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Allan Chao
Startup Consultant
Startup V8
allan@startupv8.com

UC Berkeley Extension, Summer 2012
Question of the day:
        What is the difference between
an idea, a product, a business, and a company?

               Humor of the day:
The Agenda
 Quiz
 Quick review of last session



 Marketing
 Distribution, Advertising, and Promotion
 Revenue Models and Sales
Quiz Time

  Good luck!

10 minutes max
Quick review of prior material
 Hosting
     Server                             Advanced Deployment tools
     Data Center                        Release planning
 Hosting Options                              Firefox example of staggered releases
       Dedicated Hosting                Project Management
       Shared Hosting                       Gantt Chart
       Virtual Private Server (VPS)         Agile Development
       Colocation                       Project Management tools
       Cloud Hosting                    Budgeting
 Buying hosting                         Ninety-ninety rule
     Cheap options
                                         Deployments on closed platforms
     Rackspace, Softlayer
                                         Hiring Developers
 Deployment
                                         Managing developers
 FTP = File Transfer Protocol
                                             Extreme Programming
       Filezilla
                                             Code Reviews
 Multiple environments
                                         Outsourcing
     Dev > QA > Staging > Production
     Build Process
Positioning and Targeting
 Once sentence description of what your product is and who
  the customer is
 In-class exercise, go around the room, everyone say your
  one-sentence description.

 Position
    Differentiation from Competitors
    Value Proposition = what’s special about your product

 Targeting
    Who is your target audience
    Demographics, psychographics
    Segmenting
Differentiation
 Positioning and Targeting
 USP = Unique Selling Proposition
    What do you offer that no one else does?
    What do you offer better than competitors?


 Examples
    Newest, coolest, best?
    Cheapest, Best value?
    Most convenient?
    Most prestigious?
    Most features?
    Unique features?
Competitors
 There will be competitors
    They could have VC funding
    Their team is equally or more passionate than you
 As soon as an opportunity is recognized, competitors
  pop up everywhere.
 Usually not exact clones, but have some differentiation
 Generally, only one big winner will emerge.
   Network-effect startups are in winner-take-all markets
Handling Competitors
 What are your competitors doing right?
 What are they doing wrong?
 Use their mistakes to differentiate and push them out
    Portable music existed before iPods
    Search existed before Google
    Social networks existed before Facebook
First Mover Advantage is a myth
 Why?
   Finding the product-market fit is much harder
        Market may not be ready for your product, even if it is better
    Product is much costlier to build
    Make all the “first timer” learning mistakes


 Investors are wary of first-to-market
    Highest risk among the high risk
    If there are no competitors, maybe there is no opportunity
     (other entrepreneurs tried and failed)
    Requires high capital to “land grab”
        If there is an opportunity, competitors will appear quickly
Focusing on Niche
 Niche = small section of the total market
 E.g. Facebook                  Policy                  Year
                                    Harvard              Feb, 2004
 Why?                              Stanford,            Mar, 2004
   Better product for the niche    Columbia, Yale
   Focused marketing message       Ivy league schools   2004
   Easier to reach critical mass   All universities     2004
   Brand recognition
                                    Universities         Oct-Dec 2005
   Exclusivity effect              internationally
                                    High schools         Sep 2005
 After success, expand             Anyone               Sep 2006
Critical Mass
 Is the minimum number of users you need for your
 service to be useful for a new user.
    Reaching “traction”
 Mostly relevant to startups with strong network effects
   Social Networks
       Facebook
   Crowdsourcing sites
     Yelp

   Anything requiring concurrency
     Real time gaming

   Two sided markets
Two-sided markets
 Most commonly buyers and sellers
   Ebay
   Airbnb
   elance.com
 Which side are you making free or cheap?
 Which side are you charging?
Source Data analysis
Conversion Funnels
If you build it, they won’t come.
If you build it, they won’t come.
Options for a Web Startup
 Online marketing
   SEO
   PPC
   Social Media
   PR
 Offline Marketing
   “on-the-ground” campaigns
   Events
   Traditional marketing
       TV, radio, magazines, etc.
SEO = Search Engine Optimization
 aka “organic” listings
 “I want to be on the top of Google!”
 For small businesses, target “long-tail” keywords. E.g.
    “San Francisco flood repair”, not “flood repair”
   Very complex algorithms, constant changes
   Can be very challenging, depending on market
    saturation
   “Guaranteed rankings” are “blackhat”! Google will ban
    the site!
   Trust is very important, fraud/cheating is pervasive
SEO Implementation
 Search engine friendly website design and code
    URLs
    HTML tags
 Keyword research and keyword targeting
 Content
    Create meaningful content, bring people to your site
    Blog
 Links
 Learn more
    SEOmoz.com
SEM = Search Engine Marketing
 aka Keyword advertising
 Google Adwords, Bing, Yahoo
 Pay per click, $0.50-$20,
  depending on keywords
 Much more stable source leads
 Must be set up correctly, or else
  could be wasting money
 Many factors still at play, such
  as quality score
Google Adwords
 Pay-per-click
 Set up ads
 Set up keywords
What about Social Media?
 What is Social Media?
    Blogs (Wordpress, Blogger)
    Social Networks (Facebook, LinkedIn)
    Microblogs (Twitter)
    Location-based (Foursquare)
    Events (meetup.com, Eventbrite)
    News and Bookmarking (Digg,
     Delicious)
    Much, much more
 Free or very cheap, but massive time
  investment without obvious ROI
 Very common, almost necessary, for
  startups
Public Relations
 Hiring PR too early is a
  common mistake for startups
 Newsworthy?
    First Launch
    Launch or feature or offer
    Current events, like
     partnerships
 What’s the message?
    Message for the startup
 Target a specific writer
    Someone who already writes
     about the topics
Launch Strategy
 Do a hot launch, not a cold launch (Launch page)
 Optimize SEO and blog
 Advertise if necessary
 Use social media
 List the company on startup sites (e.g. Crunchbase)
 Target specific PR journalists


 Learn more here:
  http://www.quora.com/Whats-the-best-launch-strategy-for-a-web-startup
Analytics
 Track everything!
    Usage statistics
    User sources
    Referrals
    Errors
    Etc.


 Google Analytics
 HubSpot
 SEOMoz
Virality
 K-factor
    On average, how many
     new users will one user
     refer
    >1 … sustained growth
    <1 … sustained loss
         must be covered with
          advertising


 All those sharing buttons
The most effective marketing
 Word of mouth, personal referrals
Money…
 Profit (or pursuit of profit)
      is the difference between a hobby and a business
 You need revenue to make a profit. Lots of revenue.
Importance of a Revenue Model?
 How high are you aiming?
    IPO / acquisition / lifestyle business
 The higher you aim, the less important revenue is at the
  beginning
    But without revenue… need venture capital
Different Business Models
 Business to consumer
    Fastest, highly analytics driven
 Business to SMB
    Medium, sales cycle with analytics
 Business to enterprise
    Slowest, long sales cycle
3 Basic Revenue Models
(for websites)
 Advertising
 Subscription
   Freemium = Free + Premium
 Transaction
 http://startupmodels.blogspot.com/2012/02/revenue-
 models-for-startups.html
Advertising
            If you’re not paying for it, you’re not the customer;
                       you are the product being sold

 Significantly Detracts from user experience
 Requires broad reach and massive scale to generate large revenues
    Easier for lifestyle business, much more difficult for IPO/Acquisition
 Revenue depends on conversion rate, which depends on many factors
 RPM (revenue per mille) How much to make $1000/month
    General: $1 RPM  1 million pageviews/month
    Demographic targeting $5 RPM  200,000 pageviews/month
    Endemic advertising $20 RPM  50,000 pageviews/month
Subscription based
 Freemium = Free + Premium
    Free plan to get registered users
    Free plan is limited, must pay monthly for more
 Metrics
    Conversion rate
    Churn rate
    CLTV
    Customer lifetime value

   CPA
    Cost per acquisiton
Conversion Funnel
 Starts at all visitors
 Loss at each step
 Eventually, a small number




 Free  Paid conversion rate tends to be around 1-3%
 Those few paying users must cover the expenses of free
  users
Churn Rate
 = the rate of people unsubscribing
 Example
    500 monthly subscribers at $10/month
     each  $5,000/m
    8% monthly subscribers leave each
     month  40 leave
    Just to stay steady, you need 40 new paid
     subscriptions monthly
         To grow, you need more than 40 per month
 Conversion rate applied (in reverse)
    40 new subscriptions
    2,000 (2% CR) total subscriptions
    10,000 (20% CR) total new visitors
Other Revenue Models
(for websites)
These models are less common
 Selling data to data miners
 In-app sales
   Virtual items in games
 Patenting technology and Licensing it
 Donations / pay-what-you-want
Product Market Fit
 Achieving “Product Market Fit” means success
 How to do it?
 Customer development
    Release early
    Listen to feedback
    Sell it to customers
    Learn and iterate
The Pivot
 Back to disruptive innovation
    Never been tried before
    No one knows if it will be successful
 It’s like an experiment
    If it fails, change your hypothesis, try again
 Change a core section of your business model
    Product-market fit
 Examples
    Online game “Game Neverending” → Web photo sharing (Flickr)
    PDA payments → Email/web payments (Paypal)
    Animation equipment → Animated movies (Pixar)
Homework
 Individual, read the following:
    10 business models that rocked
     http://www.slideshare.net/boardofinnovation/10-business-models-that-rocked-2010-6434921
    Browse this: The noob guide to online marketing
     http://www.seomoz.org/blog/the-noob-guide-to-online-marketing-with-giant-infographic-11928
    Browse this: How to get Media Coverage for your Startup
     http://onstartups.com/tabid/3339/bid/80121/How-To-Get-Media-Coverage-For-Your-Startup-A-
     Complete-Guide.aspx

 (Team) Prepare your Final Presentation
    Use the pitch deck from class 2 as a basis
    Product Demo should be max 5 min of your 10-15 min presentation

 (Team) Keep Going!!
    Keep programming
    Keep working on the pitch deck
    Keep marketing your new startup
    Occasionally review the market research data (Google Analytics, etc.)

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Class 8: Introduction to web technology entrepreneurship

  • 1. Allan Chao Startup Consultant Startup V8 allan@startupv8.com UC Berkeley Extension, Summer 2012
  • 2. Question of the day: What is the difference between an idea, a product, a business, and a company? Humor of the day:
  • 3. The Agenda  Quiz  Quick review of last session  Marketing  Distribution, Advertising, and Promotion  Revenue Models and Sales
  • 4. Quiz Time Good luck! 10 minutes max
  • 5. Quick review of prior material  Hosting  Server  Advanced Deployment tools  Data Center  Release planning  Hosting Options  Firefox example of staggered releases  Dedicated Hosting  Project Management  Shared Hosting  Gantt Chart  Virtual Private Server (VPS)  Agile Development  Colocation  Project Management tools  Cloud Hosting  Budgeting  Buying hosting  Ninety-ninety rule  Cheap options  Deployments on closed platforms  Rackspace, Softlayer  Hiring Developers  Deployment  Managing developers  FTP = File Transfer Protocol  Extreme Programming  Filezilla  Code Reviews  Multiple environments  Outsourcing  Dev > QA > Staging > Production  Build Process
  • 6.
  • 7. Positioning and Targeting  Once sentence description of what your product is and who the customer is  In-class exercise, go around the room, everyone say your one-sentence description.  Position  Differentiation from Competitors  Value Proposition = what’s special about your product  Targeting  Who is your target audience  Demographics, psychographics  Segmenting
  • 8. Differentiation  Positioning and Targeting  USP = Unique Selling Proposition  What do you offer that no one else does?  What do you offer better than competitors?  Examples  Newest, coolest, best?  Cheapest, Best value?  Most convenient?  Most prestigious?  Most features?  Unique features?
  • 9. Competitors  There will be competitors  They could have VC funding  Their team is equally or more passionate than you  As soon as an opportunity is recognized, competitors pop up everywhere.  Usually not exact clones, but have some differentiation  Generally, only one big winner will emerge.  Network-effect startups are in winner-take-all markets
  • 10. Handling Competitors  What are your competitors doing right?  What are they doing wrong?  Use their mistakes to differentiate and push them out  Portable music existed before iPods  Search existed before Google  Social networks existed before Facebook
  • 11. First Mover Advantage is a myth  Why?  Finding the product-market fit is much harder  Market may not be ready for your product, even if it is better  Product is much costlier to build  Make all the “first timer” learning mistakes  Investors are wary of first-to-market  Highest risk among the high risk  If there are no competitors, maybe there is no opportunity (other entrepreneurs tried and failed)  Requires high capital to “land grab”  If there is an opportunity, competitors will appear quickly
  • 12. Focusing on Niche  Niche = small section of the total market  E.g. Facebook Policy Year Harvard Feb, 2004  Why? Stanford, Mar, 2004  Better product for the niche Columbia, Yale  Focused marketing message Ivy league schools 2004  Easier to reach critical mass All universities 2004  Brand recognition Universities Oct-Dec 2005  Exclusivity effect internationally High schools Sep 2005  After success, expand Anyone Sep 2006
  • 13. Critical Mass  Is the minimum number of users you need for your service to be useful for a new user.   Reaching “traction”  Mostly relevant to startups with strong network effects  Social Networks  Facebook  Crowdsourcing sites  Yelp  Anything requiring concurrency  Real time gaming  Two sided markets
  • 14. Two-sided markets  Most commonly buyers and sellers  Ebay  Airbnb  elance.com  Which side are you making free or cheap?  Which side are you charging?
  • 17.
  • 18. If you build it, they won’t come.
  • 19. If you build it, they won’t come.
  • 20. Options for a Web Startup  Online marketing  SEO  PPC  Social Media  PR  Offline Marketing  “on-the-ground” campaigns  Events  Traditional marketing  TV, radio, magazines, etc.
  • 21. SEO = Search Engine Optimization  aka “organic” listings  “I want to be on the top of Google!”  For small businesses, target “long-tail” keywords. E.g. “San Francisco flood repair”, not “flood repair”  Very complex algorithms, constant changes  Can be very challenging, depending on market saturation  “Guaranteed rankings” are “blackhat”! Google will ban the site!  Trust is very important, fraud/cheating is pervasive
  • 22. SEO Implementation  Search engine friendly website design and code  URLs  HTML tags  Keyword research and keyword targeting  Content  Create meaningful content, bring people to your site  Blog  Links  Learn more  SEOmoz.com
  • 23. SEM = Search Engine Marketing  aka Keyword advertising  Google Adwords, Bing, Yahoo  Pay per click, $0.50-$20, depending on keywords  Much more stable source leads  Must be set up correctly, or else could be wasting money  Many factors still at play, such as quality score
  • 24. Google Adwords  Pay-per-click  Set up ads  Set up keywords
  • 25. What about Social Media?  What is Social Media?  Blogs (Wordpress, Blogger)  Social Networks (Facebook, LinkedIn)  Microblogs (Twitter)  Location-based (Foursquare)  Events (meetup.com, Eventbrite)  News and Bookmarking (Digg, Delicious)  Much, much more  Free or very cheap, but massive time investment without obvious ROI  Very common, almost necessary, for startups
  • 26. Public Relations  Hiring PR too early is a common mistake for startups  Newsworthy?  First Launch  Launch or feature or offer  Current events, like partnerships  What’s the message?  Message for the startup  Target a specific writer  Someone who already writes about the topics
  • 27. Launch Strategy  Do a hot launch, not a cold launch (Launch page)  Optimize SEO and blog  Advertise if necessary  Use social media  List the company on startup sites (e.g. Crunchbase)  Target specific PR journalists  Learn more here: http://www.quora.com/Whats-the-best-launch-strategy-for-a-web-startup
  • 28. Analytics  Track everything!  Usage statistics  User sources  Referrals  Errors  Etc.  Google Analytics  HubSpot  SEOMoz
  • 29. Virality  K-factor  On average, how many new users will one user refer  >1 … sustained growth  <1 … sustained loss  must be covered with advertising  All those sharing buttons
  • 30. The most effective marketing  Word of mouth, personal referrals
  • 31.
  • 32. Money…  Profit (or pursuit of profit) is the difference between a hobby and a business  You need revenue to make a profit. Lots of revenue.
  • 33. Importance of a Revenue Model?  How high are you aiming?  IPO / acquisition / lifestyle business  The higher you aim, the less important revenue is at the beginning  But without revenue… need venture capital
  • 34. Different Business Models  Business to consumer  Fastest, highly analytics driven  Business to SMB  Medium, sales cycle with analytics  Business to enterprise  Slowest, long sales cycle
  • 35. 3 Basic Revenue Models (for websites)  Advertising  Subscription  Freemium = Free + Premium  Transaction  http://startupmodels.blogspot.com/2012/02/revenue- models-for-startups.html
  • 36. Advertising If you’re not paying for it, you’re not the customer; you are the product being sold  Significantly Detracts from user experience  Requires broad reach and massive scale to generate large revenues  Easier for lifestyle business, much more difficult for IPO/Acquisition  Revenue depends on conversion rate, which depends on many factors  RPM (revenue per mille) How much to make $1000/month  General: $1 RPM  1 million pageviews/month  Demographic targeting $5 RPM  200,000 pageviews/month  Endemic advertising $20 RPM  50,000 pageviews/month
  • 37. Subscription based  Freemium = Free + Premium  Free plan to get registered users  Free plan is limited, must pay monthly for more  Metrics  Conversion rate  Churn rate  CLTV Customer lifetime value  CPA Cost per acquisiton
  • 38. Conversion Funnel  Starts at all visitors  Loss at each step  Eventually, a small number  Free  Paid conversion rate tends to be around 1-3%  Those few paying users must cover the expenses of free users
  • 39. Churn Rate  = the rate of people unsubscribing  Example  500 monthly subscribers at $10/month each  $5,000/m  8% monthly subscribers leave each month  40 leave  Just to stay steady, you need 40 new paid subscriptions monthly  To grow, you need more than 40 per month  Conversion rate applied (in reverse)  40 new subscriptions  2,000 (2% CR) total subscriptions  10,000 (20% CR) total new visitors
  • 40. Other Revenue Models (for websites) These models are less common  Selling data to data miners  In-app sales  Virtual items in games  Patenting technology and Licensing it  Donations / pay-what-you-want
  • 41. Product Market Fit  Achieving “Product Market Fit” means success  How to do it?  Customer development  Release early  Listen to feedback  Sell it to customers  Learn and iterate
  • 42. The Pivot  Back to disruptive innovation  Never been tried before  No one knows if it will be successful  It’s like an experiment  If it fails, change your hypothesis, try again  Change a core section of your business model  Product-market fit  Examples  Online game “Game Neverending” → Web photo sharing (Flickr)  PDA payments → Email/web payments (Paypal)  Animation equipment → Animated movies (Pixar)
  • 43.
  • 44. Homework  Individual, read the following:  10 business models that rocked http://www.slideshare.net/boardofinnovation/10-business-models-that-rocked-2010-6434921  Browse this: The noob guide to online marketing http://www.seomoz.org/blog/the-noob-guide-to-online-marketing-with-giant-infographic-11928  Browse this: How to get Media Coverage for your Startup http://onstartups.com/tabid/3339/bid/80121/How-To-Get-Media-Coverage-For-Your-Startup-A- Complete-Guide.aspx  (Team) Prepare your Final Presentation  Use the pitch deck from class 2 as a basis  Product Demo should be max 5 min of your 10-15 min presentation  (Team) Keep Going!!  Keep programming  Keep working on the pitch deck  Keep marketing your new startup  Occasionally review the market research data (Google Analytics, etc.)