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The Taxpayers’ Perspective   1
Balancing Act



                             The Irish Government faces a difficult
                             balancing act over the coming years in
                             response to the economic crisis.

                             Irish taxpayers will be expected to bear
                             much of the burden of restoring the
                             public finances to a sustainable trend.

                             This special Amárach Research study
                             explores the current perceptions and
                             preferences of Irish taxpayers as the
                             Government prepares its 2011 Budget
                             and 4-Year Plan.



The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                              2
Methodology


                             The findings reported in this study
                             are from the monthly Amárach
                             Research omnibus survey.

                             1,000 adults over the age of 15 in the
                             Republic of Ireland were interviewed
                             between 11th and 20th October 2010.

                             The quota-controlled sample
                             comprised 850 online interviews and
                             150 face-to-face interviews, the latter
                             to include groups with low levels of
                             internet usage.

                             The combined results have been
                             weighted to represent the total adult
                             Irish population.
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                             3
1. Taxing Times
                                    whose burden?

                                 2. Could Do Better
                                    value for taxes

                                 3. Balancing Act
                                    the big debate




The Taxpayers’ Perspective   4
1. Taxing Times
                                    whose burden?




The Taxpayers’ Perspective   5
The Coping Classes


                             Although there are different ways
                             of measuring the distribution of
                             taxes (including direct and indirect
                             taxes) it is a little more
                             straightforward for workers in
                             relation to wages and salaries.

                             In our survey, we asked those
                             adults in employment to calculate
                             the share of their earning
                             deducted as taxes and other
                             deductions, and to say how much
                             more they would be willing to pay
                             in light of the impending budget.

The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                          6
Pay Up



         The typical employee in our survey claims that he or she
         pays just over a quarter of their wage or salary in taxes
         and other deductions.

         Men pay a higher percentage than women, and older
         workers pay a higher percentage than younger workers.

         Public sector workers, and employees who belong to
         trade unions also pay higher percentages than others…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective          7
Taxing Incomes




                             Base = All Employees
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                          8
Pay Up


       Overall, equal proportions of Irish workers consider the
       amounts deducted from their salaries to be ‘fair enough’ or
       ‘too high’ (49% vs 49%), and only one worker in fifty thinks
       that their income deductions are ‘too low’.

       Young workers are less likely than other age groups to
       say that their income deductions are too high.

       Public sector workers, and trade union members are more
       like than private sector workers/non-members to consider
       their wage or salary deductions to be too high…



The Taxpayers’ Perspective          9
Enough is Enough




                             Base = All Employees
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                          10
Pay Up


       The average employee would be prepared to pay an extra
       3 percentage points in taxes on their incomes in response
       to the Government’s budget requirements for 2011.

       Only 16-24 year old employees would be prepared to pay
       less than they currently have deducted, with the oldest
       workers prepared to see the biggest increase.

       There were otherwise few differences in the percentage
       extra that workers in different sectors etc are willing to see
       deducted…



The Taxpayers’ Perspective           11
A Little Extra




                             Base = All Employees
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                          12
2. Could Do Better
                                     value for taxes




The Taxpayers’ Perspective   13
Enough Already


                             Tax isn’t just about percentages
                             and burdens, it’s also about
                             fairness and value for money.

                             In our survey, we asked all adults
                             – employees and others –
                             whether the felt they were paying
                             a fair enough share of taxes.

                             We also examined their
                             willingness to pay more taxes (not
                             just income taxes on those in
                             employment), and attitudes
                             towards new taxes such as a
                             property tax.
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                        14
Pay Up

       Turning from the opinions of employees to those of the
       total adult population, the majority of Irish adults (53%)
       agree that ‘I pay more than my fair share of taxes right
       now’. Only one in five disagrees.

       35-44 year olds are more likely to agree than other age
       groups, and men more than women.

       Public sector workers are significantly more likely to agree
       they pay more than their fair share than are private sector
       workers, similarly with trade union members vs non-
       members…



The Taxpayers’ Perspective          15
Unfair Shares




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       16
Pay Up

       Over 6 in 10 adults disagree with the view that ‘people like
       me should be prepared to pay more tax’.

       There are few significant differences by age or gender,
       though those in lower socio-economic groups (C2DEs)
       are more likely to disagree than those in higher groups
       (ABC1s).

       As before, public sector workers are significantly different
       from private sector workers (the former disagree much
       more than the latter), thought there is a less significant
       gap between union and non-union members…



The Taxpayers’ Perspective          17
Solidarity




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       18
Pay Up



       There is a high level of disagreement with the view that
       ‘on balance we have a fair tax system in Ireland’ – 60%
       disagree, and only 1 in 4 agree.

       Those who report already paying the highest percentages
       of deductions from their incomes (ABC1s, public sector
       workers, trade union members) are significantly more
       likely to disagree with this view than others…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective          19
Getting It Right




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       20
Pay Up



       However, despite perceptions of unfairness and already
       significant levels of deductions, there is considerable
       agreement with the view that ‘people on low incomes
       shouldn’t have to pay income tax’ – 63% agree with this.

       Women and older adults over 45 are more likely to agree
       with this view than others, whilst trade union members are
       more likely to disagree with the viewpoint than non-union
       members…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective         21
Less Fortunate




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       22
3. Balancing Act
                                     the big debate




The Taxpayers’ Perspective   23
Don’t Look Down

                             One influence on taxpayers’
                             perceptions of ‘value for money’ is
                             their sense of how effectively and
                             efficiently government spends their
                             money.

                             In our survey, we asked all adults
                             whether they felt the Irish
                             government is spending their
                             money wisely.

                             Finally, we asked the crucial
                             question: what should the balance
                             be between tax increases and
                             spending cuts in the forthcoming
                             Budget 2011.
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                         24
Pay Up


        A large majority (64%) disagree with the view that ‘I have
        a clear understanding of how the government spends
        taxpayers’ money’.

        Women and 25-34s are more likely to disagree with this
        view than other adults, as are non-union members
        compared to union members.

        Curiously, public sector workers are as equally ‘unclear’
        about government spending of taxpayers’ money as
        private sector workers…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective          25
Some Misunderstanding




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       26
Pay Up


        In light of the findings in the previous chart, it isn’t
        surprising to learn that a huge majority (84%) disagree
        with the view that ‘I trust the government to spend
        taxpayers’ money wisely’.

        Public sector workers and trade union members are even
        more likely to disagree than their counterparts in the
        private sector or those employees who not union
        members…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective          27
Wise Heads




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       28
Pay Up


        With regard to a property tax, a slim majority (51%)
        disagree with the idea that ‘the Government should
        introduce a property tax to fund our local authorities’.

        Disagreement is higher among 35-44 year olds, private
        sector workers and trade union members.

        Agreement (1 in 3 adults overall) is highest among those
        over 45 (who possibly remember local authority rates from
        before they were abolished in 1977)…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective           29
Property Tax




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       30
Pay Up


        In terms of ‘value for money’, two thirds of Irish adults
        disagree with the statement ‘I feel I get more back from
        government services than I contribute in taxes’.

        Women are more likely than men to disagree, as are 35-
        44s, ABC1s, and trade union members compared to their
        peers.

        Fewer than one in five (17%) agree with the statement,
        higher among 16-24s and C2DEs…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective          31
Return on Investment




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       32
Pay Up


        On the crucial issue of how the Government should meet
        its objects for Budget 2011 and beyond, it is clear that
        Irish adults think the greater part of the balancing process
        should come from spending cuts, not tax increases.

        The average proposed mix of tax increases and spending
        cuts is 30% for tax increases and 70% for spending cuts.

        There is remarkable consistency across all demographic
        groups and employee categories in relation to this self-
        proposed balance of tax increases and spending cuts…




The Taxpayers’ Perspective           33
A Little Extra




                             Base = All Adults
The Taxpayers’ Perspective                       34
From Here to There




The Taxpayers’ Perspective   35
Crossing Over

                             Our findings provide some guidance to
                             those making difficult choices in the
                             weeks and months ahead.

                             Clearly there is a preference for tax
                             increases and spending cuts to support
                             the budget balancing act now before us.

                             However, most taxpayers feel they are
                             already contributing enough – so
                             convincing them to do more will require
                             considerable skill.

                             Greater clarity about how the
                             government will prioritise its spending in
                             the years ahead – securing better value
                             in the process – will undoubtedly help.

The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                                36
Amárach Research
                                               11 Kingswood Business Centre
                                                   Citywest Business Campus
                                                                    Dublin 24
                              T. (01) 410 5200 E: gerard.oneill@amarach.com
The Taxpayers’ Perspective   W: www.amarach.com B: www.amarach.com/blog     37
Appendix: About Amárach
     We are Ireland’s largest independent market
     research agency, in business since 1989.
                                                                             3 rd March 2009
     We focus on delivering two key benefits to our                          Welcome to the latest edition of consumerforesight from Amárach Research. We
     clients:                                                                have set out to make consumerforesight a more interactive and informative
                                                                             research and planning tool for subscribers. Feel free to invite others to register
                                                                             for our free eLetter on our home page.


     1. Consumer Foresight
     – using research to say ‘what next’.                                     Two months gone, ten to go. Like Keith Richards, we‟re all at the
                                                                              stage of “it‟s good to be here – it‟s good to be anywhere”. But it
                                                                              is tough out there. Against a background of industrial unrest
                                                                              (even the Gardaí are protesting!), we shouldn‟t be surprised if

     2. Business Insight                                                      consumers are on something of a „go slow‟ themselves.



     – using research to make business decisions.                             But it won‟t last. It‟s too early for green shoots, but as time goes
                                                                              by people will want to buy: especially those still in secure jobs
                                                                              who are faced with extraordinary bargains in shops, hotels and
                                                                              car showrooms. Irish consumers don‟t really do hair shirts.
                                                                              When we have money we can afford to spend then we‟re usually

     We provide the full array of market research                             inclined to spend it: assuming we‟re getting good value and not
                                                                              being ripped off.


     services including:                                                      Don’t forget: for every person in Ireland with a mortgage,
                                                                              loan or ‘maxed out’ credit card there is another person
                                                                              without any debt (at all). W hat are you doing to tap the
                                                                              ‘worried well’ market?

     - Quantitative: face-to-face, telephone, web
     - Qualitative: focus groups, in-depths, ethnographic                             Before you embark on a new brand or                     Business is about passion: so for that matter is
     - Field Only: for international & domestic agencies                              business just remember Seth Godin‟s
                                                                                      three things you need read more
                                                                                                                                              the economy – check out some wise words on the
                                                                                                                                              role of passion in success read more
                                                                                      With the world all „a-twitter‟ don‟t forget             How not to do food marketing: quite possibly the
                                                                                      the future is on the TV read more                       worst food in the world read more
                                                                                      It‟s all down to psychology – an Amárach                Optimistic people are healthy and happy – even
     Register for our free fortnightly eletter                                        presentation on how Irish consumers will
                                                                                      lead us to recovery read more
                                                                                                                                              when the economy is collapsing around them:
                                                                                                                                              what are you doing for optimism? read more

     consumerforesight at: www.amarach.com
                                                                              Amárach Research will present a paper on „Life Online 2009‟ at Comreg‟s ICT Research conference on 12 th
     Read our blog:
     www.amarach.com/blog
     Cover image cred:
     http://www.contractoraccountants.com/2010/09/22/coalition-government-
     will-be-on-the-lookout-for-tax-evaders/


The Taxpayers’ Perspective                                         38

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The Taxpayers' Perspective November 2010

  • 2. Balancing Act The Irish Government faces a difficult balancing act over the coming years in response to the economic crisis. Irish taxpayers will be expected to bear much of the burden of restoring the public finances to a sustainable trend. This special Amárach Research study explores the current perceptions and preferences of Irish taxpayers as the Government prepares its 2011 Budget and 4-Year Plan. The Taxpayers’ Perspective 2
  • 3. Methodology The findings reported in this study are from the monthly Amárach Research omnibus survey. 1,000 adults over the age of 15 in the Republic of Ireland were interviewed between 11th and 20th October 2010. The quota-controlled sample comprised 850 online interviews and 150 face-to-face interviews, the latter to include groups with low levels of internet usage. The combined results have been weighted to represent the total adult Irish population. The Taxpayers’ Perspective 3
  • 4. 1. Taxing Times whose burden? 2. Could Do Better value for taxes 3. Balancing Act the big debate The Taxpayers’ Perspective 4
  • 5. 1. Taxing Times whose burden? The Taxpayers’ Perspective 5
  • 6. The Coping Classes Although there are different ways of measuring the distribution of taxes (including direct and indirect taxes) it is a little more straightforward for workers in relation to wages and salaries. In our survey, we asked those adults in employment to calculate the share of their earning deducted as taxes and other deductions, and to say how much more they would be willing to pay in light of the impending budget. The Taxpayers’ Perspective 6
  • 7. Pay Up The typical employee in our survey claims that he or she pays just over a quarter of their wage or salary in taxes and other deductions. Men pay a higher percentage than women, and older workers pay a higher percentage than younger workers. Public sector workers, and employees who belong to trade unions also pay higher percentages than others… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 7
  • 8. Taxing Incomes Base = All Employees The Taxpayers’ Perspective 8
  • 9. Pay Up Overall, equal proportions of Irish workers consider the amounts deducted from their salaries to be ‘fair enough’ or ‘too high’ (49% vs 49%), and only one worker in fifty thinks that their income deductions are ‘too low’. Young workers are less likely than other age groups to say that their income deductions are too high. Public sector workers, and trade union members are more like than private sector workers/non-members to consider their wage or salary deductions to be too high… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 9
  • 10. Enough is Enough Base = All Employees The Taxpayers’ Perspective 10
  • 11. Pay Up The average employee would be prepared to pay an extra 3 percentage points in taxes on their incomes in response to the Government’s budget requirements for 2011. Only 16-24 year old employees would be prepared to pay less than they currently have deducted, with the oldest workers prepared to see the biggest increase. There were otherwise few differences in the percentage extra that workers in different sectors etc are willing to see deducted… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 11
  • 12. A Little Extra Base = All Employees The Taxpayers’ Perspective 12
  • 13. 2. Could Do Better value for taxes The Taxpayers’ Perspective 13
  • 14. Enough Already Tax isn’t just about percentages and burdens, it’s also about fairness and value for money. In our survey, we asked all adults – employees and others – whether the felt they were paying a fair enough share of taxes. We also examined their willingness to pay more taxes (not just income taxes on those in employment), and attitudes towards new taxes such as a property tax. The Taxpayers’ Perspective 14
  • 15. Pay Up Turning from the opinions of employees to those of the total adult population, the majority of Irish adults (53%) agree that ‘I pay more than my fair share of taxes right now’. Only one in five disagrees. 35-44 year olds are more likely to agree than other age groups, and men more than women. Public sector workers are significantly more likely to agree they pay more than their fair share than are private sector workers, similarly with trade union members vs non- members… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 15
  • 16. Unfair Shares Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 16
  • 17. Pay Up Over 6 in 10 adults disagree with the view that ‘people like me should be prepared to pay more tax’. There are few significant differences by age or gender, though those in lower socio-economic groups (C2DEs) are more likely to disagree than those in higher groups (ABC1s). As before, public sector workers are significantly different from private sector workers (the former disagree much more than the latter), thought there is a less significant gap between union and non-union members… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 17
  • 18. Solidarity Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 18
  • 19. Pay Up There is a high level of disagreement with the view that ‘on balance we have a fair tax system in Ireland’ – 60% disagree, and only 1 in 4 agree. Those who report already paying the highest percentages of deductions from their incomes (ABC1s, public sector workers, trade union members) are significantly more likely to disagree with this view than others… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 19
  • 20. Getting It Right Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 20
  • 21. Pay Up However, despite perceptions of unfairness and already significant levels of deductions, there is considerable agreement with the view that ‘people on low incomes shouldn’t have to pay income tax’ – 63% agree with this. Women and older adults over 45 are more likely to agree with this view than others, whilst trade union members are more likely to disagree with the viewpoint than non-union members… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 21
  • 22. Less Fortunate Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 22
  • 23. 3. Balancing Act the big debate The Taxpayers’ Perspective 23
  • 24. Don’t Look Down One influence on taxpayers’ perceptions of ‘value for money’ is their sense of how effectively and efficiently government spends their money. In our survey, we asked all adults whether they felt the Irish government is spending their money wisely. Finally, we asked the crucial question: what should the balance be between tax increases and spending cuts in the forthcoming Budget 2011. The Taxpayers’ Perspective 24
  • 25. Pay Up A large majority (64%) disagree with the view that ‘I have a clear understanding of how the government spends taxpayers’ money’. Women and 25-34s are more likely to disagree with this view than other adults, as are non-union members compared to union members. Curiously, public sector workers are as equally ‘unclear’ about government spending of taxpayers’ money as private sector workers… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 25
  • 26. Some Misunderstanding Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 26
  • 27. Pay Up In light of the findings in the previous chart, it isn’t surprising to learn that a huge majority (84%) disagree with the view that ‘I trust the government to spend taxpayers’ money wisely’. Public sector workers and trade union members are even more likely to disagree than their counterparts in the private sector or those employees who not union members… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 27
  • 28. Wise Heads Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 28
  • 29. Pay Up With regard to a property tax, a slim majority (51%) disagree with the idea that ‘the Government should introduce a property tax to fund our local authorities’. Disagreement is higher among 35-44 year olds, private sector workers and trade union members. Agreement (1 in 3 adults overall) is highest among those over 45 (who possibly remember local authority rates from before they were abolished in 1977)… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 29
  • 30. Property Tax Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 30
  • 31. Pay Up In terms of ‘value for money’, two thirds of Irish adults disagree with the statement ‘I feel I get more back from government services than I contribute in taxes’. Women are more likely than men to disagree, as are 35- 44s, ABC1s, and trade union members compared to their peers. Fewer than one in five (17%) agree with the statement, higher among 16-24s and C2DEs… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 31
  • 32. Return on Investment Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 32
  • 33. Pay Up On the crucial issue of how the Government should meet its objects for Budget 2011 and beyond, it is clear that Irish adults think the greater part of the balancing process should come from spending cuts, not tax increases. The average proposed mix of tax increases and spending cuts is 30% for tax increases and 70% for spending cuts. There is remarkable consistency across all demographic groups and employee categories in relation to this self- proposed balance of tax increases and spending cuts… The Taxpayers’ Perspective 33
  • 34. A Little Extra Base = All Adults The Taxpayers’ Perspective 34
  • 35. From Here to There The Taxpayers’ Perspective 35
  • 36. Crossing Over Our findings provide some guidance to those making difficult choices in the weeks and months ahead. Clearly there is a preference for tax increases and spending cuts to support the budget balancing act now before us. However, most taxpayers feel they are already contributing enough – so convincing them to do more will require considerable skill. Greater clarity about how the government will prioritise its spending in the years ahead – securing better value in the process – will undoubtedly help. The Taxpayers’ Perspective 36
  • 37. Amárach Research 11 Kingswood Business Centre Citywest Business Campus Dublin 24 T. (01) 410 5200 E: gerard.oneill@amarach.com The Taxpayers’ Perspective W: www.amarach.com B: www.amarach.com/blog 37
  • 38. Appendix: About Amárach We are Ireland’s largest independent market research agency, in business since 1989. 3 rd March 2009 We focus on delivering two key benefits to our Welcome to the latest edition of consumerforesight from Amárach Research. We clients: have set out to make consumerforesight a more interactive and informative research and planning tool for subscribers. Feel free to invite others to register for our free eLetter on our home page. 1. Consumer Foresight – using research to say ‘what next’. Two months gone, ten to go. Like Keith Richards, we‟re all at the stage of “it‟s good to be here – it‟s good to be anywhere”. But it is tough out there. Against a background of industrial unrest (even the Gardaí are protesting!), we shouldn‟t be surprised if 2. Business Insight consumers are on something of a „go slow‟ themselves. – using research to make business decisions. But it won‟t last. It‟s too early for green shoots, but as time goes by people will want to buy: especially those still in secure jobs who are faced with extraordinary bargains in shops, hotels and car showrooms. Irish consumers don‟t really do hair shirts. When we have money we can afford to spend then we‟re usually We provide the full array of market research inclined to spend it: assuming we‟re getting good value and not being ripped off. services including: Don’t forget: for every person in Ireland with a mortgage, loan or ‘maxed out’ credit card there is another person without any debt (at all). W hat are you doing to tap the ‘worried well’ market? - Quantitative: face-to-face, telephone, web - Qualitative: focus groups, in-depths, ethnographic Before you embark on a new brand or Business is about passion: so for that matter is - Field Only: for international & domestic agencies business just remember Seth Godin‟s three things you need read more the economy – check out some wise words on the role of passion in success read more With the world all „a-twitter‟ don‟t forget How not to do food marketing: quite possibly the the future is on the TV read more worst food in the world read more It‟s all down to psychology – an Amárach Optimistic people are healthy and happy – even Register for our free fortnightly eletter presentation on how Irish consumers will lead us to recovery read more when the economy is collapsing around them: what are you doing for optimism? read more consumerforesight at: www.amarach.com Amárach Research will present a paper on „Life Online 2009‟ at Comreg‟s ICT Research conference on 12 th Read our blog: www.amarach.com/blog Cover image cred: http://www.contractoraccountants.com/2010/09/22/coalition-government- will-be-on-the-lookout-for-tax-evaders/ The Taxpayers’ Perspective 38