.000 young persons in Rosengård, some of them don’t work or go to school. To give young people some tools today is to avoid problems tomorrow. Skateboarding - Grafitti - Murals - Brake dancing - Nintendo Wii - WiFi park - Parcour - BMX - Rollerblading - Interactive wall
  • 8. One future, two outcomes. People will continue arriving in Rosengård. The City of Malmö foresees it, and the cir- cumstances examined before appear to back this prediction. How will the community, the city and the country deal with this impending future?