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Electronic Ink Project
Group #1
Judith Marcelo Alex Balcells Fernando López
Tomás Núñez Cristian Lueg Jorge Román
Joaquim Lizondo
Prof. L.G. Cooper
Product Management in The Digital Economy
Anderson School
March 2002
Agenda
 Electronic Ink Overview
 The Company. Gyricon Media Inc.
 The Market: Retail Signage Market
 Bayesian Network
 Sensitivity Analysis
 Recommendation
 Q & A
Electronic Ink Overview
 Conceptualized in the 70s.
 Revived in the early 90s.
 Material that is processed into a film for
integration into electronic displays - e.g. sign
labels, PDA, cellular phone, e-book reader.
Beads Film
Voltage
E-paper
Electronic Ink Overview
The Company - Gyricon
 Group that started the concept at Xerox PARC.
 Spinned off from Xerox in 2000
 Headquartered at Palo Alto, California with office
in Massachusetts; same backyard of its only
competitor - E-Ink Corporation.
The Retail Signage Market
 Point of purchase is an integral element in the
advertising arsenal
 Each week Target delivers 3 planeloads of signs
from the company’s production center
 Spends $250,000 per week on changing signs
 Home Depot carries 5 million sku’s; 14,000 of
these items change prices on any given day.
 Fines are served for violations of the state's
item-pricing laws.
The Retail Signage Market
The Projected Key Benefits
 Cost savings in labor, materials, logistics and price
accuracy fines
 Price Integrity
 Positive Customer Response
 More effective promotions
 Dynamic pricing
The Retail Signage Market
Bowling Strategy
Cell phone
Wireless
Traffic Signage E-book reader
PDA
Retail Signage
Airports,
train stations..
Energy c. +
Flexibility =
Price ++
Legibility ++
Color -
Video --
Energy c. +++
Flexibility ++
Price ++
Legibility ++
Color +
Video --
Energy c. +
Flexibility =
Price +
Legibility ++
Color -
Video --
Energy c. +
Flexibility ++
Price ++
Legibility ++
Color -
Video --
Bayesian Network
Bayesian Network slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
Bayesian Network’s Major Parts
Bayesian Network’s parts slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
S u c c e s s E -in k fo r R S M
S tra te g ic P a rtn e rs h ip
E n d U s e r Ac c e p ta n c e
T e c h n o lo g y T h re a t
Va lu e
C o m p a n y T h re a t (G yric o n )
Strategic Partnership
Strategic Partnership slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
End User Acceptance
End User Acceptance slide (E-INK PROJECT) E-ink Project. UCLA, March 2002
Technology Threat
Technology Threat slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
Company Threat
Company Threat slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
Results
Success of Ink in RSM
State Probability
Big Win 48%
Small Win 27%
Loss 23%
Results
Strategic Partnership
State Probability
Design Win 65%
Small Win 35%
End User Acceptance
State Probability
Win Likely 78%
Win Unlikely 22%
Technology Threat
State Probability
Low 78%
High 22%
Company Threat
State Probability
Low 82%
High 18%
Sensitivity Analysis
Original Strategic End User Technology Company
Scenario Partnership Acceptance Threat Threat
BigWin 48% 75% 62% 50% 50%
Little Win 27% 17% 21% 28% 28%
Loss 23% 8% 17% 22% 22%
Best Scenarios
Sensitivity Analysis
Original Strategic End User Technology Company
Scenario Partnership Acceptance Threat Threat
BigWin 48% 38% 32% 47% 47%
Little Win 27% 31% 35% 26% 26%
Loss 23% 31% 33% 27% 27%
50/50 Scenario
Recommendation
• Speed up the development of the electronic ink
technology together with the partners.
• Move rapidly in the Retail Signage Market.
• Be on the watch out for other competitors.
• Develop and attract more investors to the business.
Thank You!

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Electronic Ink Project Group Bayesian Network Analysis

  • 1. Electronic Ink Project Group #1 Judith Marcelo Alex Balcells Fernando López Tomás Núñez Cristian Lueg Jorge Román Joaquim Lizondo Prof. L.G. Cooper Product Management in The Digital Economy Anderson School March 2002
  • 2. Agenda  Electronic Ink Overview  The Company. Gyricon Media Inc.  The Market: Retail Signage Market  Bayesian Network  Sensitivity Analysis  Recommendation  Q & A
  • 3. Electronic Ink Overview  Conceptualized in the 70s.  Revived in the early 90s.  Material that is processed into a film for integration into electronic displays - e.g. sign labels, PDA, cellular phone, e-book reader.
  • 5. The Company - Gyricon  Group that started the concept at Xerox PARC.  Spinned off from Xerox in 2000  Headquartered at Palo Alto, California with office in Massachusetts; same backyard of its only competitor - E-Ink Corporation.
  • 6. The Retail Signage Market  Point of purchase is an integral element in the advertising arsenal  Each week Target delivers 3 planeloads of signs from the company’s production center  Spends $250,000 per week on changing signs  Home Depot carries 5 million sku’s; 14,000 of these items change prices on any given day.  Fines are served for violations of the state's item-pricing laws.
  • 8. The Projected Key Benefits  Cost savings in labor, materials, logistics and price accuracy fines  Price Integrity  Positive Customer Response  More effective promotions  Dynamic pricing
  • 9. The Retail Signage Market Bowling Strategy Cell phone Wireless Traffic Signage E-book reader PDA Retail Signage Airports, train stations.. Energy c. + Flexibility = Price ++ Legibility ++ Color - Video -- Energy c. +++ Flexibility ++ Price ++ Legibility ++ Color + Video -- Energy c. + Flexibility = Price + Legibility ++ Color - Video -- Energy c. + Flexibility ++ Price ++ Legibility ++ Color - Video --
  • 10. Bayesian Network Bayesian Network slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
  • 11. Bayesian Network’s Major Parts Bayesian Network’s parts slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002 S u c c e s s E -in k fo r R S M S tra te g ic P a rtn e rs h ip E n d U s e r Ac c e p ta n c e T e c h n o lo g y T h re a t Va lu e C o m p a n y T h re a t (G yric o n )
  • 12. Strategic Partnership Strategic Partnership slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
  • 13. End User Acceptance End User Acceptance slide (E-INK PROJECT) E-ink Project. UCLA, March 2002
  • 14. Technology Threat Technology Threat slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
  • 15. Company Threat Company Threat slide (E-INK PROJECT). UCLA, March 2002
  • 16. Results Success of Ink in RSM State Probability Big Win 48% Small Win 27% Loss 23%
  • 17. Results Strategic Partnership State Probability Design Win 65% Small Win 35% End User Acceptance State Probability Win Likely 78% Win Unlikely 22% Technology Threat State Probability Low 78% High 22% Company Threat State Probability Low 82% High 18%
  • 18. Sensitivity Analysis Original Strategic End User Technology Company Scenario Partnership Acceptance Threat Threat BigWin 48% 75% 62% 50% 50% Little Win 27% 17% 21% 28% 28% Loss 23% 8% 17% 22% 22% Best Scenarios
  • 19. Sensitivity Analysis Original Strategic End User Technology Company Scenario Partnership Acceptance Threat Threat BigWin 48% 38% 32% 47% 47% Little Win 27% 31% 35% 26% 26% Loss 23% 31% 33% 27% 27% 50/50 Scenario
  • 20. Recommendation • Speed up the development of the electronic ink technology together with the partners. • Move rapidly in the Retail Signage Market. • Be on the watch out for other competitors. • Develop and attract more investors to the business.