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Dr. Akhilesh BhargavaMD, DHA, PGDHRMProf. Community Medicine &Director-SIHFW, Jaipur Epidemiological studies Akhilesh Bhargava 1
Akhilesh Bhargava 2 Epidemiological studies Descriptive Correlation studies Individual studies Analytical Case control studies Cohort studies Experimental Randomized design Blind Double blind Triple blind Clinical trials
Akhilesh Bhargava 3 Types of Descriptive studies a. Population (Correlation) studies. b. Individual studies i.   Case reports 			ii.  Case series 			iii. Cross sectional studies 				(Prevalence studies)
Akhilesh Bhargava 4 Population (Correlation) studies. Use data from entire population to compare- Disease frequency between different population groups during same period Disease frequency insame population at different periods. useful in formulation of a hypothesis but not for testing a hypothesis.
Akhilesh Bhargava 5 Advantages and Limitations Exposure cannot be linked with disease as whole population is represented. Lack of ability to control the effects of potential confounding variables. Presence of a correlation does not necessarily mean a statistical association. Correlation data represent average exposure levels rather than actual individual levels  Inexpensive in terms of Time & Money Routinely available information can be used
Akhilesh Bhargava 6 Individual studies Case reports (single patient) Case series (group of patients with similar diagnosis)
Akhilesh Bhargava 7 Individual studies:Advantages and Limitations Cases can be aggregated from different sources to generate hypotheses and describe syndromes Statistical association can not be established as there is no comparison group
Akhilesh Bhargava 8 Cross sectional studies Measure disease and exposure simultaneously in a defined population over a defined period provide instant information about frequency and characteristics of a disease Useful in- Assessing health status Identifying health care needs. Providing data on Prevalence of Disease, disability and utilization of services Provide data for Health care planning and administration
Akhilesh Bhargava 9 Advantages and Limitations Short term so less expensive Offer starting point in prospective studies Allow assessment of risk though less precise Start from a reference population from where sample is drawn, generalization can be made Not possible to ascertain whether exposure preceded or resulted from the disease. Since prevalence is assessed, results are affected by survival factors
Akhilesh Bhargava 10 Case-Control study A non-experimental Study,  Subjects enrolled based on presence/absence of outcome, Cases/controls compared with regard to prior exposure to causal factors.
Akhilesh Bhargava 11 Designing: case-control Criteria- 		    Comparability of cases & controls Issues –               	# Defining & selection of cases 			# Selection of controls             	# Information on disease 		            exposure status
Akhilesh Bhargava 12 Case-control: strengths &limitations Study of diseases with long latent period Low cost Short time Applicable to rare diseases also Bias in selection/Reporting/Recording.
Akhilesh Bhargava 13 Case-control : selection of cases Requirements- A standard case definition Inclusion of likes, exclusion of dislikes A strict diagnostic criteria for homogeneity Only newly diagnosed cases be included- Older cases  may distort the presentation Selection – Hospital based  Pop. based
14 Group of interest eg.  Cancer patients Take histories Draw  conclusions Compare histories Take histories Comparison group eg. Non-patients Case Control Studies Akhilesh Bhargava
Akhilesh Bhargava 15 Cases                 Controls Selection criteria Sources ,[object Object]
 Hospital Patients
    Whole group
    SampleSelection criteria Sources ,[object Object]
   Relative (genetic)
   Neighbors
  Gen. population,[object Object]
Akhilesh Bhargava 17 Advantages/Disadvantage of control sources Source                AdvantageDisadvantage Hospital     - easy identification         - do not represent                      - belong to same class      exposure in 						        general                        - cooperative                      population                - min. non-response        - admission bias  Gen .Pop.   - high comparability        - costly, more time,                                                        - recall bias                                                              - loss during study
Akhilesh Bhargava 18 Selection of controls How many control groups ? Hospital – more than one Where one group has some deficiency 			(stress & peptic ulcer in executives) 			and stress present in hospitalized How many subjects in a control group? 1:1 if no. of cases & controls is large and cost of getting information is same Max. 4:1, more does not increase statistical strength but cost increases
Akhilesh Bhargava 19 Case Control Study Approach Odds Ratio = Odds of exposure in cases                   Odds of exposure in controls                a / c b/ d a d b c = =
Akhilesh Bhargava 20 Odds Ratio = Relative RiskConditions & Interpretations OR –an unbiased and valid estimate of RR in Case control studies, as-           only newly diagnosed are included           selection is not based on exposure level         An OR=1- no statistical association                        - exposure is not a risk factor         OR >1 –   a positive association between                           exposure and outcome          OR<1 –   Less risk, or even protective 			   value of a  Risk factor.
Akhilesh Bhargava 21 Bias and its play in Case Control study- Bias   “any systematic error in the study that results in an incorrect estimate of the association between exposure and risk of disease”.
Akhilesh Bhargava 22 Types of Bias- 1. Selection Bias 	a. Prevalence-Incidence Bias 	b. Admission rate (Berkson’s) Bias 	c. Non-response/ Refusal Bias 2. Observational or Information Bias 	a. Diagnostic Bias 	b. Recall Bias
Akhilesh Bhargava 23 How Bias gets in ,[object Object]
Diagnosis & Referral during ascertaining status of subjects,		OR ,      for-Unwillingness to participate , ,[object Object]
Replacement of originally selected
Selection bias- Refusal                           Non-response                           Self selection
Cohortgroup with common experience Roman Army Groups Cohort study- “A non-experimental study, subjects enrolled based on exposure level to main independent variable, followed to determine development of the dependent variable” 24 . Akhilesh Bhargava
Cohort study Characteristics- ,[object Object]
 Follow up over a period of timeTypes- Retrospective (after exposure but 				  certainly before disease/ 			  outcome) Prospective     (exposure may/may not 			  have but outcome 				  certainly not)
ExposureCase control studyDisease  ?----------------------------------       ?----------------------------------  Prospective Cohort Study Exposure  Disease                ---------------                    ------------------?                 -------------------                 ------------------- ?      Retrospective cohort Study Exposure                                           Disease -----------------------------------------------     ?                      ----------------------------------------------      ?
Study design- considerations   General-  Hypothesis to be tested                    Resources                    Current state of knowledge   Which of cohort study ?                    Time                    Money                    Latent pd. of disease                    Availability of information/Records                    Frequency of occurrence of disease                    Sample size                    Follow up period required
Issues in Cohort study design     Selection –                          Exposed group                         Comparison group     Sources of data –                         Exposure data                         Outcome data     Approaches to follow-up
Cohort study…Selection-Exposed/Comparison groups    Exposed             Criteria-   Availability                        Complete & accurate information                        Exposure    Comparison          Criteria-   Similarity but for exposure
Cohort…Sources of information            Information- complete & accurate Exposed-       Gen. population                     Special exposure groups Comparison-  Graded exposure groups                     Individuals from same work cohort                     without exposure to risk factor                     Rates of disease in gen. pop.                     Gen. Population
Cohort…Sources of exposure information ,[object Object]
 Employment records

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Epidemiological Studies

  • 1. Dr. Akhilesh BhargavaMD, DHA, PGDHRMProf. Community Medicine &Director-SIHFW, Jaipur Epidemiological studies Akhilesh Bhargava 1
  • 2. Akhilesh Bhargava 2 Epidemiological studies Descriptive Correlation studies Individual studies Analytical Case control studies Cohort studies Experimental Randomized design Blind Double blind Triple blind Clinical trials
  • 3. Akhilesh Bhargava 3 Types of Descriptive studies a. Population (Correlation) studies. b. Individual studies i. Case reports ii. Case series iii. Cross sectional studies (Prevalence studies)
  • 4. Akhilesh Bhargava 4 Population (Correlation) studies. Use data from entire population to compare- Disease frequency between different population groups during same period Disease frequency insame population at different periods. useful in formulation of a hypothesis but not for testing a hypothesis.
  • 5. Akhilesh Bhargava 5 Advantages and Limitations Exposure cannot be linked with disease as whole population is represented. Lack of ability to control the effects of potential confounding variables. Presence of a correlation does not necessarily mean a statistical association. Correlation data represent average exposure levels rather than actual individual levels Inexpensive in terms of Time & Money Routinely available information can be used
  • 6. Akhilesh Bhargava 6 Individual studies Case reports (single patient) Case series (group of patients with similar diagnosis)
  • 7. Akhilesh Bhargava 7 Individual studies:Advantages and Limitations Cases can be aggregated from different sources to generate hypotheses and describe syndromes Statistical association can not be established as there is no comparison group
  • 8. Akhilesh Bhargava 8 Cross sectional studies Measure disease and exposure simultaneously in a defined population over a defined period provide instant information about frequency and characteristics of a disease Useful in- Assessing health status Identifying health care needs. Providing data on Prevalence of Disease, disability and utilization of services Provide data for Health care planning and administration
  • 9. Akhilesh Bhargava 9 Advantages and Limitations Short term so less expensive Offer starting point in prospective studies Allow assessment of risk though less precise Start from a reference population from where sample is drawn, generalization can be made Not possible to ascertain whether exposure preceded or resulted from the disease. Since prevalence is assessed, results are affected by survival factors
  • 10. Akhilesh Bhargava 10 Case-Control study A non-experimental Study, Subjects enrolled based on presence/absence of outcome, Cases/controls compared with regard to prior exposure to causal factors.
  • 11. Akhilesh Bhargava 11 Designing: case-control Criteria- Comparability of cases & controls Issues – # Defining & selection of cases # Selection of controls # Information on disease exposure status
  • 12. Akhilesh Bhargava 12 Case-control: strengths &limitations Study of diseases with long latent period Low cost Short time Applicable to rare diseases also Bias in selection/Reporting/Recording.
  • 13. Akhilesh Bhargava 13 Case-control : selection of cases Requirements- A standard case definition Inclusion of likes, exclusion of dislikes A strict diagnostic criteria for homogeneity Only newly diagnosed cases be included- Older cases may distort the presentation Selection – Hospital based Pop. based
  • 14. 14 Group of interest eg. Cancer patients Take histories Draw conclusions Compare histories Take histories Comparison group eg. Non-patients Case Control Studies Akhilesh Bhargava
  • 15.
  • 17. Whole group
  • 18.
  • 19. Relative (genetic)
  • 20. Neighbors
  • 21.
  • 22. Akhilesh Bhargava 17 Advantages/Disadvantage of control sources Source AdvantageDisadvantage Hospital - easy identification - do not represent - belong to same class exposure in general - cooperative population - min. non-response - admission bias Gen .Pop. - high comparability - costly, more time, - recall bias - loss during study
  • 23. Akhilesh Bhargava 18 Selection of controls How many control groups ? Hospital – more than one Where one group has some deficiency (stress & peptic ulcer in executives) and stress present in hospitalized How many subjects in a control group? 1:1 if no. of cases & controls is large and cost of getting information is same Max. 4:1, more does not increase statistical strength but cost increases
  • 24. Akhilesh Bhargava 19 Case Control Study Approach Odds Ratio = Odds of exposure in cases Odds of exposure in controls a / c b/ d a d b c = =
  • 25. Akhilesh Bhargava 20 Odds Ratio = Relative RiskConditions & Interpretations OR –an unbiased and valid estimate of RR in Case control studies, as- only newly diagnosed are included selection is not based on exposure level An OR=1- no statistical association - exposure is not a risk factor OR >1 – a positive association between exposure and outcome OR<1 – Less risk, or even protective value of a Risk factor.
  • 26. Akhilesh Bhargava 21 Bias and its play in Case Control study- Bias “any systematic error in the study that results in an incorrect estimate of the association between exposure and risk of disease”.
  • 27. Akhilesh Bhargava 22 Types of Bias- 1. Selection Bias a. Prevalence-Incidence Bias b. Admission rate (Berkson’s) Bias c. Non-response/ Refusal Bias 2. Observational or Information Bias a. Diagnostic Bias b. Recall Bias
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 31. Selection bias- Refusal Non-response Self selection
  • 32. Cohortgroup with common experience Roman Army Groups Cohort study- “A non-experimental study, subjects enrolled based on exposure level to main independent variable, followed to determine development of the dependent variable” 24 . Akhilesh Bhargava
  • 33.
  • 34. Follow up over a period of timeTypes- Retrospective (after exposure but certainly before disease/ outcome) Prospective (exposure may/may not have but outcome certainly not)
  • 35. ExposureCase control studyDisease ?---------------------------------- ?---------------------------------- Prospective Cohort Study Exposure Disease --------------- ------------------? ------------------- ------------------- ? Retrospective cohort Study Exposure Disease ----------------------------------------------- ? ---------------------------------------------- ?
  • 36. Study design- considerations General- Hypothesis to be tested Resources Current state of knowledge Which of cohort study ? Time Money Latent pd. of disease Availability of information/Records Frequency of occurrence of disease Sample size Follow up period required
  • 37. Issues in Cohort study design Selection – Exposed group Comparison group Sources of data – Exposure data Outcome data Approaches to follow-up
  • 38. Cohort study…Selection-Exposed/Comparison groups Exposed Criteria- Availability Complete & accurate information Exposure Comparison Criteria- Similarity but for exposure
  • 39. Cohort…Sources of information Information- complete & accurate Exposed- Gen. population Special exposure groups Comparison- Graded exposure groups Individuals from same work cohort without exposure to risk factor Rates of disease in gen. pop. Gen. Population
  • 40.
  • 43. Study subject’s interrogation
  • 44.
  • 45. Cohort…Follow up p e r i o d of t i m e Exposure----------------------------------------Outcome BIAS change in composition of group movement change in job/names/ residence/habits
  • 46. Cohort Studies 1/23/2010 34 Group of interest (smokers) Follow Over time Compare outcomes Control group (non-smokers) Follow Over time
  • 47.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52. High follow-up loss –
  • 55. size
  • 59.
  • 60. Effect of non-participationParticipation dependent on :awareness levels motivation exposure to risk
  • 61. Cohort Study Approach Incidence in exposed A / A+B Relative Risk = ----------------------------- = ----------- Incidence in un-exposed C / C+D
  • 62. Cohort Study: Outbreak of Gastroenteritis associated with eating Cheese    700 / 840 RR = ----------- = 11.9 % 30 / 430 .
  • 63. Exposure Outcome Present Absent Smoker 120 (A) 280 (B) 400 Non-smoker 30 (C) 570 (D) 600 OR= AD/BC=120 X 570/280 X 30= 8.14 A/A+B =120/400 RR= --------- ---------- = 6.0 C/C+D 30/600 AR= RR-1/RR =6-1/6 =0.83
  • 64. Attribute Cohort Case-control Cross-sectional Pop. Disease free Cases& control Pop. with no dis-. no exp., no dis.- but exp., no exp- with dis., exp.-with dis. Sample healthy unknown source survivors at a pt. pop. for cases Temporal Pros/retro. Retrospective Retrospective sequence Function Compares Prevalence Describes incidence association Outcome Incidence Prevalence Prevalence Measure RR/AR OR OR Causality Strong needs careful only suggestive analysis Bias Manageable can be Difficult
  • 65. Basis Cohort Case-control Cross- sectional Rare dis. Not practical Best NA Determine Best Only estimate Prevalence risk Whether exp. Best NA NA Preceded Time/money Expensive least expensive less expensive Planning long term NA Best .