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2019 ISRAEL ELECTIONS
A brief guide on what to expect on April 9th
Israel has a parliamentary system with one legislative chamber, the 120-seat
‘Knesset’. Members of Knesset (MKs) are elected in national, direct elections based
on the party-list proportional representation system. Each party that passes the
electoral threshold of 3.25% receives the number of parliamentary seats relative to
its percentage of the valid votes. Party lists are finalized several weeks ahead of the
election, with parties internally determining their candidates’ ranking. A Knesset is
elected for a four-year term, however the average lifetime of a Knesset is 3.4 years.
Following the elections, the President summons all the elected parties to submit
their recommended candidate for Prime Minister. The President then assigns the
task of forming a government to the party leader who has the greatest chance of
establishing a coalition government with a majority of MKs (61). Historically, the
leader of the party receiving the most votes has been tasked with forming the new
government.
During the past two decades, no single party has received more than 25% of the valid
votes, resulting in the formation of coalition governments – which have consistently
featured four or more parties. In the upcoming elections, ten to 13 medium-sized and
small political parties are expected to win seats. As such, the party leader designated
with forming a government is expected to face a complex task in lobbying other parties
to join a coalition. This will likely require the courting of parties with rather different
ideologies and agendas, and having to make significant concessions.
THE ISRAELI ELECTORAL SYSTEM
Tamar
Zandberg
Meretz
Centrist PartiesZionist Left Parties
Avi
Gabbay
Labour
Benny Gantz
Yair Lapid
Orly Levi
Gesher
Blue & White
Right Wing Parties
Moshe
Kahlon
Kulanu
Benjamin
Netanyahu
Likud
Avigdor
Liberman
Yisrael Beiteinu
Naftali Bennett
Ayelet Shaked
New Right
Rafi Peretz
Bezalel Smotrich
Union of Right-Wing
Parties
• The Left and Right of the political spectrum is mainly
differentiated by their approach to the Arab-Israeli Conflict
and on views of the level of separation of “Church and
State”.
• The larger and medium-sized parties are situated close to
the center on main electoral issues.
• Other parties take more extreme positions.
• Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz/Yair Lapid are
considered to be frontrunners for the position of Prime
Minister.
Non-Zionist Arab Parties Ultra-Orthodox Parties
Yaacov
Litzman
United Torah
Judaism
Aryeh Deri
Shas
Ayman Odeh
Ahmad Tibi
Mtanes Shihadeh
Mansour Abbas
Hadash + Ta’al Balad + Ra’am
KEY CANDIDATES, THEIR PARTIES & EMPHASIS
9 April
Vote Counting
Initial results will become available
the following day
10 April
Formal Election
Results Published
Designated Prime
Minister has 28 days to
form a Governing
Coalition
New Government
The designated Prime
Minister may ask for an
extra 14 days to
complete the formation
of a coalitionEarly May
(approx.)
ELECTION TIMELINE
17 April 23 April
Formal Consultations
The President will consult with all
political parties and subsequently task
the Knesset Member with the best
chance of forming a governing
coalition
Voting Day
Voting closes at 10PM, Exit
Polls are published
Inauguration of
Elected Knesset
Members
After April 17
Peace Process
The Trump Administration is expected to
release its Israel-Palestinian peace plan after
the elections. The Israeli Right includes
voices in favor of maintaining the status quo
and/or annexation of Jewish settlements in
the West Bank, whereas the Center and Left
mostly advocate for bilateral negotiations with
the Palestinian Authority (PA) and/or
unilateral withdrawals from most of the West
Bank with the exception of the Settlement
Blocs.
Security
There is a broad consensus across the
political spectrum from Right to Left that
Iran’s perceived malign influence in the
region – especially in Syria (which
borders Israel) – is Israel’s greatest
security threat. With Russian support for
the Syrian Regime, Israel has to maintain
a good relationship with President Putin
and the Kremlin.
There is disagreement between the
different parties on policy over Hamas in
the Gaza Strip, with some advocating for
indirect negotiations aimed at reaching a
long-term truce and others calling for a
decisive military campaign against the
organization.
Regional Rapprochement &
Looking Eastwards
The majority of the political spectrum
embraces Israel’s growing relations with
the Gulf Arab states, though the Center and
Left caution that progress with the
Palestinians is needed for these ties to
reach their full potential. Likewise, there is
broad support for expanding diplomatic and
trade relations in Asia, though some have
warned against the potentially adverse
ramifications of growing ties with China on
Israel’s traditionally close and strategic
relationship with the U.S.
KEY ISSUES – PEACE AND SECURITY
Economic Affairs
Israel’s high cost of living has emerged as
a key domestic issue since large-scale
protests in 2011. The Left favors greater
social benefits and expanded government
programs to support the lower socio-
economic groups, while the Right often
urges expanded market competition and
removing protectionist barriers for
traditional domestic industries.
Corruption & Rule of Law
Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit
announced in late February his intent to
prosecute current prime minister Benjamin
Netanyahu on charges of fraud, bribery and
breach of trust. Opponents of the prime
minister argue that the indictments should
warrant his resignation, while supporters
maintain that the indictments are not a
guilty sentence and that the prime
minister’s statesmanship and competency
in security and foreign policy override
corruption investigations. Some supporters
are also advocating legislation to prevent a
sitting premier from being investigated.
Socio-Economic Issues
There is a growing divide between secular
and religious Jews on the place of religion
in the public domain. This divide is
manifested in disputes such as the ultra-
Orthodox enlistment exemptions, lack of
public transportation on the Sabbath, public
infrastructure work on he Sabbath and
more.
Over the past year there have been mass
demonstrations in support of LGBTQ,
ethnic minorities, and women’s rights, with
many concerned over a perceived decline
in support for tolerance and pluralism.
Israel has one of the highest rates of
poverty and wealth inequality among OECD
countries, with nearly 50% of the Arab and
Ultra-Orthodox populations living below the
poverty line.
KEY ISSUES – ECONOMY AND SOCIETY
In an analysis of over 42,000 Social Media
conversations focused on the elections over the
past 30 days, APCO has found that discussions
were primarily focused on the key issues of
Corruption & Rule of Law, followed by Security and
Foreign Policy. The issues discussed least were
Economic Affairs and the Peace Process.
SOCIAL MEDIA TRENDS
Portfolio 2000
Portfolio 1000
www.apcoworldwide.com
For more information, contact :
Roi Feder, managing director, Tel Aviv
rfeder@apcoworldwide.com

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A guide to Israel's April 9, 2019 Elections

  • 1. 2019 ISRAEL ELECTIONS A brief guide on what to expect on April 9th
  • 2. Israel has a parliamentary system with one legislative chamber, the 120-seat ‘Knesset’. Members of Knesset (MKs) are elected in national, direct elections based on the party-list proportional representation system. Each party that passes the electoral threshold of 3.25% receives the number of parliamentary seats relative to its percentage of the valid votes. Party lists are finalized several weeks ahead of the election, with parties internally determining their candidates’ ranking. A Knesset is elected for a four-year term, however the average lifetime of a Knesset is 3.4 years. Following the elections, the President summons all the elected parties to submit their recommended candidate for Prime Minister. The President then assigns the task of forming a government to the party leader who has the greatest chance of establishing a coalition government with a majority of MKs (61). Historically, the leader of the party receiving the most votes has been tasked with forming the new government. During the past two decades, no single party has received more than 25% of the valid votes, resulting in the formation of coalition governments – which have consistently featured four or more parties. In the upcoming elections, ten to 13 medium-sized and small political parties are expected to win seats. As such, the party leader designated with forming a government is expected to face a complex task in lobbying other parties to join a coalition. This will likely require the courting of parties with rather different ideologies and agendas, and having to make significant concessions. THE ISRAELI ELECTORAL SYSTEM
  • 3. Tamar Zandberg Meretz Centrist PartiesZionist Left Parties Avi Gabbay Labour Benny Gantz Yair Lapid Orly Levi Gesher Blue & White Right Wing Parties Moshe Kahlon Kulanu Benjamin Netanyahu Likud Avigdor Liberman Yisrael Beiteinu Naftali Bennett Ayelet Shaked New Right Rafi Peretz Bezalel Smotrich Union of Right-Wing Parties • The Left and Right of the political spectrum is mainly differentiated by their approach to the Arab-Israeli Conflict and on views of the level of separation of “Church and State”. • The larger and medium-sized parties are situated close to the center on main electoral issues. • Other parties take more extreme positions. • Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz/Yair Lapid are considered to be frontrunners for the position of Prime Minister. Non-Zionist Arab Parties Ultra-Orthodox Parties Yaacov Litzman United Torah Judaism Aryeh Deri Shas Ayman Odeh Ahmad Tibi Mtanes Shihadeh Mansour Abbas Hadash + Ta’al Balad + Ra’am KEY CANDIDATES, THEIR PARTIES & EMPHASIS
  • 4. 9 April Vote Counting Initial results will become available the following day 10 April Formal Election Results Published Designated Prime Minister has 28 days to form a Governing Coalition New Government The designated Prime Minister may ask for an extra 14 days to complete the formation of a coalitionEarly May (approx.) ELECTION TIMELINE 17 April 23 April Formal Consultations The President will consult with all political parties and subsequently task the Knesset Member with the best chance of forming a governing coalition Voting Day Voting closes at 10PM, Exit Polls are published Inauguration of Elected Knesset Members After April 17
  • 5. Peace Process The Trump Administration is expected to release its Israel-Palestinian peace plan after the elections. The Israeli Right includes voices in favor of maintaining the status quo and/or annexation of Jewish settlements in the West Bank, whereas the Center and Left mostly advocate for bilateral negotiations with the Palestinian Authority (PA) and/or unilateral withdrawals from most of the West Bank with the exception of the Settlement Blocs. Security There is a broad consensus across the political spectrum from Right to Left that Iran’s perceived malign influence in the region – especially in Syria (which borders Israel) – is Israel’s greatest security threat. With Russian support for the Syrian Regime, Israel has to maintain a good relationship with President Putin and the Kremlin. There is disagreement between the different parties on policy over Hamas in the Gaza Strip, with some advocating for indirect negotiations aimed at reaching a long-term truce and others calling for a decisive military campaign against the organization. Regional Rapprochement & Looking Eastwards The majority of the political spectrum embraces Israel’s growing relations with the Gulf Arab states, though the Center and Left caution that progress with the Palestinians is needed for these ties to reach their full potential. Likewise, there is broad support for expanding diplomatic and trade relations in Asia, though some have warned against the potentially adverse ramifications of growing ties with China on Israel’s traditionally close and strategic relationship with the U.S. KEY ISSUES – PEACE AND SECURITY
  • 6. Economic Affairs Israel’s high cost of living has emerged as a key domestic issue since large-scale protests in 2011. The Left favors greater social benefits and expanded government programs to support the lower socio- economic groups, while the Right often urges expanded market competition and removing protectionist barriers for traditional domestic industries. Corruption & Rule of Law Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit announced in late February his intent to prosecute current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu on charges of fraud, bribery and breach of trust. Opponents of the prime minister argue that the indictments should warrant his resignation, while supporters maintain that the indictments are not a guilty sentence and that the prime minister’s statesmanship and competency in security and foreign policy override corruption investigations. Some supporters are also advocating legislation to prevent a sitting premier from being investigated. Socio-Economic Issues There is a growing divide between secular and religious Jews on the place of religion in the public domain. This divide is manifested in disputes such as the ultra- Orthodox enlistment exemptions, lack of public transportation on the Sabbath, public infrastructure work on he Sabbath and more. Over the past year there have been mass demonstrations in support of LGBTQ, ethnic minorities, and women’s rights, with many concerned over a perceived decline in support for tolerance and pluralism. Israel has one of the highest rates of poverty and wealth inequality among OECD countries, with nearly 50% of the Arab and Ultra-Orthodox populations living below the poverty line. KEY ISSUES – ECONOMY AND SOCIETY
  • 7. In an analysis of over 42,000 Social Media conversations focused on the elections over the past 30 days, APCO has found that discussions were primarily focused on the key issues of Corruption & Rule of Law, followed by Security and Foreign Policy. The issues discussed least were Economic Affairs and the Peace Process. SOCIAL MEDIA TRENDS Portfolio 2000 Portfolio 1000
  • 8. www.apcoworldwide.com For more information, contact : Roi Feder, managing director, Tel Aviv rfeder@apcoworldwide.com