This is the presentation I did last week at the USGIF Technology Day event. The presentation was in the Ignite format and talked about how to model human behavior like hurricanes and weather patterns to help build and calibrate a predictive model of where events will happen and what other impacts they will have on neighboring geographies.
5. what does it mean to shift from reactive to
predictive?
6. boiling the ocean
• Demographics • Language
• Economy • Medical / Health
• Education • Religion
• Ethnicity • Climate
• Groups • Significant Events
• Land-Use • Transportation
• Communications
wwhgd.org
7. the premise
2nd & Laws of Thermodynamics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/laws_of_thermodynamics
8. obstacles to success
•highly complex variables
•data fidelity & currency
•rate of change accelerates unevenly
•business models (monetization)
•big data (25 zettabytes by 2020)
9. obstacles to success
•open vs. proprietary vs. interoperability
•enterprise vs. SaaS vs. hybrids
•mobile devices as producer & consumer
•data disparity across geographies
•UX is everything...
18. July 2013
•
Jan 2013
natural events
• economics
• geopolitics
• climate Nov 2012
• migration
• food security Oct 2012
Sept 2012
August 2012
July 2012