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Suppose the Pittsburgh Steelers return the opening kickoff for a touchdown. Draw (and analyze)
a decision tree for the decision whether to kick for an extra point or attempt a two-point
conversion. (Assume that early in a football game, maximizing expected points is an optimal
strategy for winning the game.) [30 points]
Search for data to inform your probability assessments and explain how you use it. Are your
probability assessments objective or subjective? [10 points]

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Suppose the Pittsburgh Steelers return the opening kickoff for a tou.pdf

  • 1. Suppose the Pittsburgh Steelers return the opening kickoff for a touchdown. Draw (and analyze) a decision tree for the decision whether to kick for an extra point or attempt a two-point conversion. (Assume that early in a football game, maximizing expected points is an optimal strategy for winning the game.) [30 points] Search for data to inform your probability assessments and explain how you use it. Are your probability assessments objective or subjective? [10 points]